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FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast
Top Fantasy Football Predictions & Prop Bets For The Divisional Round (Ep. 1935)
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- [00:00]
A
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human new year.
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B
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A
Coffee for just $5 for a limited time only. Prices and participation may vary. Prices may be higher in Hawaii, Alaska and California. And for delivery. Hello everybody. Welcome into the Fantasy Pros Football podcast. I'm Ryan, warmly joined by Andrew Erickson. We are talking divisional round predictions. It is hard to believe, Erickson, that we only have seven. The 20, 25, 26 NFL season. It's wild how quick it goes. The, the playoffs always go extra fast just because like you heard of half the teams every time and it just goes very quickly. But we are here into what is largely considered the best weekend of the of the football calendar. I think I might be partial to championship game Sunday. I really enjoy that double header every year, but as a whole weekend this is obviously just about as good as it gets. What do you think about the slate we have in front of us here?
- [01:01]
B
I'm afraid that it's not going to be living up to what happened last week where wild card weekend was just phenomenal, just absolutely electric. So many fourth quarter changes where it looked like this underdog was going to win and they end up winning but they look like they were going to lose. And Jordan Love posts like an amazing stat line and the packers lose anyway. Just absolutely bonkers. So I'm afraid that it's just not going to live up to last weekend, which means it's going to be somewhat disappointing. But still, when the Patriots are on, I will be in attendance at Gillette Stadium this week. So I will be back in the home team loud and it'll be should be a lot of fun. Hoping it's a lot of fun with the Patriots win.
- [01:41]
A
Funny you mentioned that Jordan Love game. I mean obviously that was like, you know, maybe the game of the, of the weekend, which was a wild weekend. And it's a good example of how my predictions in the wild card round went. I said we were getting this Jordan Love offensive explosion all my pro. I had multiple props on Jordan Love. I called this pack packers big scoring game but I said that they would win in the end. I almost wanted to give myself a half point on it because I got half the prediction right. But I, I gave myself the loss. No need to worry about it because, because the, the packers got the loss. But that was very reflective of how my predictions went. I think I went three and three on the official predictions. I think I went like five and one on the, on the prop bets. Like it was just. I was, I was getting the side angles correct that you would actually put money on. Including the Puka first touchdown, which was my best bet of the weekend. Not, not my pre weekend best bet, but it was my most successful bet of the weekend, plus 550. So that one I was, I was really happy with. But the predictions themselves, sadly, just three and three.
- [02:39]
B
Yeah, it's one of those situations where you could try to go up. You know, you place a bet, it's like, hey, this one didn't quite hit, but spiritually it hit. So can I get paid out pretty, pretty please? And they will just slowly turn away.
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A
From you and me, like.
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B
But yeah, the Puka call shout out to you first touchdowns, that's something I haven't dabbled in as much this year. I know that my first couple years I was doing that a lot. And it's a ton of fun. It's one of those like ultimate adrenaline rushes where you don't have to wait very long for it to hit. Except in the instances where you get like a Steelers Texans game where there are no touchdowns and it's just kind of like the wild, wild west of oh, is the first touchdown also going to be the last touchdown? So if it doesn't hit right away on one of the first drives, it can be kind of a fun sweat as well. But yeah, Puka going off, I mean, he could have had multiple touchdowns. Like again, the Panthers don't cover that game if he doesn't drop that pass. Right. So even though my Carolina Panthers plus ten and a half was the lock of all locks, there was a scenario where it was not the lock of all locks and they did actually end up getting blown out in one part of the universe.
- [03:40]
A
Well, that's, that's another one where I lost the prediction. But I hit the first touchdown score. I mean, like, I just, I just couldn't get them both right. You went four and two in this round, so we went a combined seven and five.
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B
Yeah, we're looking into the green. Back in the green, which is good.
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A
Not overall, but in the green for a week. We. We had enough of a down stretch in a quarter making our way the end of the. We. We did, we did great to start. End of the regular season not so strong now, a decent start to the playoffs here. We'll see how we do this week. And by the way, for the next two weeks we're gonna have multiple predictions on those games because obviously next week there's only two games and then, you know, the super bowl only one game. So we will still have this version of the show. It'll just be more predictions on the same games as opposed to one each for each game, which is what we are doing today. Starting off with the Saturday afternoon game, Bills at Broncos. Now, the Bills started off as favorites. They are, it's interesting, they are favorites on some books and underdogs on others. We of course care most about Hard Rock Bet. They are underdogs in Hard Rock Bet. It is Bill's play plus one at that book. They are, like I said, favored elsewhere. So if you really like the idea of getting the Broncos as an underdog, I'm not going to encourage you to go bet elsewhere. But you can find that elsewhere. Again, we are only going to be sharing the Hard Rock bet line, which is Bills plus one. So they are the underdog here. Erickson, I'll start with you. What's your prediction for Bills at Broncos?
