FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast

Episode: Week 10 Buy Low + Sell High Running Back Targets (Ep. 1819)

Date: November 4, 2025
Hosts: Ryan Warmly & Andrew Erickson

Episode Overview

In this episode, Ryan and Andrew focus on key buy-low and sell-high running back targets as the fantasy football season heads into Week 10 and the NFL trade deadline looms. They also briefly discuss the latest NFL news, notably the shocking trade of Sauce Gardner to the Colts, and answer a slew of strategic audience questions.

The episode is marked by actionable analysis, forward-looking playoff thinking, and lively back-and-forth about rookie breakouts, backfield committees, and fantasy trading tactics as the season’s homestretch approaches.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. NFL & Fantasy Trade Deadline Mindset

• Macro trade strategy:

  • Andrew recommends generally “selling high” on backup or newly promoted players after the NFL trade deadline if their value is boosted by hype, noting that situations often turn less fruitful than the market expects.
    Quote:

    “Usually more often than not, you're going to be right when you can sell on hype and upside.” – Andrew (13:15)

  • Be cautious with recent opportunity spikes—capitalize on hype before chance fades or committee situations emerge.

• Monitoring new roles post-trade:

  • React quickly after news hits—don’t wait to see if a player pans out before flipping them for a stable asset.

2. Monday Night Football & Cardinals QB Situation

[03:20-11:40]

• Ryan couldn’t watch Cardinals vs. Cowboys but suffered a brutal fantasy loss on a last-play Dak interception.
• Andrew reports:
  • Cowboys’ offense stumbled in the red zone, but he’s not concerned about core player performance long-term.
  • Cardinals’ defense underrated; not an easy pushover for fantasy matchups.
• QB Change Impact:
  • Jacoby Brissett has ignited the Cardinals’ offense—higher scoring, more yards, and boosted production for Marvin Harrison Jr.
    • “This offense operates at a better level with Jacoby Brissett … a better fit for this Drew Petsing offense.” – Andrew (05:36)
  • Jonathan Gannon claims Kyler Murray will take over when healthy, but team success under Brissett could lead to a QB controversy.
  • Fantasy Spin:
    • Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR25 rest of season) is a hold or subtle buy, pending clarity at quarterback.
    • If Brissett keeps starting, Harrison's rest-of-season ranking should rise.

3. Macro-Level Trading Advice at the Deadline

[11:53-14:32]

• When an NFL trade or depth chart shakeup elevates a backup RB to potential starter:
  • More often than not, sell high on the hype before reality (committee, underperformance) sets in.
  • Example: Cash out on “suddenly valuable” RBs for more bankable assets.

Running Back Buy-Low Targets

1. TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

[14:32-23:29]

• “Oldie but a goodie”—finally saw a “step forward” in usage (75% snaps, 18 touches, 21% target share) with Rhamondre Stevenson out.
• Strengths:
  • Pass protection improving—a key trust factor with coaches.
  • Fantasy Playoff Schedule: Best in the league (BUF, BAL, NYJ Weeks 15-17).
• Patriots may add another RB (to be seen after the trade deadline), but that signals Stevenson’s injury could be lingering.
• Rest of Season Ranking: RB25—firmly in the upside rookie RB mix.
• Target as a buy-low before a “true breakout” drives his price up.
• Quote:

  “I'm just glad it's not a full breakout. Right. Because he would be more expensive to try and get.” – Andrew (17:38)

Trade Strategy

• If you have underperforming veteran RBs (like Krasky Merritt), flip them for Henderson’s upside.

2. Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

[27:00-32:26]

• The Raiders and Patriots have the top two playoff RB schedules. Jeanty is a league-winner candidate.
• Usage: Played 90% snaps last week, 18 touches, scored, elite missed-tackle production.
• Raiders offense looking revitalized with Brock Bowers back.
• RB15 in expected points per game—high workload safety net plus upside in plus matchups.
• Notable playoff/week 17 matchup: Giants.
• Rest of Season Ranking: RB12—right at the edge of the RB1 tier.
• Quote:

  “Genti has a really high floor because of the way he's using the Raiders offense.” – Andrew (27:05)

• Trade for Jeanty via WR-for-RB deal or by packaging mid-tier assets, rather than head-to-head with other top RBs.

