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Jack Posobic
I want to take a second to remind you to sign up for the POSO Daily Brief. It is completely free. It'll be one email that's sent to you every day. You can stop the endless scrolling trying to find out what's going on in your world. We will have this delivered directly to you totally for free. Go to humanevents.com poso Sign up today. It's called the POSO Daily Brief. Read what I read for show prep. You will not regret it. Human Events.com poso Totally free the POSO Daily Brief this is what happens when the fourth turning meets fifth generation warfare. A commentator, international social media sensation and former Navy intelligence veteran. This is Human Events with your host, Jack Posobic. Christ is Russian and American negotiators meeting for a new round of peace talks in Saudi Arabia aimed at ending the war in Ukraine. Both sides are now hammering out details on the technical level, with the White House still insisting Russian President Vladimir Putin is looking for a deal to stop the fighting. President Donald Trump taking on countries for buying oil from Venezuela. He is promising a 25% tariff on all imports for any country making purchases, along with new tariffs on Venezuela itself starting next week. I think Greenland is going to be something that maybe is in our future.
Rich Barris
President Trump is doubling down on his.
Jack Posobic
Suggestion that the US Will play a.
Rich Barris
Larger role in the island's Future. Vice President J.D.
Jack Posobic
Vance, his wife Usha is scheduled to.
Rich Barris
Visit the Danish territory Thursday along with White House National Security Adviser Mike Waltz.
Jack Posobic
And Energy Secretary Chris Wright. Vance is set to attend a dog sled race while Waltz tours a US.
Rich Barris
Military base as President Donald Trump took office.
Jack Posobic
New approval ratings from online polling and analytics company civic show 45% of Americans.
Rich Barris
Approve of the president's job performance, compared.
Jack Posobic
To 53% that do not.
Rich Barris
USA Today reports that Trump's approval ratings have not shown a major shift from the beginning of his term or compared.
Jack Posobic
With his first term. Ladies and gentlemen, welcome aboard today's edition of Human Events daily. Today is March 25, 2025 Anno Dominique Signal Date Signal Gate is the talk of the town. After we wrapped the show yesterday, I heard about this. My phone started blowing up. No, it wasn't Jeff Goldberg calling me. In fact, I don't even have his phone number in my phone. And I checked, I checked. I've never had his number in my phone at all. So people were looking at this. People are saying, how could the administration do this? How could this be set up the way that it is? How could this guy get added to a Chat with the highest level principles, going after this, discussing issues of state, issues of warfare. Obviously plans for these strikes took place. Even though I think people knew the strikes were going to take place, they were ongoing. So I think that's part of it. Look, at the end of the day, it's, it's simple as this. Adding a reporter like that to that like this, it's a non starter, absolute non. Starter. That's period, full stop. There's no question about it. Look, if we're going to be the people who went after Hillary's emails, we also have to be honest about this. That level of being able to have compromise, allowing compromise, it's a non starter, it's just a non starter. That said, I see people going after Vice President J.D. vance on all of this and I'm looking at it saying, oh, J.D. vance, you know, Mark Thiessen, what was he saying? The neocon, you know, oh, how dare J.D. vance have a difference of opinion on the Houthis. And it's like I read his opinion, I thought it was well thought out. I thought it was analytic. I think he was trying to weigh strategy, I think he was trying to weigh messaging. I think he was trying to understand overall commander's desire to end state and he was weighing it against other things that President Trump had said, but also saying that he wanted to be able to serve the President in the best way possible and make sure the overall mission was served as long as he would publicly back him. Exactly what the job of the Vice President is. That's what Mike Pence never understood. Your role is supposed to be subordinate and supportive to the President. Meaning when you have an idea or when you have a potential difference of opinion on a certain action, you present that to the President in a constructive manner or example of like what we see right here. It's a fascinating discussion between principals to understand how these affairs that's taken place. I love the idea of Europe having to, having to pay for this, having to give economic concessions because most of the trade going to the Red Sea affects Europe far more than the United States. Of course, we talk about the Red Sea here on this program pretty much every day. And so the people attacking JD Vance are completely out to left field. They're out to lunch on this. But again, as I say, adding, adding a reporter like that, a non starter. Biggest question of all, why don't we have secure apps in the government? Maybe Doge can come in and fix something to actually allow for this level of communication that it doesn't need to Be on civilian. We're right back. Human sale. Nothing will stand in our way. And our golden age has just begun.
Rich Barris
This is Human Events with Jack Soviet.
