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Jack Posobic
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Donald Trump
Former Navy intelligence veteran.
Jack Posobic
This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobic.
Rich Barris
Christ is.
Unknown
These are screenshots of contracts that that Doge found across our government. This is a DEI contract, $36,000 for U.S. citizenship and Immigration Services. This is a $3.4 million contract. A Council for Inclusive Innovation at the U.S. patent and Trademark Office. Another DEI contract that Doge identified. 57,000 bucks for climate change in Sri Lanka.
Donald Trump
Since taking office, my administration has launched the most sweeping border and immigration crackdown in American history. And we quickly achieved the lowest numbers of illegal border crossers ever recorded. Thank you. The media and our friends in the Democrat Party kept saying we needed new legislation. We must have legislation to secure the border. But it turned out that all we really needed was a new president. In a few moments, I will sign a historic executive order instituting reciprocal tariffs on countries throughout the world. Reciprocal. That means they do it to us and we do it to them.
Rich Barris
Meanwhile, US Wholesale prices dropped unexpectedly last.
Jack Posobic
Month for the first time in more than a year.
Unknown
The Producer Price Index, which tracks inflation.
Rich Barris
Before it hits consumers, fell 0.5% from March to April. And that's despite President Trump's tariffs.
Jack Posobic
The President says America's relationship with the Middle east is about to change.
Rich Barris
And the numbers are already pointing to one of the largest foreign investment halls in U.S. history.
Jack Posobic
Well, ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events daily. Today is May 23, 2025. Anno Domini. Very excited. We're going to do a polling update special. Trump polling special. Here we've got Rich Barris, the people's pundit, to join us. What's up, Richard?
Rich Barris
Hey, Jack. Thanks for having me as always, brother. It's good to be here.
Jack Posobic
No, this is great. Because, Rich, you know, it's, it's so strange. And, and, you know, we got only got a couple minutes till the first break, but you Know, the, the media keeps telling me, they say, oh, President Trump, you know, he's, he's losing support, he's losing support. And then I go and I look at some of these polls and I say, wait a minute, people's pundits got him up. And then suddenly after your poll comes out, all the other polls have him ticking up and insider advantage, how has him coming back from this Middle east trip with a bump of like 11 points? Rich? It's, it's, it's true though, isn't it? His approval is actually up and none of them want to admit it.
Rich Barris
Yeah, I mean, Jack, we're going to have to start being honest about pollsters that still have his numbers down and down significantly. They couldn't poll this guy before the election, any of them, all three of them. So why would we expect that their numbers are accurate now? I mean we just, there, there's a handful of us who have been proven, you know, who have proven time and time and again that we can do this job, we can do it accurately and there's just too many polls out there and not enough pollsters. The fact is Trump was on the upswing. We put that poll out. It was the beginning of a very clear trend. You can see Decision desk just did a thing about it a couple hours ago. Real clear politics. You can see it. The trend is very clear. People were scared over the tariff mania, the tariff panic. And we got, you know, we, we got a very different outcome than what we were expected or told to expect. Would, would, would come. And you know, it's interesting when we do our poll and we do our voter confidence index and the only index that declined in that poll that you, you referenced was the current conditions index because of that fear. But the expectations for the six month outlook and even the current jobs index all improved. Well, one, that's right, one of those indexes improved. The others basically remain steady in that last ball. And that's because people aren't seeing what they were told to, to, to be on the lookout for. And the negative news did not come, positive news came and Americans and we.
Jack Posobic
Need to smart enough, we need to, we need to explain this. I keep getting into it with the, that guy who's the gas buddy analyst over there because he kept saying the gas prices are going to go up because of tariffs when it's just like, just didn't happen, just never happened. They seem to have a problem when their expectations don't match Trump reality. We write back Jack Posobic, Richard Barris, the people's pundit here. Human Events daily.
Donald Trump
Nothing will stand in our way. And our golden age has just begun.
