
The TRUTH: WRs Part 2 + Where’s Jason? - Fantasy Football Podcast for 2/4
Loading summary
Jason Moore
This episode is brought to you by Intuit TurboTax Business Taxes was stressing about all the time and all the money you spent on your taxes. Now Business taxes is a TurboTax Small Business Expert who does your taxes for you and offers year round advice at no additional cost so you can keep more money in your business. Now this is taxes intuit turbotax get an expert now@turbotax.com only available at TurboTax Live full service.
Mike Wright
This episode is brought to you by Indeed. When draft time rolls around, you have to be strategic and you have to be quick to put together the best possible team. Like with football players, when you're drafting a quarterback, there are so many things that you need. You need, you need an athletic guy. You need a guy who can process information. He's got a strong arm, maybe he can run around a little bit. There's so many things and, and finding the exact right one, very difficult. But if you're hiring, the best strategy is to use Indeed. Their sponsored jobs will help you stand out. It literally puts your job post at the top of the page so you can reach the people you want faster. And even better, you're only paying for results. There's no monthly subscriptions or long term contracts. There's no need to wait any longer. Speed up your hiring right now with Indeed. Listeners of this show will get a $75 sponsored job credit to get your jobs. More visibility@ Indeed.com footballers that's Indeed.com footballers right now. And support our show by saying you heard about Indeed. On this podcast. Indeed.com Footballers terms and conditions apply. Hiring Indeed is all you need.
Jason Moore
Welcome to the Fantasy Footballers podcast with your host and Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright.
Mike Wright
Oh, welcome in.
Andy Holloway
Andy Holloway, Mike Wright, the Fantasy Footballers. How you doing, Mike?
Mike Wright
I look, I'm good.
Andy Holloway
How you doing?
Mike Wright
I had a lovely weekend.
Andy Holloway
Oh, me too, man. Just getting this show recorded.
Mike Wright
The people on audio have no idea what's going on.
Andy Holloway
Tuesday, February 12th. What a great show. Got deucers alleys cracking up back.
Jason Moore
February 12th.
Mike Wright
Whatever.
Andy Holloway
February 4th.
Mike Wright
Sorry, whatever, man.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, I don't know why I said that. I guess I'm a little distracted. Just like, wait, who's, who's missing?
Mike Wright
Jason's not here. Well, he is.
Andy Holloway
I see his laptop.
Mike Wright
He's here.
Andy Holloway
I see his chair is kind of sideways.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Like a man who evacuated the seat.
Mike Wright
Yeah. We were about to hit record.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, but he's not here.
Mike Wright
No, he is in the. He is in the slack saying there's no way you guys are this is a fake out. You're faking me out. So he'll be joining us.
Andy Holloway
I. Join us whenever you got a new award winner.
Mike Wright
The trophy has changed hands.
Andy Holloway
The toilet trophy is now positioned center pocket. If this is a really questionable decision to start. Al, are you feeling good about this call?
Jason Moore
Oh, yeah.
Andy Holloway
To get the show recorded.
Jason Moore
We can't be late. We have a timeline to stick to.
Andy Holloway
So we're just kicking things off here. Mike.
Mike Wright
Yeah. What is today's show?
Andy Holloway
Well, today is the poop. The truth. The truth of the wide receiver position. Part two, not number two.
Jason Moore
Right.
Andy Holloway
Part two.
Mike Wright
Right. That's someone else.
Andy Holloway
Somebody else is in the middle. This is definitely a low for us. This is a low. This is a low for you and me personally. This is a low for the Deucers.
Mike Wright
No, this is.
Andy Holloway
I mean, it's February.
Mike Wright
Let's just. We'll get into the content. Jason Moore will be here eventually.
Andy Holloway
Jason Moore. When he is done with doing whatever he's doing.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Oh, my goodness.
Mike Wright
He'll show up.
Andy Holloway
He'll be here soon. You're saying we kick this?
Mike Wright
Yeah. Get the show. I mean, there was no football. There was a Pro Bowl, I guess.
Andy Holloway
Oh, my gosh.
Mike Wright
I saw some clips online of, like, the receivers putting on gigantic hands.
Andy Holloway
I catch a ball. There's no way that our audience wants to hear from you and I about the Pro bowl instead of Luka Donjic.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I mean, I know more about that than I know about the Pro Bowl.
Andy Holloway
The Pro bowl is a travesty. I don't know why they're wearing giant hands. I don't know why they are. Oh, what do we got here?
Jason Moore
We've got.
Andy Holloway
You gotta hit your button over there.
Jason Moore
You dirty, dirty sons of guns.
Andy Holloway
How you doing, buddy?
Jason Moore
Unbelievable. You guys. You guys. Oh, my gosh. I can't believe. Can you believe we.
Andy Holloway
Can you believe we did this?
Mike Wright
Did you think it was that it was still a goof even as you were walking in?
Jason Moore
No, I.
Mike Wright
Look at the time, man.
Jason Moore
We're going. Oh, my gosh. We're doing it live. This is ridiculous. When I. So. This is so mean. It's so brilliant. I can't believe. I'm so proud of you guys right now. Oh, gosh darn it.
Andy Holloway
Oh, I'm so red.
Jason Moore
Oh, you are. Oh, my gosh. Well, so let me tell you something. I don't know what you guys talked about. Not much, but I'm, you know, right before the show.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
Mike's not in here yet. Lollygagging. Lazy man.
Mike Wright
I Was getting ready for the show.
Jason Moore
I'm thinking, man, I knew something. There was some problems in the tummy. And I was like, I'm gonna go ahead and take care of business now. And it was a great decision because I desperately needed to.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, I get it.
Jason Moore
And then I tell you guys, like, hey, there's problems in here. You said, quote, yeah, go on a show. Crazy.
Andy Holloway
I have made a very important and wise decision. I have strong feeling I will be in here for more than a minute or two.
Jason Moore
Yes. And so then a minute later, I hear, oh, welcome in. And I went, no, I thought. At first I thought, now that's a good joke. I thought you were just sitting here and doing that so I could hear it. And then I kept hearing some laughs and some giggles, and I was like.
Andy Holloway
Did they really do it?
Jason Moore
They're doing it. They left me on the toilet. Oh, man. So, yes. So now I get the doosers alley trophy.
Andy Holloway
You got the trophy.
Jason Moore
Unreal.
Andy Holloway
Welcome in.
Jason Moore
Well, I'll tell you what. There is a chance I do not finish the show. So joke's on you, man. And I'm just. And at this point, we're not pausing. It's more of a. I'll just take off. I won't say one word. No.
Andy Holloway
Duke of donches. Yeah.
Mike Wright
Oh, goodness.
Andy Holloway
We do have a wide receiver episode. And I'm so glad you could be here.
Jason Moore
Yeah, me too.
Andy Holloway
You're still in shock.
Jason Moore
Yeah, well, no, I'm good for the time being. Give me another 10 minutes.
Andy Holloway
This is an all timer. Well, we were going to briefly comment on the LUCA news.
Jason Moore
Dirty dogs.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, man. Yeah. You would do it.
Jason Moore
Oh, I would do it. I told you. I'm proud of you. This is brilliant.
Andy Holloway
The deucers are dying. They've been dying for five minutes now. Oh, man. Oh, man. Well, yeah, there was really big news. Not in the NFL. And we all. We all are NBA fans casual. And I was 100% certain. Just quick reactions. I know this is not an NBA show, but I've already heard from enough people that want our quick reactions to that trade, because it is the single most shocking, surprising trade in any sport that I can recall. I mean, I remember being a Suns fan in 1992, and the Sun's got Charles Barkley for nothing.
Jason Moore
Yeah, that was great.
Andy Holloway
I remember Ricky Williams getting traded for every draft pick that existed.
Mike Wright
Oh, for the saints.
Andy Holloway
For the saints.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
But this one, when it broke, I'm laying in bed. You know, for a lot of east coasters, they were asleep. They woke up to it. And I was 100% certain that shams got hacked.
Jason Moore
Oh, for sure.
Andy Holloway
Because it did not. And still to this moment has not made one ounce more sense than the moment I read it.
Jason Moore
Yeah. Patrick Mahomes was just traded, you know, for what would the equivalent be? Like an above average Matthew Stafford. Yeah, Stafford. He's a Super bowl winner.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. Trade him for Stafford.
