FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast

Episode: Week 12 Buy Low + Sell High Wide Receiver Targets (Ep. 1852)
Date: November 19, 2025
Hosts: Seth Wilcox, Andrew Erickson

Episode Overview

This week's episode delivers hard-hitting fantasy football trade advice focused on wide receiver buy low and sell high targets heading into Week 12—the last major trade window of the season. Seth Wilcox and Andrew Erickson unpack which WRs can help you dominate the stretch run, touch on actionable QB and TE moves, and answer critical mailbag questions from listeners eyeing a championship push.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

Thanksgiving Banter and Show Rundown

• The show kicks off with lighthearted Thanksgiving food "buy/sell" takes, then pivots into the trade deadline-centric agenda.
  • [01:12] Andrew: Buys "all the meat" and potatoes, avoids "rabbit food" like salad.
  • [02:01] Seth: Champions salads and stuffing, brings buffalo chicken dip to the family spread.
  • [03:00] Both agree on passing up dry turkey and cranberry sauce.

Wide Receiver Buy Low Targets

1. Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings)

• Rationale: Elite opportunity and target share despite lackluster fantasy output in recent weeks.
  • Last week: 9 targets (28% share); struggles tied to rookie QB JJ McCarthy, but schedule is about to turn.
  • [06:54] Upcoming fantasy playoff schedule: Commanders, Cowboys, Giants, Lions—"the number one schedule for WRs during Weeks 14-17." (Andrew)
  • [07:02] "Chasing the schedule. I'm chasing positive regression. He's WR7 in expected points per game, but WR19 in actual points per game. Is Justin Jefferson really going to finish the season outside the top 15 wide receivers when he's never finished lower than WR6?" —Andrew Erickson
  • [08:56] Seth echoes, citing strong advanced stats but abysmal efficiency due to QB changes; now is the lowest Jefferson’s value is likely to be.
  • Conclusion: Buy low due to upcoming schedule, positive regression, and elite role.

2. DK Metcalf (Pittsburgh Steelers)

• Rationale: Down weeks coincide with QB struggles/injury and overall Steelers offensive woes, but schedule turns up.
  • [10:42] "Metcalf has a lot of favorable matchups down the stretch and he's just kind of run bad the last couple of weeks." —Andrew
  • Schedule: Steelers WRs have the best strength of schedule per FantasyPros tool.
  • [13:00] "Basically, if you'd bought low on every single WR attached to a backup QB this year, you'd be printing money." —Andrew
  • [14:59] Seth highlights that replacement QB Mason Rudolph made George Pickens a "league winner" in 2023 and should be serviceable for DK.
  • Injury note: Aaron Rodgers finger issue has coincided with Metcalf’s slump.
  • [16:24] “You can probably get [Metcalf] at a very, very good cost.”
  • Conclusion: Buy low after three bad weeks; replacement QB unlikely to decimate his value; schedule is a major plus.

Wide Receiver Sell High Targets

1. A.J. Brown (Philadelphia Eagles)

• Rationale: Production trending down, efficiency waning, and team situation is declining after Lane Johnson injury.
  • [19:18] "The inefficiencies from him this year have been really eye-opening...he's averaging a career low in yards per route run." —Andrew
  • [20:21] "It's less matchup dependent with A.J. Brown and more about what are the Eagles deciding to do on offense this week?" —Andrew
  • [20:56] Lane Johnson injury: When Johnson is out, Eagles’ passing game efficiency drops (7.8 y/a vs. 6.7 y/a; highest pressure rate allowed).
  • [21:49] Seth: Only two WR1 finishes, projected career-low outputs; "This is not the A.J. Brown we drafted."
  • [22:54] “It's not meant to bury A.J. Brown…but for 2025, it is not AJB WR1 season.” —Andrew
  • Conclusion: Field offers for AJB—trade on name value while you can.

