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We got a big one coming up. No immunity. It's just a big, big week here on the campus of Pate State. But tonight we're jam packed. We're high atop a stunning sunburnt downtown Nashvill, Tennessee. Sunday night, May 3rd, the year of our Lord 2026. You know what that means, Jesse? Actually you don't because there's Nothing special about May 3rd. But what it means for us this year tonight is we're doing Post Spring Top 25 Commissioners Poll. Yeah, not ratings rankings These are good old fashioned rankings. How do we feel you're going to start the year? How would we slot them? And by we I mean I, I'm putting my name on this. How would I slot them? Right now we got bold predictions on the show tonight. We've got the truth about Lane Kiffin which could be its own show, but it's just going to be a segment in our show. And I've got some more thoughts on Brendan Sworesby and the whole situation out at Texas Tech because we had a fair amount of feedback the other day. Not even a whole lot of negative feedback, just some, I don't know, some interesting feedback. People have different points of view on all this. So we got a jam packed show. They're watching us in Jacksonville, Florida for the first time ever. Pawtucket, Rhode island is checking in. I don't remember Rhode island viewership, which means we got some work to do in the Northeast. Marysville, Ohio, Round Rock, Texas. Wherever you are, watching, listening, make sure you are subscribed to the channel and it's free. We have not raised the price. It is $0 and $0 cents to subscribe. It's just nice and it helps us out. And like I said, big week coming up here on the channel, but big night too. Here we go. Let's dive in. Spring is over. I did a Pre spring top 25. It sounds only right that we do a Post Spring Top 25. We had some injuries, we learned some things. Then we got plenty more questions thrown in our face. So the Commissioner's poll is not a power rating. That's the JP poll. We do it way more towards the season. The Commissioner's poll is just straight up rankings. If I were an AP voter, this is how I would vote these teams right now. Given time over the summer, things could change, but probably not. So I wanted to go 25 to 1 as I see the country exiting spring and I'll go from 25 to one and I'm going to start with the fact that I will never leave Louisville and Jeff Braum out of the top 25. So Louisville and Jeff Brom sitting there at 25. Lincoln Kyinholz and Jeff Braum. That's really what I'm banking on there quarterback. If you believe in Jesse's words. If you believe the scuttlebutt from a couple of years ago. He took Julian say into the wire. He was fighting tooth and nail for that quarterback job at Ohio State. So Jeff Braum QB whisperer. Noted QB whisperer. Jeff Braum has him there. I have Got Washington at 24. Some roster churn is bad. I think the churn for the roster up there has ended up in a net positive situation for Washington. Jed Fish in year three. Damon Williams tried to escape, couldn't, and now he's going to make the most of Washington and sort of a second life type situation. Hey, whatever. I believe in him enough to have him preseason top 25 I got Missouri at 23 and this is where we call on friend of the program Eli Drinkwitz to just prove me right. He got Austin Simmons a year ago. Austin Simmons was good enough for Lane Kiffin to name him his starter at Ole Miss. We remember how that season went. He is now transferred to Missouri. Having him up there and having Ahmaud Hardy up there means you could have explosivity offensively. They have had a fair amount of attrition though, so that's where you're kind of walking a tightrope here with Missouri I feel properly slotted in the 20 to 25 range, but maybe with a little bit more variance in potential outcome this year than normal. Speaking of variance in outcome, there's virtually none at 22. Iowa just stays parked here. I wrote down it's Iowa. That's all I had to write now is Iowa. They're not ever going to bottom out until something drastic happens offensively there. They're never going to peak at anywhere higher than having a ceiling in the teens range. But as has been noted on this show recently, that's not the worst thing in the world. The worst thing in the world would be to be in that position and then try and reinvent yourself. And you know what? You end up being Wisconsin. So 22 for Iowa. Good starting point. Florida at 21 is an offensive coordinator quarterback. Bet a little bit here. Buster Faulkner and I think Aaron Filo is going to win the job down there and I don't expect Heisman contention there. What I do expect is good solid QB play on an otherwise really underrated roster. They are nasty at wide receiver, have the potential to be one of the best wide receiver rooms in the country. It's a really good running back situation. Just the overall talent roster that Sumrall's inheriting there, it's really good. Now. They had good talent and couldn't get it done under Billy Napier. So this is also kind of a bet on John Sumrall to walk in with an abnormally high floor for a first year inherited situation. Top 20 number 20 Southern Methodist University right there in beautiful Dallas, Texas. That's a top 25 returning production roster. Kevin Jennings is there, Rhett Lashley's there. They're just a really good team. I mean, if anything, I may be a little low on them at 20, but I had to make room for Utah at 19. Now we've got coaching transition there. Again, sometimes that's bad and it's really one of two ways you can look at this. You could say, boy, Utah lost Kyle Whittingham. He left him for Michigan, but that's not what happened. Utah got coaching transition by choice. And so look, Michigan thought Kyle Whittingham was plenty good enough to be the head coach there. But that's beside the point as it relates to Utah. Utah's in the position that they want to be in. Well, at least from a coaching perspective. Last year they were number two in the country rushing. They were 82nd in the country passing. And so I've got a. I've got to think and I've got to kind of bank on Devin Dampier growth this year. I've got to bank on a little bit more balanced offensive approach this year. Lost some big time offensive line pieces to the draft, but I trust Utah to at least be in that 15 to 20 range of serviceable there to start the season. I'm putting Houston at 18. Jesse, do you think the AP will have Houston ranked? I don't think they will either. So we're higher on Houston going into the season, I think than our friends down the road at the AP will be. But there are reasons. So Willie Fritz has got a really good foundation here also. Side note, Willie Fritz is real good period. Top 20 returning production that has a top 10 portal class baked into it. And this is not a projection of what your record's going to be, but if you did want to take the added step of thinking about what they're capable of, which we're going to do later in this very show, big Houston show tonight. I will also remind you they don't have the, I don't know, most arduous murderers row of a schedule this year. But this is not a strength of schedule thing. We just think Houston's going to be a pretty good team. Penn State's at 17. You'll notice if you're a Penn State fan that that is a couple of notches lower than we had them going into spring. Well, what, what could have happened in spring? Well, we may have heard some things about some other teams that bumped them ahead of Penn State or half the team may have been hurt in spring. Which leaves me with Questions as it relates to how you would fare entering the season right now. Again, this is not predicting what you'll be in December. It's where I'd slot you right now and I'd put Penn state in the 17 range because of so many spring injuries. And now eventually those guys will return. We're not talking about a bunch of true freshmen who were out, so it's experienced guys. We're not asking a quarterback to learn a new system. We're just asking him to acclimate to a new campus. Basically because Rocco Becht looks to his left and right and he recognizes a lot of the people, both players and staff there. Again, this is not a strength of schedule thing. I'm not taking that into account at all. But the same thing can be said about number 17 there, Penn State, as could be said about Houston at 18. And that is if we're right and this is the quality of team that either one of them are going to be. Either one of them could win 10 plus games because that's how the schedule shakes out. Now, I had a lot of trouble at 16. This is where I'm putting Texas Tech. So I'm going to assume no Brendan Sorsby until someone tells me otherwise. Until Jeffrey Kessler and associates tell me otherwise, I'm going to put Texas Tech at 16. It may be too low. Will Hammond plug him in and they may still have the best team in the Big 12. That's an eventually thing. In the immediate future, I can't help but slot them down at 16. It's a number two portal class in the country, so they're not going to be hurting for talent. It's not that. It's just understand now, Brendan Sorsby is the real deal. There's a reason why plan A is somehow some way beat the NCAA legally and wind up back on the field for Texas Tech. But plan B is supplemental draft, quick 5 second timeout. Check and make sure you're subscribed to the channel. It's free. We love you. All right. Really, really good player, significant upgrade, all due respect to what they had last year. So if we're losing him, I've talked to a lot of Texas Tech folks about, all right, what's the best case scenario with him and without him? It's a world's difference. Now that may only be the difference in maybe one game in the regular season. The difference as it relates to your playoff hopes is like a Grand Canyon to me. So I'll put Texas Tech at 16 and I'll put Michigan at 15. As we get into the top 15, they're kind of a tough team to slot. Michigan's one of those teams. If