Transcript
Nolan Peterson (0:00)
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Paul Rykoff (1:25)
Ollie feed the Obsession Iranian and Iranian proxy drones are going to continue to be the most immediate threat for U.S. and allied personnel in the region and worldwide, I believe. And the threats that are most likely to be successful are going to be those Iranian drones and they are a threat to the US at home here too. I going to talk to Nolan Peterson much more about that in a second. But as Ukraine has shown and warned us, we are not ready. Most of the western world isn't ready. And this is what the next war looks like. It looks like drones. Welcome to Independent Americans. Welcome to episode 453. I am your host Paul Rykoff and I am coming to you from New York City USA where the weather is sunny and cold again. It is Monday, March 2nd. March is here and it is coming in like a lion. That is for damn sure. We have a lot more war and a lot to talk about. But first take today's artist is Edwin Starr. Edwin Starr because he's best remembered for his Motown singles of the 1970s with Norman Whitfield, including most notably the number one hit War. War, huh? What is it good for? Well, we're going to find out this week. And I'm going to bring you the five eyes that I bring you in every show and are going to be especially important in a time like this. Independence, integrity, information, inspiration and impact. And our guest today is going to bring you that. It is a guest that is perfect for this moment. He is a returning champion. He is my friend Nolan Peterson, who is an expert on policy. He's consulted for the Pentagon and defense tech firms. He is an expert on drones. He spends a lot of his time inside Ukraine. He helped me co found American Veterans for Ukraine. And he is a former special operations pilot, war reporter and fantastic person to help us understand everything from the planes that are being shot down to the drones that are being launched to what can happen next. Because on this show especially, that is what I want to help you understand not just what's happening now, but what's happening next. But first, there is a ton happening today in a whole new war. But on this day, on this Monday, as we kick off a very fierce march, it is definitely a time to stay vigilant. All right. There is a lot of reasons to stay vigilant today. And our top story should be obvious. It's on. It happened. I left you on Friday saying that war could happen over the weekend and it has. And the Department of War is calling it Operation Epic Fury. Well, it is epic. All right. On Saturday, as you now know, the US And Iran and Israel launched major attacks across Israel and chaos has ensued. The Khomeini is dead. Ayatollah is. The Ayatollah Al Khomeini is dead. Iran's supreme leader is dead. As I record this now, Israel and Hezbollah are trading blows. Threats continue across the Middle East. And Trump just told Jake Tapper that the big wave is yet to come in the war in Iran. And in separate remarks, Trump also ignored his warnings over nuclear program and said he did not rule out sending US Troops to Iran if necessary. This is big news. All right, let's start with the top line. The way that Trump did this is all wrong. He did not go through Congress. He did not brief the American people. There is not clarity around an end state, a timeline, potential casualties. But there is good news in that Khomeini is gone. That is a good thing for the world and especially for the brave Iranian people. Both things can be true. Trump can have done this the wrong way. And Khomeini being dead can be good. And it will probably be decades before we know the true cost of what it took to take out Khomeini and whatever comes next. But the same would have been true with decades more of tyranny. And tyranny should never be acceptable over fear of unpredictable potential alternatives. There is no certainty for what comes next now. And there's definitely no clarity from Trump or Netanyahu about a real long term plan. But whatever happens for a future of a potentially free Iran should be driven by one group of people, the Iranian people. But there is no freedom without basic security. And there's no telling how long that will take to establish. It could be weeks or it could be decades. But however long it takes, the future of Iran must belong to the Iranian people, no one else. Not to Trump, not to Netanyahu or any other leader or country. And it's the responsibility of the American and the Israeli people to all of us on this conversation right now and to all of you, especially to make sure that that is known and adhered to now and forever. Now footage continues to fly around the Internet of Iranian drone attacks, of American bombings. And there was footage of an Iranian attack drone slamming into the headquarters of U.S. navy's 5th Fleet at Naval support in Bahrain over the weekend. Now, this is really, really, I think, important because Iranian and Iranian proxy drones are going to continue to be the most immediate threat for U.S. and allied personnel in the region and worldwide, I believe. And the threats that are most likely to be successful are going to be those Iranian drones. And they are a threat to the US at home here, too. I'm going to talk to Nolan Peterson much more about that in a second. But as Ukraine has shown and warned us, we are not ready. Most of the Western world isn't ready. And this is