
It can sometimes be exciting when we don't know what's coming next. Other times, the unknown can be deeply troubling. This week, we talk with researcher Dannagal Goldthwaite Young about how we respond to uncertainty, and why this psychological trait plays a surprisingly large role in shaping our behavior, perspectives — even our political beliefs.
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Shankar Vedantam
This is Hidden Brain. I'm Shankar vedanta. In the 19th century short story the lady or the Tiger, a young man is caught having an affair with a princess. When the king finds out, the young man is subjected to a peculiar form of justice. He must choose between two identical doors. Behind one door is a beautiful lady. Behind the other, a ferocious tiger. If he picks the lady, he will marry her according to the king's decree. If he picks the tiger, the beast will kill him. The princess uses her influence to find out which door hides the tiger and which one conceals the lady. But in so doing, she also realizes that the lady is her rival. She doesn't want her lover to marry the lady. She also doesn't want him to be eaten by the tiger. As the young man confronts the two doors, he beseeches the princess for help. She discreetly signals to him to pick the door on his right. Has the princess surrendered her lover to her rival? Or has jealousy won? Has she marked the youth for death by tiger? The young man opens the door that the princess has indicated. And then the story ends. It's left up to the reader to imagine what might have happened. Some might see this as a brilliant ending to a brilliant story. Others might find it deeply unsatisfying, even frustrating. Today on the show we examine a psychological trait that plays a surprisingly large role in shaping our behavior perspectives, even our political beliefs, the science of how we respond to uncertainty and the important lessons it has for how we organize our lives. This week on Hidden Brain, support for Hidden Brin comes from Nordstrom. Looking for perfect gifts for everyone on your list? Ugg, Nike, Barefoot Dreams, Kate Spade, New York and more are at Nordstrom Rack stores now. Find everything on their wish lists all in one place. Head to your Nordstrom Rack store to score great brands, great prices, the greatest gifts of all time. Support for Hidden Brain comes from Robert Half. Robert Half research indicates nine out of 10 hiring managers are having difficulty hiring. That's why you need Robert Half. Their specialized recruiting professionals engage their skills with their award winning AI to connect businesses of all sizes with highly skilled talent in finance and accounting, technology, marketing and creative, legal and administrative and customer support. At Robert Half, they know talent. Visit roberthal.com today. Support for hidden Brain comes from Abbott. Let's talk about a small thing that can make a big difference if you have diabetes. The Freestyle Libre 3 sensor. The sensor gives you real time glucose readings so you can see the impact of every meal and activity to make better choices. This is progress. You can try the sensor at FreestyleLibre US terms and conditions apply for prescription only safety info found @freestylelibre.us. are you the type of person who flies by the seat of your pants, who prefers to live life whimsically and spontaneously? Or do you prefer order and structure, meticulously planning out every detail in advance? At the University of Delaware, Danigal Goldthwaite Young studies how our capacity to deal with uncertainty has pervasive effects on our lives, our relationships, even our political affiliations. Dana Young, welcome to Hidden Brain.
Dana Young
Thanks so much for having me.
Shankar Vedantam
Dana, I want to take you back to the year 1999. You had just moved to Philadelphia for grad school. The first week you were there, you were at a bar with some new friends, and one of them started talking about improv comedy. I understand that you had some experience with this world.
Dana Young
I did so as an undergraduate at the University of New Hampshire. I had done improv comedy for four years in a company called Theater Sports, and I had directed a long form group. And so when these two young men talked about how they were in a professional improvisational comedy company called Comedy Sports, I couldn't believe it. We spoke the same language and they said that their annual auditions were happening.
Shankar Vedantam
Two days later, Dana agreed to go to the audition.
Dana Young
I actually got cast. I was one of the six people of the 80 who made it into the company. And I got a wonderful call in my graduate dorm room from a man named Mike Young, who was the company's director, who congratulated me and told me that they were super excited to have me as a member of the company. And he said our new player training would be starting on Sunday at 5pm and that new player training would go for 10 weeks. And I said, I'm so sorry, I don't think that I can actually be in this improv group.
Shankar Vedantam
Wait, you're saying you declined?
Dana Young
I literally declined. And he was as shocked as you are right now. He said, I don't understand. And I said, well, you told me the location of these trainings and it's on the other side of Philadelphia and I don't know how to get there and I haven't started my graduate school classes yet, and I think I have to say no. And he said, take the subway like everyone else and it's a wonderful part of town. You just walk down through old city and it's fine. And I said, I'm nervous. I've never done it before. I'm afraid I might get, I don't know, mugged. It's dark. He said, It's August 5pm Is not dark in August. And he said, listen, Dana, do me a favor. Just come to the first rehearsal, just the first one, and then just see what happens. And so I did.
Shankar Vedantam
And how did it go, Dana?
Dana Young
It was, first of all, the walk from the subway stop to the location of the rehearsal was beautiful. It was through Society Hill in Queen Village. It was cobblestone street streets and cute little coffee shops. So, yeah, he was right. And no, I didn't get mugged. And it was life changing. So what I loved about the early trainings was learning about some of the guidelines of improv comedy, which had to do with yes, and which is accepting the offer that your scene mate gives and then just building upon the last offer given early in those trainings, I realized that while I was very funny and I made people laugh and I was very goofy and physically funny, I actually don't think that I had ever learned how to be a very good improviser. When I was an undergraduate. I realized that when I started scenes with a partner, I would tend to script the scene, which means instead of just giving an offer and then letting my seam mate build upon it, I would, I would, you know, to exaggerate a bit, I would get on stage and say, hey, Betty, my sister, how are you? It's great to see you here in this candy store, you know, which doesn't allow for your scene partner to add.