you're. If you're banking on potential, if you're banking on roster talent, which is a lot of what we go on in the spring because no football games have happened yet, then it's tough to knock Michigan way lower than this. Then come the questions with the new staff in. This is not one of those instances of bad staff churn. This is good staff churn. This is going to be a pretty significant net upgrade over what the situation was last year. Now, what does that mean for Bryce Underwood? What does that mean for his production? And then I could say that downstream for the rest of the roster. But I feel okay having Michigan at 15. If you had him at 12th or 20th, I wouldn't probably argue either way. May argue a little bit more against 12 than 20, but I've got them there. I put Brigham Young at 14. Like, I think a lot of folks probably are going to sleep on Brigham Young a little bit. Everyone's just going to kind of throw this, this blanket feeling that the Big 12 is Texas Techs with or without Brendan Sorsby. Well, I don't automatically feel that way. I do feel it. If they have him, I don't automatically feel that. And it ain't even because I think Texas Tech's gonna suck. It's just because Brigham Young's a really good team and they got a lot of returning production off of a group from last year that has been told you didn't really win anything. Cause they didn't. They ran up against Texas Tech twice, they lost to him twice. And that's it. Just no one remembers anything. Well, here's what I remember. Otherwise, that was a really good team that won a lot of games. Those are dependable players. That's a head coach that had a shot at the Penn State job and turned it down. And that's a place that's extremely hungry. And because they don't have a ton of newness all over the place, I expect them to enter the season playing at a pretty high level. So I put Brigham Young in the top 15. I put him at number 14. I put Alabama at number 13. Quarterback's going to be talked about a whole lot. It should be talked about a whole lot. Like I said the other day, I expect quarterback, quarterback to end up being a strength of this team. I don't know that I can say that for offensive line. I don't know that I can say that for the ground game. What I do know is I expect them to be upgraded, at least in terms of running the ball, only because it can't get worse. So I'm not really saying a whole lot there. It's how much do they upgrade? Do they go from the 1/0 to like 81st or do they do what Georgia did two years ago and go from the hundreds back up into the top 30? Those are two different worlds because I don't know which is which. That's why I've got him down at 13. I will say this though, the defensive personnel along the defensive front is really upgraded in terms of size. Said that when I watched some scrimmage a few weeks ago and you're starting to hear a lot more people talk about that as spring is wrapped up. That's a real thing. They made some moves and got some guys that can really, really help against the run, which is where they probably were a little looser than they wanted to be at times. Last year I got LSU at 12. LSU needs a real big asterisk next to their name to remind everyone this is a Post Spring Top 25. In other words, this is kind of how I would think the season would start. Right now, LSU ceiling is that of a Final Four team, but there are a ton of injury concerns, not the least of which was quarterback, so they couldn't really practice fully the way they wanted to. And in spring you had injuries at corner and you just got a whole bunch of newness. So it's your starting point, which is what I'm trying to figure out right now. And then your ending point being two different stories. If I'm doing a playoff projection or maybe just an end of the season projection, I may have LSU a lot different than number 12, but I got them at number 12 right now because that's where I feel like they would enter the season. I got Southern cal at number 11. This has got to be the year for USC and I think for the first time under Lincoln Riley, I do agree with him when he says, hey, we're entering a window here. Should it have taken that long? Of course not. But nevertheless we're entering a window here. There is more to like about this USC team entering a season than I think any team Lincoln has had there. I feel like at the line of scrimmage we can finally look at them as at least a break even team in the Big Ten. Now I'm speaking cautiously here because I understand the weight of what I'm saying. A Lincoln Riley Team being at a break even position on the line of scrimmage in the Big Ten is no small sentence. So we're going to find out if we're right about that. But outside of that, they, I think, should expect to win some big games this year and I think they should expect to be a playoff team this year. I expect them to be in the hunt for a playoff spot. So I got him at number 11. Lincoln Riley has never let me down with any prediction my entire life. Jesse, we move on. Number 10, Texas A and M. I've got questions, but I don't automatically assume my questions equal weaknesses. A and M is one of those teams that because they recruit and portal Inside the top 10 every year on average, they can enter a season with questions meaning, oh, we lost some guys to the draft or graduation or transfer and there's a guy or guys in their places that are questions. You've never heard of them. Well, sometimes that equals weakness. In college football, that's not necessarily the case there. It's just what will end up being a bunch of really good players that you don't know. And I think it'll be a lot of that for A and M this year. Now, what we do have to ask ourselves and what I'm trying to figure out is what's the floor for Marcel Reed this year? His ceiling notwithstanding, I don't really even so much care about his ceiling. I want to know what's the worst it could be? Are there any, like crash and burn moments this year or is it a lot more steady? Because I could go without the spikes in production, frankly, if I don't have the massive dips every now and then. That's what I would love to see. They're really strong at the skill spots. I think the offensive line, while everyone looks at replacing four or five, needs to also be understood that they got a really good depth situation there. So I don't think it's nearly as drastic or dire as people who don't know that team are going to make it out to be. I put Oklahoma at nine, I get a healthy John Mateer, the rightful 2025 Heisman Trophy winner who was robbed. Yes, robbed. Well, Jesse, when he got hurt, who led the overall Heisman odds? Jonathan Jeremitrius Mattier led the Heisman odds and I was holding the ticket. I should know. So the rightful 2025 Heisman Trophy winner is the back and healthy. The ground game again will improve this year. How do I know that? Cause it can't get worse. I said the same thing about Alabama that I'd say about Oklahoma. And so offensive line, I need some upgrade there. I need some upgrade in the ground game. Defense is going to be really good. It's a really good team. They're in a good position. I'll tell you the one that's being overlooked that I put at number eight is Ole Miss. People are badly overlooking Ole Miss. People looked at Ole Miss and said, oh, Trinidad Chambliss, his status is up in the air. We're going to put him in the 15 to 20 range. I did that. But I also said if Chambliss is eligible, this is a bonafide slam dunk top 10 team. And then Trinidad Chambliss was ruled eligible. Ole Miss is a top 10 team. It's not a one man show over here. Kewon Lacey's still there. People were thinking this defense is going to fall off a cliff. It's not. Ole Miss is a really, really dangerous team. Really good team. This is a team that's a play or two away from going to the national title last year and a team with a breakout star at quarterback in the playoffs. And I don't know if America has awoken to the fact that that guy's playing again this year. Or maybe they have, but they don't know how to value it properly. So I'm really high on Ole Miss right now. If you expect them to fall off, even if you do, you may want to delay that expectation at least a year. Sounds a little disrespectful. Maybe they won't fall off. I'm just saying I don't think the fall off's coming this year. I have a hard time forecasting fall off with that guy playing quarterback for you. Georgia at number seven. All right. Excellent overall team. This is where you start to get into that range of teams where just the overall structure of organization and roster makes it such that their floor is top 10. Georgia has been that for a long time. Only questions there would be, you know, pass rush. Lost one of those guys in the spring. Wide receiver at its top end. Is it dynamic enough? What kind of progression do we get from Gunner Stockton? But all in all, I mean, Georgia, I don't have to vouch for them. They vouch for themselves with their play on the field every year. I'm putting Indiana at 6, which is probably their floor right now, although they don't have as long a track record as some of these other schools. But then again, when you, you know, blowtorch your way to a national Championship. Doing it your way, I'm kind of going to trust your way. So do they lose a lot? Yeah. Do they have a lot also? Yeah. Their ceiling is number one. The only reason I'm putting them at number six is this is a preseason thing and I got to find out for myself what the Indiana Josh Hoover consists of. I found out who Fernando Mendoza was at Indiana. I need to find out what Josh Hoover is at Indiana. I just want to make sure that these wide receiver backfills pan out. But all in all, the defensive replacements, if those pan out, I mean, if you're anywhere remotely close to what they were able to do last year, then, yeah, they're probably even low at six. Top five. Miami is my number five team right now. I expect them to be an equal or better version of last year's team, mainly