
Loading summary
Derrick Brown
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed.
Advertisement/Promo Voice
Human powerful doesn't just happen, you have to make it happen. So the moment Total Wireless offers a free Samsung S25FE with Galaxy AI. When you switch to total 5G or 5G plus unlimited 3 month plan, you take the network as powerful as you with unlimited 5G data that won't slow you down. Now that's a total power move. Visit your neighborhood Total Wireless store device taxes and fees may apply. Requires new activation on a total 5G unlimited 3 month plan or higher. External port in and ID verification available only in total wireless stores. Limited to 4 devices per account.
Seth Wilcock
All right, and welcome into the Fantasy Pros NFL Draft Show. If you've ever wondered what college football metrics actually translate to fantasy football production and which incoming 2026 NFL rookies excel in them, then this is the episode for you. I'm your host Seth Wilcock and we're tapping back into the big brain of our resident NFL draft expert, Derrick Brown. And he's the Internet's favorite raging Cajun, also a big time tape grinder dbro. How are you? As we attempt to really just simply exist in this time between the Senior bowl and the FL combine, trying to.
Derrick Brown
Live my, my best life, baby. We're out here, we're trying to get all through all this film, all these prospects and everything in between. It's a good time, Seth. And then we're going to get through this. And, and I just want to, before we hop into all the context and all the things about metrics, I just want to preface this entire episode saying like, look, everything that what we do in analyzing prospects is trying to build the best, most complete picture between numbers and film that we can for every prospect and all the analysis we put out there. So what we're going to give you is, is a high level view of the metrics that we think matter, how they translate, why they matter, and some, not all, but some of the prospects that pop as far as what, looking at some of these number.
Seth Wilcock
Yeah, and it's so tough to contextualize everything that goes into a college football player prospect, right. Because of the different schemes, the different conferences, and just the different ways they can be utilized with the different players in their program. So I'm excited to break that all down for you today. As Derek mentioned, today's show does look like this. We're going to break down the top metrics that Derek really relies on for each skill position. The quarterbacks, the running backs, and then pass catchers as well, wide receivers and tight Ends group together together. And then we'll talk about some of the 2026 prospects that are really shining in them as well. So before we jump in, shout out to everyone watching us either on the brand new Fantasy Pros Dynasty YouTube channel or that audio feed, Easiest freeway to support us. Give this video a thumbs up and make sure you subscribe to the channel if you haven't already. We'd really appreciate that. Again, this is going to be the new home base for all of our Dynasty content. So we need your help to grow it. Let's go ahead and jump right in here, Derek, to the most important college football quarterback metrics that, that you are really wetting your whistle to for potential future NFL production. What are those key stats you're considering, Derek, when it comes to the signal caller position? And is there anyone in this class in particular that kind of pops in any of them? Yeah.
Derrick Brown
So I mean a top down approach with this. I care about adjusted completion rate, big time throw rate, clean pocket passer rating. Just to point out a few stats for quarterbacks and we could go deep into this about like, you know, how they perform versus pressure, how do they perform as a deep ball passer and stuff like that. But you see a lot of variability year to year in some of those other metrics like the deep ball stuff and the pressure stuff. Because a lot of this with football being a team sport, there are no two pressures are made the same. You have quick pressure, you have pressure that can be because of the offensive line and because of the quarterback. So a lot of that stuff can kind of get wonky and get very muddy very quickly. So just kind of looking at, for me, when I'm looking at quarterback stuff and really just players in general, efficiency is a reflection of talent. And when you're looking at quarterbacks, the big thing I care about is can you throw the fricking football? So when I'm looking at this stuff and if all the, the things around you are perfect, can you operate or are you operating at a high level? And so some of these metrics kind of perfectly paint that. When you're looking at adjusted completion rate and big time throw rate and that is kind of reflective of arm talent. Are you making those tight window throws, those throws that are big down the field and that are not. Is everything because we talk about, okay, college quarterbacks and just projecting to the NFL, Seth, it's like they're seeing a lot more off coverage. They're not going to see as much