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An interview with Thomas, who is holding a 5-figure @polymarket bet that @BidenHQ will not Drop Out before the Democratic National Convention.

Alternate Listening Links: spotify, apple podcasts

We talk:

- Countertrading political hype

- Position sizing, decision points, and market liquidity

- How to detach from the US political scene to make better decisions

- What Reporters to follow for alpha on Biden's position

- Lessons learned from 5 digit prediction market losses

PLUS

- Arbing Fed rate cut markets

- Trading e-sports

- Polymarket vs Sportsbooks

- How to improve the dispute process

Links Mentioned:

- https://x.com/MarkHalperin

- https://polymarket.com/profile/0xa84bdfe6ffa8bc7dd21b5c412258062e7b765055

- https://coincado.com/

Pod #59 Trading the Biden Drop Out Market in Size