Armin Schulz (28:51)
Drivers to make decisions. Two points are important. Clarify this. Depending on your inclination, you might have heart attacks by now already several or you might not. So here's something I'm not doing that you might think I'm doing, but I'm not doing this, which is there's nothing here I want to say that says representing something is following a rule of sorts. There is a tradition and philosophy that connects representation and rule following by intimate or meaning content and rule following is closely connected. So if you're sort of neo Wittgensteinian, you might be, you might be jumping on this. There's sort of the Wittgenstein through Kripke Bogosian sort of line that does this kind of thing. And that's not what I'm doing. All I'm doing here is just that if you consult a rule in deciding what to do, you consult a mental representation of what you ought to do next. You're relying on a design. That's really all I'm doing. There's no intrinsic connection between colour, content or meaning and rules or something else. There might be one that's just not relying on. The other thing is I'm only. What I want to claim is that only desire based organisms can follow a rule. It's not that only desire based organisms can act in accordance with a rule. So this is a famous classic distinction in the philosophy of social science. Also you get this from the sort of, you get a sense of vaguely Wittgenstinian stuff, but he a well known distinction. And to get the sense of distinction, I can compute the square of a natural number. I can do this by consulting a long extensive list of natural numbers in their squares. So if you ask me the natural what's the square of three? I just go, is it one? No. Two? No, three. Okay. And then I go to nine. That's the answer. So for every natural number you give me, I'm just going to go through the relevant spot here. That's one thing I can do. I can also consult the function F of x is equal to X squared. I can just say, okay, you want me to tell you what the square of three is? Well that's easy. Three times three is nine. I can compute it. Now the important one is obviously this thing here. If you're consulting a long list of these sort of, these relations, in some sense you are, in some sense you are consulting the function F is equal to X squared because this list is generated from this function. But you're not, in some sense you're not calculating, not going through the calculation, just consulting. You're acting in accordance with the calculation, you're not actually following the calculation. And it's the same distinction I want to adopt here. So this is to say, what I want to say is if you're dry phase, you might act in accordance with the same rule that desire based organism is acting on. You're just not consulting the rule. You're just acting as if you followed that rule. And that's very different. So why is this important? I think it's important because the explicit consultation of a behavioral rule like this can save you energy and it can save you cognitive resources of various Kinds and it can be adapted in a different way too. So firstly, there's reason to think that if you're relying on rules like this, you probably require smaller memory store, quite likely require more smaller memory store than dry based organisms. There's some evidence that suggests that organisms that have to make, you know, rely on more mental states. For example, if you have a network, if you have to distinguish 700 different categories in the world, for example, you have a vocabulary lexicon of 700 different words to distinguish, your neural network has to be much larger to make sense of this than if you have to only do half that. Much larger neural networks are important and something similar. That's true here. You can either rely on one rule and a bit of extra information about the water sources, or you can rely on this potentially gigantic list of location, state of the world location and water sources, source action connections, which can be very, very long. So you have many, many more states to account for here. This is important because if you, if you can get away with a smaller memory store, a smaller neural network, smaller brain, that's typically good. Brains are really high source of energy. So if you can, if you can cut down on that energy, you can do the same stuff that the drive based guy can do. You just do it with the smaller brain. Good philosophy isn't actually good. It's also good because even if you don't want to move towards smaller brains, you've got now free space, as it were, that you can use for other stuff. Or if you don't have the space yet, you can expand your memory with other things. You can track more relationships amongst your peers or something like this. And then you could do some combination of these. It's also the case that if you rely on rules you have, there are fewer cases where you just don't know what to do because you're now in a situation where you haven't yet assigned an action to a particular location that you're in. You only assigned water sources to the location up to 12. And then you find yourself at location 14. And then you kind of like, I don't know what to do and you kind of have to randomize all the stuff or you don't do anything or something. And that's problematic with the rule because the rules at least potentially can be sort of complete. They're always applicable. You can always compute the row and answer. You're not in the situations where you sort of lack a piece of the puzzle. And so you're just, you're more, as it were, more Consistently able to act adaptively. This is sort of a point that if you're fabulous. Daniel Dennett says stuff like this a lot. And