man coverage. They're not going to See as many like designed and blitzes and things like that and defensive looks. So quarterbacks are going to face a hurdle when going from college to the NFL. So you know, with some of these guys it's are you an accurate thrower of the football? And just to kind of paint this picture before we get into this year's class, a guy that I was high on in the process and not everybody was as high and we saw him ball out in the freaking NFL from day one, told everybody he was a better prospect than Cam or nobody wanted to hear it last year. And Jackson Dart last year in the metrics that I'm talking about was 11th and adjusted completion rate, 8th and big time throw rate and he was 10th and clean pocket passer rating. So just kind of going back from yesteryear and transposing to this year. Yes, these metrics do matter. And the guys and I, I only wanted to talk about two guys. One of them is the low hanging fruit. Another one, you're a hater. But it's a deeper poll in this class for the quarterback position because we know that this quarterback class is not outstanding. It's not amazing. Now losing another top prospect with Trinidad Chambliss going back to college, it's getting even worse. But two guys that do stand out is Fermano Mendoza. I know shocker, big shocker here. And my guy, Cole Payton. So looking at Mendoza last year, he was 8th in adjusted completion rate, he was 25th in big time throw rate. And you looking at what he did from a clean pocket, he was second best in clean pocket passer rating. And so you know, and I know that none of that's going to surprise people because Ferman Mendoza is the top quarterback of this class. The clear top quarterback of this class. He's going to go first overall in the NFL draft. So not a lot of like you know, outstanding or surprising metrics with Mendoza there, but Cole Payton bringing him up here, Seth. So I don't know whether you want to, you know, pinch your nose, close your ears, you know, you don't want to hear any of this.
Seth Wilcock
I can just leave. We can make it easy on everybody.
Derrick Brown
It's fine, it's fine. I'll just let you zone out, go get something to drink. It's okay. You can come back in the next three to five minutes. But Cole Payton last year amongst all FBS and FCS quarterbacks with at least 150 drop backs, 18th and adjusted completion rate first led everybody, Seth. And big time throw rate. And from a clean Pocket, he was fourth in passer rating. So the numbers also back that up. And the reason that I lump all those guys together, like you're talking about, what do we want to see from a guy that is at a lower level? You want to see him out, just play like incredible ball and look like the best player on the field and just be a freaking stud, like, unquestioned stud and dominate the level of competition that he's at. Well, Cole Payton did that on a film perspective and a metrics perspective. And I know there's lots of things that we could talk about that worry us about Cole Payton, but the NFL arm strength and the arm talent is definitively there. And I just think it's funny that, like, you know, a lot of people are like, and this is just being, you know, ragged on you, but a lot of people, I think if we were to go back in the time machine and we were to talk about Cole Payton and airdrop him into previous classes, he's a better prospect than freaking Trey Lance. And Trey Lance went top five in the NFL draft. I can argue he's a better prospect on paper than freaking Carson Wentz. And from an arm talent perspective, no, I'm not putting him in that Josh Allen file them and stuff like that. But these are all guys that went to smaller schools and the competition and all that kind of stuff, and that didn't hurt their draft stock. But in a down quarterback class, we're not talking about Cole Payton. Like, make it make sense, people.
Seth Wilcock
We have an upcoming sleepers episode. So I, I will save my opinion on Payton for that. I, I did want to talk about ACR though, in this metric, Derek. I feel like for me it's helpful because it kind of removes some of those outside factors, like an elite receiving core. Right. Because I feel like it's a lot EAS complete passes when you're doing it to players like Jeremiah Smith or Carnell Tate. So it's something off the way in the next year when we have some of these quarterbacks who've been thrown just absolute dynamite receiving course. I don't think there's as much of that in this class. Fernando Mendoza, of course, he had Charlie Becker, Elijah serat, Nomar Cooper Jr. But still not like any absolute studs. And like, to me, Derek, I think accuracy is something we talk a lot about, but I don't think we really discuss how fully important it is to making a good quality NFL quarterback. Like, look at some of the most accurate NFL quarterbacks from last year. Drake May, 72, Mac Jones almost 70%, Brock Purdy 69.4%. Like, I'm not sure if part of that and, and probably you can answer this is the offenses they play in, right? But if I also had to guess, these quarterbacks probably had pretty elite adjusted completion rates in college as well. Am I correct on that?
