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This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
Mia Wong
I'm Nick Turturro. You probably know me from NYPD Blue, the Longest Yard or Spike Lee's BlackKklansman. And on my new podcast, Delivering Happiness with Nick Turturro, I deliver pizza to a new guest. I've shared a slice with everyone from Seth Rollins. What are you doing? My belt. To Bill Burr. I don't think I've ever met somebody so exactly out of their mind as I am. And now we even have more great guests coming up, including the great John Turturro. It's called Happiness Delivering Happ and many, many more. Open your free iHeartradio app search delivering Happiness with Nick Turturro and listen now.
Molly Conger
Hey everybody, I'm Tareka Foster Brasby. What's up y'? All? I'm your girl, Sheryl Swoooo. When you tune in to a new episode of our podcast, Levels to this, you're definitely gonna get some spy CWNBA analysis. But we're more than just hoops, and the real conversation is what we actually bring. It's been really, really cool seeing kind of these women just really step into
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their power off the court and understand
Molly Conger
that they are basketball right? And they're not asking for permission. Listen to Levels to this with Sheryl Swoopes and Tarika Foster brasby on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Mia Wong
Cool Zone Media welcome to It Could Happen Here, a podcast where a bunch of incredibly convoluted and very silly financial instruments destroy the entire world economy. I am Your host, Mia Wong. And with me today is someone who does not spend all of her time deep in the bowels of arcane bullshit written by different Federal Reserve boards. And that is Molly Conger, who is the. The host of the Absolutely delightful. I mean, okay, I guess this is a who is really winning here kind of question. In terms of the things we research,
Molly Conger
you spent a lot of time reading stuff written by Federal Reserve guys. I read a lot of stuff written by guys who want to kill the Federal Reserve guys.
Mia Wong
Yeah.
Molly Conger
And you know what? I still don't know what the Federal Reserve is. And I'm not gonna find out.
Mia Wong
You know, I. I don't actually think knowing what the Federal Reserve is, somehow,
Molly Conger
it doesn't change anything.
Mia Wong
I don't think it's actually relevant to this. I mean, it kind of. It's. Obviously, it's relevant to everything, but.
Molly Conger
But what Mia means to say is the reason I'm here is because I don't know what the economy is. And at this point, I'm afraid to find out.
Mia Wong
And unfortunately, your worst fears are happening.
Molly Conger
Oh, don't worry. By the end of this, I will not understand.
Mia Wong
I am going to attempt to explain the economy. And by. By the economy, I mean shadow banking. Yeah. Also, before. Before I go into this, though, you should. You should listen to weird little guys. It is.
Molly Conger
It's. It's.
Mia Wong
It's really good. I like it. All my friends really like it.
Molly Conger
Thank you.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's somehow a nice, comma, kind of relaxing show about Neo Nazis.
Molly Conger
So, yeah, it's got very chill vibes for a show about guys who are trying to, like, blow up school buses.
Mia Wong
Yep. So, all right. You know, I'm reading this. I'm looking over the script. Miraculously, this isn't. Oh, wait, hold on. I think I cut the part where people blow up school buses. There was legitimately a segment in here that I might put back in where someone blows up a school bus.
Molly Conger
But what a crossover event.
Mia Wong
Oh, boy, oh, boy. The Saudis really good at that shit. Turns out okay. Okay. But let's get back to the topic at hand, which is, what is shadow banking and why does it matter to all of us, People who live in the normal real world and not in fake finance world.
Molly Conger
Does it have anything to do with shadow wolves?
Mia Wong
Unfortunately, no.
Molly Conger
What about shadow facts?
Mia Wong
Sadly, actually, there probably is a connection between the financing for the Lord of the Rings movies and shadow banking. I'm just too tired to work it right now.
Molly Conger
I have dragged us off track and we haven't Even gotten on track yet. What is shadow bank?
Mia Wong
Okay, so the good news, the good news. This is the first, it's not the last piece of good news. You're going to get this episode but comma, the definition used by most non academics is actually not that bad. There's a pretty good. It's very wishy washy because it's a congressional report. And so it's specifically not supposed to be taking a stance in either direction on anything because it's the Congressional Review Office and they're supposed to be neutral, et cetera, et cetera.
Molly Conger
Allegedly.
Mia Wong
Yeah, right. You know, and like obviously they're not, but like, you know, it's like kind of fine congressional report on the subject. And they do the thing that almost everyone does, which is they go back to the definition created by the Financial Stability Board. And I'm just gonna, I'm just gonna quote that because it's not that bad.
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Quote.
Mia Wong
Financial activities facilitated by institutions other than central banks, banks or public financial institutions.
Molly Conger
So it's banking that doesn't involve a bank.
Mia Wong
Yes.
Molly Conger
Canceled. I'm out. I'm out already.
Mia Wong
Yes.
Molly Conger
And they don't mean like me loaning you $20?
Mia Wong
No, no, no, of course not.
Molly Conger
They just mean unregulated banking.
Mia Wong
Oh, yeah.
Molly Conger
Which you can't legally call banking.
Mia Wong
I mean, you actually can legally call it banking. It's just things get weird really quickly.
Molly Conger
I mean, I'm not, I'm not a bank understander, but I know at least in Virginia you can't incorporate a business that has the word bank in the title unless you legally a bank. Because it, because that's like misleading.
Mia Wong
Yeah, I don't think they can legally call themselves a bank, but I guess you can call it banking activity.
Molly Conger
That's stupid. And I'm mad already.
Mia Wong
Yes. Oh, you're gonna get so much more mad by the end of this. So the base definition is it's not that complicated. Right. It's something that does banking stuff that is legally not a bank. You know, and so we could talk about what, what kinds of things is this? Right. It's like private equity firms, it's hedge funds, it's venture capital firms.
Molly Conger
So it's like evil stuff that ruins the world for no reason except for like 10 guys make money.
Mia Wong
Yeah, but it's also, you know, pension funds, it's like insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, business development companies, repo markets, broker dealers, special investment vehicles, securitization vehicles, money market mutual funds, asset backed commercial paper conduits.
Molly Conger
Hey, here's the thing. Bud, most of those things you just said to me are fake and they make me upset.
Mia Wong
It's really bad.
Molly Conger
Sovereign dwell fund. Shut up. That's not, that's nothing. I still, you know, all these, all these things are just like different ways of saying like, you're poor and you're gonna die.
Mia Wong
Yeah. I mean, the funny thing is sovereign wealth fund is like kind of a less fake one in that it's like it's all fake. Hey, this is like, it's the. Well, it's like this. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has pulled all of the money it's gotten from its like horrific crimes and put them together into one giant thing. And that's a sovereign wealth fund.
Molly Conger
Oh, so it's good is what you mean.
Mia Wong
No, I am, I am a notable. There is, by the way, a of people who believe that sovereign wealth funds are like a socialist thing and that you could use them to do socialism.
Molly Conger
I'm going to jump out the window.
Mia Wong
I think. This is so stupid. Yeah, this is. We haven't even gotten into the nightmare stuff, so. Remember I was talking about the Financial Stability Board definition in that congressional report, right? Where it's like, okay, this is a bank that does non banking stuff or a non bank that does banking stuff. Sorry.
Molly Conger
Oh, I guess we should say. I guess we forgot to say at the top. The reason you're explaining shadow banking to me is because we saw an article last week that what, Those, those not banks were putting a stop on withdrawals from their not banks. And I didn't know what that meant.
Mia Wong
Yeah, that's amazingly. This, this is so convoluted. We're not even going to get to that this week.
Molly Conger
Right. But like, that's, that's why we're explaining.
Mia Wong
That's why. Right. There's like. Yeah, there's like, there was like a mini bank run going on with these like shadow banks.
Molly Conger
No, swap banks.
Mia Wong
Yeah. So we're going to get into how that can happen and why. But before we get there, we need to talk about. All right. To get a sense of the complexity of this. Right. The congressional report, like the accepted terminology for this is not shadow banks. It is.
Molly Conger
Right. That can't be their official name. That's not their government name.
Mia Wong
No, it's. It's non bank financial intermediation. Now what the fuck is that? And this is where this episode goes completely off the rails because the components of what count as intermediation are so complicated. I am not going to try to describe it until literally the end of this.
Molly Conger
I Mean, is it like, what is Venmo officially like? Venmo is not a bank, but it provides like financial services.
Mia Wong
Actually, I. It might because it's.
Molly Conger
Because that's like a financial intermediary, right?
Mia Wong
Yeah, it might technically be a non bank. I don't know what the regulatory structure is.
Molly Conger
It's not legally a bank.
Mia Wong
Yeah, I think that technically is one
Molly Conger
score one for Molly.
Mia Wong
Yeah, but okay, so this is going to get really bad. Okay, so when I first started researching this episode, Right. The first thing that I click on is, is the Federal Reserves chart of how the shadow banking sector works compared to the normal banking sector. Molly, you have seen this because I posted it as a joke in our group chat. This chart, I have like a very, very large like it is like a big normal ass sized monitor that I like do my work on. I had to zoom in to 380% just to make out the letters that label the boxes on this chart. If you want to read it, you have to zoom in to 500%.
