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A
You run one of the top endowments in the world, Caltech. Your four and a half billion dollar endowment size gives you an advantage in.
B
Terms of investing $4 billion. We're big enough where people pay attention to us.
A
Do you not have special access into venture funds started by alumni?
B
There are a handful of venture funds that have either been founded by or are currently managed by Caltech alums. There's one particularly large and very well known fund that has a Caltech alum at its head.
A
You mentioned that you're a conservative investor.
B
I' surprised by some of my peers having 30 or 35% of their portfolio in the riskiest asset class seems like a lot more risk than I'm willing to take. I do not pretend to know what the market will do.
A
So, Scott, you run one of the top endowments in the world, Caltech, which currently manages $4.5 billion. Tell me about your portfolio construction today.
B
Well, thank you. First of all, let me say I'm not sure we're one of the top endowments in the country. We're probably somewhere in 30s in terms of the absolute size of our endowment. But where we are top 10, interestingly, is endowment dollars per capita per student. Because we have such a small student population, our undergraduates number under a thousand. If you take that thousand and divide it into our endowment, we're actually quite large in that respect. So the allocation looks quite a bit like you might imagine, other large university endowments look like. We have about a third in global public equities, about 25% in private equity, which should be split between buyouts, growth and venture capital, and then about 25% in alternative securities, which are generally non correlated assets. Things like aircraft leasing, insurance products, longevity products. And then we have some distressed debt in there. We have about 12% real assets split between energy and real estate. And then the rest is cash and short term investments.
A
How do you structure your team? Is it asset by asset or do you have a more generalist approach?
B
I'd say it's split. We have a very small team. We have six investment professionals. They are nominally split between public securities, private securities and real estate. However, it's really quite fluid. We meet as a team twice a week. We review our portfolios in detail on a quarterly basis. On any particular transaction or any particular manager, there could be people from the private team working on a public transaction and vice versa. So we try and keep it pretty fluid and have a lot of cross training so that people are familiar with the entire portfolio.
A
When we last chatted, you mentioned that your four and a half billion dollar endowment size gives you an advantage in terms of investing. What did you mean by that?
B
Yeah, and let me clarify. First, we have about 4.6 billion total under management. The endowment is about 4.2 billion. And then we have another portfolio of taxable funds that we manage similarly to the endowment. But I think our size gives us an advantage in a couple of ways. One, we can be quite nimble. We don't need or frankly we can't write $200 million checks or $300 million checks because. And that requires a fund of a certain size. So we can write a $25 million check into, into a smaller fund and have it be significant for us as well as significant for the fund. On the flip side, at $4 billion, we're big enough where people pay attention to us. So even though we're located in Pasadena, which is a little bit off the beaten path, we're about half an hour northeast of downtown Los Angeles, we still get plenty of visits and plenty of attention from fund managers. Don't have to beg and plead for them to come visit us.
A
And you mentioned you have a taxable pocket and a non taxable pocket. How do you go about what's the optimal portfolio for taxable investors versus a non taxable?
B
We don't really focus so much on the taxes as much as the liquidity. The two portfolios serve very different functions. The endowment is a portfolio that is intended to last in perpetuity. Therefore, we take a very long horizon view of that portfolio and are willing to tie up liquidity quite a bit more and do more private assets than we would do in the taxable portfolio. And the taxable portfolio is meant to be used for capital expenditures and other, let's say medium term needs of the institute. And I would expect that portfolio to be spent down over the next 15 to 20 years. So obviously in that case we can't have a lot of private equity, which, as you know, often, Even though they're 10 year partnerships, they often last 15 or 20 or even more years. So we can't have a lot of illiquidity in that taxable portfolio.
A
I just interviewed Victor Mayer who runs the Evergreen Fund at Pantheon, and they've been doing it for a decade or so. And his view is that most top GPs will have evergreen structures in the next five, 10 years. What are your thoughts on that?