Jason Moore
It's like, well, that doesn't make sense. Why would you do that? I mean, Lucas and I can't stand Lucas. A big fat baby. Yes, if it's on the fat. But he's 25 years old. He's 20. He is a generation. He's a top five talent in the NBA who is with whatever franchise. He is the face of whatever franchise for a decade. And crazy. You don't. Those guys don't get traded. You can't acquire those guys. And here's the craziest part. If, if one of those caliber players were to ever get traded, the amount of haul that they would. I mean, you put that on the. You go to your general manager group chat and you just say, hey, guys, I'm thinking about. Yeah, I'm thinking about putting Luca out there. You're going to have 31 offers in minutes and they just go and they trade them for 21.
Mike Wright
There's not even that many teams.
Jason Moore
Oh, how many are in the NBA?
Andy Holloway
My Jamar Chase looks pretty good now, doesn't it? Pretty good. Mike, you were as shocked as everybody else.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I was with you. I thought it was fake. I think I even saw it and didn't post it into our basketball channel because I'm like, you don't want to be. You're not getting me on this one. And then you post it and I'm like, I guess this is real. And then like, I didn't want to share it to my other friends groups because I thought this is fake. And people are going to laugh about how dumb this trade is. Not that Luca got traded, but just the compensation is. It doesn't make any sense.
Andy Holloway
I, yeah, I was shocked. It was crazy. Controversial opinion, but genuinely, I'm not even sure. Dallas fans, like, if you won a title with AD but you lose Lucas, the face of your franchise for the next 12 years. I'm not even sure you're happy.
Mike Wright
It's.
Andy Holloway
I guess you should be happy, but I don't know if you are happy.
Mike Wright
It's very weird.
Jason Moore
Well, you know, there's rumors that this is to make them worse on purpose.
Mike Wright
I.
Andy Holloway
Mission accomplished.
Mike Wright
I've seen those Those seem too many layers into the conspiracy down the rabbit hole. But, like, at this point, what other explanation makes sense?
Jason Moore
I mean, if you're not trying to make your team worse, then you did a bad job. If you're trying to make your team worse, you. I mean, plus.
Andy Holloway
All right, here's some NFL news.
Jason Moore
News and notes from around the league.
Andy Holloway
The Raiders, they hired Chip Kelly as their offensive coordinator.
Jason Moore
This is awesome. I'm really a little bit confused as to the pairing between Pete Carroll and. And Chip Kelly. I mean, obviously, two historically great collegiate head coaches getting together, but, you know, Pete Carroll's been a defense and run the ball type of head coach, and Chip Kelly is a fast pace, a no huddle, a high scoring, great plays. I mean, in his few years, and he had. He didn't have great quarterback play when he was a head coach or when he was with San Francisco or Philly. And you're talking about top five in rushing offenses, in points. He had some really good things for fantasy football. So I was. I was really hoping this cycle would have Chip Kelly back into an offensive coordinator position. And it's. I like that it goes to the Raiders in the sense that this is a team that, I don't know prior to this, I'm not excited about after this. Maybe we've got some fantasy gold there.
Andy Holloway
Well, I know it'll be interesting to see what they find in the draft. Quarterback. Do they find a running back? You got Brock Bowers. More importantly. Well, just for this show, the Buccaneers. Liam Cohen's gone. Guys, I don't know if you know.
Mike Wright
Duvall, which I analyzed it again, and it really takes it over the top is watch the eyebrows when he does the dude. Because one is. I think it's like one is up, you know, kind of like the rock and then it's due, and then Vol. The other one flies up.
Andy Holloway
So you've been spending some time with this.
Mike Wright
I told you, I can't get enough.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Well, the Buccaneers need an offensive coordinator with Liam Cohen departing, so they have promoted Josh Grizzard. Jay Grizz.
Jason Moore
You can't make this stuff up.
Andy Holloway
Sometimes things just come together for the sake of this show. Josh Grizzard, the Grizzler, as Mike calls him. The Grizzler. New offensive coordinator. The eighth one for Baker Mayfield. And.
Mike Wright
Come on, Baker, you could do it again.
Jason Moore
He can. He's used to it now. Two years with the same coordinator might. Might be very difficult for him at this point.
Andy Holloway
We have a new offensive coordinator for the Jets. It was the Lions passing game coordinator Tanner Ing Strand. So the Lions have lost a lot of coaching.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
This offseason.
Mike Wright
I mean, this is what happens. And that's. That's what makes the loss just even tougher, is, you know, you knew that things were going to get pillaged there.
Andy Holloway
And the Cowboys hired Clayton Adams, a former Cardinals offensive line coach, to be.
Jason Moore
Their new OC it was a surprising move. But the Cowboys, they do their own thing, man.
Andy Holloway
They're not the Mavs.
Jason Moore
That is true. I mean, Jerry's feeling real good right now in Texas.
Andy Holloway
He's like, yeah, he's out of the spotlight.
Jason Moore
Oh, you think he wants.
Andy Holloway
Remember when he took over the world with that we're not going to stop the sun for being in your eyes thing?
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
No moon. No. Now it's all Luca. We will have a full in depth coaching changes episode. It's coming up here pretty soon. We're waiting to be there for all of that tbd. You know, it's like, when was the last time I Hipotle would be the question that I would ask you, which was today.
Andy Holloway
Oh, man.
Jason Moore
Yeah, it tastes good. We'll have that episode coming out where we dive deep. We're waiting for a couple more hires to happen.
Andy Holloway
So you're waiting for Kellen Moore to officially get hired by the Saints.
Jason Moore
See that.
Mike Wright
That's. The rumor mill is like, essentially, it's. It's. It's his job.
Andy Holloway
What do you.
Mike Wright
But nothing's official.
Andy Holloway
Do you believe Dallas could be the shot in Heimer? Clayton Adams, do you think this is placeholder? Do you think this is the bridge? Because they're. They're starting to be, you know, like, is this the waiting for Dion? Because it would look bad on Dion if he left right after his son leaves Colorado. Or is this waiting for Belichick because Belichick has to have a year in North Carolina? Or is this waiting for.
Mike Wright
Well, they could have bought. I thought that Belichick had like a 10 million.
Andy Holloway
Oh, yeah, he had a buyout, but maybe also just from perception.
Mike Wright
Belichick didn't have a job. Like, he could have been hired. So that's. I don't. When you're talking about Jerry Jones, I don't think it's wrong to think. What.
Andy Holloway
What's the master plan?
Mike Wright
Yeah. What circus show does he have lined up? But, like, looking out there, it's. I don't know.
Andy Holloway
Do you have time for a bridge years?
Jason Moore
No, I don't think so. I think he's hiring Schottenheimer to Be the head coach going forward.
Mike Wright
Yeah, he. Jerry. Jerry likes to think he's really good at the general managing.
Andy Holloway
Adam Thielen said. He says, quote, yeah, go ahead, Mike.
Mike Wright
I think I still have some football.
Andy Holloway
He says, I think I still have some football in me. So. Final year. He's going into his final year of a. Wow. He's 34 now. Yeah, he's actually. He actually is getting older. Matthew Stafford plans to play in 2025, but will likely need a new contract. About to turn 37. There you go. There you go. All right, the full crew back together. It's time to hit the truth.
Mike Wright
You want answers? I think I'm entitled. You want answers?
Andy Holloway
I want the truth.
Mike Wright
You can't handle the truth.
Andy Holloway
Well, well, well. It's the wide receiver truth episode part two. It's. We've been walking through every position group. Just went through the top. How many did we get through in the first wide receiver? 10.
Mike Wright
Your guess is as good as mine.
Andy Holloway
I think we got through 10.
Mike Wright
Looks like 10.
Andy Holloway
So we'll continue some more interesting storylines here. Believe it or not, 2024 saw the most total receiving touchdowns from the wide receiver position in NFL history.
Jason Moore
I don't believe it.
Andy Holloway
So you're going to have to. It's just. It's facts, facts, man. Eleven different wide receivers had nine or more receiving touchdowns. We only had six of those last year, but a couple of those guys, Rashad Bateman, Nick Westbrook, Aquina.
Mike Wright
Yeah, I mean, touchdown superstar.
Andy Holloway
That was a fun run in the middle of the season.
Mike Wright
One every two catches is a huge touchdown.
Andy Holloway
The defenses in the NFL employed zone 67% of the time. That's down from 71% last year. Pretty normal.
Jason Moore
Pretty normal. But it had been going up. We talked about this going into this season. It went from 64%, 67, 68, 71. And now it reverted a little bit more. So, I mean, it's. It's always a pendulum in the NFL as teams start adjusting to one thing. You. You go back, back and forth and.
