Loading summary
Transcript56 lines
- [00:00]
Joey P
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
- [00:04]
Rob Gronkowski
This is Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman from Dudes on Dudes with Gronk and Jules. Rob, I've never asked, are you a dips guy? Like the workout? You can't tell. No, I mean for your chips. Oh, I knew that. Yeah, of course. You gotta try this new Daisy's French onion dip. Goes great on Sundays. I like the sound of that.
- [00:27]
Andrew Erickson
I.
- [00:27]
Rob Gronkowski
Everyone knows you need a good dip for game day. Personally, I like to dip everything I can. Veggies, crackers, chips. Heck, I might even dip a buffalo wing in there. That reminds me, they also have Daisy's ranch dip. Now you're speaking my language. Yup. Seems like a no brainer on game day. So get out there and give the French onion dip a try. You won't regret it.
- [00:54]
Joey P
Welcome in everybody to Betting pros. It's time to place your bets. This is me, Joey P. Joe P. Zapia, and this is BP NFL. It's super bowl week and it's time for our best bets. Andrew Erickson and I are here. And for those of you saying that we're homers, only one of us is wearing a Patriot sweatshirt on today's show. But here's the thing. I've seen some of the YouTube comments, I've heard some of the noise. I'm also the guy that was telling you an end on. I won money on the New York Football Giants being the Patriots in this Super Bowl. I also won money on the Philadelphia Eagles, if you can believe it or not, being the Patriots in the Super Bowl. This is about one thing. This is about winning. Not about who wins. It's about us winning. That's what it is. It's us against the books. That's what it always is here. That being said, however we feel about this game is compartmentalized as fans because this is business, Andrew. It's not personal. That's how I'm entering this. I understand that a lot of people, we talked to people on the street in New Orleans. We had a whole fun thing there. It was kind of split, I would say 60, 40 Seattle people were on. But the one thing that I'm still tired of hearing about is the Seattle Seahawks defense and not hearing about the Patriots defense mentioned in similar breath, because statistically speaking, Patriots defense is pretty damn good. And they have played incredible football the last couple weeks. And people want to say, well, look at the quarterbacks they played against. You can only play who they put in front of you. But Seattle has allowed 16 or fewer points. In six of its past eight games, New England has allowed 16 or fewer points each of his last five games. Seattle has the six best defense in the NFL in terms of yards per game and A league low 17.2 points per game. But the New England patriots have an eighth best defense in 292. Excuse me, 295.2 yards per game, 18.8 points per game. That's fourth best. So to me, if you want to talk about defense, this is a much more inclusive conversation. Your thoughts?
- [02:50]
Andrew Erickson
No, I agree. And that's why I know that I don't want to bury the lead here. But our picks as we go to the totals. I like the under and you like the under in the game. At 45 and a half points, it kind of feels like it's a bit in no man's land where a total at this number is not projected. Oh, this is going to be a shootout. Because that's usually when you get to the 40, 48 and a half, 49 and a half or a 50 and a half point total. Those numbers usually scream, okay, this game could get kind of nutty here. We could see a lot of points on both sides versus, like every Pittsburgh Steelers game where, oh, 39 and a half points, this game is going to be a dud, or any Cleveland Browns home game. So kind of teetering the line. So I do think that there's value here going with the under. If you do think that both of these defenses prevail here, look, Seattle is the fourth straight top 10 defense the Patriots have faced and the postseason. And their offense has not looked that great. Now, I know that the weather has played a role in that, but their offense is averaging under 16 points per game. Again, it's boosted overall by that pick six against the Houston Texans. But offensively, they're not scoring anywhere near 20 points per game. The two defenses have allowed, on average this year, 18 points per game. Eighteen plus 18 quick. Do the math, Joe. What is that? It's very under 45 and a half points.