Molly Conger
That doesn't seem like a well made chart.
Mia Wong
No, here's the thing. It's actually really good. It's just this complicated. I learned later from a paper by Copenhagen business school professor Adni Helgedir. We're gonna come back to Helgedottir's work a lot in this episode. But I learned from, from her because she has also experience seeing the same chart and going, what the is this fuck ass chart? I found out that the Federal Reserve recommends that in order to have the diagram be legible, you are supposed to print this chart as a three foot by four foot poster.
Molly Conger
Oh, that makes sense. Like meeting style, but like on a big easel. Put it on easel.
Mia Wong
Yeah, right. But like again, this is, this is a diagram that is just labeling the parts of the system and making and making like a line that shows how stuff moves through it.
Molly Conger
I guess I still don't know what we're talking about.
Mia Wong
Yeah, so this is what we're going to get into in a second. But first we have to talk about something even more bleak, which is that. Oh yeah, by the way, these like non banking bank things like these like all these like venture capital firms, all these hedge funds, all these fucking weird ghoulish banks that are not banks. Yeah. They have twice as many assets than the regular banking system.
Molly Conger
Oh, that doesn't seem good.
Mia Wong
Oh, it's about to get worse. It's about to get worse.
Molly Conger
Molly, that's like saying I keep 70% of the food in My house, outside on the porch. Like, no, it goes in the fridge.
Mia Wong
Oh. Oh, it's so bad. It's so bad. So, okay, there's a pretty good congressional report that I was talking about earlier that has this terrifying quote, quote, as of 2023, the broad measure total financial assets and narrow measure assets at NBFIs, this is the shadow banks reached $85.7 trillion and $22.2 trillion respectively in the United States.
Molly Conger
But that's more than our gdp.
Mia Wong
That's almost three times our gdp.
Molly Conger
So that's a fake amount of money.
Mia Wong
Yes.
Molly Conger
That's not real at all.
Mia Wong
But it kind of is. Right. These compare to total financial assets of $31.1 trillion at banks in the same period. So again, this is, this is almost three times our GDP in assets that they manage or control.
Molly Conger
So where does the money live?
Mia Wong
In a whole bunch of unbelievably convoluted bullshit. Like combinations of like loans and real estate and stuff like that.
Molly Conger
That's not real money. So like, okay, imagine this is Schoolhouse Rock and instead of like the singing bill, you're like a dollar bill. Like, where are you?
Mia Wong
We are about to explain this.
Molly Conger
Where does the money live?
Mia Wong
Yeah. So, okay, okay, we're, we are about one, two paragraphs away from getting to this. Or like one paragraph.
Molly Conger
Okay.
Mia Wong
So the other thing that's very important about this, and this is something Molly was kind of touching on at the beginning of the episode. Maybe I should have opened with this. Yeah. These people, these are the people who blew up the economy in 2008.
Molly Conger
Well, yeah, because they, they're making stuff up.
Mia Wong
Yeah. It's so, it's so bullshit. Molly, you're going to get so mad.
Molly Conger
This is Calvin Ball. Fuck you. I win.
Mia Wong
Yeah. It literally is, it's nonsense. It's gibberish. They're doing fucking betting markets with the entire world economy.
Molly Conger
Oh, yeah, we can all do that now.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's fun. It's like we, we, we now have the power to do the shit that destroyed the entire world economy in 2008. So the thing about shadow banking and the reason why it's complicated to explain is that it's a catch all term for like a million types of institutions that do different things. Right. The commonality they have is that they're all not regulated by the banking regulations.
Molly Conger
Right. It's like we found a way to do financial crime that's not illegal because they forgot to make this illegal.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And you know, but, but the thing is, it's so embedded into the system that like the US debt working is dependent on the shadow banks buying it.
Molly Conger
Like, well, I don't believe in that either, so I'm good.
Mia Wong
Oh, it's so fake. I. Molly, I'm not even going to attempt to explain what an overnight repo purchase is to you because it's the fakest thing I've ever seen where they, they just, they, they, they make $1 trillion exist overnight and then it stops existing at the end of the night. It's incredible.
Molly Conger
I love how much of the economy is based on guys just imagining stuff and agreeing on the thing they imagined and then trading their imaginary tokens. Like, this is fucking pogs. Grow up.
Mia Wong
Yep, this is, this, this, this is, this is unfortunately what, what our entire world is based on. It's so fun. Oh God. Okay, so what is actually shadow banking? I've given you like the broadest definition possible, which is like again, it's the, it's doing bank shit without being a bank. But let's go back to the beginning of the term, which is where most people tend to start or get to eventually. This is from an IMF paper. Quote. The term shadow bank was coined by economist Paul McCully at a 2007 speech at the annual financial symposium hosted by the Kansas City Federal Reserve bank in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. And basically it's institutions that borrow money in the short term through money markets to finance long term loans. But they aren't banks, so they can't go to the Fed.
Molly Conger
They're financing loans with other loans.
Mia Wong
Yeah, we're going to. So from it.
Molly Conger
From, from a not bank. Yeah, but the big loan is from a real bank and then the little loan is from a fake bank.
Mia Wong
Give me.
Molly Conger
None of the money is.
Mia Wong
Hold on, hold on. Okay, we're, we're going to get there. We're, we're going to explain this in terms of burgers. It's going to be okay. I believe in us. Perfect. Perfect. But the other thing he describes is, is, is. And this is from Helga Daughter. Quote, in the speech he described shadow banking as the whole Alphabet soup of leveraged up investment conduits, vehicles and structures. So what he's talking about specifically is these are the guys who blew up the economy in 2008. Like these specifically. This is what he's talking about, right? These are the people who took a mortgage and then did a bunch of bullshit to it in what's called a securitization chain. They did a bunch of bullshit to it so you could give the loan to someone Else, so you could sell it to someone else. And this blew up the entire world economy. That's what he's talking about. He's talking about the banks that are not banks. The shadow banks that did all of this bullshit to turn, like, someone's mortgage into a fucking thing you could bet on.
Molly Conger
So selling debt is like selling the idea of future money.
Mia Wong
Yeah.
Molly Conger
And then sometimes that future money doesn't come.
Mia Wong
Yeah.
Molly Conger
So it doesn't exist.
Mia Wong
So. So, okay, I will say you do not need to understand this yet, because we haven't. We still have not started the actual explanation.
Molly Conger
I'm never going to.
Mia Wong
I believe in us. We can. It's. It's not that bad. Okay.
Molly Conger
I'm not torturing you on purpose. I'm just.
Mia Wong
No, it's okay. I believe in you. So I want to mention that I'm very indebted here to the paper I mentioned earlier from Copenhagen Business School Professor Adni Helgadottir, who wrote a. She wrote a very good simplified explanation of this in her review of international political economy article called Banking Upside down, the Implicit Politics of Shadow Banking Expertise. But, okay, as you can tell by the fact that it's called Banking Upside down, the Implicit Politics of Shadow Banking expertise. This has been. When she's simplifying it, she's simplifying it from, like, economist down to, like, a political scientist or an anthropologist can understand this. I am about to attempt to simplify this down to. A regular person can understand this. So I'm drawing on a lot of her stuff for the first part of this explanation. But I am. I've turned it into burgers.
Molly Conger
So I'll do my best. I'm being very brave.
Mia Wong
Okay, so a shadow bank. Right. It's something that does banking shit. That's not a bank. So what do I mean by banking shit?
Molly Conger
That was my next question. Yes, I think we need to start with what is a bank? First?
Mia Wong
So. Okay. Okay. And this is. This is. This is where we're starting here. What does a bank do?
Molly Conger
I put my money in it, and they hold it for me.
Mia Wong
So. No, actually. And this is the interesting part.
Molly Conger
No, they do stuff with it.
Mia Wong
Oh, yeah.
Molly Conger
They're holding onto the promise of my money.
Mia Wong
Yeah. So, okay, let's. Let's just. Let's just look at this for a second. So. Okay, so regular people give them money to store in the bank. This is called a deposit. The bank takes your money and loans it out.
Molly Conger
Right.
Mia Wong
And uses that to make more money. This is how it pays you interest. Right. Is that it's taking your money and it's loaning it out to other, to other people, it's buying things with it.
Molly Conger
That part I understand.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And this is obviously a cartoon image and I know there's going to be econ people who are going to be mad at me.
Molly Conger
Look, if you understand, why are they listening to this? If you already know what this means, go away. This isn't for you. I'm not humiliating myself for your entertainment.
Mia Wong
Like, like for the political economy people here, when I say stuff that might, that's like technically kind of fuzzy, it's
Molly Conger
for me, the podcast idiot.