because I think they are upgraded at quarterback, especially relative to the system that they run down there. Love Darian Mensah being able to work under Shannon Dawson. Love the receiver room. Love the tailbacks. Love the eventual potential of the offensive line, even if it takes a little while to round into form. Truthfully, that's the only reason I got Miami as low as 5, because this is a really, really loaded team. Really loaded. People can pay attention to what they lost all you want to. I would pay much more attention to what they still have. Ohio State at number four. Same thing. I basically look at them every year as being a floor top five team. Draft attrition for the second year in a row. Yes. I just blindly trust them. I blindly trust Ryan Day and having a pair of NFL coordinators under him right now. So the staff's loaded, the roster's loaded. Are they capable of starting hot? And unlike some years, you kind of need to because they play a really tough schedule this year. Oregon at number three. Love the quarterback, wide receiver combos here. We got Evan Stewart back, Decorian Moore still up there, and you can go down the list, man, like, even if I were to take those two away, the guys under them will probably be mentioned a whole lot less because they play at Oregon. Those would be standout players at some of these other places. But also the defensive line depth there is the envy of the rest of the country. And I also think that Oregon kind of as a, as a program, they sort of built to this year. That doesn't mean that they were incapable of winning before, but it's like you put yourself in range of playoff and title contention every year, but some years you'll be closer than other years. Like Ohio State in 2024, that was their year. They're still going to be close enough every other year. Texas, this is their year. Well, Oregon, this is one of those years. Speaking of, Texas got them at number two. This is the year. This is the year they have the best chance of it happening. They crushed the portal. With that in mind, Cam Coleman at Texas is going to be insane. Ryan Wingo should also be insane. Don't forget, with all the talk about the offense there, they brought in Will Muschamp at defensive coordinator. Now the working theory is when you go up against the Georgia's of the world, there aren't many and you're second best physically. You got to find a way to inject a little more of what they have into what you do. And I don't think it's any accident that they targeted some of the staff additions that they did. And so Texas elsewhere is. They're just loaded. It's a loaded roster. But yet I didn't put him at number one because I remain convinced that Notre Dame needs to be my number one team to start the year. They've got everything I want to from a roster perspective. They've got C.J. carr at quarterback. I don't care what Denbrock says about him driving stuff in a ditch. He's not going to during the season. That's not going to happen. Mike Denbrock does not know his quarterback like I do. So he'll be fine. He'll be fine. Defense will be fine. In fact, they'll be loaded. There's an urgency there because of what happened last year. So I don't expect them to ease into the season. I actually expect them to annihilate people. You know, they play Rice early, Jesse Fried Rice early this year. And for all the talk about them losing a couple of first round running backs and there should be talk about that, I still expect that position to be very good for them. So that as of this moment, is my post spring preseason top 25 subject to change. It is, after all, early May. Happy to have you guys with us. We've got a jam packed show. I got a lot to get to and just humbly ask that you subscribe to the channel if you haven't already. Got a lot of you watching live. Beautiful, beautiful. And then we transition to this not so beautiful. Mike from Phoenix, Arizona hit me up. He said, do you think a special exception should exist for teams like Texas Tech to get a portal window after spring since they may have lost their starting quarterback for something they had Nothing to do with. How should I put this? No, I don't think that. I think that's insane. You're not insane, Mike. You. You are not a casual person. But smart people sometimes say casual things. And I think this is kind of a casual suggestion. Now, I'm going to work off an assumption here. I'm going to assume that Brendan Sorsby is not going to play this year for Texas Tech. But that is not decided. I want to make sure everyone understands. And I'm going to circle back around to this in a few minutes because there have been some developments there. And so I'll give you all the latest. I'm still unconvinced that it's going to go his way. That's why I'm putting it off until the end. So let's assume Brendan Sorsby is not going to play this year. And let's assume that Texas Tech made it to the Orange bowl last year in the playoffs and then they got stuffed by Oregon and they realized on that flight home we were really good this year. Defensively we were good enough to win a title. Quarterback was not good enough to win a title. So they go and they get a future first round NFL quarterback in Brendan Sorsby. And they pay however many millions of dollars they had to. But that's okay because it's legal now. We pride ourselves in it and we get them out there. And then we find out after the portal closes, after spring's done, he's suspended for illegal gambling activity. Well, that's what happened. Get you up to speed so far? That's what happened. And you're asking me if the Texas Tech Red Raiders should have an opportunity that the rest of college football doesn't have to go into. A portal that doesn't exist, by the way. I don't even know how that would work, but theoretically they could just go poach any player off any roster. Why? Because misfortune befell them. That's how that's supposed to work. Here's. Here's the thing, Mike. It was Mike, right? Bradley? It was Mike. Yeah. Mike, I assume you're a good and decent person and you're really asking this question because you hate to see this happen to Texas Tech. I love Texas Tech. I might as well look for rental property out there, okay? Savannah State loves it more than I do. So we love Lubbock. Texas. Love Joey. Love all that. I'm giving you all these qualifiers because I'm about to say something that sounds kind of mean to Texas Tech, but someone's got to do it. This is the way it works. You get one portal window, and you go and get the guys that you can get. You got your choice, especially if you're Texas Tech, okay? And you can spin like they do. It's an adult world. It's a big boy world, okay? It's not preschool. So you go and you. You get the players, and then you assemble them as best you can using the information at your disposal. I don't even blame them. It's not like we're vetting a Supreme Court justice here. This stuff happens really quick. So I don't blame them so much for not knowing. How are they going to know? What's Joey Maguire gonna do? Like, pull his online betting records? How would he ever know that? So I'm not blaming Texas Tech for not knowing, but I'm also not blaming the rest of college football. Like it is what it is. What if he got hurt? What if he had no history of illegal gambling activity by NCAA standards, but he tore his acl? That happens all the time. If he got hurt instead of getting suspended, should I let Texas Tech go to the portal in that case? I got a lot of other teams out here that just lost players in the spring. Should I. Should I let Texas A and M go to the portal for a linebacker? Should that be the way that works? Or is it just in special circumstances like this? Look, this is reality. And if Texas Tech suffers for it this year, so be it. But remember what the alternative was, Mike. And everyone else. Remember what the alternative was. It's just one year ago that we were living in a world where we had one transfer portal window, then we had spring football, then we had a second transfer portal window, which was total insanity and one of the dumbest concepts imaginable. So we finally got that closed, and we closed it with an understanding. And the understanding was, this move is a net positive for college football, but it won't be without victims. But for the greater good of the sport we collectively, and I'm part of, we. We decided. I don't think we want a second portal window. Seems kind of stupid and counterintuitive. So let's close it now. Could I have players get hurt, leaving me with no recourse, and me just having to suck it up and go into the season with a glaring hole on my roster? Yes, that could happen. Could I have a quarterback get himself wrapped up in a scandal and I lose him for the year, and I've got. I've got no recourse? I've just got to play with what I got on my roster. Yeah, that could happen. It's football. Everyone's playing by the same rules. At least it's not like Texas Tech's playing by one set of rules and everyone else gets a second portal window. So these. It's just the way the Cards fell for Texas Tech. And by the way, we don't even know that's the way it's going to turn out. We just think that's the way it's going to turn out. Now, we talked about Brendan Sworesby the other night. I talked about this whole situation the other night. And I did get a little pushback on it. Frankly, not as much as I thought I would, but I did get a little pushback on it. And you can imagine, like a lot of you guys listening and you girls listening, you've got varying thoughts about maybe just sports betting in general, maybe the way sports betting is in bed with various professional leagues in college football, maybe the way it's advertised. So you got a lot of feelings about that. That's separate from this. Whether you think that or not, it's separate from this. And what I noticed in a lot of the pushback we got the other night was it was misguided anger at something else. A lot of people saw that Brendan