B
Yeah, we're definitely seeing a move in that direction. We're already in a couple of funds that have that structure and I think they make some sense, I mean, if you're honest, as I mentioned, funds are no longer, or maybe never were 10 year funds. And I think it makes a lot more sense for us to go in with our eyes open and understand what the ultimate liquidity is. And Evergreen Fund sort of helps us in that regard to understand what our true liquidity provisions are.
A
As an institutional investor or why does it make sense to ever invest in an Evergreen Fund?
B
I think it helps both sides. The manager knows that they have stable capital and therefore they can make decisions based on knowing that the capital will be there for a reasonable amount of time. And secondarily, I think it gives a little more choice to the LP and they can manage their own liquidity a little bit better.
A
Tell me about your governance structure and how does investment that come to you end up making it through the entire process?
B
So we report to an investment committee, which is a subcommittee of our board of trustees. We actually also have on our investment committee what we call advisory participants, which are experts, not on our board of trustees, that we invite to participate in all ways on our investment committee. Currently we have 14 people on that committee. Very generously, the committee early on provided me with an enormous amount of discretion. So we actually have pretty high limits under which we can invest without getting investment committee approval. However, the discretion is really more of a negative consent type of structure. In other words, we treat a, an investment that does not require approval by our investment committee exactly the same as one that requires approval. And what that means is after we've done sometimes years of getting to know a manager and then could be six months, maybe longer, of deep due diligence, then we will write a detailed memo on our views of the manager and why we recommend an investment that will go through many drafts up and down the chain within our office and then ultimately be distributed to the investment committee. And where the negative consent comes in is even for a, an investment that does not require investment committee approval. After we have sent out the memo, any committee member has the right to raise their hand and suggest that the investment be discussed more broadly amongst the committee members. I can tell you in my 14 years that has happened twice. So it's quite unusual that somebody would raise their hand. And I think part of that is because we're relatively conservative in our approach. Obviously, having worked with this investment committee for 14 years, I know how they think, I know what they like and what they don't like. And so it's pretty infrequent that something gets up to their level that I have any Doubt will not be approved either formally or informally by the committee.
A
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B
I think it depends what. What your objectives are. Right? I mean, if, if your objectives are to maximize return but potentially accept volatility, then being very conservative probably isn't a good thing. In our case, the risk profile of our investment committee is, I'd say, conservative. Even though, interestingly, they are primarily very seasoned investment professionals. Even the trustee members are seasoned investment professionals. But I think that also informs them about the risks in the market. The endowment funds, about 22% of our operating budget. Incurring a lot of volatility in a portfolio would potentially lead to actual cuts in our budget if we were to have a steep and lengthy drawdown that would have an impact on our actual operations at the Institute. And so I tend to want to reduce volatility within the portfolio. And sometimes that means that our returns won't be quite as high as others. But on the other hand, when there is a drawdown in the market, I think we're positioned to outperform. I mean, as an example, I think I referred to it earlier, we have 6% venture capital in the portfolio. I've been surprised by some of my peers that have let their venture capital portfolios run up into the 20s and sometimes even in the 30s and high 30s. At least as far as I'm concerned, venture capital remains the riskiest asset class, or certainly one of the riskiest asset classes you can invest in. And having 30 or 35% of your portfolio in the riskiest asset class seems. Seems like a lot more risk than I'm willing to take.
A
As the Office of Caltech. Do you not have special access into venture funds, specifically venture funds started by alumni?
B
Well, first of all, there are A handful of venture funds that are have either been founded by or are currently managed by Caltech alums. I can think of there's one particularly large and very well known fund that has a Caltech alum at its at its head. And there have certainly been opportunities from time to time where one of our alums has reached out to us and told us that they would like to have us participate in the fund. While we certainly give those funds a really hard look, we treat them similarly to any other in terms of our due diligence and ultimately investing in them. So I think we get invited, but I wouldn't say we have special access and certainly we don't have special access to some of the big brand name funds. On the flip side, I will say that once we do have a relationship with some of the larger brand name funds, we invite them as a partner to come in and spend time at the Institute, in our laboratories and with our tech transfer area and explore different ideas and investments that may be available to them that they wouldn't otherwise see. And not having a relationship with Caltech.