Shankar Vedantam
Yeah, you've locked her into being your sister and locked yourselves into being in a candy store.
Dana Young
Correct. But what it offered me was a sense that, like, I knew exactly what was going on. I didn't have to stress out. So Mike would say, let's try that again, and this time just give one offer and then just listen. And I think that, I think that it made me a much better improviser.
Shankar Vedantam
Not long after they began doing improv comedy together, Dana developed a crush on Mike. When she confessed this to him, Dana learned that Mike felt the same way. The two began dating. A few months into the relationship, Mike asked Dana to go on a backpacking trip with him. The destination, Kauai.
Dana Young
So we met in Honolulu, but we had to take a puddle jumper plane to get to Kauai. Well, when we landed in Honolulu, I realized that my luggage with my clothing had never made it onto the plane from Newark, New Jersey. And I was so stressed out. I mean, I had, I had my carry on, which had, of course, my necessities and, you know, underwear and toiletries, but I didn't have any clothing. And Mike didn't see this as a huge deal. Really. He said, well, turns out there's a Walmart right near the airport in Kauai. Why don't we just get you bathing suit tank tops and shorts and flip flops, and you have your sneakers on, so we can still hike. And I think we're fine. But, you know, for a good 24 hours, I was stuck. I was stressed. I was angry. I felt really kind of out of control without my belongings, and I probably wasn't too pleasant to be around. Even though we did go to Walmart, I got everything I needed. I learned later, actually, that Mike was pretty stressed about my reaction in that moment because he worried about, well, one, our kind of compatibility because I was so stuck, but also about what would that say about how I might be able to deal with, you know, bigger crises in life, you know? And so I think that that concerned him.
Shankar Vedantam
In some ways. I'm hearing an echo of what you told me a second ago about improv. Because, of course, when the luggage didn't show up, Mike says, okay, this is the new offer. You know, Dana has shown up in Hawaii without her luggage. What do we do next? And how do we move forward from here? And you're like, no, no, no, no, no, wait, go back. Let's make sure we get the luggage before we move on. And in some ways, it was the same dynamic that you dec described during improv.
Dana Young
It is the same dynamic. And we in improv, we call it accept and build. So you accept your scene partner's offer and you build upon it. And the worst thing of all to do is say, no, but, because no but doesn't get you anywhere. Even yes, but doesn't get you anywhere. It just highlights the problems. And so what I was doing in that moment was I was saying, no, but yes, but I'm stressed. But when I needed to just accept and build and say, accept the situation and build upon it and go camping on a beach with my new Walmart shorts.
Shankar Vedantam
Mike's fears about their compatibility didn't last long, and they did not break up. In fact, they grew closer.
Dana Young
We were best friends, totally in love. We got married in 2003. We had a baby boy in December of 2004. And then we moved into our new home in the suburbs in August 2005.
Shankar Vedantam
So during this time, you were finishing your graduate studies at the University of Pennsylvania, but you were also interested in exploring a career in performance and comedy. And at one point, you took a job at a little television program called the Daily Show. While they were in town covering the Republican National Convention. Stephen Colbert was on the show at the time. And you got to talk with him about what life was like as a standup comedian. What did you ask him and what did he tell you?
Dana Young
He asked what I studied, and I told him that I studied the effects of media on attitudes, knowledge, and behaviors. And he said, so, what do you do next? And I said, well, I'm finishing my master's degree, but I'm thinking of going to New York to do improv. And he said, what? What would you do otherwise if you didn't go to New York? And I said, I. I would stay here at Penn and get my PhD and be a professor. He said, and if you did that, would you have to pay for it? I said, probably not. I would probably get a research assistantship from the university and have a tuition waiver. He said, why would you ever try to make it in comedy when you have this opportunity? And I couldn't believe it. I said, well, because I love making people laugh. And he said, I have been in this business such a long time, Dana. It has been grueling, it has been long, it's been arduous, and I love it. But there's a lot of rejection, and there's a lot of not knowing exactly where your next paycheck is going to come from, right? And he said, I really think that you should get a PhD. And it wasn't like he and I were buddies, right? It was just we had a very friendly relationship on the set. But he was just saying, look, I see you, and I see someone who is similar to me, and you do improv, and you're thinking, I'm going to make it big. And he was like, it's a lot harder than you think. And that stayed with me.
Shankar Vedantam
I'm wondering if he may have picked up on the fact that you are someone who does not deal well with uncertainty. And I think what he was painting was a picture that the life of a standup comic, a life in comedy, was a life that was filled with uncertainty.
Dana Young
That is so wild. I've actually never thought of that, But I pretty much broadcast how I'm feeling at every moment on my face, so it's totally possible.
Shankar Vedantam
So in many ways, life is going very well for you, Dana. You and Mike are married. You have a child, a son. You've just bought a new home. But later that year, Mike began having some medical problems. What was going on?