- [05:04]
B
Yeah, shout out to Hard Rock Bet for having the best number on the best team in this game, the Buffalo Bills. So I would go straight for the money line here, not mess around with these plus one, minus one and a half wherever you're shopping. If you're at Hard Rock Bet, you want to get the Bills because Bills on the money line, that is one of the best values that you can get. And ultimately I think that the Bills are going to win this game same way they won last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars and I was on the Jaguar side last week. But in hindsight I don't look at that as, wow, what a disastrous call. It was a close game. Like it was a tight game, went down to the final drive. Jacksonville obviously did not end up getting the win and Buffalo willed its way to victory with Josh Allen and the fact they were able to do it without James Cook really having a big rushing game. If you look at some of the splits, Buffalo has won the majority of their games when James Cook has gone off, they're nine and oh, straight up when they've rushed for at least 150 rushing yards, just three and I believe four and five when they've been under 150 rushing yards. But that didn't stop them from winning last week against Jacksonville. So I think that the anyone backing Buffalo and this was kind of the same analysis last week with those that wanted to root for the Buffalo side. It's just okay, well they have Josh Allen and he's the best quarterback playing in this game and it seems like very rudimentary like analysis, but it works, right? If he is playing and he's healthy, then you know he can stack up against any other quarterback in the NFL and any other team in the NFL. And I think it's really interesting when you look at who Josh Allen has lost to in the postseason. He lost to desean Watson and this was his rookie year. So very, very young quarterback at the time playing in a road playoff game. Deshaun Watson was the better quarterback at that time. Patrick Mahomes, he's lost to multiple times in the playoffs. And Joe Burrow, that's it. So basically, unless there was a scenario where there was a quarterback in the league the same tier as Josh Allen, he doesn't lose these playoff games. And I kind of wish I took more of that into consideration last week. I don't think that think believing that the Jaguars were the better overall team was the wrong take because again, it was a close game. But now in a similar spot, okay, on the road against the Denver Broncos. Great defense for Denver, but who's a better quarterback, Bonix or Josh Allen? Like, who do I have more faith in? It's going to have that second half comeback. Both of these teams have been very, very good in the second halves of games. A lot of big comebacks. But I look at Denver and I look at how they've played in close games this year. They're 11 and 2 in close games. So they've definitely been on the right side of luck when it comes to these one score contests. And I just think against a gamer like Josh Allen, maybe their luck runs out a little bit here. So I like the Bills, who even though they're not underdogs everywhere across sportsbooks, they feel like the underdogs. They feel like the team that people are writing off. They can't finish it. They don't have any wide receivers. Defense is overrated. They can't stop the run, yada, yada yada. And yet you look up, oh, what do you know, The Bills win again. So I'm going to go with the Buffalo Bills winning here. And although this doesn't really correlate with my prop because I'm still betting against the Bills run defense being any good. RJ Harvey's going to go over 49 and a half rushing yards. I think this number is just way too low for what we've seen from this Bill's run defense. Week 17 Harvey 14 carries for 43 yards, but he had a 56, 50% success rate and the Broncos rushing success rate in that week 17 game 56.3%. That was their second highest in a game this season. And he's got at least 14 carries in four of his last five games. Harvey's struggled in some of the tougher matchups he's had on paper. Chargers, Chiefs. But in softer spots like against the Raiders, Green Bay packers, he's gone over 50 rushing yards. He also averaged 7 yards per carry against the aforementioned Jaguars, who are one of the best run defense, if not the best run defense in the NFL. Buffalo Bills. Again, we know they're not a good run defense. 5th most rushing yards allowed per game this season. So that's my take on Bills, Broncos.
- [08:52]
A
We are going against each other on this. I do think Denver wins. You know, I was the only one that I recall. Maybe I I misremembering, but on our shows, I was the only one last February who was picking the Eagles because I was like, I get that it's really scary to go against the best player in this game, which is Mahomes. But, you know, but I just think the Eagles are the better team. I kind of feel that way about this. Not as strongly, but I'm like, I get that it's scary to go against Josh Allen, who I think is going to be the best player on the field. That's in my prediction. But I just think the Broncos are the better team now. I don't think there's going to be some kind of blowout of the Broncos like, you know, the Eagles had in the super bowl, but. But I just think the Broncos are the better overall team. You mentioned, you know, Josh Allen, that he's only lost to these great quarterbacks before, you know, Deshaun Watson, before he went off the deep end or at least before we knew he was off the deep end. But this is the worst Bill's team, this worst supporting cast Josh has had too. And I think that matters. And like, I think, I think it was a good process to be picking the Jags last week. It was just that it was. You couldn't overcome Josh Allen. But I still like believe in that process of like, this is the better team. And the Bills, like, I know everybody's talking about, you know, if Allen doesn't make the super bowl, it's what an indictment on him because there's no Mahomes or Lamar or Burrow in the AFC playoffs this year. But like, this is still not that good of a team. It's. I mean, they're getting maybe a little bit healthier. They've opened up the Practice windows for some of these players. I don't know if those guys are actually going to be on the field for this game or not. The Broncos are better. This game's in Denver and that is a. An actual advantage like that. Not every team has a home field advantage. Again, I live out here like Denver in January. Is tough to go out and play. Josh Allen's a superhero, but he's also getting really banged up. Like we keep seeing him go to the blue tent. You know, he went there twice against the Jags. The Broncos are really physical. It's a tough place to play. It's going to be cold. Like, I would not be surprised to see. I don't think this defense is as good as the Texans defense, but I think the Broncos have a pretty good case as the second best defense in football, maybe third behind Seattle. At worst. One of the clear Tier 1 defenses in the league this season. That's really hard when you're going on the road. This team is rested Also, you know, Sean Payton has, has been there before. I know like Allen and McDermott have have played in playoff games before, but you know, Peyton's done it at a really high level. I think the Broncos are probably really mad after last year's playoffs. They went one and done. Not as the one seed, but they went one and done against the Bills and got blown out. They lost 31 to 7 in last year. I think they're going to kind of come in angry. You know, Bo Nix is a. He's not amazing, but he's a better quarterback than he was as a rookie. Right. Like this running game has RJ Harvey now, it didn't last year against a really bad rushing defense. And I think that Allen, despite the Bills having a good offensive line, is going to get beat up in this game from a Broncos team that, you know, sacks the opposing quarterback as well as anybody. And I think it's going to feel like Allen is going to keep them within, you know, striking range throughout this game because he's the best player on the field. But I think the Broncos are going to feel like they're in, in control most of the game, even if it's a close score. And I think they're ultimately going to win. Despite Allen being the best player in the field and kind of similar to you, my prop maybe doesn't necessarily go along with my, my pick. I have Josh Allen over one and a half passing touchdowns. I had him under last week because I predicted that the quarterbacks are kind of going to largely struggle in that game, at least statistically, and that, you know, Allen was just as likely to run it in as opposed to throw it. I think everybody's looking at like, hey, this, this Broncos defense is really good and this game's in Denver and all the stuff I just said and maybe going to fade Josh Allen passing. And I want to kind of go against that because I do think Allen is going to be the best player on the field. I just don't think it's going to matter because I think, you know, nine of the next 10 best players are on the Denver side and again, they're rested in Denver.
- [12:50]
B
Two follow ups, Number one to your touchdown call with Josh Allen throwing for one and a half passing touchdowns. I think Keon Coleman might score a touchdown in this game. Yeah, like the, the coaching staff is so much like he's got to step up and you just look at all the receivers that just got hurt. Tyrell Shavers played the second half of last week's game with the torn acl. Gabe Davis, he tore his acl. They just signed Christian Wilkerson to the active roster from the practice squad. Brandon Cooks, like they need someone to step up. And we saw Keon Coleman earlier this year. Right. He did step up in that one game against the Ravens and was like, oh, is he going to break out his year two? And then like that could have been farther from the case because he had just so many off the field issues, maturity issues. But Buffalo needs him right now. So if Jo, if Josh Allen and the Bills are going to have this upset or they're going to win this game, I think Keon Coleman has to do something. And although again, not a separator by any means, but you're not getting separation against Patrick Surtan and these secondary guys in the Broncos anyway. So maybe this is where his contested catch ability is, can actually show up. And it's worth noting, when these teams played each other last year, Keon Coleman didn't catch a touchdown, but he did catch a two point conversion. So they do kind of have that in the bag. Okay. We can use him in the red zone as a weapon, especially with the Broncos probably putting a lot of their defensive secondary and attention on the tight ends like Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox because that's obviously Josh Allen has leaned on. And then my other follow up for you and I want to, you know, feel how you're about this particular matchup. So do you feel better about. Okay, I'm up. As in the Broncos, the team I'm backing, we're up by four. But Josh Allen has the ball at the end of the game. Is that the scenario you want to be in or do you want to be down by four and you have Bo Nix has to drive and win the game. Which situation you want to be in? As someone that's backing the Broncos, I'd rather be down.
