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It's Wednesday, October 22nd and we are here chatting with you about whatever it is is on your mind and it shouldn't be anything that is too big, too small, too anything. There's no judgment here. So anything that touches money and your life and the intersection of those two things, get in touch with us. We're happy to help you out. Go to jillonmoney.com, click the contact Us button. Write us a note if you would like to join us on the air live. Check the box. Mark will do everything else while you're on the website. You can check out all the cool content that lives there. We've got a free weekly newsletter. When you subscribe to that, you will automatically get my blog post which is now running it once a week. Maybe it's twice a week. It depends how I'm feeling and you'll see all the other content that lives there. Okay, now it is time to do an email show. We've got a lot of emails piling up, so I'm already nervous about this particular subject from Nathan, whose subject is Sequence of Return Risk. All right, can I stop now? Mark? This is already feeling like. This already feels like work to me. Hello Jill and Mark. I recently retired actually two years ago when my job was becoming less fun and more stressful. I had not done extensive research on the fiscal aspects of retirement during my work. Years after retirement I started reading what I could. I listened to others and their experiences and I began listening to podcasts where I stumbled upon your YouTube channel. Your daily shows are entertaining and enlightening. Oh Mark, that's so nice. I quickly learned that my wife and I are doing well financially with a healthy retirement account, brokerage account and pension. We have not yet started Social Security sequence of return risk still concerns me. I have heard this is financially risky in early retirement. Okay, can I just tell people what this means? It means that returns are not smooth pathways. You know, one year it's up, one year it's down. And the problem is if you retire early and you happen to retire into a bunch of years where returns are not great, if you, it can really impact you over the longer term. It can. Okay, so the question from Nathan is how long should I worry about the potential risk since I've just retired a few years or more? Can you quantify this time horizon? Thanks for any insight on my question, Nathan. Let me get to his PS in a second. So listen, I know that this can be one of those things that keeps people up at night. This would not keep me up at night. What I would be looking at is how would your portfolio perform just assuming a lower rate of return over a multiple series of years? I don't think that you really need to worry about lower than expected returns for 40 years of your retirement or 30 years of your retirement. I just don't. But I do think it would be interesting for you to see what would happen if like in a given year, let's say the market went down by 20% and it stayed down there for two years and then started to rebuild from there. What would happen to you emotionally is probably more important than financially. And if you're really freaked out about this, you can keep some extra cash on the sidelines just in case. That's one of the reasons why we suggest that you have one to two years of your living expenses in cash as soon as you retire. Because you don't want to be worrying about lower than expected returns. And I guess that, you know, the funny thing about having this sequence of return risk pop up at retirement is you've already had the benefit of all the great returns over the last 25 years as an investor. So I don't know. I really wouldn't worry about this. If it's really freaking you out, you can go to a fee only planner and have them game out all the different scenarios. But I wouldn't worry too much about it. The PS from Nathan was. How was the bike ride? He's an avid bike rider. It was great. I rode all 275 miles, three days. It was amazing and people were incredible and they supported me. And thank you very much.