Mia Wong
Yeah, like you, you understand this. Like I'm working at the level of hamburgers here. So, like we have to do some abstractions. So. Okay, the important thing for our purposes, right, is that there's two things here, right? There's like the deposit, it's the money you give them, and then there's the loans, right? And these operates on different timelines, right? You can take the deposit out at any time, at least in theory, but they can't get the money from the loan back at any time, right? Now this is like one of the critical things of what a bank is, is, is this timeline thing, right? It turns your, your money, which you can take out at any time, into a different kind of thing, this loan, which can't be taken out immediately, right? And then they use that to make money. So this is called maturity transformation. This is a very simple concept they have made very complicated. This is one of the core aspects of that definition I was talking about earlier. This is one of the four things in it. But you now understand this. It's not that complicated. It's take short term, make long term, and we'll get to doing the reverse in a second.
Molly Conger
Oh, I don't think it works the other way.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's gonna go so badly.
Molly Conger
I don't know about bank, but just generally speaking in terms of time and how material reality works, I don't think it works the other way.
Mia Wong
It's not great. It's not great, Molly. It's not great. Okay, so, okay, there is, however, a problem here, right, which is what happens if everyone tries to get their short term money back at the same time?
Molly Conger
Oh, you can't. Yeah, right, because we have deposit insurance.
Mia Wong
Yeah, right, because the, the banks aren't holding short term cash. What they're holding is long term loans. And those loans, like you can't pay someone a loan. Well, okay, actually this entire. The crux of this episode is they Found a job is that.
Molly Conger
They did do that.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Yes. And it blew up the entire world economy.
Molly Conger
But if I, but if I wanted 40,000 dol. Out of my, If I had a checking account with $40,000 in it. Yeah. And they gave me my neighbor's mortgage as a prom, like that wouldn't work for me.
Mia Wong
That wouldn't work for me. No, fuck that. No, no, no. You need, you need, you need, you need something that can buy a burger and they're not giving you that. So. Okay, this is very, very bad. If people try to do this. It is called a bank run. It is not good.
Molly Conger
It's bad.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And so this upset, this blew up the entire world economy so many goddamn times that eventually we got financial regulation. Now this, this regulation requires banks to have money that is like actual cash they can hand you like right now on hand at all times. And the government gets to. And this is, that's a little misinfluous, but like. Yeah, that's how it works. Right.
Molly Conger
Like, and it's insured by the government.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Like the government will give you your money back if the bank goes under up to like a certain amount.
Molly Conger
$250,000 FDIC insured.
Mia Wong
Yep. This is, this, this, that's, that's what that means. Right. The government will give you your money back. But also there's, there's a trade off to this, you know, so this is a massive benefit for the banks. Right. The fact, the fact that if they go under, all of their assets will be repaid by the government. It's a massive benefit for them because it means that putting your money in the bank is like safe.
Molly Conger
Yeah, I love that. For me.
Mia Wong
Right? Yeah, it's good. Now the cost to the banks is that the Feds get to see their balance sheet. Right? The feds get to see what they're doing with their fucking money. And they get to make sure that these banks aren't doing insane shit.
Molly Conger
Okay, that makes sense because they're insuring it.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And that like they're not doing like unbelievably risky, awful shit. And also that they're actually holding enough money to be able to pay people out.
Molly Conger
Right. Okay, so far so good. I wait, I understand Bank.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Now, Shadow banking boldly asked the question, okay, but what if you did all of the banking backwards? No one had access to the books. And the government will only pay you back if the entire world economy looks like it's going to die.
Molly Conger
I feel like at that point the government should just, just step back and just.
Mia Wong
Here's the thing. Here's the thing, right? I, I, I. Yeah. Like, I'm so down with this. Like, yeah. I don't know. Fuck it. Like, every single one of you motherfuckers is gonna pay this off by working as a barista for 30 years. Like, fuck you. But the government was like, nah, we want, like, we want capitalism to keep working.
Molly Conger
Make every hedge fund manager work at a Waffle House.
Mia Wong
Yeah, fuck him.
Molly Conger
Betrayal Weekly is back with brand new stories from threatening text messages disturbing a small Midwestern town.
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It was from an unknown number. Who else is getting these messages? Why did it start with us?
Molly Conger
To long cons and stolen identities.
Mia Wong
Who lies about being this sick? This was the last time I ever believed a word she said.
Molly Conger
New voices, each with the courage to tell their own story. He said, I have been kidnapped.
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Okay, just try and act normal.
Mia Wong
He was essentially on the run.
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Every family has secrets.
Molly Conger
The rug had been pulled from underneath me.
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Oh, my God.
Molly Conger
It was right in front of my
Podcast Announcer
face, and I didn't even see it.
Molly Conger
Listen to Betrayal Weekly on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Podcast Announcer
Bill, why is my eye twitching? Does this mean I'm in perimenopause? Maybe I have adult adhd. I need to look this up. Where's my phone?
Mia Wong
Juliana, your PH is hot to the touch. I think it's asking you for a break.
Podcast Announcer
You know what? Maybe I should just ask ChatGPT.
Mia Wong
Or maybe we can ask an actual human.
Podcast Announcer
Yes, like a couple sex therapist.
Mia Wong
Whoa, that escalated quickly.
Podcast Announcer
But okay, because I have questions.
Mia Wong
We have questions.
Podcast Announcer
And I bet everyone has questions like, is it normal to sleep in separate bedrooms? We do that.
Mia Wong
How about this one? Is bribing your kids bad parenting or just negotiating?
Podcast Announcer
Oh, and I still do need to know, why was my poop green that one time?
Mia Wong
Hypothetically. Right. Okay. Well, instead of letting the Internet guess, we've got actual people answering these exact
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questions and laughing with us has got to be better than spending three hours down a rabbit hole online.
Mia Wong
Listen to Bill and Juliana, the podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your podcasts.
Molly Conger
I'm Emily Oster. I'm an economist and data expert.
Mia Wong
And I'm Perry Wilson. I'm a medical doctor.
Molly Conger
And this is our new podcast, Wellness, actually.
Mia Wong
Because you're getting a staggering amount of health and wellness information nowadays. And some of it is awesome, and
Molly Conger
some of it is, well, actually, bull. Fortunately, we're both people who know how to read Studies parse data and can tell you what's worth trying out and what you can safely ignore.
Mia Wong
Each episode we tackle the health news of the week and then take take a deeper dive into a misunderstood health and wellness topic.
Molly Conger
Like what's the deal with peptides?
Mia Wong
What's the deal with GLP1s?
Molly Conger
What's the deal with creatine?
Mia Wong
What's the deal with cupping?
Molly Conger
What's the deal with sleep?
Mia Wong
So join us for a weekly dose of sanity. Might actually be just with the doctor or the economist ordered listen to wellness actually on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.
Molly Conger
From daily news to dating fails, conspiracy
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theories to cooking with celebrities who can't actually cook.
Molly Conger
Amazon Music's got the most ad free top podcasts ready to entertain included with Prime.
Mia Wong
Okay, I'm going to say something and then I'm going to make a disclaimer. So the kind of shadow banks that did 2008 work in the opposite direction. They start with debt, they take that debt and they turn that debt into, like, cash, right?
Molly Conger
Can I do that?
Mia Wong
No.
Molly Conger
Does that work for me at my house?
Mia Wong
So, okay, And I also want to mention there's a bunch of other kinds of shadow banks. The kind of shadow bank that's going under right now is not really this. The kind of shadow bank that's like exploding right now is a kind of shadow bank that's like, what if, what if a bank that wasn't a bank gave a completely unregulated loan with secret terms to a corporation? And that's the one that's going under right now, but for a long, long time. The kind of shadow bank that was really important to the global economy and this is still like a massive portion of how all of the economic system works is these ones where you're trying to take debt and turn it into something you can trade for cash. So, okay, you take debt, right? You start off with a mortgage, okay. So these mortgages pay out over the extremely long term, right? But you want to be able to trade this mortgage for cash, right? And this is a process called securitization. Turning this mortgage into something you can sell for cash is making it into what's called a security. So now what happens right when it's packaged into a security, when there's a securitization process, and then like the regular bank, the regular bank sends the mortgage to the shadow bank and the shadow bank, like, does, like, stuff and turns it into a security. And now what this means is that instead of you who paid the mortgage owing money to the bank, you own it to the shadow bank or whoever the fuck the shadow bank sells it to. Right.
Molly Conger
Okay, so the real bank is involved? The real bank is involved.
Mia Wong
Yes. Oh, yes. The real bank is making so much money off of this. Is, this is why 2008 happened.
Molly Conger
Oh, because Wells Fargo did this with everybody's mortgage.
Mia Wong
Oh, yeah. Oh yeah.
Molly Conger
Okay. Because I couldn't figure out. Because you said this is how 2008. And I was like, I thought Wells Fargo did that. That's a real bank. But the real bank was shadow banking.
Mia Wong
The real bank figured out a way to sell their mortgages. And it's going to get much worse as we go through this. But that's what causes this, right? Is like turning, is turning these mortgages into these like securities and like these like collateralized debt obligations and these like special packaged bullshit that you could sell to someone. So the way I would describe this is it's like. Do you know how a bond works?
Molly Conger
Honestly, Mia, I do not.