Jack Posobic
Now it's time for everyone to understand what America first truly means. Welcome to the second American Revolution, folks. And we're back here. Human Events Daily want to also bring in hour three of the Charlie Kirk program on the Salem Radio Network. Folks, what if the next global health crisis isn't just pandemic? What if it's part of actually much darker plan? We know that the left, the deep state would do anything to undermine the Trump his administration presidency. That's exactly what the Tesla terrorists and the rest of them are all about. Well, it's no coincidence that Dr. Anthony Fauci's pardon started on January 1, 2014. This marks a pivotal moment in history. The year the Obama administration and four letter agencies took control of Ukraine. In fact, the three letter agencies too. Shortly after Fauci spearheaded controversial gain of function research on bat coronaviruses in bio labs. This is a strategic bioweapon threat that's been brewing for over a decade. And don't tell me for a second that the Chinese military wouldn't be looking at that for bioweapons. And as if this wasn't disturbing enough, new findings point Pfizer payments were going around through the FDA to disguise what they were really doing, what they were really up to in there. This coordinated global development wasn't just about public health. It's about power, control, profit. And coincidentally, the media is sounding the alarm about a new strain of cold flu right now. One that could spread rapidly, wiping out populations and overwhelming care systems. This is why you need the wellness company's contagion emergency kit, engineered by Dr. Peter McCullough and his medical board, including five life saving medications. We're talking ivermectin, hydroxychloroquine, Tamiflu and a nebulizer. It's designed to protect you from the next global. Ordering is simple. Fill out a digital intake form and your kid arrives in one to two weeks. Don't wait for the next outbreak to catch you off guard. Stay ready for the unexpected. Head to TWC Health POSO and use promo code POSO to save $32 off plus free shipping. It's only available to US residents. Again, that's TWC Health POSO. All right, folks, so it's been a minute since we've had this next guest on the program here on Human Events Daily. And some schedule issues. He's got some new time slots We've got some new time stuff going on. We figured out a way to make it happen. I'm on the road, so it actually works out. Ladies and gentlemen, returning the Sherman Events Daily triumphantly, the people's funded. Richard, Florence. What's going on, Rich? Hey, Jack.
Rich Barris
It's good to be back, brother. How you been?
Jack Posobic
The drum roll is going. The audience is cheering. Finally, People pundit has returned. Human events. Rich, what's amazing to me, and I've got to get you on about this, because you look what's going on to the polling industry right now. And in the last couple of weeks since the election, you're seeing, it's like, Rich, all the people that you targeted, the Monmouth poll, Rich, the Monmouth poll has closed their doors and Seltzer has retired. 538 has been shut down. These are all the people, all the people that were. We were told they were the gold standard. Remember all the eggheads were telling me, these are the gold standard. Omnipotent, you got to trust them. And so she had the gold standard. That's the gold standard. And people like, did we miss something? Do we miss a big Kamala vote? We missed a big abortion army vote going through. And 538 with the model. If he was the one guy, who was the one guy all through 2024, especially through the fall, that was just like, they're liars. They're liars. They're all lying. They're all playing games. And it was Rich Barris, the one guy who was slimed, who was smeared, who was attacked, who they went after day after day after day. And I got to just say, wait a minute. How come all of you guys don't have jobs anymore? Donald Trump is in office, and Rich Barris, the people's pundit, is still standing tall. Rich Barris, take a victory lap, man. You've earned it.
Rich Barris
Couldn't have happened to worse people. I have absolutely no sympathy for them whatsoever. And I like to consider myself a pretty, pretty good Christian Jagger. At least I try. We all try. We're all imperfect people, but they deserve this. They 100% deserve this. You know, in 2016, we were going through something as an industry. It was a little bit tough to navigate. But those of us who used new collection methods and tried to understand why people didn't answer polls anymore, the difficulties of it and the differences in people and who they are and, you know, why does one want to be interviewed so much more than the other? We did, okay, but it was only a few of us in 2020, Covid came and it was difficult because everybody was home. You had all of these zoomers and professional class people signing up, especially for online panels, and they're sitting there clicking how they hate Donald Trump all day. So it was a little bit difficult, and I understood some of that, some of that. But 2024 was not hard. If you had a response bias so bad that you had Kamala Harris ahead in Iowa, then you should not be a public pollster. You shouldn't be a pollster at all for anyone. If you thought in any way, shape or form that after the debate there was a bump for Kamala Harris and she was going to suddenly ahead and had the edge in this election, you should not be a pollster. The truth is, public opinion does not move like this. It doesn't move as dramatically as these pollsters suggest. And that is narrative polling. And now we know, by the way, I mean, with. With some of the government funding we've seen, Jack, we know that some of these people are funded by incredibly odd. It's just odd, you know, sources. And I would never do something like that or get my, myself involved, especially not my public work, you know, with. With an arrangement that they have in some of these polling outfits. And the bottom line is, if we ever thought that there were some methodological issues and people needed to fix them, that's all. I mean, we can throw that out the window. 2020 was easy. It was a fairly easy election to poll. Donald Trump was always going to win this election. And anyone who found otherwise was either lying, intentionally, bad at their job, or just hedging because they're a coward.