- [04:01]
Joey P
Yes, yes, it is. Also Just looking at the offenses too, and how they stack up. Seattle the third most points per game, yards per game. They were seventh yard passing yards per game, eighth. New England second in points per game. They were third in yards per game and they were fourth in passing yards per game. So I just think this is a little bit more even than people realize and that's going to bring us right into our best bets here. So let's talk about the first one here. I'm in on the under 45 and a half year in the under, I'm getting it, but just by the chinny chin chin because my final is 24:20, I do believe that's going to be the final score of this game. So I am just squeaking in to that under. Not by much. Andrew, why is it an under for you? I mean I've laid out here all the defenses, how close they are. I do think there will be some turnovers in this game too, and that stunts drives and sometimes changes the dynamic of games. But let's talk about your reasons of why you think it's also going to be an under in this one.
- [04:55]
Andrew Erickson
Two defensive minded head coaches going head to head. Mike McDonald against Mike Vrabel. They both come from defensive backgrounds and I think that matters a lot because I don't think that they open up the first quarter of the game thinking, okay, well we have to score a ton of points here to win this game. I think that they both believe, hey, we have faith in our defense and that if we keep this game tight we can win in the fourth quarter. So I think that's kind of the mindset of both of these teams. Especially with Ken. Nobody wants to talk or shouldn't say nobody wants to talk about it. It's probably being overblown. But both quarterbacks like have these injuries that we like don't know if they're real. They're not real. We're not really sure. I guess we'll find out together whether these injuries mattered or not. But it's just another reason to kind of look at, okay, if it's a little bit lower scoring and just to me to the optics of this game, it just doesn't scream shootout. Right. I think that's been the least talked about narrative and potential path for this game where for a lot of shows again talking about the Seattle Seahawks, a lot of media talking about the Seahawks. ESPN 58 of their 60 analysts picked the Seattle Seahawks to win and the two that picked the Patriots were on the Patriots at one point. So again, that's been Brusky.
- [06:00]
Joey P
And who was the other one?
- [06:01]
Andrew Erickson
I don't know the other ESPN one is. I know the other. I know definitely it was Bruski, but.
- [06:06]
Joey P
I know it was Brusky because I saw him talking about it on another channel.
- [06:11]
Andrew Erickson
Yeah, but besides that type of point there, it's, it just doesn't seem. Unless the way I see it going over is it barely just squeaks over where you get like a 27 to 20 finish. So it's not like a shootout or again, I think this is very much in the range of outcomes. I do think that there's a chance that Seattle does kill the Patriots and oh no, I guess it really was a cupcake schedule for the New England Patriots all year. I do think that that's possible. But my prediction, especially when we talk about the spreads and the picks and who wins, I think that the Patriots win in a tight game.
- [06:40]
Joey P
You know, Andrew, I'm also going to say this too. Two of the three opponents, or I should say both of the opponents, not even two, two of two that Seattle faced in the playoffs were in division opponents from this year. So those games are always so different in terms of the way they play because all those teams are always built to face those in division opponents and they have handled the 49ers time and time again like they, they, they have figured out they have cracked the code, right? Whatever it is with the 49ers, Seattle has their number and with the Rams you always know it's going to be a dog fight. Like you know how it's going to be. And I think that there's just something different too. Whenever you have out of conference games they tend to play a little bit differently and when you have in division games they tend to play a little bit differently. The familiarity is very important, I think, to some of these totals that you get sometimes. So I just want to throw that out there for the listening audience as well. All right, next one here. Probably for me, I think the easiest bet to make which is the New England Patriots plus four and a half at minus 108. Again you can find all these lines over at Betting Pros. Make sure you subscribe to the podcast podcast. Make sure you go check out BP and make sure you download the app too. So you can track all your bets, you can make all your bets, you can sync all your sports books for free with the Betting Pros app and find the best numbers for every single one of these bets. But all this stuff to me too, again, if this game even plays close, let's say the Patriots fall short and I'm wrong here and they don't come out with a victory. I'm still making money, I'm still winning. Four and a half is a nice cushion. I think this team has a lot of respect for itself. I think Mike Vrabel will have a good game plan. I think Josh McDaniels who is coached in almost double digit Super Bowls now is going to have a good game plan and I think that they're going to throw a lot of different coverages at Sam Darnold, a lot of different blitz packages. I think that offensive line is kind of mid tier for the Seattle Seahawks. That's just my opinion of it. And I think Sam Darnold is prone to some turnovers and prone to pressure. So for me that's another reason why I think New England can keep this close. And I do think there will be a turnover on that Seattle side. More on that to come. Andrew, what's your number two bet here for the Super Bowl?
