
Oil prices fall as Washington and Tehran indicate the Strait of Hormuz will reopen
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John Bennett
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Sebastian Usher
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Celia Hatton
This is the global news podcast from the BBC World Service. I'm Celia Hatton and in the early hours of Monday 15th June, these are our main stories. Finally, a deal has been reached to end the US war with Iran with the announcement of a formal signing ceremony in Switzerland on Friday. But how solid is this agreement? We have analysis from our correspondents in Jerusalem and London and from the BBC Persian Service. Also in this podcast, a game at the Football World cup that started as a slow burn but became a second half thriller. And the 17 year old whose school project has come to the attention of
Alexander Browder
Vladimir Putin is unprecedented. They've never sanctioned a high schooler before and so it's clear that my work exposing their currency laundering schemes has touched a nerve.
Celia Hatton
We start with a triumphant social media post from Donald Trump. Let the oil flow, he wrote. He then tells ships of the world to start your engine. The US And Iran have confirmed they've agreed to a deal to end their conflict that began just over three months ago. The text of what's been agreed hasn't officially been released, but both sides have indicated they'll lift their blockades on the Strait of Hormuz, a move that could allow ships to pass through it again. Representatives from both countries are scheduled to meet in Switzerland for a formal signing ceremony on Friday. On state tv, the Iranian deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Garibabadi had this to say after the text had been finalized.
Kazem Garibabadi
Two immediate developments were supposed to take place and will take place starting last night on the early hours of Monday. First, the immediate and permanent end of the war and military operations on various fronts, including in Lebanon. As you saw, the statement announced by the prime Minister of Pakistan explicitly referred to the immediate and permanent end of the war on all fronts, including Lebanon. The second development was the lifting and the end of the naval blockade that the United States had imposed on the Islamic Republic of Iran, which was also announced by the US President. In his statement. This memorandum of understanding was reached. Despite our complete distrust of our enemies, we have no trust in the enemy. Our trust lies in our military strength, our diplomatic capabilities, and the support and unity of our own people. That is why the implementation of this memorandum of understanding is extremely important. We have specific plans in place to monitor the implementation of US Commitments under this memorandum.
Celia Hatton
Iran's deputy foreign minister, he mentioned there the Pakistani prime minister. Pakistan has acted as one of the main mediators to end the conflict. That mediation role looks set to continue as this agreement sets out a framework for a further 60 days of talks to hammer out some of the more complicated issues on the table, including details on the possible lifting of sanctions and the future of Iran's nuclear program. Our Middle east analyst, Sebastian Usher joined us from Jerusalem shortly after the agreement was announced.
Sebastian Usher
Interestingly, what the Pakistani prime minister says is that both sides have declared, this is quoting it directly, the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon. Now, that is a big step. It was the situation in Lebanon that again, almost derailed this at the last moment, when Israel bombed the southern suburbs of Beirut. That was following the infiltration in northern Israel of several rockets from Hezbollah. That looked for several hours like it was going to spoil President Trump's hopes that the deal would be done and would be able to be announced on his 80th birthday. Well, he has succeeded in that. But this idea that the war in Lebanon that Israel is waging against Hezbollah will come to an end, I think that's something which will take a bit of unpacking.
Celia Hatton
Sebastian, you're speaking to us from Israel. Has there been any reaction from there
Sebastian Usher
so far when we're speaking? I mean, we're speaking very shortly after this has just happened. There hasn't been a reaction so far, as I've seen, but there's a kind of mute reaction in the sense that there was an anticipation, a fear that Iran would fire missiles overnight. That's certainly the signals that we were getting from various Iranian officials that Israel would face punishment for that attack it carried out on the southern suburbs of Beirut, and that it was imminent. So there was an alert, a higher state of alert that was raised. The Israeli military says that it was prepared offensively and defensively for. For this, and a sense that Israel was moving back into the mode of potentially being prepared both to take down those missiles as they came in with its Iron Dome system, but then almost certainly to launch its own wave of strikes. And that's exactly what happened this time last Sunday. So I think there will be a sigh of relief over that, because one assumes that's not now going to happen. I mean, in this extraordinary back and forth that we've had. I mean, absolutely. I mean, I think everyone who's been following this is slightly dazed by the whiplash turns. It's not beyond the realms of possibility that that attack could still be carried out, but at the moment it looks far, far less likely.
Celia Hatton
You've taken us through some of the challenges still facing the region. We've described this as a deal, but it's more specifically being termed a memorandum of understanding between the US And Iran. I mean, it's really just the first phase of an agreement, isn't it? Can you take us through what, what isn't in this deal? What. What still remains to be agreed?
