Podcast Summary: La economía de Hoy por Hoy | El Banco Mundial prevé bajadas de precio de algunos alimentos básicos

Podcast: Hoy por Hoy
Host: Àngels Barceló with Jordi Fábrega
Date: November 10, 2025
Original Language: Spanish

Main Theme

This episode’s central focus is on the new projections from the World Bank regarding global commodity prices, particularly energy and staple foods. The discussion highlights anticipated drops in inflationary pressures, how these might benefit consumers, and their implications for poverty worldwide. The episode also includes a rundown of the key economic events scheduled for the week.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Global Commodities Price Drop

— [00:26]
Jordi Fábrega explains that the World Bank forecasts another year of falling prices for key commodities, continuing a trend since 2022.

• Commodity Prices:

  • 2026 prices projected to be 36% lower than 2022, which was the post-pandemic high.
  • Prices “seguirán siendo más caras de lo que costaba antes de la pandemia" (will still be higher than pre-pandemic) but are steadily declining.

• Context:

  • 2022’s price spikes were attributed to the onset of the Ukraine war, which disrupted markets globally.

2. Specific Drops in Energy Prices

— [00:26]

• Energy Sector:
  • Prices to fall 12% in 2025 and an additional 10% in 2026.
  • “El petróleo, por ejemplo, bajará a los 60 dólares por barril, que será su precio más bajo en cinco años” (Oil will fall to $60 per barrel, its lowest in five years) — due to decreased global demand and growing supply.
  • Gas: Expected to drop by 10% next year.

3. Food Prices: Stabilization and Select Declines

— [01:40]

• General food prices are falling by 6% this year, with further reductions expected next year.

• Notable commodities:

  • Coffee: Predicted to decrease in 2026 after this year’s increase.
  • Cacao:
    • Currently up 9% this year, forecasted to drop 6% in 2026 and another 7% in 2027.
    • “Así que se compensará ampliamente la subida de este año” (This year’s rise will be more than offset).
  • Meat: Seen to be cheaper despite low stocks.
  • Oils: Expected to remain stable in price.
  • Rice: Slightly down due to higher production, but a 2% uptick in 2026.
  • Sugar: Prices stable.

• Jordi cautions:

  • “Hay en general una bajada de precio que evidentemente veremos si al final no se ve alterada por las guerras o por algún evento climático inesperado.” [02:00]

4. Impact on Global Poverty and Hunger

— [02:52]
Àngels Barceló raises the question of whether these trends will aid the fight against poverty. Jordi responds optimistically but with measured realism:

• “El Banco Mundial prevé que el número de personas en el mundo que pasan hambre baje un poco este año y también el año que viene. Tampoco mucho, desgraciadamente, pero sí que se prevé una pequeña reducción.”
  (The World Bank foresees a slight decline in the number of people suffering hunger this year and next; not much, unfortunately, but a modest reduction.)

• Statistics:

  • From 676 million people hungry in 2024 to 634 million by end of 2025 — a reduction of 40 million people.

• “Seguimos hablando de cifras extremadamente elevadas” (We are still talking about extremely high numbers). [03:16]

5. Economic Agenda for the Week

— [03:33]
Jordi provides an outlook on significant upcoming economic events.

• Markets:

  • Major gains in Asian stock markets.
  • Ongoing volatility “desde hace casi un mes” (for nearly a month).

• Key Dates:

  • Thursday: Release of the Bank of Spain’s Financial Stability Report and the European Central Bank’s Economic Bulletin — to assess the current economic situation and market risks.
  • Friday: Eurozone economic growth data and confirmation or not of Spain’s October inflation figure (preliminary: 3.1% year-on-year).

Notable Quotes and Memorable Moments

• On Price Drops Post-Ukraine War:

  • “En comparación con 2022…el Banco Mundial calcula que el precio de las materias primas habrá bajado un 36 %” (Compared to 2022, World Bank estimates prices will fall 36%). — Jordi Fábrega [00:26]

• Cautious Optimism:

  • “Veremos si al final no se ve alterada por las guerras o por algún evento climático inesperado.”
    (Let’s see if this trend isn’t derailed by wars or unexpected climate events.) — Jordi Fábrega [02:08]

• On Hunger Numbers:

  • “Se reducen unos 40 millones de personas las que pasan hambre aunque seguimos hablando de cifras extremadamente elevadas.”
    (There are 40 million fewer people going hungry, but we’re still talking about extremely high numbers.) — Jordi Fábrega [03:16]

• Economic Outlook:

  • “El día fuerte será informativamente el jueves con la publicación del Informe de Estabilidad Financiera del Banco de España y el Boletín Económico del Banco Central Europeo.”
    (The key day will be Thursday with the release of the Bank of Spain and ECB bulletins.) — Jordi Fábrega [03:38]

Useful Timestamps

• [00:26] – Overview of commodity trends and World Bank’s outlook
• [01:40] – Detailed breakdown on food price projections
• [02:52] – Discussion on food prices and world hunger
• [03:33] – Economic agenda for the coming week

Summary Flow & Tone

The discussion is clear, factual, and grounded in current economic analysis, balancing optimism regarding easing inflation with realism about continued global inequalities. The hosts maintain an informative but accessible tone, providing both significant statistics and real-world context.

For listeners who missed the episode:
This summary offers a comprehensive overview of how global price forecasts could positively impact consumers and vulnerable populations, while also noting the unpredictability due to geopolitical or climatic shocks. Practical information on upcoming economic reports is also shared for those following financial news closely.