- [08:34]
Andrew Erickson
I agree with you that if I'm picking against the spread, I definitely want the Patriots as the underdogs here with the point, especially when it's at four and a half. I think that that line is just a little bit too high. You look at the look ahead lines before the conference championship games played out in this theoretical super bowl matchup. It was Seattle laying minus three and a half. And I don't really think that we should be taking so much from. Okay, that Denver Blizzard game where it was really hard to get an understanding. Okay, yeah, the offense didn't look great. Well, nobody could really move the ball effectively. And then you look at the Seahawks to your point again, they've played very well against the Los Angeles Rams. So not trying to over evaluate, okay, well this is what they've done against the Rams. Well, they played the Rams a lot different than how they play other teams. And Mike McDonald specifically 80 in rematches in the same season. So that is where he's been lights out facing the second the team for the second time, in this case the third time. So that's something to kind of keep in mind. Maybe not over inflating the Seahawks for beating again, a very good Rams team, but one team that they match up very well against. I don't think that that really is the case as much with the New England Patriots. I think that especially on the defensive side, the Patriots can go match up well with the Seahawks offense. They can stop the rung and they can limit Kenneth Walker. You can't run on a healthy Patriots run defense. You can't do it with Spillane and Tunga and Milton Williams and Christian Barrymore. They're going to shut down the run. And if that then creates a strict dropout passing game with less play action with Sam Darnold and if Christian Gonzalez can at least slow down JSN in some capacity, especially in third and fourth downs, then yeah, I think there's an advantage to the Patriots defense here. So. And Drake May is always a X factor way he can make plays with his legs. So that's the one thing that I'm kind of looking forward to because that was never a case with Tom Brady. And again, how did you beat Tom Brady? Got. You got pressure up the middle. And that can still happen with Drake May, but the thing is he has the mobility and the off scripted playmaking ability to get the ball downfield. And we just saw the Seahawks defense, specifically their secondary, kind of get ripped a little bit by Matthew Stafford in the NFC championship game. So those are some of the reasons why I like the Patriots. Again with the points. I think just straight up on the money line because I think it's going to be a close game. And if it's a close game, I can get it plus 200 or nearly 2 to 1 off the Patriots to win outright. And I think this game is closer to a coin flip than the lines would suggest. So I like the value there. Again, if you like Seattle, I would tease it. I would go up to teasing it to Seattle minus six and a half. Seattle minus seven. Again, if everyone thinks that they're going to just smoke them, then yeah, then bet it. Don't take it. Seahawks minus four and a half. Because if they do dominate and it really was the cupcake schedule that the reason why the Patriots are here, then you should feel comfortable laying that many points if you consider Seattle the much more dominant team. So that's just my basic read on the game. I think that they're scenarios where you can get really high payouts whether you like the Seahawks or whether you like the Patriots. Because that's the way that I see this game playing out, most likely.
- [11:24]
Rob Gronkowski
This is Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman from Dudes on Dudes with Gronk and Jules. Rob, I've never asked, are you a dips guy? Like the workout? You can't tell. No, I mean for your chips. Oh, I knew that. Yeah, of course. You gotta try this new daisies French onion dip. Goes great on Sundays. Daisy, like the sour cream brand? Yup. That's how you know it's gonna be fire. I use their sour cream all the time. Goes perfect with my taco Tuesday dinner. Oh, Jules the chef. I love it. Yup. And now I've added the daisies French onion dip to my Sunday spread. They make it with all your natural herbs and spices. I like the sound of that. Everyone knows you need a good dip for game day. Personally, I like to dip everything I can. Veggies, crackers, chips, Heck, I might even dip a buffalo wing in there. That reminds me, they also have Daisy's ranch dip. Now you're speaking my language. Sundays on the couch just got even better. Yup, seems like a no brainer on game day. So get out there and give the French onion dip a try. You won't regret it.
