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November 13, 2024 Republican Senators today elected John Thune of South Dakota to be the next Senate Majority Leader. Trump and MAGA Republicans had put a great deal of pressure on the senators to back Florida Senator Rick Scott, but he marshaled fewer votes than either Thune or John Cornyn of Texas, both of whom were seen as establishment figures in the mold of Republican senator's current leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky. Scott lost on the first vote. The fact that the vote was secret likely helped Thune's candidacy. Senators could vote without fear of retaliation. The rift between the pre2016 leaders of the Republican Party and the MAGA Republicans is still obvious, and Trump's reliance on Elon Musk and his stated goal of deconstructing the American government could make it wider. Republican establishment leaders have always wanted to dismantle the New Deal state that began under Democratic President Franklin Delano Roosevelt and continued under Republican President Dwight D. Eisenhower and presidents of both parties until 1981. But they have never wanted to dismantle the rule of law on which the United States is founded or the international rules based order on which foreign trade depends. Aside from moral and intellectual principles, the rule of law is the foundation on which the security of property rests. There's a reason that foreign oligarchs park their money in democracies, and it is the international rules based order that protects the freedom of the seas on which the movement of container ships, for example, depends. Trump has made it clear that his goal for a second term is to toss overboard the rule of law and the international rules based order, instead turning the US Into a vehicle for his own revenge and forging individual alliances with autocratic rulers like Russian President Vladimir Putin. He has begun moving to put into power individuals whose qualifications are their willingness to do as Trump demands, like New York Representative Elise Stefanik, whom he has tapped to be the U.S. ambassador to the United nations. Or Florida Senator Marco Rubio, who Trump said today would be his nominee for secretary of state. Alongside his choice of loyalists who will do as he says, Trump has also tapped people who will push his war on his cultural enemies forward, like anti immigrant ideologue Stephen Miller, who will become his deputy chief of staff and a homeland Security adviser. Today, Trump added to that list by saying he plans to nominate Florida Representative Matt Gaetz, who has been an attack dog for Trump, to become attorney general. Trump's statement tapping Gates for attorney general came after Senate Republicans rejected Scott and appears to be a deliberate challenge to Republican senators that they get in line. In his announcement, Trump highlighted that Gates had played a key role in defeating the Russia, Russia, Russia hoax. But establishment Republican leaders understand that some of our core institutions cannot survive maga's desire to turn the government into a vehicle for culture war vengeance. Gates is a deeply problematic pick for ag. A report from the House Ethics Committee investigating allegations of drug use and sex with a minor was due to be released in days. Although he was reelected just last week, Gates resigned immediately after Trump said he would nominate him, thus short circuiting the release of the report. Last year, Republican Senator Mark Wayne Mullen of Oklahoma told CNN that we had all seen the videos he was showing on the House floor that all of us had walked away of the girls that he had slept with. He would brag about how he would crush erectile dysfunction medicine and chase it with an energy drink so he could go all night. While South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham said he would be willing to agree to the appointment, other Republican senators drew a line. I was shocked by the announcement. That shows why the advise and consent process is so important, senator Susan Collins, a Republican of Maine, said. I'm sure that there will be a lot of questions raised at his hearing. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican of Alaska, was blunt. I don't think he's a serious candidate. If the idea of putting Gates in charge of the country's laws alarmed Republicans concerned about domestic affairs, Trump's pick of the inexperienced and extremist Fox and Friends host Pete Hegseth to take over the Department of Defense was a clarion call for anyone concerned about perpetuating the global strength of the US the secretary of defense oversees a budget of more than $800 billion and about 1.3 million active duty troops, with another 1.4 million in the National Guard and employed in reserves and civilian positions. The secretary of defense also has access to the nuclear command and control procedure over his nomination, too, Republican senators expressed concern. While Trump is claiming a mandate to do as he wishes with the government, Republicans interested in their own political future are likely noting that he actually won the election by a smaller margin than President Joe Biden won in 2020, despite a global rejection of incumbents this year. And he won not by picking up large numbers of new voters it appears he lost voters, but because Democratic voters of color dropped out, perhaps reflecting the new voter suppression laws put into place since 2021. Then, too, Trump remains old and mentally slipping, and he is increasingly isolated as people fight over the power he has brought within their grasp. Today, his wife, Melania, declined the traditional invitation from First Lady Jill Biden for Tea at the White House and suggested she will not be returning to the presidential mansion with her husb. It is not clear either that Trump will be able to control the scrabbling for power over the party by those he has brought into the executive branch, or that he has much to offer elected Republicans who no