- [14:36]
A
I don't want Josh Allen to touch the ball if I can avoid.
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B
So you'd rather be down with Bonix having to will his way to victory for your team?
- [14:41]
A
Yes, because Bo Nix in the fourth quarter when trying to build his team to victory is a lot different than Bo Nix in the first half. At least the way it's worked out this season.
- [14:49]
B
No, no, no, no. And then that's why again I asked it kind of like tongue in cheek because I was like, oh, I'm going to put him in a tough spot here. But I think that from your perspective, that's probably the right way to take it because Bonix, again to his credit, has been lights out in the second halves of games. We'll see how long that that lasts. But definitely someone that has been clutch in a lot of big spots this year.
- [15:09]
A
I will say too, there's one of these picks that I feel amazingly good about in one of the games on this slate. The rest I actually did kind of go back and forth with. So, I mean, that makes it a really exciting slate to me that I find it tricky to predict some of these games. Only one of the four was I like automatic. Took no time to think about it. I wrote down my prediction right away. The other three I really did kind of toss and turn with a bit. So. And this is not the one that I, I knew right away. So, you know, if it goes the other way, I won't be totally surprised. But I'm going to take the Broncos here We have got a special offer for everyone. Unlock a month of Betting Pros premium for free. Download the Betting Pros app today. Use promo code FP1 month. That's the number one. Not spel out. Get access to tools like the same game parlay tool, the Prop Bet Analyzer and the prize picks Prop Bet cheat sheet. Don't miss out. Try it free for one month. Now available on iOS and Android. Erickson, let's go to 49ers at Seahawks. This is the Saturday night game also by the way, this was like clearly the correct layout of these games. Knowing that they want to put the 1 seeds on Saturday like Bills, Broncos afternoon, Seahawks 49ers night and then getting you Know Texas Patriots early in the day Sunday, late game rant like this was the correct way to, to schedule out this slate. I just want to give the NFL credit for that. Niners, they were plus seven and a half last time I look. Let's see. Okay, that's down to seven. So Niners are now plus seven here in Seattle on Hard Rock. Bet Erickson, what's your prediction?
- [16:35]
B
I will say though, on the schedule analysis that you gave out, don't tell that to either the 49ers or the Buffalo Bills because they're both playing on a short week against teams coming off a bye week.
- [16:46]
A
But they, but they always do that. The, the one seeds always play Saturday, it feels like, because they're like it's already full week off. Like they get him going early at least as far as I recall.
- [16:55]
B
I guess the way they look at it as well, I mean, they're already at a rest disadvantage anyway, so what's another day like really going to do? And then you look at like Kyle Shanahan be like, dude, we just put like two more guys on injury reserve. We couldn't get an extra day. Like, no, no, no, you can't.
- [17:09]
A
It's strictly me saying it's the right schedule from knowing the way the NFL wants to do it. Maybe not necessarily from the competitive advantage.
- [17:15]
B
No, we don't again, but they don't care about that. It's all about who's going to get the most views.
- [17:19]
A
But like, but like the Texans had to play on Sunday because they played Monday. Right. If you think about the rest stuff. So like, I guess you could switch, you know, Rams, Bears with Seahawks, Niners. But then, you know, the, the Bills are still the one getting a disadvantage.
- [17:33]
B
So yeah, nobody again. At the end of the day, no one is someone's going to be find a reason to be upset.
- [17:37]
A
If you want the rest advantage, win your conference. Right?
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B
That's exactly. Win your schedule. So for me, I like the Seahawks a lot in this spot. We just kind of talked about it a little bit here with the rest advantage. Rest disadvantage. If there's any team that could use arrest, it's the San Francisco 49ers. And going back to that Week 18 matchup, again, these teams played just a couple weeks ago. And in that matchup, I mean, Seattle dominated the 49ers. So despite the fact that the score was 13 3, anybody that watched that game, 49ers were lucky to lose by only 10 points despite being the home team. So this is for NFL next gen stats. 49ers offense generated negative 0.46 expected points added per play in Week 18 against the Seahawks, their lowest mark of the season. They posted just a 40.5% success rate, the third lowest mark of the year. McCaffrey limited just 23 yards on eight carries, 25 success rate, lowest second of the season. And he failed to force a missed tackle on a rushing attempt for the first time in a game since week 12 of 20, 22 minimum of eight carries. So now Trent Williams didn't really play in that game. So that is kind of one factor. But who are they not going to have is another really big part of their offense and that's George Kittle. And this I'm actually going to kind of do this a little bit reverse. So my prediction is the Seahawks are going to win and cover. But I do want to hit on my prop here because I've already talked about Christian McCaffrey a little bit. So McCaffrey, I think he's going to finish under 57 and a half rushing yards. That is where his rushing prop was the last time I checked. And that's because George Kittle, we talk about him a ton as a receiver, especially for fantasy football purposes. But in real life football, you guys watch George Kittle play. He is one of the best run blockers among the tight ends. And if you look at what happened to CMC during the beginning of the season without Kittle, his rushing yardage was terrible. The efficiency was not there. He has gone under his rushing arts prop of 57 and a half rushing yards in six of his last seven games without George Kittle in the lineup. The only time that he went over this number this year without George Kittle was actually in week 17 and that was against the Chicago Bears in that crazy shootout game where I mean the Bears have like no linebackers left. So that I think was very more matchup specific. You look at Seattle's defense nowhere near the Chicago Bears defense. I mean this is an elite defense that already shut down CMC just two weeks ago. The 49ers are front runners. They play so much better ahead than playing from behind. They're not a team that's built to play from behind. Like there's a reason why Kyle Shannon is so bad as an underdog versus as a favorite, Christian McCaffrey when he's been an underdog with the 49ers seven and oh, towards the under on his rushing yards as underdog the last two seasons. And if you're kind of interested in how I'm Kind of generating these filters and splits. It's part of the betting pros app, the BP Prop bet cheat sheet. The analyzer you can filter by is my team favorite is my team in Underdog who's playing in this game. So it's a really cool way to kind of look at splits when certain players are in or out in certain situations of a team because it's easy to look up and be like, oh, the last three weeks they've done this, this, this. But if the upcoming matchup isn't similar to those past matchups, then