- [12:44]
Joey P
Everything tastes better after your team wins. So just imagine how truly tasty something would taste if it was doused in the original Louisiana hot sauce after your team wins. That's Louisiana hot bayou Some. Well, look, I also think, you know that spleen injury, him being on the field is huge from a leadership standpoint. He's one of those motor guys, one of those heart and soul kind of guys there. And the other thing too is, you know, you mentioned about the secondary to. I think you also got to talk about some of the discipline between the two teams as well. Because you know in that game there against the Rams, you know when Tariq Woolen has that penalty and I'm just singling out one guy. But you know, the lack of discipline in these kind of big games really shows up. And I think that's where veteran coaching coaches that have played in Super Bowls, coached at Super Bowls before, really make a big difference here because I think sometimes emotions run really high and you saw it in the NFC Championship Game and being able to limit those mistakes and penalties and just bad decision making process to playing with a certain kind of focus and getting your team on the right page I think really matters quite a bit. Again, it's just, it's my opinion, but it's also based in a lot of fact here. All right, next up here, my third favorite bet is the New England Patriots total points over 20 and a half at minus 102. I do think we get a defensive score here by the Patriots. I see a turnover, I see a pick six in the future and if you hit that, it's plus 850 for the Patriots defense to score a touchdown.
- [14:08]
Andrew Erickson
I like that a lot.
- [14:10]
Joey P
So that is to me one of my favorite bets here in the super bowl and I think that seven is the one that gets them over this 20 and a half. I do think that the Seattle Seahawks defense is going to hit Drake May. I do think they're going to give him problems. I think they will eke out some more points. He will have some big plays as Andrew mentioned before. But I do think inevitably it is the defensive score that is the difference in this game and the defensive score is the one that carries them over that 20 and a half marker. And Andrew, what's your third bet here for Super Bowl 60?
- [14:39]
Andrew Erickson
So my third best bet is a parlay, a same game parlay where I'm moving these numbers a little bit into my favor. So I like the Patriots. I want to give them even more points, plus six and a half. The Patriots this season, Joe, have not lost a game by more than seven points. They've no law. They have not lost a game by more than one score all season. Both these teams have played in extremely close games when they've been on the losing side. Every game they have played has been within one score. And ironically, their biggest losses of the season both happened in week one. So we're as far removed as possible from these teams getting quote, unquote, like blown out and dominating games. And how funny is it that we look back at some of these bad performances from these teams. Patriots lost to the Raiders in week one, who hold the number one draft pick. And don't forget who almost lost. And because I remember we were on the show, we talked about that six leg parlay. Of all the Moneyline bets and what was the one that was the sweatiest? It was the Seahawks money line against Philip Rivers and the Indianapolis Colts and they were a field goal away from blowing that game.
- [15:40]
Joey P
So again, in their own building, mind you. Yes, in their own building. Let's not forget that.
- [15:44]
Andrew Erickson
Yes.
- [15:45]
Joey P
So this impenetrable defense almost lost the game to Philip Rivers off the couch. Oh my God. It's the Legion of Boom. Let's calm down already. It's a good, if a very good defense. This is not the Legion of Boom. This is not the 2000 ravens. It's not the 85 bears. Let's calm down. Let's pump the brakes a little bit, bro. I'm afraid I got all Stephen Smith there for a second. Just a little bit.
