HEADLINES
Mossad eyes Iran regime change in year
Bahrain AWS hit by drone activity
Netanyahu CIA rift shapes Trump Iran policy

The time is now 4:01 AM in New York, I'm Noa Levi and this is the latest Israel Today: Ongoing War Report.

In Direct Israel-Iran Clashes, Mossad Director David Barnea signaled on the eve of hostilities that regime change in Iran was most likely to take about a year, with several possible timelines discussed but a year identified as the prevailing estimate. The assessment comes amid ongoing questions and, at times, pointed leaks that have surfaced from various quarters over the perceived pace and prospects of change in Tehran. An assessment attributed to the Mossad and to the military intelligence directorate suggested that any replacement of the Iranian leadership would not be immediate but would unfold over roughly a year after the end of the current conflict. In the midst of those debates, there were reports of anonymous leaks targeting Barnea and the Mossad, apparently aimed at shaping opinions about the likelihood and speed of regime change. In developments on the ground, six people were wounded in Tel Aviv after shrapnel from an Iranian missile strike, which had been intercepted, tore through the area and damaged several buildings. Firefighters and emergency responders worked to extinguish vehicle fires and conduct searches at affected sites as officials said shelters had helped protect residents. Separately, Iranian missiles were detected in the region, including an identified launch near the Giti Avishar junction in Samaria, and after renewed sirens, authorities reported that a missile was shot down and that safe zones could be exited following assessment. In the immediate aftermath, emergency teams continued to assist those who had reached shelters and to account for people who sought protection throughout the region, while security agencies reviewed the evolving threat picture. The broader intelligence posture remains that any substitution of Iran’s regime would be a drawn-out process, not a one-off change, with officials reiterating that the timeline could extend to about a year after the current hostilities conclude.

In Regional Impacts, Amazon said its Bahrain-based AWS region has been disrupted amid drone activity connected to the broader Middle East conflict, and the company is helping migrate customers to alternate AWS regions while recovery proceeds. The disruption follows power-outage events earlier this month that affected facilities in Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates and, for now, the company provided limited detail on the extent of damage or the duration of the outage. Amazon urged users with workloads in the affected area to continue migrating to other regions as the company works to restore services. This disruption marks the second time since the conflict began that Bahrain’s AWS region has been affected by drone activity, underscoring how critical cloud infrastructure is for government operations and private sector websites during the current tensions.

In the Conflict with Iran and its Regional Proxies, reports from Lebanon indicate attacks in the Sidon district in the southern part of the country following evacuation notices tied to the broader regional tensions. Lebanese media outlets described strikes in that area as the situation around the conflict persisted, with authorities monitoring the security environment and assessing consequences for civilians and infrastructure.

In US Policy Concerning Israel, reports describe a contentious dynamic between Prime Minister Netanyahu and the American intelligence community, with one account asserting that Netanyahu’s stance against the CIA warnings helped push Trump to disregard those warnings. A separate account characterizes a confidential exchange as a nudge from Netanyahu that contributed to Trump moving toward more aggressive action against Iran, highlighting the high-stakes diplomacy behind the United States’ approach to the Iranian issue and its potential influence on policy decisions at the White House.

In Israeli Domestic Politics, Dudi Amsalem, speaking on 103FM, said he was surprised by the United States’ approach to talks with Iran and stressed that information from those discussions had not been relayed to the political leadership. He also commented on domestic matters, including criticisms of compensation plans for businesses, the reform proposals for the Rabbinical courts, and the broader debate surrounding Sara Netanyahu, signaling how the international situation is intersecting with parliamentary and public discourse at home.

Thank you for tuning in to this Israel Today: Ongoing War Report update.
I'm Noa Levi. Stay safe and informed.
Keep in mind that this AI-generated report may contain occasional inaccuracies, so consult multiple sources for a comprehensive view. Find the code and more details in the podcast description.

SOURCES
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-891001
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-890999
https://www.maariv.co.il/breaking-news/article-1300430
https://www.maariv.co.il/breaking-news/article-1300421
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-890996
https://www.maariv.co.il/breaking-news/article-1300429
https://www.maariv.co.il/breaking-news/article-1300428
https://www.maariv.co.il/breaking-news/article-1300427
https://www.maariv.co.il/breaking-news/article-1300431