Jack Posobic
This is Human Events with Jack. So now it's time for everyone to understand what America first truly means. Welcome to the second American Revolution. All right, folks, Jack Posobic back here. Human Events, you're watching on Real America's Voice and listening on the Salem Radio Network. Today we're doing a polling update special. President Trump. Folks, real quick, I got to ask you a question. Have you seen the latest fluoride headlines in the water supply? The future of oral care isn't fluoride, it's peptides. And the wellness company just launched the first ever peptide toothpaste that regenerates gum tissues, strengthens enamel and naturally whitens your teeth. It's called Smile, a doctor formulated breakthrough that works with your body's process and natural repair process. This advanced formula blends targeted peptides with blue spirulina, aloe vera and powerful remineralizers to boost blood flow, stimulate collagen and helps rebuild lost gum tissue, all while gently whitening without sensitivity. No fluoride, no peroxide, no artificial dyes. Just real clean ingredients that fight bad bacteria and support a healthier mouth from the inside out. Ready to upgrade your own oral health? Experience the future of oral health with smile and get 10% off plus free shipping on every order. How do you do it? It's so simple. You head over to TWC Health, slash poso and use promo code poso. Take action today for a healthier tomorrow. All right, we got Rich Barris on the People's Pundit. We're talking about this, this idea that. And Rich, we keep, there's, there's been this sort of media drumbeat where it's interesting, where, you know, they were talking about his approval numbers, they were talking about his approval numbers, and then suddenly they stopped talking about his approval numbers. And when you go to the actual polling and it started with you and it's been this cascading effect where they have to admit, wait a minute, his poll numbers are actually going up.
Rich Barris
I'm going to go so far as to say that they 100% manufactured the 100 day decline. Did he decline from where he was in the honeymoon period, which in our polling was anywhere between plus 12 to plus 18. Of course, he was in the stratosphere, right? And then party identification takes over again and we go back to being polarized. But he was never, never negative the way that these media pollsters had him negative. You know, it was a Respectable result. To see negative two, you know, negative one or even or plus two. Plus, you know, that that was understandable during the height of people's fears about tariffs. But even when we had him in his lowest point, which was about even, Jack. And something that I pointed out during that poll, which was interesting, is that for the, and this never happens and never has happened under Donald Trump in our entire time polling him since he became a political figure, his favorability rating, which for folks who don't know is how people see him, is his image. Do they view him favorably? Do they like him or did they dislike him? His favorability was outpacing that low that we had measured him out for approval. And what does that mean? It means that people had some reason at that moment to say that they either were undecided or somewhat disapproved, and that's what brought that approval rating down. But they still liked him and they were kind of just waiting to see what happened. And now that it didn't happen, and by it, I mean the world didn't blow up. Jack, NBC actually took down their egg tracker because eggs are, are not.
Jack Posobic
That's right. I totally forgot about the egg tracker.
Rich Barris
I mean, you know exactly what we're talking about. And by the way, there was no egg tracker or bread tracker or gas tracker when we had an actual inflation crisis under Joe Biden in the sp. Nothing. Right. So now his approval ratings coming back up and they don't want to talk about it anymore.
Jack Posobic
No, that's exactly right. They, the egg tracker, they don't. And by the way, there was none of this inflation stuff. Whenever you put the trackers. Actually, Rich, we should talk about this for a second. When they put the trackers up online, that's something that they, that's on, on screen, I should say, in the media.
Rich Barris
Red flag.
Jack Posobic
That's something that they want their, their audience to get mad about. It is the, it is the red flag. Like, like a matador would fly, would fly in front of a bull saying, get mad at this, get mad at this. And so Covid, remember Covid, they had the tracker that went up. So the COVID was up under Trump was never up under, under Biden was never up under him. And they had, it says, dead body is killing all these people. Trump is killing all these people, even though more people died under Biden. And so they, they did Iraq, they did Afghanistan, all these different things. They, that is when the tracker goes up, you know, that's the media running a psy up.