- [16:11]
Andrew Erickson
Again, I like the Patriots. They've covered plus three and a half, so even moving the line a little bit. And 91 of their games played this season. So again, more backing of just keeping this game within a touchdown that six and a half covers there. And then we look at the total. If I move it up to taking the under at 52 and a half points, that is kind of the most profitable number when you look at both of these teams. For the Seattle Seahawks, 71% of their games have finished under 52 and a half points. And really it's only failed when they've been in true shootout game environments. And at 52 and a half for the Patriots, they've Hit under that number in 81% of their games. So you put those two together, you get plus odds near plus 120, which I really like again. So if you're putting crafting all these crazy same game parlays, why don't you take one that's more likely to be a layup in my estimation. If you like the paths just to keep it within a touchdown, move the total up if you think it's going to be a little bit more lower scoring. I like that. Plus six and a half of the paths and a game total going under 52 and a half.
- [17:11]
Joey P
Yeah, that's gimme right there. That's gimme stuff. I like that. Andrew, very nice safe. I you know what, it's good to have a some safe floor of a couple bets you want to make in the super bowl and then you can have that fun one, then you can have that crazy one or two other things you want to bet on. But having that safe floor of I think three wagers is really smart. Don't forget if you're looking for more wagering help too, our discords here, bettingpros.com chat. It's free, it's fun. We got a million picks in there for the Super Bowl. We got all kinds of chats going on there. So go check it out today. My fourth pick, first half total under 23 and a half. Now this one's the heaviest juice. So again, I think this is safe. It's minus 140. I don't know, love the juice but if you're somebody that just wants to sit back and enjoy, I think this is the one for you. Typically speaking that first quarter, especially with the two week layoff, everybody's a little flat. You know, they're standing out there forever for the, you know, the opening acts and the, you know, America the Beautiful and then we have the national anthem and then we're still standing around there. It's a lot. So teams tend to come out a little bit flat here, especially in that first quarter. So I think this is one that's going to move as well. You'll see this number shrinking after that first quarter is over and I would get in on it now. It's easy, it's fun, just want to take it again. Typically the super bowl does not get off to a rip roaring start and if it doesn't, then it's going to take a little while for things to open up in the second quarter and I just don't know what these defenses, how much is going to Open up. So I'm playing into the hands of the defense and playing into the hands of history, which is typically speaking, everyone's standing around forever. Two week layoff is not great for everybody. So a little bit of flatness there, a little bit of nerves, a little bit of super bowl jitters. Got to get worked out there in that first quarter. Andrew, what is your next bet here for the people for Super Bowl 60?
- [18:47]
Andrew Erickson
I am hand holding with you on the first half. Under 23 and a half points. You think back to a lot of these Patriots Super Bowls. A lot of them were duds in the first quarter where you look up and say 0, 0. And you know who called a lot of the offensive plays for the Patriots in those games? It was Josh McDaniels. So I'm not necessarily looking at that as Patriots don't have high scoring first halves because of Bill Belichick, because of Tom Brady. Well, what if Josh McDaniels had a role in that? You look at the patriots in the first half of Super Bowls that were called by Josh McDaniels as the OC and offensive play caller. They haven't scored more than 14 points for the five games. They scored 12 or fewer points in the first half. Again, going back to why we like the total game going under, we have two defensive minded head coaches. To me, I think that in the beginning script for offenses, both of these teams are going to look to run the football. Whether they're efficient or not. I think they want to get an idea of, okay, what are they looking at us on defense. And then they're going to think about taking their strikes either at the end of the second quarter or in the second half when they're like look for opportunities to create explosive plays. Because again, back to the point where we like the total game going under, I think that they both believe, both coaches believe that their defenses can win if they keep it close, right? And they can ultimately win in a one of these closer matchups. So I like the first half under here as well.