Mia Wong
Okay, let's do this. We can do this. Okay, so the kind of bond that you are normally likely to encounter is a government bond.
Molly Conger
Yeah.
Mia Wong
Okay. So you pay the government money to buy the bond. And what the bond says is at a certain point in time you hand it back to the government and they pay you more money.
Molly Conger
Right, it's like a promise for later.
Mia Wong
Yeah, Right. So it's basically a loan, but it's a loan in a form where like the government's technically like selling it. And then the other thing about bonds, right. Is if you hand the bond to someone else. Well, okay, I mean this is technically bear bonds, but like you can then give the bond to someone else. And now, and now if they give it back to the government, they get the Money in like 10 years they get the money. Right, right.
Molly Conger
Okay, I get that.
Mia Wong
And you can sell these things. And this is what these people are doing with mortgages.
Molly Conger
That's not as like secured as like a government bond. Because if I have a hundred dollar government, like if I have a hundred dollar bearers bond, I know for a fact that on the date on the bond it's going to be worth a hundred dollars.
Mia Wong
Yeah, they're going to pay out. Right.
Molly Conger
But if it's the mortgage, the government's going to pay it. But like the mortgage got the person who has the. That's not.
Mia Wong
Yep.
Molly Conger
That's not real. That's not money. Nope.
Mia Wong
Yep.
Molly Conger
That's like, that's a, that's a promise. But like my hand is behind my back.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's. It's a shit show. And this whole process is the largest sort of. I'm not sure if that's the largest I would need to actually like get. I've never, I haven't seen in depth breakdown sectorally, but like none of this is real.
Molly Conger
You could just say, whatever.
Mia Wong
This, this is one of the most important kind of shadow banks because in order to turn this mortgage into security, the moment you do that, you do this by creating what's called a special purpose vehicle or someone else creates one. It's called a special purpose vehicle. Yeah, it's. It'. It's a nightmare. It's a nightmare.
Molly Conger
I'm going to, I'm going to put this mortgage on a roller coaster.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's fudgeing. Ridiculous, right? It's a special purpose vehicle. It does a loop de loop. But the moment you create one of these, the moment you create one of these, like security mortgages, right, that's a shadow bank. You've created a shadow bank.
Molly Conger
Right. Because that's not real banking, that's shadow banking.
Mia Wong
Yep. Because. Because you're creating another entity that is not a bank. So that's doing the banking stuff.
Molly Conger
I thought that the banking and the shadow banking were like separate things, right? Because it's. Because the shadow banking is like, it's like, oh, they're doing non bank stu.
Mia Wong
They're all in. But if they're all in on it,
Molly Conger
if the bank is doing shadow banking, I would, I'm stupid, but I would call that a crime.
Mia Wong
This is, this is another thing that cost 2008 because a bunch of what was.
Molly Conger
Why is that a crime?
Mia Wong
Because our country is run by the bourgeoisie, Molly. That's why. It's not a crime.
Molly Conger
You're just telling me this for the first time.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's bad. So, so what happened, what happened in 2008? One of the things that happened, right, is so all of these regulators are supposed to be looking at the balance
Molly Conger
sheets of these companies, but they're hiding stuff off the books.
Podcast Announcer
Yeah.
Mia Wong
They were hiding these things in these like special purpose vehicles, like in these like shadow banks.
Molly Conger
They didn't open the trunks on the special purpose vehicles.
Mia Wong
Yeah. So no one could see the fucking dead bodies in the trunks of the vehicles because they weren't on the balance sheet that like the government had access to.
Molly Conger
What's the point of the balance sheet if you don't put the whole balance on it?
Mia Wong
Fuck it. I don't know. And this is like Legitimately. When you read the accounts of, like, why shadow making has exploded. And by the way, it's exploded since 2008. It's like, way bigger.
Molly Conger
Exploded like in popularity or like, exploded as in, like, destruct.
Mia Wong
There's so much. There's so much more of it. There's so much more of it. Because also.
Molly Conger
Oh, because it went so well. You went so well in 2008 that now.
Mia Wong
Because. Because here's the thing. After 2008, we got, like, a little tiny bit of banking regulation, and the banks lost their fucking minds. And so more and more money went into all of these unhinged shadow banking things.
Molly Conger
Okay, but so, like, when a toddler has a tantrum, you don't give them a billion dollars.
Mia Wong
When these shadow banks went under, these things were not backed by the government. The government bailed them out anyways.
Molly Conger
Yeah, they didn't have to do that.
Mia Wong
Nope.
Molly Conger
So they really. They learned their lesson. They really learned their lesson this time.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Like, they bailed out these banks and they fucking sold you out. And like, you know, like, one of the things that I think people have forgotten was there's this thing called robocalls during the Obama administration, right. Part of how the financial recovery happened was that all these banks would, like, go to courthouses, right? And they would just repossess mortgages on mass. Oh, and they had, like a robot that was like, sign. It would just. It would just sign, like a blank check sign on, off on all these mortgages that were supposedly underwater. And they would just steal people's houses, people who were on top of their payments, people who, like, didn't know money. They would just take their houses. And this happened en masse. And this is like, how the banks recovered was they stole everyone's houses.
Molly Conger
And that's a crime, right?
Mia Wong
Yes, it should have been a crime. Like, it was illegal. It didn't matter, though, because everything you're
Molly Conger
describing to me is a crime.
Mia Wong
It's so nightmarish. Well, here's the thing. Most of the stuff I'm describing is not a crime. This was actually a crime.
Molly Conger
But why is nobody in jail?
Mia Wong
Because Barack Obama went up in front of these people and said, I am the only thing standing between you and the guillotines. I'm pretty sure that's a direct quote.
Molly Conger
And why didn't he bring the guillotine with him?
Mia Wong
Because he wants the capitalist system to continue.
Molly Conger
I mean, that's a silly question. I know who Barack Obama is.
Mia Wong
It's. That's.
Molly Conger
I'm just upset.
Mia Wong
It's not good. Okay, so. So let's get. Let's get you another question that you asked, which is why. Why would you do this? Why would you do this?
Molly Conger
Oh, to make money.
Mia Wong
Yes, but it's actually more complicated than that.
Molly Conger
Oh, okay.
Mia Wong
So on the one hand, the. These assets, you know, a mortgage does make more money than just putting your money in a bank. Right. That's like the basis of banking is that they. They can use your money that's sitting in the bank and getting interest, and then they make more money by spending it elsewhere.
Molly Conger
But. So they're just doing this because they hate us, not just to make money.
Mia Wong
No, there is an actual explanation.
Molly Conger
There's a third reason.
Mia Wong
So then why would you ever have your money in a bank? Or, like, buy something like, say, if government bonds you can sell really quickly. Right. Why would you ever want that? And the reason why is something called liquidity.
Molly Conger
Right? You want to be able to spend the money.
Mia Wong
Yes.
Molly Conger
Rather than wait 30 years for it to get paid back.
Mia Wong
Yes. Liquidity is just. How easy is it to turn whatever you own into cash? Right.
Molly Conger
Real money. Because most of what we're talking about is not money. It's the idea of money. Yes.
Mia Wong
So, so liquidity is, is. Is literally. It's the burger test, Right. Can you buy a burger with this?
Molly Conger
Can I eat this?
Mia Wong
Money is like the most liquid asset, right? Because you can, you can, you can turn this into a burger.
Molly Conger
Right? So liquidity is the only part of this that's actually money. Everything else is not money.
Mia Wong
Yeah, well, liquidity is the measure of how money is it basically, like, how easy is it to turn this into burger?
Molly Conger
Is this a special vehicle securitization? It's not real, Mia.
Mia Wong
No, it's fake as shit. Right. This is not that complicated. Right? If, if you, if, if it's like, like you can. You can buy a burger with $10.
Molly Conger
Yes.
Mia Wong
Right. That's liquid.
Molly Conger
Actually, you kind of can't these days.
Mia Wong
I know. Look, I. Yeah, look, I. Imagine a world where you can buy a burger for $10.
Molly Conger
Imagine. Imagine a burger.
Mia Wong
Yes. Imagine a burger. That's purchasable. Now what you can't buy a burger with is, like, the 10 bucks that a guy you work with owes you for buying him a burger.
Molly Conger
Depends on how well you know the burger guy.
Mia Wong
Yeah, but that's. That's where things get bad.
Molly Conger
Yeah.
Mia Wong
Right. Now the thing is, right, so the 10 bucks the guy you work with, like, owes you, not liquid, you don't have the money in your hands. And if you want to get it from him, you have to like go ask him for the money. And Maybe he has 10 bucks and maybe he doesn't. Right. At which point you can't get your $10 back until he has the money.
Molly Conger
But that, but that $10 that I am theoretically owed is an asset that I have, not a debt.
Mia Wong
Yes.
Molly Conger
Okay.
Mia Wong
Yes. This is stupid. Now loans, loans are not liquid assets. Right. And they're not liquid assets because you can't get the money back like immediately.
