← FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast
FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast
6 Must-Start Players for Week 6 | The Primer (Ep. 1764)
00:21:40
Loading summary
Transcript57 lines
- [00:00]
A
This is an iHeart podcast.
- [00:05]
B
If you're a smoker or dipper ready to make a change, you really only need one good reason. But with Zynn Nicotine Pouches, you'll discover many good reasons. Zynn is America's number one nicotine pouch brand. Plus, Zynn offers a robust rewards program. There are lots of options when it comes to nicotine satisfaction, but there's only one Zyn. Check out Zyn.com find to find Zyn at a store near you.
- [00:30]
A
Warning.
- [00:31]
B
This product contains nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical.
- [00:35]
C
All right, and welcome into the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football podcast. We're back with the week six primer episode where we'll give you our top six sleeper starts for matchups to exploit. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and today I'm joined by the Smitty Worm Jaegerman Jensen of the FP staff. That's right. He was number one. It's Derek Brown from fresh off a first place finish in week five's ECR rankings accuracy competition. Dbro, have you made room on the shelf for the trophy yet?
- [01:06]
A
Oh, dude, look, I will be. I will keep it a buck here. I'm probably gonna fall back for it, man. Like, I.
- [01:14]
C
If I.
- [01:14]
A
If I were a betting man, and I. And I am, I think Pat Fitz Morris is going to lap me and he'll end up higher than me in the end when it's all said and done. And other people, Mike Mayer and and others at fantasy pros will end up higher than me in the rankings when it's all said and done. But I'm enjoying the hot streak, dude. Yeah. And just to give full clarity of everybody first in rankings for week five, and I'm actually top five in full season rankings and I am first in running back rankings so far. So I'm not telling you that's how it ends the rest of the season. We turn over the rest of the cards. I'm just being honest. But, baby, I'm enjoying the hot streak. Heck, yes.
- [01:51]
C
Let's let it ride, man. Did you get the spongebob reference there, too? I don't know.
- [01:55]
A
No, no, no, I got it. I got it. That's. That's what got me. At the beginning, I started coughing because I was laughing. I was like, what? We really. We really went full spongebob. Love it.
- [02:06]
C
Absolutely. Quick shout out to our people who are rocking and rolling with us on The Fantasy Pros YouTube channel or the audio feed. Thank you so much for all the support. So far this season. Please give this video a thumbs up and make sure you're subscribing to the channel. If you're new and if you wanted a chance to win A signed A.J. brown Philadelphia Eagles jersey for free Coach courtesy of our friends over@pristineauction.com all you need to do is head to fancyprose.com contest. Complete the form in either A Download that sweet Fantasy Pros app, B leave a review for this podcast or C follow us on X Instagram or Tick Tock. We're at Fantasy Pros. The more actions you complete, the more entries you're gonna receive and we will be announcing a winner right here on the channel earlier this month or next month. Excuse me. And if you're watching here on YouTube, please subscribe and turn on those notifications so you can be alerted when new videos are up and to claim your prize if you are that lucky winner. Dbro let's jump into the quarterback position where you have a QB trying to get maybe a little sweet revenge on the Kansas City Chiefs.
- [03:11]
A
Yeah dude, I'm gonna go with Jared Goff. He's down at QB18 and he's or QB15 in ECR. Excuse me. And he's QB18 and fantasy points per game. So I understand like a lot of people are like ah, really like he doesn't run. We all talked about regression. Dude, Jared Goff is playing amazing football and I know it is not consistently crossed over to the fantasy streets for production every week, but to give him his flowers amongst 40 qualifying passers, this dude is top 12 in yards per attempt. He leads the freaking NFL in passing touchdowns. He's top 12 and highly accurate throw rate and hero throw rate and I'm not telling anybody that the Chiefs are a pushover gimme matchup. I understand they've allowed the 14th fewest yards per attempt in the ninth lowest passer rating. But there are avenues to Jared Goff one Detroit for you to get the explosion games out of the a lot of the different weapons outside of Jir Gibbs and David Montgomery on the ground, you need a team that can push the Lions into that nuclear type of spot where they go off and Jared Golf gets 3:50 and 3 or 3:50 and 4. And so considering the constitution of the Lions defense right now, their secondary is extremely banged up. Terrion Arnold's gonna miss time. DJ Reed Reed is out. The Chiefs are going to be able to move the ball and push the Lions into that type of mode where it is we got to score points and in bunches And Jared Golf. The one thing that I was worried about coming into this year with the OC change, were we going to get as much play action? Baby, we're getting it. And that's one of the keys to this matchup. And people say, okay, the, the Chiefs have a good pass defense, but how can Jared Goff get one over on them? How does that happen? It is with the use of play action. Golf right now has the third highest play action drop back rate in the NFL. He's fourth in yards per attempt and second and passing touchdowns when utilizing play action. And this matters because Casey has struggled. As good as Steve Spagnolo's defense is and will be, they have struggled with play action to this point. They're giving up the highest yards per attempt and the third highest pass rating to play action. So I think this is a good ceiling opportunity. Lions are going to get pushed. They gotta pass Casey. It is much easier to pass on them than it is to run and a lot of different aspects. I think golf's in for a good day, dude.