I don't think it really carries as much weight. Whereas, okay, when the 49ers are not favored, okay, negative game script, you're not going to see as much CMC rushing effectively. What's interesting too is someone mentioned this on X. When I posted the CMC rushing outage prop, they asked, oh, what about the receiving? Well, it's like the total opposite, right? It's like over, over, over, over, over. So I would expect 49ers playing with a negative game script. I think that these Seahawks kind of smash here and I was talking to Fitz about it in Slack and he was like, erickson, why aren't you higher on the Seahawks? We put in the projections for the spreads, the totals for betting pros to kind of spit out and I mean he was looking at he would lay nine or 10 points with the Seattle Seahawks. And as I thought about it more, I'm like, yeah, the 49ers defense is absolutely terrible. Kittle is such an integral part of their offense. How he affects CMC rest advantage for Seattle and if you look at Sam Darnold, so this is from Matt Peralt actually mentioned this on the betting pro show with Fitz Darnold 13 and oh, straight up 10 and three against the spread as a six point plus favorite. So when the market is really believing in Sam Darnold, they're going to kill this team. They do. So I like back in the Seahawks here laying the points, I thought the 49ers were going to get blown out last week and the minute that Lane Johnson got ruled out, I immediately knew that was not going to happen. I don't think that they do it two weeks in a row. I think eventually all these injuries are going to catch up with them and I think against Seattle, who's already dominated them this season, this is not the Eagles offense that has looked so inept at times. I think the 49ers defense gets exposed. I think that Seattle just rolls. So give me the Seahawks against the spread Close your eyes. 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- [22:35]
A
Be warranty for 20% off our plans. Visit ahs.com listen see ahs.com contracts for coverage details including limit amounts, fees, limitations and exclusions. This was one of the tougher ones for me to pick. I do not feel as strongly as you I am going with the Niners not to win, but to cover. And we're going to, we're going to leave that seven and a half line because that's what we both made our picks at, even though it's moved. But we, we both submitted when it was seven and a half. I, I kind of see this as a close defensive game. It's much less about thinking that the Niners offense is going to look different against this defense the second time around. I mean, like Mike McDonald has been really good against this Shanahan system even before getting to Seattle. That was a big reason why the Seahawks wanted to hire him because the Ravens defense was excellent against this like NFL leading offensive scheme when he was in Baltimore and that like really carried a lot of weight with them. So you know, being in the same division as Shanahan and McVeigh. So like I, I do believe that the Seahawks are going to do a good job against this offense, especially with Kittle out. Like that's just like the cherry on top of expecting the Niners offense to struggle. But I don't know that I'm really buying into the Seahawks offense being very good as, as, as a Raven San, which everybody knows. I've been paying very close attention to a lot of these head coach candidates that the Ravens have interviewed. One that they have interviewed is Clint Kubiak. One that they have requested to interview is Robert Sala. So like obviously like I watch the NFL, I've been paying attention to these guys already, but I've been kind of like looking extra close at them just in thinking about them as possibilities for the Ravens. And the more I look, the more, the less impressed I come away from Clint Kubiak and the more impressed I come away from Robert Sala. And I wonder if this is a game where coaching is kind of enough to keep it close. These are, this is the third time these two have faced each other this season. You know, it's obviously divisional rivalry. These two teams know each other extremely well. It's a big number over a touchdown for A divisional round game is pretty sizable. And then I know you mentioned that Darnold has done better, you know when he is favorite of at least this much as you mentioned that Peralt mentioned. But I am just like not wired to really trust Darnold when, especially when I think the coaching advantage is on the other side of the ball. The Niners are super banged up right. Like this is not the ideal form of San Francisco's defense, but I don't need them to win, I just need them to cover. They could lose by a touchdown and still come away correct in this prediction. For me, I think this is going to be a low scoring game. I couldn't quite get to the point of of picking the under on 45 and a half, although I do definitely lean towards the under in this one. The other thing too, Erickson, and this is maybe more gut feel than it is driven by by logic and analysis. I don't feel like both one seeds are going to come out and smash and not that I have the Broncos smashing, but I do have them winning their game. So I kind of wanted to go, I kind of wanted to fade at least against the spread one of these teams and I felt like it was easier to do that with the Seahawks given the quarterback that I'm fading and given the the, the large line and the trust I have in the coaching staff for San Francisco as a general rule. So my prop is the under. Like I said, I couldn't quite get there for the prediction itself. The official prediction is that the Niners are going to cover seven and a half in Seattle.
- [26:01]
B
I think that the under is the the sharp way to play it. You look at the last four times these teams have played McDonald versus Shanahan. Again, quarterbacks aside, Seahawks is a little bit different defensively this year than compared to last season, especially early on the year with McDonald. I know his system sometimes takes time for the defensive players to really understand everything and how it works, but the last three games have all been unders and no game has exceeded 37 points. So you're taking out explosive playmakers like a George Kittle out of this offense. Jake Tungus, fun guy. But when you eliminate such a big play threat like Kittle, I think that leans in towards the under here. So I would agree with you that that's how I would play it as well if I was looking at the total, especially with it at 44 and a half, 45 and a half points. It's not like a one of these things is like I never want to bet unders when it's like 38 and a half where you're not getting a lot of value on it. I think there's value in the under there. So I would agree with you there on the total play.
- [27:04]
A
I, I almost, I'm not gonna do it because, you know, I made my decision. I'm gonna, I made my bed. I'm gonna lie in it. But I almost want to switch. I almost want to make my. My, like, prop sort of side pick. It's not a prop, but like just kind of picking the 49ers plus seven and a half. And my official prediction, under. Because I. Because you can do that.
- [27:22]
B
You can do. No, that's the. No, that's the point of the show. We talk it through. And then because I don't even have my hard rock best bet yet, I'm gonna announce it at the end.
- [27:29]
A
If you're okay with me switching, then I am going to switch to the under.
- [27:32]
B
Because.