Andy Holloway
So today we'll get into some more names, starting with Mike Evans at number 11. A reminder, we're looking at a percent, a consistency score determined by the amount of great games a wide receiver has, which is 20 or more fantasy points. 12 and a half is our marker for good games and bust games are fewer than seven and a half points. And we do not include week 18 when you're not playing these guys. We want to know the truth, the reality. When they were on your roster, when the games mattered. What did they do? Tried and true. Hard to escape. Mike Evans at 11. Consistency rank of 12.
Mike Wright
I mean that's, that's wild. Like when you look at his game log a consistency rank of 12.
Andy Holloway
Yeah.
Mike Wright
I don't know, it just feels strong with the amount of, of red in there. I mean you have 23% of his games. It was a bust, but he had so many really high level finishes.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. When you look at the game, 38%.
Mike Wright
Great like that for Mike Evans, that's very high. Yeah.
Andy Holloway
The touchdowns, right. I mean the 11 more touchdowns, 1,000 yards missed three weeks before his buy. So the middle of the season you didn't have him. That hurt 46% good, 23% bust. But this is the highest great percentage for Evans. Highest Percentage of games 20/ plus since we've been doing this series.
Jason Moore
Really? Yeah, that, that is shocking because he's, you know, he's a deep downfield guy who's had monstrous performances over and over. So it was, I mean it was interesting that this year he had so many massive performances obviously towards the end of the year that I think they were trying to, once he got back from the injury, they're trying to force him the ball a little bit more. Especially the final two weeks of the season. I mean, obviously the last play of the season where they, it was so good. Yeah, it was the right thing to do. I'm so happy they did it. Get the man his record, let him keep going on these thousand yard seasons. He got to 1004.
Andy Holloway
Do we think that obviously Chris Godwin went down week seven. He had some hit and miss games before that. His consistency in the first half was worse than the second half. When Godwin was going off, it seemed like it was a Godwin or Evans game kind of for the first seven weeks, but you know, new offensive coordinator for him too. But he's gone through a million of them. How are you going to view Mike Evans heading into 2025? He's now 31. He'll be 32.
Jason Moore
Being 32 with a new coordinator, they'll probably bring another wide receiver in. Whether that's bringing Chris Godwin back or replacing him in the draft or free agency. I don't think Mike Evans will. He's at the stage of his career where there's usually only two truths. Either he's lost it, right? They're like, you're going to hold the bag and okay, this was the, this was the end. And that happens to all the greats. You know, Andre Johnson was great until one year just showed up and then he wasn't toast.
Andy Holloway
Julio Jones, same thing.
Jason Moore
Or he's going to be undervalued in drafts. He's going to be a really good, you know, because those are the only two. Those are the only two. You're just not going to have him be drafted high enough to what he deserves. So I think he'll be a good value. I don't, I do not believe that. Yeah, I would say he'll be in the fourth round. I could see him maybe even fall.
Mike Wright
To the, a little bit lower than that. The what you know for sure is.
Andy Holloway
He'S just beginning to be a my guy again, isn't he?
Mike Wright
They will do their best to get him. A thousand yards like that will be in play because then Kyle would. Well, he, he's tied right now with Jerry Rice. Am I remembering that right?
Jason Moore
That's correct.
Mike Wright
So this, if he, if he gets it this year, then that's Mike Evans record of most consecutive thousand yard seasons, right?
Jason Moore
Yeah. And it's all of them because he started out as a rookie doing it.
Mike Wright
It's wild first ballot.
Jason Moore
He's working his way there. He's not there yet.
Andy Holloway
We'll talk about Jerry Judy in just a sec. We'll take a quick break and we've got a bunch of other names to talk about.
Mike Wright
This ain't the little itty bitty teeny tiny bowl. This is Super Bowl 59. Get in on the action at DraftKings Sportsbook, an official sports betting partner of Super Bowl 59. Scoring touchdowns is key to hoisting the Vince Lombardi trophy and you have a shot to score big by betting on them at DraftKings Sportsbook, the number one place to bet touchdowns. New DraftKings customers can bet five bucks to get $200 in bonus bets instantly. Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app and use Code Ballers. That's Code Ballers for new customers to get 200 in bonus bets instantly. When you bet just five bucks only on DraftKings sportsbook, the crown is yours. Gambling problem. Call 1-800- gambler in New York. Call 8778-HOPENY or text hopeny467-369 in Connecticut. Help is available for problem gambling. Call 888-878-97777 or visit ccpg.org Please play responsibly on behalf of Boot Hill casino and resort, KS 21 +. Age and eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Void. In Ontario, new customers only. Bonus bets expire 168 hours after issuance. For additional terms and responsible gaming resources. See DKNG Co Audio.
Andy Holloway
You want control of your financial future and Schwab knows that. That's why when it comes to managing your wealth, we give you more choices like full service, wealth management and advice when you need it most. You can also invest on your own and trade on thinkorswim, our powerful award winning trading platform. Plus, you'll get low costs, transparent pricing and 24,7 live help. Because at Schwab, we understand it's your financial journey and we believe you should have choices in how you invest. Visit schwab.com to learn more. This is a name that. This one's just a weird, weird one.
Mike Wright
I don't know what to do with this one.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, Jerry Judy comes in at 12 with a consistency rank of 26. Okay, so you're like, okay, that's, that's a terribly misaligned for the wide receiver to consistency was barely drafted, right? Wide receiver 58 off the board, 13th round. First half of the season, it was same old, same old for Jerry Judy. He was a wide receiver 71.
Mike Wright
If you were playing Jerry Judy over the first half of the year, it was detrimental to your fantasy football lineup.
Andy Holloway
And yet 12, 29 receiving yards, 90 catches, 145 targets, four touchdowns. Because in the second half of the season he went on an absolute tear. Once Amari Cooper was shipped off, once we had Desean Watson no longer a quarterback, he was number 10 in consistency and battled his way with some monster performances all the way to wide receiver. 12, 13% great. Okay, 31% good. Okay, 31% bust. Like Jerry Judy was like. How many weeks into his breakout did it take before you would play him?
Jason Moore
2. Because it coincided with the quarterback change. And I think that was the biggest. As soon as Jameis took over, we wanted Cedric Tillman, we wanted Elijah Moore.
Mike Wright
We wanted Jerry James. It was Cedric Tillman at the beginning.
Jason Moore
Yeah. So you would throw these players in. It was nice that.
Andy Holloway
And Tillman got hurt.
Jason Moore
Yes. You weren't sure, you know, how much was the quarterback change versus how much was Amari Cooper being gone? Because obviously those didn't happen at the exact same moment. I will say this. If you were to take the first six weeks away from Jerry Judy, that's when Amari Cooper was on the roster. And just look at the season as a total from week seven on. And it didn't start great. Like week seven was one of his worst games of the season.
Mike Wright
But even including that, is that the Watson injury game?
Jason Moore
I'm not, I'm not sure.
Mike Wright
The Specifics of Week 7 was the Watson injury. 39% of snaps for Watson that week.
Jason Moore
So even including that week, the whole season for Jerry Judy, minus Amari Cooper, he was the wide receiver 13 in consistency in our consistency metric.
Mike Wright
He's so bizarre, though, of like we've been. Jerry. Jerry Judy has on. I would say he's underperformed pretty drastically. Your. Your hopes and your dreams for when he was drafted. Like, he was in. He was in the Jefferson or Jefferson draft class where CD Lamb, where Judy was the second wide receiver. I think you had Rugs first, but he just. It had been, I mean, four years in Denver where you had like an end of season. You had one, okay, 1, 972 yards, six touchdowns in year three with the Denver Broncos, but it's been an underperformance as a whole. And then you get the first half of this. But then now is this a. The genie's out and the team's like, holy crap. We didn't even realize that this was part of the range of outcomes for Jerry Judy, which, if you remember, they got him and they extended it.
Andy Holloway
The Browns did believe that this was who Jerry Judy was. And if you want to give them credit for that, that would be one of the few things you can give him credit for. By the way, news that Miles Garrett wants out of Cleveland just came through. They did know that they did believe this about Jerry Judy. Now, we're going on two consecutive years where your expectations for the best wide receiver in Cleveland are let. Letting you down for the first half of a year. And then in the second half of the year, we know desean Watson, they go crazy. I mean, Amari Cooper was a league winner last year, two years ago. Now, Jerry Judy did it. So, you know, he needed the opportunity. Now listen to this. 93% of his targets, they were tied or trailing.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
I mean, they had to chuck it.