Sebastian Usher
Some of the information that that's been given over the past 24 hours or so from the Iranian side in particular, has suggested that more may be in this memorandum of understanding than had been anticipated. A senior Iranian official said that there was an agreement within it for Iran to dilute its highly enriched uranium, what President Trump has referred to as nuclear dust inside Iran, rather than, as President Trump had been suggesting it somehow being taken out of Iran. So that would be quite a big step at this stage. It would. If that held, that would be one of the big stumbling blocks potentially dealt with. If the conflict in Lebanon, as we were saying, is somehow brought to an end by this, I have to say that I have serious doubts about that, because Israel is not a part of this agreement, essentially. And the Israeli government, the Israeli prime minister has essentially said that they should continue to have a certain level of freedom in the way that they wage that offensive, then that would be a big thing as well. We don't know about the billions of dollars that Iran wants unfrozen. They wanted a certain amount of that to be unthrozen at the beginning of this process. Within this memorandum of understanding, the latest that we heard from President Trump was that that wouldn't be the case, but it would maybe happen during the process of negotiations that would follow, you know, according to the kind of progress that was made. So, so we're not sure about that yet. But it may be potentially that this is more of a deal that it goes further than perhaps people have been expecting. I mean, we'll obviously find that out more in the coming hours. That would be very helpful, obviously, in terms of the negotiations, which would be seen as very difficult and dealing with the red lines. The main stumbling blocks over the next. Some people have talked about, the Iranians particularly have talked about a 60 day period that would follow the signing of this deal. And we've been told the signing will be on the 19th. Things could happen between then, of course. I mean, things have been happening every day that have, that have changed the equation.
Celia Hatton
Sebastian Usher, as Sebastian mentioned, full details of the deal have not yet been made public. And it's unclear how quickly the Strait of Hormuz might reopen to all traffic. At issue is not simply a military ceasefire or an Iranian nuclear agreement, but also the state of the global economy. Our correspondent Joe Inwood told us that prices of key commodities had already started to fall.
Joe Inwood
The cost of oil, that seems to have gone down. And of course it's not just oil that is going to be flowing through the Strait of Hormuz when it is opened up. But of course there's really important things like fertilizer, gas that's used in other countries as well. Really a huge amount of, of the kind of the lifeblood of the global economy will be gradually unblocked and things could start to get back to normal. Now, of course, all of this is predicated upon not just it being implemented, but it holding. You know, this is definitely, definitely the most optimistic we can feel so far about things starting to get back to normal. But we are not there yet. There are still uncertainties in this, still hasn't been signed yet. All sides seem to be moving in the same direction, but I think there are still hurdles that remain.
Celia Hatton
You mentioned the global economy, Joe, Things looking a bit brighter. Donald Trump has been under pressure, hasn't he, domestically, to find some way out of this conflict.
Joe Inwood
Of course, it hasn't escaped people's notice that as well as celebrating the 250th, you know, birth of the United States, he's also celebrating his 80th birthday. So clearly this was a day he wanted to get this done. But I think in a more sort of Deep political sense. You hit the nail on the head there. He has suffered, his popularity has suffered partly because he had promised not to get into wars and clearly has got into a war, but also because Americans are feeling the cost of this in their pockets. You know, the rising cost of whether it's a fertilizer for American farmers or probably more immediately, the cost of petrol, of gas to go in their cars. That is something Americans notice. But I think it's really important not to get too fixated on the cost to American consumers when, as I was mentioning before, fertiliser, a lot of which goes to the developing world, that is not getting through as well. And while it's inconvenient for people to have to spend more on petrol, it's really a matter of life and death for other people to be able to grow food. So I think, in terms of keeping in perspective, I think that is the impact, really, that has had the most dramatic effect, if not the one that's had the most impact on President Trump and his popularity.
Celia Hatton
Just to focus on what's going on inside Iran for a moment, the Iranians have already said that they really want to focus on lifting of sanctions. What do we know about that?
Joe Inwood
We should say at the time we're speaking, just before midnight, London time, the details that we've had come out don't have any mention of either sanctions relief that I've seen or any kind of unfreezing of assets. So Iranian assets that are held in Western countries or in Gulf countries in their banks, those being unfrozen and given back to the Iranians, I haven't seen at this point, any mention of that. It doesn't mean it's not in the deal because the text has not been fully released as we speak, but it hasn't been highlighted by anyone. Whether the sanctions relief is immediate or whether the sanctions relief is phased in. That was always a point of contention. The Iranians want it to be up front. The Americans said they wanted sanctions relief to be essentially tied to what they saw as good behavior. So whether the sanctions relief is immediate or phased in, it is definitely going to be the direction of travel that we're going in, that there is going to be a sort of a slight lifting of restriction on the Iranian economy, a freeing up of some of the assets they have overseas. As I say, how immediately it happens, we don't know, but it will be happening.