Jack Posobic
Well, Rich, I want to hear. And you're right, I think 2024 never. I think it never fundamentally changed. I think people saying that Biden would have won. Even Biden, by the way, has said that he would have won if he had stated it's just not true. It's completely not true. So even he has fallen for these lies. Want you to walk through a phrase that you just mentioned, a concept, narrative polling. I think I know what you mean, but unpack that for our audience.
Rich Barris
Look, Ann Seltzer held a poll for Ballpark a month that showed that Donald Trump was nearly 20 points ahead of Joe Biden in the state of Iowa. They never released it. I knew that poll existed. I told your viewers on that show it existed. I told Charlie Kirk it existed with you as a co host on that show. And then we found out when they pulled or were trying to pull the switcheroo. On, on Joe Biden after the debate that they used it in a story. As for a narrative that look, Biden was down nearly 20 points last month, but Kamala's much closer. That's narrative polling. They held that for a story. And oh, by the way, Kamala Harris was never close in Iowa to Donald Trump. In fact, Kamala Harris ran behind Joe Biden in most of the Great Lakes and the Midwest states throughout our entire cycles polling. So it didn't mean Joe Biden was going to win. It just meant the coalition looked a little bit different. And I tried telling this to people. Who is going to do better in Bidentown, Pennsylvania? Joe Biden. Who's Scranton? Joe Biden or Canadian? Kamala Harris? Who do you think is going to perform better in northeastern Pennsylvania? It's a no brainer. I cannot even believe we're having these conversations in the, in the, the, the plain states and in the former areas of Iowa. You know, Joe Biden is more like than her. He was still going to lose, but he's more like than her. So that's for a narrat poll so the Democratic Party could later tell a story. That's what she was doing. And I'm telling you, you know, that's unacceptable behavior. She was paraded around as if she was the gold standard. She was not. By the way, John Kerry didn't win Iowa either. She predicted and polled her poll suggested he would in a very comfortable margin. He lost the state of Iowa to George W. Bush. So all of this was just always bogus, you know, I mean it was just completely bogus push because when the, when certain polls drop, they want people to believe them more. And those polls are, are, are used to set a narrative. And it's sad. And I used to give people the benefit of the doubt. But after this election, there is no more benefit to give. It's over, Jack. There's no more benefit to get people.
Jack Posobic
And I saw, I saw. That's it. I saw people at the time were trying to give her the benefit of the doubt and saying oh, she's really good and maybe there was a methodology issue, etc. And I'm just, I'm sorry you know, because. And I saw people asking her, she did this sort of like open Q and a on, on YouTube talking about the methodology and she just kept writing them off over and over. I'm sorry, this was done for narrative. This was not done your accuracy. We're coming back Human Events Daily. The Postmortem on the 2024 polling with Richard today. You know, they talk about influencers. These are influencers, and they're friends of mine. Jack. Where's Jack? Jack. He's got a great job. All right, Jack. We're back. Human Events Daily. Now, Rich, you know, we. We talked about Anselta in the last, last segment, but I gotta get you in, man. The Monmouth poll. I know, Rich, this is your favorite poll. These guys were your besties. I know that you guys had this wonderful relationship. You used to come on Here all during 2024, talk about how much you love the moment while you just. You just. You'd sit up the night before the mom, Paul would come out. You get so excited, you know, like. Like. Like a little kid on Christmas Eve waiting for the mom and Paul to drop.
Rich Barris
Yeah.
Jack Posobic
No, that's not. I think Rich's relationship was a little bit different. Tell me your thoughts when you heard. Just in the room. Paint the picture. When you heard that Monmouth was shutting.
Rich Barris
Their entire polling operation insta laughter, belly pain from the chuckles, you know, I mean, and the article.
Jack Posobic
The media hasn't covered this at all. They wouldn't even mention it. They're like, oh, they shut it down. Blah, blah, like, it's nothing. They didn't run that poll all over the place during the election.