Molly Conger
So I don't have $10 I can spend, but on paper I do have 10 theoretical dollars.
Mia Wong
Yeah, right. And this is also like most of what billionaire money is fake, right? Like most of their money is like in like a stock or some shit or like it's weird fake money.
Molly Conger
Like theoretically they could access this amount of money, but they don't have it. Yeah, it's not real.
Mia Wong
Now, okay, there is this question, so why, why would you keep your money in fake money instead of real money? And the answer is that it gives you more money back because say, say you're an asshole. Right. And you're charging interest on your co worker for that burger loan.
Molly Conger
Right? So that $10 is actually worth more than $10 more money.
Mia Wong
Yes.
Molly Conger
So the $10 that I don't have is theoretically worth $12 worth more.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's worth more than the money that you do have.
Molly Conger
I can get cheese on the burger.
Mia Wong
Yes. Right. And, and this is, this is like the fundamental thing of the banking system. Like one of them is that illiquid assets or like assets that you that aren't money are worth more than money.
Molly Conger
I guess like when I put a small amount of my savings into a cd, that's what I'm doing. Except normal style, they're doing it weird.
Mia Wong
Yeah.
Molly Conger
Basically because that's like an illiquid asset that I'm, I'm, I'm trading the ability to access that liquidity for the potential of more money later.
Mia Wong
Wait, sorry, when you say C, do you mean like a, like a physical, like a disc? Like a cd?
Molly Conger
No, a cd. Like at the bank.
Mia Wong
Oh, like the, yeah, yeah.
Molly Conger
Like the investment product.
Mia Wong
Yeah, sure. Yeah, yeah. Sorry, I was like.
Molly Conger
No, I'm not talking about buying compact discs.
Mia Wong
I, I, I would just leave at 5:00am this morning.
Molly Conger
I'm talking about investing MIA. Ever heard of it? Wow.
Mia Wong
There's act, there's actually a really an annoying thing researching this episode because there's like, so CDOs are like a type of loan that we'll Kind of get to in a bit. But there's also a tech position called cdo. It's like chief something.
Molly Conger
Officer Dookie Officer. Who cares?
Mia Wong
Yeah, whatever the fuck. Right? But like when you're trying to search for stuff that's like about CDOs, right? The other one keeps coming up. I hate it. Okay, okay, Locking in, locking in. Right.
Molly Conger
Lock and load.
Mia Wong
Now what if you both wanted more money and also the ability to buy a burger?
Molly Conger
I guess I would probably break one of Carl's fingers. This is the guy that owes me the $10. Carl.
Mia Wong
Yeah, but even then it's hard to even. That's like this is too hard for these people.
Molly Conger
I would go to Carl's house and kick him out of it.
Mia Wong
Well, yeah, so, but the other thing is like you are not very rich, okay? These people, if you are really, really rich, I am talking like billionaires, maybe like high, high class multimillionaires. Well, you can go to a shadow bank. Oh, right.
Molly Conger
You can get a loan based on the loan.
Mia Wong
No. Well, here's the thing is that you have money, right? But you want to turn your money into more money. Like you have like actual cash, right? Like you are, you are for example, a pension fund.
Molly Conger
No, I'm not.
Mia Wong
You have a shit ton of cash. Or imagine, imagine a pension fund, right? This is. Okay, this is also really hard because it used to be easier to explain this because like we used to live in a world where people had pension funds and had mortgages and now we no longer have pension funds or mortgages.
Molly Conger
I live in an apartment and I will always live in an apartment.
Mia Wong
Yeah. No. Okay, so like imagine, imagine a pension fund, right? You, you have a shit ton of money from your members paying into the fund, but it's cash. You need to turn that cash into more money. But also you're a pension fund, so you constantly have to take money back out in order to pay the people who are retiring.
Molly Conger
To pay old people. Yeah.
Mia Wong
And this is also a thing that like, you know, if you're just like a rich person, sometimes you want your. A lot of times you want your money in assets that are like, you can, you can turn back into real money but also make you a shit ton of money.
Molly Conger
Right? They need to sort of revolve a little bit. They need to be like. Yeah, I don't know, like a jello, like partially liquid.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And. And this is th. This is what the shadow banks do, right? Because the thing that you can buy is one of those mortgages. They've Turned into like a security. Right. You can go buy someone else's debt, but because it's a magic security now. And these are called mortgage backed securities. And again, if you're old enough to remember. Yeah. Anything of anything about 2008, that's what blew up the whole economy is these mortgage backed securities.
Molly Conger
Yeah, I've heard of that. Because it was bad.
Mia Wong
Yep. Terrible idea.
Molly Conger
And so we're still doing that.
Mia Wong
Oh, yeah.
Molly Conger
Okay, good.
Mia Wong
I mean, it's less. Specifically, the mortgage backed ones are less bad. Also they started doing it with like commercial retail loans, which is incredible.
Molly Conger
Great.
Mia Wong
So that's really fun. They're also doing with other unhinged shit that we're going to do like next episode. And what these people are really buying aren't just these like, you're not buying like one person's mortgage. Right, right.
Molly Conger
They're like pooled and like bundled.
Mia Wong
Yeah, yeah, they're like, they bundle them all together and then you, you buy the rights to a percentage of, of the pool.
Molly Conger
It's not like when you sponsor like an elephant in Africa or something and they send you a picture of like a specific elephant.
Mia Wong
Yeah.
Molly Conger
They don't send you, they don't send you a picture of the family you're harming.
Mia Wong
No.
Molly Conger
These are the Joneses. You own their house.
Mia Wong
Yeah, it's, it's, it's, it's a, it's a shit show. No, Well, I mean, eventually you might have to go figure out who that is because you like own whatever the fuck percentage of like the mortgages or whatever. But like, okay, so these are, these are just like someone else's debt that you're buying. And the people who can do this are, you know, people who have billions of dollars. It's not you, the listener. And by the way, if you, the listener, have billions of dollars lying around for some reason.
Molly Conger
Can I have some, please?
Mia Wong
Yes, please, please give me some of them so I can house like literally every trans woman and like trans person. I can, I can do it. Like, please give me your billions of dollars so I can, I can achieve this goal. But like, we're talking about, you know, like, like the pension fund of California. We're talking about mega corporations, insurance companies, the kinds of things that could actually buy these. Like, you know. Now this is where we get to one of the other problems, which is that these things are not insured. So.
Molly Conger
Yeah.
Mia Wong
What do you do do in order to try to make it less risky? What do you get if you can't pay the loan back? And this is what's called collateral.
Molly Conger
I don't know. Swift punch in the nuts. Oh, no.
Mia Wong
They take your house, right? Yeah, that's supposed to be the thing. So. Okay, the way that, like, shadow banking loans tend to work is that they. They have collateral, right? So you. You give them something or. Or it's either you give them something directly or you promise to give. It's like if you promise to give them the thing. Yeah. And giving it to them directly is like a repo market thing. We're not really going to get into those right now, but this does. That's like. That's also a kind of shadow bank. But there's a problem, right? Which is what if the thing that you're paying, you're paying as collateral? Like, what if your house becomes worthless? And what if. What if, Molly?
Molly Conger
Then it's completely uninsured and there's no way to fix it because I don't
Mia Wong
even have anything to give now, Molly, what if, and this is purely hypothetical, it could never happen in the real world, Molly. But what if somehow someone. Someone decided to use the same house as collateral for multiple different securities?
Molly Conger
Well, that could never go wrong.
Mia Wong
What if, Molly, they made a word for this. That is so complicated. I am not going to attempt to read it on the show. What if, Molly?
Molly Conger
What is it in German or something?
Mia Wong
No, it's like this. Just like this.
Molly Conger
It's like the.
Mia Wong
It's like the length of my head. It's like hyper. Hyper something bullshit. Like, like. I refuse to say it because it is just like a completely, like, finance ghoul bullshit term they made up.
Molly Conger
So. But the point of. The point of collateral is that you can use it to pay off the loan if you default on the loan. And so that literally won't work more than once, because once I eat the burger. Once I eat the burger, it's gone. Yep.
Mia Wong
And this is one of the things that happened in 2008.
Molly Conger
I can't prom. I can't promise 10 guys my burger.
Mia Wong
Now, Molly, here's the amazing thing here, right? Because the advantage for these companies, right, Is like, if you're the bank that has the mortgage, suddenly you can spin your mortgage off into, like, multiple securities that you can sell, right.
Molly Conger
It's worth 10 times more. And that's great for you.
Podcast Announcer
Yes.
Mia Wong
And, comma.
Molly Conger
We.
Mia Wong
We haven't even. Again, I just. I just described a system where these people are promising the same house to multiple people. This isn't even the extremely unfathomably reckless and greedy shit.
Molly Conger
No, it is.
Mia Wong
Oh, it is, but it's not the worst of it.
Molly Conger
Oh, good. Betrayal Weekly is back with brand new stories from threatening text messages disturbing a small Midwestern town.
Podcast Announcer
It was from an unknown number. Who else is getting these messages? Why did it start with us?