what the next war looks like. It looks like drones. And this is this reality we're facing today. This is the next 9 11. Now, if you didn't hear my show on Friday with new expert Joe Serencione, we've been covering this for years and he had a great conversation with me about all of it. It was very prophetic. We knew the war might unfold. And if you haven't heard that conversation, go back and check it out, especially with regard to the nukes. But we also have to keep focused on the drones. And now so many people see why New York City Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch said a few weeks ago, if there's one threat that keeps me up at night, it's drones. And it should be the thing that keeps you up at night, too, because Ukraine's terrifying and terrible drone war reality for the last four years is the Middle east reality today. This is what Zelenskyy has repeatedly warned could happen in Europe. The future of war is happening now and it's no longer contained just to Ukraine. It was only a matter of time and it's only a matter of time before it expands further. Now the threat of drones today is like the threat of terrorism after 9 11, but much more real for much more of the world. And it's long past time for the world and especially America to confront this new reality and this new normal. It's one of the many reasons this week especially we have to stay vigilant. All right. There is never war without cost. Only chicken hawks believe that or propagandists. And as of today, there are now four Americans killed in action as a result of the ongoing operations in Iran. CENTCOM has been putting them out on X. They finally did a press conference this morning with Hegseth that was unsurprising, long overdue and a bit contentious to say the least. But now we have four American killed in action, at least five wounded. The latest as of March 2nd. This morning, 7:30, CENTCOM announced that the fourth US service member has been killed. This is all they've shared so far because I would argue shamefully and dangerously they're not doing regular press conferences as usually is the standard in a modern, modern America during war. Today there was a press conference. We'll see if they do them daily. But the chicken hawks told you it would be bloodless like Venezuela. And it's not. We've already got four Americans dead. And if you want to help the families of these fallen service members in this time of unimaginable pain and loss, support the heroic work of our friends from Tragedy Assistance Program for survivors, taps. I will link to it in the show notes and you should bookmark it because this will probably be the first of many more casualties to come. Now the human cost extends of course to the people of Iran and to civilians and we should never lose sight of that. There's at least one episode that's gotten some significant press coverage. There was a strike by Americans on what turned out to be a girls elementary school in Minab, Iran. It looks like there could be as many as 60 students dead, dozens injured, and it's a truly tragic situation. Civilians will die as well, and we can't. Especially as Americans lose sight of the civilians that are caught up in this right now. There's more breaking news as I record this midday on Monday, three US planes have been shot down in what the US is calling A friendly fire incident in Kuwait. Separately, a drone attack hit the US Embassy compound in the Persian Gulf state as Iran continues to to hit American assets across the Middle East. But three American planes have gone down. And a friend asked me this morning, how does this happen? That's what I was asked today. Well, it's war. And in war a wide spectrum of unpredictable and unexpected bad things happen. And this could be just the start. It's probably just the start. Only people who haven't seen war don't understand that. And that's why war should always be a last resort. But in America today, we have an unaccountable and unencumbered president who is on a never ending global war path that Congress can't even interrupt their plans over a weekend to vote on. This is not working, America. And it's getting worse fast. They did finally do a press conference, which I think underscored one thing that's important. Hegseth is not prepared or suitable to this moment. It's never been more true than now and the whole world can see it, especially our enemies. And don't forget, before the war started on Friday, around 5 o' clock officially, I think Trump tweeted a couple hours before that they finally did what they said they were going to do and they dropped and attacked AI company Anthropic. Trump gave the orders to stop using Anthropic. And this was important because it was on the eve of using Anthropic's technology to, to do a lot of what you're seeing right now. So it's gonna take months for them to decouple themselves from Anthropic. They said Anthropic was unpatriotic. Anthropic said, we don't wanna leave kill chain decisions up to AI. So Anthropic is out, but that seems like ancient history for most folks who have already moved on to whatever video you're seeing online coming out of Iran. But this is important and we're gonna get into it with my friend Nolan Peterson, because the discussion around how AI is involved in the decision to kill people is absolutely essential, not just to this war, but to the future of war and to the future of humanity, quite frankly. We talked about it