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Dave Davies (0:17)
I'm Dave Davies. For decades, scientists have dreamed of computers so sophisticated they could think like humans and worried what might happen if those machines began to act independently. Those fears and aspirations accelerated in 2022 when a company called OpenAI released its artificial intelligence chatbot called ChatGPT. Our guest, veteran investigative reporter Gary Rivlin, has burrowed deep into the AI world to understand the plans and motivations of those pushing artificial intelligence and what impact they could have for good or ill. In his new book, Rivlin writes that In March of 2023, there were more than 3,000 startup companies in the US working on art intelligence, with new ones popping up at a rate of 30 per day. While AI is already in use in some fields, such as medical diagnosis, many believe the field is on the verge of a new achieving artificial general intelligence systems that truly match or approximate human cognitive abilities. Some believe it could be as transformational to human society as the industrial Revolution. But many fear where it may take us. A poll of AI researchers in 2022 found that half of them there's at least a 1 in 10 chance that humanity will go extinct due to our inability to control AI. In 2023, President Joe Biden issued an executive order imposing some regulatory safeguards on AI development. But President Trump quickly repealed that order upon taking office, saying Biden's dangerous approach imposed unnecessary government control on AI innovation. We've invited Gary Rivlin here to help us understand all these issues and developments. Rivlin has worked for the New York Times, among other public publications, and published 10 previous books. In 2017, he shared a Pulitzer Prize for reporting on the Panama Papers. His new book is AI, Microsoft, Google and the Trillion Dollar Race to Cash in on Artificial Intelligence. Well, Gary Rivlin, welcome back to FRESH air.
Gary Rivlin (2:22)
Thanks for having me.
Dave Davies (2:24)
Let's just start with a couple of basics. You know, we're used to computers being very smart. I mean, way back in 2011, Siri appeared on Apple products. What distinguishes artificial intelligence from just smart computers?
Gary Rivlin (2:38)
You know, there's this sense out there that in 2022 we suddenly had artificial intelligence. It's been much, much more gradual than that. You know, Google has been using machine learning artificial intelligence since the 2000s, you know, to decipher imprecise Google searches to Figure out how much to charge for the various ads they throw on the system. You know, Google Translate's been around since the mid 2010s. That's AI. So you know, we've been autocomplete, you know, spam filters. That's AI, you know, but you're touching on a really interesting question. It's not this clear, like, oh, this is a smart machine, this is artificial intelligence. The way it's kind of played out now is that these machines can learn, right? I mean, the old approach had been you encode rules, you just teach the computer, here's exactly the set of rules, just follow it. Now it's machine learning, deep learning that the computer is ingesting vast troves of data, books, the public Internet, Amazon reviews, Reddit posts, whatever it might be, articles, and it's finding patterns and in quotes, learning, you know, and then they're fine tuned and then they get better at communicating with us and such. So, you know, there really isn't this, oh, artificial intelligence is this and all. In fact, the term artificial intelligence is controversial just in the sense that, you know, right now it's more amplified intelligence. We could use this thing to get smarter, to find patterns that humans couldn't possibly understand because we can't read billions of words. So, you know, there's another definition that AI really should be alien intelligence. Because the weird thing about AI is that it seems to know everything, but it doesn't understand a thing. You know, I mean, there's this term, I love it from a linguist at University of Washington uses it, the stochastic parrot. You know, it's just like, it's like a parrot. It just, it's repeating words randomly, but it doesn't really understand what it's saying.
