Podcast Summary: FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast
Episode: Biggest Fantasy Football Takeaways For EVERY AFC South Team (Ep. 1928)
Date: January 8, 2026
Host: Ryan Wormley
Guests: Andrew Erickson, Jake Seeley
Overview
In this episode, the FantasyPros team explores the most important fantasy football lessons from the 2025 NFL season for every AFC South team: Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, and Tennessee Titans. Hosts Ryan Wormley, Andrew Erickson, and Jake Seeley dive deep into player performances (breakouts and disappointments), coaching changes, rookie evaluations, and how team circumstances (like quarterback styles and offensive lines) dramatically shape fantasy outcomes. The discussion emphasizes avoiding rookie hype traps, recognizing veteran value, and heedfully tracking QB-WR connections going into future drafts.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Key Takeaways
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Stylistic QB/WR Pairings Matter
- Trevor Lawrence found offensive success in 2025, but not all receivers benefited equally.
- Lawrence’s best connections are generally with vertical slot WRs (Christian Kirk), tight ends underneath (Evan Engram, Brenton Strange), and lately, slot-man Parker Washington—not traditional outside receivers like Brian Thomas Jr.
- “It’s all about the stylistic personality of the quarterback and how they fit with certain receivers… If you can nail the right type of pairing… then you have those really high ceiling outcomes. But if you don’t get that fit… that analysis didn’t work.” — Andrew Erickson, 01:43
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Overvaluing Rookie Running Backs Behind Starters
- Many analysts and fantasy players fell into the trap of overvaluing rookies like Bashal Tooten, believing they’d quickly supplant established starters like Travis Etienne.
- This year’s draft class was stacked at RB, but “look at how many of them ended up backups or actually afterthoughts the entire season.” — Jake Seeley, 05:04
- Lesson: “Don’t go crazy with rookies… The fresher, younger running back is not always taking the job.” — Jake Seeley, 06:46
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Veteran Value is Often Overlooked
- Overemphasis on shiny new rookies made veterans (e.g., Travis Etienne, Kenneth Gainwell, Javonte Williams) undervalued and potential fantasy league winners.
Memorable Quotes
- “Trying to avoid situations like Brian Thomas Jr. with Trevor Lawrence… Focus more on finding those fit-specific pairings instead.” — Andrew Erickson, 01:52
- “One of [Ryan] Worm’s favorite values, Javonte Williams, this year. Perfect example.” — Jake Seeley, 09:03
Notable Segment
- Styles make fights: QB/WR archetype analysis — 00:28 to 02:46
- Rookie vs. veteran RB valuations — 04:22 to 09:03
Houston Texans
Key Takeaways
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Changing Offensive Line ≠ Immediate Improvement
- Despite significant personnel changes, Houston’s offensive line woes persisted and arguably hampered the system—impacting C.J. Stroud, Nico Collins, and the run game.
- “Just because the offensive line changes doesn’t mean it necessarily gets better... if it’s really bad, just because they change up personnel doesn’t mean it’s going to necessarily get better. And in like the. I don’t know if it’s a cliche but oh, it can’t get much worse. It can sometimes.” — Andrew Erickson, 10:37
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Don’t Over-Chase the WR2 in Crowded Rooms
- With Tank Dell returning, and a rotation of Jalen Noel, Christian Kirk, and others, predicting a WR2 after Nico Collins is almost impossible.
- “I don’t want to chase these WR situations where the 2 is actually three people. And that’s where I’m going to stay away. Outside of Nico Collins.” — Jake Seeley, 14:23
- Only consider late-round darts like Jaden Higgins if the value is extreme.
Memorable Quotes
- “Look at how long it took RJ Harvey, Trayvon Henderson… injuries and other situations, and it's not that they can't be back half difference makers. The entire point… is just to dive deeper into these situations and not just say, ‘Oh, he's a rookie, he's taking over.’” — Jake Seeley, 06:46
- “At least Higgins started to carve out that number two role alongside Nico Collins… whereas Noel never really seemed like he had a consistent role.” — Andrew Erickson, 15:02
Notable Segments
- Offensive Line vs. Skill Player Impact — 09:15 to 12:22
- Texans WR room analysis — 12:51 to 15:22
Indianapolis Colts
Key Takeaways
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Alec Pierce (Breakout & Contract Year)
- Pierce had a career-best season, surpassing 1,000 yards, and showcased an expanded skill set beyond just being a deep threat.
- Poised to get one of the top free-agent contracts at WR after Higgins and Pickens—could be re-signed by the Colts or become featured elsewhere.
- “It was comical looking at where his ADP was and where versus his finish. I mean he was like wide receiver, like 75 receiver, 70. So I just think he's going to get paid and he's going to be a guy that we're talking about in fantasy.” — Andrew Erickson, 17:19
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QB Changes Dramatically Influence WR Value
- The type of quarterback (e.g., Anthony Richardson’s tendencies vs. Daniel Jones’s deep ball) can transform a WR’s fantasy relevance overnight.