Rich Barris
Yeah, they did it for Afghanistan, Iraq. And then when Barack Obama took over, by the way, after George W. Bush, even though those years under Obama actually were worse than after the surge for George W. Bush, they took those trackers down. When the COVID body count tracker was going up under Donald Trump, Joe Biden, again, you just said it and you're 100% correct. There were more deaths under Joe Biden and they took it down. I mean, this is how you, and don't think for a second it doesn't influence people, especially people that watch their programs. Maybe, you know, maybe they go from somewhat approved or strongly disapproved because they're seeing these trackers. If you were to poll someone who consumes that news coverage. But it's, I mean, that is explicit. They have an intention there to get people angry and to try to turn, turn, turn, turn people against. In this case, it's Donald Trump. But they've done it to others in the past. And again, it's, it only temporarily. People should understand this. These are outrage, you know, tools. They're, they're, they're tactics to get you outrage, you know, vain outrage over this for a short time. But if those things don't bear out, right. And of course, something like the COVID or, or a war, it's totally different. But something like what NBC News and others did with the gas prices and shelter prices. And I mean, they had everything from the CPI up on that site, which they tweeted daily, daily, the egg tracker is down. The egg tracker's up. Well, and, and, and the worst part about it is if you were actually to roll even during the weeks when eggs, for instance, were up, it was deeply dishonest, Jack, because they're only going back to the beginning of Trump's presidency. If they would go back to the, when Donald Trump handed Joe Biden the keys to the White House the first time in January 2021, they would have actually saw and their viewers would see that exorcist.
Jack Posobic
Let me, from that time, Rich, let me, let me throw this one out at you then. Because they kept saying that, well, Trump is underwater on the economy. They said Trump's underwater on the economy. And this is the issue because of his tariffs, because of Liberty Liberation Day. And we keep hearing this from sort of the Gasparinos of the world and these types who, you know, bought Nvidia high and are looking at red numbers on their phone all day, they're saying, oh, people are going to get mad. People are going to get mad at these tariffs. People are going to get so mad he's underwater on the economy. Is, is that true? Because how would that track if the economy is one of his number one topics, number one, number one issues they support Trump on, and then also that his approvals are going up.
Rich Barris
It doesn't track. And when you look at the polls that do that, look at other issues, for instance, like immigration, the Reuters Ipsos poll, which is one of the worst polls not only in the country, but in the world, they have Donald Trump plus two on him on the border. I don't think we have ever found Donald Trump in single digits on immigration. It's, it's absolutely ludicrous that these people would continue polling without any scrutiny whatsoever if they were trying to be honest folks at home, folks listening, if they were honest and ethical after missing as much as they have missed in their profession, which no other profession is allowed to be that bad at, by the way. You would get your walking papers if you were as bad as these people at doing your, your job. But the fact that they are that bad and didn't pause Jack and say, what am I doing wrong?
Jack Posobic
Right.
Rich Barris
They're just immediately back into the field as if they did a credible job a couple of weeks before an election. It's, it's unbelievable. And we have to stop tolerating it. We really do. And we have to start looking at these polls for, you know, and giving them the weight they deserve, which is simply not much, honestly. There's been three to five of us who, I can name them right now that have pulled well in the Trump era. The rest of them are hot trash. And I'm not trying to be provocative or, you know, attack anybody. It's a fact. It's not an attack. It's a fact. Morning, console, Reuters. Ipsos is a bad poll. The New York Times is a bad pull. If you can't pull an election, you can't pull anything else.
Jack Posobic
Rich Barris, spitting fire. Spitting straight fire. Here on Human Events is Jack Posobic, Real America's Voice in the Salem Radio Network. Quick break, right back.
Donald Trump
Today, you know, they talk about influence. These are influencers and they're friends of mine. Jack, where's Jack?
Jack Posobic
All right, Jack Wozovic, we are back. Human Events, Real America's Voice, Salem Radio Network, hour three of the Charlie Kirk Show. And if you want to send us your questions, complaints, complaints, whatever else it might be in comments. 1776 human events.com 1776@human events.com Go at like and subscribe to us on the podcast side. Human Events Daily. So never miss a minute of the action. We're on with Richard Barris, the people's pundit, doing this Trump polling update special. And Rich, here's a question that I have for you as well. And it's sort of this old adage that's out there. They say people don't vote on foreign policy. You don't vote on foreign policy. And yet President Trump's approval rating jumps after a widely seen as successful international trip. So how do you put those two together? Are they in contention? Is there a relationship or is it that Americans, as it turns out, actually do care about foreign policy?