this is important because efficiency gains like this are known to be favored by natural selection. Natural selection is one of these drivers of evolutionary change made famous by Darwin and Wallace back in the 19th century. And there's plenty of evidence, most theoretical, that suggests that something like this would be true. But there's also, there's lots of empirical evidence now so far, for example, there's evidence that suggests that the evolution of bipedalism in humans, that humans walk on two feet, was driven by efficiency considerations in terms of the energy used in local molding between different places, the venation on leaf structure. So the way veins are distributed in leaves of various plants seems to have evolved by efficiency considerations. These veins are distributed according to maximal efficiency in these leaves and sort of further data like this. So there's good reason, empirical and theoretical reason, to think that natural selection is going to favor deficiency. That is cognitive efficiency, where it's available, is adaptive, is fitter, helps you have more kids. Now before, if you're a fan of this literature or if you know a little bit about this and so on. And here's something that's important to be clear on. I've tried to argue that there are fitness differences between two traits, desire based minds and life based minds. This claim is quite different from the claim or we need to say, even if this claim is true, you can't conclude from this that either we must assume that desires always must now evolve, or to the extent that we have reason to think that some organism uses desires to make decisions, that it must have been because of what I've just said, because of these fitness differences. We can't say that because natural selection is not the only factor influencing the evolution of many traits. For virtually all traits, I think factors other than the natural selection are relevant to their evolution. That's because most populations that you're looking at, if organisms are sort of at some point or in the valve and period, have been fairly small, such that just randomness in form of drift have played a role. For some traits, population have always been so large that you can basically ignore other stuff and natural selection is pretty much the only thing that's going on. But for a lot of traits at least, it's important to realize that other things other than natural selection might have influenced the evolution of these traits. Also, there's certain things like inheritance biases. So traits might not be transmitted faithfully. They might be transmitted in certain odd ways. Drives might be transisted much more faithfully than desires. So even though desire based organisms have more kids than drive based ones, the kids that the desire based ones have end up having a lot of drive based machinery instead of desire based ones. And that's not true for desire based order, something like this. So that's something we need to take into account. It's also true that muscle selection is constrained in various ways by genetic, developmental and environmental factors, including physical stuff. So sometimes natural selection cannot change the value of a trait so easily because that trait value is connected. It's a pleiotropic effect of the same gene complex. The same gene gives rise to two different traits. And then changing one trait isn't necessarily so easy because there might be selection on the other trait as well. There might be sort of developmental stuff, so psychological stuff that's in the cell or even later. So the same, you know, two traits might tap into the same developmental program. So if you, if you wanted to change one, you have to change the other. Or if you don't want to change the developmental program, you can't really change the one without also changing the other. There might be environmental constraints. You can't make organisms bigger, for example, if, if you don't feed them the right kind of foods, there might be physical constraints. Making organisms bigger makes them also have more mass, heavier, and you might not want to have them be heavier and so on. So there are all these constraints that you need to take into account. This is important to mention, particularly in this sort of debate, because what I'm trying to talk about is sort of the evolution of psychological traits of one kind or another, cognitive architecture. And a. When you're doing this, taking this into account is quite tricky. It's tricky because if you're looking at, if your soft tissue, skin and so on doesn't fossilize particularly well, cognitive architecture fossilizes even less well. Right, because you're not just looking at how a brain is fossilized through trying to get evidence for how brains are structured. It's not just a neuronaloid that matters, but of what kind of cognitive architecture that neural network realizes. And that's tricky to see. So getting evidence for these things is quite tricky. But because it's tricky, you might even say it is actually quite important to not forget that there is this evidence that we should be looking for. Even though it's not so easy to find, I should know it's not impossible to find evidence like this. For example, Stephen Meissen, a Paleobiologist has done work on decision making on hunter gezo societies using very ingenious methods to sort of determine the sizes of different foraging sites, the kind of prey that was hunted, the location of the foraging sites, what kind of tools they used and so on to determine what the decision making procedures were used in different hunter Gallo tribes in the Pleistocene and earlier. So there is, so it's possible, it's just kind of tricky. And the other thing