FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast

Episode: Top Super Bowl LX Player Prop Picks and Predictions (Ep. 1956)
Date: February 7, 2026
Hosts: Joey P. (Joe Pisapia), Andrew Erickson, The Welsh

Episode Overview

This episode dives deep into the top player prop bets and predictions for Super Bowl LX (60), featuring a matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots. Joey P., Andrew Erickson, and the Welsh bring their signature humor and analysis, focusing specifically on actionable player props, long-shot bets, and creative novelty picks. They also share their favorite anytime TD calls and special Super Bowl angles, perfect for both casual and hardcore fantasy football fans.

Key Discussion Points and Insights

1. Setting the Tone: Super Bowl & Props Hype

• Opening Banter: The crew jokes about the Puppy Bowl and reflects on previous Super Bowls, especially Seahawks vs. Patriots (02:07).
• YouTube Street Interviews: Joey P. notes Seahawks fans are still haunted by the infamous Marshawn Lynch goal-line play from over a decade ago (02:37).
• Main Focus: This final football episode of the season zeroes in on player props, with expert bets from both Andrew and the Welsh.

2. Top Player Prop Bets

a. Welsh’s First Pick: Cooper Kupp, Over 4 Receptions (+120/+130)

• Rationale:
  • Patriots secondary is strong but doesn’t shadow WR1s frequently.
  • Cooper Kupp’s usage has increased in the playoffs (11 targets in both games, hitting 4+ receptions both times).
  • Expectation that the Patriots will try to limit JSN (Jaxon Smith-Njigba), opening room for Kupp on shorter routes.
• Quote:
  • “This is going to be a great spot for Cooper Kupp to lock in a couple receptions. So give me plus money for four Cooper Kupp receptions as my first bet.” (03:34)

b. Erickson’s First Pick: Ken Walker, Under 73.5 Rushing Yards

• Rationale:
  • Patriots’ healthy run defense is elite—no recent playoff RBs have come close to hitting 73.5 yards.
  • Even without Zach Charbonnet, Walker trends under this number in similar spots.
  • Patriots’ DL talent (Milton Williams, Spillane, Tunga, Barmore) makes running tough.
• Quote:
  • “Nobody in the playoffs against the healthy Patriots run defense has come anywhere near close. 73 and a half rushing yards…so I am taking the under here.” (05:05)

c. Travion Henderson Props (Both Hosts)

• Welsh: Over 2.5 Receiving Yards

  • “Ridiculously low number…this is a one catch scenario…I love this one.” (06:40)

• Erickson: Over 0.5 Receptions (also recommends alt yards at 30+ for 11:1 odds)

  • Calls it “juicy” but notes Patriots’ frequent passing to RBs when underdogs (Henderson is 6-0 on this line as a dog).
  • “He has three games of 30 receiving yards already this season and we know how explosive he is…so yeah, I like taking advantage of some of these really low numbers.” (10:17)

3. Niche and Novelty Props

a. Hunter Henry Props (Patriots TE)

• Erickson: Over 3.5 Receptions

  • Seahawks’ zone D gives up big games to TEs (allowed 63.5 yards/game).
  • Henry previously posted 8/109/12 (recs/yards/targets) vs. this defense in 2024.
  • “If he’s going to have a six catch game, he’s probably going to follow this type of script…” (15:36)

• Welsh: Over 5 Rec. Yards in 1st Quarter (+125)

  • Hunter Henry’s average depth and YPC means “one catch equals a win.”
  • “I need one catch. I need five yards from Hunter Henry, plus 125. I absolutely love this one…” (17:21)

b. George Holani (Seahawks RB) Over 11.5 Receiving Yards

• Welsh:
  • Holani steps in for Charbonnet; 4 targets, 3-27-0 receiving vs. Rams.
  • “Heavily involved on passing downs…so I love 11.5 receiving yards for George Holani over.” (20:35)

c. Over 2.5 Players to Attempt a Pass

• Erickson:
  • “Will someone beyond Drake Maye or Sam Darnold pass the ball?”
  • Patriots & Seahawks have used trick plays this year; sees Philly Special vibes.
  • “All the tricks are coming out…Cooper Kupp would be my bet if it’s not another QB.” (22:09–23:38)

d. AJ Barner (Seahawks TE) Over 0.5 Rushing Yards

• Welsh:
  • Barner used as Wildcat QB for the “tush push” on short yardage.
  • “He has had at least 2 yards rushing in three of his last four games.” (25:47)

e. Stefon Diggs, Under 18.5 MPH Fastest Speed (Next Gen Stats)