- [05:30]
C
I think Jared Goff in this almost entire Lions pass catching group was one of my biggest blunders in my draft rankings. Dbro, because I was just not high on them. And like you were banking in regression.
- [05:41]
A
We talked about this in the offseason. Like they were so stinking good. Some of that has to come back to the mean. Right? And that's not a bad process thing. But like, you know, there's still a really freaking good team. I know. Crazy to hear, huh?
- [05:54]
C
Well, and he's leading the league right now in passing touchdown, folks. That that rating will come down a little bit. It's an 8.3% touchdown clip, so I don't expect that to happen. But he's number seven in money throws. He right now is getting red zone passing attempts too. More than we saw Ben Johnson willing to do it. When they're getting in tight, they're letting Jared Goff slinging around the yard there. And look, I don't think there's more motivation he needs than going up against a Kansas City team that he's been oh so close at beating before he beat them last year in week number one. I love Jared Goff also leads the league right now in qbr. So Goff, I think this week, I mean, is there a better stat name a better stack you'd rather have this week than Jared Goff and Amon Ross St. Brown maybe a Mecca and Baker maybe, maybe.
- [06:39]
A
But this is kind of goes back to a process thing too. Like last week we talked about Sam Darnold. I hope people played him too, in spots where they're going to be forced to pass. The matchup is there. This is another one where you go, you go back to the well, where it's a quarterback that. And, and honestly, this could be talked about. Like Matthew Stafford in weeks pre prior whenever we talked about him too. It's like these quarterbacks that are playing at such a ridiculously high level. But some of this hasn't consistently crossed over to fantasy point production on a weekly basis. Especially for these guys that we know all of their production has to come to the air because they're not running. So really can that happen? And, and I mean, do. We've been hitting on all these guys, so why not golf this week?
- [07:24]
C
Let's go to the running back position here, Dbro, where you have a duo of running backs. One of them who is trying to make his old coach from college football proud once again with the start. Who is it?
- [07:35]
A
So I got to bring it up because I know both of these guys are going to be talked about a lot and people are going to say, what do I do with either one of these guys? And I'm saying both of these guys are flex viable and that's Hassan Haskins and Kamani Videl. Like Haskins is at RB35, Adele is at RB37. I think they're both RB3. So I'm in a range kind of with ECR here. But both of these guys are flex worthy this week. And I'm not telling you that both of them pay off. But there is a world we can live in that that happens Last week we could talk about and I could get into the nitty gritty about snaps and carries and target share. Just know that basically these guys play the exact same amount. They got the exact same usage. I mean, it is almost a mirror image of itself when you talk about how they were utilized without Amarian Hampton last week. So both of these guys are going to get usage this week. I think this is going to be a hot hand approach. And if I have to bet on one of these guys, it's Kamani Vidal. Only because I'm a bigger believer in the talent and that winning out in the short and long term in this backfield until Hampton possibly comes back. Videl has 2.83 yards of the contact per carry in his career. He has three runs of at least 10 yards. He's forced missed tackles on 17% of his plays. Those numbers all trump anything that haskins has ever done. He's got a 2.54 yards of the contact career mark. He's only had two runs of 10 or more yards and 65 career carries. So if I'm picking one of these guys to flex, if you got both of them off the waiver wire, it's Videl for me. But honestly, both of them are flex worthy. There is a world we could be living in where, because here's the other part. If you were to tell me that the Dolphins fall apart, the Chargers, this is a big comeback game for them where they just drop like a 30 spot on this team or 35, 40 points on this team and the Dolphins fold and they're sitting their starters in the fourth quarter. I wouldn't be surprised. But in that type of game script, maybe Haskins gets the early touchdown and Videl gets run late or vice versa. But both of these guys, the bar to be a flexworthy player is very low. They both have the talent and the opportunity to both clear that bar. Especially when we're talking about pull up any metric, any metric, I promise you the Dolphins are going to be top five and almost everything you look at versus running backs, they've given up the most rushing yards per game, the highest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt. And this freaking run defense has also given up the 8th highest missed tackle rate. So both of these guys are flex worthy. And I'm not telling you Both them get 15 opportunities, but could both of them get 8 to 12 opportunities? It's possible this week, Seth. So I got to highlight them because I know that they're going to be in the conversation for flexes based off of bye weeks, lineups, injuries and what have you for fantasy GMs, if you're.