to mention is that there is a history here in people doing this sort of stuff, evolutionary psychology, e things not taking these points into account and going from something like trait A is fitter than trait B probably to trait A must have evolved because it's fitter than this. So male, human males back in the, you know, back in the Pleistocene it was adapted for human males to be promiscuous. Therefore male promiscuity now is not a patient. It has arisen by natural selection because of this. That's not, that's completely ignoring this, not sort of taking into account, sort of any of the fact that we should take into account, not even trying to find evidence for these sorts of things. We have to be careful that we don't do this kind of thing. So what I want to say is I think it's important, it's important to be clear about the kind of conclusion that I want to derive and the kind of conclusion I don't want to derive. What I want to say is this. All I wanted to say is that there are fitness differences between two traits. And I think that's not making the next step into saying exactly which traits ought to have evolved. But even though I don't want to make that step, I don't want to say this is completely boring or irrelevant what I have to say, and here's why. So firstly, we need to know natural selection is important. So often just, you know, it's not sort of you say, okay, one trait is fitter, who cares? Well, it is a bit more important than this and it's particularly so for complex traits like cognitive architecture, sort of even people who are very sort of strongly in many senses, strongly anti adaptationist. So they don't think that selection is that important. Overall, they're quite comfortable with complex traits like mind designs and eyes, at least to a large extent having been designed by an selection. The reason is it's just very hard to imagine this stuff not having been influenced in some way at all by natural selection. So figuring out the fitter, I design the fitter mind design is important for that reason. And secondly, all I want to do here, and I think the same is true for sterility. And so that people were careful in this debate, all they want to say is the fact that one trait is fitter than another is evidence for that trait evolving, not more than that. It's not forcing us to accept one view or another. It's just saying here's evidence for this view. The evidence is that this trade is fair. That gives me a reason to think that this trade would evolve. Other things are going on here too. And the more I know about it, the more I might sort of say overall I should probably have reason to conclude this trade didn't evolve. But the fact that the trade is fitter is evidence for its evolution. That's all that I want to conclude. So in other ways I want to say here's a prima facie reason for the the evolution of desires, that they're more efficient cognitively. Prima facie reasons, just in virtue of what they are stuff can interfere with them. That's okay. There's still reasons and they should not be ignored just because they're prima facie reason. So it's a moderate conclusion, but I think it's still an interesting conclusion as we'll see. I hope it has interesting implications, but it is a bit more, bit more tricky than the sort of the knee jerk evolutionary psychology thing which we don't want to do anyway. So it's all good. Now at this point you might have sort of objections. You might say this is all wrong. And here are three objections that you might have that think why everything I said is just wrong. And I think these objections are. I picked these objections because I think they get an important stuff and I think I can respond to these objects. I think that they do raise important issues and that there's a lot of interesting stuff to be said in. So the first objection that obviously comes to mind is this. I used one sort of measure of cognitive efficiency which is sort of effectively quantifying the number of mental states you need to make decisions, right? The drive based one need a lot of drives. The desired based one need fewer motivational states. And that's something that's floating through surroundings discussion as well. And I'm just sort of piggybacking on this and using this. And as I suggested, this is not crazy. There's other people use some measures like this, but you could use other measures and you could create other measures that would have the relationship come out differently. Maybe drives are more efficient on some other measure of cognitive Efficiency, maybe one that takes into account different types of memory. Maybe if you're relying on desires, you need sort of declarative memory. If you're a relying on drives, you only need sort of process type memory. Distinctions like this, maybe these are important. And I want to agree, Erica, it's actually quite tricky to come up with clearly the good measure, the best measure for cognitive efficiency, that's tricky. And it's also obviously true that different measures of cognitive efficiency is going to order these two things differently. That's true. But I do want to say the measure I'm using is not correct. As I say, other people use it. It's not used just in this context, but it's used, for example, when you're doing linguistics and computational linguistics. People use measures like this, various forms of cognitive neuroscience. People do this kind of stuff. So it's not crazy. And. So there's certainly, I think this is, at the very least, I want to say this is a useful starting point for further work on this. Look, if it turns out differently, I'm finding things turning out differently. But at least let's sort of figure out cognitive efficiency is the thing