with Joe Cirancione. We're going to talk about it again with Nolan Peterson and we're going to continue to talk about it because it is central to how the US Is waging war right now. All right. Also on Friday, on the eve of the war with Iran, the culture war continued because culture war is forever war and it never stops. It's, of course, being led by the Secretary of Culture War, Pete Hegseth, who on Friday announced that that he is ordering the complete and immediate cancellation of Department of Defense attendance at Princeton, Columbia, mit, Brown, Yale and many others. Now, he said, for too long the Ivy League and similar institutions have been subjecting our warders to woke indoctrination. Those days are over. So says the Secretary of Culture War, who himself went to Princeton. But the culture war led by Hegseth continues inside the Pentagon and with the Pentagon in the lead. Everything they want to do in America starts with and is led by the Pentagon. It's the tip of the spear for their culture war, and he is the Secretary of culture War. The question remains, how will this destructive, I think stupid policy change impacting Ivy League colleges, impact veterans at those schools using the GI Bill? That's something no one has answered. But important to understand that they launched a number of culture war attacks before they launched the real war this weekend. And the culture war won't stop because the real war is unfolding quite the opposite. They will probably be moving in parallel. And as all this unfolds, regardless of the politics and my feelings about Trump, I'm keeping our men and women of the U.S. military and their families front of mind always. And think you should, too. Remember the humanity. Remember alongside our troops, the, the brave civilians of Iran, and especially the courageous protesters who've lived under brutality for decades and right now are just trying to survive. It's always incredibly hard to separate the people from the politics, especially during war. But that, that is when it's most critical. We can't lose track of humanity in the midst of all the tallies and the military scorekeeping. And despite what too many think nowadays, especially those who haven't seen war up close, war is not a video game. There is painful human cost. And unfortunately, most likely that human cost is just starting. And it's one area we should be united, and it's one area where we have to be vigilant. All right. In contrast, a group that's not really vigilant is Congress. They can't be bothered. While this war unfolded, the UN Security Council had an emergency meeting on Iran, and the UN Security Council came together to talk about Iran and talk about what's unfolding. But our Congress, they were posting comments on social media from their nice houses and fancy dinners, while American sons and daughters were actively engaged in combat and dying. They couldn't even bother to come in for an emergency session. They couldn't bother to vote. I think this is very, very important. Our failed and feckless Congress won't even interrupt their weekends to address the global war that Trump has started. This is not working, America, and I think most Americans know it. But will most Americans speak out? Because only 1 in 4Americans approve the US strikes, while half, including 1 in 4 Republicans, believe Trump is too willing to use military force. That was according to a Reuters Ipsos poll that came out on Sunday. 27% of Americans said they approved of the strikes. Only 27%, 43 disapproved, and 29% were not sure. Nine in 10 respondents said they had heard little, at least a little, about the strikes, which began on Saturday. Now, 56% of Americans think Trump, who has also ordered strikes in Venezuela, Syria, Nigeria in recent months, is too willing to use military force to advance US interests. The vast majority of Democrats, the 87%, held this view, 23% of Republicans and 60% of independents. Independents will continue to be key here. But here's the most important point. I think when you hear these polls and you hear about public opinion, Trump doesn't care what the American people think. That should be clear by now. And he doesn't care what Congress thinks. He's all gas, no brakes. And all the while he's just looking and waiting for a reason to take over, disrupt, corrupt the November elections. One drone hitting an American city is all he'll need to break that glass. The most important story is still always, and especially now, that Donald Trump can do whatever he wants with the most powerful military the world has ever seen. And nothing is stopping him. They're not even slowing him down. Congress can't even bother to call an emergency session when he launches a whole new war. And now four Americans have been killed, with likely more to come. He should not be able to do whatever he wants without any guardrails or even speed bumps. This is not working, America. And we have to stay vigilant because Cuba could be next. Yes, Cuba is likely next. I think I've been pretty accurate in laying out how this was going to go down. You know, of course he went after Venezuela, he went after Iran again, he tried to go after Greenland and pulled back, don't forget. He may come back to that. But it's clear they have telegraphed, they have communicated that Cuba is next on their vision board. And check this out from Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina is President Trump