Derrick Brown
Yeah. And this kind of goes back to the merriment of metrics and film and what you're looking at. Like, what are the throws that these guys are asked to do and are they completing just layup throws? Is it an offense? Because sometimes the numbers can lie to you as well, where you'll get guys that the eight out is incredibly low. Their screen heavy offenses, it's a lot of design and first read stuff and they're not throwing into tight windows. But to your point, accuracy freaking matters, dude, because the one thing that we talked about and Josh Allen kind of bucked the entire trend and went out and changed like so much of what he did as a passer. But how many quarterbacks can we zoom out and say how many quarterbacks actually do that going from college to the NFL? And so much of this is muscle memory. And it's like, look, dude, you're either an accurate thrower of the football or you're not. Can you improve? To a certain extent, sure. But that's a projection. If we want to talk about. Okay, which one am I more likely to gravitate towards? A guy that has shown accuracy on film and on paper in college or one that we're projecting, like somebody like Anthony Richardson in previous classes where it's like, can he become an accurate thrower of the football? Give me the guy that's actually an accurate thrower of the football right now versus somebody we're saying, oh, the arm talent. Who, what could he be? This is like the family Guy thing. He could just be a boat.
Seth Wilcock
And it's one of those situations too, Derek. Like, I definitely in the past have kind of gotten fooled by these quarterbacks, whether it's Anthony Richardson or even going back to the past, Tim Tebow, right. Because he had his throwing match motion. He wasn't an elite, accurate quarterback. And it's hard to change that. You mentioned Josh Allen. He's someone, I think, who has really been able to buck that trend a little bit. And same with like Daniel Jones, right? With how Daniel Jones is kind of developed a little bit more of an accurate quarterback compared to what we saw when he first came into the NFL. Although, like his calling card at Duke, I'm sure looking back, was being a bit more of a game manager accurate type of passer. So yeah, it's hard to imagine, like I'm not expecting Jaylen Milro to come out anytime soon and look like he's going to be the most accurate passer in the league because he just has never been that from a collegiate level. So I like this a lot, man. I think there's great context to it there and like you're not going to make it in the NFL if you're an interact inaccurate quarterback. Right? There's too much harm's way that you can put the ball into too many elite athletes on the other side of the ball. That can really get you in trouble. And before we keep it moving, a real quick reminder that today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet Florida Sportsbook. I know it's tough with no football, but as the song says, I bet I will survive. And with Hard Rock Bet, there's always something to bet on every single night. You got hoops, you got hockey, NASCAR is back, PGA Teeing off as well. So much more. Plus all the same great same game parlays, live betting and player prop options that you're used to are over there on Hard Rock Bet. And did you know that Hard Rock is actually the official sports betting partner of the Miami Heat and the Orlando Magic? So they know their basketball. If you haven't signed up with Hard Rock Bet, no worries. There's never been a better time. New signups new can double their winnings on their first 10 bets. Max of $50. That's right. So all you have to do is if you're betting $100 on a bet and the hundred dollars are coming back to you, you can make that $200. The hard rock Bet Sportsbook app is the only legal sportsbook whenever you're in the state of Florida. It's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, Colorado and Michigan. Coming soon to more states very soon as well. Plus, Hard Rock Bet officially is offering you new promos every single day. So whenever you're listening, just fire up the app. Check out what they've got going on any day of the week. Download the Hard Rock Bet app now and make your first deposit payable and bonus bets.
Derrick Brown
Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole hard Rock Digital LLC and other states must be 21 plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply. Concern about gambling in Florida, call 1833 play wise in Indiana, if you or someone you know has a gambling problem wants help, call 1-809-with-ITTING PROBLEM call 1-800- GAMBLER in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia this month, I.