Jason Moore
That is part of Miles.
Mike Wright
You're picking second.
Jason Moore
Yeah. The Miles Garrett news is really good news for David Ajoku, for Jerry Judy, for the fantasy implications of the Cleveland Browns. We don't know who the quarterback's going to be. That's going to be the major deciding factor for how Jerry Jeudy is viewed next year. But I do think he comes into this. I mean, they resigned him, so he's under contract through till 2027 with the Browns. He's their clear man now, their primary wide receiver. And he looked good. Like he, you know, we've waited way too long. And so it feels like I don't know, we know who Jerry Judy is. We know he's, he's an average guy. Or Steve Smith would say he's just a guy.
Mike Wright
Oh, he had the Steve Smith put him in a body bag for sure.
Jason Moore
And so, you know, it's a little skeptical. I'm a little hesitant to just completely buy in because we've had a lot of years of him being just average. But what he did this year was above average. And I'm not just talking in the counting stats. He was open his route, running his yards after catch. They looked like kind of what you were drafting this guy for. So if they figure out anything with the quarterback and they got the number two pick, I mean, they could very easily end up with the first quarterback in the draft.
Andy Holloway
It's rare you want to just project a half of a season, but because his season was, it was Amari Cooper, it was tied into the change at quarterback and a wide receiver. His second half, eight games. That was a 1700 yard pace with 120 catches on 178 targets.
Mike Wright
200 yard game in there. It'll help.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. So it was, it was a big run for Jerry Judy. He will be a risk, no question. If it's a rookie quarterback, it's a risk. Is this the Jameis Winston?
Mike Wright
Is it devonte Parker?
Andy Holloway
Right.
Mike Wright
Like the round one wide receiver who gives you very little. And then year five, you're like, holy crap. There, I knew it. I knew I should believe in Jerry Judy the whole time. And then you go, oh, no, no, that was just a year.
Andy Holloway
What, what do you do when you look at George Pickens or you look at Jerry Judy next year? I think those are very fair names to actually be in the same conversation. I don't think, I think most people would react and say Pickens. I don't know if that's the answer.
Jason Moore
Yeah, no, that, that's a, that's a fair comp. He'll probably go near him in the draft. You do have to keep in mind Cedric Tillman looked like the dude.
Mike Wright
Yeah, he looked like a concussion and.
Jason Moore
Then he got the concussion that I still question whether. I mean, we don't, we don't have any inside knowledge. It was obviously it's never good when a player takes, you know, a month off from a concussion.
Mike Wright
More than a month?
Jason Moore
Yeah, more than that.
Andy Holloway
Six games.
Jason Moore
And so you worry a little bit. However, the context of the situation was they were out of it. They were totally out of the running. They're playing more for a draft pick than anything else. So Rushing him back didn't make much sense.
Andy Holloway
All right, well, I'm sure we'll have more conversations about Judy throughout the off season, depending on what they find at quarterback. At 13, lad McConkey at 13. Consistency was 24th. First half, 39th. Inconsistency. The first half it was kind of first half was like if Lad caught a touchdown pass, you were happy.
Mike Wright
It's like he's a rookie.
Andy Holloway
But in the second half his consistency jumped up to 17 overall and he had games that didn't require a touchdown to be relevant. You end up with a 112 target 82 for 1107 season. Hard to really have expected anything more than that from Ladd. McConkey delivered pretty much through injury over the back half of the year. Battling injury. That will be part of his story. Can he stay healthy? But you know, from week eight on, he was the wide receiver eight in fantasy.
Jason Moore
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
That is amazing.
Jason Moore
The first seven weeks he was on a yardage pace of 750 yards. Over the course of a season. From that week eight point on, he was on a yardage pace of over 1500 yards. Literally double the yardage. They figured something out. And I mean this, this just makes sense. First of all, we talked about this on the Truth of Justin Herbert. The team started completely running the ball, not letting Justin Herbert throw. And then as the season went along, they realized what they had in Herbert and they, you know, this is his team. They let him throw a little bit more. And Ladd was, I mean lads, a really good football player. This is a player that we all liked a lot coming into the season. We just weren't sure if the opportunities were going to be there in the, in the passing game for the offense. It seems like they will be.
Andy Holloway
Well, you had a playoff game where he had 14 targets and went 9 for 197 and a touchdown.
Mike Wright
He went nuclear. And when you compare him to other rookies, what they have already given us in the NFL, guys who were drafted in rounds one through three. Ladd is in the 80th percentile for targets per route run. We love that. Yards per route run. 4th best over the last decade. Like he's right there with Beckham, A.J. brown and Justin Jefferson in terms of a per route basis. So like, this is a, this is a player who is.
Andy Holloway
Could the pendulum swings too far for Lad.
Mike Wright
Let me give it to you.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, his best ball adp.
Mike Wright
Yeah. So best balls for the absolute degenerates of maniacs out there. Best ball's open if you want to if you want to have a good time. But right now we're seeing an early best ball ADP of wide receiver 10.
Jason Moore
That feels really.
Mike Wright
That's spicy.
Jason Moore
That feels risky. Considering that this team is clearly an asset short in the receiving game, it.
Andy Holloway
Seems like they're going to draft.
Jason Moore
Right. So I would imagine whether maybe it's a tight end, maybe it's a premium pass catching tight end. Maybe it's. Yeah, maybe T. Higgins comes, but it definitely seems like we don't know yet. This is TBD on what the pecking order is next year. Lad McConkey. If they bring in someone really good, that person will, I think, leapfrog McConkey from a volume perspective, even if it's not from a talent perspective, just from the size, stature and style of play that McConkey has that is ahead of A.J.
Andy Holloway
Brown.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Terry McLaurin, JSN Garrett Wilson, T. Higgins, you know, it's.
Mike Wright
It's hard, man.
Andy Holloway
I probably would not have him slotted at 10, but I would have no problem putting him ahead of Garrett, Wilson and JSN McLaurin. And Brown, I'd probably put ahead of him.
Jason Moore
Yeah, Brown for sure.
Andy Holloway
And then Higgins, depending on where he is. I mean, Higgins, McConkey should be a fair conversation even if he stayed in Cincinnati.
Mike Wright
Yeah, this one is brutal because I want to be all chips in on lad, but that wide receiver 10 is.
Andy Holloway
A. Oh, man, it's as spicy as it gets.
Mike Wright
Yeah, like that is a. That is projecting a very big jump.
Andy Holloway
All right, here's a combo platter. Couple of Eagles wide receivers. One at 14, one at 24. We'll talk about them at the same time. AJ Brown finished at 14. That's not great consistency. Rank though, was 9 overall. First half was number two. Second half, 21. So we'll talk about the drop off. Devonte Smith consistency rank was 14, so better than his fantasy finish. Although in the second half he dropped to number 20. So to have two Eagles wide receivers on the edges of the top 20 inconsistency, that is more the story, I think, is where are we headed as a team? And they could very well have put into practice both. A strategy that disappoints us as fantasy players and wins them a title in a matter of days.
Jason Moore
Yeah, I mean, the second half of the year. First of all, the Philly defense got better and better as the season went along.
Andy Holloway
Yep.
Jason Moore
You know, they had a couple of rookie corners in there that just, you know, like a lot of these rookie wide receivers, go figure, they get better as the season goes along and that happened, and as that happened and they had more leads, Saquon took over. This was, you know, it's funny to think like this is Saquon's team, like in one year, all of a sudden, this is Saquon Barkley's team. When you've got Jalen Hertz, AJ Brown and Avante Smith for a running back to come in and just be like, you know, it's not Derek Henry's team, you know, it's Lamar Jackson's team, but this is Saquon Barkley's team. And so that's where I think in the second half of the year and going into next season, like you said, Andy, it works not for fantasy, but it works in winning ball games, which is what they care about, the passing game. The total passing stats are going to be down if they're winning ball games, if they've got good defense and if Saquon is healthy.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. And people will want to talk about, you know, what is Jalen hurts capable of. I think it's. I think if they need him to throw the football, these guys are going to have big fantasy production. If they don't need him to throw the football, he's been reined in a.
Mike Wright
Little bit on their. Did we talk about they'll probably have a new oc? Well, not probably. Most likely they will with Kellen Moore.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. How does that make you feel?
Mike Wright
Lined up for the Saints job?
Andy Holloway
Gut reaction to another turnover at offensive coordinator?
