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Nick interviews Rupert Freeman on the design of forecasting competitions that incentivise all forecasters to report their honest predictions, and prediction markets that can use crowdsourced outcome determination without introducing new incentives for market manipulation.

Links:

Rupert Freeman's personal website
First Paper: Incentive-Compatible Forecasting Competitions
Second Paper: Crowdsourced Outcome Determination in Prediction Markets
Augur, the crypto based prediction market we briefly discuss
Another paper we discuss: Prediction Mechanisms That Do Not Incentivize Undesirable Actions
Episode Transcript

Logo design by Jenna Ong

Forecasting Competitions and Prediction Markets with Rupert Freeman