Advertisement/Promo Voice
Heart Radio is celebrating the stars of the 2026 Winter Games. Park City, Utah is home to Alex hall, an artist on skis. The defending Olympic slopestyle champion is known as for his unique style and creativity that judges love, whether he's grinding rails or launching massive jumps. With his signature Buick grab, Hall makes the impossible look easy. He drops into the course in Milano Cortina, ready to defend his title and show the world the future of free skiing. For more Winter Games gold, search olympics on the iHeartradio app. Support for the show comes from Public, the investing platform for those who take it seriously. On Public you can build a multi asset portfolio of stocks, bonds, options, crypto and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index with AI. It all starts with your prompt. From renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year, you can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one of a kind index and lets you back test it against the S&P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public.com podcast and earn an uncapped 1% bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com podcast paid for by Public Investing Brokerage Services by Open to the Public Investing Inc. Member FINRA and SIPC Advisory Services by Public Advisors llc SEC Registered Advisor Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. Complete disclosures available@public.com disclosures and let's go.
Seth Wilcock
Ahead Derrick Brown and drop into your top metrics that matter for the running back prospects. Always a tough situation, always a position where I think a lot of people have a lot of helmet scouting a lot of bias coming into it. So what are some of those metrics Derek, that help you remove that?
Derrick Brown
Yeah, so I mean we all talk about and I'm not going to highlight the the pass catching stuff with this because I feel like with you know we could talk about yards per route run and things like that and certain, you know, counting stats. I don't really want to get into just like the raw Counting stats for pass catching with running backs, because a lot of that goes back to scheme the receiving weapons. What these, these backs were asked to do based off of whether it was, you know, function, fashion of the offense, what have you, and stuff. So, like, that's a whole different conversation. And again, it can get muddy very quickly. The thing that I love to focus for running backs and the thing that absolutely translate from, from college to the NFL in so many different aspects is the ability to, to create yards for yourself and the ability to break tackles. And so whether that skill, those two skills serve you well as a rusher and a receiver, because regardless of whether you're handed the ball off, you're getting a toss or you're getting a swing pass, are you able to freaking do something with the ball in your hands or are you not? And so looking at this, again, this is just a reflection of talent, and efficiency is also a reflection of talent. So the two metrics that I think are really sticky are missed tackles forced, or whether you want to contextualize that into missed tackles, force per attempt and yards after contact per attempt. And just to, you know, zooming out with this class, the guys that kind of pop with this, and we could name a ton of guys, but Emmett Johnson, Jadarian Price, and Jonah Coleman. Again, I could have talked about Jeremiah Love, but dude, everybody knows he's at the top of the list damn near everything you talk about. So there's no utility in talking about, hey, guess what? Jeremiah Love is really good at football and he's really good at this, this and this. So the other guys in this class that are also really good in these metrics are again, this, this three pack of players. There's more, but there's three pack of players that I wanted to talk about because Emma Johnson last year, I don't think people realize that he was sixth in missed tackles forced overall. So yes, that is also a counting stat and can go back to volume. But if you looked at it on a per touch basis, he's fourth in this class in missed tackles, force per attempt. And just to contextualize this number, 26% rate of missed tackles, force per attempt, the only three running backs ahead of him are Jeremiah Lovett, 28%. So not far off. Katron Allen at 27% and Jadarian Price at 27%. And again, leading into Jadarian Price, he's third in this class, right behind on the heels of Jeremiah Love on a per touch aspect. And then when you want to talk about yards of the contact pretent Jadarian Price, 25th and fifth in yards of the contact per attempt over the last two years. And just around this out, dude, Jonah freaking Coleman over the last three years. And yardage of contact per attempt, 54th, 13th and 1st amongst all running backs with at least 100 carries. So while everybody else is crapping on this running back class, I'm like, dude, I don't think y' all realize that, like, it might not be deep. I'm with that. But there are five running backs in this class, three of which I just talked about outside of Jeremiah Love, that are hashtag really good at football and really good at breaking tackles.