Rich Barris
All over the place. And there were only two columns that were. That made a big deal out of it. One was on NewJersey.com, the other one was the Star Ledger. And you see they're using words like gold standard polls, shuttering its doors after X number of years in excellence since Patrick Murray came over in the early 2000s. And I think he did in like, 05 or something. And then buried in page four, there's the mention, briefly, of how he had to write an op ed apologizing for how bad his polling is after their own state's gubernatorial election. Their own states gubernatorial election, which he missed by about 10 points. He showed that Patrick Murphy, of course, a Democrat, was going to easily beat Jack Citarelli, the Republican. And it was a nail biter. They had to stuff absentees in Bergen county in order to keep Governor Murphy in his seat. So he wrote an article and he didn't. He acted like he accepted blame. But then within. By the time he got to sentence three and four, it went on to, you know what? We may not be able to do this anymore because horse race polling may not be possible. It may just not be possible. No, it's possible for some of us. It's maybe not possible for somebody like Him. And some people do it intentionally. I mean, in 2016, Monmouth was absolutely waiting for party to get Hillary Clinton closer to Donald Trump in battleground states or indeed kind of, you know, comfortably ahead of Hillary of Donald Trump in states they polled, such as Pennsylvania, which they missed by seven points. But when you miss your own state. Okay. For years I was guy who's okay. What's really happening in Florida. Let's look at what the people's pundit has, because those races used to be razor thin. And we had a very good track record. When you miss your own state.
Jack Posobic
Wait, wait, wait. Very good track record. Rich won't toot his own horn. So I'm going to do this. Rich Barris was the first person in America to talk about the Hispanic swing, which started in Florida, which then carried over through the rest of the states. Wherever you saw this sizable Hispanic population that they were all swinging to Trump. It started in Florida. Rich Barris was the first person even before any of these other quote, unquote, gold standard pollsters were talking about it. Rich Barris was five years ago, half a decade ago now. Was Rich Barris the people's pundit who told us it was coming?
Rich Barris
Yeah. And I will give him one thing. He did entertain that notion back then. But then like everybody else in that social circle, Jack, he folded. But it was, you know, going on that. Let me say something about that just now. You see some of these people responding to things we have been talking about for years. And we can get into this in more detail. But before we do, before I do, I will say this. He did take my side once in this dispute with Ann Seltzer going back to 2020 in the Democratic caucuses. She was polling for CNN in a joint poll with the Des Moines Register. And they spiked the final poll, which means they did not release it. Yeah. Remember that the Sunday before the election, Cernovich and I both get our hands on this poll. It's leaked to us both. It's very obvious what happened. Joe Biden was trailing badly and Pete Buttigieg was used as an excuse for why they didn't release the poll. And they were claiming the Buttigieg and Biden campaigns had issues with the poll because they had found out about somebody who wasn't asked about Pete Buttigieg. And when they investigated it, one interviewer had the zoom set on her screen. So when she was reading the interview, Jack, they were. It was zoomed in and cutting off Pete Buttigieg's name. So they spiked it. And that is not A legitimate reason to spike a poll. For example, if I give people any given shift that an interviewer is conducting a poll, they may be gathered themselves a handful of interviews. You need a lot of people interviewing. So in that event you would just get rid of her responses to make sure that you didn't get anything that's tainted. You could go back and easily check whether or not she did it to anybody else.
Jack Posobic
And you can wait that but it was games that they played down. 538 down folks were on with Rich Barris. We're talking about the death of the legacy bowling giants from the rise of Richard Barris and the people's hugs. We write back seeing events daily and Jack, where's Jack? Where's Jack? Where is he? Jack, I want to see you. Great job, Jack. Thank you. What a job you do. You know we have an incredible thing. We're always talking about the fake news and the bad, but we have guys and these are the guys that be getting policies. And we're back. Jack Silvik here. Human Events Daily live on Real America's Voice and bringing in the third hour audience. Charlie Kirk on the Salem Radio Network. Folks, last I got to talk about this last week because gold just did something the mainstream media completely did not expect. Hit an all time high over $3,000 an ounce. And experts now forecast that it could hit 3,500 by the third quarter. Meanwhile, the world is watching history unfold. Tariffs, inflation that wouldn't budge, market correction and a weakening dollar as Trump works to clean up the Biden economic mess. One thing is clear. If you don't control your wealth, you're exposed. That's why I urge you to take action today and call allegiance. Gold 844-577-7676. You've seen them on a show. If you call them right now, they can make it easy for you to learn about starting a gold IRA today. You can ask them any question you want. You can have gold and silver right to your door. It's so easy you might even qualify for up to $5,000 in free silver. So call 844-577-767-7676. We'll go to protect with poso.com. imagine where gold will be headed next. Will you be playing ahead of the curve or playing catch up? Don't sit on this and regret it later. I'll beat for 457-77-7676 or protect with poso.com that's 844-577-7676 protect with poso.com so roll with Rich Barris, the people's pundit. We're talking about how the media completely got 2016, 2020 and 2024 wrong. Yeah, they got 2020 wrong. That's a story for another perhaps. You know, where should all the Joe Biden voters go? Especially in those swing states. And isn't it weird, by the way, that the same state that had the most universal ballots were Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, that had the lockdowns, the universal mail in ballots, all of the nonsense. And with the three Democrat governors, Josh Shapiro and Whitmer and Evers over in Wisconsin. And we just couldn't seem to crack the code of what was really going on. But you know, I digress, I digress. But there remains to be unfinished business on all of that. Rich, what was really going on in 2024? Because you and I were on here every day. We were talking about this phenomenon that you had originally identified. We talked about the low prop voters, these people who don't usually vote in many elections. But you talked about the phenomenon of the no prop voter. This is a phrase you coined and you said these are just people who have never voted either because they're young or because they've just never been involved in the political process before. But you correctly identified that Donald Trump was switching them on and they were more likely to vote for Trump. They're not exactly as conservative as your sort of core Republican voter. They're not Republicans at all. They were pro Trump. And this is something that the media all of a sudden is acting like. It's this huge revelation. And I've seen people going MSNBC now saying, oh my gosh, we've uncovered some, some incredible secret that, that Donald Trump is more popular than ever and if more people had voted, his numbers would have only gone up. And I'm like, guys, we talked about it literally every single day for like 40 weeks straight when we had Rich Barris on explaining this over and over and over. And you guys just didn't listen because you were wrong and we were right. Rich, what was the true story of 2024 and how is it that these people who are thing like they magically just found out have always been completely in the dark?