2. Deebo Samuel (Washington Commanders)

• Rationale: Recent TDs masking concerning drop in usage and efficiency, bad schedule, WR competition soon returning from injury.
  • [24:12] "He's been outside the top 45 fantasy WRs in three of his last five games…yards after catch has plummeted from 9.0 to 5.6." —Andrew
  • [25:55] "We've seen him fall off in the second half of seasons every single year."
  • Terrible rest-of-season schedule for Washington WRs; uncertainty at QB.
  • [26:07] Seth: Non-TD games = "the type of games…that could kill you in the playoffs."
  • Conclusion: Sell high now before playoff letdowns.

QB and TE Targets

Buy: Lamar Jackson

• Rationale: Down weeks create a rare buying opportunity for an elite upside QB ahead of a dream schedule.
  • [27:09] "This is the best buy that you can make. Lamar Jackson—he's never been cheaper."
  • Schedule: Jets, Bengals, Steelers, Packers, Patriots, more; “5 of his last 6 matchups are plus matchups.” —Seth [28:30]
  • Acknowledges low rushing rate and passing volume, but upside is "QB1 overall" rest of season.
  • [31:14] “When that guy with that profile is attainable, you got to shoot for it.” —Andrew

Sell: Caleb Williams

• [31:21] "A couple weeks ago looked like fantasy QB1… but the rest of season schedule for the Bears is rough: Steelers, @Eagles, @Packers, Browns, Packers, @49ers."
  • Weather and grind of the schedule are additional concerns.
  • Suggests flipping Williams for safer, more consistent QB options (e.g., Baker Mayfield).
  • [33:05] Seth: "I just don't know if I want to be invested in a Chicago Bears quarterback even though they've been awesome this season."

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• [07:02] "Is Justin Jefferson really going to finish the season outside the top 15 wide receivers when he's never finished lower than WR6 in any year that he's played in full?” —Andrew Erickson
• [13:00] “If you'd bought low on every single WR attached to a QB that got hurt, you'd be printing money.” —Andrew Erickson
• [19:18] “The inefficiencies from him [A.J. Brown] this year have been really eye-opening…he's averaging a career low in yards per route run.” —Andrew
• [31:14] “When that guy with that profile is attainable, you got to shoot for it." —Andrew Erickson (on Lamar Jackson)
• [22:54] "For 2025, it is not AJB WR1 season. Not this year.” —Andrew Erickson

Mailbag Segment [34:09]

• Should I trade Puka Nacua and Romeo Doubs for Justin Jefferson and Javonte Williams?

  • [34:23] Andrew: "Unless I'm really hurting for RB, I'd probably say no. But it's fair if you need RB help."
  • Seth agrees: Puka is the best player in the deal.

• Would you trade Jalen Waddle for Woody Marks + Stefon Diggs (need wins now)?

  • [35:42] Andrew: Yes, if you need immediate production; Diggs is surging and Marks is suitable RB filler, though not a league-winner.
  • Seth agrees, calls Diggs and Marks "fun" but not elite.

• Dynasty: Trade a late 2026 2nd for Travis Kelce for title shot?

  • [37:35] Andrew: Yes, go for it if you're all-in, but consider Kyle Pitts for more long-term upside.
  • Seth highlights Chiefs' competitive schedule means Kelce remains heavily involved.

Timestamps for Key Segments

| Segment | Timestamp | |---------------------------------------------------|-----------| | Thanksgiving banter & show format rundown | 01:12–04:04 | | Justin Jefferson Buy-Low Discussion | 06:05–10:12 | | DK Metcalf Buy-Low Discussion | 10:33–16:24 | | A.J. Brown Sell-High Discussion | 19:10–23:20 | | Deebo Samuel Sell-High Discussion | 24:12–27:09 | | Buy: Lamar Jackson | 27:09–31:14 | | Sell: Caleb Williams | 31:21–33:54 | | Listener Mailbag | 34:09–39:14 |

Final Thoughts and Tone

• The hosts maintain their classic blend of sharp analysis, actionable data, and light, friendly banter.
• They don't hesitate to make bold recommendations (move on from big names, snap up struggling superstars), always with a clear rationale and useful evidence.
• The episode closes with encouragement to check out the show’s companion RB trade targets episode and to join the weekly trade chat on YouTube.

For anyone eyeing fantasy football playoff glory, these buy low and sell high moves—backed up by stats, schedule, and team trends—are exactly the portfolio shake-ups needed in the final trade window.