Seth Wilcock
Yeah. And it makes sense, right? Because this allows us to remove the biggest factor, I think, for just like stats when it comes to base running backs, right? And it's the offensive line, right? Because you watch Michigan, Derek, this past year they continued to have injuries in that backfield to some really good running backs. Whether it was Marshall going down or earlier in the season, we saw their starter go down as well. And they were having to turn to surfing and other guys like that. And it didn't matter who was there for Michigan justice. Haynes was awesome at the beginning of the season, but surfing did a great job late in the year too, when he got the ball just because, like, that offensive line is so good. But it really made it hard to tell. Like, is Haynes good? Like, I couldn't tell you, right? I couldn't tell you if, like from a prospect level because he's running behind one of the best offensive lines. And the thing I like about this stat that in miss tackles force I think is sticky is you talk about how you think this 2026 class is pretty good for running back sneakily. Derek. I think the 2027 one is going to be really good because you look at pff. Put out just about a month into the season. The missed tackles forced leaders in college football, you have guys like Ahmad Hardy, Kwan Lacy at the top of the board. There will be some of the top prospects for 2027, and they were absolutely dynamite down the stretch. You have other guys on that list, like Mark Fletcher Jr. Who showed up for Miami, deep down the stretch, Jaden Bough for Florida, and then two guys for the Texas Longhorns who were two of the best transfers in the portal. NC State's Hollywood smothers, Relique Brown out of Arizona State. Like, and when you, you know, everything was removed at the end of the day, Derek. And you're looking at who are the best running Backs in college football. It is those guys, right? And it is those guys because what not of their offensive lines, but what they can make and force for themselves. So it's one of those things, like, I mean, we saw it pretty much with Jaylen Warren. Remember when Jaylen Warren came in the league, Derek, and like a udfa.
Derrick Brown
A udfa. And there are tweets out there where I pointed this out from the hop. He should have never gone undrafted, dude. Yes. To your point about Jalen Warren and real quick context about some of the guys you brought up there off the cuff. Ahmad Hardy last year amongst all running backs, at least 100 carries, eighth in yards after contact per attempt. I kind of be remiss here, but you talked about Mark Fletcher Jr. 29th in yards after contact per attempt. Just to contextualize those again, Jadarian price last year, 25th. And also I would be remiss if I didn't also give a shout out to my dude here, Mike Washington Jr. Again, another player being slept on in this class. 31st in yards at your contact per attempt. These guys are good. They're good. Seth.
Seth Wilcock
Yeah. Our guy Ryan Heath over at Fantasy Points, he does some really good studies almost every single year on missed tackles. Force. So I would definitely encourage you all to check that out if you're encouraged by the stat, if it's something you want to look into more as a metric that you know, you're really resting some of your fancy faith in. So, Derek, I appreciate that. Before we round it out here with pass catchers, just a quick reminder that if you're listening to the audio version, please check out our brand new fancy dicey YouTube channel that we just launched. We're bringing you rookie rankings, super flex strategy, startup drafts, and trade advice all year long. Super excited for it. So if you're building for the future, this is the channel designed for you. Just search fantasy pros Dynasty channel on YouTube and hit that subscribe button. We really appreciate that Derek's been really cool to kind of break off from the main channel. It's always scary, right, taking this jump, but I know between you and I on the NFL draft side and everything that our friends Worm, Fitz and Boggs are doing over there on the Dynasty show. It's. It's great to have our kind of a little bit of our own space for the year long degens.
Derrick Brown
Oh, dude, this is a rocket ship. So everybody just hop on, man.
Seth Wilcock
We're.
Derrick Brown
We're doing nothing but going up, baby. Going up.
Seth Wilcock
Yes, sir. Yes, sir. Absolutely. Derek, let's Go ahead and jump into your favorite metrics for pass catchers that are important to consider for future fantasy and NFL production and maybe some wide receivers or tight ends that do or don't really excel at that in this class. Man.
