Transcript
Matt Alton (0:01)
Fourth of July savings are here at the Home Depot, so it's time to get your grilling on. Pick up The Traeger Pro Series 22 Pellet Grill and Smoker now on special buy for $389. Was $549. Smoke a rack of ribs or bake an apple pie. This grill is versatile enough to do it all this summer. No matter how you like your steaks, your barbecues are guaranteed to be well done. Celebrate 4th of July with fast free delivery on select grills right now at the Home Depot, subject to availability. Hello and welcome to our monthly series History behind the Headlines. I'm Matt Alton. In each episode, an expert panel will be exploring the historical news stories that have caught their eye and the history that will help you make sense of what's going on in the world. Each month, I'll be joined by our two regular panellists.
Hannah Skoda (0:52)
I'm Hannah Skoda. I'm fellow and tutor in medieval history at St John's College in Oxford.
Rana Mitter (0:57)
I'm Rana Mitter. I'm St. Lee, chair in US Asia relations at the Harvard Kennedy School and I'm a specialist on modern Chinese history.
Matt Alton (1:06)
Hannah and Rana, thank you so much for being with us. We are talking in the middle of June against a backdrop of headlines of an escalating situation in the Middle East. We're not going to comment today too much about the history of that specific situation, but it does give us the chance to have a wider think about escalation and about how nations have historically tried to guarantee their security in a complex and comple conflict ridden world. Rana, did you want to kick off thinking about this?
Rana Mitter (1:33)
Absolutely. And I would say that in some ways, governments have spent a huge amount of the modern era thinking about how the emergence of different types of nation states, different types of empires, have been able to live with each other without essentially escalating into conflict. Now, we all know that over the course of, let's say, the last 300 years or so, that hasn't been an entirely successful exercise. History tells us that not one, but two immense, titanic world wars took place in the 20th century. And of course, there are plenty other examples of smaller but still deadly conflicts that have emerged from the failure of what's become known as collective security. But that idea is still a very, very tempting one. The question of whether or not it's a chimera or whether or not actually there is the genuine possibility of using the capacity of states to pool their resources, pool their sovereignty in a sense, and their right to react to international event and hand them over to international organizations or international agreements. And the way in which this has happened has essentially changed quite significantly over the last couple of hundred years or so. One of the figures only died a couple of years ago, but very much someone involved with this, both as an analyst and as a practitioner over the last century or so, was Henry Kissinger, former U.S. secretary of State and National Security adviser. And as many people may know, but it's worth remembering, he started off as an analyst of the political history of nations and empires in Europe, and particularly was fascinated by the statesman Metternich, who he felt was one of those great figures who in some ways managed to manipulate or shape the way in which states dealt with each other. The Kissingerian way of looking at these things was whether or not you get, as in the early 19th century, what became known as a concert of nations, in other words, getting big, powerful countries to come together. And again on the morning actually of the day, we're recording this and where the G7, the group of the six, at least potentially most powerful economies in the world, coming together to discuss the Middle east and other issues too. But the constant of Europe in some ways perhaps is a predecessor to that kind of G7, G8, G20 type of gathering with the idea that collectively, even with the idea that there might be rivalries over resources or over territory, or even over ideas and ideologies, nonetheless it was in the collective interests of nations and countries and empires with often very different worldviews to live together in a peaceful and effective way. And some people would say that from the European point Of view, the 19th century was quite a good. Quite a good example of that. Between 1815, the end of the Napoleonic wars, and 1914, the outbreak of World War I, you get a situation in which, at least in terms of the core European powers, there's mostly a peaceful situation, thanks to agreements made in the aftermath of Napoleon's defeat. Lots of exceptions, of course, Franco, Prussian wars in the 1870s, and of course, huge numbers of violent colonial incursions into Africa, Asia and elsewhere. But nonetheless, the idea that this kind of collective security could work had come pretty much the mainstream in many ways, up to the early 20th century. The 20th century, of course, provides the counter example. Of course, it's the Balkan wars and the other European and other tensions that lead up eventually to the explosion, the cataclysm that comes in August 1914 and in the four years that follow that with the millions upon millions of deaths that come from World War I, then push people into that idea that There must be some more formalized mechanism to create collective security. And that's the era, the interwar era of the League of Nations, which is in some ways not ultimately as successful as attempt to try and create an international organization that would keep the peace. We know that in Asia it didn't stop Japan from invading Manchuria and northeast China in 1931, and that in the later 1930s it didn't stop Hitler from expanding across Europe and seizing territory essentially through coercion and violence. But it did set in mind, I think, the idea that somehow there should be some sort of international organization that would create that kind of collective security. And the United nations, of course, founded in 1945, still remains probably the last resort for many people in terms of how those ideas of collective security are actually going to be exercised. When it was founded, it was of course the primary members, in terms of strength in the international community who were made permanent members of the Security Council. The United States, the Soviet Union, Britain, France and China. And those five still stay at the heart of the Security Council today, even though the world has changed massively around them. But that question of whether or not there are going to be any means other than that kind of collective security that can keep the peace is now very much in doubt. There is a school of thought that says that the re emergence of great powers and of essentially strongman type leaders, Xi Jinping, Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and others who may seek to essentially use their own personalistic preferences, the leader to leader contact, they prefer, rather than using international organizations. That may be the way that we're heading. Again, one of the things that people have tended to assume is that the post Westphalian world, in other words, the world after the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648, which essentially gives rise in the eyes of many to the modern system of international relations, is also the world in which modern collective security emerged. A world in which you have defined nation states and the idea potentially of pooling or sharing rights to be able to get that kind of collective peace. States in the pre modern era tended to operate on significantly different lines, particularly in the medieval era. I don't know, Hannah, if this whole talk about collective security and the way it can be either breached or maintained really has much parallel in that pre modern, that medieval world.