- [27:32]
A
Because I feel better about it being a close defensive game than I do about the Niners covering. I'm just worried about this, the. Their offense against this defense, keeping it close enough. And if the Seahawks, you know, break one big play with jsn, I worry that that'll be a lot to overcome. But I feel really good about the under. So if you're okay with it, I will switch to the under 45 and a half.
- [27:50]
B
It's proved.
- [27:51]
A
Official prediction. All right. But I do still think the Niners cover. Like I said, I just don't feel nearly as good about it. If you want a chance to win the ultimate symbol of fantasy glory, the fantasy Football championship belt, courtesy of our good friends at Trophy Smack, the number one destination for epic fantasy football hardware, then this is your moment. This massive gold plated belt is built to make a statement. It's bold, it's heavy, and it's guaranteed to hurt, turn heads in your league. Don't just win your championship, wear it. To enter, all you need to do is subscribe to the Fantasy Pros YouTube channel right now. Drop a comment below in any of our videos. That is it. We will be announcing a winner right here on the channel, so make sure to turn on notifications so you don't miss your chance to claim this championship belt and flex on your entire league. It's going to be hilarious when this is a high scoring game and the Niners cover and I lose both sides of it. Okay, let's go to Texans at Patriots and Erickson. I will tell you, this was my favorite One. This is the one I wrote down right away. No hesitation. I am taking the under. Even though it is the lowest total of the week. It's at 41 on Hard Rock Bet. Let me double check, see if that's moved at all. Yep, still at 41 on Hard Rock Bet. And I'm taking the under here. I think it was under easily, honestly. The Texans defense, for my money, is the best defensive football. I've been saying that for months at this point. Not that I'm the only one, but I. I have felt strongly about that for months. Certainly looked, you know, like that was vindicated, you know, in that game against the Steelers where they absolutely dominated them. And for as good as Drake May is, I am just not like this is still his first playoff run. He did struggle against this Jesse Minter led Chargers defense. And that defense is not nearly even remotely as close to as talented as the Texans defense is. The Texans defense has made a lot of really good opponents look really bad this season. You know, even like thinking back to. Against Josh Allen, who's like as much of a contemporary of. Of this season of Drake May as anybody. They held him to 19 points, right? Like they held the Chiefs to 10 points. Obviously. Weird chief season. You know, like just looking back on like, like on their schedule, it's a lot of really good teams. Like the Ravens didn't have Lamar in that game, but they had Derrick Henry and they held them to 10 points, right? Like they held the Niners to 15 points back in October when they, you know, their team was a little bit healthier. It's like you just go down the line and it is a lot of just really impressive defensive performances against really good teams. And I am also wired to just kind of believe like they won in the wild card game, they were a good team. They should have won that. Like, I'm not convinced that this Patriots team is making a Super bowl run. I actually really strongly considered just picking the Texans to win this game. Honestly, Erickson, it would not surprise me if they did. At the very least picking them to cover the plus three. I really like that bet. But the under is the way I want to go because the Texas defense, I just think is that good. And I think Vrabel is a good enough defensive coach that he is going to kind of frustrate Str. I mean, Stroud looked pretty darn frustrated against the Steelers. I could see a similar kind of performance from him against the Patriots. But the Houston defense, keeping it really low scoring. And again, if this was in the 30s maybe I would like be more hesitant about it this number being in the 40s. I don't care that Drake May is one of the two best quarterbacks in football this season. I don't care about any of that. I like, I just, I am as much of a believer in this Texans defense as you can be and I'm going to take the under as long as I have the opportunity to do so.
- [31:19]
B
Yeah, I think that it's really interesting what I did before these last games played out. I looked at some of the look ahead lines because some books will post future matchups in those lines. So even before we knew who was playing who in the divisional round, there were certain sports books that had oh, this is what the lines are going to be. If it's Patriots, Texans. This is what the line is going to be. If it's Patriots, Steelers. And what it was before we saw these teams play, before the Patriots played, before the Texans played, it was the total was at 44 and a half points. So obviously after Texans defense shuts out the Steelers that gets bet down. The Patriots offense doesn't do anything against the Chargers defense. Really it goes down. So I thought that number was way too high anyway at 44 and a half.
- [32:05]
A
Yeah, I was gonna say that if that was the number I, that would be my hard rock best bet of the millennium.
- [32:11]
B
Yes, yes. And I think that. But also has to go with. We gravitate towards what we just saw. Oh well, the, the Rogers couldn't do anything. So obviously the Patriots are going to do nothing on offense. And I opened up this week to agreeing with you not that the Texans are going to win because. Come on, come on. I'm not, I'm not gonna, I'm not gonna say the Texans, maybe they cover.
- [32:30]
A
But, but by the way, by the way, setting aside week 18, which is obviously weird in that Colts game, setting aside that the Texans have gone under that number 44 in every week except for one since week 10. So like to end the season like that, that number would have been pretty ludicrous I think.
- [32:47]
B
Yeah. And there is always an edge to that too where if you bet, bet on games before you even know the outcome of the next game, well, you can get a lot of value but you could also get screwed because if quarterbacks get hurt or there's injuries. So again it's wagering at the end of the day. So there's always going to be some type of risk you're going to take on but there's also value to be had if you're willing to take on the risk. I agreed with basically everything you said about the under in this game. That's kind of high how I saw it as well especially at 41 when I did the hand.
- [33:14]
A
Sorry, I'm sorry. Let me give my prop too quickly because I forgot to give that drake may under 2022 excuse me 224 and a half passing yards. Drake May under that kind of going along just with like I think the offenses are going to struggle so go ahead but yeah, I just want to throw out the prop too.