A
A famous study from University of Chicago has persistence persistent in private equity. Evidence from buyout and venture capital funds cites that more than 50% of top quartile have retained top quartile status over the last several decades. What do you think about that? Is that not a reason to invest into venture capital?
B
Persistency I don't think is a reason to invest in an asset class. It may be a reason to select your managers very carefully. I do believe there is some amount of persistency, particularly in venture capital. Part of that can be attributed to the fact that they tend to see the most deal flow. Success begets success and so they tend to see the most deal flow and potentially the best deal flow. I also don't want to take anything away from the value that the top funds add. I mean they have done deal after deal after deal. They, they have the experience to identify issues within a company. They know when they need to make a management management change. They know how to help the companies get good product market fit. And so. So just going back to your question, I don't think it's a reason to invest in an asset class, but I do think it's a reason to think carefully about the managers with whom you invest.
A
How much of your role as CIO of the endowment involves making macro forecasts or playing macro investor?
B
In my case, very little. I think that differs from endowment to new endowment depending on the skills of the CIO and the rest of the team. I do not pretend to forecast or to know what the market will do. I tend to set up a portfolio that I believe will perform well in different environments. I want. There are certain parts of the portfolio that will perform well in a high growth environment. There are certain parts of the portfolio that will protect us in a low growth environment or in a down environment. And so I tend. We tend to be more of a set it and forget it type portfolio. We're always trying to improve, we're always trying to add better managers, we're trying to add new ideas. But we're definitely not whipping the portfolio around trying to chase the economy. I mean, I'll just give you one example. Look, look at what happened yesterday with, with the Fed cut. Often when we see Fed cuts, you would assume that the Fed is signaling a slowdown in the economy and what you might expect is for the market to react negatively to that. Instead, the market took off. I imagine there might have been some people who predicted that, but if you just think about classic economics and at least the way I learned economics, I wouldn't have necessarily predicted that.
A
Does that signal that the market believes it's more in the no than the Fed?
B
I doubt it. I just think there is so much money sloshing around in the markets these days that it's pretty hard to keep the market down, it would seem. I honestly not sure what the market is thinking. I think the Fed knows what it's doing. I think they've done a pretty incredible job, if you think about it, of avoiding a recession. It looks like we're going to have a soft landing. And if you go back to March of 2020 when the market fell dramatically as a result of COVID it seems like we've recovered quite nicely from that.
A
You mentioned that you don't like to play macro investor, but you take advantage of macro trends and market opportunities. In terms of private credit. Private credit's the hottest asset class right now. Are you bullish on private credit and how have you played it with the higher interest rates?
B
I have not been bullish on private credit. We have one not insignificant partnership with a private credit manager that we know quite well and we have been with for probably going on 10 years now. Otherwise, I've been quite concerned about private credit because it's a very competitive market and all you can really compete on is price and structure. So when you're competing, you're potentially providing a lower price to the borrower and you're providing a looser structure to the borrower where it's where it's not competitive. It tends to be with borrowers who are having a hard time borrowing money. Right. And so in that case, the lender can dictate the terms. It's not clear to me that that's the loan that I want to be in where the borrower has been turned down by every other lender and they finally found someone who, who is willing to lend them money. The second issue, and maybe having a little bit of experience is a negative. But I started my career in asset based lending a very long time ago and working at Citibank. And so I actually understand how hard it is to make loans, to manage loans and to work out loans. And it wasn't, as I've looked at private lenders, it's not clear to me that many of them are prepared for the workout part of the cycle, which I would suggest that we're moving into now. So they're either going to have to very quickly learn how to do workouts or hire people that know how to do workouts, or I guess the third option would be to sell loans at a discount when they get into a workout situation.
A
You've worked through six major financial crises and what lessons have you learned?