Derrick Brown
Yeah, I mean, I think that the tight ends I'm not going to include in here only because the tight end class is not nearly as good as it was last year and it's really shallow. So a lot of the top names that are, you know, that people are not going to be surprised by that. But the wide receivers and stuff, I mean really, the, the two, the two metrics that I look at from a high level view is yards per route run and yards per route run versus van coverage. And could I also bring up missed tackles, forced and yak per reception and some of these other things that matter? I could. But the other thing about it is missed tackles force There are a million and a lot of this just goes back to so many different skill sets and so many different archetypes of wide receivers. And you'll see a lot of the missed tackles forced leaders amongst wide receivers are a lot of your low A dot slot type guys. And this makes sense if you just like logistically think about okay, these guys are given more low A dot targets, so they're put in situations where they either have to or they're forced to create after the catch. A lot of players, wide receivers that are being used at all three levels of the field and not really more in a short and intermediate intermediate portion of the field or heavier in that aspect, aren't going to break tackles a lot because or at a higher clip only because no two targets are created equal. So these downfield targets, especially when we get into and Joe and I kind of talked about this on the film session over on Twitch the other day. Whereas like ball placement for quarterbacks, especially when you're looking at intermediate and deep targets, matters a ton in the sense of is the are are you getting a target in stride? Is the quarterback leading you down the field? Is that going to either hurt help or hinder what you're doing after the freaking catch with the ball in your hands. So and this is also can be talked about with yards per route run. So like the wide receivers cannot throw the freaking ball to themselves. So they are beholden to quarterback play even if they are getting open in a lot of aspects. So the metrics also, again going back to it, need to be married with film. But looking at just yards per route run and yards per route run versus man coverage, where you do need that skill set to be able to, with your play strength and your route running, get open versus man coverage. And a lot of instances, press coverage in those man situations, not always, but a lot of times. The guys that I want to highlight here, Carnell Tate, Maon and Jacoby Lane for everybody at home. Parnell Tate last year was 10th in yards per out run against man or overall, 27th in yards per out run against man coverage. And again, this is all FBS wide receivers with at least 15 targets against man coverage. Makai Lemon, sixth in yards per route run, 19th in yards per route run versus fan coverage. And just to round this out, this three pack, Jacobe Lane, a guy that we're going to talk about in our next episode, but right now he's not getting enough love for all, all the talk about all these wide receivers. Jacoby Lane last year was 52nd in yards per route run, but 29th in yards per route run against man coverage. Again, right there. Nipping at the heels of Carnell Tate in that metric.
Seth Wilcock
You know, and the tough thing about grading collegiate production, specifically from a pass catching standpoint, Derek, is like, it's not contextualized, right? Like we were talking the other night that a player I really like in the collegiate streets right now coming out as a prospect is Eli Hendrich. He was an absolute stud for Navy and ultimately finished with just over 900 receiving yards through the year on 51 receptions. And like, you look at those numbers and like, you might just say, ah, it is what it is. But you got to keep in mind, like, that's Navy, Derek, right? Like that is a service academy that is usually ranked 120th plus in passing attempt, 120th plus in just overall passing production. And then you like look at someone like from a pass happy offense, let's just say, like Western Kentucky, right? The air raid. Everyone knows how much Western Kentucky likes to throw it. It doesn't matter if it's MacGyver back there or it's been any of those other quarter. The zappies that we've seen come out of this system, there's always production there. And then it can lead to some fraudulent numbers, right? I mean, Malachi Orley, anyone? That was a guy that I was.
Derrick Brown
Waiting, dude, I, I pushed back the entirety of the process. The receipts are out there. Everybody's like, malachi Corley, Malachi Corley, Malachi Corley. And I was like, just it. No, there's no. And you see how the careers, when we flip over the cards after a Few years how they go for these guys, man.
Seth Wilcock
Yeah. So like, you know, that's why I think y per route run is a great metric to keep an eye on. Just because it's going to show you things like, okay, this guy was just an average wide receiver, but he played in a really explosive offense that had a lot of passing yards versus someone like Heinrich, who he did the best of what he had. You know what I mean? So, you know, I'm sure Harold Fannin Jr. Is another one that we can kind of go back to that Bowling Green wasn't like an elite offense. But. But he's someone who continued to just make the most of his situation a year ago, so.
Derrick Brown
Well, Derek, this all kind of goes back to too, where it's counting stats versus individual route efficiency. And sometimes the counting stats get hurt because of the context of the offense, the quarterback play or injuries. And guys don't fill up the box scores like that. So it's like. Or vice versa. People are like, oh my God, that guy was a thousand yard receiver. Okay, well, they were incredibly pass happy. And on a per route basis, he wasn't efficient at all. So it's like what you're looking at is false signal on both sides of the coin. That was one of the reasons. And this isn't me like just, you know, tooting my own horn here, but this is one of the reasons why I was so incredibly high on Puka Nakua when he came out. It was because on a per route efficiency, this guy was freaking awesome, man. Like, he was checking boxes on a yards per route run basis where everybody's like, oh yeah, but. And then the combine happens. They're like, oh, but he's not fast. No, no, no, no, no. And it's like, oh, dude, come on, be better than this, people.
