Podcast Summary: Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec – "President Trump's Polling Update Special"

Release Date: May 23, 2025

Introduction to the Polling Update Special

In this special episode of Human Events Daily, host Jack Posobiec teams up with Rich Barris, dubbed the "people's pundit," to delve deep into the latest polling data surrounding President Donald Trump. The discussion centers on the discrepancies between mainstream media narratives and actual polling trends that suggest a shift in Trump's approval ratings.

Media Portrayal vs. Actual Polling Data

Jack Posobiec begins by highlighting the contrast between media reports and the polling data he and Rich Barris have gathered:

• Jack Posobiec [02:25]: "What's up, Richard?"

• Rich Barris [03:23]: "The fact is Trump was on the upswing. We put that poll out. It was the beginning of a very clear trend."

Posobiec emphasizes that despite media claims of declining support for Trump, their own polling indicates an upward trajectory in his approval ratings.

Critique of Mainstream Media Polling Methods

The conversation shifts to a critique of mainstream media pollsters, whom Barris describes as consistently underestimating Trump's support:

• Jack Posobiec [02:48]: "The media keeps telling me... they say President Trump... he's losing support."

• Rich Barris [03:23]: "We're going to have to start being honest about pollsters that still have his numbers down and down significantly."

Barris argues that many established pollsters failed to accurately capture Trump's support before the election, questioning their reliability in current assessments.

Economic Indicators and Tariffs

The discussion moves to economic performance under Trump's administration, specifically addressing tariff policies:

• Rich Barris [04:57]: "People were scared over the tariff mania... we got a very different outcome than what we were expected or told to expect."

Despite fears that tariffs would negatively impact the economy, Barris points out that wholesale prices have dropped and the Producer Price Index fell by 0.5% from March to April, countering predictions of economic downturn.

Media Manipulation Through "Trackers"

A significant portion of the episode critiques how the media uses "trackers" to influence public perception:

• Rich Barris [09:17]: "They have an intention there to get people angry and to try to turn, turn, turn, turn people against Donald Trump."

Barris explains that media outlets employ trackers for issues like inflation and gas prices as psychological tools to incite outrage, despite data not supporting these narratives under Trump's leadership.

Foreign Policy and Approval Ratings

Posobiec and Barris explore the relationship between Trump's foreign policy achievements and his approval ratings:

• Jack Posobiec [16:33]: "Have you seen the latest... the President Trump's approval rating jumps after a widely seen as successful international trip."

• Rich Barris [16:40]: "Foreign policy can hurt you more than it can help you... but in Trump's case, it's a net benefit."

Barris highlights how successful foreign policy initiatives, such as securing investments and isolating adversarial nations, have positively influenced Trump's approval among voters who prioritize national security and international relations.

Analysis of Catalyst's Election Retrospective Report

A pivotal segment of the episode discusses a new report from Catalyst, which provides an in-depth analysis of electoral trends:

• Rich Barris [23:23]: "There's a complete fall off of Democratic support among working-class voters."

The report underscores a significant decline in Democratic support among working-class voters, particularly non-college-educated whites, and highlights how Trump has successfully expanded this coalition to include non-white, non-college voters.

Shifts in Voter Demographics and Implications

Barris elaborates on the shifting demographics within the electorate and their implications for future elections:

• Rich Barris [26:09]: "You're looking at an 11-point gap there."

• Rich Barris [28:15]: "The white working class is... they are now also getting thrown into the they're just backward club."

The discussion points out that the majority of the electorate comprises non-college-educated voters who are increasingly aligning with Trump, challenging the media's focus on educated urban elites.

Future Outlook for the Republican Party

Concluding the analysis, Posobiec and Barris discuss the future trajectory of the Republican Party in light of the current polling trends:

• Rich Barris [36:19]: "These guys gotta go, Jack. They represent an old wing of the party."

• Jack Posobiec [38:45]: "If you want to win the House and... you've got to get these people, make the party more popular generally."

They argue that the Republican Party must embrace the evolving coalition that supports Trump, moving away from traditional establishment figures to maintain and expand their electoral success.

Key Takeaways

• Polling Accuracy: Established pollsters are criticized for consistently underestimating Trump's support, with Jack Posobiec and Rich Barris presenting data that suggests his approval ratings are rising.

• Economic Performance: Contrary to media fears, Trump's tariff policies have coincided with a drop in wholesale prices and stable economic indicators.

• Media Influence: The use of "trackers" by mainstream media is portrayed as a tactic to manipulate public perception and incite anger against Trump, despite favorable economic outcomes.

• Electoral Shifts: A new report from Catalyst highlights a significant decline in Democratic support among working-class voters, particularly non-college-educated whites, and an expansion of Trump's coalition to include more diverse, non-college voters.

• Republican Strategy: For sustained success, the Republican Party is urged to continue aligning with Trump's populist nationalism and move away from traditional establishment Republicans.

Notable Quotes

• Rich Barris [03:23]: "We're going to have to start being honest about pollsters that still have his numbers down and down significantly."

• Rich Barris [09:17]: "They have an intention there to get people angry and to try to turn, turn, turn, turn people against Donald Trump."

• Rich Barris [16:40]: "Foreign policy can hurt you more than it can help you... but in Trump's case, it's a net benefit."

• Rich Barris [23:23]: "There's a complete fall off of Democratic support among working-class voters."

• Rich Barris [36:19]: "These guys gotta go, Jack. They represent an old wing of the party."

Conclusion

This episode of Human Events Daily provides a robust analysis of President Trump's polling trends, challenging mainstream media narratives and offering insights into the evolving political landscape. By highlighting discrepancies in polling data, critiquing media strategies, and examining demographic shifts, Jack Posobiec and Rich Barris present a compelling case for the strength and future direction of Trump's political coalition and the Republican Party at large.