Jason Moore
Yeah, it's not good. I mean, you saw it with the Eagles be a very big negative a couple years ago. And so it could very well be a negative again.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. And you had the. You know, I'm looking at the game log here. You had a few times where both guys had disastrous weeks. Right. Like week 11, wide receiver, 36 and 55. Week 14, wide receiver, 46, 28. So they can win games without these guys right at this moment. But you know, A.J. brown finishing as the wide receiver 14, being drafted as wide receiver six last year, where do you think he will go?
Jason Moore
A.J. brown.
Andy Holloway
Like, are you going to. Are people going to try not to draft AJ Brown or are they going to try to draft AJ Brown?
Jason Moore
When push comes to shove and you see the names next to each other, he'll be very high.
Andy Holloway
He'll be the back like Drake London or AJ Brown.
Jason Moore
I will probably be on the Drake London side. I think ADP will still have A.J.
Andy Holloway
Brown, Malik Neighbors or A.J. brown.
Jason Moore
I'll be on the neighbors side.
Mike Wright
Yeah. Brown Will be a fringe wide receiver one in terms of adp.
Jason Moore
And I know he finished underdog.
Andy Holloway
He's sitting behind all those guys.
Jason Moore
Yeah, right now he finishes the wide receiver 14. But he missed three weeks, so he was a wide receiver one on the.
Andy Holloway
Season 15 was Devonte Adams, who we talked about on the last episode with Garrett Wilson. So 16 is Jordan Addison. Now this one's, you know, 16 outside the top 12. I get it. Still feels higher than he. What he seemed to have represented for.
Mike Wright
Your team is the big games in the back. I mean, you have an overall number.
Andy Holloway
Of big games in the back.
Mike Wright
Yeah, big back Jordan Addison, he had a number one overall finish. Two weeks later he was number three with actually more points than he scored in his number one output. So when you like those types of performances, that's multiple games in one. So it juices you up to wide receiver 16.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, he was 22. Inconsistency. First half 46 seemed irrelevant. In fact, you know, if you traded for, had Addison in a dynasty, probably didn't feel great the first half of the year.
Jason Moore
And that's not even counting the games he missed in the first half of the year. Our consistency metric only scores you for the games that you started. And so it was worse than that. And he was 46. But the second half of the year really clicked in this offense. It worked with, you know, being on the other side of Justin Jefferson and he looked really special. I mean, over and over, there were plays where I did feel like I was watching the game. I remember towards the end of the year in certain situations where I was rooting for Justin Jefferson and the ball would fly down the field and you're just thinking, oh, is that going to Jefferson? And there it would look just like Jefferson coming open, like wide open. And then it's just a smaller version and it's Jordan Addison.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, the second half he was the wide receiver 15 inconsistency. So pretty impressive. Big play threat can have those explosive games. Like Mike said, I mean, 19 touchdowns through two seasons, that was the number I think we all expected to come way down.
Jason Moore
Yeah.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
He ends up with nine on 99 targets. And that was with missing what, two weeks to start the year?
Jason Moore
Yeah, Losing Kirk cousins and being 175 pounds, you do not expect high touchdown volume.
Andy Holloway
But the big plays, man, the big plays. What was his 63 receptions? So that is. That's low. In fact, only three players over the last decade had multiple seasons of nine plus receiving touchdowns on 70 or fewer. And he's one of them. Marvin Jones did it. Remember the great Marvin Jones touchdown. And then Mike Evans does it because he's Mike Evans.
Jason Moore
Right. It feels like, I think that the player is very, very good. But for where he finished and where he might be drafted compared to how it comes, I'm going to be scared. So the truth to me of Jordan Addison is I'm worried because you still don't know the quarterback either.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, I think that's being reflected in some of the early basketball. Wide receiver, 28 off the board despite finishing at 16.
Jason Moore
That feels right. I would love to take him at 28 because there's.
Mike Wright
I'm fine with 28.
Jason Moore
You know, this is a very inconsistent player. But when you get to this range of wide receivers, all of them are. We say this every year, but they're all inconsistent. No one here is just like, oh, really high floor. Never has bad games. I want the guys in this range that, okay, you're going to have bad games because all of them are going to have bad games. Which one could go out there and be the wide receiver? One on a week. The wide receiver three on a week. And he obviously did that.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, I was just. I was just glancing at some of the Ty Hilton seasons.
Mike Wright
Hilton had some good years.
Jason Moore
That sounds pretty.
Andy Holloway
That seemed.
Mike Wright
Well, Hilton's never a touchdown.
Andy Holloway
Never got the nine touchdowns.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
But, you know, total receptions and some of the big yardage numbers were there. At 17 was T. Higgins. What a. What a weird year he was awesome. Consistency, guys. 5. My mind's being blown a little bit.
Jason Moore
You don't realize how good he was.
Andy Holloway
First half was 14, second half two.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
The first month of the season was disaster for the Bengals. The Bengals got off to a bad start. Joe Burrow started a little slow. T. Higgins was injured the first two weeks. The next two weeks coming back was not good. Didn't get 10 fantasy points for the first month of the season. So I think we were like, your mind being blown right now if you didn't have T. Higgins and you didn't ride that experience later. You know, you. You started off really pessimistic about T. Higgins. And so if you didn't have him, that's why this episode exists, to make sure, you know, like, he was really good in the games he actually played in. He busted only 18% of the time. That is a very good number. He was 64% of the time good, 27% of the time great. You know, Joe Burrow was magma and obviously Jamar Chase, number one wide receiver, gets all the Love. But I don't think a lot of people realize how good T. Higgins was.
Andy Holloway
How do you reconcile what we've known for a while? T. Higgins can come up with monster games, has a great quarterback, can be a top performer with what you also had to deal with. I mean, I was on this show, hosting this show, watching a man shrivel up and die five different times this year. Not to mention other games where he actually did play. But you weren't sure. The injuries have been a problem. He played one full season in his career. It was his rookie season. He hasn't played a full one since. He missed five games this year with hamstring quad injuries. That has always been part of the story, is you want him out there, not just for T. Higgins sake, but for Jamar Chase's sake. But through five seasons, he hasn't been able to give you a fantasy finish inside the top 15 because he doesn't play enough.
Jason Moore
Yeah, it's definitely injury. I mean, injury is his problem when he's out there playing and, and finishing games because he. He has been known to exit games early if he's playing, he's good. And so I'm, you know, we just can't actually predict injury. And there are lots of players who have the injury prone label. Who Bucket. And then they, you know, the next thing you know, they're Ironman for a couple seasons. So I'm not going to hold the injuries against it.
Mike Wright
Yes.
Andy Holloway
Got it.
Jason Moore
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
I was trying to figure out the cool reference. Like he Buckets.
Jason Moore
Yeah. No, it was like the horse.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. No.
Jason Moore
Bucking Bronco Bucket off.
Andy Holloway
What's your thoughts on all of the experience, Mike? Like, is this one you're going to be going back to the. Well, on.
Mike Wright
It has. I will.
Jason Moore
You will.
Mike Wright
I will.
Jason Moore
You?
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
You've been hurt so much.
Mike Wright
But here's the thing is, like, yes, there are many pains, but there are many pains from many fantasy football wide receivers out there who can't give you what T. Higgins can give you.
Andy Holloway
Mike is in an unhealthy relationship with T. Higgins.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
For sure.
Andy Holloway
Because he can. T. Higgins can hurt Mike 100 times, but if he helps Mike once, it's like all is forgiven.
Mike Wright
I wouldn't go there, but I would say that T. Higgins. Yeah. He hasn't been a top 15 guy, but in three of five seasons, he's been wide receiver 22, 17, 19.
Andy Holloway
I mean, that is the Terry McLaurin experience.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
For his big year.
Mike Wright
So it's.
Andy Holloway
Can he go be the number one if he doesn't stay in Cincinnati. Like, if he gets. If he goes to the. If he goes to the Chargers, heck, yeah. Is that better than him staying in Cincinnati?
Mike Wright
I think it is. If you're a place that I would project as good as the Chargers, it would probably be neutral because I think he can go be a number one. But this isn't like. I don't think he can be Jamar Chase. He can't be Jefferson, but he could be like Mike Evans. Numbers T. Higgins can do that.
Andy Holloway
He was so tough this year. Because you drafted him, Mike.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Then he got hurt and didn't play the first two weeks. Then he played two weeks and did nothing.
Mike Wright
Well, hold on. He got. It was announced he was hurt like an hour after I drafted him.
Andy Holloway
So your first four weeks were completely. You lost them completely?
Mike Wright
Oh, yeah.