- [33:27]
B
Yeah, that makes sense. Very correlated. I would assume if you threw that in the same game parlay builder on betting pros I'm sure that it would be an A plus coral A plus plus correlation with the under in the being a little bit disappointing from the offensive production side of things. Now I will say one of the things with the under in this game is the Patriots can generate a lot of explosive plays especially down the field. Like that has really been Drake Mays. That's been his difference in his impact on this Patriots offense that basically has not had an explosive playmaker since like Randy Moss. Like it was like so long that they could never generate anything big plays down the field. They had no juice anywhere offensively they get Henderson and then they really change the dynamics of this offense. And what I thought was interesting was going back. So Drake May's first NFL start last year was against the Houston Texans at home at Gillette. Patriots got smoked in that game because obviously they were terrible last year. But I thought it was really interesting how Drake May played in that game against a similar defense. It's not exactly the same, but still d' Amico Ryan's as the head coach still Will Anderson, still Danielle Hunter like rushing the passer. So I think that experience of facing this defense already in some capacity is going to be. It's going to bode well for Drake May and this offense. And two things that are kind of X factors for me are his mobility. Number one, Aaron Rodgers can't move. So when he's under pressure like you're not generating big plays. But Drake May has the ability to shake off a pass rusher and buy time and then chuck it downfield to K Sean Booty. K Sean Booty caught Drake Mays first touchdown in the NFL after he burned Derek Stingley on a go route. Both guys went to lsu so there's a familiarity there. And speaking of players that are familiar with this Texans defense, look at Stefan Diggs. He was on the Texans Last season he was actually a big part of why the Texans killed the Patriots last year because he was really effective against Christian Gonzalez. So I think that having some familiarity with this Texans defense, I think that gives the Patriots a little bit more of an edge. So I think that there are chances for New England to generate some big explosive plays. The offensive line is significantly better than it was last year. Drake May rush for 38 yards. The last time he faced this defense we saw last week when, hey, I couldn't generate anything down the field or as much, well, he's going to use his legs. And I know you kind of threw away week 18 as a weird game against the Colts and I would agree for the most part it was kind of a weird game. But in the first half the Texans were playing their guys and Riley Leonard was like lighting up this defense and how was he doing it? Big plays downfield to Alec Pierce. Like the Patriots have those guys with K Sean Booty generating big plays. Kyle Williams, big plays. Traven Henderson, big plays. So I think if this bet or if this game does go over, even if it's a by a little bit, it's because the Patriots get one or two big explosive plays with some of their playmakers like they've done all year long. So ultimately I like the Patriots to win this game. They're playing at home and when you look at the Patriots as field goal favorites, I believe that they've won 11 straight. So they've won 11 straight as favorites and they have 10 wins this season by at least three points or more. So they've covered in one games as field goal kind of margins for mostly all year. So I like New England to win. I think that the experience like I talked about with Drake maybe is going to bode well for him and this team. And if Nico Collins doesn't play like that's such a significant loss for this Texans offense because I feel like they might struggle especially with how good the Patriots run defense. This is like my last point here and this ties into my prop woody marks under 60 and a half rushing yards. Woody Marks coming off his best game as a pro last week against the Steelers going over 100 yards for the first time in his NFL career. I don't think that's going to sustain here because this Patriots run defense, I talked about it last week, I believe with betting the under on o' Marion Hampton where Barry, he didn't really even play in that game, but no running back had allowed or no running back the Patriots had faced had gone over 60 rushing arts through the first 11 games of the season. What was constant during those first 11 games, they had Milton Williams, they had Robert Spillane, they had all their defensive guys and starters back in the lineup. Those guys played in the wild card round. The Chargers running backs combined for 12 carries for 30 yards, 2.7 yards per carry. So Woody Marks is not getting anywhere near 100 rushing yards. Nowhere near 60 rushing yards this week. Potentially no Nico Collins. I don't think the Texans offense is going to keep up here if Drake may can generate a couple big plays. And that's why I like the Patriots to win cover minus two and a half.
- [37:55]
A
I mean that, that the Nico Collinsing is part of why I went with the under and not the Texans covering too. Because again, I mean like it's just really hard for me to imagine this Texans offense getting to like 17 points maybe. And then I'm like if the defense is as good as I really believe it is, then you know, the, the Patriots would need to get to 24 just to push a 41, you know, line. If the Texans aren't getting higher than 17, if anything under than that. And I, I like, I just don't see this. Like, I think the Patriots could get a big play, maybe even two. But is that going to be enough to score in the high 20s against this defense? Like, I, I really think this is like, you know, it's not quite like the, the 85 bears or the O2 bucks or the 2000 ravens. But like I do think it's, it's like up there and it's a, I think it's a good enough defense to carry a bad offense to a Super bowl, especially in a field like this. So I'm not saying that the Texans are my pick to make the super bowl, but like they're a good enough defense that that is the best unit on the field and that is going to carry weight with me especially again against a really young quarterback in just his second playoff game ever who kind of struggled in his first one. Not that he was bad. This is not at all a knock on Drake May. I just mean like they didn't score a ton. Like you know, it wouldn't surprise me if we see something a similar offensive output.
- [39:10]
B
He, he played a. And I was talking about this on some of the betting shows last week because my, I think one of my best bets last week was the under in that game because Chargers Patriots game was 46 and a half points. That total was and like watching that game, you think that total is ludicrous. Like, what were we thinking here? And that's because the Patriots have only played two top 10 defenses all year. They've played the Browns and then they played the Chargers and this will be the third one they play. So again, I'm not saying that even though I think that there is a chance it could go over 41. It's. It would be more likely because there's turnovers and there's short fields. Because we saw both of these quarterbacks. I mean, Stroud could. Dude, why could he not, like, handle weirdest things? And Drake May had some turnovers against the Chargers.
- [39:54]
A
That was Mike Tomlin, Devil magic in that and getting it all out of his system before retiring. Okay, yeah, we can move on from this one, by the way. Like, and I'm going to bring this up on the next one, too. Like, you got to take the Patriots, like, minus three. You can't just have your prediction be that, oh, the favorite's going to win this game. That, like, no wonder you have a better record than me in this. I'm actually out here making picks against the spread. And you're like, oh, this team that's favored by three points at home and is the much higher, they're going to win the game.
- [40:22]
B
Okay, okay, okay. Yeah, I'll, I'll update mine to the Patriots covering.
- [40:25]
A
All right, thank you. I appreciate that. We're going live during another NFL playoff game. Join Joe Psapia and Scott Bogman at 4:15pm Eastern this Saturday for a first half betting live stream as the Buffalo Bills take on the Denver Broncos. We're tracking line movement in real time, breaking down live odds and calling out bets as the game unfolds. Get in before kickoff and catch us live on The Betting Pros YouTube channel. That's YouTube.com betting pros. All right, Erickson. Rams at bears. Rams are minus three and a half. And this is, I was just referencing this to. Your prediction is that the Rams win. You got, you gotta take minus the points here. You can't say that the team favored by 3 1/2 is gonna win. And that's your big prediction here.
- [41:05]
B
I mean, I can do whatever I want. The predictions don't say I have to do because I, because I. Because this game for me is the hardest one.
- [41:13]
A
Okay, So I will admit to. I found them all hard except for Patriots, Texans, but I thought this was the hardest. So I'm in total agreement with you there.