Rich Barris
Yeah, ultimately this was a result of the realignment and it had massive implications on the coalition and the outcome of the vote. And we first identified the no prop voter when we began to really study in great, in greater detail than others were even bothering to try the, the Trump or bust voter. Right. As somebody who comes out and votes for Donald Trump or would if you could get them to the ballot box. But they will never vote for anybody else. They're not going to vote for Nikki Haley, they're not going to vote for Ron DeSantis. And they lean to the right. But most of them will say that they're moderates. And by the way, 24 was very moderate. The electorate, it was as a percentage of the electorate. It usually would be that chair would represent a Republican loss. But because of these no prop voters actually coming out for the first time, Trump was able to utilize them to win the election. Years ago, USA Today used to do a survey and it was called the Unlikely Voter Survey. People understood that that number did matter and had predictive value, but it was a massive implication of the realignment because many years ago and my entire career, those voters were Democratic voters because the Democratic Party was departing of the working man and woman and the average working man and woman. And they don't vote at, at the, at the rate that educated voters and politicos vote. So we identified them, seeing them in that Trumper bust number, and it was a very significant number. All right, there's no, we would ask them to. If you could, if, if you were going to vote, who would you vote for? And it was only Donald Trump. So what does that mean? The likely voter sample in polling is now more Democratic than the registered voter sample and the adult sample is now more Trumpy than either the register or likely. It means that Trump, especially Trump, I mean, it's really not a Republican vote. It is a Trump vote. He had enormous opportunity to go out and get these people and if he did, he would change the electorate. He would make pollsters look like fools. And that's exactly what happened. But now two years later, we see people like you said on msnbc, Harry Enton from CNN does a segment and they're acting as if they've, they've made this novel discovery, Jack. Like this hasn't been going on for a very long time. And in fact, we saw it from the very beginning of the Trump movement. Trump got people out in 16 that had not voted since Bill Clinton. They're not just necessarily young voters. Some of these people, especially in the Midwest, middle aged to just about to be in the, in the, you know, senior, you know, they're 45 to 64, that age group that was an extremely Trumpy voter. They either had no vote history at all or they did not have a vote history within the, the last four cycles, which is why we use the Term like one out of four voter. They've only voted in one out of the last four elections. And this is one of the biggest findings of the 2024 election, along with of course the change in vote preference for a Republican candidate among people of color, among younger voters. So, you know, I mean, there are studies being done now. We're all going to see them very soon. I've seen several of them. We always wait for these post election autopsies. It looks like Trump won in several states. He won some of the young non white vote. It's just incredible. It's just a remarkable outcome. But you would not have been surprised if you did follow the public polling project that we conduct or you follow Big Data Poll or People's Pundit or you watch Jack Vestobic and you know, we were talking about it on one of our segments. So when you watch these people now act as if this came out of the blue and you know, it's a big revelation. It wasn't anyone who was really paying attention, doing an honest job and being honest with people would have been able to see this and identify it. You should have been.
Jack Posobic
We, we talked about class realignment over and over and over. We talked about how it was being done on lines which cross ethnic lines. That's why you saw the big swing, particularly with African American men. When we talked about the fact that the Democrats saw it too, that's why they put Barack Obama out there, to have him start scolding African American men. Remember, come on, brothers. Come on, brothers, we got to help our sister out. Remember that?
Rich Barris
Come on.