Andy Holloway
Then you get him back for three weeks. Two of them were great. And then he got hurt and he missed three more weeks.
Mike Wright
Yeah, that's the one that really hurt.
Jason Moore
Yeah, that's the one that made you sell and feel like you're hurt.
Andy Holloway
That's eight of 10 weeks to start the year that you were unhappy.
Mike Wright
Yeah, he's.
Andy Holloway
He's a weird player, man.
Mike Wright
This is why he's a wild player.
Andy Holloway
I'm always on this side of. I doubt, like, we create the perfect dynamic tension on Higgins on this show because I am always focused on the negative of T. Higgins and you are always focused on the positive. And the truth is in the middle.
Jason Moore
Well, yeah, I mean, the truth is when he's. When he plays, he's good and he doesn't play too often, and that stinks. But I'm not going to try to draft a guy based on knowing future injuries. Instead, I'm going to draft a guy. He averaged 15 and a half fantasy points per game this season in half ppr. And if you don't know where that ranks, Justin Jefferson, who was number two on the season, was 15.6 fantasy points. It's basically the same.
Andy Holloway
That's pretty powerful. Let's take a break. We'll talk about a player that Kyle won't want to talk about.
Mike Wright
What's the best time of day to get a deal? All day with Jack in the box's all day.
Jason Moore
Big deal meal.
Mike Wright
You get to choose from four entrees like the supreme croissant and five tasty sides, plus a drink starting at $5. So hurry in or take your time. You've got all day at Jack. Every bite's a big deal.
Andy Holloway
All right. Drafted by Kyle as the wide receiver, 48, somewhere in the 10th, 11th round, maybe not drafted at all. 23 year old Jameson Williams comes in at 18, but don't worry, his consistency rank was even better at 15. Was this a tough year for you, Kyle, having to come to terms with Jameson and everything that you thought about him being wrong? He's fine. So look, I. Jameson Williams was, I'll say this, he was valuable for fantasy football on a regular basis and if you traded him like I did in one league off of the first couple of weeks of success, I guess it was okay. I mean, missed a couple weeks, had some big weeks towards the end of the season.
Mike Wright
I know he was, he was a playoff guy.
Andy Holloway
He was a playoff winner. 29% great, 43% good. Those numbers are pretty, pretty good. 29% bust. You don't like that. But for a guy that was not, that was completely doubted his ability in the NFL to break out, to be a meaningful player, to me he passes the eye test and always has, you know, like a Jalen waddle across the middle of the field just when the ball's in his hands.
Mike Wright
Yeah, very.
Andy Holloway
Give him an end around when they want to take a deep shot and you need separation. Jameson Williams brings a lot of explosiveness to the offense.
Jason Moore
Well, and this is an offense, you want pieces of you, you know, this was the number one offense in the NFL. They were number three the last time. Obviously they're going to have an offensive coordinator shift and that could hurt them. But that could also help Jameson Williams be utilized more as, you know, a primary wide receiver too. This is a guy who still only caught 58 passes this year. So even though his consistency was okay because he had the big plays, you know, over a thousand yards, it it's. He wasn't, you know, the possession, regular, consistent, high volume type of player that you wish he could be like a Jalen waddle a couple of years ago because that almond raw soaks all that up. So it's possible that that changes here in his favor. But I do think going into next year, everyone's going to assume the Lions are a very good offense. They've still got a great offensive line and a lot of continuity between the players even though you've got a coaching change. So Jameson Williams stepped up, showed that he can be a legitimately important fantasy asset and legitimately impactful lion for their team. So you have to imagine sticks and it stays if it doesn't even just get better.
Andy Holloway
I'm not going to say he will do this because I think he he has to prove the work ethic to become this kind of player. But I do think it's in front of him in Detroit. But I do. I remember being here on the show and talking about another player that we thought was really limited back in 2016 that had 61 receptions that year that looked really explosive but didn't get the kind of work wasn't well rounded. You know who I'm talking about? I do know Tyree Kill. Tyree Kill was not considered by anybody coming out of 2016 to be the next great thing at the position. Jameson Williams was drafted with the capital to do that. That's all I'm saying. Now whether he's got the work ethic to go put that in and become that kind of player, I don't know. But you've got. You had a lot of people that thought Tyree Kill was a one trick pony and he became a well rounded receiver. And I just, I don't know if that's what Jameson Williams future will be. But I do believe that if you gave. If the Lions needed to throw the ball more like he was the opposite of Jerry Judy. He had the lowest percentage of his yards and fantasy points when trailing because the Lions were winning almost every game. And yet he put up a number like this. So when you talk about is the pathway forward there for him, will the Lions be the number one offense always leading, will the running game be as effective? Those are things that could change the story for James Williams in some capacity.
Mike Wright
I thought you were going to go a different direction with your saying, like how you were on this podcast last year giving the warnings of Brandon iuk.
Andy Holloway
Yeah.
Mike Wright
Of who was on a great team, a high powered offense, has a good defense, has this unbelievable level of efficiency where Iuk, the magical year two years ago, he was at 17.9 yards per reception on 75 catches, 75 touchdowns. Jameson Williams 75 touchdowns or sorry, 7. Jameson Williams 58 catches, 17.37.
Andy Holloway
Very similar. Like it's very similar.
Mike Wright
He was incredibly efficient, big play dependent. Like volume can go up for Jameson Williams 91 targets. That's a number that you could see going up. But it's. I think he is difficult because it was so. It was these huge plays and those can bounce back and forth. I'm not saying he can't kind of replicate this, but it is very difficult.
Andy Holloway
It's the third highest great game percentage behind Evans and Chase and he missed two games. So you got to factor that into where his fantasy finish was. I think he's going to be super interesting coming into his prime, 24 years old.
Jason Moore
I'm going to be in on Jameson Williams no matter what Kyle says.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, I know. Kyle really hates him.
Jason Moore
Kyle just despises Jameson Williams.
Andy Holloway
Yeah. Yeah.
Mike Wright
Kyle has won that argument two of three years. So it's still. The point is still on his side.
Andy Holloway
I'm not giving him any credit. No.
Mike Wright
Oh, okay.
Jason Moore
I like that approach.
Mike Wright
I see.
Jason Moore
I do. Because, I mean, you're going to give Kyle credit for, you know, his gambling.
Andy Holloway
Problems you care about back then or now. You know what I mean?
Mike Wright
Right.
Andy Holloway
Would you rather have Jameson Williams or Addison? I'd rather have Jameson Williams.
Jason Moore
Same.
Andy Holloway
Cortland Sutton comes in at 19. Good for you, man. Wide receiver 49 off the board 16 inconsistency. Was the same old guy in the first half again. Rookie quarterback, 32nd. Yeah, but exactly like the same problems for Sutton. Quarterback consistency. You're a good player, but, you know, the ball finds you sometimes. Second half. He was the seventh most consistent player. He's. This should tell you everything you need to know about Cortland Sutton. He's on one of my teams.
Jason Moore
What is that, Ben?
Mike Wright
Yeah, what is that?
Andy Holloway
What that means is that like, I would never be caught dead with Corland Sutton on any of my teams. Now. Now he's on. I intentionally put him on my team.
Mike Wright
I got it. I got you.
Andy Holloway
He's on the championship team with Al Borland, who just held up his Cortland sent in trophy.
Jason Moore
That's right.
Andy Holloway
I mean, that's where I became a believer this year in him as at least the alpha for Bo Nicks. And if the wide receiver core doesn't change a lot, he'll still be a value next year. There's no way he's going to go anywhere near wide receiver 15, 16, where he is in consistency.
Jason Moore
It certainly seems like he will be their wide receiver one next year. They've got a lot of other holes to replace. They've got to fix the running game. I.
Andy Holloway
Sorry. Sorry.
Jason Moore
I don't.
Andy Holloway
You just don't. You fill the hole.
Jason Moore
You don't.
Andy Holloway
You fill the hole. I just never heard him replacing the holes, but go on.
Jason Moore
That's fair. So the ultimate draft kit with another hole.
Andy Holloway
That's what it sounds like.
Mike Wright
You put an even bigger one.
Andy Holloway
You put the. Replace the hole with another hole. I don't know.
Mike Wright
We did what you asked, sir. We replaced the hole.
Andy Holloway
Yeah, man.
Jason Moore
You can't tell, but it's a new hole.
Andy Holloway
You said replace the hole.
Jason Moore
So the ultimate draft kit, the Dynasty portion Of that it drops on Sunday. We're working on.
