FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast

Episode: Week 7 Buy Low + Sell High Running Back Targets (Ep. 1772)
Date: October 14, 2025
Hosts: Ryan Wormley (A), Andrew Erickson (B)

Overview

In this episode, Ryan Wormley and Andrew Erickson break down the must-know running back buy-low and sell-high candidates for week 7 of the fantasy football season. The first part of the show covers the key Monday Night Football reactions and injury fallout, then the main analysis zeroes in on actionable RB trade strategy—who to target, who to move, and how to gain an edge before your league’s trade deadline. Insights are grounded in usage trends, changing depth charts, underlying performance metrics, and upcoming schedules. The episode concludes with a ‘Buy, Sell, or Hold’ game for tricky RBs and depth stashes.

Monday Night Football Recap & Key Reactions

Bills vs. Falcons

• Falcons dominated: 24-14 win; Bijan Robinson and Drake London performed as the workhorses.
  • “[This] was just all Bijan and all London… must have been 85% of the yards in this game.” — Ryan (01:26)
  • “Bijan Robinson, insane monster, great game. Drake London, insane monster, great game.” — Ryan (01:16)
• Kyle Pitts disappoints: Only 3 catches for 18 yards, described as “just more inconsistency… think that he's a streaming Tight end. I don’t know if he’s in the circle of trust… just more inconsistency from Kyle Pitts.” — Erickson (04:11)
• Tyler Allgeier: Scored a TD, “just looks good… if Bijan wasn't in this backfield, I'd be so excited about Allgeier.” — Ryan (01:42)
• QB note: Michael Penix looks improved; “the number one schedule for fantasy quarterbacks belongs to the Atlanta Falcons.” — Erickson (04:29)
• Bills upset: Another down game for Josh Allen (two INTs), Josh Palmer hurt (not much fantasy takeaway), and “please, Ty Johnson, just enough of this playing him over James Cook”—Erickson pleads for more Cook usage (06:08).

Timestamps:

• Bijan/London take over: 01:16
• Pitts & streaming TE trust: 04:11
• Penix streamable: 04:29
• James Cook / Ty Johnson frustration: 06:08

Bears vs. Commanders

• Bears win on last-second FG (25-24):
• DeAndre Swift looks “really good”: 14 carries, 108 yards, 67 receiving—“passing the eye test.” — Ryan (07:18)
• Luther Burden (rookie WR): Noted waiver stash. “He needs to be playing more snaps in this offense… he’s available on waivers and you can still add him.” — Erickson (11:48)
• DJ Moore overnight in hospital: Keep an eye on injury updates, possibly affecting Bears WR value (07:32)
• On Commanders: Jaquie Crosby, Merritt fumbles but maintains workhorse role; “his schedule… rest of season is number one in the strength of schedule tool for Fantasy Pros. So you got to hold him and he continues to be a buy for me.” — Erickson (08:55)
• Commanders’ WRs: Only McLaurin and Samuel matter once fully healthy; Deebo Samuel a sell-high due to durability/injuries. — Erickson (09:48)
• Chase Brown (Bengals): “Sell” after disappointing usage with Joe Flacco.

Timestamps:

• Swift’s big day: 07:18
• Luther Burden waiver interest: 11:48
• Commanders RB holds/buys: 08:55
• Deebo Samuel downgrade: 09:48

Memorable Moment:

• On run game improvement: “After the bye week, the Bears run game entirely looked much, much better. They were running the ball much more effectively, getting Swift out in space.” — Erickson (11:09)

Key Buy Low & Sell High Running Back Targets

BUY LOW TARGETS

1. Javonte Williams (Dallas Cowboys)

• Why buy? One bad game against a tough Panthers run defense; snap share, red zone opportunities, usage are all elite.
  • “85% of the snaps, six red zone opportunities... Williams, I think he's been fantastic this year. 7th in rushing success rate.” — Erickson (14:45, 15:46)
  • “I think he is all the way back and you want pieces of this Dallas offense….” — Erickson (17:16)
  • Upcoming schedule: Commanders, Broncos (revenge game), Cardinals.
  • Rest of season: Top-12 RB value.
• Notable Stat: Never been lower than RB14 except once this year; true “bellcow” usage. — Ryan (15:46, 17:16)
• Would you rather have Javonte over Saquon Barkley? Both agreed: Yes. (28:05)