Dana Young
Mike was always so healthy. I mean, he didn't smoke cigarettes. He didn't drink alcohol and he was very physically active. And In August of 2005, he started having bright flashes in his peripheral vision. And we didn't think much of it, but I could tell that he was distracted by it and started to get kind of quiet. Saw an ophthalmologist who said that he would need to go in to get an MRI.
Shankar Vedantam
In October 2005, Mike went in for that MRI. The day the test results came out, Dana was at home working. The phone rang. When we come back, the call that changed Dana's life. You're listening to hidden brain. I'm Shankar Vedanta. Support for hidden brain comes from Lumen. Lumen is the world's first handheld metabolic coach. It's a device that measures your metabolism through your breath. Know if you're burning fat or carbs and get tailored guidance to improve your nutrition, workouts, sleep and more. Breathe into your lumen first thing in the morning and you'll know what's going on with your metabolism and receive a personalized nutrition plan for the day based on your measurements. You can also breathe into it before and after workouts and meals so you know exactly what's going on in your body in real time and get recommendations to keep you on top of your health game. So if you want to take the next step in improving your health, go to Lumen me brain to get 15% off your lumen. That's L u m e n me brain for 15% off your purchase.
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Shankar Vedantam
This is Hidden Brain. I'm Shankar Vedantam. In 2005, Dana Young seemed to have it all. She was married to her best friend. Both of them had jobs they loved and they were also doing improv comedy together. They had a new home and a new baby. But that October, Mike began seeing bright flashes of light. His doctor recommended an mri. Dana, on the day Mike went in for his scan, you were at Home, working. Can you tell me what happened?
Dana Young
The phone rang like phones do, and it was Mike saying that the results confirmed that he had what the ophthalmologist had feared, which was a brain tumor pressing on his optic nerve. It just hit me in a way that you never really know when heavy news like that comes, how you're going to react. It just didn't feel real, he assured me. He said if it is what he thinks it is, it's not cancerous. And the prognosis would be, you know, really good because it's. It's not something that's malignant, that's taking over other structures, but it means that we're going to need to see a brain surgeon. This was gutting. I took to bed. I couldn't really get out of bed for a couple days. I had some friends who were trying to give me some tough love and say, you know, you're your baby boy needs a mom who's out of bed, and you're not really helping Mike right now. It was very hard.
Shankar Vedantam
Later that year, in November, Mike had the surgery that his doctors recommended.
Dana Young
And it was quite successful. There were a few tiny cells that they could not remove because, as the surgeon put it, if we pull on those cells, Mike doesn't wake up. But unfortunately, the tumor grew back.
Shankar Vedantam
So this was not benign then.
Dana Young
It was benign, but the cells themselves, because it didn't take over other structures. Right, but the problem is the brain is only so big, and the skull is only so big. So there's only a certain amount of space. And when those cell to themselves grow and fill with fluid, it created a cyst that was even bigger than the original tumor. And it began to press on all of the regions of the brain that are responsible for vision and knowing you need to use the bathroom. And the big one is memory. Mike lost his short term memory, which made living independently impossible.
Shankar Vedantam
One evening, Dana broke down with the unfairness of it all.
Dana Young
We were not out of the woods, and I cried and I said how unfair it was. It's just not fair. And he said, why is it not fair? I said, well, we're just starting out. We're just married, we're in love, we're best friends, we have a baby, we just bought a house. He said, who would it be fair to? Would it be more fair if I didn't have a partner? Would it be more fair if I didn't have a baby? He had this way of saying things so simply. And it really stopped me in my tracks. And I. I Thought, well, he's right. Fairness has nothing to do with it. He said, it's not about fairness. It has nothing to do with fairness. It's just random. The universe is random. This is random.
Shankar Vedantam
Did you find these words comforting, Dana?
Dana Young
At the time, I found them really frustrating. It felt like a very Mike thing to say. Not like a very Dana thing to say, but it also made me understand that if I was going to be helpful to him, any kind of thoughts that I had about it being not fair or me being angry, I should probably not put in his lap.
Shankar Vedantam
Yeah, I mean, in some ways, it's on a much, much more serious scale. It's a variation of what happened once you landed in Hawaii and your luggage didn't show up. He's saying, well, these things happen. It's random. And you're saying, well, this is really unfair, and you're stuck on what actually happened.
Dana Young
Yeah, exactly. Right. And it was like, just like with the luggage. I was like, but now I need to fix it. And he was like, or you could just enjoy the vacation because we're only here for seven days. And with the brain tumor, I was so angry and so stuck. I was like, I just need to fix it. And I'm a lot of things, but I'm not a brain surgeon. So I started thinking, maybe I can find the origins of where this came from. Maybe it came from his workplace. You know, he works at a company. And I know there was some other guy at this company who had cancer last year. So even though Mike's wasn't cancer, I thought, oh, well, maybe their workplace is making them sick. Then I thought, oh, well, in this new neighborhood that we moved to, there's this old diaper factory site that is an environmental problem, and they're trying to clean it. Maybe that environmental site caused something. So I was on the Internet for hours at night looking up, like, you know, super fun sites, et cetera. And at this point now, Mike was back in the hospital because he had had complications. So this was probably, like, February. And I'm really down the rabbit hole because now I'm really mad, because now it's clear that he's not going to be just one surgery. Radiation and fine. So I started going into these sort of conspiracy theory rabbit holes on the Internet.