Andy Holloway
You probably should have mentioned that while you were gone earlier.
Jason Moore
Yeah, we're working on all of that content right now. And our Dynasty Startup rankings will be live. So if you're an Ultimate Foot Clan member, you already have access to that. On Sunday, our Dynasty Startup rankings, rookie rankings, those type of stuff will launch. But I bring all that up to say Cortland Sutton was the hardest player for me to figure out where to put in a dynasty league because he's, you know, he's 29 years old. I do expect next year. He is their wide receiver. One how much improvement or regression from Bo for Bo Nix on a touchdown. You know, he had eight touchdowns this year, which is a pretty good number, especially for a rookie. And so it's like, okay, I think he's got one more good year, but eventually they're going to have to step it up, add to this wide receiver core.
Andy Holloway
I think I agree with you that I don't think they're going to add to that core this offseason.
Jason Moore
I don't either.
Andy Holloway
I think where they need help is going to be, you know, protect Bo Nicks and get a running back.
Jason Moore
Yeah, they need a running back bad. Sean Payton really wants to have a running game and it's impossible. You just can't.
Andy Holloway
Sutton was very consistent. 50% good games, only 6% great. So it was, it turned into a very consistent experience with Cortland Sutton. Double digits almost every week down the stretch, seventh inconsistency. You know, it's great. It's awesome to see.
Mike Wright
And he was interesting of he was far more productive against man coverage instead of zone. So maybe the downtick there that we mentioned at the top of the show of, of defenses running zone going down a little bit because like man yards per route run, it's over three. Like, that's incredible. And then zone, it was down under 2 yards per route run. So it may be more predictable with moving forward with him with that information if we can, you know, get a hold of which defenses are preferring to go with man coverage. And I mean, it makes sense for the prototype of wide receiver that he is like, he's the traditional X wide receiver where it's like the bigger guy. Let's let him win a 50, 50 ball.
Jason Moore
There's. There's going to be some contract problems here too. He's going into the last year of his deal. He wanted to get an extension this last year. Couldn't get it done. So I don't know if you're going to have hold in trade requests. Whatever. I don't know that. The Broncos are wanting to extend the 29 year old wide receiver for a long time. Breaking news.
Mike Wright
Portland Sutton just signed a contract extension. Jason.
Jason Moore
Yeah, that sounds. I feel like we've done that before.
Andy Holloway
Oh, my gosh. That's not true.
Mike Wright
For reference. No, that is not true.
Jason Moore
Oh, if that was true, that's impossible. That would be impossible because the last.
Andy Holloway
Time he signed one, you also said he wouldn't sign one.
Jason Moore
Yeah. You were in the middle of saying.
Andy Holloway
He would not sign one and he had just signed. That was. Yeah, I mean, that bodes well for his bank account.
Jason Moore
Good callback, Mike.
Andy Holloway
Three more names I want to talk about. Number 20 was Tyreek, y'all. Number 23 is Puka Nakua and number 26 is Nico Collins. Let me skip Tyreek for a second and circle back. Puka came in at 23 because he missed a bunch of time, but his consistency rank was 3. So Puka and easy. Yeah. And Puka came in at 26, missed a bunch of time. Consistency rake of 6. Let me just ask you, which of those two guys would you rather have?
Jason Moore
Puka. I'll take in a redraft.
Andy Holloway
What was that?
Jason Moore
It was me immediately wanting to say. I wanted to say Puka right off the bat. But I'm also remembering like I had a hard time with these two guys in Dynasty. I think Puka is a. Is the better player. I think he will be better for fantasy as well. But long term, when one of them's tied to CJ Stroud and one of them is tied to a player that could retire any minute.
Andy Holloway
So yeah, look, 73% good games for Puka, 64% for Nico. Both had 18% bust rates. Both had 18% great games. Both were outstanding. I mean, Nico was first five weeks the best wide receiver there was in fantasy.
Jason Moore
And Puka, during the 10 games he played after getting injured in week one coming back, he was 16.1 fantasy points per game. So that would have been the wide receiver two ahead of Justin Jefferson.
Andy Holloway
And right now in best ball, it is going the Puka direction is wide receiver three for Puka, wide receiver five four. Nico Collins. I don't think that there is as much confidence with the way the offensive system ran in Houston and now having to make a change as there is with Sean McVeigh and the consistency of getting Puka the ball every possible way.
Jason Moore
In Los Angeles in a redraft league. I don't, I don't have any Hesitation to take Puka over Nico. It's just in a dynasty league. That's a, that's a question mark. Nico was unbelievably great in the beginning of the year. However, he had, he had a handful of disappearing games down the stretch once he came back from injury. And you know, whether that was Stroud, whether that was Nico, whether it was just, you know, the losses of Diggs and Tank Dell forcing, you know, defensive coverage on Nico, whatever it was, it happened and it happened more than we would have liked. Like you said, the second half consistency for Nico, he was the 27th most consistent.
Andy Holloway
Here's a wonderful crossover for you too. The Texans literally just hired Nick Kaylee from the Rams.
Mike Wright
Oh, ironic to be their offense coordinator. Toilet.
Andy Holloway
He was, he was the passing game coordinator and tight ends coach.
Mike Wright
Hey, you know what? I'm in.
Andy Holloway
Oh, I'm in. I'm in for sure. Yeah, I mean, it's good. Less Slowik, more not. Slowik is also good. Tyreek Hill came in at 20. He was drafted as the wide receiver one. Oh, man, I tried, but he missed.
Jason Moore
A bunch of games.
Andy Holloway
Nope.
Jason Moore
Oh, he missed no games. He played the entire season and did not get a thousand.
Andy Holloway
Is he the biggest bust in fantasy?
Jason Moore
Probably not that big.
Andy Holloway
Not injury based. But he's, he's a bigger bust than ETN is.
Jason Moore
I think he is the biggest disappointment because Tyree Kill, when you were, I mean, Tyree Kill in some leagues was the one on one. I mean, a lot of times it was. Are you afraid of Christian McCaffrey? Well, then play it safe. Play it safe. Get Tyree Kill.
Andy Holloway
Oh, man. Both sucked. 13% great. 31% good, 38% bust. Holy moly.
Mike Wright
Yeah, the, and the reason I wouldn't say he's the biggest bust in fantasy football last year is like that whole first half week one was great. He was the QB. Four, they lose TUA for a huge stretch of games.
Andy Holloway
You blamed it all on that.
Mike Wright
You didn't, you didn't think it would be that, that bad as it was where, I mean, he's like in the 50s.
Andy Holloway
He did nothing without Tua and then.
Mike Wright
Tua comes back and you got like, it wasn't. Tyreek Hill wasn't unplayable like Travis Etienne was. If you put him in the lineup, you were just, you knew you were going to get punched in the face with Tyreek. He's at least giving you games. He's just not giving you anything close.
Andy Holloway
To the wide receiver is the wrist injury. Do you buy it?
Jason Moore
I do not Buy it because he played 17 games. However, let's take a closer look at weeks eight through 16. That's when Tua came back. And that was 100% of the time. Playing with Tua during that stretch of games, he was averaging 12.1 fantasy points.
Mike Wright
Yeah. So it's not.
Jason Moore
He would have had a terrible. He would have had a season long 10, 20 yards, 9.4 touchdowns. It's not terrible. It's certainly not worthy of the first or second pick in a draft almost.
Andy Holloway
Half his yardage from last year.
Jason Moore
Yeah. And so you don't. You. I mean, you don't look at this situation and think, well, it should get better, you know, now he's going into year 31.
Andy Holloway
Has he become the Cooper cup of the draft season? Remember where Cooper cup was, you know, lower than people? You know, the tantalizing value. Getting older. But maybe you can get another cup. See, you know how people treat it.
Jason Moore
I'm very curious where Tyree Kill is drafted with. With what he's done.
Mike Wright
I'm sorry. Best ball, wide receiver, 17.
Jason Moore
Oh, wow. I thought. I think in redraft leagues he might go higher than that simply because of the name.
Mike Wright
Yeah. Home leagues, you mean.
Andy Holloway
I think it's going to be brutal for people to pass on Tyree Kill. To take Jackson, Smith and Jigma.
Jason Moore
Exactly.
Andy Holloway
Or Garrett Wilson or Terry McLaurin. Those will be. Yeah, I absolutely think you'll take them over.
Jason Moore
I think I will pass Tyreek.
Andy Holloway
Oh, pass on Tyreek.