Rich Barris
I would say that there's no doubt that when it comes to voting, they vote more on economics. But there's always been a group that votes more, you know, on foreign policy and national security. It this is how you people need to understand it. It's nonsense that foreign policy doesn't impact approval. It is true, however, that it tends to be more downside for presidents. Herbert Walker Bush could not be saved by the Gulf War. The economy weighed more. It's not that they didn't appreciate what he did and how quickly he brought a resolution to that conflict. He thought it would carry him over. And of course it did not. But I think what happened here with Trump is foreign policy being secondary. Of course, people already concluded that the economy was not about to crash and burn. And then when he had this successful trip, I think the media again, they miss, they missed the story all the time. The speech in Saudi Arabia was a historic moment, a huge moment for Donald Trump. But he went out there, he bought a resolution to the in Pakistani conflict. He brought in trillions of dollars of investment promises to the United States. He further isolated Iran. And he's doing what people he's reinfor. He's out there reinforcing what people want him to do. And that's how they see Donald Trump as now as a peacemaker. And so it's going to be a net benefit for him. I do think that foreign policy can hurt you more than it can help you. I think that's really clear. But to say that it has no bearing on for on approval rating is ridiculous. And just to tell you, Jack, for years separate approval on issues will ask pollsters for decades going all the way back to Gallup. They'll ask general approval rating, but then they will also ask what approval on three key issues and they have always been the economy, foreign policy and immigration.
Jack Posobic
The economy, foreign policy and immigration. Wow. Funny how I've always said that those are the three issues that are three legs of the stool of the new Right. Those are the three verticals. Those are what makes Trump different from every other Republican candidate out there, President out there. Figure out there that's what made this movement be this movement and made it not be the Jeb Bush presidency or something. If you focus solely on those issues, you will succeed. You will be successful as a candidate. By the way, it is very politically advantageous to focus on these issues. And it's, and it's amazing how ideologically captured the Republican Party was and in large part still is on so many issues, whether it be special interests or whether it be simply just really folks just not understanding where the political lines are. This is what people want. People want populist nationalism, they want all of this, and the Republican Party wants to move forward, then they can, they can either pick up on it, or they could just, just forget about it and completely walk away. But, Rich, when it really comes down to it, is these are issues like, like Maha, by the way, that Trump has stolen from the Democrats was a Democrat issue. Getting out of wars was a Democrat issue. And then the Democrats went in and Obama did more wars anyway, you know, getting, getting trade, protectionism, these were all Democrat issues. And it's like Trump, free speech even used to be a Democrat issue, with the exception, I guess, of like Tipper Gore. But, you know, it's, it, it's amazing to me, Rich, that these, these establishment conservatives just don't get it. One minute till the break.
Rich Barris
Yeah, they're living in another, in another, I would say another decade, but it's not even another decade. It's another century. And the better their fate, the sooner that they are phased out of the Republican Party, the better, because this is the way forward. I. You say they stole them from Democrats. And I think, you know, Trump would say this was the Republican Party before the Bushes and the neocons co opted it. Right. Even Reagan himself used to say America first once in a while, and not once in a while, quite a bit on the campaign trail.
Jack Posobic
He sure did. Ronald Reagan's favorite newspaper at the time was a little paper called Human Events. And this is Human events daily. Human Events.com Rolling with Jack Besot from Rich Barris. Quick break. Right back.
Donald Trump
And Jack. Where's Jack?
Rich Barris
Where's Jack?
Donald Trump
Where is he? Jack, I want to see you. Great job, Jack. Thank you. What a job you do. You know, we have an incredible second. We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys and these Are the guys should be getting policies.
Jack Posobic
All right, Jack Posoba, here we are back live human events daily, Real America's Voice and the Salem Radio Network. Folks, listen up because if you're still drinking that corporate watered down nonsense that passes for coffee, it's time for just a serious wake up call. Blackout coffee is not just coffee. It's a statement, a declaration that you're done with weak beans and weak values. This is high octane American roasted fuel for those who grind harder, stand taller and never back down. Look, I'm laughing, man. This stuff gets me on the grind. And when I'm grinding the grind, don't stop with blackout coffee. Because blackout coffee isn't playing games. They're cranking out more bags than ever, shipping faster than ever, and keeping you locked in with coffee that actually fires you up. Whether you're chasing big goals, crushing the daily grind, or just refusing to drink coffee made by people who hate you like a coffee has your back. So stop settling. Go to blackoutcoffee.com and use promo code POSTO for 20% off your first order. Drink like a patriot. Drink blackout. That's blackout coffee.com POSTO. Stop waiting and wake up. Richard Barris. This report. Now I wanted to get into this with you. This new report that's just come out from Catalyst. It's an election retrospective, retrospecticus if you will. But it's amazing because finally this group, Catalyst, is going back and admitting what people like you and I were saying throughout all of 2024. What's amazing though is the fact at least they're finally admitting it. Rich, walk us through some of the top lines of this report.