Molly Conger
To long cons and stolen identities.
Mia Wong
Who lies about being this sick? This was the last time I ever believed a word she said.
Molly Conger
New voices, each with the courage to tell their own story. He said, I have been kidnapped.
Podcast Announcer
Okay, just try and act normal.
Mia Wong
He was essentially on the run.
Podcast Announcer
Every family has secrets.
Molly Conger
The rug had been pulled from underneath me.
Podcast Announcer
Oh, my God.
Molly Conger
It was right in front of my
Podcast Announcer
face, and I didn't even see it.
Molly Conger
Listen to Betrayal Weekly on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Emily Oster. I'm an economist and data expert.
Mia Wong
And I'm Perry Wilson. I'm a medical doctor.
Molly Conger
And this is our new podcast, Wellness, actually.
Mia Wong
Because you're getting a staggering amount of health and wellness information nowadays, and some
Podcast Announcer
of it is awesome, and some of
Molly Conger
it is, well, actually.
Podcast Announcer
Bull.
Molly Conger
Fortunately, we're both people who know how to read studies, parse data, and can tell you what's worth trying out and what you can safely ignore.
Mia Wong
Each episode, we tackle the health news of the week and then take a deeper dive into a misunderstood health and wellness topic.
Molly Conger
Like what's the deal with peptides?
Mia Wong
What's the deal with GLP1s?
Molly Conger
What's the deal with creatine?
Mia Wong
What's the deal with cupping?
Molly Conger
What's the deal with sleep?
Mia Wong
So join us for a weekly dose of sanity. Might actually be just what the doctor
Molly Conger
or the economist ordered.
Mia Wong
Listen to wellness, actually on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Podcast Announcer
Bill, why is my eye twitching? Does this mean I'm in perimenopause? Maybe I have adult adhd. I need to look this up. Where's my phone?
Mia Wong
Juliana, your phone is hot to the touch. I think it's asking you for a break.
Podcast Announcer
You know what? Maybe I should just ask ChatGPT.
Mia Wong
Or maybe we can ask an actual human.
Podcast Announcer
Yes, like a couple sex therapist.
Mia Wong
Whoa, that escalated quickly.
Podcast Announcer
But okay, because I have questions.
Mia Wong
We have questions.
Podcast Announcer
And I bet. But everyone has questions. Like, is it normal to sleep in separate bedrooms? We do that.
Mia Wong
How about this one? Is bribing your kids bad parenting or just negotiating?
Podcast Announcer
Oh, and I still do need to know, why was my poop green that one time?
Mia Wong
Hypothetically.
Molly Conger
Right.
Mia Wong
Okay. Well, instead of letting the Internet guess we've Got actual people answering these exact
Podcast Announcer
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Mia Wong
Listen to Bill and Juliana, the podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to your podcasts.
Molly Conger
From daily news to dating fails conspiracy
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Molly Conger
Amazon Music's got the most ad free top podcasts ready to entertain included with Prime.
Mia Wong
Okay, so do you remember that quote from when I was giving the first definition of shadow banking? Right. Like I gave, I gave, I gave this quote from the guy who invented the term where he called it quote, the whole Alphabet soup of leveraged up investment conduits, vehicles and structures.
Molly Conger
Right.
Mia Wong
So we've kind of talked about the conduits, vehicles and structures. Right. Those are all of the shadow banks that like make the things. Right.
Molly Conger
I love the conduits, vehicles and structures. Yeah, all the acronyms.
Mia Wong
But what does leveraged up mean? Oh, now, okay, in this case, it means that a bunch of these banks have taken out a shit ton of like risky high interest loans in order to buy more of these fucking mortgages because they think they can make more money off of it.
Molly Conger
So they took out, they took out loans to buy these unsecured securities.
Mia Wong
The regular ass banks were doing this. Yeah, they, they went into debt to buy more of these shitty mortgages, so
Molly Conger
they took out loans to buy what are essentially unsecured loans.
Mia Wong
Yep. Because I thought it would make them
Molly Conger
more money, but there's no money involved.
Mia Wong
Oh, oh, hypothetical money. It is about to get so much worse. Right. So I, I, okay, so sticking with leveraging for a second, Right. You might have actually heard of something called a leveraged buyout.
Molly Conger
I have heard those words. And then I stopped listening.
Mia Wong
Yeah. So here's the thing. Leveraged buyouts are something that actually happens in the real world that does fuck you directly, which is a whole bunch of companies that used to be like normalized companies, like died because venture capital firms, who by the way are also shadow banks.
Molly Conger
Oh.
Mia Wong
Did this. Right. They came in, technically speaking, they did it through like risky bond purchases, but basically they did a bunch of high interest loans and then they go buy a company and then they like strip it for parts and then they try to raise the stock price of the company. Yeah. And then they strip for parts, sell everything and, and get out. Right. That's what a leveraged buyout is. These people are sort of are doing kind of a version of that, but like they're, they're taking on this debt in order to, like, buy fucking shitty underwater mortgages because they look like they're making so much money, they're taking on
Molly Conger
real debt to buy hypothetical debt.
Mia Wong
Huh? Oh, it's about to get so much worse.
Molly Conger
That doesn't seem like a good idea.
Mia Wong
It's about to get so much worse. So that's what, like the leveraged part of that.
Molly Conger
I don't even know how you do that in burgers.
Mia Wong
I. I don't know. You're. You're. You're going into debt to, like, buy the promise of burgers in the future so you can sell those future burgers.
Molly Conger
Yeah, but burgers are real. The thing. We're not talking about a real thing at all.
Mia Wong
Well, technically. Technically speaking, somewhere at the bottom of this is mortgages. However, comma, we're about to get into a kind of asset where there isn't anything behind it. And this is where the really, really, truly unhinged shit starts. It hasn't yet, which is that these companies figured out a way to bet on whether these mortgages were going to fail or not.
Molly Conger
That's so tight, Mia. I fucking love that. Yeah, I love it. Yes.
Mia Wong
Yep.
Molly Conger
Yeah.
Mia Wong
By the way, I can't emphasize enough how unhinged this is. The mechanism they're using to do this is called a credit default swap.
Molly Conger
Oh, I've heard that phrase.
Mia Wong
This was supposed to be how they did insurance. Their mechanism for doing insurance on all of these insane loans they were doing was originally like, okay, I'm going to. You're. I don't know. So you have a bank. Right. The bank has given out a risky loan. So this bank goes to another bank.
Molly Conger
They shouldn't do that.
Mia Wong
And they say, hey, if this person actually pays a loan back, I will pay you money.
Molly Conger
Okay. So the other. So the other bank is, like, taking a gamble here.
Mia Wong
Yeah. So the other bank that's giving out the loan. Right. Gets money if the loan goes under. So in theory, they're sort of, like, insured against the risk. They call it, like, hedging. They're like. So, like, like. So theoretically, it's less bad for them because now, even if the loan goes under, they still get money back from that other bank.
Molly Conger
So the other bank is just a bookie.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And the other bank is betting that they are going to get it. So then. And if the loan does get paid, then that bank makes money.
Molly Conger
And this is legal for everyone to do?
Mia Wong
Yep.
Molly Conger
This is real banking or shadow bank. This is real bank.
Mia Wong
No, this is technically. Actually, no. This. This Is actually both. Both of you do this. Technically speaking, the instrument, like, like the actual like credit default swap or whatever is made by the shadow banks, but then they're brought by the regular banks.
Molly Conger
I'm starting to think that the banks are to the shadow banks and that all of this is just fake and bad.
Mia Wong
Like, so here's the thing, here's the. The thing about these systems, right, Is that like a lot of the original literature on it was considering them separate. But no, like the regular banks are making their own shadow banks do these things. They're all involved in these assets. They're also investing in the shadow banks, which is the problem we're having right now.
Molly Conger
Right. It's like, it's the same guy. He just like turns his chair around at his desk and he's like, now I'm shadow bank Todd.
Mia Wong
Yep. Well, and sometimes it's that some, sometimes there legitimately is just other entities they work with.
Molly Conger
But yeah, but there's still, it's still the bank engaging. So it's like, oh, these are non banking practices. Yeah, but the bank is doing it.
Mia Wong
Well, but here's the thing, the important part for that though is that like the non bank also can do this with other non banks.
Molly Conger
Even better even.
Mia Wong
Yeah, right. I just feel like.
Molly Conger
I just feel like once, once we're talking about shadow banking, like the real bank should not be in the room. Like, go home, Wells Fargo, you don't belong here. You're drunk.
Mia Wong
No, but like they're funding all of this, right?
Molly Conger
Like if the real bank is involved with the shadow banking, that means like, I can't opt out of being involved in this because they have my money.
Mia Wong
Yeah, you know, we were talking about that at the top that like, like, so some of these like fanc banks had to like stop their withdrawals. Oh, yeah. One of those, by the way, was J.P. morgan.
Molly Conger
But that's a real bank.