- [41:20]
B
You have a West coast indoor team going on the road to play the Bears in What's going to feel like 5 degree weather, right? And the quarterback is dealing with this like finger injury. So that's why I'm kind of terrified of this game, because everything suggests, hey, Rams just steamroll. The Bears can't keep this up. They can't keep sucking for three quarters and then just like pulling out a W in the fourth quarter. You have the Leflore brother thing going on where Mike LaFleur is part of the Rams staff. He is the brother of Matt LaFleur who hates Ben Johnson. Ben Johnson hates the packers and all this, you know, all this nonsense. So this one is tough for me. I ultimately that's why I sided with just the Rams winning because I'm trying to basically be a coward. If anything, that's my prediction. I love this prop. This is like way more confidence level. Luther Burden going over two and a half receptions. I was really high on Jalen Coker last week against the Los Angeles Rams. That was one of my favorite props. It was one of the rops I hit last week on the show was the first one we talked about between the Panthers and Rams over three and a half receptions is because the Rams can't stop, can't stop slot receivers, right? That is one of their biggest weaknesses in their secondary. You saw Jalen Coker not just blow up in Week 19, but he had a very productive game in the first matchup against the Rams earlier in the season because he's deployed from the slot. Burden last week in the Wild car round ran 51 of his routes from the slot. He got three balls for 42 yards on seven targets in total. He also had five targets in the first half. And although Roma Dunes came back into the lineup last week, Burton has at least three catches in nine straight games, including his last five games with Ramadunza in the lineup. So I don't feel as confident about the spread or total in this particular matchup because of the weather, because of a quarterback injury potential and because of the Bears just pulling out these fourth quarter magic. I love this prop the most. This is one of my favorite props that we've talked about is Bird going over two and a half receptions. Because it's been absolute money for the majority of the year. The second half of the season and the matchup against the Rams is just, just a slot funnel. And that's where Burden is primarily deployed in the spares passing game.
- [43:31]
A
The weather in this game is the reason why I'm not like all in on the Rams. If not for that situation, I'd Be like really high on Rams covering this easily, but like the really cold, you know, Chicago weather does scare me genuinely. My ultimate prediction here is I have the Rams winning and I didn't say they were going to cover, but I had to make. To make it a little more just like beyond that, I added a note that this ends up being the most fun game on the slate, which. Which I think it could very easily be. I think this could be a really high scoring back and forth. I do have the under as my prop here or not proper, like, I have the under as a pick that I like. It was at 49 when I wrote it down. It's moved down to 48 and a half here, but obviously it's still the highest of the week. I do like it to go under, you know, given the weather and everything. But I still think this will be a back and forth, fun feel like the ball's moving type of a game. You know, it'll be in question late. I think eventually this Bears like, crazy late game luck is going to run out. I think it happens here. And I think the rant, like, for as much as the weather scares me and the idea of like Stafford with a bad back at 38 years old, getting knocked down onto the, you know.
- [44:47]
B
The hard ground, cold tundra of Soldier.
- [44:50]
A
Soldier Field, exactly as much as that, like, scares me and everything. I am just like, I. I have felt basically since like late October that the Rams are the best team in football. And I know that it's been a little shakier in the last month and a half here. Maybe that's just they're a bad matchup with the Panthers for some reason. I don't know. I don't, I don't want to hold when the same team that I don't think is as good as the team I like keeps winning or making it closer than it should be. I'm inclined to say, like, sometimes, like, teams are just like, not a great matchup for you. And I don't want to overreact to that when A, the Rams still came out with the win and B, like, I like, I just, I just still think they're the best team in the NFL and I think they're going to end up winning here despite being on the road, despite the weather, because I don't think the Bears are there yet. I think the Bears are good. I think they're fun. I think the marriage between Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams is going to be really, really quite enjoyable for the next decade. But there this is Their first year of this marriage. This is a very, very flawed defense. This is still an up and down offense. I don't think that the Bears are, who have really relied on their run game for a lot of the season, are going to be able to run that well on the Rams. I think they can throw on the Rams, but. But if the weather is, you know, not great, that could impact them too, even though that's their home field. So I just think there's just enough that I think the Rams kind of hold him off at the end and bring this, this run of crazy late game luck for the Bears. I don't want to call it all luck because there's obviously a level of like, you know, mental fortitude to win those games, but like, you know, ultimately it's a version of luck and I think that that version of luck runs out this week.
- [46:37]
B
It's not sustainable. That shouldn't be your strategy. It's funny, I think they were talking to or reporter was talking to one of the defensive backs for the Bears and in the fourth quarter he was talking about, oh, well, we're going to get a turnover because it's like, oh, we've just been banking on these turnovers to win these games every single week. And well, what if that doesn't happen against to your point, one of the best, if not the best team in the NFL. And it's funny, as we talked about this when we started, was not confident in making my pick. I think I actually am going to take the Rams against the spread, especially with the, the line moving a little bit. So I think it opened closer to Rams minus four and a half. Now I think it's down to Rams minus three and a half and I think I'm going to take the Rams. And again, listening to you kind of talk about it, we agreed on some of the similar points. A couple things I wanted to note. So the Bears are going to be without their starting left tackle, Ozzy Tripillo, because he got injured last week. So that's a big loss to their offensive line. Whereas Matthew Stafford, they're going to get one of their offensive linemen back, Kevin Dotson, he's going to come back to the starting lineup. And the thing too about the Rams, last year we saw them go to Philadelphia, play in a snowstorm and almost win that game outright. So maybe we're overblowing this weather thing just a little bit. And the other thing too is the Rams can also run the football, right? They got two really good running backs and what have we seen the Bears not be able to do at all all year is stop the run because all their linebackers injured. They just put TJ Edwards on injured reserve with a broken leg so they're running out of bodies. Maybe this game is just Stafford. Hey, I've already locked up the mvp. I just want to get the W handed off to Kyren Williams, hand it off to Blake Corum. They can't stop the run and we don't even give them a chance to have a comeback in the fourth quarter because we're playing bully ball with our two running backs. So maybe that's a way that you can spin it to really being pro Rams while also kind of considering the weather factor playing in. And to your point about the Panthers kind of being their their kryptonite, if you look at the Rams on the road since 2023, they're 114 against the spread as a road favorite, 122 straight up and they're 11 and 2 against the spread versus all teams not named the Carolina Panthers. So like when they go on the road like they are road warriors despite playing on the west coast, having to travel a ton despite having to play outdoors a lot of the time, playing in colder weather elements. So yeah, I'm not sure how we got here, but I think I am feeling more confident about laying the points here with the Rams. And maybe we're getting some value on being afraid of the weather when maybe we're overblown. I mean we're more often than not. I don't think I've ever made a great decision because I took consideration of what the weather was going to be. I'm usually always regret it.