longer need his voters. Suggesting that Congress could reassert its power. Falling into line behind Trump at this point is not necessarily a good move for a Republican interested in a future political career. Today, the Republicans are projected to take control of the House of Representatives, giving the party control of the House, the Senate and the presidency, as well as the Supreme Court. But as the down ballot races last week show, MAGA policies remain unpopular and the Republican margin in the House will be small. In the last Congress, MAGA loyalists were unable to get the votes they needed from other Republicans to impose Trump's culture war policies, creating gridlock and a deeply divided Republican Republican Conference. The gulf between Trump's promises to slash the government and voters actual support for government programs is not going to make the Republicans job easier. Conservative pundit George Will wrote today that the world's richest person is about to receive a free public education, suggesting Elon Musk, who has emerged as the shadow president, will find his plans to cut the government difficult to enact. As elected officials reject cuts to programs, their constituents. Like Musk's vow to cut at least $2 trillion from federal spending, Will notes, will run up against reality in a hurry. Of the 6.75 trillion fiscal 2024 spending, debt service makes up 13.1%. Defense, which Trump wants to increase, is 12.9%. Entitlements, primarily Social Security and Medicare, account for 34.6%. And while the Republican Study Group has called for cuts to them, Trump said during the campaign at least that they would not be cut. So Musk has said he would cut about 30% of the total budget from about 40% of it. Will points out that Trump is hardly the first president to vow dramatic cuts. Notably, Ronald Reagan appointed J. Peter Grace, an entrepreneur, to make government more responsive to the wishes of the people after voters had elected Reagan on a platform of cutting government. Grace's commission made 2,478 recommendations, but quickly found that every lawmaker liked cuts to someone else's district, but not their own. Will notes that a possible outcome of the Trump chaos might be to check the modern movement toward executive power, inducing Congress to recapture some of the power it has ceded to the president in order to restore the stability businessmen prefer. Franklin Delano Roosevelt was himself a wealthy man, and in the 1930s he tried to explain to angry critics on the right that his efforts to address the nation's inequalities were not an attack on American capitalism but rather an attempt to save it from the communism or fascism that would destroy the rule of law. I want to save our system, the capitalistic system, FDR wrote to a friend in 1935. To save it is to give some heed to world thought of today. The protections of the system FDR ushered in, the banking and equities regulation that killed crony finance, for example are now under attack by the very sort of movement he warned against. Whether today's lawmakers are as willing as their predecessors were to stand against that movement remains unclear, especially as Trump tries to bring lawmakers to heel. But Thune's victory in the Senate today and the widespread Republican outrage over Trump's appointment of Gaetz and Hegseth are hopeful signs.
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Letters from an American was produced at Soundscape Productions, Dedham, Massachusetts, recorded with music composed by Michael Moss.
Letters from an American: November 13, 2024 – A Detailed Summary
Heather Cox Richardson delves into the intricate dynamics within the Republican Party, examining the recent Senate Majority Leader election, the enduring rift between establishment and MAGA Republicans, and the broader implications for American governance and international order.
On November 13, 2024, Republican Senators elected John Thune of South Dakota as the new Senate Majority Leader, overcoming significant opposition from President Donald Trump and MAGA Republicans who favored Florida Senator Rick Scott. Despite heavy lobbying, Scott garnered fewer votes than Thune and John Cornyn of Texas, both established figures akin to the party's longtime leader, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky. Thune's victory on the first ballot was partly facilitated by the secret ballot, allowing senators to vote without fear of reprisal, highlighting the persistent divide within the party.
"Trump and MAGA Republicans had put a great deal of pressure on the senators to back Florida Senator Rick Scott, but he marshaled fewer votes than either Thune or John Cornyn of Texas." [00:15]
Richardson underscores the ongoing tension between the Republican establishment, represented by figures like Thune and Cornyn, and the MAGA faction loyal to Trump. This rift remains pronounced, exacerbated by Trump's reliance on influential figures like Elon Musk and his ambition to "deconstruct the American government." The establishment's historical goal has been to dismantle the New Deal state—a bipartisan effort initiated by Franklin Delano Roosevelt and continued by presidents across both parties—while preserving the rule of law and the international rules-based order critical for both domestic stability and global trade.
"The rift between the pre2016 leaders of the Republican Party and the MAGA Republicans is still obvious, and Trump's reliance on Elon Musk and his stated goal of deconstructing the American government could make it wider." [00:25]
Trump's strategy to solidify his influence within the Republican Party involves nominating individuals who are unwaveringly loyal to his agenda, often at the expense of qualifications and institutional integrity. Notable appointments include:
These nominations reflect Trump's intent to transform the U.S. government into a vehicle for his personal vengeance and cultural wars, disregarding the foundational principles that have historically underpinned American democracy.