- [20:07]
Joey P
All right, so same page there. All right, now tomorrow's show, obviously on Friday we have the big prop show. So I'm gonna give you one because I know the boys aren't going to give you defensive stuff. I know those guys. This is in honor of my boy, Scott Bogman. Okay, we're going defense here. Clavon Chase on to record a sack at plus 178. I really think he is going to get in there and make something happen. He has played phenomenal football down the stretch, this once big time prospect kind of floundered a little bit back in the day. He has found a home in this. Mike Vral, New England Patriots offense, defense. Excuse me. And he is really in a spot now where he is wreaking havoc. He is making things happen. And I think Chason gets home on Sam Darnold once in this game. And you're almost getting two to one on this. Andrew, I love this bet. Now, it's not a game bet, but it's also not an offensive bet. And I want everybody to think outside the box. It's not all about the offenses and we're talking about these great defenses, yet nobody's betting on defensive stuff. What are we doing here? Now I sound like Dick Vital, who is a little bit closer to me in terms of physical appearance. I would think me and Dick Vital could be cousins. Could definitely be some sort of cousins there. Yeah, baby. Let's make the defensive picks here, baby. Dick Vital used to do basketball. Do you know what that is, Andrew?
- [21:15]
Andrew Erickson
Do I know what basketball is?
- [21:17]
Joey P
No. Dick Vital do you know? Dick Vital is. You don't know who.
- [21:20]
Andrew Erickson
I'm sure that he showed me a picture. I probably.
- [21:22]
Joey P
All right, Google Dick Vital and then tell me. We can't be cousins.
- [21:25]
Andrew Erickson
Good.
- [21:25]
Joey P
I want you to Google it. I want the live reaction of you Googling Dick Vital and you tell me if we could be cousins. I'm pretty sure we could be. All right, But Clayvon Chase on to get a sack again. Almost two to one plus one. 78 you're getting right now. Good stuff there. Andrew Erickson, did you find the picture of Dick Vital?
- [21:43]
Andrew Erickson
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. I could see you guys be you.
- [21:46]
Joey P
Okay?
- [21:47]
Andrew Erickson
Yeah. You, Dick Vital, cousin Vinnie. It all makes sense all of a sudden.
- [21:51]
Joey P
And I have multiple cousins named Vinnie. So I put. I have three.
- [21:55]
Andrew Erickson
I'm not surprised by that.
- [21:57]
Joey P
If you were set the over under two and a half, it was the over on cousins that I have named Vinnie. All right, let's get to Andrew's last pick and then we're going to give you our favorite picks of the super bowl in a second here, along with a little parlay as well. So, Andrew, give us the fifth and final one you got on your board.
- [22:12]
Andrew Erickson
I'm going to be betting against my Patriots in this particular situation. Going to go with the Seattle Seahawks to have over three and a half sacks. You put a prop in there. So I figure, hey, why don't I lay one in there as well? Plus 1:28. You look at Drake Mag against these top defenses all year long. So this is even before the playoffs because the only other time they faced the top 10 defense was the Cleveland Browns and Miles Garrett had a feast in that game. I remember watching that and be like man, this dude is a one man wrecking machine. Will Campbell was probably one of his worst games during the regular season, but Drake May has taken at least five sacks when facing top 10 defenses this season. So I like the over especially at plus money for Seattle to get at least four sacks. I think they get at least five just based on the trends that we've seen with Drake May against some of these top tier defenses. Again look, it's going to be he's going to get pressured like we know that's going to happen. The Patriots offensive line is at a big disadvantage against this really deep Seahawks defensive line, especially in the second half of the game when those guys have been out there for all of the snaps. And Seattle, yeah, doesn't really have those like Miles Garrett type player, but they have a lot of really strong depth that they have a lot of guys, you know, five or six guys deep that can really get after the pat, get after the passer, especially when they're not playing on every single down. So that's a disadvantage for the Patriots, but going to try to take advantage of it in the prop market with the Seahawks getting a ton of sacks.
