Transcript
A (0:00)
Hello, hello, hello. Welcome back to the In Good Faith podcast where every week I'm talking to people I find to be the most important and influential people in the world. And this week I spoke with Ed Elson. Ed went to Princeton University and he didn't mention it one time on the podcast. See, that's possible. Harvard people. Also, Ed's the host of the Prof. G Markets podcast with Scott Galloway. And today we talked about, and he educated me on the economy where the United States is now in stagflation. And so he walked me through what that future looks like. We also talked about our national debt, how it's essentially destroying Gen Z and our kids lives and how the rich need to pay more taxes. Ed, he's a very successful young guy, gives a lot of tough love to Gen Z, but he's also, I think, very generous in letting young men know how they can achieve success in their lives. I think it was a really good conversation. And hey, if you enjoy this episode, you know, give us five stars on Spotify and Apple or give us a like on YouTube and leave a comment on what you agreed with, disagreed with or who you'd like to see as a guest. So Ed, let me just ask you plainly, is the U.S. economy, is it screwed? Is it FUBAR right now?
B (0:57)
Well, if you look at the stock market, the stock market would tell you, no, things are pretty good. S and P is at record highs. NASDAQ is at record highs. We saw the White House talking about that and bragging about that. Fair enough. You look at some of the economic data, we saw some pretty strong retail sales data which basically showed us that consumer spending is going up. So that makes you think, okay, things are pretty good. We're seeing a little bit of weakness in the labor market. So that's a little bit of a iffy question. And then we're seeing inflation maybe begin to tick up a little bit. So when you look at it on the surface level, it's sort of okay, things aren't too bad. Stock market's doing well, people are spending money. But then you have to dig into it a little bit more. And then there are the numbers where you suddenly start to realize this is not at all what I thought it was. Now the first thing that I would bring up, I talked about that retail sales data, the fact that consumers are spending more. And again, the government's very happy about that until you realize this was some recent data that we found that the top 10% of earners in America are making up half of that spending that's the most we've ever seen, ever. The top 3.3% are making up 25% of that spending. So essentially, what is happening is, yes, consumers are spending. You know, Americans are doing well, supposedly. But then when you dig into the data and you look at it by income, no, that's not what's happening. Rich Americans are doing well. The top 10% are driving all of that activity in the economy. And so that's why it looks, when you get these headlines, looks like it's, everything's going great. But then you realize, no, it's actually not what's happening. Same thing is happening in the stock market. And I think if people are beginning to understand this a little bit more, but the stock market, again, is not a good indicator of our financial health. It's a great indicator of rich people's financial health because the top 1% in America controls half of the market cap of the entire s and P500. Basically, they own half of the stock market, $25 trillion in equities. The top 19 households, 19 of them, control 2% of all U.S. household wealth. In 1982, it was 0.1%. So massive explosion in the wealth of the very, very top. And you've got the bottom 50% of Americans who own 3% of the total household wealth. So essentially, what is happening is it's this kind of terrible cocktail where not only is the economy actually not doing well, when you look at the majority of Americans, we also think that we're doing well. We think because of all of this data that does not account for the massive inequality that is rising in America. We think things are going fine, and even our government thinks things are going fine. They look at the data, say, look, we're doing well. Stock markets at record highs. Everything's going great. Which of course means that we're not doing anything to solve the problem and to fix the fact that the entire consumer economy is being driven by people who make more than a quarter of a million dollars a year. Not great is what I would say.