"Trump has made it clear that his goal for a second term is to toss overboard the rule of law and the international rules based order, instead turning the US Into a vehicle for his own revenge." [01:00]
The nomination of Matt Gaetz for Attorney General epitomizes the internal conflicts within the GOP. Gaetz, known for his aggressive stance as an attack dog for Trump, faced backlash due to pending investigations by the House Ethics Committee regarding allegations of drug use and inappropriate conduct with a minor. Despite his recent re-election, Gaetz resigned preemptively to avoid the impending report, signaling the establishment's resistance to Trump's extreme picks.
"Gates is a deeply problematic pick for AG. A report from the House Ethics Committee investigating allegations of drug use and sex with a minor was due to be released in days." [03:15]
Prominent Republicans like Senator Susan Collins of Maine emphasized the importance of the advice and consent process, expressing concern over Gaetz's suitability and the potential impact on key institutions.
"I was shocked by the announcement. That shows why the advice and consent process is so important," said Senator Susan Collins. [05:00]
Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska dismissed Gaetz as a serious candidate, while others like Lindsey Graham of South Carolina remained marginally open but cautious.
With Republicans projected to control the House, Senate, presidency, and Supreme Court, the party holds significant power. However, internal divisions between establishment and MAGA factions pose substantial challenges. MAGA policies, perceived as unpopular in down-ballot races, threaten to narrow the Republican majority in the House. The discord was evident in the previous Congress, where MAGA loyalists struggled to gain the necessary support from their peers to advance Trump's culture war initiatives, leading to legislative gridlock.
"The gulf between Trump's promises to slash the government and voters' actual support for government programs is not going to make the Republicans' job easier." [07:45]
Richardson draws parallels to historical efforts to cut government spending, referencing Ronald Reagan's appointment of J. Peter Grace to streamline government responsiveness. Like Reagan, Trump faces the reality that while lawmakers may agree to budget cuts in theory, implementing them proves immensely challenging due to competing interests and constituency demands.
"Grace's commission made 2,478 recommendations, but quickly found that every lawmaker liked cuts to someone else's district, but not their own." [08:30]
She also reflects on Franklin Delano Roosevelt's defense of the New Deal, emphasizing that preserving the rule of law and regulatory frameworks remains crucial against movements that seek to undermine them.
"Franklin Delano Roosevelt was himself a wealthy man, and in the 1930s he tried to explain to angry critics on the right that his efforts to address the nation's inequalities were not an attack on American capitalism but rather an attempt to save it from the communism or fascism that would destroy the rule of law." [09:15]
Elon Musk's influence is highlighted as a modern parallel to shadow presidential power, advocating for drastic federal budget cuts estimated at $2 trillion. However, Richardson points out the impracticality of Musk’s proposals given the existing budget structure:
Trump’s inconsistency is notable; while the Republican Study Group pushes for entitlement cuts, the president previously pledged not to reduce these critical programs.
"Musk has said he would cut about 30% of the total budget from about 40% of it. Will points out that Trump is hardly the first president to vow dramatic cuts." [09:45]
Richardson argues that historical attempts to reduce government size often falter due to the inherent complexities and vested interests within legislative processes.
Trump’s vision for a second term threatens the foundational principles of American governance and its role in the international community. By aligning with autocratic leaders like Vladimir Putin and undermining global trade frameworks, Trump's approach risks destabilizing both domestic institutions and international relations.
"The rule of law is the foundation on which the security of property rests. There's a reason that foreign oligarchs park their money in democracies, and it is the international rules based order that protects the freedom of the seas on which the movement of container ships, for example, depends." [02:00]
This erosion of institutional integrity is met with concern from establishment Republicans who recognize that core institutions cannot withstand MAGA's ambitions to repurpose the government for vendetta-driven agendas.
Despite the challenges, Richardson identifies hopeful signs within the Republican Party. John Thune's election as Senate Majority Leader and the broader Republican dissent against Trump's extreme nominations suggest a faction within the party committed to maintaining institutional integrity and the rule of law. These developments indicate a potential rebalancing within the GOP, where pragmatic leaders may counterbalance the more radical elements pushing for transformative yet destabilizing policies.
"Thune's victory in the Senate today and the widespread Republican outrage over Trump's appointment of Gaetz and Hegseth are hopeful signs." [10:00]
Heather Cox Richardson's analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the Republican Party, highlighting the delicate balance between establishment principles and MAGA fervor. As Republicans gain control of multiple branches of government, the internal struggle between upholding democratic foundations and pursuing radical changes dictated by Trump poses significant implications for the nation's future. Richardson underscores the importance of maintaining the rule of law and warns against the dangers of allowing personal vendettas to dictate governmental actions, advocating for a return to bipartisan cooperation and respect for institutional norms.
Production Credits:
Letters from an American was produced at Soundscape Productions, Dedham, Massachusetts, with music composed by Michael Moss.