Seth Wilcock
Real quick before we go, Derek, do you have it on hand? I'm curious. Eli Stowers versus Sadiq. Who is better in yards per route run? Do you have. I don't know if you have that because I, I gotta peel back the curtain here before we, we go live here in our fantasy pros analyst chat, our guy, Ryan Wormley, he's talking about, hey, like, I think we need to make some adjustments to the ECR rankings. I don't. He's like, I haven't met one person with Eli Stowers above Sadiq. And then I, I didn't want to like come out of the, you know, come out of nowhere and just be like, hey, it's me, I'm the problem. It's me with my rankings. I think I'm the one doing it. Tell me what do we got here?
Derrick Brown
Berries. Deke on per route efficiency.
Seth Wilcock
Yeah.
Derrick Brown
So let's stack them up.
Seth Wilcock
We'll.
Derrick Brown
We'll stack this up real quick. So over the last two years at Oregon Sadiq 1.62, 2.1 yards per outrun, Eli Stowers 2.55 and 2.43. Even if you want to go all the way back to freaking 20, 23, 1.89 so on. And I have not watched either one of them yet. I will absolutely just, just be fully transparent about that. So I don't know where I'm going to come down, but that might be one of the things where I am massively. We will see. We will see. Yeah. But yeah, to your point, you're not wrong.
Seth Wilcock
I'm the problem. It's me. I'm the anti hero of this particular program. I think I probably need a swifty.
Derrick Brown
You need a swifty hoodie. Now just to throw it out there should be wearing a swifty hoodie, not a car heart.
Seth Wilcock
It's cold up the these parts. We gotta, we gotta bundle up. Just about to get above freezing for the first time since.
Derrick Brown
Since now I know what I'm getting you for your birthday. So there's that fair.
Seth Wilcock
I I will wear a Taylor Swift sweatshirt any day my friend and also come back and podcast with you any day as well. That is going to do it for us though. On this episode of the Fantasy Pros NFL Draft show. Please do a quick favor smash that like button if you enjoyed this video. Also don't forget to subscribe to the Fantasy Pros Dynasty YouTube channel and the audio feed for Derrick Brown. I'm Seth Wilcock. Take care y'. All. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Dynasty Football podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by.
Derrick Brown
Leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on X Instagram and TikTok.
Seth Wilcock
At Fantasy Pros and subscribe to our YouTube channel@YouTube.com.
Advertisement/Promo Voice
Powerful doesn't just happen. You have to make it happen. So the moment Total Wireless offers a free Samsung S25FE with Galaxy AI. When you switch to total 5G or 5G plus unlimited 3 month plan you take the network as power powerful as you with unlimited 5G data that won't slow you down. Now that's a total power move. Visit your neighborhood Total Wireless store device taxes and fees may apply. Requires new activation on a total 5G unlimited 3 month plan or higher. External port in and ID verification available only in total wireless stores. Limited to 4 devices per account. Ready to feel healthier this year? Find everything you need at loseweightnow.co. orderly meds gives you access to proven GLP1 medications at a lower cost backed by real medical professionals. And yes, they ship in discreet private packaging because it's nobody's business how you're improving yourself. And your journey deserves dignity, privacy and confidence. Get started today at loseweightnow.co. individual results may vary. Visit loseweightnow.co and get started today. That's loseweightnow.co.
Derrick Brown
This is Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman from Dudes on Dudes with Gronk and Jules. Here's your reminder to stay hydrated today. Honestly, I needed that. I'm feeling a little foggy. That's your body talking. Brain fog is one of the potential signs of mild dehydration. Did you forget that already? Maybe for a second, but I know the others. Thirst, nausea, fatigue, headaches, irritability and dark pee. There you go. And Liquid IV Sugar free is clinically demonstrated to hydrate faster than water alone. It's backed by a scientific advisory board. Real experts. Are you saying we're not real experts? I'm saying you're an expert at picking the best flavors. Sugar free. Strawberry. Watermelon.