Shankar Vedantam
Why do you think you were doing this, Dana?
Dana Young
It felt good. It felt really good. I felt completely out of control. And going down these rabbit holes gave me maybe people I could be mad at or companies I could be mad at. And I've learned since then that anger is such a weird emotion because we think of it as a negative emotion. But I think that ignores the fact that anger can bring about a sense of direction and optimism because it has a momentum to it. It has a target. You're angry at someone. So it felt good.
Shankar Vedantam
Mike passed away in 2006. In time, as Dana made her way through grief, she came to see that her own reaction to his illness reflected her extreme distaste for uncertainty. As a scholar, she was also studying how people deal with uncertainty in very different ways. One was how willing they were to cope with ambiguity.
Dana Young
People who have a high tolerance for ambiguity tend to be really comfortable with situations that are uncertain and unpredictable. They're really okay with change. They don't need a lot of routine in their world. They can be spontaneous and it doesn't stress them out. And people who are high in need for closure are quite the opposite. They really prefer routine and order and structure and predictability in their lives, in their interactions and in their sort of physical environments.
Shankar Vedantam
So the psychologist Arye Kruglandski once came up with a scale for this need for closure. I'm wondering if you can say more about this body of research. Diana, can you talk about some of the items on Kruglansky's checklist?
Dana Young
Sure. It includes items including, I don't like situations that are uncertain. Okay. Now, people are asked to say to what extent they agree or disagree with these. So I don't like situations that are uncertain. I dislike questions which could be answered in many different ways. I find that a well ordered life with regular hours suits my temperament. I usually make important decisions quickly and confidently.
Shankar Vedantam
If you find yourself agreeing with these statements, chances are you have a high need for closure. The scale also explores some dimensions that indicate a higher tolerance for ambiguity or a low need for closure.
Dana Young
These are. I tend to struggle with most decisions. When considering most conflict situations, I can usually see how both sides could be right. Need for closure is really designed to capture the extent to which individuals need a certain kind of order in their lives, in their interactions with others. And once you start thinking about both sides of this coin, Right. High need for closure and high tolerance for ambiguity as having, you know, equal sets of strengths and weaknesses. Right. They're different strengths and different weaknesses, but they both can be wonderful and they both can be a hindrance.
Shankar Vedantam
Hmm. I mean, I'm thinking about what happened with you and with Mike once he got this diagnosis. You know, you went down these rabbit holes of trying to establish if it was, you know, some toxic chemical from the diaper factory that had caused him to get sick. And really what you're looking for is I'm dealing with a situation of high ambiguity, high uncertainty, and if I can just locate the culprit that's responsible for all of this, in some ways, it moves you from that world of uncertainty to a world of predictability and closure.
Dana Young
And this is why this trait has become so pivotal in research on belief in conspiracy theories and mis and disinformation. Conspiracy theory beliefs are really rooted in a very simple causal mechanism. They say that whatever the crisis is or the horrible event is, it's not some complex systemic thing. It is something that has been caused by powerful people operating in the shadows to benefit themselves and harm others. And it provides a really quick closure to what could be a complex problem.
Shankar Vedantam
Hmm. There's another trait that's related to our capacity for uncertainty, and it's called a high need for cognition. What does this mean, Dana?
Dana Young
So high need for cognition is something that comes to us from researchers named Cacioppo and Petty. And they introduced a theory of persuasion. And they thought, you know, some people, it's not that they're smarter necessarily. It's not that they have more knowledge necessarily. It's that they really just enjoy thinking for the sake of thinking. And people who enjoy thinking actually are less likely to be persuaded by more emotional or heuristic kind of appeals. They require evidence based argumentation to be persuaded by information.
Shankar Vedantam
They're more analytical. In other words, exactly how is this connected to our capacity to deal with uncertainty or how does it influence it?
Dana Young
I think about need for cognition as something that's a bit of a luxury because if you're high in need for cognition, it signals that you have the time, you feel that you have the time and security to be able to dedicate to thinking about something for a long period of time. Having high need for cognition is actually correlated with people who are less likely to be monitoring their environments for threat. If you're not monitoring for threat and you're not looking around the corner to see who's lurking, you can just, you know, I call it cud chewing. You can chew your cud all day. You could write a cost benefit analysis of every possible decision you could make. You can write your pro con list and you can just sit there and think.
Shankar Vedantam
So in many ways, our brains are wired to make sense of the world. You know, we are sense making animals. And each of these traits in some ways speaks to our drive to make sense. How quickly do we need to make sense of the world? How much are we willing to live with uncertainty? This difference turns out to have ramifications in all kinds of different areas. One of the areas that you have looked at and others have looked at is in our appreciation of aesthetics. Can you talk about how our capacity to deal with uncertainty, these different factors, our tolerance for ambiguity, our need for closure, how it affects our perceptions of art?