Rich Barris
So there are a couple really big ones. And what's interesting is this the third of its kind. We also get the Harvard co op study and we get of course the, the census report, Right. And there's a few biggies. One is, and this is what you and I have talked about, it's a complete fall off of Democratic support among working class voters. Something like the author Liberal Patriots blog and the Dem, the Emerging Democratic Majority. That was a bible for the Democrats in the first part of this, this century. Rui Teixeira and John Judas, they had argued that Democrats could maintain this coalition if they kept a share of the working class. And that was a big part of that, which everyone forgot in the Trump era and especially in this election. He was basically one of very few people who agreed with us that their major problem was actually going to come from non white working class voters. That Trump And Republic Trump for sure. But Republicans in general have been doing so well among white working class voters. We can only expect the remaining share of working class overall that are moving to them to come from, especially in the battleground states, which turned out not to be true, it was everywhere. But to come from black voters and Hispanic voters. And that absolutely happened. You can see Kamala Harris actually did worse with Hispanic men. She did worse with Hispanic women than Hillary Clinton did when they basically did roughly the same with white working class. Clinton did a little bit better than Harris did. But nonetheless, I mean, it's a continuing collapse of the Democratic support among working class voters. Obama himself got 40% of the white working class. Those days are gone. They are mired in the 30s. And Trump crushed her with this group and it included not just white working class. And this is what is so, so important. Everyone at home has got to listen to this. The media hyper focuses not just on women, but white educated voters overall. And college educated voters that have been trending to Democrats, especially suburban women that are educated. They hyper focus on this, Jack, when they are a smaller share of the electorate, especially in the battleground states. 65% of Michigan, for instance, is, is non college. Over 60% in the state of Pennsylvania is non college. 65 in Georgia is non college. And that was one of the ones of course, we targeted when we looked at how this would play out. Because it seemed in a lot of these battleground states, Trump was doing exceptionally well with non white, non college.
Jack Posobic
And this is huge because there's a piece of this where they got into the electorate that I was digging into. Just, and we're not even talking about Republican support, Democrat support, Trump support, Harris support. What I'm talking about is just the participation and the, the size and composition of the electorate itself.
Rich Barris
Yeah.
Jack Posobic
And I think something the mainstream media gives a huge, just an absolute misunderstanding of is just on education, as you just mentioned, they say, well, they think, they want you to think that non college voters are this like small group that doesn't really matter. And, and we're totally focused on over educated urban elites when in reality, oh look, the non college composition of the electorate in 2024 was 59%. That means the vast majority of the electorate in this country is non college voters. And yet those are the same voters who particularly, and I was going to say it particularly if they're white, get completely written off by mainstream media. They're the, you know, the butt of every joke on TV or sitcoms and commercials. They're, you know, treated as like you know, the some kind of like backwards hillbilly types and whenever you see them in media or something like that, when in reality they are actually they're vastly outnumbering the rest of the country. Rich and rich. You also see that in this, this support of the by education level from those people to now has cratered. Absolutely. Created from 2012 it was about non college support was at 51% for Democrats. That was under Obama's second term. Barack Obama's then with Trump. With Trump it goes down to 49%. Then with Biden it goes down to 48 and now it's down at 45%. So you're looking at an 11 point gap there.
Rich Barris
And I would also bring up that of course that's all non college.
Jack Posobic
Right.