Sorsby had been suspended because he is alleged to have bet on college football games he was a part of at Indiana a while back. And your retort to me in DMs and whatnot was, well, this is BS and I interacted with a lot of you, you know who you are. And I said, why is it BS Are you telling me he shouldn't be suspended? And a lot of what I got back was just, well, you got gambling ads all over the place and, well, these leagues are allowed to do deals and these networks were allowed to do deals. And everyone's allowed to do deals with gambling companies and participate in it, but the players can't. And I said, yes. Yeah, that's pretty much the state of affairs. What are you trying to say to me? And what you're really trying to say is you don't like something else and you're kind of taking out that anger on the situation. You may think it's hypocritical that leagues can do deals with sports betting companies but the players can't bet. It makes total sense to me. I again want to remind everyone we're a FanDuel partner. So I'm in a relationship that spanned several years with FanDuel so if you think that makes me a hypocrite taking the stance, I do. Okay. I promise you I'd have this stance whether we made a dime from FanDuel or not. I could look at it. If I were to put myself in your shoes for a second, I've got no problem looking and saying, I personally don't love the proliferation of sports betting, period. I could look at it and say, you know, I don't maybe have a problem with sports betting so much, but I don't like that. It's constantly in my face. I get that. I could look at it and say, you know, and maybe, maybe this is where rubber meets the road a little bit. If your stance is. If it's illegal for the participants of the leagues of the sports to bet on the sport, then the sport itself and the leagues should not be able to profit off of advertising with sports betting companies. If you've got that stance. That makes sense to me. That makes sense to me. Okay, so I'm going to put that one to the side. But most of what I got was the former. And so really what you're upset about is something else that's unrelated to Brendan Sorsby is all I'm saying. Now there is an update here. So before we move on, I did want to remind everyone or inform you, Ross Dellinger, while the rest of you were at the beach or at the lake or, you know, living your lives over the weekend, he was hard at work and he put this out yesterday. Right, Jesse? It's about a day old. Now on Twitter, quote, Quarterback Brendan Sorsby has retained attorney Jeffrey Kessler in his potential fight to regain eligibility. Kessler tells Yahoo Sports scoresby is hoping to reach a compromise with the ncaa. If not, he may pursue the legal path. Any legal challenge is independent of Texas Tech. So this is Brendan Sorsby versus the NCAA basically. And he is. I don't really know what the case would be here. It seems like it's a pretty dead to right situation on the fact that this happened, although I myself have not had the evidence put in front of me. But all the reporting on this is that he bet on college football at Indiana. Betting on games that Indiana was playing in. That happened again, allegedly. That happened among several other bets that were on sports that are not named college football. So they're seeking an injunction there. Now here is the devil in the details. The NCAA moves pretty slow on this. I don't know how fast the legal process would move, but there's a very important date out there. On the horizon right now, it's May 3rd. The supplemental draft is June 30th. The supplemental NFL draft, which you mostly don't even know happens, is June 30th. And his alternatives here, his choices here, rather, are get an injunction and somehow he's able to play. That's a B. He reaches a resolution with the ncaa or compromise, in Ross's words, with the ncaa and he's able to play. That's two. Both of those will get him on the field. Option three, he holds out in the fight past June 30, but then he's still ruled ineligible and he's just out for the year, and then he goes and enters the NFL draft. That's option three. Option four is he realizes he's got no shot and. Or the injunction is not granted before June 30, at which point he says, well, let's see. We're still pre June 30th. The supplemental draft is June 30th. I'll just enter the supplemental draft and I'll head to the NFL in time for this year, which he has every right to do. So that is what we're waiting on right now. But, yeah, as far as Texas Tech having recourse, it doesn't feel like there's much recourse here. They're at the mercy of the NCAA and the rules. And look, if you're a Texas Tech fan, I mean, I'd be upset about it, but I don't think you can rightly sit here unless you. Unless you're privy to information I'm not privy to. You can't honestly be sitting here saying, you know what? He should be able to play anyway, because you never would have said that if it didn't involve your team, if it involved Arizona State. And Arizona State's quarterback was. Was found. Arizona State's transfer quarterback was found guilty of betting on games that he was a participant in at his prior stop. You would never, in your right mind, look at that situation and say, I'll let him play anyway. What do we really lose there? Well, you know, the integrity of the game. Some people laugh at that because there are different ways to define integrity of game. I mean, the actual competitive integrity of the game. If you don't have that, you don't have a sport. You've got. Well, you got wwe, essentially, which is okay as long as it's presented properly. That's not what we're trying to do with football. Speaking of football, every Saturday I wake up, and before I even put my contacts in. I use one eye and I scroll and I index finger like this through the eye, Josh and I find the cornfield picture and I tweet it out with a reminder of how many Saturdays we are from college football season. Alex and allegedly producer Jesse allegedly looked at that and said well if that means college football is coming eventually and we've got the Pate State store over here just sitting there with infinite amounts of shelf space, why shouldn't we put representation about college football approaching in the store? And then they found out that Savannah State has recently gotten me to watch Game of Thrones very recently. It's a new thing. I don't know what to think about it yet. But what I do know is whatever winter is coming means is of secondary concern to me at the moment because college football coming is of primary concern. And as you can see here we have brand new items, not merch items in the Pate State store to signify that football is coming. Ladies and gentlemen. It will be here now in the meantime, we can have a lot of fun just as just a sun filled vacation filled summer. And there's also a new shirt for the Pate State summer series just made up right now. But yeah, we got two new items in the Paint State Store. Patestatematerial.com Jesse predicts that the football is coming shirt will be our biggest mover of the month. I think you've got an unfair advantage cause it's a new item so I'm not betting him on it. But yeah, I already bought the sleeveless version. I had Alex make sleeveless versions. By the way, I know our audience Jesse may not lift, but our audience lifts. Let's move on. Amazon presents One vs Baby Drunk on milk and power. This bundle of sheer chaos only comes with three settings. Crying, pooping and crying while pooping. But Juan shopped on Amazon and saved on pacifiers, diaper cream and a colossal bag of coffee beans. Hear that baby? Juan just rocked you to sleep. Save the everyday with Amazon. There's no denying it. Moms make the world go round. Celebrate mom with a gift that really pops. A personalized Funko Pop where you'll select hair, clothing and skin tone options to match her go to Look. Don't forget to show off her special talents, hobbies and interests with accessories to match. You can even add her favorite furry friend. Show mom the love this year. Start Creating now@funko.com Be unique, not anyone else. Express it now. Just pop yourself. That's Funko.com support for the show comes from Public the investing platform for those who take it seriously. On Public you can build a multi asset portfolio of stocks, bonds, options, crypt and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index. With AI. It all starts with your prompt. From renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year, you can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one of a kind index and lets you back test it against the S&P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks. 