Dana Young
The research on the psychology of aesthetics and aesthetic preferences is so cool. These, these are scholars who have looked at the psychological and personality traits that predict whether or not people enjoy abstract art or more realistic art. Whether people prefer stories with very clear endings where the plot is completely wrapped up at the end, or if they prefer stories where everything is kind of left open for us to interpret. These. These studies are so cool. And the one thing that is consistent across them, which really gets you thinking, is that people who are high in tolerance for ambiguity are the ones who are most appreciative of abstract art, first of all, and of stories that don't have clear endings. And we also find in this literature the role of need for cognition as well, that people who enjoy thinking about things and, you know, really kind of struggling to solve problems, these are the same people who really enjoy abstract art and syncopated jazz, for example, over really predictable, like pop music or country music that has a more predictable cadence, chorus and verse structure.
Shankar Vedantam
I understand that you sometimes explain the difference in how we perceive art by talking about two paintings involving women who wear hats.
Dana Young
Yes. I was so excited when I. You know, it's very hard to find visuals to illustrate some of these things, but I was so excited when I found that both Renoir and Picasso had painted pictures of women wearing hats. Obviously they look very different. Renoir's is realistic and features this beautiful, I would say maybe 15 year old girl wearing a hat. Picasso's is abstract. The face is disjointed, the nose is large, and there's maybe a hat placed on the head a little bit ish. So talking to my students about these traits and their relationship with aesthetic preferences, I like having these two images side by side to say, each of us is going to tend to gravitate towards one or the other. And, you know, think about what that means about yourself. You know, studies show that everybody can kind of appreciate a depiction of reality that looks realish. You know, we all like that. Where the real distinction comes is when you look at the predictors of who likes and who dislikes abstract art. And that's where these personality traits really play a role with the Higher tolerance for ambiguity being more associated with appreciation for abstract art. And some of this work suggests that this is something that's explained by both need for cognition and this tolerance for ambiguity as well.
Shankar Vedantam
I'm wondering how you yourself see those two paintings. Tell me how you feel about them.
Dana Young
I really don't like the Picasso painting. I really don't. And I recently was in New York with my son. We went to moma, and we were all excited because we're like, oh, wow, these are original Picassos. And, you know, there's one that's really big and all the women have fat hands and weird feet and triangle faces. And I gotta tell ya, I gotta tell you, I just don't get it. And that probably makes me not sophisticated. I don't know. But, man, I just don't get it.
Shankar Vedantam
In some ways, I'm hearing your exasperation here, Dana.
Dana Young
Well, kind of, because I'm like, you know, I think when I was like, 10, I could probably have painted that. And I know, I know that that's not true. I know he's a genius, blah, blah, blah. But, yeah, I really do not enjoy it.
Shankar Vedantam
The same thing happens with literature. What was your reaction to that ambiguous ending to the story of the lady and the tiger? When the world is uncertain or hard to understand, this can be deeply unsatisfying for some. Others might find it curious, mysterious, and enticing. When we come back, how these traits shape our deepest beliefs and cause conflicts between people and how we can bridge those divides. You're listening to Hidden Brain. I'm Shankar Vedanta. Support for Hidden brain comes from LinkedIn. When you're hiring for your small business, you want to find quality professionals that are right for the role. That's why you have to check out LinkedIn Jobs. LinkedIn Jobs has the tools to help you find the right professionals for your team faster and for free. LinkedIn helps you hire professionals you cannot find anywhere else, even those who are not actively searching for a new job in a given month. Over 70% of LinkedIn users do not visit other leading job sites. So if you're not looking on LinkedIn, you're looking in the wrong place. On LinkedIn, 86% of small businesses get a qualified candidate within 24 hours. Hire professionals like a professional on LinkedIn. Post your job for free@LinkedIn.com HB that's LinkedIn.com HB to post your job for free. Terms and conditions apply. Apple Card is the perfect card for your holiday shopping. When you use Apple Card on your iPhone. You'll earn up to 3% daily cash back on every purchase, including products at Apple like a new iPhone 16 or Apple Watch Ultra. Apply now in the Wallet app on your iPhone subject to credit approval. Apple Card issued by Goldman Sachs Bank USA, Salt Lake City branch terms and more@applecard.com Support for Hidden Brain comes from SimpliSafe if you're ever worried about the safety of your home and family, there's no better time to act right now. You can get 60% off today just by visiting simplisafe.com brain SimpliSafe is a new way to protect your home that stops intruders before they break into your home. Simplisafe's Active Guard Outdoor Protection changes the game by preventing crime before it even happens. There are no long term contracts, no cancellation fees, and it's around $1 a day. For all this protection, SimpliSafe is offering our listeners exclusive early access to their Black Friday sale this week. Only you can get 60% off any new system with a select professional monitoring plan. This is their best offer of the year. Head to simplisafe.com brain that's simplisafe.com brain there's no safe like simplisafe. This is hidden Brain. I'm Shankar Vedanta. We all view the world differently. Some of us see it as unpredictable and dangerous. Others see possibilities and room for exploration. Dana Young is the author of How Media, Politics and Identity Drive Our Appetite for Misinformation. She says much of the way we view the world comes down to how we tolerate uncertainty. Some of us are more okay than others with ambiguity, unpredictability, and randomness. How we respond to life's gray areas informs everything from our career choices to our preferences in art and literature. It can also influence our political beliefs. Dana we like to think our politics are informed by logic and values and traditions. But even these beliefs might be shaped by our capacity to deal with uncertainty. Let's go back to one of those traits that influence how we deal with uncertainty. This is the need for cognition. Some of us enjoy thinking and complexity more than others do. How does this trait correlate with our political beliefs?