2. Isaiah Pacheco (Kansas City Chiefs)

• Why buy? Usage increasing, season-high snap share; explosive runs are up. Red zone carries trending up.
  • “In week six, 77 snap share season high and carries with 12 and … he had four red zone carries to Hunt’s one… pass catching still iffy, but if Chiefs offense heats up, Pacheco benefits.” — Erickson (18:08)
• Price is depressed: Weekly finishes outside top 30 most of the season, but usage and schedule signal upside.
• Trade for cheap: Pollard/Jacoby Myers/backup TE could get it done.
  • “He is valued by his manager as basically nothing. So I think you can get him for basically really, really cheap.” — Erickson (20:40)

SELL HIGH / CUT-BAIT TARGETS

1. Saquon Barkley (Giants)

• Why sell? Not the same guy as last year; offense, O-line have regressed, RB metrics are poor.
  • “He is PFF's sixth lowest graded running back this season… The Eagles offense is just really hard to trust right now so I'm looking to put him on the trade block and move him.” — Erickson (23:53)
• Example Swap: Saquon for Derrick Henry plus a sweetener, or straight up for Javonte Williams (28:05).
• No longer top-5, possibly barely top-10 rest of season: “Because, like, especially with rest season rankings, you're still trying to capture the trade market value on a certain player… But I think that I'd rather find other avenues of running back production.” — Erickson (25:10)

2. Tony Pollard (Titans)

• Why sell? Snap share plummeting to Spears, negative game scripts, bottom-5 RB schedule ahead; “trending in the wrong direction.”
  • “When Tajie Spears is healthy...Pollard’s production, snaps, touches…all just declined dramatically... Spears has taken over the pass catching role.” — Erickson (28:30)
• Fire sale: “This is like going out of business sale on Tony Pollard. Like I, it's a fire sale. I am willing to sell him for peanuts.” — Ryan (30:29)
  • Willing to move him for low-upside assets, even as a “sell low.”
  • “Get Pollard off your team.” — Ryan (30:29)

Buy, Sell, or Hold – Notable RB Trios (33:15–43:25)

Swift, Woody Marks, Rico Dowdle

• Erickson: Hold Swift, buy Dowdle (has shown RB1 upside), sell Marks.
• Ryan disagrees: Would rather buy Swift, wonders if Dowdle’s had only good matchups; rookie RB Rico Dowdle is a ceiling play if Hubbard goes down.

Jalen Warren, Chase Brown, David Montgomery

• Erickson: Hold Warren (good matchup vs Bengals coming), sell Brown (limited usage), reluctant buy on Montgomery.
• Summed up: “A bunch of running backs I want to mostly sell.”

Tyler Allgeier, Kendre Miller, Tajie Spears

• Erickson: Buy Spears (most likely to carve out a significant role without injury), sell Miller (little upside with Kamara healthy), hold Allgeier (massive handcuff ceiling—would be top-12 RB if Bijan goes down).

Notable Quotes & Moments

• On Kyle Pitts & Trust Issues: “I think that he's a streaming Tight end. I don't know if he's in the circle of trust when it comes to tight ends.” — Erickson (04:11)
• On Pollard Sell: “If you can convince somebody to say...at least there's a floor here, I think that's wrong...Get Pollard off your team.” — Ryan (30:29)
• About Buy-Low Skill: “One of the most valuable skill sets you could have in fantasy is knowing when to buy high and sell low…and it’s much more valuable to be good at that than to know, you know, the buy lows and sell highs.” — Ryan (30:29)
• Allgeier Handcuff Value: “Where will we rank Algier if Bijan went down? He would be inside my top 12.” — Ryan (41:05)

Key Takeaways & Strategic Advice

• Act now on RB buy lows (Javonte, Pacheco) before managers catch up to usage/trend changes.
• Don’t let name value blind you—both Saquon and Pollard are clear sells and could be moved for much less “sexy” assets with better outlooks.
• Monitor situations like DJ Moore’s health (Bears), Commanders’ RB lead role, and rookie WR emergence for post-bye breakouts.
• Stash high-upside backups (Allgeier, Spears) even if their current usage is low. They go straight into RB1 territory with injury.
• Don’t chase last week’s points—evaluate context (like Dowdle’s recent good matchups).

Timestamps for Key RB Segments

• Javonte Williams full breakdown: 13:32 – 17:59
• Isaiah Pacheco buy discussion: 18:09 – 21:51
• Saquon Barkley sell: 23:28 – 27:50
• Tony Pollard sell: 28:30 – 30:29
• Buy/Sell/Hold RB trios: 33:15 – 43:25

Select quotes are direct and time-stamped for quick reference to the episode. For further details on WR, QB, and TE trade talk referenced at the end, listen for Part Two of the show.