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Odoo has no hidden costs and no limit on features or data. Odoo has over 60 apps available for any needs your business might have, all at no additional charge. Everything from websites to sales to inventory to accounting. All linked and talking to each other. Check out Odoo at O D O o dot com. That's O D O o dot com Jesse's been working out an apartment gym for a long time and tried to pass it off as a real gem. Not working. And now he's allegedly joined a real gym but no one can vouch for it. No one has seen him. No one. I don't know what the address is. You've not told me a thing about it. All I know is producer Jesse showed up to the Y one day and that was the end for producer Jesse. Yeah, and then he blew out his hamstring and softball and the rest is history. All right, job approval time. SEC job approval. What a fan bases. Think about these head coaches. Who's Is there any hot seat situation in the SEC right now? Well, there's not In Athens, Georgia, we start with Kirby Smart. Kirby would be at an A plus pretty much anywhere else. I think he's a prisoner of his own success a little bit. So his grade would just be an A, which is like one notch down from A plus. This has obviously been the best era in the history of Georgia football. He. His. His program's got the highest floor of any program year over year in the conference. It's like you could just bank on 10 wins minimum. And now it's a new SEC, so no one could bank on 10 wins minimum anymore. No one can do that. But up until five minutes ago, Kirby and Georgia could do it. I think he's a little bit of a prisoner of his own success in that, you know, they've made the playoffs back to back years. They've won the SEC back to back years. And once upon a time, I mean, that would be ticker tape parade stuff. But now, since they win so much, it's just. It's just what we do, quote, unquote. And then you take a more fine tooth comb through the situation. So, you know, like Georgia fan up in Dahlonega, if this were to be happening 15 years ago, would be slam dunk, a plus, turn the ballad in. Now it's, well, I'm glad that we won the SEC back to back years, and I appreciate the style of play and I appreciate that we've made the playoff, but we got beat by Notre Dame and then Trinidad Chambliss beat us last year. Defense really failed us. And also Mike Bobo, man. And there's nothing following that. It's just Mike Bobo, man, period. So I'm gonna bump him down to an A that. I think if you were to take a thousand fan sample size amongst our Georgia friends, you'd probably hear a fair amount of that. I'm not claiming he's perfect. I'm just claiming I think he's doing the best job in the conference right now. So he'd be an A plus for me. I think he would grade out at an A. What about Josh Hyple at Tennessee? We struggled on this one. We struggled on this one. So again, what I'm trying to do here is figure out if we took a poll of 1,000 fans, not like fringe minority either way. I mean, the core of the fan base, and they graded the head coach, what would he grade out at? I think hypo would be at a B minus here. But this is very, very fluid. I could see it being anywhere from a C to a B, and it really all Depends on probably your age. Because if you're 45 years old and you can remember the Derek Dooley era, and you can remember the Butch Jones era, you can remember several eras that weren't much of anything. And you know how long it's been since Phil Fulmer roamed the sidelines there. You know how long it's been since you had a streak going against Alabama instead of them rattling off like 15 in a row against you up until recently, if you are of that age, you're probably closer to B or B plus because Hypo pulled him out of the ditch. And I don't mean one wheel in the ditch, I mean on, on the roof in the ditch. And he got the tow truck and he hooked the hooks into it and got the bus back out on the road. And it's moving fairly well too, that a couple of double digit win seasons his first couple of years there's. They ended the streak against Bama. They've beat him in 22 and 24. I thought that banked a ton of equity for him. They've made the playoff now. They got blown out. So I just listed all the positives. Some of the negatives start to seep in. I think more of the C plus B minus crowd would tell you, okay, yeah, we made the playoff, but 12 teams make the playoff now and we've made it once and we got blown out. So you know another way to say that he's. He's half a decade in and we have no playoff wins to show for him here. Here he's half a decade in. We haven't made it to Atlanta to play for the SEC championship. Those things are true. It's pretty hard to do, but those things are true. The wild card, this is where it gets really fluid. The wild card is the way he handled the Nico Iamaliava stuff last year, I thought was interpreted really well by the fan base and they understood. We're proud of the way he just handled this. He didn't allow a kid or his representation to hold the program hostage. He said, see you later if that means we lose a couple of more games this year, okay? And they went 8, 5. And it wasn't a disastrous 8 and 5 either. There weren't a bunch of blowouts there. So it wasn't as bad as it could have been. But I still think you're left wanting more. And so I still think people look in the totality of it and they look at what Kurt Signetti just did and they understand in this day and Age, when you can just do it overnight, you can immunity, flip it overnight, you have to look and say, all right, look, we're willing to have some level of understanding here. But still, man, you're not getting B plus or A minus out of me until you've got a playoff win, until we host one of those things here. So I think B minus Jeff Lebby at Mississippi State. I consulted some people very close to the program today who shall remain nameless per their request, because I had to get a feel of where Mississippi State fans were on Jeff Lebby. Now, my best guess is that he would land at a C. In my personal opinion, I would go B minus to maybe even B because of where the program was and then the fact that he pulled them from 2 and 10 in his first year to 5 and 8 last year. But last year, the 5 and 8 included one possession losses to Texas, to Tennessee and to Florida. So it was one of those teams that was probably a lot better than the record indicated they were. Now, that's the so far, like. So I think maybe the fan base would look and say, we don't care we lost the games. I don't ever look at it that way, especially with Mississippi State. If it was Georgia, I would look at it that way. You lost clock. You lost close to Texas. Okay, you're Georgia. That's a loss. Tennessee, you're Georgia. That's a loss. I don't look at Mississippi State the same way. So I'd put him in a B minus, maybe even a B. But I understand if the fan base would go C plus. Now, they got a lot to prove this year because there's a ton of churn on the roster there. But it could all be covered up with either development evaluation or Camario Taylor going off at quarterback or ideally all of the three, in which case Mississippi State's like the surprise of the league. So C plus. And I will grant you, I expect pushback on this because they're going to be. There's a Mississippi State fan out there that would put an A minus on him right now. But I promise you, sir or ma' am in Tupelo or Natchez or Hattiesburg, what have you, Philadelphia, Yazoo City, I just name them. I can assure you that as much as you want to give him an A minus, I received correspondence in the C minus range, so there would be a wide range and I had to, you know, average it out. So that's where we are in Jeff Levy right now. Let's move on. Happy to have you guys with us? If you're watching live, if you're listening to the replay or watching the replay, happy to have you with us. Just make sure you subscribe to the channel and then five of your friends do the same. You know what we got today, Jesse, you do know because you opened the envelope. I don't think I've ever instructed the audience to send us wedding invitations. Have I? Have I ever told them to do that? No, I have not. Does it stop our audience from sending us wedding invitations? No, it does not. And we received one more today. We've got a nice stack of summer wedding invitations. We throw the fall invitations in the garbage site unseen. I don't even acknowledge those weddings on Saturdays in the fall as happening. And I know some of you are being dragged into those against your will. And that's between you and God and your spouse, but I have nothing to do with it. But for our spring and summer wedding crowd, preemptive congratulations. I have received a lot of invitations, so I assume yours is in the stack if you've sent us one. And for those of you who are on the fence about sending an invitation, I don't even publicize the address of this place. I have no clue how they find it. But if you can find it, go for it. It's not my home address. If you want a home address, I'll give you Jesse's. I'm not handing mine out on the show, so. Yeah, but we got some. And I've never. I've never talked about that publicly on the show. So those trees are going to good use. We were not throwing those things away unless they're fall weddings. Next up, bold prediction season continues. We are three weeks in to bold predictions, predictions that you make, not me, and predictions that you guys claim you would bet your own money on. But money's not on the line here. Chalice of supremacy are on the line. That's the plural of chalice. The rule around here is any of these predictions that rate 9.5 or higher on the bold prediction scale and hit win you a chalice of supremacy at the end of the year. We gave out only three last year and we did like a hundred of these. Matthew from Lincoln, Nebraska leads us off tonight. He says Indiana finishes the regular season with eight wins or fewer. That's your national champion. That is Kurt Signetti Flames to the rest of college football last year and he's only winning eight this year at most. Well, the over under win total, to give you some frame of reference here. Over under win Total is ten and a half. They lost eight in the draft, but they had the number one portal class in the country. I am putting a nine on this. I think it's unlikely, not impossible, because the schedules in college football, specifically the Big Ten in the sec, are what they are today. Here's what I've got to do. If you're listening on podcast, Bradley just put the Indiana schedule up for this year. Can I find four losses at least here? Well, sure you could. You assume Ohio State's got to be one of them? I would assume Michigan's got to be one of them. At Michigan, USC has got to be one of them. Look, as high as I am on USC this year, Bloomington, Indiana in November. But yes, I will grant you it could happen. And maybe Washington's a surprise team this year and Indiana's got to go out there late. But here's what you'll notice if you're looking at this. Where are the losable games? I don't count 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. I don't count any of their first five games as those. And if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. So we really start