Rich Barris
Because the white working class is you know, used to be the old target of the media during these little, the, you know how they phrased it in political discourse now that there are large and significant percentages of Hispanic and black non college voters also now having sharing more in common with non college whites and voting with them, voting the same values, voting for the same policy. They are now also getting thrown into the they're just backward club. Right. Because that's how they've reacted to this. And I have been arguing for a long time. Another big finding in this report and I've showed this chart on your show from our own polling is that how they reacted to people like you and I stating that this could this would happen and among non, non whites as well, how they reacted to it was unbelievable, as if we were telling people a fairy tale or something. When you go and look at this study, it 100% confirms the chart that we showed once on your show which was polling going back to 2016 since Donald Trump was a political became a political candidate, you could see this did not happen overnight. There is, this is how trends work. He chipped away a little bit at a time at the share of the black vote that Democrats that supported Democrats. He chipped away at the share of the Hispanic vote that supported Democrats. Now Fast forward almost 10 years to from that moment from when he first came on the stage. What we started to see this time is the beginning, what is known as the cascading effect, which is when trends start small but they're consistent and then there's like a floodgate that opens and it just cascades and then everybody's left wondering how did this happen? In truth, not only should they not have reacted skeptically to what we were saying before the election, they should have expected it. And when you look at this study and look at the column charts side by side, Jack, it's a trend. It just was a larger, more pronounced movement this time because that's what happens toward the end of trends, trend lines. And I think when it, especially when it comes to black voting, you look by age and it tells age and gender, both genders move towards Trump. But it really, you can, you really see that trend and what is going on when you look at age. And I think what's happening is that social pressure and stigma that came along with the civil rights mindset, you know, movement is fading now. You know, if you're 45 years old or below and you're a black voter in this country, there is no reason why anyone should, you know, expect you to care any less about the economy or the state of the country or your own financial situation, any less than a white voter who lives in the Ohio Valley. Right? You are totally, at this point, disconnected almost from the civil rights era. You just are. That's why when we look at this, we can very clearly see the older you are in the black voting electorate, the older you are, the more Democrat, the stronger your loyalties are to the Democratic Party. When we get to 30 and below, there's no loyalty to the, to the Democratic Party anymore, Jack. It's wide open. And this is why, I mean, this is one reason why it is so important. If Republicans want to be competitive and want to be a national, even dominant political force in this country, they have to continue the Trump movement and that's it. There's no way back. There is no way back. They will not even be a viable political force. They've lost their educated white base that they once upon a time had. And by the way, that's another. I, I mean, I'm jumping points here, but it is, I got to get this in before the end of the segment. This prediction that there was going to be another massive exodus of white voters away from Donald Trump that was college educated. Did not happen. Did not happen. So that's important because in political coalitions, you're usually giving and taking. I'm going to do better with non college voters and I'm even going to start to bring non whites into the fold and they're going to become part of my coalition. Typically, that will result in the loss of the opposite part of that, that demographic, which here would be college educated whites. But in truth, as you can clearly see with this study, didn't happen. Didn't happen. Trump did Better with everybody, brother. Asians, Native Americans, Pacific Islanders, Hispanics, men, women, doesn't matter. He just did better with everybody. And it's, there is, you know, your.
Jack Posobic
Point on, to your point on age and just a minute till the break here. But you know, it's, it's, it's, it's like the, you know, the millennials getting older, the, you know, the baby boomers retiring, more silent generation is, you know, they are, they are receding from the scene and we, you know, we wish them well. It's just that look, when, if you were someone who is a die hard Obama voter, guess what? You are older now and you're starting to see that family formation, elder millennials, Gen Y are finally buying houses and starting families and they're getting to the point where they realize, wait a minute, you know, I, I view the world a little bit differently now. I'm less idealistic and more focused on issues that affect me directly, my bottom line and my family, like, oh, I don't know, safety and security, law and order, what's going on in the schools. All of these things are direct impacts and guess what? That is borne out in the electorate as millennials become the most right wing group in America and particularly those elder Gen Y subset of the cohort. Be right back here on Real America's Voice and the Salem Radio Network back Richard Barrier.
Rich Barris
Jack is a great guy.
Donald Trump
He's written a fantastic book. Everybody's talking about it.
Rich Barris
Go get it.
Donald Trump
And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event. And we're going to turn it around and make our country great again.
Jack Posobic
Amen. At Turning Point usa. What we are doing every single day.
Rich Barris
Is we are dedicating ourselves and our staff and our students and our efforts. Activists for a full revival of America.
Unknown
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Jack Posobic
Jack Posobic, we're back here. Real America's Voice, the Salem Radio Network. We're on with Richard Barris. This is the Trump polling update special that we're running today. Rich, we've been Going through this report of the electorate and what Trump has been able to do and put these, put these pieces together to form what, I'm just going to say it, what politically speaking, this is a winning coalition. This is a coalition obviously which won the election, which, which won the national vote, national popular vote and of course swept seven out of seven of the swing states, including Nevada, which was a state that a lot of people thought was out of reach for Republicans for the longest time.