- [23:29]
Joey P
All right, today's show is brought to you by Hard Rock Bet. They are sponsor of course and Florida's number one sportsbook. Their only sports book there that you can download and bet in the state of Florida. It's big game week on Hard Rock Bet. Seattle is four and a half point favorites over the New England Patriots for games like this. Basic bets don't cut it. They just don't cut it. Hard Rock Bet is loaded with special props that you can't find the rest of the year. Scoragami Opening kickoff Touchback. All of the off the wall bets that make every snap matter. These props only come around once a year, so you might as well have some fun. And if you haven't yet, sign up with Hard Rock Bed today. There's never been a better time. New signups can double their winnings on their first 10 bets. Max of 50 bucks. That's right. So if you've won a hundred bucks on your bet, make it 200 baby. Plus you won't want to miss Hard Rock bets $7 million big game bonus party. Place a $10 big game parlay and you'll get a share of 7 million in bonus bets. Win or lose. Every parlay counts. And the more you place, the bigger your share will be. I already built mine, so you might as well get in there and join me. And now it's your turn. And it's our turn to give you our favorite bets for the week. In mine again. New England Patriots plus four and a half minus 108. That's where I'm going with this one. I've made the case there that the Seattle defense is very good. Equally good. That's right, I said it. Equally good is that Patriots defense. And this is going to keep this game tight. And I do think there's a score on the defensive side and a turnover that ends up costing Seattle this football game. Andrew, what is your big number one bet for Super Bowl 60?
- [25:01]
Andrew Erickson
Of course it's the Patriots to win. Patriots on the money line at nearly 2 to 1 odds. I think that they come away with the upset here, Joe, and know that I'm definitely in the minority and people are going to look at and say that this is just a homer pick. But no, I think that there's a strong case for the Patriots to find a path to win this game. It's not like I've been picking underdogs every single. It's like I've been picking the Patriots every single week to win as underdogs where they've been, you know, underdogs so far this season. I just think that when you look at schematically, there are a lot of ways where their defense can pose problems for Seattle and their offense and Sam Darnold and their run game. And I think on the offensive side of the football, if Drake May plays up to what he's done as an MVP candidate this season and less likely he's played in the playoffs where again, the weather has played a big role. Drake May is not a good bad weather quarterback. I know he plays in New England, but before that he was playing in unc. So I don't. He doesn't have the Tom Brady chops quite yet with the scuba suit playing in cold weather and in bad weather. So I do think that just the value on the Patriots to win outright in a game that I think is going to come down to the fourth quarter, potentially come down to a field goal at the end. Yeah, give me the pats with the money line. I do think that the super bowl experience that they have on their sideline versus Seattle, I think is that extra edge too. That makes me like this bet. Mike Vrabel, Milton Williams, Josh McDaniels, Matt Hollins, Christian Ellis, Austin Hooper, Carlton Davis, like up and down the board. They have a lot of guys with experience. Now the Seahawks have a couple of guys, former Rams, Cooper Cup, Cam Acres, Ernest Jones, but coaching staff really doesn't have a lot of super bowl experience and I think that might matter the most, especially in the second half when things get really tight and we've seen games go one or which way. So if the Patriots can just prevent the blowout, right? Like that's the big concern. Would not surprise me. They get killed. Then it's like, well, guess it was a cupcake schedule. Here's the 2026. But if it's tight and it's close in the second half, I think the Patriots win.
- [26:51]
Joey P
And if you're in the state of Florida or New Jersey like me, the Big Game energy doesn't just live on the app. Head to the Hard Rock Casino for drawings, giveaways and all exciting things leading up to kickoff. Big Game week is here. The best Time to Be a Hard Rock VIP Hard Rock Bed is rolling out the red carpet for its MVPs, private jet, five star hotels wheeling, dealing big game tickets and more. Other VIPs could attend invite only watch parties and be cool like Andrew Erickson with special guests who knows high end food, tons of exclusive merch. And if you want to get on the action right now, check out the status Merch page at Hard Rock Bet Slash Loyalty. Let them know where you play for a shot at an instant upgrade to the best signature VIP program in the industry. That's Hard Rock Bed. Download the Hard Rock Bet app today and make your first deposit payable and bonus bets. Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida offered by a Seminole hard Rock Digital LLC and other stuff. States must be 21 plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida? Call 1833 playwise in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem wants help, call 1809 with it. Gambling problem, call 1-800- GAMBLER in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia Andrew Erickson, you know this is the last upset special of the year and of course I'm gonna hold your hand on it. And I can feel the YouTube vitriol and the comments. Look, if I thought the pats were gonna lose, and sometimes I do, I would tell you the bats are gonna lose. Go make some money. I don't think they're going to. I think Mike Vrabel is going to figure them out because that's what Mike Variable does. Players win games, coaches win championships. Give me the pats money line upset plus 1982 and our parlay the best bets together here. New England Patriots plus four and a half. Andrew Erickson and I are holding hands on the under 45 and a half. You put those two things together, if you lock them in, you get plus 240. Andrew, that sounds pretty good to me. How about you?