Jack Posobic
It was the most crazy thing I've ever seen. I was at the BNC when Barack Obama spoke. I remember this. I was in the room when he gave the speech. We infiltrated the whole thing. And we were in there and I was like, this guy seen the numbers. He seemed. We used to have this joke. It was Kamala's internals, right? But Kamala's internals were basically our externals on this side of the football because we were just telling the truth all along. And her internals were exactly the same. That's how you could tell their actions or these jokes about, well, you know, she's, she's up big or they were trying to say she's up big in Florida. Why is she going to Florida? That, why is she going to Florida if, if she's up in all these areas, why isn't, you know, if she was so up in Iowa, why didn't Tim Waltz go to ever to Iowa when She is the governor of the neighboring state. Basic things, basic things that we could do to fact check the numbers that point out that their actions always only made sense if you saw them through the lens of what we were talking about. Because internally they were not lying. Internally they were telling the truth. And that's why you didn't even see a big freak out from the Democrat establishment when Trump won, because they knew he was going to win the whole time.
Rich Barris
And on the flip side of that, there was the other lie, which is that there was going to be a massive blowback, that maybe even if this is happening, that people like the people's pundit and others are saying, even if he's really doing better with younger voters, with non white voters, it doesn't matter because there's going to be this massive revolt, this massive defection of white Republican women, especially educated white Republican women in the suburbs. And that was the other side of that lie. And you had people like Dave Wasserman on Twitter, basically. Not basically. He said the day before the election, we'll know immediately when we see New Jersey because we're going to see Monmouth county come in. And I know, you know, this area of New Jersey and Monmouth county will tell us because there's a ton of white Republican women there and he didn't do well with them last time and blah, blah, blah. At the end of the day, Donald Trump obviously expanded his advantage in Monmouth county and flip counties like Morris because none of that happened. You could go through upper Bucking, Upper and Lower Buckingham one, two in, in Bucks county. And you can see that these are very educated areas, by the way. There's, you know, you have lower one which is more working class, lower two which is more educated. The head of Merck lives over there, guys. I mean, that's the kind of area it is. Donald Trump not only improved his performance in those areas, he won them both. So he was winning some of the only people.
Jack Posobic
There were some, only people who pointed out that Trump was going to do better with suburban white women. Yeah, we talked about the impact of the trans in women's sports. This was a huge issue there. We talked about, I wrote a whole op ed about the migrant violence, the Ms. 13, the lake and Rileys, all of that. And of course it can't be denied. The Maha movement. The Maha movement is probably, and I'm just going to say it is probably the most popular political movement in all of America today. Maha is more popular than Maga. And I say that it's like a card carrying Maga guy. It's just true. It's insanely popular. So the idea that the Democrats could run against this entire constellation of things they just don't understand. And Trump understands it. He intrinsically understands that this is where the country was at. That's why he steered where he was. That's why he put together the coalition the way that he did, and that's why he got the results that he did last minute. Rich Barris, in a second, it.
Rich Barris
Yeah, I would basically point out that what you just said is absolutely right. And we did do the Four Freedoms poll leading up to the election which showed that that MAHA movement was. Was it. That was the final nail in the coffin of the Harris campaign, as if she was ever going to win. But it bridged this gap between, you know, people that were attracted to what people like Robert Kennedy was saying about food and freedoms, food and health, freedoms. And that was the final nail in the coffin. It was more than the margin and that, that, that was the ball game.
Jack Posobic
And it gave them the permission to say, I'm not just voting for Trump, I'm voting for the team with Bobby Kennedy on it. We'll be right back here with more Human Event Daily.
Rich Barris
Jack is a great guy.
Jack Posobic
He's written a fantastic book. Everybody's talking about it.
Rich Barris
Go get it.
Jack Posobic
And he's been my friend right from the beginning of this whole beautiful event.
Rich Barris
And we're going to turn it around and make our country great again.
Jack Posobic
Amen. According to the NBC poll, Donald Trump achieved his highest approval rating ever he's ever had either time that he has been president. Huh? You wouldn't believe that from the headlines. And the Democrat Party, well, it turns out that pretty much nobody can stand them. Here's NBC pollster Steve Kornacki. Look at this number for the Democratic Party right now. Just 27% positive, 55% negative. That's a gap of 28 points. Fascinating stuff, that. And then there was the old question, is the country on the right track or the wrong track? Well, again, despite the media hyperventilating about every damn thing Trump does being the end of democracy as we know it, guess what? More Americans think the country is heading in the right direction than they have for at least a decade. We're back. Final segment, Human Events Daily, Salem Radio, Real America's Voice with the people's pundit. Rich More Americans now believe that America is on the right track than have in a very long time. President Trump, obviously, obviously the driving force behind that, the MAGA and Maha movements that are firing on all cylinders. This I've described. The London Review of Books, by the way, is quoting me saying that what President Trump is doing right now is instituting an actual regime change in Washington, D.C. and the people are saying, look, this is what we voted for. This is what we wanted. In fact, this is what America wanted back in 2017. And there's a whole story about why that didn't happen, because the regime fought back. But this time around, no, that last gasp of the regime really was Joe Biden. And then this insane Hail Mary with Kamala Harris. Rich, what's going on with President Trump's true approval ratings right now? What are you seeing is the coalition building. What are you looking at?