Mia Wong
Yep, they were involved in the shadow banking shit. So they are exposed to when they're like fucking $700 million loan to like a fucking. Actually, which one was the $700 million? I think a $700 million loan that went under was the one that was to a subprime auto loan company.
Molly Conger
That's a bad investment.
Mia Wong
It's like, oh yeah, it's so evil. It's so evil.
Molly Conger
Why am I trusting all of my money that I have in this world? I'm letting guy hold on to it, who's obviously not good with money.
Mia Wong
Well, because the FDIC is insuring it. Why are you in charge of it.
Molly Conger
Why are you in charge of having the money? You obviously don't make great financial decisions because you invested $700 million in subprime auto loans.
Mia Wong
So, Molly, this is the point where we need to bring debt the first 5,000 years back into this and emphasize the extent to which the financial class has always been deeply connected to the military and why it's always been deeply connected to war financing.
Molly Conger
I'm starting to realize that this is all very bad.
Mia Wong
It's very bad. It's all very bad. And this is. This is to some extent why? Right. Like, part. Part of what? Right wing conspiracism about the financial system is. Is that, like, these people are like. Like the right wingers. Like, these people are. There's like a baseline level of anti Semitism, like in the U.S. right. Because it is a. Is a Christian society that is just like one. What fucking happens there. And these people are like, okay, we can channel all of the anger at, like, oh, my God, my fucking house got stolen by the bank. Because. Because they were betting on the mortgage to fail.
Molly Conger
And I still understand why that's legal.
Mia Wong
Yeah, well, all these right wing conspiracies do is they look at that shit and they go, oh, well, it was the Jews. And it's like. But no, like, fuck off. Like, these are all.
Molly Conger
No, it was the bag.
Podcast Announcer
Yeah.
Mia Wong
And the other thing, and this is actually a really important thing that's not well understood here, is that like. Like the actual people who run these fucking banks, the people who work at them are all fucking white Christian dipshits. This is like a real. A really, like, persistent issue that everyone fucking has, which is that, like, one of the great successes of anti Semitism was, like, creating the image of the banker as a Jewish person. And no, they're not the bank. Like, I fucking went to school with these people. They're all a bunch of fucking white frat bros. They're fucking white Christian frat bros. Oh, right. You, University of Chicago, you have a
Molly Conger
degree in economics from the University of Chicago.
Mia Wong
Not from economics. I have an anthropology degree, thank you very much. I took a. Not a fucking fake degree. Like, the stupid econ bullshit I say,
Molly Conger
that's actually so evil to study economics in Chicago. You probably met some of the most evil people on.
Mia Wong
I was just, like, in a dorm with them.
Molly Conger
Okay.
Mia Wong
So.
Molly Conger
But you saw that I know all these people.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And, like, it is not. It is not a bunch of Jewish people. It's a. It's a bunch of Christian frat bros. Like that's like the thing that's actually going on. There's actually a whole one day I will write the behind the Bastards episode about leverage buyouts and about how like there was like a Jewish guy who kind of like, like did a lot of the inventing stuff. But him breaking into the banking thing was like a whole thing because there was so much anti Semitism because all of the banking sector was run by all of the like weird dip, like CIA, like, like wasp.
Molly Conger
I mean the Mormons have a huge hedge fund.
Mia Wong
Yep, yep, yep, yep, yep.
Molly Conger
Yeah. So like the. What is it? I read an article about it. The hedge fund that the Mormons operate like, like they have their like best and brightest finance bros. Like, you know, Mormons do their two year mission. If you're really good at finance your mission, you don't have to go to South America and like tell people about the Book of Mormon. You can work at the hedge fund as your mission.
Mia Wong
It's, it's a nightmare.
Molly Conger
I'm doing hedge funds for God.
Mia Wong
Yep. That's a stats of shadow bank, by the way.
Molly Conger
Yep.
Mia Wong
It's great. So, okay, okay, coming back to this again, right, so we're talking about like what, what causes 2008 and how do these shadow banks like do this? And the answer is that they've turned all of these mortgages into these like fake securities. They can, they can trade, right? They package them all together and they find out something really crucial, which is that if they throw a bunch of loans that they obviously know are going to fail together and send them to a regulatory agency. And by the way, all of these like bonds that they're issuing have like grades based on supposedly like how safe they are. And they figure out.
Molly Conger
I know about that.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And they figure out that they can send a bunch of really shitty bonds, but if they package enough shitty bonds together, they could send them to the regulators and the regulators would have, would evaluate some of them as being good. And then you could sell the good ones to your pension fund because they thought it was a good bond and it made money.
Molly Conger
That's just lying.
Mia Wong
And then, and then. Yes and yes. And then, and then behind the scenes, right? All of these fucking companies, all these shadow banks, all the regular banks, they're all doing these, they're all doing these credit default swaps, right? So they're all betting on which ones of these are going to fail.
Molly Conger
I'm putting all of these boys in timeout. Like I'm gonna put them in the bottom of a pit.
Mia Wong
That's so evil. And they start doing these, making these, like, even more complicated instruments, right? Where. Now what they're. What they're selling to you isn't just the package of mortgages. They're also selling you the credit default swaps with the loan. So theoretically, what's happening is, like, they've created an instrument that regardless of what happens to the loan, you make money.
Molly Conger
That's not how anything works.
Mia Wong
No, it's. It's bullshit. It's so obviously bullshit.
Molly Conger
I made up this fake thing where no matter what happens, I get rich. That's cool. I would love to do that.
Mia Wong
Yeah. And nobody was like, wait, Well, I mean, a couple some people were, but like. Like, people didn't just be like, wait, hold on.
Molly Conger
No.
Mia Wong
Obviously you can't make an asset that makes money regardless of whether the thing fails or not.
Molly Conger
I invented a money machine.
Mia Wong
Like, that's fucking ridiculous. And then eventually, yeah, it was like, no, they ran out of fucking mortgages. You know, one of the ways that the blame for this was deflected onto regular people was that they blamed the banks or, like, they blamed regular people for, like, not being able to pay the mortgages. But the thing is, by the time you get to the point where you're, like, packaging all the. You're betting on the mortgages, right? If you're a bank, even if you're the regular bank, you don't make money off of, like, someone paying their mortgage back. You make money on betting on the mortgages. So you're incentivized to just keep giving out loans. You know, won't happen, because you can sell those loans off of some other dipshit and then you. And then you can bet on those loans that they're going to fail, and you can make money. And that's how you make your money,
Molly Conger
because you're not a bank anymore. You're a bookie who's cheating.
Mia Wong
Yep.
Molly Conger
I don't think that's good, Mia.
Mia Wong
No. This was the entire fucking financial system, and we just let these people stay in power.
Molly Conger
And I'm just supposed to just continue living my life like this?
Mia Wong
I don't know. Looking at this and then learning that all of these people got fucking bailed out by the government and none of them went to prison.
Molly Conger
And do they know they're cheating liars who are faking and making it up? Or are they, like, so high on their own supply, they're like. They're like, no, bro. No, bro, this is totally gonna work. It's totally gonna work.
Mia Wong
Well, here's the thing. Some of them know and some of them don't because some of them believe
Molly Conger
that this is cool.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Like, some of them legitimately thought that this was just going to work forever.
Molly Conger
Like, do they believe they're negative money backed by other fake money backed by the idea of promises of fake money? They think that's money.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Yep. Well, that was gonna work.
Molly Conger
It's not.
Mia Wong
It's not. Nope. And it turned out to not be any fucking money. And it blew up again. Like entire countries, countries were buying these. They went bankrupt.
Molly Conger
So, like, this is less real than a bored ape. Nft. And that's really saying something.
Mia Wong
It's.
Molly Conger
It's astonishing because at least the, at least I can look. At least I can look at the picture of the monkey. I can't look at this.
Mia Wong
No. Like, it, like you can't look at the bet you're making on whether, on whether monkey go down.
Molly Conger
Like, it's like, like, like all, all my apes gone.
Mia Wong
Yeah. But it's depressing because the entire world is just this now. It's the shit the banks were doing where you're betting on whether the mortgage is going to fail, but now it's. You're betting on whether, like, what day we're going to drop a bomb on Iran.
Molly Conger
Like, nothing is real and everything is gambling.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Yeah. And this is, you know what, what, what I would call a sort of terminal crisis stage of capitalism where, like,
Molly Conger
because everything is so divorced from any material reality, from any good or service,
Mia Wong
like there is a limit to which you can run an entire economy that is purely based on gambling. Like, they're just. There's a limit and we're going to hit it really soon.
Molly Conger
That's got, that's gonna break, right?
Mia Wong
Yeah, yeah, it's going to break. It's gonna break spectacularly. However, comma, I do have good news for you.
Molly Conger
No, you don't.
Mia Wong
I do. I have good news. You now actually understand what non bank financial intermediation is.
Molly Conger
No, I don't.
Mia Wong
I'm going to walk you through it. You actually do. So I'm going to quote the IMF's definition of non bank financial intermediation. All entities outside the regulated banking system that perform the core banking functions, credit intermediation, that is taking money from savers and lending it to borrowers. The four key aspects of intermediation are maturity, transformation. We know this one.
