Podcast Summary: Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec

Episode: NJ is the Play, the Mamdani Model is the New Democrat Playbook
Date: November 3, 2025
Host: Jack Posobiec
Featured Guests: Tyler Boyer (COO, Turning Point Action), Paula Scanlon (On-the-ground Correspondent), Brianna Lyman (The Federalist)
Location: Live from Phoenix, Arizona (Turning Point USA HQ)

Episode Overview

This episode of Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec centers on the strategic importance of the New Jersey and New York elections, focusing particularly on the rising influence of the "Mamdani Model" within the Democratic Party. The discussion explores election strategies, political violence, demographic shifts, grassroots efforts, and the implications of a new breed of Democratic leadership typified by Zoran Mamdani, a self-identified Democratic socialist poised to become New York City’s mayor.

Key Discussion Points and Insights

1. Political Violence and Assassinations in the West

• [03:09] Jack breaks major news of an Antifa-claimed firebombing attack on a right-wing politician’s car in Hamburg, Germany.
• Cites Antifa threats:

  "All you MAGA freaks, you will follow Charlie Kirk to hell." - Jack Posobiec relaying Antifa statement ([04:33])

• Ties recent violence abroad to the murder of Charlie Kirk and anticipates continued escalation.
• Jack advocates for Antifa to be designated a “foreign terrorist organization.”

Notable Quote:

"Germany has always been the hotbed of Antifa activity... now we've got direct assassination attempts taking place, firebombings... with references to Charlie Kirk." — Jack Posobiec ([05:01])

2. Election Dynamics: New Jersey and New York

New Jersey Gubernatorial Contest

• Jack and Tyler Boyer discuss the surprising competitiveness of the NJ governor's race post-Trump’s presidential win.
• Republicans have historically been under-resourced in NJ; the ground game is minimal compared to Democrats ([12:58]).
• Orthodox Jewish communities in Lakewood are mobilizing in unprecedented numbers, suggesting a "Mamdani backlash"—a reaction to the perceived radicalism in NY spilling over.

Notable Quote:

"They had to use a drone to just capture the amount of lines out in Lakewood... What is driving Cittarelli? They said part of it is Mikie Sherrill and the Democrats, but a big part... is Mandami." — Jack Posobiec ([15:26])

The “Mamdani Model” in New York

• Zoran Mamdani, a Democratic socialist, is expected to win the NYC mayor's race by a huge margin ([13:29]–[14:24]).
• Polls put Mamdani up by 15–24 points; odds markets show his victory as an inevitability.
• Discussion on whether traditional Democrats will support the “lesser of two evils” or split the vote.
• Obama is notably absent from direct support of Mamdani, playing strategic optics to avoid riling Republican turnout in nearby swing states ([17:33]).

Notable Insight:

"They're playing it cool on Mamdani... Barack Obama doesn't hold a rally with him but has a phone call instead... so they don't get that optic of them being together." — Jack Posobiec ([17:33])

3. On-the-Ground Grassroots Efforts

Paula Scanlon (Live from North Jersey):

• Out canvassing in a town that turned red for the first time in 40 years.
• Targeting low-propensity Republican voters and collecting unreturned mail-in ballots ([28:58]–[29:52]).
• Reports strong sentiment for change; voters are tired of taxes, crime, and people moving away.
• Confirms lackluster turnout at an Obama rally in Newark, interpreting it as a sign of Democratic fatigue ([31:01]).
• Senses potential crossover Democrats voting Republican, partially driven by dissatisfaction with candidate choices and the rise of radical leftism in NY.

Notable Quote:

"People in New Jersey are really tired of what's been going on... high prices, high crime, and they just want change." — Paula Scanlon ([30:12])

4. The Mamdani Backlash & National Strategy

• Jack and Brianna Lyman (The Federalist) examine how the "Mamdani Model" is being replicated nationally for Democratic urban dominance ([38:17]).
• Argue Democratic strategy is to import new voters via mass immigration, fundamentally altering the electorate.
• Brianna references Founders’ warnings on the importance of a self-governing citizenry and cites polling that shows even unfavorable and widely-recognized candidates like Mamdani can win, highlighting demographic shifts over ideological consensus ([39:27]).

Notable Quote:

"When you change the demographics, when you import enough people... then they can elect one of their own and immediately start targeting whoever it is that they've decided to steal the wealth and the affluence from." — Jack Posobiec ([38:54])

• Both note the rise of identity and grievance-based politics, warning it is out of step even with many traditional Democratic voters ([41:43]).
• Argue the best Republican counter is a focus on structure, values, and reaching disaffected young men, as pioneered by Charlie Kirk.

Notable Quote:

"There is no national mandate for Democrats to embrace or endorse a far-left radical like Mamdani, and yet they did that." — Brianna Lyman ([41:43])

5. Broader Context: Future of Republican/Conservative Organizing

• Tyler Boyer emphasizes the lack of conservative grassroots infrastructure compared to the left:

  "The left has 50–100 of these groups in every state... Our side has basically none. Sometimes we're the only group that shows up." ([25:15]–[25:28])

• Highlights how real competitive ground games and investment must be built even in blue/violet states if Republican victories are to be possible.
• Points to several important local and judicial races, such as recalls in Arizona, retention votes in Pennsylvania, and AG seats in Virginia, noting the difficulty of victories without national attention or Trump at the top of the ticket.

Notable Quotes & Timestamps

• “All you MAGA freaks, you will follow Charlie Kirk to hell.” — Antifa threat relayed by J. Posobiec ([04:33])
• “The polling is Mamdani ahead 15 to 20 points at minimum.” — Tyler Boyer ([13:29])
• “They don't want more Republicans to turn out in New Jersey and Virginia... The harder they push Mamdani in the news, the more likely Republicans are to turn out.” — Tyler Boyer ([17:12])
• “I find that to be very hopeful for us and our cause… Cittarelli is winning with black voters currently.” — Paula Scanlon ([31:34])
• “If Mamdani wins, it'll actually encourage more Democrats to go and be more radical.” — Paula Scanlon ([35:50])
• “I think what they're really doing is trying to do everything they can to distract from what is going on right across the river.” — Jack Posobiec ([32:15])
• "When you import enough people from countries who are not capable and do not have a republic or self-government, when they come here, they bring with them that not-love-of-liberty... and they vote that into place in America." — Brianna Lyman ([39:27])
• "The left has 50-100 of these groups in every state...Our side has basically none." — Tyler Boyer ([25:15])
• “Young men are obviously in many ways shut out of society, blamed for a lot of the problems in society. What Charlie was trying to show was so much more in line with what our founders wanted.” — Jack Posobiec ([44:38])

Timestamps for Important Segments

• [03:09 – 07:18]: News on Antifa political violence, linking events in Germany to US political climate.
• [12:06 – 18:26]: Tyler Boyer & Jack on New Jersey’s competitiveness, “Mamdani effect,” ground game deficits.
• [28:28 – 36:32]: Paula Scanlon reports live from NJ, voter attitudes, shifts in black voter allegiance, Democratic turnout issues.
• [38:17 – 46:48]: Discussion with Brianna Lyman about the “Mamdani Model,” mass immigration, demographic strategy, and conservative responses.

Conclusion & Takeaways

This episode delivers an urgent, unapologetic conservative take on shifting American electoral politics. It frames the New Jersey and New York elections as bellwethers for national trends—especially the normalization of radical-left politics and demographic-based strategies within the Democratic Party. The hosts and guests argue Republicans must focus on infrastructure, grassroots organization, and recapture disaffected young men if they want to compete in a political landscape increasingly shaped by the Mamdani Model.