Celia Hatton
Joe Inwood and we've seen evidence that some in Iran are trying to portray this agreement as a victory for Tehran. Iran's top military command, Hatam al Anbiya central headquarters, has said Iranians, together with the country's armed forces and Tehran's proxies and allies in the region, have shown the US And Israel that they have no option but to accept defeat and surrender. We'll have more analysis from our BBC Persian service later in the podcast. Still to come, in this podcast,
Sebastian Usher
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Kazem Garibabadi
signal in favor of stability, openness and reliability.
Celia Hatton
Switzerland votes no to capping the size of its population.
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Celia Hatton
You're listening to the Global News Podcast. We've got the latest on the Men's Football World cup for you now. Japan and the Netherlands met in a pulsating match match in Dallas. That game ended in a 22 draw. All the goals were in the second half. Our sports correspondent John Bennett is in the US for the tournament and he gave me this update.
John Bennett
It was always going to be, I think, one of the best games of the group stage. A semi finalist from the Euros in the Netherlands against the Japan team, who many people have picked out as a team to watch in this tournament. They breezed through qualifying, they scored over 50 goals. They recently beat the likes of Brazil and England and it turned out to be the game of the tournament so far. This 22 draw, quiet first half, second half really came to life. Japan twice coming from behind in this 2:2 draw. Crescentio Somerville, he probably thought he'd won it for the Dutch with a beautiful curling effort, but Daichi Kamada headed in a late equalizer. I think it was a fair result. In the end both teams will take this, although probably the Netherlands of course, having been two one up, one nil up, will have thought they maybe could have won it. But Japan, after being quite passive first half, much more impressive when they were being positive. But an excellent match in Dallas.
Celia Hatton
And then earlier though, a match with two teams that maybe weren't so quite evenly matched. The tiny nation of Curacao were beaten 71 by Germany.
John Bennett
Yes, many people were wondering, will this be one of the biggest upsets in World cup history? Well, it wasn't. Germany came into this tournament under pressure because they'd been knocked out of the last two tournaments in the group stage, but they were excellent today. Having said that, one name will go down in the history of football in Curacao. Livano Cominencia. He scored their first ever World cup goal on their debut at the tournament. He made it 1:1. Germany looked stunned at that ST. But right after that, there was one of those controversial hydration breaks we've had at this tournament, which kind of splits a game into quarters. They take these breaks due to high temperatures and that completely halted their momentum. Don't get me wrong, Germany probably would have won anyway. They look very impressive. Kai Havertz on the score sheet twice. Jamal Musiala also one of the goal scorers. 72 places in the rankings separated them. It was always going to be difficult, as you say. Curacao, the smallest ever World cup Nation, population 150,000. And the gap in quality was clear
Celia Hatton
to see John Bennett in New Jersey. And I can give you the result of another match. Ivory coast has beaten Ecuador 1 nil in Philadelphia. To Switzerland now, where voters have rejected a proposal to limit the country's population to 10 million people. Around 55% of those who voted in the referendum said no to the plan. Imogen folks, reports from the Swiss capital, Bern.
Imogen Folks
Switzerland has grown rapidly in the last 25 years, from 7.3 million people in 2002 to 9.1 million today. 25% of them are not Swiss. The right wing Swiss People's Party said pulling the emergency brake on immigration would solve problems like high rents or crowded trains. But in the cities where these problems are most acute, voters disagreed. In Zurich, Geneva and Bayern, more than 70% of those voting rejected the population cap. Switzerland has an aging population. It needs doctors, care workers and hotel and restaurant staff. They come from all over Europe, thanks to non EU member Switzerland's participation in free movement of people. Swiss Justice Minister Beat Jans welcomed today's result.
Sebastian Usher
With today's decision, the voters have sent
Kazem Garibabadi
a signal in favor of stability, openness and reliability.
Sebastian Usher
They have shown clearly that they want to continue relations with the European Union and that in these uncertain times, stability is important.
Imogen Folks
Key to that stability is access to Europe's single market, where half of all Swiss exports are sold. Leaving free movement of people would likely have meant losing that access. And Switzerland, although neutral, is increasing its defence spending. It hopes to cooperate on security with Europe. With the world so unstable, the government argued, now is not the moment to alienate friendly neighbours. The Swiss People's Party is disappointed at its loss. But Member of Parliament Thomas Eschy warned that the problems it highlighted won't go away.