- “Quarterbacks are going to determine a lot on who's seeing the targets, who's seen the valuable targets that we want in fantasy.” — Jake Seeley, 19:57
Memorable Quotes
- “You’re going to get some weeks where you only get you five points. That’s just the nature of these kind of wide receivers. But he’s going to be somebody that as long as you’re willing to take that roller coaster ride… you can live with it.” — Jake Seeley, 19:03
- “Quarterback situations as a whole and their impact… can change what happens for a receiver—Alec Pierce, Brian Thomas prime examples.” — Jake Seeley, 19:57
Notable Segments
- Alec Pierce’s breakout and 2026 outlook — 16:04 to 17:43
- QB influence on WR performance — 17:48 to 20:26
Tennessee Titans
Key Takeaways
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Cam Ward Year 2: Potential for a Big Leap
- Both hosts agree: Ward showed flashes despite a brutal schedule and minimal support. With improved coaching and another year, he could lift the fantasy prospects of Tennessee’s entire offense.
- “Cam Ward, I think in year two… can be the tide that rises all the boats in 2026, grow around this young nucleus of wide receivers and tight ends now… He was not put in a position to succeed and he didn’t look like he was completely underwater, especially in the second half of the year.” — Andrew Erickson, 22:11 & 23:56
- “I’m more likely to take my shot on a Cam Ward because he has the rushing upside to boot than to take somebody that I just know needs to throw 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns.” — Jake Seeley, 25:35
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Don’t Assume Rookie or New QBs Make Things Instantly Better
- Not every new QB fixes a broken offense—sometimes things get worse, sometimes they click with a less-hyped WR instead of the one we expect.
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Late-Round QB2s With Upside
- Cam Ward (as late-round QB2 or QB3) could be a league-winner archetype (think Caleb Williams, Drake May, Daniel Jones in recent years)—players with mobility and untapped ceiling.
Memorable Quotes
- “If Cam Ward, okay, worst case scenario, he just starts all the games and this is like a mediocre QB2 in superflex. But if he hits, takes a big step like Williams or Drake May did then, okay, now you have a top five quarterback that you drafted as QB 18 off the board.” — Andrew Erickson, 26:53
- (On the pronunciation of “archetype”) “We should just stop using it because I’m afraid to use it… I always mess it up anyway.” — Andrew Erickson & Jake Seeley, 27:36
Notable Segments
- Cam Ward’s rookie year & outlook — 20:26 to 25:35
- QB value discussion for superflex — 24:44 to 26:53
Notable Quotes & Fun Moments
- “Trying to avoid situations like Brian Thomas Jr. with Trevor Lawrence… Focus more on finding those fit-specific pairings instead.” — Andrew Erickson, 01:52
- “Quarterbacks are going to determine a lot on who's seeing the targets, who's seen the valuable targets that we want in fantasy.” — Jake Seeley, 19:57
- “We get so caught up in the shiny new toy… but sometimes the veteran is the better value.” — Andrew Erickson, 08:00
- Running joke: Dissecting the pronunciation of “archetype” and commiserating about fantasy football’s trickiest vocab. — 27:27–28:05
Timestamps for Important Segments
- Jaguars Takeaways (QB/WR fits, rookie RB hype trap): 00:28–09:03
- Texans Takeaways (offensive line struggles, WR depth chart headaches): 09:15–15:22
- Colts Takeaways (Alec Pierce breakout, QB effect on WRs): 16:04–20:26
- Titans Takeaways (Cam Ward outlook, QB value, archetype hijinks): 20:26–28:05
Summary Table: Team-by-Team Lessons
| Team | Key Lesson(s) | Fantasy Implication | |--------------|------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------| | Jaguars | QB/WR fit trumps player “talent”; don’t overrate rookie RBs | Draft based on fit, not just skill | | Texans | O-line “upgrades” don’t always translate; avoid 3-way WR2 rooms | Fade RBs behind bad O-lines; avoid WR logjams | | Colts | Alec Pierce’s ADP vs. finish; QB type shifts WR value | Track contract years + QB tendencies | | Titans | Don’t expect rookie QBs to fix all; Cam Ward’s upside in year 2 | Target late QBs with rushing stacks/unknown ceilings |
Final Thoughts
This episode is a goldmine for both strategy-minded fantasy players and those eager to learn from recent misses—emphasizing fit, patience with rookies, and never underestimating veteran values or the unpredictable impact of QB changes. Above all, the advice is future-facing: track team and coaching changes, think deeply about how QBs mesh with weapons, and grab value where the crowd glosses over last year’s “boring” names.