B
Yeah, I mean, I guess first let's, let's look at the facts and the background to that comment I made. If you go back to 87, when I started my career, we had actually a drawdown just as I was coming out of business school and joining Citibank. In that case, the market fell, or the market is defined by The S&P 500 fell 36% over a two month period and it took 21 months to recover back to the high. Another one that I lived through was in 2000, of course the dot com and the telecom crash. In that case we were down 51% over a 31 month period and it took almost 60 months to recover. The third one I'd mentioned was the 07 and I think there are a lot more people out there in the workforce who did have to live through 07. But in that case we were down 58% over a 17 month period and it took 49 months to recover back to the high. So in each of those situations there was a relatively long drawn out grind down every day. You'd come into the office and you'd be down and you can imagine how that gets to you after a while. It took a very long time to recover. Now let's compare that to the 2020 drawdown. We were down 34% in one month and we were fully recovered in four months. That provides you with a very different mindset on how the market works. There was no grinding down, there was a quick drawdown. Oh my gosh, oh my gosh, what's going to happen? And then before you knew it, everything was okay and life was good. And that has created the buy the diplomatic mentality, which may work in some circumstances and may not. So to answer your question, what have I learned? One, markets can go down and stay down. They don't always recover in a month or two. Two, you can lose money when you have a and sometimes you have to crystallize those losses. If you have a portfolio that has gone down 20 or 30% and it's down in that range for 6 months, 12 months, 24 months, you may be in a position where you need to generate liquidity and you're going to sell some of your assets at a loss that will make those permanent losses. The third thing is that you really need to manage your emotions in this business. It's very easy to get anxious and worried about the markets. But the fact of the matter is markets go up and markets go down. And we have to remind ourselves of.
A
That every day is the key to surviving a downturn. Having the courage to keep your positions in place as they're going down. And talk to me, so what are the best practices when you're going through a downturn?
B
I wouldn't say that the best practices to keep your positions. I think the best practice is to re underwrite your positions and make sure that they are appropriate in the current environment. You may have had a hypothesis or a theory as to why you acquired that investment three, four, five years back. It may no longer be appropriate in the new environment. And so I think there's a necessity to re underwrite and determine whether or not the prospects for that investment are the same as what you believed when you first underwrote it. On the other hand, you don't want to throw the baby out with the bathwater. It's human nature to do exactly the opposite of what you're suggesting. That when you get panicked, when the market goes down, it's human nature just to sell to protect your assets or your downside. On the flip side, it's also human nature to buy when prices are expensive. When the markets are going up, people tend to get excited and buy. And that often results in the opposite of what you should be doing. It results in buying high and selling low. And we do try to avoid that, of course.
A
Stanley Drunkenmiller famously said that nothing looks as cheap as once it's risen by 40%.
B
It is amazing. And we try very hard to be disciplined and sort of, I wouldn't say contrarians, but at least believers in reversion to the mean. So we tend to actually trim from our winners and add to our losers as we look at the portfolio. That doesn't always work, by the way. I mean, sometimes losers really are losers and we find ourselves adding to the losers, and we'll be patient with them. But sometimes particular strategies are out of favor for a really long time. And this current environment is an example of one of those environments where anything that's small cap or value or basically not large cap growth has been out of favor for a really long time. And that's caused a lot of portfolios to underperform simple indices. And of course, that provides pressure or causes pressure to come from investment committees and other people who can't understand why your portfolio isn't performing as well as, you know, a simple S&P 500 index.
A
Do you see your role as an asset allocator or as an investor? Meaning, given that you have an underlying institution behind the portfolio, your number one goal is to make sure that those liabilities are paid for rather than, you know, generating alpha or generating the highest returns. How do you look at those two different roles of maximizing returns versus preserving value?
B
Yeah, I personally do both, and I think part of that is attributable to my personal skill set and background. Prior to becoming an allocator, about halfway through my career, I was a transactor. I was a banker. I was treasurer of a Fortune 500 financial services company. And that was very transactional. I came to this allocator role with a skill set in M and A, in Treasury, in lending. So my mindset is transactional. On the other hand, as an allocator, you're picking managers, you're choosing asset classes in which to invest, and you're choosing managers. So our portfolio actually has a sprinkling of direct investments, primarily driven by me. The investment committee has kindly allocated me a bucket, what we call the opportunistic bucket, where I can do direct investments, private or public. If I decide that there's a particular stock or a particular opportunity or particular asset class we should get into, in and out of quickly, I have the capability of doing that, and also I have the ability to identify direct private investments. And we have probably half a dozen of those in the portfolio. But the vast majority of what the investment office does is asset allocation.