Sebastian Usher
45% said yes to this initiative of the Swiss People's Party. I think that's a very clear signal to our government, to the other parties, to the big lobby organizations of the economy. That the current development cannot continue as it has in the past.
Imogen Folks
Most Swiss voters won't disagree that challenges around housing and transport need tackling. But what today's result suggests is that many of them may be weary of the People's Party's constant focus on immigration as the source of Switzerland's problems.
Celia Hatton
Imogen Folks, now what does it feel like to be President Putin's youngest enemy? 17 year old Alexander Browder is the person to answer that question. He's the son of the anti Putin and anti corruption campaigner Bill Browder. And Alexander found out this month that like his father before him, he's been sanctioned by Russia. This after the high school student published research into how Moscow may be using cryptocurrency to evade Western sanctions. The teenager, who's due to take his final school exams next year here in the uk, says it's proof his work has touched a nerve. Julian Warker asked Alexander Browder how he first discovered he'd been sanctioned by President Putin.
Alexander Browder
It's a funny story. I'm still in high school. I was sitting at the back of my economics class. I opened up my laptop and I saw a Reuters headline stating that I was sanctioned. It's unprecedented. They've never sanctioned a high schooler before. And so it's clear that my work exposing their currency laundering schemes has touched a nerve.
Sebastian Usher
They're obviously unhappy with what you're doing, so explain in sort of layman's terms what that work involves.
Alexander Browder
Yeah. Over the past year and a half, I created the largest open source database of cryptocurrency money laundering. And what I discovered is that state sanctioned actors like Russia, Iran and North Korea are heavily utilizing cryptocurrency to launder their funds. And specifically a recent development with Russia's money laundering efforts is that they created Russian backed stablecoin. So a stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency which is backed to some real value like the dollar or gold, and in this case it's backed by the ruble. It was set up in January 2025 and it's been sanctioned in the here in the UK, in the EU and the US but it still continues to function. What I discovered is that many illicit cryptocurrency exchanges which allow the stablecoin to be converted into cash, registered in Kyrgyzstan. And even more shockingly, it's been reported that the mastermind behind this scheme gifted the Kyrgyz president a luxury jet. So it's clearly politically motivated thing. Two months ago, on the back of my work, 26 senior MPs and Lords wrote to the UK Foreign Secretary urging sanctions on these enablers. Well, two weeks ago, the government responded by sanctioning these enablers. But then what came out as a surprise to me is that I myself was sanctioned by Russia.
Sebastian Usher
You mentioned sanctions several times during that explanation. I mean, clearly people listening to this conversation will be aware of the sanctions that already are in place against, against Russia because of what's happening in Ukraine. But is your argument that this particular methodology that you've described gets them around those sanctions?
Alexander Browder
Exactly. It's cryptocurrency for the Russians have become one of the key tools that they use to skirt Western sanctions, and also not only that, to fund their war of aggression and target Western countries.
Sebastian Usher
In terms of that connection that you've made with parliamentarians in Britain, do you think there's a sufficient understanding amongst those people that you're talking to about what might happen under the heading of cryptocurrencies?
Alexander Browder
Yeah, so I'm relatively young and so I understand the system well. But the issue is that many people have no idea about how cryptocurrency works and indeed most of the senior politicians I speak to have no idea how any of it works, how money gets laundered through cryptocurrency. And it's a really pressing issue because you have bad actors like Iran, North Korea and Russia who are able to move billions through cryptocurrency because they can set up such advanced schemes where politicians and authorities have no idea how to stop them.
Celia Hatton
17 year old Alexander Browder. In the Netherlands, a two week trial has started to impose a speed limit on cyclists. The Dutch government boasts. It's on their official website that they're the number one country in the world when it comes to cycling. So why carry out this experiment? Our correspondent in the Hague is our own great bike enthusiast, Anna Holligan.
Anna Holligan
This is such a Dutch dilemma. And the question at the heart of all of this is how far do you restrict freedom loving cyclists in order to protect the vulnerable people on the bike lane? So the children, older riders in a country where bikes are so integral to daily life, from school runs to commutes. And every morning I ride about 20km an hour back and forth to school. That's the limit. They're trialing in Houghton, which is a place near Utrecht in the center of the Netherlands. Every morning I'm overtaken by teenagers on fat bikes. So these electric bikes that get their name from the size of the wheels, people in their 70s on e bikes, commuters racing to the office. More than a quarter of all journeys here in the Netherlands are made by bikes. So the cycling infrastructure, it's a victim of its own success. The Dutch are trying to keep that world class reputation. So this trial is happening because cyclist deaths rose pretty dramatically last year, 14% to 281. And on top of that, an estimated 81,000 cyclists ended up in accident and emergency rooms being treated for various kinds of injuries. The lanes that we're riding on every day, they're designed for the traditional sit up and beg or granny bikes, as they're called over here in the Netherlands. But now they're carrying a huge array of users. So they have to find a way to allow all of those different types of riders to coexist without jeopardizing anyone's safety.