Running Back Sell-High Targets

1. D’Andre Swift (Bears)

[34:13-38:45]

• Swift is injured (groin), missed a week, and rookie Kyle Monangai exploded in his absence (176 rushing yards, 30+ touches).
• Bears coaches may shift to a true 1A/1B or even 50/50 split, reducing Swift’s week-to-week ceiling.
• Upcoming schedule gets harder in fantasy playoffs (Browns/Packers/49ers).
• Quote:

  “I'm getting off the DeAndre Swift ride right now. There's enough things going against him.” – Andrew (36:31)

• Trade Swift before he returns to a muddy committee and/or fades with injury management.
• Kyle Monangai: Hold for now (comfortable schedule, high volume until Swift returns), not a “sell” himself.

2. Breece Hall (Jets)

[39:04-41:15]

• Jets began trading key pieces (Sauce Gardner)—signs of focusing on the future.
• Hall coming off a big game, but upcoming schedule after the bye is brutal (Browns/Patriots—both twice).
• Patriots defense: No 50+ yard rushers allowed all season.
• If traded to a contender, re-evaluate; otherwise, sell high where possible.
• Quote:

  “Tough schedule. Breeze Hall is coming off a monster game. And if he is on the jets, look, … they're sellers, right?” – Andrew (40:11)

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On rookie RB breakouts and playoff stashes:

  “We see this all the time—rookie running backs break out in the second half … this is a good bet to make.” – Andrew (17:17)

• On emotional fantasy losses:

  “It was a really bleak, dark moment for me.” – Ryan (02:50)

• On Jacoby Brissett’s effect:

  “This offense operates at a better level with Jacoby Brissett—we all see it.” – Andrew (05:37)

• Historic trade news mid-show:

  “Jets are trading Sauce Gardner to the Colts. Wow.” – Ryan (39:11)

Timestamps for Key Segments

• [03:20] Monday Night Football Reaction: Cardinals vs. Cowboys & the Jacoby/Kyler Conundrum
• [11:53] Macro Fantasy Trade Deadline Strategy
• [14:32] TreVeyon Henderson Buy Case
• [27:00] Ashton Jeanty Buy Case
• [34:13] D’Andre Swift Sell Case (+Monangai)
• [39:04] Breece Hall Sell Case & Sauce Gardner Trade Reaction
• [42:54] Audience Q&A: Rapid-fire trade advice

Audience Q&A Highlights

[42:54-46:54]

• Trey Benson for Michael Pittman? — Yes, prefer Pittman’s stability.
• Dowdle for Kittle (needs TE help)? — Yes, classic “trade depth for positional upgrade” move.
• Give JSN for Dowdle/Benson/Adun? — No, keep elite WR over RB depth.
• Breece Hall for Jaylen Waddle (RB depth, thin at WR)? — Yes, prioritize positional star power for playoff push.

Tone & Style Notes

• Conversational, insightful, and strategy-rich—the hosts use humor and candid personal stories (“Manung guys!”) to keep things light while offering depth.
• Quotes and position statements are balanced, erring on the side of actionable, practical advice without hyping up short-term trends.

Summary Takeaways

• Rookie RBs are the best buy targets for the fantasy playoffs, especially Henderson and Jeanty.
• Sell injury-prone committee RBs (Swift, Hall) as their profiles are about to get murkier.
• Monitor NFL deadline moves carefully for smart post-hype sales.
• Use playoff schedule as a tiebreaker for RB roster moves as the playoff stretch nears.

This episode is a must-listen for managers looking to position themselves for the fantasy playoffs, with deep dives on emerging rookie RBs, fading veterans, and the subtle shifts that can define your championship run.