- [28:45]
Andrew Erickson
I mean, if I'm exactly handicapping this game correctly, then it should be great for me.
- [28:50]
Joey P
All right, now, tomorrow on the prop show, I'm sure you're going to get a lot more love for the Seattle Seahawks, despite the fact that Welsh is a huge 49ers guy. So again, if you want a little bit more fair and balance or whatever you think we're not being, I don't really care. But go watch tomorrow's show and get your Seahawks fix in there. And Andrew and I will have to listen to Welsh go on and on about how Seattle's going to drag the Patriots up and down Santa Clara. I don't think it's going to happen, but we shall see. And again, we appreciate everybody tuning in with us all year round. It's we have a great community here at Betting Pros. Everybody who's helped this channel grow, I just want to shout out all of you, too. You guys are awesome. Everyone who listens and comments has fun here on the programs all season long. You guys make this possible for us to do. And we can't wait for 2026 to come back in the fall and do it all again. So on behalf of all of us here at Betting Pros, the development team, if you haven't used the app, I don't know what you're waiting for. Get the app on your phone. Use it for the Super Bowl. All of our production staff here, everybody. The hosts, the analysts, Matt Peralt, Fitzy Erickson, Welsh, myself, Wilcock Bachman, if I'm forgetting anybody, I apologize. But again, it's been a phenomenal football season and we're just so happy to share it with all of you here on the Betting Pros channel. So subscribe to the channel, subscribe to the feed and Enjoy Super Bowl 60. That'll do it for us. But the story of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey P. The homers are out. Enjoy the super bowl, everybody.
- [30:16]
Andrew Erickson
Go Pat.
- [30:19]
Joey P
Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show.
- [30:22]
Andrew Erickson
The best free way to support us.
- [30:24]
Joey P
Is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on X&tiktokettingpros and Instagram bettingprosnfl. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube.com bettingpros. Everything tastes better after your team wins. So just imagine how truly tasty something would taste if it was doused in the original Louisiana hot sauce after your team wins. That's Louisiana Hot.
- [31:01]
Andrew Erickson
Buy you some this message comes from Greenlight. Ready to start talking to your kids about financial literacy? Meet Greenlight, the debit card and money app that teaches kids and teens how to earn, save, spend wisely, and invest with your guardrails in place. With Greenlight, you can send money to kids quickly, set up chores automate allowance, and keep an eye on what your kids are spending with real time notifications. Join millions of parents and kids building healthy financial habits together on Greenlight. Get started risk free@greenlight.com iheart there's no.
- [31:33]
Joey P
Championship league for small business owners, but.
- [31:35]
Rob Gronkowski
If there was, you'd be at the top of the standings.
- [31:39]
Joey P
Because going pro with Lenovo Pro means you've got the winning formation. One on one advice IT solutions and.
- [31:45]
Andrew Erickson
Customized hardware powered by Intel Core Ultra.
- [31:48]
Joey P
Processors help you stay ahead of the the competition.
- [31:51]
Andrew Erickson
Business goes pro with Lenovo Pro.
- [31:55]
Joey P
Sign up for free at lenovo. Com Pro Lenovo Lenovo this is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.