Rich Barris
That's right.
Jack Posobic
It's a winning coalition. And yet Rich Donald Trump as well, at least is currently term limited out. So the question is, can Republicans use this to go to the future and continue to win election?
Rich Barris
Well, there, there's a lot of soul searching and a lot of primary that's going to have to happen because as you know, Jack, one of Donald Trump's big adversaries for his agenda are republic elected Republicans in the United States Congress who run as something that they are not right. But at this point, this is a winning coalition that could be in its infancy and of development. And if they got on board and they got their act together, it could be the beginning of a Roosevelt like coalition that is dominant for 30 years. Jack, I mean the discussion or the debate at this point is over and it's unfortunate because only, you know, special interest in money is the only thing that's clouding the outcome of this debate. There is no good argument for any of them to make anymore. And by them I mean the establishment as to which direction this party should go. During the break we were just talking about, look at John Duarte, Central Valley. It's such a key area to, to explain these numbers. All right, it's California shifted dramatically to the right even though in recent years it became so Democratic because of immigration. It was once, you know, the state of Nixon, once the state of Reagan and it was unwinnable for Republicans. Donald Trump won John Duarte's district in congressional 13 while Duarte lost. And Duarte was your very textbook Ukraine, first military industrial complex, special interest Republican and he went down in flames. Mike Garcia, another one, all trailed Trump, right? Mike Rogers in Michigan, he went down because he didn't do as well with non whites as Donald Trump did. White working class was pretty much on par for Mike Rogers. It was that, that other element of this coalition that is right now Trump exclusive. And I mean at the again, there's got to be some soul searching that's got to go on. Some of this change or this evolution into the new party should come from soul searching. Because people should do the right and smart thing. But the other part of this is there's got to be a lot of primary going on. And it's unfortunate, but that has to happen. These guys gotta go, Jack. They have to go. They represent an old wing of the party.
Jack Posobic
I mean, Rich, you know, it's your party is what's funny is I kind of, I kind of have to say, you know, I get what David Hogg is saying about primarying safe candidates. And it's, you've got to. But it, it what? From our perspective, we've got to maga. If I. The Republican Party, if you want to win the House and, well, excuse me, maintain the house in the 2026 midterms rather than sit there and say, oh, we're going to do the same old, same old. It's. You've got to get these people, make the party more popular generally, and then that will help you in the contested races. It's so simple, Rich. What an incredible special. We are just out of time. Where could people go to follow you and get more of these incredible insights?
Rich Barris
We're everywhere. But the best place, Jack, is on locals. Peoplespundent.locals.com Peoplespundant.locals.com PeoplespUndit Locals.com Folks, this is.
Jack Posobic
The, this, this report. And, and I would encourage everyone to go read this, but also want to tell you, Rich, if they didn't want to waste all the time reading the report now, they could have just listened to us beforehand, right?
Rich Barris
Amen. Amen. And amazing the level, you know, at the adversarial or the level of adversarial scrutiny that people like us came under when we were trying to tell people.
Jack Posobic
Like, yeah, you take folks in there, they're believing the Ann Seltzers and the morning consults and all the nonsense, the ipsos that's out of there. And these are like four letter words to Rich. I'm triggering his PTSD right now by bringing it all up. But it's a joke. It's an absolute joke. Rich Barris, you're doing the Lord's work, man. God bless you and God bless everyone out there. This is Jack Bassourt, SOIC, Human Events Daily Again, 1776 at human events.com 1776 human events.com Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission. Lay ashore.
Rich Barris
Sam.
Podcast Summary: Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec – "President Trump's Polling Update Special"
Release Date: May 23, 2025
In this special episode of Human Events Daily, host Jack Posobiec teams up with Rich Barris, dubbed the "people's pundit," to delve deep into the latest polling data surrounding President Donald Trump. The discussion centers on the discrepancies between mainstream media narratives and actual polling trends that suggest a shift in Trump's approval ratings.
Jack Posobiec begins by highlighting the contrast between media reports and the polling data he and Rich Barris have gathered:
Jack Posobiec [02:25]: "What's up, Richard?"
Rich Barris [03:23]: "The fact is Trump was on the upswing. We put that poll out. It was the beginning of a very clear trend."