A
To managers, when you're exploring a theme, say AI, data source services, you know, social, mobile, back in the day. Tell me about the process, how you get educated on a theme, and how you get to consensus strategy between public or private investing, direct funds, or any other way you could access the theme.
B
We spend time looking at trends and new investment areas, crypto being an example, AI being an example. But we spend more time as an allocator trying to determine who understands it best, or who we think understands it best, or who has a particularly interesting angle, or who has the best access, or who may have the best ideas in that particular sector. So we don't necessarily, as an allocator, need to become experts in AI or experts in crypto or blockchain or whatever it is, but we do need to become experts in understanding or evaluating a manager's approach to an asset class, whether or not we believe in their thesis, whether or not we trust them to stay on point with their thesis. Of course, you know, as an allocator, and I know I'm drifting off topic here, but as an allocator, one of your nightmares is to hire a manager to do one particular thing, only to realize a couple years in that they've actually usually slowly migrated to a different strategy that you didn't expect, that you didn't underwrite. And, you know, if, if it, if it turns out really well, then you got lucky, if it turns out poorly, then you made a bad judgment in terms of understanding how that manager thinks, not knowing or not understanding that they were prone to strategy creep.
A
On the flip side, when managers have returned capital, how have you looked at that?
B
Generally good. We have a couple of managers, well known managers, who hold very large cash positions in anticipation of opportunities that may come in the future. And while we invest in a couple of those, it's frustrating. First of all, you're paying relatively big fees for them to hold large portfolios of cash. And one would think that in this day and age, if they saw an opportunity, they could very quickly issue a capital call or within a matter of a couple of days, get as much money as they need. So when managers return money, it's actually somewhat comforting because they have recognized that the opportunity set is not there and they want to maximize our returns, and they believe that what they are doing at that moment with the amount of money they have will not maximize our returns. And so they're giving us an opportunity to find a different area in which to invest our capital. So in general, we view it positively.
A
Have you ever reinvest into a manager that's given back money.
B
Yes, when we've had the opportunity. Sometimes there's. I can think of one manager in particular that has on several occasions offered the opportunity to get liquidity or leave your money in the fund. And there's one manager in particular I can think of where we almost always leave the money based upon their track record. But also, frankly, in one particular case I'm thinking of because we leave it there because the particular asset class that they're in looks relatively inexpensive to us. And while the performance may not have been terrific over the last 12 or 18 or 20 or four months, we're always looking forward. In that particular case, I'm thinking of we wanted to leave the money there and wait for the opportunity to come up for that particular asset class in that particular sector to recover.
A
Now, Caltech is currently discussing adding index exposure to your public equities portfolio. Tell me about your thought process.
B
Yeah, it's been a really tough time in active management over the last several years. It's primarily driven by, you know, what everybody refers to as the Magnificent seven, where if you didn't own those seven stocks or five stocks, you almost by definition underperformed the indices. And so at some point, when you're far enough behind the indices, the question comes up, well, why not just buy the index? And it's, it's a little bit counter to what I said previously, right? Because right now the max 7 or the stocks that have performed very well are on a relative basis, incredibly expensive. And so our tendency would be to look for less expensive markets. But at some point you look at it and you say, well, would it hurt me to sprinkle some index funds into the portfolio? At least I would have some part of the portfolio that would be matching the index, hopefully matching the index on the way up, but it also will be matching the index on the way down. So we historically have been virtually 100% active, but we're looking now at adding to our public portfolio, you know, maybe a 10 or 15% position in a relatively inexpensive index fund so that at least we have some part of the portfolio matching our benchmark.
A
Warren Buffett famously took the opposite side of that trade and made a bet with a hedge fund manager, Ted Seides, on whether hedge funds would outperform index funds. Why does Caltech focus so much on active investing? Public markets?