Jason Moore
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
Well, there's a fragility with the quarterback. I mean, that you now know. You knew that was there, but you thought you had kind of gotten past it. And then last year you thought maybe he lost his quarterback for the whole year. I mean, they've had to have too many starts from too many guys not named to a tongue of a.
Mike Wright
Everyone needs a good backup quarterback, but they really need to.
Andy Holloway
They need Joe Flacco. Like.
Mike Wright
Yeah, you need. You need someone like that where you can feel confident that if Tua misses a couple games, we're not just buried in the bottom of the ocean.
Jason Moore
Give me James or give me death.
Mike Wright
James. We like James for fantasy. I don't know if people.
Jason Moore
Yeah. No, no.
Mike Wright
To win football games.
Jason Moore
That's all I care about. I want James.
Andy Holloway
DTR got starts over James for no good reason.
Jason Moore
I was to lose. It was a great reason for them. I feel like the Mavs trade Jameis should be the NFL backup.
Andy Holloway
You made it through the whole show.
Jason Moore
I did.
Andy Holloway
How are you doing?
Jason Moore
I'm empty. Doing real well. Hollowed out inside. How you doing?
Andy Holloway
You got a trophy?
Jason Moore
I do. It's pretty sweet.
Andy Holloway
I don't think it's big enough for you.
Jason Moore
No, no, that would overflow.
Andy Holloway
That was. How many episodes of this show have we done, Al? How many. What is it? Show? 17.
Jason Moore
17.
Andy Holloway
17, 18. First time we've pulled that off.
Jason Moore
Yeah.
Andy Holloway
All right.
Jason Moore
I still blame Mike for coming in late.
Andy Holloway
Oh, man.
Jason Moore
Of course, I would have. That would have been mid show.
Mike Wright
Yeah.
Jason Moore
Thank you, Mike.
Mike Wright
You're welcome.
Andy Holloway
Tight End Truth Episode Fantasy Face Off super bowl lineups. We have a Super bowl coming up.
Mike Wright
Sure do.
Andy Holloway
So Thursday's episode should be fun. And we'll react to the super bowl next Tuesday. We also have an extra episode every week. If you want to support the show, you can go to jointhefoot.com as Jason said, the ultimate draft get the preorder starts. The pre order starts on Super Bowl Sunday, which means you can get access to the Dynasty Pass immediately. Our team has already been testing the app that's about to release. It's going to be awesome. So shout out to the Deucers for being ready to roll on time today. Amazing work. Talk to you next time.
Mike Wright
Goodbye.
Jason Moore
Thank you for listening to another episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast. Join our fantasy football community on jointhefoot.com and follow us on Twitter at theffballers.
Fantasy Footballers Podcast Episode Summary: "The TRUTH: WRs Part 2 + Where’s Jason?"
Release Date: February 4, 2025
In this engaging episode of the Fantasy Footballers Podcast, hosts Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike "The Fantasy Hitman" Wright delve deep into the world of wide receivers (WRs), offering expert analysis, strong opinions, and valuable insights for fantasy football enthusiasts. Titled "The TRUTH: WRs Part 2 + Where’s Jason?", this episode continues their exploration of WR consistency and performance, providing listeners with actionable advice to enhance their fantasy rosters.
The episode kicks off with the hosts expressing disbelief over an unprecedented NFL trade that has sent shockwaves through both the football and fantasy communities. Andy Holloway shares his astonishment:
"[08:27] Andy Holloway: I remember Ricky Williams getting traded for every draft pick that existed... But this one, when it broke, I'm laying in bed. Some of this still hasn't made sense."
Jason Moore adds his skepticism, comparing the trade to trading a superstar athlete like Patrick Mahomes for an above-average quarterback like Matthew Stafford:
"[09:05] Jason Moore: It's like, why would you do that? Lucas and I can't stand Lucas... And he's a top five talent in the NBA... Those guys don't get traded."
The consensus among the hosts is that the trade lacks logical compensation, raising questions about the motives behind such a move.
Transitioning to coaching news, the hosts discuss the significant movement in NFL coaching ranks:
Raiders Hire Chip Kelly: Andy Holloway highlights the Raiders' decision to bring on Chip Kelly as their offensive coordinator, noting the intriguing combination with Pete Carroll:
"[11:45] Andy Holloway: The Raiders, they hired Chip Kelly as their offensive coordinator... It's going to be interesting to see what they find in the draft."
Buccaneers and Jets Adjustments: The Buccaneers promote Josh Grizzard to offensive coordinator following Liam Cohen's departure, while the Jets appoint Tanner Ing Strand from the Lions. These changes are examined for their potential impact on team performance and fantasy implications.
The core of the episode revolves around a detailed analysis of various wide receivers, evaluating their consistency, performance metrics, and fantasy football value.
Mike Evans emerges as a standout with a consistency rank of 12, the highest among Evans' seasons in their series. Despite missing three weeks before his bye, Evans showcased remarkable performance:
"[19:24] Mike Wright: I mean that's, that's wild. Like when you look at his game log a consistency rank of 12."
Andy's analysis underscores Evans' reliability:
"[19:49] Andy Holloway: The touchdowns, right. He had 11 receiving touchdowns, 1,004 yards... This is the highest great percentage for Evans."
Jason Moore highlights Evans' deep downfield prowess and his potential value in the fourth round of drafts:
"[21:16] Jason Moore: I think he'll be a good value. I do not believe... he could fall."
Jerry Jeudy's journey is dissected, revealing a performance arc that transformed him from a middling player to a reliable fantasy asset in the latter half of the season:
"[25:10] Andy Holloway: And yet 12, 29 receiving yards, 90 catches, 145 targets, four touchdowns. In the second half of the season, he went on an absolute tear."
The hosts discuss the impact of coaching and quarterback changes on Jeudy's performance, emphasizing his potential as the Browns' primary receiver moving forward.
Lad McConkey's rookie season is lauded for his explosive second-half performance, where he nearly doubled his yardage pace:
"[30:02] Andy Holloway: It's rare you want to just project a half of a season, but... his second half, eight games. That was a 1,700-yard pace."
Jason Moore compares McConkey to established stars, suggesting he could leapfrog into higher draft positions based on his dynamic play style.
Jordan Addison's consistency is analyzed, showcasing his significant improvement in the latter part of the season:
"[35:00] Jason Moore: It feels like the player is very, very good. But... I think he will be a good value."
The hosts debate Addison's future, considering his breakthrough season and the potential influence of team dynamics and quarterback performance on his trajectory.
Cortland Sutton is discussed with a focus on his consistency and role in the Bengals’ offense:
"[55:31] Andy Holloway: What that means is that like, I would never be caught dead with Cortland Sutton on any of my teams."
Despite Sutton's solid consistency ranking, the hosts express reservations about his long-term fantasy viability due to inconsistent quarterback play and offensive instability.
Tyreek Hill's season is scrutinized as a major disappointment compared to his high draft position expectations:
"[63:11] Mike Wright: He did nothing without Tua and then... he's giving you games, but not enough."
The hosts debate whether Hill's performance is due to injuries or inherent limitations in his role, ultimately categorizing him as a significant letdown for fantasy managers.
The episode also covers Puka Nacua and Nico Collins, highlighting their high consistency ranks despite missing time due to injuries:
"[60:33] Andy Holloway: So yeah, look, 73% good games for Puka, 64% for Nico... Both were outstanding."
Jason Moore advocates for Puka's value in redraft leagues, while Mike Wright discusses Collins' explosive potential despite offensive system challenges.
As the episode wraps up, the hosts reflect on the in-depth WR analyses, teasing upcoming episodes focused on tight ends and Super Bowl reactions. They encourage listeners to engage with the podcast community and support their endeavors through exclusive content and app releases.
Notable Quotes:
Andy Holloway ([08:27]): "I remember Ricky Williams getting traded for every draft pick that existed... But this one, when it broke, I'm laying in bed. Some of this still hasn't made sense."
Jason Moore ([09:05]): "It's like, why would you do that? Lucas and I can't stand Lucas... Those guys don't get traded."
Mike Wright ([19:24]): "I mean that's, that's wild. Like when you look at his game log a consistency rank of 12."
Jason Moore ([21:16]): "I think he'll be a good value. I do not believe... he could fall."
This episode of Fantasy Footballers delivers a comprehensive and insightful analysis of wide receivers, blending statistical evaluation with strategic fantasy advice. Whether you're a seasoned manager or new to fantasy football, the hosts' expert breakdowns provide valuable information to optimize your team for the upcoming season.