Transcript
A (0:00)
The S&P 500 is at a record high and I'm sitting down with the perfect person to talk about it. We have Jay woods, chief market strategist of Freedom Capital Markets on the show today. We get into a bunch of single name stocks. His favorite sectors in the S&P 500, the sectors that he would not touch right now because he's too bearish and much more. This is a must listen conversation if you're interested in earnings macro where the stock market is going for the rest of the year and more. Jay, it is so good to see you. I want to get right into. We're at the record high. Stock market margins have been looking really good. Earnings are looking really good. What do you make of all that positivity with the negative sentiment that's happening in the market right now?
B (0:43)
Yeah, this is and has been a crazy market. If you told me we'd be breaking out to new highs with the backdrop of oil stabling over $90 and the backdrop of what's going on in this conflict, it would have been tough to fathom. But the key word there is earnings. Earnings growth continues and earnings and stock activity growth is happening in the right sectors. One of the reasons we failed to really get off the mat was because the leadership was all wrong. We were in these defensive names. Utilities were leading, staples were leading. Energy obviously the biggest leader, up 40% at one point. This is not the kind of leadership you want in a bull market. And what we've seen in the last four, four weeks go back to March 30th. The lows, those lows in March when we bottomed out. What has been on a tear? Semiconductors, I don't think they've had a down day yet. As we tape this, it was an 18 day streak and we're hoping we can get to 19. Those are the names, the generals. Nvidia's back making new highs after breaking down. And this is J.C. perez. From false moves come fast moves in the opposite direction. And a lot of the technicians, myself included, I'm not gonna stand here and say, oh, I saw this coming. The speed at which we rebounded in this month of April was uncharted. And now when you look at the charts as a technician, that's what I do. Woo. It's been a fast recovery and the question is that we head into earnings season, can we maintain that momentum? Because last time when we had some fantastic earnings, we didn't get follow through. And what I want to see is stabilization. Maybe not a follow through, but at Least stabilization at these levels. To me, that's a sign that the market is healthy. And we'll look to the guidance of some of these big companies when they start reporting later this week.
A (2:29)
So I know that last year you nailed Your S&P 500 call.
B (2:33)
Yeah.
A (2:33)
And that was an amazing year. End almost to the T. And you came into this year in December saying a 3 to 5% return in the S&P 500 for 2026.