B
We believe in general that if we're asked to outperform the indices, which we are, I mean, we're benchmarked to various asset and sector indices the one thing I know for sure is that if I invest only in indices, then due to fees I will underperform the indices. It's, we're pushed in, in that direction as a result of attempting to outperform. Part of it is active management, but part of it is investing in areas that aren't necessarily right on benchmark. That's particularly true in our alternative asset classes, as I mentioned, where we might be investing in, in lesser correlated or completely uncorrelated asset classes, which, particularly in a drawdown situation where the equity markets have drawn down those uncorrelated assets, should allow us to outperform. So in general we've tried to remain active, tried to find really smart people who view the market similarly to us, are relatively conservative, aren't super aggressive in their approach because at the end of the day what we're really trying to do is we're trying to generate a return consistent with our payout and not lose a lot of money as I mentioned earlier. So we, we look for active managers that can fit that mold.
A
You mentioned that you see hedge funds as portfolio portfolio volatility reducing instruments. What did you mean by that?
B
As I mentioned the before, the idea is to have a portfolio of less correlated or non correlated assets that will smooth out the return of the portfolio over time. So with, as I mentioned, about 25% of the portfolio and in these lesser or uncorrelated assets, even when we have an equity drawdown, I'm relatively comfortable that those assets will at least generate a positive return. They may not generate the return that we expected. And those assets generally we look for something in the high single digits to mid double digits and we may not, you know, in a tremendous drawdown. You know, the old, the old saying is all correlations go to one. So even if you thought you had an uncorrelated asset, you may see a temporary price correction. But those typically are temporary, they tend to be liquidity driven. And so we can depend on those lesser correlated low or uncorrelated assets to deliver a different return stream from our equity exposed assets. And so that combination reduces volatility within the portfolio.
A
Yeah, it's sort of like having cash on the balance sheet. Having even a little bit could basically smooth out a return. Why are you so concerned with drawdowns versus expected value?
B
Yeah, as I mentioned before, the Institute depends quite heavily on a steady stream of income or payout from the portfolio secondarily. Well, as I mentioned before, 22% of our portfolio operating budget is dependent upon the payout. The Second issue with our particular portfolio is that our payout is relatively high compared to our peers. We are, depending on how you calculate it, somewhere in the mid 5% range on payout. Whereas I think you'd find the average among many of our peers in the Pro, probably mid 4%, maybe high 4% range. And so the combination of those two causes us to be a little more.
A
Conservative and dumb question, why does that matter? So in your most extreme of the six kind of financial crisis, I think it took five years to get back. Clearly you have five years of budget. So talk me through the math about why drawdowns are critical when you have a mid five high five distribution.
B
Well, I'm not going to walk you through the math, but I can give you a real life example. I joined Caltech in September of 2010. The 0708 drawdown at that point was starting to have very meaningful impact on the payout. Based on the calculation of how we look at the balance in the endowment and what percentage that gets paid out. We had quite dramatic budget cuts in 2009, 2010, uncomfortable layoff of many people. And so it's real world stuff. We have on campus, we have 3,000 employees. And if we have a sustained drawdown in the endowment, it's unfortunate, but we're going to have to cut costs because we depend on that payout in order to keep our budget stable.
A
Absolutely. You mentioned a big part of my job is to be an acoustic wall to keep noise away from my team. What did you mean by that?
B
As a cio, there's a lot of managing up and managing down. Part of my job is of course, asset allocation, managing the people in my office, reviewing investment ideas, approving investment ideas. But another part of my job is managing the investment committee and managing our president and other. And I don't mean that in a pejorative way as if I'm managing him, but communicating with him, liaising with him, liaising with other members of the senior management of Caltech, communicating our ideas and what we're doing and the risks we're taking. However, I want my team to focus on investing. And so part of what I try to do is make sure that any, as I called it, noise, but any distractions that might be coming from campus or from the investment committee or from any other area that I'm able to absorb that and allow my team to focus on what they do best, which is finding great managers, monitoring great managers and investing in and great managers. And so if I can keep them from having to worry about, you know, what's going on around them. I think it allows them to perform in a better way.
A
Do you believe in the principle of praise in public, criticize in private?
