Podcast Summary

FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast

Episode: Top 10 NFL Wild Card Player Prop Picks and Predictions (Ep. 1931)
Date: January 10, 2026
Hosts: Joe Pisapia ("Joey P"), "The Welsh" (Chris Welsh), Andrew Erickson

Episode Overview

With Super Wild Card Weekend upon us, Joey P, The Welsh, and Andrew Erickson deliver their top 10 NFL wild card player prop picks and predictions. Drawing on stats, recent trends, and matchup insights, they break down their favorite over/under bets across the key games, targeting reception, yardage, touchdown, and specialty props. With plenty of banter and signature confidence, the trio aims to help listeners pad their betting bankrolls during the playoff frenzy.

Key Discussion Points & Player Prop Picks

1. Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Over 263.5

• Host: The Welsh
• Segment Time: 00:40—02:43
• Summary:
  • The Welsh is bullish on Stafford exceeding 263.5 passing yards against the Panthers, noting he’s hit that mark in 4 of his last 5 games, especially with Davante Adams back in the lineup.
  • The Panthers’ pass defense is middling (21st vs. WRs, 26th vs. TEs).
  • Quote:
    • “This was a Foster situation for the playoffs. This is not a permanent home. The Rams are going to be taking this down, and Matthew Stafford is going to go into demon mode.” — The Welsh (01:23)

2. Jalen Coker (Panthers) Over 3.5 Receptions

• Host: Andrew Erickson
• Segment Time: 02:51—03:54
• Summary:
  • Coker’s increased target share and slot usage, including a season-high 7 targets and strong prior performance vs. the Rams, fuel Erickson’s case for the over.
  • “He squeezes the football and he catches it. So give me the Coker going over.” — Andrew Erickson (03:47)

3. Luther Burden (Bears) Over 3.5 Receptions (+ Money)

• Host: The Welsh
• Segment Time: 04:06—05:29
• Summary:
  • Despite the return of Rome Odunze, Burden’s target share (27% first read since Week 14) and the Bears’ expected pass volume make this an appealing over bet.
  • “Luther Burden has proven to be that big guy… we need four receptions, we got it at plus money.” — The Welsh (05:15)

4. Colby Parkinson (Rams) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards

• Host: Andrew Erickson
• Segment Time: 05:37—06:17
• Summary:
  • Parkinson has topped this number only once in six games with Nakua, Adams, and Higby healthy. Other playmakers reduce his role.
  • “He can catch three touchdowns and he can still finish with under 21 and a half receiving yards.” — Andrew Erickson (06:08)

5. Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) Over 1.5 Passing TDs

• Host: The Welsh
• Segment Time: 08:18—10:05
• Summary:
  • Lawrence has thrown for 2+ TDs in 6 of his last 7; only exception he ran for 2 TDs. Bills are vulnerable, especially to good offenses.
  • “The Jags are going to win this game by the arm of Trevor Lawrence.” — The Welsh (08:49)

6. Dalton Kincaid (Bills) Over 3.5 Receptions

• Host: Andrew Erickson
• Segment Time: 10:12—11:24
• Summary:
  • Jaguars funnel targets to TEs, allowing over 6 catches and nearly 9 targets per game to the position.
  • Kincaid receives heavy attention whenever he’s on the field.
  • “When he’s out there, he’s out there to catch passes and they get him off the field, because his knee is going to fall off sooner rather than later.” — Andrew Erickson (10:53)

7. Christian McCaffrey (49ers) Over 57.5 Rushing Yards

• Host: The Welsh
• Segment Time: 12:01—13:53
• Summary:
  • Eagles allow over 4 yards/carry and almost 100 rushing yards/game. McCaffrey’s volume (20+ carries in five straight) supports the over on this modest total.
  • “If they’re not playing from behind, they’re going to be very comfortable continuously giving that to him.” — The Welsh (13:15)

8. Brenton Strange (Jaguars) Under 3.5 Receptions

• Host: Andrew Erickson
• Segment Time: 14:22—16:24
• Summary:
  • Bills have allowed the fewest catches to tight ends all season (2.7/game).
  • Strange’s role is limited by a crowded pass-catching corps.
  • “Given the matchup is absolutely brutal, given that he hasn’t been hitting this number at a consistent rate at all — I think that this is the layup here.” — Andrew Erickson (15:55)

9. Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers) Over 32.5 Receiving Yards

• Host: The Welsh
• Segment Time: 16:42—18:04
• Summary:
  • Gainwell is Rodgers’ favorite outlet, with 7+ targets in 4 of last 5, and 32+ yards in 3 of last 4.
  • “He might have the most targets of any Pittsburgh Steeler in this entire game.” — The Welsh (17:47)

10. Jalen Warren (Steelers) Over 1.5 Receptions

• Host: Andrew Erickson
• Segment Time: 18:11—18:56
• Summary:
  • Warren has hit this in 88% of games; with Darnell Washington out, his short passing role only increases.
  • “Both running backs are going to eat in the passing game.” — Andrew Erickson (18:39)
  • The two recommend parlaying both Steelers backs (Gainwell’s, Warren’s receptions).

Touchdown Bets – Best Anytime TD Picks

Hosts' Picks and Reasoning

• Joe Pisapia:
  • Blake Corum (Rams) +195: “Been a touchdown guy for the Rams in the latter part of the season.” (19:49)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots) +145: “Why? Because I want Trayvon to score, which means Rhamondre is going to.” (19:54)
• The Welsh:
  • Kyren Williams (Rams) (-120 to -130): “If they get in the red zone, it’s going to go to him." (20:03)
  • Brock Purdy (49ers) +600: “The Eagles have given up seven rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks this year. ...Blitz, boom. Brock Purdy up the middle, rushing touchdown.” (20:23)
• Andrew Erickson:
  • Dalton Kincaid (Bills) +250: “Bills and Jaguars for my touchdowns. Kincaid...used more in the red zone this year.” (21:09)
  • Bashaw “Tugboat” Tutin (Jaguars) +250: “It’s not Travis Etienne, it’s Bashaw Tugboat Tutin and he is healthy and he’s back. ...Goal line? Tutin.” (21:33)

Notable Quotes & Moments

• On Stafford and Panthers:
  • “It is very cute the kitty cats got to the playoffs. Oh hello, kitty cat... But we’re sending them back.” — The Welsh (01:23)
• Kincaid’s Usage:
  • “When he’s out there, he’s out there to catch passes and they get him off the field because his knee is going to fall off sooner rather than later.” — Andrew Erickson (10:53)
• Parlaying Steelers RBs:
  • “Together, we could parlay like five receptions for Gainwell and two for Jalen Warren. Let’s go.” — The Welsh (18:56)
• TD Value Play:
  • “...the highest plus money play of any of our touchdown calls, but I’m going with Brock Purdy on an anytime touchdown...plus 600.” — The Welsh (20:23)

Timestamps for Key Segments

| Segment | Timestamp | |--------------------------------------------|-------------| | Stafford Passing Yards | 00:40–02:43 | | Jalen Coker Receptions | 02:51–03:54 | | Luther Burden Receptions | 04:06–05:29 | | Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards (Under) | 05:37–06:17 | | Trevor Lawrence Passing TDs | 08:18–10:05 | | Dalton Kincaid Receptions | 10:12–11:24 | | Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards | 12:01–13:53 | | Brenton Strange Receptions (Under) | 14:22–16:24 | | Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards | 16:42–18:04 | | Jalen Warren Receptions | 18:11–18:56 | | Touchdown Bets (Corum, Stevenson, etc.) | 19:01–21:57 |

Tone & Style

The hosts are energetic, data-driven, and playful, enlivening stats and trends with jokes, side bets, and self-aware jabs (e.g., “Andrew Erickson, the undertaker, staying on brand…”). Picks come with strong conviction, plenty of context, and encouragement to combine complementary prop bets for “parlay fun.”

Summary

Whether you’re hunting low-burn yardage overs, searching for slot target volume, or chasing spicy anytime TD odds, this episode delivers actionable, well-rationalized wild card weekend prop picks. The hosts' mix of humor and sharp analysis makes it both insightful for the serious gambler and entertaining for fantasy football fans following the biggest weekend of the NFL postseason.