Seth Wilcock
Wrong.
Derrick Brown
It's sugar free. Mango. Pineapple. Liquid IV is here to help you with everyday extraordinary hydration. Stay hydrated and stock up@liquid-iv.com use the code nuthouse for 20 off your first purchase. This is an I heart podcast. Guaranteed human.
2026 NFL Draft Special: What Metrics Actually Matter for Fantasy & Which Prospects Excel in Them?
Release Date: February 17, 2026
Hosts: Seth Wilcock & Derrick Brown
This episode dives deep into the college football metrics that genuinely translate to NFL (and fantasy football) success for rookies at key positions in the 2026 NFL Draft class. Hosts Seth Wilcock and Derrick Brown break down which advanced stats matter most for quarterbacks, running backs, and pass catchers—and spotlight the rookies who truly stand out in these areas.
"Everything that we do in analyzing prospects is trying to build the best, most complete picture between numbers and film... What we're going to give you is a high-level view of the metrics that we think matter, how they translate, why they matter, and some... prospects that pop."
— Derrick Brown (01:12)
Key Metrics:
Why These Matter:
"Efficiency is a reflection of talent. And when you're looking at quarterbacks, the big thing I care about is can you throw the fricking football?"
— Derrick Brown (03:12)
Seth and Derrick stress the importance of removing external factors (elite receiver cores, screen-heavy schemes) to assess true passing skill.
"I think accuracy is something we talk a lot about, but I don't think we really discuss how fully important it is to making a good quality NFL quarterback."
— Seth Wilcock (08:19)
Derrick: “Accuracy freaking matters, dude... so much of this is muscle memory. You're either an accurate thrower or you’re not.” (09:26)
Memorable Moment:
“I can just leave. We can make it easy on everybody.”
— Seth Wilcock (06:30)
Key Metrics:
Why These Matter:
"Are you able to freaking do something with the ball in your hands or are you not?"
— Derrick Brown (15:42)
Notable 2026 RB Prospects:
"There are five running backs in this class, three of which I just talked about... that are hashtag really good at football and really good at breaking tackles."
— Derrick Brown (18:43)
"When everything is removed... you're looking at who are the best running backs in college football — it's those guys because, not of their offensive lines, but what they can make and force for themselves."
— Seth Wilcock (19:42)
Key Metrics:
Why These Matter:
"Wide receivers cannot throw the freaking ball to themselves. They are beholden to quarterback play even if they are getting open. So the metrics also, again, need to be married with film."
— Derrick Brown (23:09)
Notable 2026 WR Prospects:
Memorable Moment:
Seth points out how Navy WR Eli Hendrich’s “modest” numbers were elite given his offense, versus inflated stats from pass-heavy systems (26:26).
Derrick:
"This is one of the reasons why I was so incredibly high on Puka Nakua when he came out. Because on per-route efficiency, this guy was freaking awesome." (28:17)
Seth and Derrick compare Eli Stowers vs. Sadiq in YPRR (29:56):
“Berries Sadiq on per route efficiency.” — Derrick Brown
Lighthearted teasing as Seth admits he might be “the problem” on ranks, and Derrick threatens to get him a Taylor Swift sweatshirt as a running joke (30:46).
On Marrying Metrics and Film:
“Everything that we do in analyzing prospects is trying to build the best, most complete picture between numbers and film...”
— Derrick Brown (01:12)
On QB Metrics:
“When you're looking at quarterbacks, the big thing I care about is can you throw the fricking football?”
— Derrick Brown (03:12)
On Running Backs Creating For Themselves:
“Are you able to freaking do something with the ball in your hands or are you not?”
— Derrick Brown (15:42)
On Receivers’ Efficiency:
“Counting stats versus individual route efficiency... metrics like yards per route run cut through this.”
— Derrick Brown (28:17)
On Context in College Production:
“You look at those numbers... but you got to keep in mind, that’s Navy... it can lead to some fraudulent numbers, right?”
— Seth Wilcock (26:26)
Recommended for anyone prepping for rookie drafts or dynasty leagues—this is a clinic in grounding your fantasy takeaways in the right advanced stats, not just the box score.