Dana Young
There is some wonderful work from political psychology that looks at the trait need for cognition. For example, there's some work by Michael Sargent from 2004 that showed that for people who were highest in need for cognition, they tended to be the least supportive of highly punitive measures in response to criminals or in the context of crime. And in a subsequent study, trying to understand what explained that it was that people higher in need for cognition were probably more motivated to consider more complex ways of attributing responsibility for why individuals would have engaged in these criminal acts in the first place. So a high need for cognition allows people to think beyond simple causal mechanisms of bad person does bad thing, and to think perhaps more systemically about other factors that may have been responsible for that criminal act in the first place. There are many examples of studies looking at similar kinds of things that show need for cognition has this kind of influence on politically relevant or even politically central belief systems.
Shankar Vedantam
When you step back and look at the overall body of research, what does it reveal about the differences between liberals and conservatives when it comes to this idea of a need for cognition?
Dana Young
I think about this in terms of how people monitor for threats in their environment. And when I think about it that way, it actually gives me sort of a unifying narrative that helps explain a lot of what's going on. I think that based on what we know now, it seems that individuals are born, perhaps genetically right, predisposed to have physiological systems that deal with threat in their environment, and that shapes physiological patterns which then shape psychological tendencies. And for people who are high threat monitors, they are all about survival in the face of threat, and it's on their mind all the time. What serves these people best is making decisions quickly and efficiently based on heuristics, emotions, intuition, and shortcuts. That is what causes them to have this lower need for cognition. It's not that they can't. It's that it doesn't make sense for them based on their sort of psychophysiological predispositions. Similarly, these are folks who, because they're monitoring for threat, of course they're going to want to be in situations that are highly certain, ordered, predictable. They're not going to be very high in tolerance for ambiguity because that exposes them to threat.
Shankar Vedantam
Hmm. And again, if you were to think about the stereotypical example of being under threat, there's, I don't know, an active shooter in the vicinity, or you're in a jungle somewhere and there might be a tiger hiding in the bushes. That's not the time when you want to spend a lot of time thinking through your options and thinking through what might be causing it, or thinking about the systemic reasons the tiger might want to eat you. That, in fact, is a time for decisive action. And what you're saying is that some people in some ways are quicker to move into the mind state of being. The person walking in the forest and hearing a Twig crack behind them.
Dana Young
Absolutely right. And this is why. And remember, I'm a college professor. I have been one for 17 years. I'm also a comedian. I've been one for 30 years. Do you know who I wouldn't want with me in the jungle? I wouldn't want a faculty colleague or a fellow comedian.
Shankar Vedantam
You don't want someone saying yes, and I really don't.
Dana Young
I don't. Because you know what's going to happen? I'm going to be shot and eaten by a tiger.
Shankar Vedantam
So you've conducted a study, Dana, that looks at how our psychological traits might inform our opinions on transgender issues. Tell me about this work and what you found.
Dana Young
So with my colleagues at the University of Delaware, we looked at in a survey, we looked at whether or not individuals who had higher or lower need for closure had different levels of support for transgender individuals. What we found is that even accounting for all these other things, need for closure is associated with more negative opinions of transgender people, transgender candidates, and transgender rights. And this is one of those things that is intuitive on its face. And when we thought about studying this construct, I just thought, you know, for folks who need for there to be a yes or no answer, black and white, it would make sense for these folks the concept of gender fluidity or the concept of gender being a social construct, that I could imagine that that might be hard for them to reconcile. And sure enough, our results actually showed quite a robust effect of need for closure on these. On these outcomes.
Shankar Vedantam
Daniel, we talked earlier about how Stephen Colbert gave you some advice that changed your life. Many years ago, Colbert had a show on Comedy Central where he played a character of sorts. I want to play you a clip from the show which was called the Colbert Report.
Dana Young
I just want to say that I am not a racist. I don't even see race. Not even my own people tell me I'm white, and I believe them because I just devoted six minutes to explaining how I'm not a racist.
Shankar Vedantam
So it's clear, Diana, that Colbert isn't being serious. But can you talk about the kind of humor that he is putting on display?
Dana Young
It is quintessential ironic satire. Irony is a kind of humor that is created through an inversion of meaning. And so what Stephen Colbert does is he says the opposite of what he means. The valence is actually the opposite of what he intends for us to take away. So there have been studies that examine what happens in the brain when people are processing texts like this, where it requires the listener to understand the intent of the message, sender and to reconcile that intent with the literal words that are being stated. And it turns out that it's actually quite complex cognitively. I think about it as kind of mental gymnastics, because you're thinking about intent, you're reading literal words, you're thinking about whether or not those match with what you know about the message sender. You're bringing old information to bear on the text. Turns out that for people who are really high in need for cognition, this is a kind of riddle solving that's quite enjoyable. But for people lower in need for cognition, this kind of irony, this kind of ambiguity in a text is very challenging and not that enjoyable.
Shankar Vedantam
I want to compare that Stephen Colbert clip with a clip from the late conservative media host Rush Limbaugh. Here he is.