in Week 6 or their sixth game, and that's at Nebraska. So they run off a string of games that sounds like this. At Nebraska, Ohio State, at Michigan, Minnesota, USC at Washington. All due respect to Barry, I'm going to cut it off right there. If they lose four games, it's probably coming in this stretch, which means they would lose four games over the span of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 games. So are they going to go 2 and 4 at some point during the season? I got a hard time seeing that. So I'm going to put it at a 9 on the boldness scale. What it takes is Josh Hoover just being a turnover machine or them really having problems with, like, complacency and stuff that past champions have not been immune to. Yeah, that could happen. That's hard to forecast, though. Next up, Ellipsis in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Beautiful name. The prediction, however. Well, I'll just let you be the judge. The SEC will have at least five quarterbacks finish the regular season with 30 or more passes. No, they won't. This is a 10 touchdown passes. What did I say? Passes. They'll probably happen. Probably happen. All right, Ellipsis. Apologies. Let me reread it, though. Put it back up, Bradley, because we do have to clip this eventually. Watch this. This is the sausage getting made here. Ellipsis from Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Beautiful name. The prediction. I'll let you be the judge. There's no teleprompter in here. The SEC will have at least five quarterbacks finish the regular season with 30 or more touchdown passes. To this I say no, they won't. No, they will not. How do I know that? Well, not a Single1 had 30 TD passes last year, first off. Secondly, there were only 8 quarterbacks in the entire country that had 30 or more touchdown passes in the regular season last year. Again, none of them from the sec. And this is with me acknowledging, if we look at the Heisman board right now, if we look at the heisman odds at FanDuel, nine of the top 20 are SEC quarterbacks. But that's, that's relative to just what else is out there. That's not indicative that, oh, we got, we got five slam dunk, 30 plus touchdown passers here. And a bunch of these guys are dual threat guys. Chambliss is just as likely to run it in. Arch is just as likely to run it in. So you need these dudes getting a vast majority of their touchdown production through the air. You need great injury luck and you need all of them to pan out and defense to go off a cliff in the SEC in an era where defense is making a big comeback nationwide. So this is not happening. This is not happening. Maybe two of them. Maybe. That would be a great year, by the way. So not five, no ellipsis, not five. We're going to give that a 10 on the boldness scale. Next up, let's head to Notre Dame. Actually, let's head to Wildwood, Missouri. That's where Tyler is. But he's got a prediction about Notre Dame. Notre Dame loses their seventh game in the month of September under Marcus Freeman. Nine and a half on the boldness scale. Now, it is true. In the interest of Big J journalism and full disclosure, our investigation reveals that, yes, Marcus Freeman has lost to Northern Illinois in September once upon a time. Yes, Marcus Freeman has lost to Marshall in September once upon a time. But that, that was yesteryear. Okay, this is Marcus Freeman 2.0. This is Notre Dame 2.0. That sort of thing just doesn't happen anymore. We used to have dinosaurs here. We don't anymore. So consider that Marshall game a stegosaurus. It is gone. The concept of it is gone. And let me tell you what you're left with. Wisconsin, Rice, Michigan State and Purdue. One of those has to be Notre Dame, AKA my preseason number one team in the country. Is it going to be Wisconsin, 19 and a half point underdog right now, Wisconsin is to Notre dame, probably be 21 by kickoff. That's at Lambeau Field, by the way. Is it going to be Wisconsin? Do I acknowledge the week two game? Yes, I do. Rice. Rice is heading to South Bend, Indiana for what can only be described as an early season mercy killing. And so that's not where it's going to happen. Week three and week four are Notre Dame, Michigan State and Notre Dame Purdue. Michigan State and Purdue each have over under win totals of three and a half this year at Fanduel. Notre Dame's not losing a game in September. Notre Dame may not lose a game, period. But if they do, it's much more likely to be November than September. September's not happening. So I'm gonna put a nine and a half on that one. And lastly, Colin in Friendswood, Texas. Houston wins 11 games and makes an appearance in the Big 12 championship. This is my kind of bold prediction because I'm very high on Houston and you didn't say they have to win the Big 12. They just have to appear in the conference title game. So the over under win total here is only seven and a half. They've got the fourth best odds to win the conference, but they went 10 and three last year. They are top 20 in returning production. They have a bottom eight strength of schedule according to our in house metrics at least. So they're a solid springboard candidate as we would call them. So winning 11 games is within the realm of possibility. Making the Big 12 championship game takes care of itself. If they win 11 games, I am only putting a nine on this. That is how confident I am that Houston's gonna have a pretty good year this year. 11 wins. We'll see. But I feel pretty good about Houston. So that's a nine. They're watching us in Gilbert, Arizona, Charlotte, North Carolina and Molten Alabama and Clay Alabama. I marked one off for some reason, so we'll acknowledge both. Appreciate you guys being tuned in and you're probably tuned in for opinions and entertainment and fun and all that sort of thing. And to those of you who I just described, prepare to be slapped in the face with the cold hard hand of science. Every year we go through the NFL draft and we see all these teams that made the playoffs. They litter the first round with all these draft picks and then they restock the cupboards and it's like that again the next year. But class is in session. We have class on Sunday night here at Pate State. And it's not an opinion class, okay? It's Not a philosophy class. This is hardcore science. What if I told you we don't really even need to play the season, we already know who's going to play in the national championship game. Would you be interested? Yes. You would follow me here. Again, not my opinion. Science. The past three years, 75% of the final four teams in the playoff went on to be top five in first round draft selections. Let me state it again. If you were in the final four of the playoff, you were 75% of the time about to go on to be one of the top five teams in first round draft selections. So not so shockingly strong correlation between having the best players in the country and making the final four in the playoff. That all makes sense so far. Okay. But here's what you're probably thinking. What does that have to do with this upcoming year's College Football Playoff? Because the draft is going to happen after the playoff. So how are we supposed to know who's going to get drafted? How are we supposed to know how many teams are going to have how many first round draft picks? That's where the science comes into play in the form of mock drafts. And we got several of them. We have accumulated, or rather acquired an accumulation of first round mock drafts. Cooper Pategna is on the hook over cbs. Jordan Reed at espn, he's on the hook tonight. Dane Brugler from the Athletic, Brendan Donahue from Sharp Football. We have taken their first round mock drafts and we have wadded all of them up respectfully because we had to put them in a blender. We turn the blender on, minute or so, turned it off, poured it out, took the average of those mock drafts. And what it provided us was pretty shocking. Jesse? Well, not really if you follow recruiting and portaling. But it was pretty shocking in that it's crystal clear, according to science, not us, who's going to play for the national championship this year. Now, I know some of you have kids at home and some of you yourselves are kids at heart and you don't want this spoiled for you. So if you don't want to know who's going to play in the national championship game this upcoming year, I rarely tell you to do this, but this is probably where you want to skip ahead. So I'm giving you a fair warning on spoiler alerts here. 3, 2, 1. If you're still here, I assume that means you want to know who's going to play in the national championship game this year as proven scientifically by first round mock drafts. Two teams rose above the pack, one of those teams is the University of Texas, and their counterpart in the national championship game will be the University of Oregon. Texas in the mock draft scientific community right now averages 4.25 first round draft selections for this upcoming cycle. And Oregon is close behind with 3.75 first round picks on average this upcoming cycle. Texas versus Oregon, the All time nightmare college football national championship game for the can't crowd, the cannot crowd. Because for everyone who tells me Steve Sarkeesian cannot win a national championship game, I've got someone over here on the other side of the fence that tells me, oh yeah, well, what about Dan Lanning? He can't win one either. And it is a fact that if they play each other, unless there's like a white flag parlay situation early fourth quarter, someone's got to win the national team title. So that's going to be the matchup. Now, if you happen to think that maybe Cooper Patecna screwed up, maybe Jordan Reed screwed up, because that's all that could happen here at this point, if it's not Texas versus Oregon, it's because either players, coaches, officials or mock drafters screwed up. Certainly not on us. We want the credit, we don't want the blame. But you might be wondering, in the very, very remote chance