B
I believe definitely in the principle of praise in public and mostly praise in private. I am the type of manager where I give the credit for positive things to my team and I take the blame for negative things that happen within my purview. I think my team appreciates that. I mean, they look, we're all adults. We know when we've made a mistake. I don't have to tell my team member when they've made a mistake. They know and there's no need for me to pile on. What I can do is make sure they learn from it. I can make sure that they understand what went wrong. I can offer advice on how they might have approached the issue or handled the issue differently. But we all make mistakes and so I tend not to be particularly critical. Rather, I tend to focus on what we can learn from an error and most importantly, what we can and will do in the future to avoid a repeat.
A
What do you wish you Knew before starting 14 years ago? What do you wish you knew before starting at Caltech?
B
I think I probably wish I understood the pace of higher ed versus being in the business world. I came from banking, I came from financial services. And as you can imagine, things move very quickly in those types of businesses. In particular, the firm I worked for 12 years, a firm called Sun America, which was founded and run by a gentleman named Eli Broad. Very aggressive. We were always pushing, pushing, pushing to make things better and faster and less expensive. That was, that was what we understood our job was to do. Academia runs at a slower pace. It just does. And sometimes my personality and my drive for constant improvement conflicts a little bit with the culture of higher ed. So I. Would I have made a different decision if I had known upfront that things run a little more slowly? Would I have decided not to go to Caltech? I don't. I don't think so because it's been a fantastic experience. As you know, I'm stepping down in a few months after a great 14 year run and I've enjoyed every minute of it. I've learned so much from the institution and from the faculty and from my colleagues, and it's been a fantastic experience. But there have definitely been times when I've been banged my head against the wall because I wasn't able to accomplish something that I felt was important to accomplish.
A
Well, Scott, thank you for sharing your wisdom from many decades thank you for jumping on the podcast.
B
Thank you. It's been a pleasure.
A
Thank you for listening. The 10X Capital podcast now receives more than 170,000 downloads per month. If you are interested in sponsoring, please email me@david10xcapital.com.
Podcast Summary: The David Weisburd Podcast - E107: Caltech’s CIO’s $4.6 Billion Investment Strategy
Host: David Weisburd
Guest: Scott [Last Name], Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at Caltech
Release Date: October 29, 2024
In episode E107 of The David Weisburd Podcast, host David Weisburd delves into the intricate investment strategies of Caltech's endowment, managed by CIO Scott. With a substantial endowment of approximately $4.6 billion, Scott offers insights into portfolio construction, team dynamics, investment philosophies, and the unique challenges faced by institutional investors in the higher education sector.
Scott provides a comprehensive overview of Caltech's portfolio, highlighting its diversified nature:
Notable Quote:
“At Caltech, our allocation looks quite a bit like you might imagine other large university endowments: about a third in global public equities...”
— Scott [00:57]
Scott elaborates on the structure of his investment team, emphasizing flexibility and cross-training:
Notable Quote:
“We try and keep it pretty fluid and have a lot of cross training so that people are familiar with the entire portfolio.”
— Scott [02:24]
Caltech's endowment size affords both recognition and agility in investment:
Notable Quote:
“We can be quite nimble. We don’t need or frankly we can’t write $200 million checks... So we can write a $25 million check into a smaller fund and have it be significant for us as well as significant for the fund.”
— Scott [03:12]
Scott distinguishes between the endowment (non-taxable) and a separate taxable portfolio:
Notable Quote:
“Our endowment is a portfolio that is intended to last in perpetuity... the taxable portfolio is meant to be used for capital expenditures and other, let’s say, medium-term needs.”
— Scott [04:30]
Discussing the trend towards Evergreen Funds, Scott acknowledges their growing importance:
Notable Quote:
“We’re definitely seeing a move in that direction... Evergreen Fund sort of helps us in that regard to understand what our true liquidity provisions are.”
— Scott [05:55]
Caltech’s governance involves a robust investment committee with substantial discretion for the CIO:
Notable Quote:
“We actually have pretty high limits under which we can invest without getting investment committee approval... but it's quite unusual that somebody would raise their hand.”