- [10:23]
B
A smoker or dipper ready to make a change, you really only need one good reason. But with Zyn Nicotine pouches, you'll discover many good reasons. Zyn is America's number one nicotine pouch brand. Plus Zynn offers a robust rewards program. There are lots of options when it comes to nicotine satisfaction, but there's only one Zyn. Check out zyn.com find to find Zyn at a store near you.
- [10:48]
A
Warning.
- [10:49]
B
This product contains nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical look, and.
- [10:53]
C
I hate to be, you know, the guy to walk down narrative street, but I always think there's a little bit of a chip on the shoulder of Justin Herbert when he's going up against the Miami Dolphins, who passed on him in the draft for Tua so I think they get out to a good lead and at the same time here, Derek, you mentioned the Miami Dolphins. They've subsided the most rushing yards to opposing running backs this season. They haven't done it on a ton of volume because you haven't needed to because you can gash the Dolphins. And also when you look at receiving yards for running backs this season, only one team is allowed more receiving yards to opposing backs. It's the Dallas Cowboys, of course. So I think this is a great spot here. I I think it is very, very much a business trip for Jim Harbaugh and this Chargers team going down to Miami and I think they're going to lay the wood to him, man. I really they're going to take them out back behind the shed and I don't know, I don't know if they're coming out of that one.
- [11:45]
A
I think the Chargers are going to put up some points man. So if that's the case, both these running backs are going to definitely be in play.
- [11:52]
C
Dominate your fantasy football league with Fantasy Pros Premium now available for free for six months when you deposit and place your first wager at any of our partner sportsbook. And yes, that includes Hard Rock. Bet baby. This is the easiest way to get full access to our top fantasy football tools or all season long just go to fantasypros.com premium to get yourself started. Derek, let's go to the wide receiver position here where you have one wide receiver in particular staying home in Lucas Oil Stadium. Been a little bit of a disappointment so far but you think he gets things together against a Cardinals team that might be thrown in the towel after last week's second half performance.
- [12:34]
A
Yeah dude, I think it's a good spot for Josh Downs to get going and what do we see and and he's been a player that hasn't even made the primer on some weeks because he' been like a 40 to 50% route share type of player. But last week we saw season high 72% route share. I mean basically he hit season high marks across the board. 21.9% target share, 54 receiving yards, he got almost a 30% first read share and he finished with 11.4 PPR points. That's another season high. So you look at he's getting the usage, he's playing more. The matchup this week is really really good. Seth that like as good as the Cardinals defense has been in certain weeks and spots and if you look at season long numbers they have struggled to defend slot receivers. They've given up the 5th, 5th most fantasy points per game to opposing slot receivers and the second most receiving yards to the position. So Josh Downs wheels up. Dude, like he's wide receiver 45 and ECR. I'm probably gonna have him somewhere in the wide receiver 3 range. I'm very bought in on Josh Downs having a good game this week. Week.
- [13:34]
C
Yeah, it's. It's been a really nice resurgence for him. I kind of left him dead out in the water coming into the draft season just because I thought Tyler Warren would take a lot of that volume away. Tyler Warren's volume actually kind of going down a little bit while Josh Downs rising up. So we've certainly seen a shifting in the tides there. And like, I don't know if you watch much of that Titans game last week. D bro. But Dicky DK very involved out of the slot. We've seen it time and time again. Cooper cup had a couple receptions out of there. Like, I think it's a volume floor play here for Josh Downs. I don't know if the upside is crazy, but you know, we, we go back only to week three. Ricky Piersol took him eight for 117 as well. So it's certainly within the cards here, I think. And even your boy Hunter Renfro, I know you got some love for him. He. He found the end zone twice against this defense as well.