that it's not Texas versus Oregon, who were some of the other College Football playoff favorites? How does their projection in the first round mock draft average look? Well, LSU had about two and a half players on average. Bama and Notre Dame, two and a quarter. Georgia's right there at two. Ohio State, man. Ohio State and Indiana. Well, with good reason. All their guys just got taken, so they're gonna have younger rosters this year. Ohio State, Indiana, 1¾. Is Ohio State's icon green? Jesse, what happened to them? What is that on? Did Arthur Smith bring that a new color palette in? Got a new sid up there. Jerry Emig. Did he take the color palette with him? Anyway, Bradley, put that old graphic back up. I wasn't even done yet. Throw me back the slider with the averages on it. Ohio State and Indiana were at 1.75. Miami, Ole Miss, about 1.5 per piece. South Carolina is in this. So if you're listening over there and all hope is lost over in Myrtle Beach. No, it's not. First off, you're in Myrtle beach in May. Secondly, South Carolina's right there with the Miamis and Indiana's and Ohio states of the world. In fact, hear me tonight, not according to me, but according to the Cooper Patagnes and Jordan Reeds and Dane Bruglers and Brendan Donahue's of the World. Essentially a quote from them. South Carolina and Miami are the same thing. Essentially. That is a quote from them as evidenced in their mock draft. Texas A&M1 total, yet they have the 8th best odds to win it all. Michigan and USC sitting right there at about one apiece on average. Oklahoma and Texas Tech a little bit lower than that. Tennessee and Penn State. Goose egg. Jesse, is that true? You have no guys drafted? Rocco Beck's about to dunk on every one of y'. All. If. And look, this is a big if. But if you feel like disagreeing with science, be my guest. How has that worked out in history? But if you want to disagree with science, you can go over to FanDuel right now and you can bet against everything I just said. You can, you can absolutely bet Tennessee to win the national championship if you want to. And if it pans out for you, what a story you'll have to tell. What a story you'll have to tell. FanDuel, the exclusive odds provider of the show, we appreciate them. Talked a lot with FanDuel this week and we do every week because we're in pretty constant communication with them. I mean, it won't be too long from now that I'll be hitting fanduel Mike up, saying hey, putting together the JP poll for tonight. Out of curiosity, what would Minnesota versus I don't know, Florida State be on a neutral field? Whomst amongst us hasn't ever wondered about that matchup must be 21 and present in select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 and present in D.C. first online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. 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You can save money without missing out on the features you need. Check out Odoo at O D O o dot com. That's O D O o dot com let's wrap the show with this. The Truth Teller series is what we do this time of year where we just pick a certain topic or a person or whatever and just kind of tell the truth about them as Best we know the truth, and we spun the wheel tonight, and it landed on Lane Kiffin. But specifically, you know, Lane Kiffin over the last few years, Lane Kiffin, even over the last year. That's like a whole book, a whole novel, if you will. The move from ole Ms. To LSU. What's the truth about all that? Well, I think the truth about Lane in general, historically, is going to have to be split into two categories. So you got two compartments, if you will. You got the one compartment, which is Lane Kiffin the person. And I don't think many people are changing their minds at this point. Everyone's got a pretty fully formed opinion on what they think of Lane Kiffin the person. Now, most of you don't know Lane Kiffin the person, but you know of Lane Kiffin the person. So you got your opinion on that. Let's table that for a second. Then. Over here in this compartment, you've got Lane Kiffin the football coach. That one is still very much evolving. One of them is set. The other one, I think, very much is not. So Lane Kiffin at LSU has the chance to become a legend, has the chance to become an icon. He has the chance to do at LSU what Nick Saban did, what Les Miles did. Ed Orgeron found a way to do it. Brian Kelly, this millennium, is the only guy who didn't find a way to win a championship there. And if he wins a championship there, then it will affirm everything that they believed about him that made them pursue him in the first place. And also, Lane coming in there was. It was part. It was like the face of this big churn. There's a ton of change down there, but there was also a ton of looking around the country and realizing, oh, that's the way college football works now. Well, game on. And Lane's going to be the face of it now. If he falls flat on his face, well, that's one thing. And you know, at that point, okay, well, he still had his years at Ole Miss. He still lasted a lot longer than most people thought he would when he got tarmac'd at usc. Like no one, who in the world would have ever predicted him all these years later to be the head coach at multiple SEC stops, ending with lsu, which is a premier job in college football. But even if he fails there, he will have accomplished more than most people thought he would. If you go back to that period in time where he got fired at usc. But that's not the fun thing to talk about. The fun thing to talk about is If Lane Kiffin gets it rolling at lsu, which he's almost certain to do to some degree, then you will not find probably a more entertaining, must watch, just fun team to follow. I think about like Shay Dixon, who's, who's just been on the LSU beat for a long time. And I think about Shay Dixon being able to cover Lane Kiffin's lsu, but going back to the decision for just a second because that was kind of, you know, the genesis for why we talked about this tonight. Everybody's got an opinion, it seems, or go back to the time it was happening. You remember December, Ole Miss, lsu, Lane Kiffin and Ole Miss is headed towards the playoff. And we talked about it for several weeks on this show. I mean, November was a crazy time last year because LSU has already fired Kelly. You know they've circled Lane Kiffin. Everyone knows they've circled Lane Kiffin. Lane Kiffin knows they've circled Lane Kiffin. Ole Miss knows they've circled Lane Kiffin. And Ole Miss and Lane Kiffin are in the thick of a playoff run. And then it was, well, what do you do? What do you do if you're Lane and you're going to make the playoff? What do you do if LSU says, hey, we need you down here? Signing day is coming up right after the regular season wraps. We don't care if you make the playoffs, if you're taking our job, you're going to be down here coaching this team, running this program. We're not paying you to stay up in Oxford, Mississippi. Hey, what are you doing? Everyone had an opinion. And I remember pretty consistently saying then, as I will say now that we know how the story ended, nobody else's opinion mattered. His mattered. So like some people out there looked at it and said, it's foolish to think LSU is a significant step up from Ole Miss in today's college football because of what Porterland and Il have done to flatten things out. Like if Kurt Signetti can walk into Indiana and do what he's done over Ohio State, certainly you could duplicate those kind of results in the modern day at Ole Miss over lsu. And that's a fair stance to have. But Lane didn't have that stance is the only point. So it didn't even matter if I thought it. I'm not the one who's being pursued. Lane Kiffin was. So he obviously looked at it and said, even today it is a significant jump up in caliber of job to go to LSU as opposed to remaining an Ole Miss. That was the long and short of it. And then you can be mad at him, which a lot of people will be. You can choose to not forgive him, which a lot of people won't. You could be an outsider and just look and say, I don't know if I would have done that or oh, absolutely I would have done that doesn't matter. It didn't matter what I thought or you thought or anything like that. That's the truth of it. Now, it is also true that he could very much come to regret the decision. That happens all the time. That happens all the time. It's also true that we could look back on it five years from now and say that's the best decision he could have ever made. That's the fun of it. We don't know yet. Oh, that's our show, Jesse. That's it. Wow. Yeah. Hour and eight minutes. Why wouldn't it be? Guys, we got a big week this week. Two big speaker series stops. We're actually me and Perez are about to fly out right after the show tonight and head to one tomorrow. So I just strongly encourage you to follow on the socials oshpatecfb. We're going to a couple of places that it's really fun to see behind the scenes, one we know very well, one we don't know so well. But we soon will appreciate you so much. We'll be be back Thursday. We'll have a couple of speaker series uploads between now and then. Until then, for director Bradley, producer Jesse, I'm Josh Pate. Take care. Let's have a good start to the week and God bless. I'm U.S. transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. 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Episode: Updated Preseason Top 25 Rankings + Brendan Sorsby Latest
Date: May 4, 2026
Host: Josh Pate (iHeartPodcasts)
In this packed Sunday night episode, Josh Pate presents his post-spring College Football Top 25 Rankings, digs deep into the Brendan Sorsby/Texas Tech eligibility saga, fields bold listener predictions, analyzes SEC head coach job approval, and delivers a candid "truth teller" segment on Lane Kiffin. True to the show’s mission, Pate cuts through offseason noise, relying on insider intel, direct observations, and a clear “football-only” approach.
