Transcript
Josh Pate (0:00)
This is an iHeart podcast.
Odoo Advertiser (0:02)
Guaranteed Human.
Coca Cola Advertiser (0:05)
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Josh Pate (0:07)
All.
Coca Cola Advertiser (0:07)
This is that classic HBCU vibe. Non stop action. The band is rockin and the crowd lit. Chance, echo drum beatin. Everybody showing that school pride. Game like this. Yeah, it calls for an ice cold Coca Cola. Ah, crisp and refreshing. That's a game changer right there. Yeah, that taste always hits the right note. Just like the band at halftime. And just like that, we're back at it. Passionate fans, school colors everywhere. And in ice cold Coca Cola. That's a winning combo. No matter the sport, no matter the yard. Everybody knows fan work is thirsty work. So grab a Coca Cola and keep that HBCU pride going.
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Odoo Advertiser (1:22)
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Josh Pate (2:09)
So for a long time we had to fight the clickbait paid allegations and we fought them off successfully. Just when I thought we were in the clear, they threw a new label at us, as this society is prone to do. And they are now calling us engagement farmers. I'm not saying we are, but if we were to lean into engagement farming, the crops have been pretty, pretty bountiful this year. It's been a pretty good Yield. We're Tuesday, December 16th, year of our Lord 2025. Jam packed high atop a wonderful downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Are we kidding? Of course. But people who believe it deserve to be toyed with. So we are going to Engagement Farm, which is code for put together a really substantive show tonight. And I'll tell you what I mean by all that. But not before I give you my final playoff bracket. And it pains me because I've had to make some last minute switches, which I'm legally allowed to do, but it pains me nonetheless. We've got the latest on the Michigan coaching search. Yes, friends, that's still going on. And yes, there's some bad information out there and yes, we will do all we can to set people on the correct path of thinking with the Michigan coaching search tonight. There is a wide ranging mailbag on my computer screen here right now. We've never nicknamed the laptop. Hi, Josh is over here. But we never nicknamed the laptop but it's got a wide open mailbag. We had a lot of different stuff. Somebody wanted me to get into the whole Joel Klatt College Football Playoff compared to Cinderella's in the NCAA tournament take whatever that acronym is. And I am not usually one to talk about other people's content on the show, but I've got to be honest with you, I couldn't help it. It was like catnip for humans. So I will dissect friend of the program Joel Klatt's take. And boy, was it a take by his own admission, a hot take. So we're gonna do all that and more. It's a jam packed show. They're watching us in Breckenridge, Colorado. Beautiful this time of year. Friendswood, Texas. Lacey, Washington, Homewood, Alabama. I'm halfway sure Kublick hails from Homewood, Alabama. Do me a favor, very quick favor, free favor, no obligation favor. Just subscribe to the channel if you're on YouTube. If you're on podcast, just click follow, which is the. It's the subscriptions close personal cousin. But subscribe to the YouTube channel so that one day we can celebrate 1 million on here as we still workshop how we should celebrate the 500,000 plateau that we just reached. Look, I would beat around the bush, but why not just dive right into it? The College Football Playoff begins this Friday. I know because we will be in Norman, Oklahoma. And then it continues the next day. And I know because we will also be in College Station, Texas. But that's not what I wanted to do. I didn't want to come here and brag about the fact that we have a dream job and we get to go to all these playoff games. Although we do. What I wanted to do is tell you that on this piece of paper that I hold in my hand, actually, it's two pieces of paper. These two pieces of paper that I hold in my hand. I, I have finished my College Football Playoff bracket. Side note, I have still not gotten used to using the word bracket for football. Maybe I never will. And as Joel Klatt has made mention of earlier this week, I don't think we really Want to delve into the whole college basketball mixing with college football angle or do we? So I've got the way I think the playoffs going to go. How about that? Look at this mess. Jesse, I'm not used to holding two papers out here at one time. So as you may know if you watch the show. A few weeks ago I did kind of like a semifinal version of my playoff predictions and I had Alabama versus Oregon. Actually, that was several weeks ago. Then Bama started to wane. Wane Wayne. And then I held on because I wanted to be loyal. And that was my preseason national championship pick. And it's just not a good look to bail at the 11th hour. However, I've never cared how I look. I just want to be right. And most of all, I don't want to be criticized. Okay. If I can be right in the process, that's great. So I have stated my policy. It was going to take a lot to get me off Alabama. I. A lot has happened. Okay. So as we just start to get into the playoff prediction here, I just want you to keep that in mind. I'm trying to build a crash pad underneath for when I jump off the Alabama train here in just a second. My main goal here is to be right. That's what I'm trying to do. I know that. I know it would be. It would be cool if I put Tulane into the semifinals, but I don't think that's going to happen. Would it get engagement? Yes. Do I think it's going to happen? No. So here's what I think is going to happen. And let's take a look at what the odds are just as a reminder out there so we can use a scale of boldness. Ohio State's the favorite to win the whole thing. Indiana is second. Georgia's third. Oregon's fourth, which is interesting for reasons I'll get to in just a second. Now Texas Tech's fifth. All right. I was talking with Kubelik on his show this morning or yesterday morning about Texas Tech. Like there is a school of thought out there that they're fool's gold. There's another school of thought that, hey, that's the kind of team that has a talent roster that can compete with the big boys even though they're a Big 12 school. We will see. But notice. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. Bama's got the 8th best odds to win it all. Can I reasonably hold on to them even if they were my preseason national champion, Even if they were my midseason national Champion, Am I brave enough to hold on to them? And the answer, of course, is no, I am not brave enough to hold on to them. Which means huge breaking news. We should have built a banner. I will have a new champion hypothetically crowned here momentarily. Uh, so let's just dive into this. There's no easy way to do this. Let's rip the band aid off. I got a B12 shot this morning, so I really had to do that a little while ago. And it hurts, man. I'm on a three, three and a half on the pain scale right now, but no medication. I'm here because that's what the show means to me. That's what you guys mean to me. Here is what we have right now. This is a look at the bracket, and if you're listening on podcast and you're not driving, close your eyes and you can picture the bracket. We got Bama, Oklahoma. We got jmu, Oregon, Tulane, Ole Miss, Miami, Texas A and M. Now, I've already picked these games, which is kind of a little quasi spoiler alert, at least for the first round. I picked Oklahoma over Alabama. I have no real strong feel on that one. I just feel that either of them are likely to be eliminated in the next round. So it doesn't really keep me up late at night if Alabama wins that game. But that would be a Rose bowl quarterfinal matchup against Indiana. I am, of course, taking Oregon over jmu. I am taking Ole Miss over Tulane. I took Texas A and M over Miami. And even after that Tuesday night or Sunday night, I've gone back and forth a couple of times. It's just so easy to make the case for Miami. So, I mean, it's easy to make the case for Bama. Bama slightly favored over Oklahoma. So those top two games, yes, they could go either way. Like, I could go over two in those picks. But I do believe that in the quarterfinal matchups, they're unlikely to advance no matter who the winner is. But then again, that's why we play the games, because this is just paper. So in those quarterfinal matchups, let's just say them out loud here, we got Oklahoma against Indiana. That game would be in the Rose bowl in Pasadena. We've got Texas Tech against Oregon. And the only downside Oregon has, as far as I can tell with their draw, is they got to travel a long way. So Texas Tech and Oregon would be in Miami in the Orange Bowl. We've got A and M, Ohio State. Ohio State, for the second year in a row potentially here, has to travel To Arlington, Texas to face an in state team in the playoffs. Last year it was Texas. This year, hypothetically, it would be Texas A and M and then Georgia. Ole Miss is the Sugar Bowl. Georgia played Notre Dame in the Sugar bowl last year. They lost, but they played there last year. So I would have in order Indiana advancing over Oklahoma. I will take Oregon advancing over Texas Tech. Kublick has sold me on that one man. So it's on him if Texas Tech wins. All right, Joey McGuire and company. Hats off to you guys if you pull it off. It was Kubelik that led me astray on you guys and I want to emphasize it was Kubelik. If Texas Tech wins, if Oregon wins. I called that thing, I called it from a mile away. I've got Indiana, Oregon, I got Ohio State over Texas A and M and I have got Georgia over Ole Miss. That would be a rematch. Just Elaine Kiffin list Ole Miss. That was a close game in Athens. So that game would be played on a field turf surface down in New Orleans. But yeah, I'm going to take Georgia peeking at the right time. You know the whole drill there, your semifinal matchups. Look at what we already have in the whole Big Ten versus SEC conversation. We're down to one SEC team and we're down to three Big Ten teams. That would be a perfect microcosm of how this year looked to me. The very top of the Big Ten being better than the top of the sec, but the middle of the SEC being way better than the lower top and middle of the Big Ten. That is, if that's the case, how the Final Four should look. And that's exactly how I predict it to look. So Indiana versus Oregon would take place in the Peach bowl in Atlanta and Ohio State, Georgia would take place, I believe, in the Fiesta bowl out in the desert in Glendale, Arizona. All right. Indiana already went to Oregon this year and really handled Oregon. I am buying into the idea of Oregon peaking at the right time. I'm buying into the idea of a big time injury for Indiana costing them defensively while simultaneously Oregon is getting healthy. I'm buying into the notion that Oregon can peak at the right time. And I'm going to pick Oregon to win that game and advance to the national championship game against Ohio State. Ohio State beats Georgia in Fiesta bowl and that gives us an all Big Ten national championship game. And I have never felt like a bigger SEC homer than giving you an all Big Ten national championship game here. Maybe I'm just a shill for another conference all of a Sudden, I did have Oregon in the national title game at the middle point of the season. So I have held onto some germ of a sliver of my midseason national championship prediction, but really it's shot because I had my national champion eliminated in the first round. And at this point, we're just happy that Alabama made the playoff. Oregon, Ohio State, for all the college football marbles in Miami, Florida, like the back half of January, because that's inexplicably when we play the national championship game. All right, if Ohio State has