— Scott [07:14]
Scott emphasizes a conservative investment approach, contrasting it with peers who hold higher-risk assets:
Notable Quote:
“…having 30 or 35% of your portfolio in the riskiest asset class seems like a lot more risk than I'm willing to take.”
— Scott [10:40]
While Caltech maintains relationships with venture funds led by alumni, Scott stresses the importance of equal due diligence:
Notable Quote:
“We treat them similarly to any other in terms of our due diligence and ultimately investing in them.”
— Scott [12:58]
Addressing the University of Chicago study on persistency in private equity, Scott differentiates between asset class selection and manager selection:
Notable Quote:
“I don’t think [persistency] is a reason to invest in an asset class, but I do think it’s a reason to select your managers very carefully.”
— Scott [14:50]
Scott admits that macro forecasting is not a primary focus, instead favoring a diversified, "set it and forget it" portfolio designed to perform across various economic environments:
Notable Quote:
“I do not pretend to forecast or to know what the market will do. I tend to set up a portfolio that I believe will perform well in different environments.”
— Scott [16:06]
Scott expresses caution towards private credit due to market competitiveness and borrower risk profiles:
Notable Quote:
“I’ve been quite concerned about private credit because it’s a very competitive market and all you can really compete on is price and structure.”
— Scott [18:50]
Reflecting on six major financial crises, Scott highlights the importance of enduring prolonged market downturns and managing emotions:
Notable Quote:
“One, markets can go down and stay down. They don’t always recover in a month or two.”
— Scott [21:11]
Scott advises a disciplined approach to downturns, emphasizing re-underwriting investments rather than holding or selling based purely on market movements:
Notable Quote:
“The best practice is to re-underwrite your positions and make sure that they are appropriate in the current environment.”
— Scott [24:42]
Caltech is considering adding index exposure to its traditionally active public equity portfolio due to the underperformance driven by concentration in top-performing stocks:
Notable Quote:
“Our tendency would be to look for less expensive markets. But at some point you look at it and you say, well, would it hurt me to sprinkle some index funds into the portfolio?”
— Scott [35:25]
Scott views hedge funds as tools for reducing portfolio volatility through uncorrelated asset allocations:
Notable Quote:
“The combination reduces volatility within the portfolio.”
— Scott [39:21]
Scott underscores the critical nature of managing drawdowns to ensure the stability of Caltech’s budget and operations:
Notable Quote:
“We have to remind ourselves that markets go up and markets go down.”
— Scott [24:31]
Balancing the dual roles of asset allocation and direct investing, Scott describes his approach to both functions:
Notable Quote:
“Our portfolio actually has a sprinkling of direct investments, primarily driven by me.”
— Scott [28:14]
Caltech engages in thematic investing by evaluating trends and selecting managers who best understand and can capitalize on these themes:
Notable Quote:
“We don’t necessarily, as an allocator, need to become experts in AI or experts in crypto... we need to become experts in understanding or evaluating a manager’s approach.”
— Scott [30:22]
Scott discusses the positive perspective on managers who return capital, viewing it as a sign of disciplined investment:
Notable Quote:
“When managers return money, it’s actually somewhat comforting because they have recognized that the opportunity set is not there.”
— Scott [34:13]
Scott emphasizes a supportive and non-intrusive management style, fostering an environment where his team can focus on their investment responsibilities:
Notable Quote:
“I give the credit for positive things to my team and I take the blame for negative things that happen within my purview.”
— Scott [45:38]
Looking back on his 14-year tenure, Scott reflects on the cultural differences between higher education and the fast-paced financial industry:
Notable Quote:
“Sometimes my personality and my drive for constant improvement conflicts a little bit with the culture of higher ed. But I don’t think that’s been a reason to change something.”
— Scott [47:10]
Scott’s tenure as CIO at Caltech offers a blueprint for balancing conservative investment strategies with the demands of maintaining a stable endowment. Through meticulous portfolio construction, disciplined management practices, and a thoughtful approach to both asset allocation and team leadership, Caltech navigates the complexities of institutional investing while safeguarding the institution's financial future.
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