It does look good, actually.

After the odds had dropped quite a bit, they’re looking good again, with a 60% chance of restoration by July 1 and 88% by July 31, in the wake of groundwork looking like it is being laid in various places:

leo: BREAKING: Claude Code v2.1.190 introduces several string changes that hint at preparations for a Fable 5 return, with it being permanently included in subscriptions with weekly usage.

The string “You’ve used your Fable 5 usage for this week” has been added, and “purchased separately from your plan” has been removed

leo: UPDATE: Fable 5 has now reportedly also reappeared in Amazon Bedrock

If the update is based purely on the above info I would treat the new odds as overconfident. These moves seem reasonable to make even if you have no confidence in the restoration, in order to be ready if that moment arrives.

This also suggests a potential permanent quota for Fable for subscribers. Even a modest amount is a big game here, since even a modest allocation means you can use it for non-coding tasks or minor coding tasks within the subscription.

With that [...]

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Outline:

(01:42) A Rather Terrible Policy

(03:14) The People Have Spoken

(03:59) Thank You, Next

(06:35) Be Very Very Quiet

(07:18) What These Babies Can And Cannot Do

(13:54) What's The Worst That Could Happen?

(25:09) The Data Retention Policy Is About Defense In Depth

(25:51) Pick Up The Phone

(28:49) People Just Say Things