C
I'm sick and tired of being afraid of these people. I'm sick and tired of people acting intimidated by Democrats.
Dana Young
This fear of being called a racist. Everybody's racist. They can't talk about anybody now without labeling them racist.
Shankar Vedantam
So I'm hearing a very different tone in this clip, Dana.
Dana Young
Very different tone. And this is why I refer My first book is called Irony and Outrage as a way of sort of shorthanding the real huge distinctions that exist between these two genres. Outrage isn't necessarily only on the political right. Okay. But we tend to see it more on the right. The nature of outrage is it identifies threats in our environment. It highlights them in an emotional and dramatic way. It does so didactically, very clearly, usually using some kind of hyperbole or slippery slope language that is, I would say, not just emotional, but, like, supercharged. It is highly activating.
Shankar Vedantam
Hmm. And in some ways, this brings us to a very interesting conclusion. If you look out over the media landscape of political commentary, liberal shows tend to have a very different feel to them than conservative shows.
Dana Young
Correct? The liberal, quote, unquote, outrage shows are actually not nearly as outrageous as the conservative outrage shows that you would see on Fox in terms of their use of, again, being emotional, hyperbolic, identifying threats, et cetera. And part of my struggle was trying to understand why we don't see a lot of conservative satire. Why do we not see a lot of conservative satire? And that's what got me, you know, thinking about all of these traits that I had been fascinated by and how they might be related here. And I think that that is really what's at the heart of the matter. These traits of tolerance for ambiguity and need for cognition, they do cluster on the social and cultural left, and their opposites do cluster on the social and cultural right. And so to the extent that the people who are making these shows are of those ideological groups, and to the extent that they're trying to activate and appeal to audiences who are also of those ideological groups, then naturally we're going to see these traits sort of manifest in the kinds of content that they create. You have Fox News very much in the spirit of Limbaugh, with their opinion hosts really appealing to people who are driven by a need for closure, threat monitoring, and who are really just seeking to know, who do I need to be worried about and angry at and what do I need to do?
Shankar Vedantam
One thing that strikes me though, Diana, is that because we're not seeing how our tolerance for uncertainty might be shaping how we think, you know, we find ourselves constantly at odds with other people and bewildered by their choices. We don't say, you know, okay, she has a higher need for cognition and therefore wants to understand the contexts that lead to crime. You know, we say, she must be a snowflake. We don't. We don't say, he has a more acute sense of threat and wants to keep our community safe. We say, you know, he's a gun toting extremist. So in some ways, we simplify the world without realizing that in some ways, our perceptions of the world are shaped by these underlying psychological traits.
Dana Young
And part of the reason that that has happened is because the way that our media environment capitalizes on these mega political identities as shortcuts that can activate us and outrage us and get us to pay attention so that they can sell us things or they can get us to vote a certain way. You know, this is part of this machinery that I call the identity distillation machinery of our current media environment.
Shankar Vedantam
And I think, of course, what we're getting at here, Dana, is that there are excellent reasons to be decisive and also excellent reasons to think about all the details. There's an advantage to coming up with explanations for things and advantages to sitting with ambiguity. The fact that we have these different systems in our minds testifies to the fact that the world throws lots of different kinds of problems at us. And we would be wise to recognize that different problems probably have different solutions.
Dana Young
And that we can tap into those different tendencies within us depending upon what the situation is. From my vantage point, I also think about it at the system level, where a society that only has people who are tolerant of ambiguity and high in need for cognition, well, it might be a society that has art and music and innovation, but it might also be a society that could be attacked and taken over very quickly, right? A society that only has high need for closure and low need for cognition. That is a society that might be super safe, super high in law and order, but might not have the kind of innovations and exploration, art and culture that would make quality of life really rich. So, you know, thinking about these two things as the yin and the yang of society, rather than things that need to be demonized if they don't share with how we live our lives, I think is necessary.
Shankar Vedantam
Donegal Goldthwait Young studies the media, public Opinion and political satire at the University of Delhi. She's the author of Wrong How Media, Politics and Identity Drive Our Appetite for Misinformation and Irony and Outrage the Polarized Landscape of Rage, Fear, and Laughter in the United States. Dana, thank you so much for joining me today on Hidden Brain.
Dana Young
Thanks so much for having me on.
Shankar Vedantam
If there's someone in your life who you think would be interested in the ideas we explored today, especially if that person is of a different worldview than yourself, we'd love for you to share this episode with them. Maybe use these ideas as an opportunity for deeper conversation. An opportunity to go beyond headlines and hot button issues and understand the underlying drivers of their beliefs. If you do engage in such conversations, let us know how they go. You can also send us follow up questions for Danigal Young to do so, please find a quiet room, record a voice memo on your phone, and email it to us@ideasiddenbrain.org that email address again is ideasiddenbrain.org 60 seconds is plenty. Please use the subject line Uncertainty. Please also be sure to pronounce your name and let us know if we have permission to use your recording in a future episode of the show. Hidden Brain is produced by Hidden Brain Media. Our audio production team includes Annie Murphy, Paul Kristen Wong, Laura Kwerel, Ryan Katz, Autumn Barnes, Andrew Chadwick, and Nick Woodbury. Tara Boyle is our Executive producer. I'm Hidden Brain's Executive editor. If you're a longtime fan of the show, you know why you like listening to podcasts. Podcasts are a great alternative to doomscrolling on social media. They can help you learn new ideas while you're on a walk or washing the dishes. Maybe Podcasts also keep you company and make you feel connected to the world around you. Whatever your reason for listening to podcasts, we really appreciate you spending your time with us. I'm Shankar Vedantam. See you soon.