- [14:21]
A
So as.
- [14:22]
C
As to your point, Slot receivers has been mashing against Arizona. Yeah.
- [14:25]
A
And it. But to also converse to your point too, like about the ceiling. Just take his stat line from last week. Take the stat line from last week and you take the 11.4 and PPR toss a touchdown on top of that.
- [14:38]
C
Yeah.
- [14:38]
A
And we're talking about that. That's Wide Receiver two production. So like I don't, I don't think that we're asking like it's not a bridge too far to expect a ceiling like wide receiver two type production out of Josh Downs this week. I think it definitely can happen.
- [14:52]
C
Yeah. I mean he's due, man. He. I think he is due for some regression positively to get him in the end zone. Find some pay dirt there. And you also like another wide receiver here this week, Derek, and kind of goes back to the same theme of almost this entire episode of FIL Players.
- [15:09]
A
Yeah. And. And I'm going to give a caveat with this. Kendrick Bourne again being very high on him. Also is going to take like Ricky Pierce Hall, Juan Jennings both sitting. But I think both of those things happen. So at the timing of the recording of this, we don't have that information. Well, Pierce hall, we. He's expected to be out, but Jennings, we don't have any news on him. He did miss practice on Wednesday. So I'm just being transparent about this call and, and how we're projecting this. But if both of those guys are out, like I think that we're going to get the matchup is great. And Kendrick Bourne was the unquestioned wide receiver one for the 49ers last week. Dude got a 22.4% target share. Everybody saw the receiving R as he put up. He got a 25 first reach here. Like he looked like Kendrick Bourne from a few years ago last week. And he looks really freaking good doing it. And now you put the match up against the Buccaneers up here where it's one. They've given up the 13th most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. So check that box. Jamel Dean might be back, but even if he's back this week, we know he's not 100% and he's not shadowing, so who cares? Zion McCollum is hurt, probably out. Benjamin Morrison is still hurt. He's not going to play. So even if Dean is back at the lineup, this secondary is not at full strength. And so Mac Jones going to be getting the ball out of his hands. You cannot run on the Buccaneers. They're going to have to lean more into the passing game. So looking at all the. All the parts of pieces of this matchup, Kendrick Bourne just feels like free money at wide receiver 41 in ACR right now.
- [16:39]
C
Yeah, I have big FOMO of not picking up last week before the breakout performance. 11 targets in that game. Of course you're going to have some DeMarcus Robinson out there as well. He had seven targets of his own. We had Jake Tongs take 11 targets. And like Mac Jones is not the worst quarterback in the world. Like, there's not a huge gap, I think, between like Mac Jones and Trevor Lawrence. Like, I think BTJ says hi.
- [17:00]
A
Come back, Max. Come back.
- [17:02]
C
Look, like right now, if we're ranking quarterbacks 1 to 32 in the NFL, you can't tell me Mac Jones isn't at least in the top 32. I think he's there. It's fair. So, yeah, I really like Kendrick Bourne, you know, not only for this week, but I don't know when Juwan Jennings ever gets back. Right. Like, I know true. He's been banged up all week. And Tampa Bay, they are not going to take their foot off the gas man, they are rolling. They're going to push him.
- [17:26]
A
They're going to push him.
- [17:27]
C
Yep. Yep. So I like Kendrick Bourne a lot this week as well. DBRO tight end though, this is where I don't want to push back, but I do have no pushback.
- [17:36]
A
Tell me, come on.
- [17:37]
C
I think the entire community is starting to sour on one Zach Ertz, who had a great resurgent year coming off the torn ACL last year in Washington. And it just has been a little bit up and down form so far this season though.