Celia Hatton
Anna Holligan, let's return to our top story. The U.S. and Iran announcing a deal
Imogen Folks
to halt their war.
Celia Hatton
The framework agreement is due to be signed on Friday in Switzerland, but details of what it contains are still emerging. BBC Persian's Bahman Kalbasi gave Janat Jalil this assessment.
Bahman Kalbasi
It is an important breakthrough. It is happening in the backdrop of endless mistrust, obviously two wars and the reality that a lot of disagreements were dragging us on till the very last days. And so those gaps have been closed enough to be able to announce a 60 day period of negotiations. But is also a very important moment given that Israel was very clearly against letting this happen and Mr. Netanyahu openly tried to derail it by attacking the suburbs of Beirut. So it is significant that it has arrived where it has.
Celia Hatton
People around the world will be breathing a sigh of relief because basically Iran has been able to hold the global economy hostage. We're talking about the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. But it will take time, won't it, for oil shipments to flow as freely as they did before?
Bahman Kalbasi
Absolutely. I mean, most experts are looking at this recovery in market. That would be a slow one. So it's not going to affect gas prices tomorrow or reduce the chances of inflation right away. And at the same time, in Iran, we've got more than 85 million people in absolutely horrible economic situation. It was terrible before the war, it was terrible before the protest in January. And now we're looking at 60, 70 inflation. So a country that its middle class is all but collapse, its poor are even poorer, it's in desperate need of some relief. The question is, will this money released in these sanctions help that economy enough or will it be lost to corruption? But nevertheless, the both sides of this equation are desperate for it to end.
Celia Hatton
Yes, because this war has come at huge costs and it seems pretty much that we're going back to where we were before Bahman.
Bahman Kalbasi
Indeed there hasn't. The fundamentals haven't changed. Except Iran has a new deterrence which is now. Before it didn't think it could close the straight of hormones whenever it wanted it with a costly move that only super hardliners in Iran would advocate. But it did it and now it knows it works and it could do it again. And the reality is, the basis of this deal is not that different from what Barack Obama signed in 2015 sanction relief for limitation on Iran's nuclear program. None of it has fundamentally changed Bahman
Celia Hatton
Kalbasi and that's all from us for now. If you want to get in touch, you can email us@Global PodcastBC. You can also find us on X@ BBC World Service. Use the hashtag Global Newspod. And don't forget our sister podcast, the Global Story, which goes in depth and beyond the headlines on one big story. This edition of the Global News Podcast was mixed by Masoud Ibrahim Khale and the producer was Emma Joseph. The editor is Karen Martin. I'm Celia Hatton. Until next time. Goodbye. When you're a maintenance engineer in a beverage manufacturing plant, you keep production lines moving and quality on track because there is no room for slowdowns. With Grainger's vast selection of high quality motors, sensors, belts and hard to find parts, you can get what you need fast and all in one place so nothing gets in the way of getting the job done. Call 1-800-GRAINGER clickranger.com or just stop by Granger for the ones who get it done.
This special edition of the BBC World Service's Global News Podcast focuses on the breaking and momentous news of a peace deal between the United States and Iran. The episode covers the background and key terms of the agreement, the immediate global reactions, lingering challenges, and the anticipated impact on regional stability and the world economy. Expert analysis is provided by BBC correspondents and the BBC Persian Service, alongside coverage of other international news.
Celia Hatton (Host) [01:14 - 02:15] opens by noting the historical significance of the peace deal and introduces the doubts concerning its solidity and the challenges ahead.
Donald Trump’s Reaction [02:15]
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Garibabadi [03:01 - 04:06]:
Joe Inwood on Global Markets [10:03 - 11:00]:
Domestic Political Pressures in the US [11:00]
Sanctions Relief Unclear [12:10 - 13:26]:
The episode provides thorough coverage of the breakthrough in US-Iran relations, balancing breaking news urgency with historical context and expert analysis. While the peace deal brings immediate hope for regional and global economic stability, uncertainties remain regarding the enforcement and durability of the agreement, especially on thorny issues like sanctions relief and nuclear compliance. The story continues to unfold, with further negotiations and a formal signing yet to come.