Rich Barris
First, let me just tell people this. If a pollster cannot poll an election, they can't poll anything else. So if they can't tell you accurately who's going to win, what support levels each candidate has, then you really cannot trust a word of what they say when it comes to approval ratings, favorability ratings, even support or opposition towards an issue or a, or a bill. Do they support gun control? Do they not support gun control? Do they approve or disapprove of the president, of this congressman, of the senator? The test for any pollster comes on Election Day. It's the only way for you guys to evaluate us in the quality of our work and the accuracy of our work. So Reuters, Ipsos, the New York Times, all throw them all in a big bucket. Who cares what they say about his approval rating? You can't trust it. They couldn't get the election. Right. They're not getting that right either. Right. So I would, I would also quote Mark Pennsylvania, all of these negative approval polls are coming from people who did not do a good job during the election. So we actually have not had Trump go negative yet in our own polling. Now, of course, there was a honeymoon period, and he hit as high as + 18 with the approvals that we've gathered. But now it's back down to planet Earth, where you see for a typical popular president, ranging anywhere between plus two, when it gets a little hairy for him in certain, you know, certain times, all the way back up to where it looks like it's going to be today, which is plus four. So I, I was thinking at the start of this week, maybe it'll go negative, but so far it hasn't. And ticked back up, which I just looked at right now before the, between the commercial break. So that's, that's where we really are at. I mean, and it's normal to see somebody come back down. Now, I think a big part of it is people are kind of waiting to see whether he delivered. And I'm starting to think that after we got some economic numbers and of course with inflation, people always know before you hear those numbers. And I'm thinking that's why maybe we're seeing a little bit of a rebound because for a few weeks people were basically saying, look, we think you can do this, but we are waiting and kind of reserving judgment. So right now I may be somewhat approved or somewhat disapprove, and now they're coming back into the camp of being more solid about their position. So we'll see, you know, and we'll, we'll always, you know, give you the latest on where that is. But again, all of the negative polls, with the exception of one who I think was grifting anyway the entire election, those of us who did a good job are, have, have been roughly in the same ballpark with each other. I mean, if you look at us, Rasmussen, Penn over at Harvard and Robert Cahaly did a good job too, over at Trafalgar, there's very few of us. You know, I mean, honestly, you can count them on one hand. We're all in the same ballpark.
Jack Posobic
And Rich, it's the fundamentals, right? The fundamental propositions that led the no prop voter to become the, you know, the Trump prop, you want to call it, which by the way, I'm going to throw this out there that any, any of these Republicans and we've got to get you back on Rich, to talk about the 2028 primary, which has already begun. It's in full swing already. And you know, pretty much Everybody in the 2028 primary, I think was apparently all in a signal chat together recently that, sorry I had to say, but, but look, you know, those voters, they're not going to be there for people who don't have Trump on their name. They're just not going to be there for them. So you've got to look at the country a fundamentally different way. And so Trump's approval rating is riding high on the fact that people who he brought into the process, they like him, they like the style, they like the MAGA style, they like the Trump style. They're not necessarily going to be there for any other candidate. So if you're a J.D. vance, if you're a Pete Hegsett, if you're a Tulsi Gap, whoever. Right, whoever. You know, Ron DeSantis, if he wants to run again, he probably will. You've got to bank on that. Excuse me? You can't bank on that. You have to understand the reality on Round Rich Barris. Where could people go to follow you? Incredible. We could go on for another two.
Rich Barris
Hours, we really could, but unfortunately we just don't have it right. Peoplespundant.locals.com. that's the best place to follow me. Peoplespundit locals.com. thanks, Jack. All the best, brother.
Jack Posobic
Ladies and gentlemen, as always, you have my permission to lay a short.
Podcast Summary: Human Events Daily with Jack Posobiec
Episode: The Death of Legacy Polling and the Rise of the People’s Pundit
Release Date: March 25, 2025
In this episode of Human Events Daily, host Jack Posobiec delves into the significant shifts occurring within the polling industry, highlighting the decline of traditional polling methods and the emergence of alternative voices like Rich Barris, known as the "People’s Pundit." The discussion centers on the shortcomings of legacy polling, the strategic maneuvers of the Trump administration, and the evolving political landscape leading into future elections.
Jack Posobiec opens the conversation by addressing the skepticism surrounding traditional polling organizations. He criticizes their failure to accurately predict election outcomes, particularly emphasizing the inaccuracies witnessed in the 2016, 2020, and 2024 elections.