Hidden Brain: "Sitting With Uncertainty"
Host: Shankar Vedantam
Guest: Dana Young
Release Date: September 30, 2024
The episode opens with Shankar Vedantam recounting the classic short story "The Lady or the Tiger," highlighting the theme of uncertainty and its psychological impact. This sets the stage for exploring how uncertainty shapes our behaviors, perspectives, and beliefs.
Overcoming Fear of the Unknown
Dana Young shares her transformative experience from 1999 when she moved to Philadelphia for graduate school. Initially hesitant, Dana joined an improv comedy group, overcoming her fears of uncertainty:
“It was life-changing. [...] And no, I didn't get mugged. And it was life changing.” [06:51]
Navigating Personal Crisis
In 2005, Dana's husband, Mike, was diagnosed with a brain tumor. This devastating event exposed Dana's deep discomfort with uncertainty. She describes her initial reactions—anger, frustration, and a quest for control through researching potential causes:
“I started going into these sort of conspiracy theory rabbit holes on the Internet.” [24:13]
Despite Mike's eventual passing in 2006, Dana's journey through grief highlighted her intense struggle with ambiguity and unpredictability.
Tolerance for Ambiguity vs. Need for Closure
Dana explains the psychological traits that influence how individuals handle uncertainty:
She references Arye Kruglanski's scale, which measures an individual's preference for order and certainty:
“I don't like situations that are uncertain. I dislike questions which could be answered in many different ways.” [26:24]
Need for Cognition
Dana delves into the concept of "Need for Cognition," defined as the enjoyment of thinking deeply and solving complex problems. Individuals with a high need for cognition prefer evidence-based arguments and are less swayed by emotional appeals:
“People who enjoy thinking actually are less likely to be persuaded by more emotional or heuristic kind of appeals.” [30:04]
Interplay Between Traits
She discusses how these traits interact, shaping our preferences and behaviors. For instance, a high need for cognition coupled with a high tolerance for ambiguity fosters appreciation for abstract art and complex problem-solving, while a high need for closure may lead to preference for structured environments and straightforward explanations.
Artistic Preferences
Dana explores how psychological traits influence aesthetic tastes. Individuals with high tolerance for ambiguity and need for cognition are more likely to appreciate abstract art and open-ended narratives:
“People who are high in tolerance for ambiguity are the ones who are most appreciative of abstract art.” [31:46]
Using the example of Renoir's realistic painting versus Picasso's abstract depiction of women with hats, Dana illustrates how these traits determine artistic preferences. She admits her personal preference:
“I really don't like the Picasso painting. I really don't.” [34:55]
Media Consumption and Political Views
Dana connects her research to the current media landscape, explaining how psychological traits influence political beliefs and susceptibility to misinformation. She posits that media outlets cater to these traits, reinforcing existing beliefs and deepening societal divides.
Irony vs. Outrage in Media
Comparing Stephen Colbert's ironic satire with Rush Limbaugh's overt outrage, Dana highlights how different media styles appeal to varying psychological needs:
“Irony is a kind of humor that is created through an inversion of meaning.” [46:35]
“The nature of outrage is it identifies threats in our environment... it is highly activating.” [49:10]
Impact on Political Polarization
Dana argues that the media's alignment with these traits exacerbates political polarization by catering to audiences' psychological predispositions:
“The traits of tolerance for ambiguity and need for cognition, they do cluster on the social and cultural left, and their opposites do cluster on the social and cultural right.” [50:55]
Balancing Traits in Society
Dana emphasizes the importance of both high and low tolerance for ambiguity and need for cognition in a balanced society. She warns against overvaluing one trait over the other, suggesting that both are necessary for a dynamic yet stable society:
“From my vantage point, I also think about it at the system level... thinking about these two things as the yin and the yang of society.” [53:55]
Bridging Divides
Recognizing the underlying psychological traits can foster empathy and understanding across different worldviews. Instead of labeling others as "snowflakes" or "extremists," understanding their need for cognition or closure can lead to more constructive dialogues.
Self-Reflection
Dana encourages listeners to reflect on their own tolerance for uncertainty and need for cognition, inviting them to consider how these traits shape their preferences, beliefs, and interactions.
Shankar Vedantam wraps up the episode by reiterating the importance of understanding our psychological responses to uncertainty. By acknowledging and embracing these traits, individuals and societies can navigate the complexities of the modern world more effectively.
Notable Quotes:
About Dana Young:
Dana Young is a researcher at the University of Delaware, specializing in media, public opinion, and political satire. She authored "How Media, Politics and Identity Drive Our Appetite for Misinformation" and "Irony and Outrage: The Polarized Landscape of Rage, Fear, and Laughter in the United States." Her work explores how our capacity to deal with uncertainty influences our deepest beliefs and societal conflicts.
Connect and Share:
If you found this episode insightful, share it with someone who might benefit from understanding the psychological underpinnings of uncertainty and its impact on our lives.