- [17:51]
A
Derek it has been very up and down. But a lot of this comes down to coverage matchups and when Zachary is utilized and when he's not utilized. So just like a broader conversation we could have here. Seth Teams that play a lot of single high coverage, unless you're a tight end that can beat man coverage, can can line up on the perimeter. Most tight ends are not going to do a lot versus teams that run a lot of single high coverage. A lot of teams are going more to too high coverage and that's helping a lot of tight ends out. That's helping Zach Hurts out and that's why I have to bring him up here. The fact that he's tied in 14 and ACR. I'm going back to the well and if anybody saw the primary updates, if you go back and you can read it, go back and read the article right now. Receipts are out there. Whenever I went back to the data about Zach Hurts last week and I looked closer about the Chargers and stuff, I said, dude, I'm out, you don't need to play him. I look deeper into it and that proved to be correct. But I'm back in this week. Seth, because the coverage matchup does go back into the favor of Zach Ertz. You look at the Bears and what they've done and this has been a Dennis Allen thing. He's been a big too high believer going back all the way back to the Saints. They ran a lot of too high and stuff like that before. The Bears run too high at the second highest rate in the NFL right now, almost 63% of the defensive snaps. And people say why? Why do you highlight this and why does it matter single high versus two high? Because it matters how defenses play and how offenses are going to attack them. If a defense is made to keep you from stretching the field and put funnels everything underneath, your running backs are going to get more play in the passing game, your slot receivers and your tight ends. And this coverage matchup leans itself for Zach Ertz. Against too high this year, seth. Zach Ertz, 20.8% target share, 2.26 yards per route run and a 32.3% first read share. So, yes, I'm going back to the Zach Erts. Well, he's going to be a tight end one for me in rankings.
- [19:56]
C
Look, I get the call. I. I totally do, honestly. And like, I think game script could be in your favor because if I know anything about Buffalo, when they play these elite teams, they're not.
- [20:05]
A
They're playing the Bears this week.
- [20:07]
C
Oh, sorry, sorry. Chicago Bears. So Bears are going to push them.
- [20:12]
A
The Bears are going to push them, though. Your point, though?
- [20:15]
C
Yeah, yeah. Especially with the motivation from last year's.
- [20:18]
A
You know, the commander's defense has not played good this year to this point. So, like, do we think the Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams can't have a good day and push the commanders? They're going to.
- [20:27]
C
Yeah. I think the other thing kind of leaning towards Zach Ertz's favor is when he's needed him. He has been a very trusty weapon for Jane Daniels right now. Quarterback rating per target, seventh among the tight end position right now. Fantasy points per target as well. 8th. So he's doing the most with what he's getting. We just need to see a bit more volume here. And you're kind of calling your shot that you think he gets that volume in a week where if Terry McLaurin's back, he's not going to be.
- [20:54]
A
Not gonna play. I don't think McLaren plays. I was gonna say that's another. That's another feather in his cap. I. I think McLaren's gonna be out.
- [21:00]
C
How many more targets can Debo take, too? I mean, this guy saw 11 targets last week. It just feels like, like I don't know if I want to be giving him that many touches for a guy who has a little bit of an injury history there in Washington.
- [21:12]
A
So you're not wrong.
- [21:13]
C
Dbro. Great stuff on the primer. Not just this video version, but also the YouTube short that will be out and also the written version. How many words you got, you got in this week? 10,000, 12,000, 20,000.
- [21:26]
A
After revisions, I'm at like around 17,000. But then I've still got to go back and I've got to update a lot of injuries. Basically the entire 49ers passing attack. Once we get word about who's in, who's out, all that kind of stuff, he'll probably end up somewhere in the 18, 19,000 word range. We'll see.
- [21:44]
C
Get those hands on ice, baby. Get them on ice. We need them for next week. That is going to do it for us on this episode of the Fancy Pros Fancy Football Podcast. Comment down below your favorite week six sleeper starts. And while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like button and subscribing to the channel. If you're new for Derrick Brown, I'm Seth Wilcock. Take care, y'. All. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on apple podcasts@fantasypros.com review or on Spotify. Follow us on X Instagram and tick tock at fantasypros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube.com fantasypros.
- [22:45]
D
If you smoke or dip, I'm going to give you a few good reasons to try Zen Zyn Nicotine Pouches. First, it's America's number one nicotine pouch brand, and Zyn offers a robust rewards program. There's a lot of options for nicotine satisfaction, but there's only one Zyn. So if you go to zyn.com find that's z y-n.com find to find Zen at a store near you, this product does contain nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical.
- [23:12]
E
Welcome to In Case youe Missed it with Christina Williams, the podcast that's your go to source for women's hoops. From buzzer beaters to breaking news, I bring you the highlights, analysis and expert insights you need to stay ahead of the game. The people have spoken and it's time to give the stories that matter most the spotlight. Listen to in case you missed it on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. And remember, in case you missed it, don't worry, I've got you covered.
- [23:42]
A
This is an I heart podcast.