- [49:15]
A
Well we are picking the Rams, right? We're just saying it like despite the weather. So it's not like it's it's keep it's just like we're less gung ho because of the weather. We're not not picking the ramps because of it. Like I think it would be a mistake to say I really believe in the Rams as much as I do, but I'm going to pick the Bears solely because it's going to be cold outside. Like that would be crazy. But that sounds like it's enough to make it not my hard rock best bet of the week. But it's like I still am picking the Rams here and ultimately and I'm not picking them against the spread, I'm just picking them straight up. If I was forced to pick against the spread I would probably still take the Rams. We're doing it three And a half.
- [49:55]
B
We're squad riding Rams minus three and a half. Let's go.
- [50:00]
A
Yeah. Yeah. So I, I, you know, and, and, and the Bears, I'm looking here, I, I, I typically just look at the odds for, you know, against spread and everything because that's what we usually pick here. The Rams money line would be minus 200, which I wouldn't feel, I wouldn't like. I would, I would display the points at that number. So.
- [50:24]
B
Well, it's three. It's three and a half right at Hard Rock bets.
- [50:27]
A
Three and a half.
- [50:28]
B
So there again, that has been going down. So there has been money coming in on the Bears because I think when I checked yesterday it was minus four and a half. So I think that there are concerns about the weather and maybe we're overblowing it. It's like, go Rams, man. Run the football with Kyron Williams, Blake Corm. They can't stop the run and they won't have a chance to come back in the fourth quarter because Sean McVeigh is going to lay the hammer. Just pound the rock.
- [50:51]
A
Well, speaking of Hard Rock bet, today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock bet. So it's time for Hard Rock best bets of the week, presented by Hard Rock Bet. Erickson, what is your Hard Rock best bet of the week?
- [51:02]
B
I am going to go with the New England Patriots covering against The Houston Texans minus three or minus three and a half. The Patriots this year have won 11 straight games as favorites. They've won 10 games this season by at least three points or more. Yes, Houston has an elite defense, but the Patriots have Drake May. So give me the paths laying the points at home.
- [51:27]
A
You mentioned that the Patriots have won 11 straight games against the spread. The Texans have just won like 10 straight games, period. Like all, they just keep winning. I, I am not. I'm so, so it's funny because we're.
- [51:40]
B
Going head to head with our Hard Rock best bets.
- [51:42]
A
I was going to say, I'm so tempted to take Houston +3. At the end of the day, I will stick to my guns and say Texans Pats under 41 is my hard Rock best bet of the week. I am very, very tempted to go against you. So honestly, I'm tempted. I told you. Just look at the money line. I'm tempted to take the Texans on the money line. I, they're plus 145 at Hard Rock Bet. I, I think the defense is the best unit in the playoffs and like I've been thinking about them as a dark horse super bowl contender in a in a year like this where there's not like, who who's the obvious like superhero they have to beat. It's just Josh Allen. They've beaten Josh Allen already this season. Like, like I really do think as a dark horse contender, they're really intriguing to me with this defense. And if Stroud can just like not turn the ball over four times in a game, like, I would feel even better about it. So I'm so tempted to parlay the under with Texans Moneyline or Houston +3, but I can't quite get there. This is supposed to be what I feel best about, so I will I will stick with just what I do feel best about, which is the same game as you, but I'm taking the under here at 41. As I already talked about, those were our Hard Rock best bets of the week. Remember, Hard Rock Bet has live in game betting, so you're never too late to the action. Find a winner or grab that player prop you meant to play and live bet between snaps in just a few easy taps bonus bets. If you win, just place a $5 bet and if it hits, you get not only your winnings but also an extra $150 in bonus bets. So just because your team may be out of it, that doesn't mean you have to sit on the sidelines this postseason. Between same game parlays, live betting, a can't miss welcome offer, and new promos dropping every day, Hard Rock Bet has you covered all postseason long. Download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit payable and bonus bets.
- [53:25]
B
Not a cash offer offered by the.
- [53:26]
A
Seminole Tribe of Florida and Florida offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC and other states must be 21 + in.
- [53:32]
B
Physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois.
- [53:35]
A
Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia.
- [53:38]
B
Play terms and conditions apply.
- [53:39]
A
Concerned about gambling in Florida? Call 1833 play wise in Indiana, if you or someone you know has a gambling Problem wants help, call 1-809 with it Gambling problem call 1-800- gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia Erickson. We'll get out of here on that. Enjoy the game. Enjoy the weekend as a whole, but enjoy particularly going to the game. I've only attended one Ravens postseason game in my life. They lost. But it was very fun to be a part of that atmosphere going into that. So enjoy it. I will not be rooting for the Patriots, but I will be rooting for you to have a good time.
- [54:12]
B
Oh, I appreciate that. I've actually been to multiple Ravens playoff games.
- [54:16]
A
Ravens playoff games?
- [54:17]
B
Well, yeah, because they're always, they're always visiting the New England Patriots. Yes. So I was at the Billy Cundiff game, so that was a big highlight for me. I was also at the Ray Rice game where he went for like a billion yards. I think Joe Flacco attempted like four passes.
- [54:33]
A
He ran for like an 80 yard touchdown the first play of the game and just never stopped.
- [54:39]
B
Yeah. So I've been to some wins, been to some losses, hopefully going to a win. And hopefully we can talk about the Patriots next week here on the prediction show and not the Houston Texans.
- [54:49]
A
That, that, that kind of one. That was the heartbreaker. Like of all the Ravens had a lot of heartbreakers in the last decade and a half, that was the one that like especially in the pre Lamar era was the, like this was a Super bowl level team and like Flacco outplayed Brady.
- [55:06]
B
Oh no. Brady was in terrible in that game.
- [55:09]
A
And it didn't matter. So.
- [55:10]
B
Well, the Patriots end up losing the super bowl anyway, so really it's not that great of a memory either because they end up.
- [55:16]
A
It's not just the Billy Cundiff game, it's the Lee Evans game.
- [55:19]
B
Oh my God.
- [55:20]
A
Followed by Billy Cundiff and Lee Evans. Yeah, I think we think about that a lot here in Baltimore. All right, we'll go ahead and wrap things up there for Erickson. I'm Ryan Wormley. Thanks everybody for tuning in. We'll see you again next time. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on apple podcasts@fantasypros.com review or on Spotify. Follow us on X Instagram and TikTok Antasypros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube.com fantasypros. This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.