Molly Conger
Right.
Mia Wong
This is what the bank does.
Molly Conger
The loan gets older.
Mia Wong
Yeah, yeah.
Molly Conger
And it gets paid back over time.
Mia Wong
Yeah. Well, it's. You turn your short term thing into a long term investment or you do the opposite.
Molly Conger
Opposite's not good.
Mia Wong
They're both kind of a disaster. But like. Yeah, yeah. The opposite is kind of how we got into this mess. There's liquidity transformation, which we know this too.
Molly Conger
It's turn turning money into a thing that's not money.
Mia Wong
Yeah, yeah. Or turning not money into thing you can buy burger with.
Molly Conger
Okay, yeah.
Mia Wong
We got this leverage. We also know this, which is you go into a bunch of debt to buy something else. And then there's credit risk transfer, which we know that one too. It's the betting market where you're supposedly swapping the risk by. But both of you two are now betting on whether this thing is going to fail.
Molly Conger
So it sounds like even just like regular banking is kind of just gambling now.
Mia Wong
Yep, yep, yep. Well, and it's fun too. So this is the thing that used to be talked about more and isn't now. But like most of like, like the world's corporations are also basically this now. Like, and this has been a thing for a while. But it's like the auto manufacturers don't make their money off of cars. I mean they sort of do they make some money off cars or like most of what they make their money off of is like the Ford finance company, which is like the auto loans thing.
Molly Conger
Oh.
Mia Wong
And then the, the auto loans thing trades a bunch of like, does all of this other financial bullshit to make money.
Molly Conger
So like I don't think that's a good idea.
Mia Wong
That's, that's what capitalism is.
Molly Conger
So everything, everything is fully reliant on
Mia Wong
this like stupid gambling bullshit.
Molly Conger
Emperors wearing no clothes, economy.
Mia Wong
Yep.
Molly Conger
And if anybody, if anybody points out that none of this is connected to a material reality, everything falls apart.
Mia Wong
Well, here's the thing. The thing that stops everything from falling apart is that the one thing you can do with your money is turn it into guns.
Molly Conger
Now I'm listening.
Mia Wong
And that's what stops it falling apart. Right.
Molly Conger
Because now I'm listening.
Mia Wong
And this is also a sort of graverism. But it's like behind every like bank is a man with a gun. Because the, the, the reason that this money is even sort of real is that the bank can like you. Like the police will come get you. Right. Like men with guns will appear and like coerce you to pay. Right.
Molly Conger
But what if, what if instead of burger we bought gun?
Mia Wong
You know, like this is what is broadly referred to as the social revolution. It is broadly considered a negative by the financial sector. It is Broadly considered a positive by everyone. The fuck else. That's not true. It's not considered a positive by, like, I guess, the people who own regular businesses. And this is like the shit that, like, you know, it was kind of less unhinged back then. But, like, if you go read the people who were, like, doing this shit in, like, the early 1900s, if you read their writing, it's all them being like, oh, yeah, no, by the way, like, a bunch of banks just, like, turned the entire Ottoman Empire into, like, a debt peon. And now their entire economy is just dedicated to paying off these fucking loans. And this is, like, hideously fucking evil. Like, they're. They're all complaining about the same shit.
Molly Conger
And the important lesson we learned from that, the important lesson we learned from that was to do it more. More.
Mia Wong
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Molly Conger
To invent increasingly more complicated ways of doing that.
Mia Wong
Yep. And like this. This is. This is why the term Third World is a slur. Because instead of being a political movement, because those. The countries in the political movement that was called the Third World movement, all of their economies got annihilated because they had these, like, loans whose interest rate could change. And the US Jacked up all the interest rates, and so suddenly their loans were like, like, the amount you had to, like, pay on the loans, it went from like 20% or something to like 50 or 100 or some shit. And, you know, and like. And these countries have never recovered. Like, Nigeria has never really economically recovered from the shit that happened to them. This. This is why a whole bunch of Latin America is like this too. Like. Like why there's so much sort of, like, riding systemic poverty is that their economies were entirely transformed into machines to, like, pay back these fucking debts taken out by these dictators. This is the whole fucking economy now. And, you know, there's other shadow banks that do other kind of completely unhinged shit. Right. And I've been focusing this week on, like, specifically the kind that blew up the economy in 2008. But there's another kind that's like, blowing up the economy right now, which is called private credit, which is. I mentioned this briefly earlier, but private credit is when these, like, unregulated companies that are not banks give out unregulated loans with unknown terms to other companies, and then those loans go to shit. And there's a whole bunch of ways that can blow up, including, by the way, these companies are funding a bunch of the AI bubble.
Molly Conger
Oh, and that's a great investment.
Mia Wong
It's great.
Molly Conger
You know, because much, much like a mortgage, there's a, a real physical thing like a house involved, right? It's not just vibes.
Mia Wong
Oh yeah. Oh, Molly, Molly. They, those motherfuckers. I'm going to talk about this a bit. I might have Ed Detron on for this part of it too. Just because like Ed does this all the time. But like those out there selling securities that are backed by fucking graphics cards. Like at least the more. I can't believe I'm fucking saying this, but like, like at least the mortgage back securities. Like there was a house you could steal to get your money back. Graphics cards.
Molly Conger
All my, all my apes are gone.
Mia Wong
My graphics gone.
Molly Conger
All my apes are gone.
Mia Wong
Like there's other ones that I like. It's, it's so bad. It's just. Oh, but that, that, that's for another time because it is late as. And we are out of here. Molly, thank you. Thank you for sitting and enduring an hour of, of you knowing what a shadow bank is now.
Molly Conger
I almost know what a bank is. I'm still working on the rest of it, but I think I'm getting closer.
Mia Wong
I, I believe in you. I, I, I think we've made real progress today. I, I don't know. Now, now, now you can kind of understand what's going on. When this sector explodes again in like
Molly Conger
two weeks, you'll have to explain it to me again.
Mia Wong
Then I will be happy to. It could happen. Here is a production of Cool Zone Media. For more podcasts from Cool Zone Media,
Molly Conger
Visit our website, coolzonemedia.com or check us out on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,
Mia Wong
or wherever you listen to podcasts you
Molly Conger
can now find sources for. It could happen here listed directly in episode descriptions. Thanks for listening.
Podcast Announcer
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
It Could Happen Here — CZM Rewind: Shadow Banking: The Once and Future Economic Apocalypse
Release Date: July 22, 2026
Host: Mia Wong
Guest: Molly Conger
This episode explores the murky, complex world of "shadow banking"—a term for the web of non-bank financial actors and practices that operate parallel to, and often intertwine with, traditional banking. With Molly Conger playing the curious (and often outraged) foil, host Mia Wong breaks down what shadow banking is, why it matters, how it contributed to the 2008 economic collapse, and why its expansion signals ongoing dangers in the global financial system. The tone is irreverent, accessible, and often darkly funny, with an emphasis on making intimidating financial concepts understandable to non-experts.
[04:37 – 07:44]
“It's something that does banking stuff that is legally not a bank.” (Mia Wong, [06:18])
[11:45 – 13:00]
“That's almost three times our GDP.” (Molly Conger, [12:53])
“That's a fake amount of money.” (Molly Conger, [12:56])
[14:00 – 15:14]
“They're doing fucking betting markets with the entire world economy.” (Mia Wong, [14:08])
[17:41 – 41:07]
“Shadow banking boldly asked the question, okay, but what if you did all of the banking backwards?” (Mia Wong, [23:28])
[35:32 – 44:38]
“What if somehow someone decided to use the same house as collateral for multiple different securities?” (Mia Wong, [45:16]) “Well, that could never go wrong.” (Molly Conger, [45:18])
[50:02 – 55:00]
“These companies figured out a way to bet on whether these mortgages were going to fail or not.” (Mia Wong, [53:02]) “That's so tight, Mia. I fucking love that.” (Molly Conger, [53:02]) [sarcastic]
[57:15 – 59:49]
[63:30 – 67:38]
“Nothing is real and everything is gambling.” (Molly Conger, [63:27]) “There is a limit to which you can run an entire economy that is purely based on gambling…we're going to hit it really soon.” (Mia Wong, [63:42])
“Behind every bank is a man with a gun.” (Mia Wong, [66:31])
[67:50 – 69:14]
Mia Wong and Molly Conger lay bare how the “shadow banking” world operates: an unregulated, labyrinthine tangle of entities and deals that dwarfs the regulated banking sector, depends on stacking promise on top of promise, and is fueled by a mix of greed, recklessness, and government complicity. This house of cards has already toppled economies, continues to grow, and is as vulnerable—if not more so—than ever. Ordinary people have little recourse except an awareness of how the game is played, the knowledge that their fates are often determined by invisible financial gambles, and the sobering insight that the ultimate backstop for all these fictions is force, not ethics.
For further listening, future episodes promise a dive into the private credit bubble and the AI finance mania—today's latest, greatest shadow bank schemes.