[06:40 – 43:30]
| Rank | Team | Notable Notes (Excerpted from Josh) | |------|--------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | 25 | Louisville | "Never leaving Jeff Brohm out of a Top 25… QB whisperer, Lincoln Kienholz, big upside." | | 24 | Washington | "Roster churn ended up positive… Damon Williams gets a chance at redemption." | | 23 | Missouri | "Austin Simmons at QB—was good enough for Lane Kiffin to name him starter at Ole Miss. A lot of potential, but also attrition means wide variance." | | 22 | Iowa | "It’s Iowa. Ceiling in the teens, floor never lower… nothing drastic changes." | | 21 | Florida | "QB Aaron Philo likely to win job… great WRs and RBs, high floor inherited by Sumrall." | | 20 | SMU | "Top 25 returning production… Kevin Jennings at QB, Rhett Lashley coaching—‘could be low-balling them’." | | 19 | Utah | "Coaching transition by choice… need more offensive balance, but trust program’s trajectory." | | 18 | Houston | "Willie Fritz is real good… Top 10 portal class, soft schedule, under-the-radar contender." | | 17 | Penn State | "Spring injuries dinged them a bit, but experienced team, could win 10+ if healthy." | | 16 | Texas Tech | "Sorsby’s uncertainty drops them; if he plays, could be higher. Number two portal class, but QB is the difference between ‘playoff hopes’ and disappointment." | | 15 | Michigan | "Tough to slot… staff overhaul is a net upgrade, Bryce Underwood’s production is key." | | 14 | BYU | "‘People are sleeping on BYU’—lots of returning production, continuity, dependable coach." | | 13 | Alabama | "QB likely a strength, but O-line and run game need serious upgrade… defense is ‘really upgraded in size’ up front." | | 12 | LSU | "Ceiling is Top 4, but major spring injuries/inexperience—‘starting point is not the ending point’." | | 11 | USC | "Year to capitalize—first time Riley’s had real line-of-scrimmage parity for Big Ten. ‘Should expect playoffs’." | | 10 | Texas A&M | "Talent always there, but what’s Marcel Reed’s floor? ‘Strong skill spots, OL depth overlooked’." | | 9 | Oklahoma | "John Mateer is the deserving 2025 Heisman winner (‘robbed’), team should improve ground game—defense is solid." | | 8 | Ole Miss | "‘Grossly undervalued’ by most… with Trinidad Chambliss eligible, ‘slam dunk’ Top 10. QB is a star." | | 7 | Georgia | "Structural strength means floor is Top 10… some pass rush and WR questions, but otherwise reloading again." | | 6 | Indiana | "National champs; some roster turnover, but trust Signetti. ‘Will Josh Hoover at QB fill the void?’" | | 5 | Miami | "‘Loaded team’—Darian Mensah at QB in a system designed for him, deep skill talent." | | 4 | Ohio State | "Perennial Top 5 floor; staff is ‘NFL-level’, need a hot start given tough schedule." | | 3 | Oregon | "Prime year—deep at WR, enviable D-line depth, built for contention." | | 2 | Texas | "‘This is the year.’ Portal haul incredible (Cam Coleman, Ryan Wingo). Will Muschamp running defense." | | 1 | Notre Dame | "‘They've got everything’—CJ Carr at QB, loaded defense, urgency post-2025 heartbreak." |
“I remain convinced that Notre Dame needs to be my number one team to start the year. They've got everything I want to from a roster perspective. They've got C.J. Carr at quarterback... Defense will be fine. In fact, they'll be loaded.”
(Josh Pate, 42:55)
[43:30 – 55:09]
Should Texas Tech get another portal window after Sorsby’s suspension?
On the Sorsby situation and sports gambling double-standards:
Latest on Sorsby’s eligibility fight:
Summary:
[55:09 – 1:01:25]
Kirby Smart (Georgia):
Josh Heupel (Tennessee):
Jeff Lebby (Mississippi State):
[1:05:00 – 1:11:45]
Indiana finishes with 8 or fewer wins (from National Champions):
SEC will have 5 QBs with 30+ TD passes:
Notre Dame loses in September:
Houston wins 11, makes Big 12 title game:
[1:11:45 – 1:17:23]
[1:17:23 – 1:23:35]
Segment Focus: The real story behind Lane Kiffin’s legacy and move to LSU.
Kiffin’s personality/reputation is "set," but his coaching legacy at LSU is still being written.
"If he gets it rolling at LSU... you will not find probably a more entertaining, must-watch, just fun team to follow."
Decision to leave Ole Miss:
"It didn’t matter what I thought. It didn’t matter what you thought. That's the truth of it. Lane looked at it and said, even today, it is a significant jump to go to LSU."
(1:20:00)
"Even if he fails, he's accomplished more than most thought after USC... If he wins it, he'll be a legend."
Leaves the story as one to watch—future still unwritten, but stakes sky high.
On the Sorsby Portal Window Question:
"It's an adult world. It's a big boy world, okay? It's not preschool. So you go and get the players, and then you assemble them as best you can using the information at your disposal."
(47:25)
On Alabama and Oklahoma Ground Games:
"How do I know the run game will improve? Cause it can't get worse..."
(36:45 & 37:35)
On Notre Dame’s Playoff Hopes:
"Notre Dame may not lose a game, period. But if they do, it's much more likely to be November than September."
(1:09:55)
On the SEC Quarterback Landscape:
"On the Heisman board right now, 9 of the top 20 are SEC quarterbacks, but that's not five slam-dunk, 30+ TD passers."
(1:08:20)
A signature comprehensive, intel-driven episode establishing the preseason College Football pecking order, analyzing the high-stakes Sorsby case, and providing context-rich, no-nonsense insights. Tune in for high-quality, fluff-free college football coverage with just the right edge of humor and honesty.