• Erickson:
  • Diggs hasn’t topped this number all season.
  • “We’re not going to know if he does this until very much after the game…I feel good about it.” (27:05)

4. Touchdown Calls & Long-Shot Bets

a. Joey P.’s Picks

• Kayshon Boutte (Patriots WR) Anytime TD (+320)
  • “Big play guy…can find that big touchdown in this game.”
• Patriots Defense Anytime TD (+850)
  • Predicts pick-six off Darnold under pressure.
  • “This is very much in play considering Sam Darnold’s rates against pressure…” (29:34)

b. Welsh’s Picks

• Cooper Kupp Anytime TD (+250/260)
• Hunter Henry Anytime TD (+250)
• Jake Bobo (Seahawks WR) Anytime TD (+1100)
  • “It’s a really, really tough secondary matchup. They like Bobo when they get into that red zone spot…” (30:34)

c. Erickson’s Picks

• Hunter Henry Anytime TD (+250) — agrees with Welsh
  • “Ranks first among all non-RBs in red zone targets in this game.”
• Travion Henderson Anytime TD (+550)
  • “Plus 550 for a player that ranks second in total touchdowns in this game…that’s too long for a player with his skill set.”
• First TD Longshot: Eric Saubert (Seahawks TE) (+8000)
  • “He’s the blocking tight end…Seahawks go up seven nothing, there you go.” (33:36)

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• Welsh, on Puppy Bowl:
  “I want uncensored Puppy Bowl. This is America. Give me uncensored three hours of Puppy Bowl, please.” (02:01)
• Erickson, on Patriots underdog passing trends:
  “Henderson, 6-0 towards the receptions prop when the Patriots have been underdogs this season.” (08:36)
• Welsh, on quirky props:
  “If it’s four yards, we riot, but we’re going over five.” (17:21)
• Erickson, on the Next Gen Stats bet:
  “I’m going to be watching every Diggs catch and just hoping that he kind of falls down after each one so he can’t build up that speed.” (27:05)
• Joey P., on Bobo’s viral moment:
  “Gotta love a good Jake Bobo touchdown.” (31:29)
• Erickson, on super longshots:
  “Plus 8,000 Eric Saubert lock of the week. Here we go.” (33:50)

Important Timestamps

• 03:34 – Cooper Kupp Over 4 Receptions
• 05:05 – Ken Walker Under 73.5 Rushing Yards
• 06:40 – Travion Henderson Over 2.5 Receiving Yards
• 08:36 – Travion Henderson Over 0.5 Receptions
• 14:38 – Hunter Henry Over 3.5 Receptions
• 17:21 – Hunter Henry 5+ Rec Yards in 1st Quarter
• 20:35 – George Holani Over 11.5 Rec Yards
• 22:09 – Over 2.5 Players to Attempt a Pass
• 25:47 – AJ Barner Over 0.5 Rushing Yards
• 27:05 – Stefon Diggs Under 18.5 MPH Fastest Speed
• 29:34 – Anytime Touchdown Calls

Style & Tone

The hosts keep things lively and light-hearted with running jokes, quirky prop recommendations, and honest analysis. They balance sharp data insights with friendly banter, making the episode enjoyable for seasoned DFS grinders and recreational bettors alike.

Final Takeaways

• Player props can offer tremendous value: The crew looks for edges in specific usage trends and matchup quirks.
• Novelty props add fun: Super Bowl betting isn’t just about traditional stats—creative wagers can cash big.
• Longshots and first TD bets: The hosts love swinging for upside on the grand stage.
• Actionable picks: The episode is packed with legitimate betting suggestions ready to play.

If you’re looking for sharp, entertaining analysis on Super Bowl LX props—from serious bets to outrageous longshots—this episode is a must-listen.