Posobiec emphasizes that despite media claims of declining support for Trump, their own polling indicates an upward trajectory in his approval ratings.
The conversation shifts to a critique of mainstream media pollsters, whom Barris describes as consistently underestimating Trump's support:
Jack Posobiec [02:48]: "The media keeps telling me... they say President Trump... he's losing support."
Rich Barris [03:23]: "We're going to have to start being honest about pollsters that still have his numbers down and down significantly."
Barris argues that many established pollsters failed to accurately capture Trump's support before the election, questioning their reliability in current assessments.
The discussion moves to economic performance under Trump's administration, specifically addressing tariff policies:
Despite fears that tariffs would negatively impact the economy, Barris points out that wholesale prices have dropped and the Producer Price Index fell by 0.5% from March to April, countering predictions of economic downturn.
A significant portion of the episode critiques how the media uses "trackers" to influence public perception:
Barris explains that media outlets employ trackers for issues like inflation and gas prices as psychological tools to incite outrage, despite data not supporting these narratives under Trump's leadership.
Posobiec and Barris explore the relationship between Trump's foreign policy achievements and his approval ratings:
Jack Posobiec [16:33]: "Have you seen the latest... the President Trump's approval rating jumps after a widely seen as successful international trip."
Rich Barris [16:40]: "Foreign policy can hurt you more than it can help you... but in Trump's case, it's a net benefit."
Barris highlights how successful foreign policy initiatives, such as securing investments and isolating adversarial nations, have positively influenced Trump's approval among voters who prioritize national security and international relations.
A pivotal segment of the episode discusses a new report from Catalyst, which provides an in-depth analysis of electoral trends:
The report underscores a significant decline in Democratic support among working-class voters, particularly non-college-educated whites, and highlights how Trump has successfully expanded this coalition to include non-white, non-college voters.
Barris elaborates on the shifting demographics within the electorate and their implications for future elections:
Rich Barris [26:09]: "You're looking at an 11-point gap there."
Rich Barris [28:15]: "The white working class is... they are now also getting thrown into the they're just backward club."
The discussion points out that the majority of the electorate comprises non-college-educated voters who are increasingly aligning with Trump, challenging the media's focus on educated urban elites.
Concluding the analysis, Posobiec and Barris discuss the future trajectory of the Republican Party in light of the current polling trends:
Rich Barris [36:19]: "These guys gotta go, Jack. They represent an old wing of the party."
Jack Posobiec [38:45]: "If you want to win the House and... you've got to get these people, make the party more popular generally."
They argue that the Republican Party must embrace the evolving coalition that supports Trump, moving away from traditional establishment figures to maintain and expand their electoral success.
Polling Accuracy: Established pollsters are criticized for consistently underestimating Trump's support, with Jack Posobiec and Rich Barris presenting data that suggests his approval ratings are rising.
Economic Performance: Contrary to media fears, Trump's tariff policies have coincided with a drop in wholesale prices and stable economic indicators.
Media Influence: The use of "trackers" by mainstream media is portrayed as a tactic to manipulate public perception and incite anger against Trump, despite favorable economic outcomes.
Electoral Shifts: A new report from Catalyst highlights a significant decline in Democratic support among working-class voters, particularly non-college-educated whites, and an expansion of Trump's coalition to include more diverse, non-college voters.
Republican Strategy: For sustained success, the Republican Party is urged to continue aligning with Trump's populist nationalism and move away from traditional establishment Republicans.
Rich Barris [03:23]: "We're going to have to start being honest about pollsters that still have his numbers down and down significantly."
Rich Barris [09:17]: "They have an intention there to get people angry and to try to turn, turn, turn, turn people against Donald Trump."
Rich Barris [16:40]: "Foreign policy can hurt you more than it can help you... but in Trump's case, it's a net benefit."
Rich Barris [23:23]: "There's a complete fall off of Democratic support among working-class voters."
Rich Barris [36:19]: "These guys gotta go, Jack. They represent an old wing of the party."
This episode of Human Events Daily provides a robust analysis of President Trump's polling trends, challenging mainstream media narratives and offering insights into the evolving political landscape. By highlighting discrepancies in polling data, critiquing media strategies, and examining demographic shifts, Jack Posobiec and Rich Barris present a compelling case for the strength and future direction of Trump's political coalition and the Republican Party at large.