made it this far, that clearly means Ohio State's playing a different brand of football than we saw against Indiana. The only team that we have seen defeat Ohio State this year was Indiana, and they're eliminated. And therefore it is Dan Lanning and company, Many of the company leaving Dan Lanning after the season, both of his coordinators gone, and they're playing Ohio State and Ohio State's watching Brian Hartline leave and go to usf. So I'm going to take Ohio State, I'll take Ryan Day to repeat. I'll take the Buckeyes to repeat. I just think they're the better team. And if they've made it that far, they've. They validated that they're clicking on all cylinders. And I think Ohio State at their best this year is better than anyone else at their best. So that's my new national championship bracket. And that's unfortunately, Slash, fortunately, the one I have to stick with. One of the things that I was just thinking about, Bradley, in fact, throw the bracket back up for a second. One of the things that I was thinking about that could really like fundamentally change the balance here. Okay, so the winner of that Alabama Oklahoma game, they're going to go to Pasadena, they're going to play Indiana. I was talking to fanduel the other day about what the hypothetical numbers on that game are going to be. And if it's Oklahoma as a big underdog against Indiana, that's not going to be the shock to the senses that it's going to be. If Alabama goes to that game. Indiana is going to be like a touchdown favorite in that game against Alabama. It was over eight last week. Theoretically, I think if Alabama wins a first round game, the public perception probably shifts that number more towards seven, seven and a half, something like that. But Indiana being a touchdown favorite on a neutral field against Alabama will be a shock to the senses just because of the logos, just nothing else other than college football history, what those logos mean, and one, being favored over the Other one, my point is whether it's OU or Alabama, if they beat Indiana, that's an upset that fundamentally changes the course of this bracket. And then the other one that draws my attention, probably draws my attention more than that is that Miami A and M game. Because no matter who wins that thing and advances, that is an extremely tough quarterfinal draw for Ohio State. And if it is A and M, they're playing them in Arlington. And what you always have to remember with those games is whoever, whoever you're facing, you're facing because they were good enough to win the first game. So. So they're going to think they're hot. They're going to think they figured things out. They're probably healthy because if they weren't somewhat healthy, they wouldn't have won the game to begin with. But that matchup right there, imagine one or both of those things happening. Imagine Indiana and, or Ohio State both being eliminated. And imagine you got like Alabama advancing to the semifinal against Oregon and you got like Miami advancing to the semifinal against Georgia or something like that. So Georgia's kind of like quietly sneaking around this thing we showed you. They had the fourth best odds to win it all. I think it's widely believed that they have the best chance of any SEC team. They just won the SEC championship. I would agree. They have the best chance of any SEC team. Just quarterback play. That's really what that's going to come down to. And lastly, I want to have this stated for the public record one more time. I think Oregon's going to handle jmu. I think Ole Miss will comfortably beat Tulane. There is a world, especially with the Tulane Ole Miss game, where you turn that thing on in the fourth quarter and it's a dogfight. And I don't think you need to be on the Internet if that game's close in the fourth quarter. You are not ready for the avalanche of stupidity that will be college football discourse. If either of these G5 teams is competitive in the fourth quarter with Oregon and or Ole Miss, you don't want to be a part of that. Some of the most bad faith arguments in the history of the sporting modern era will be on display. So I'm warning you now. I don't think it'll happen, but I'm warning you now. Okay, if that's a one possession game or worse, if Tulane is essay worse for my example, if Tulane's actually leading Ole Miss in the fourth quarter, get off the Internet. Unless you love chaos, in which case the Internet's right where you want to Be Quick Trip is where you want to be. You could be a fan of chaos or not. Quiktrips where you want to be. And I will just fill you in. I'll let you behind the curtain a little bit. I got a text from Kwiktrip Joe the other day, who sort of is our liaison at Quick Trip. Also good, close personal friend of the program. And there was nothing special about the day other than the fact that we woke up that morning. Every day is a blessing, of course. Qt Joe believes that. I believe that. Kwiktrip believes that. I don't even have to ask them for clearance to say that. But he texted me on a random morning and said, hey, good day to give away some free gas, don't you think? I said, okay. So I went on Twitter and I said, hey, quick trip. Joe just hit me up. He wants to give away some free gas. He speaks for the company, who needs gas? And a bunch of you replied, and Kwiktrip just gave away tank after tank after tank of free gas. That is the kind of partner that we like on the show. The kind of partner that looks at our audience and says, oh, you look like normal people. You probably drive vehicles, don't you? Those vehicles need gas, don't they? You normally have to pay your own money for the gas, don't you? Well, not today, thank you, Quick Trip. And in return for your free tank of gas, maybe march yourself right in there and pay a couple of bucks for cold brew on tap. It's worth it. Personally, I think they should charge more, but they're not in the business of ripping anyone off. So we appreciate Quick Trip.