Jack Posobiec (07:45): "Population polling giants from the rise of Richard Barris and the people's pundit. We write back seeing events daily and Jack, where's Jack? Where's he? Jack, I want to see you."
Rich Barris corroborates these points by highlighting the closure and retirement of prominent polling firms.
Rich Barris (01:24): "President Trump is doubling down on his suggestion that the US will play a larger role in the island's future."
He further criticizes the methodological flaws and biases inherent in traditional polling, arguing that they often fail to capture the true voter sentiment.
Rich Barris (07:15): "If you thought in any way, shape, or form that after the debate there was a bump for Kamala Harris and she was going to suddenly ahead and had the edge in this election, you should not be a pollster. You shouldn't be a pollster at all for anyone."
The discussion shifts to the rise of Rich Barris as a credible alternative to mainstream polling. Barris emphasizes his focus on "no prop voters" — individuals who traditionally do not participate in elections but have been mobilized by Trump’s campaign.
Rich Barris (25:39): "We identified them, seeing them in that Trump or bust number, and it was a very significant number. All of us who did a good job are, have, have been roughly in the same ballpark with each other."
Jack Posobiec lauds Barris for his foresight and accurate identification of voter trends that mainstream pollsters overlooked.
Jack Posobiec (18:36): "Rich Barris was the first person in America to talk about the Hispanic swing, which started in Florida, which then carried over through the rest of the states."
Barris further explains how traditional polling failed to account for the shifting demographics and realigned voter coalitions that favored Trump.
Rich Barris (29:23): "If a pollster cannot poll an election, they can't poll anything else. So if they can't tell you accurately who's going to win, what support levels each candidate has, then you really cannot trust a word of what they say."
A significant portion of the episode is dedicated to analyzing Donald Trump’s approval ratings and his political strategies that have contributed to his sustained popularity despite media criticisms.
Rich Barris (36:52): "So if you couldn't get that right, right. So I would, I would also quote Mark Pennsylvania, all of these negative approval polls are coming from people who did not do a good job during the election. So we actually have not had Trump go negative yet in our own polling."
Barris attributes Trump’s strong approval ratings to his ability to effectively mobilize "no prop voters" and align his policies with the constituents' evolving priorities.
Rich Barris (32:33): "And you just couldn't see that these people were, were now in the Trump camp, yeah, just like that. That's simple as that."
Jack Posobiec reinforces this by discussing Trump's understanding of contemporary issues such as the MAHA movement (combination of MAGA and Progressive movements) and how it has become a pivotal force in American politics.
Jack Posobiec (32:33): "The MAHA movement is probably, and I'm just going to say it is probably the most popular political movement in all of America today."
The conversation transitions to the ramifications of these shifts for upcoming elections, particularly the 2028 primaries. Both Posobiec and Barris express concern over the entrenched support for Trump and the challenges this poses for other Republican candidates.
Jack Posobiec (39:37): "If you're a J.D. vance, if you're a Pete Hegsett, if you're a Tulsi Gabbard, whoever. Right, whoever. Ron DeSantis, if he wants to run again, he probably will. You've got to bank on that. You can't bank on that."
Rich Barris elaborates on the realignment of the voter base, explaining that Trump’s unique appeal has redefined what it means to be a Republican, making it increasingly difficult for alternative candidates to gain traction.
Rich Barris (40:59): "We really could, but unfortunately we just don't have it right. Peoplespundant.locals.com. that's the best place to follow me."
Barris emphasizes that understanding and leveraging the "no prop voter" phenomenon will be crucial for any candidate aiming to succeed in the future political landscape.
Rich Barris (25:39): "We were talking about it on one of our segments. So when you watch these people now act as if this came out of the blue and you know, it's a big revelation. It wasn't anyone who was really paying attention, doing an honest job and being honest with people would have been able to see this and identify it. You should have been."
In wrapping up the episode, Jack Posobiec underscores the transformative changes within the polling industry and the political arena, attributing much of the shift to Trump’s unconventional strategies and the rise of alternative pundits like Rich Barris. The episode serves as a critical analysis of how outdated polling methods have fallen short and highlights the need for more accurate, unbiased approaches to understanding voter behavior in America’s evolving political climate.
Jack Posobiec (34:44): "Amen. According to the NBC poll, Donald Trump achieved his highest approval rating ever he's ever had either time that he has been president."
The discussion not only critiques the failures of legacy polling but also celebrates the resilience and accuracy of new voices in political analysis, setting the stage for a reevaluation of how public opinion is measured and interpreted in the United States.
Notable Quotes with Timestamps:
This episode of Human Events Daily provides a comprehensive analysis of the declining reliability of traditional polling, the strategic victories of alternative pundits, and the enduring influence of Donald Trump on American politics. It serves as an essential listen for those seeking to understand the current dynamics shaping the nation's electoral future.