to focus on here. Let's figure out a good way to measure cognitive efficiency. Maybe we need to take other things into account, but this is a good starting point at the very least. And particularly other things that people have come up with, it's not so clear that they work. So this whole process memory versus declarative memory distinction, that sounds really plausible, but then you look into the memory literature and then people aren't so clear exactly what the distinction is, which one is more costly at the end of the day, neurally they, neurologically they turn out to be not so strongly dissociated in some context and so on. So it's not so obvious exactly, exactly what we meant to say about these things. For us, I think the key is, yes, I think figuring out a good measure of copper proficiency is hard. My measure isn't crazy, it's got something going for it. It's a good starting point. And that's really all I need because remember, I'm trying to give you a prima facie reason for why desires have evolved. My conclusion isn't, you know, it isn't the conclusion. Anyway, this is definitely what happened. Here's one thing that might, you know, that speaks in favor, that would force the evolution of designs. And you know, I'm quite happy with us fiddling with this and saying, well, yes, drive based organisms, you need more drives. So that's Sort of, that speaks in favor of desires. But then other things speak in favor of drives as well. So maybe overall we come out differently. That's fine. But the conclusion I think as a habit still stands there. That's the first objection. Second objection also comes to mind. You might say, look, how do I distinguish again desire and drive based organisms? Because I said, I mean you can do the same stuff when you're drive based and desire based. They seem to look quite similar. And so how can I distinguish them? And sort of, you might sort of the more particular an institution like this, you might be more preparing like this. And you sort of say, look, I mean I want sort of, I want to be able to test this stuff and falsify it in some way. And I need data to do this. But if I can't distinguish desires from drives, how can I possibly falsify this account? And now here's what I want to say in response to this. I think a, obviously this is a wrong. It's not actually, I don't want to say it's a wrong. I do want to say this requires some work. But this is true for all accounts of desire, evolutionary accounts and all accounts of cognitive architecture. Effectively it's often really tricky to distinguish amongst different architecture. That is true, but secondly, it's not, that's not something that's impossible. I think there are ways to do this. And so the obvious way to do it is to do more cognitive ethology to come up with better models, more models about how animals make decisions, and then come up with the best way of figuring out how different animals make decisions. And over time these models should give us a clue about whether these organisms are better captured by a desired model or by a drive based model. This is exactly the kind of stuff that's in the last five, ten years been happening in sort of cognitive neuroscience where we try to actually look at how neural architecture realize what kind of systems you, what kind of process diagrams and so on are best used to capture the way certain animals make decisions. And then you sort of map these different diagrams onto each other and onto belief design, drive based organism architecture. And you get a way to answer this question. And the other thing I want to, even if you don't really. So this is sort of, I think empirical, getting a way to empirically distinguish these accounts is really important. But I think there's an interest even before you fully can say which organisms are desirable, which drive base, there's still an interest in this account because for example, I can say that there's something wrong with Sterling's account. Even though I don't have a clear list of which organization and which drive based I can do this because I can rely on other data and other theoretical principles to do this. So it's not so clear that we totally need the answer right now. The third issue is this picking up on the second point here we do notice here's what seems to be clear what sort of cognitive pathology says is that some organisms at least seem to be making decisions used on drive this is a model that's been used quite a bit fruitfully a lot of work in cognitive ethology. Amelia for example some mollusks mollusks. Not all of them however seem to be captured quite well by a drive based model. And this is important because you might say on my account having desires is fitter than having drives. So how is it possible there's still these drive based organisms remain? And here's this is important again also because this sharpens the conclusion I want to give and the anti the adaptationist worries you might have. So it helps us focus in on this. So the first two things I want to say is just the things that I said earlier about what one has to be worried about when it comes to natural selection stuff is firstly, natural selection is not the only factor that influences the evolution of Importantly, even for homologous traits of similar traits in different organisms, a natural selection can be differentially important because for example population sizes can be different. So it could be the case that even though having desires is sort of universally adaptive, natural selection as a drive of evolutionary change wasn't as important for all organisms, you know, in the same way. So we wouldn't expect drives the desires to evolve in more cases because natural selection wasn't equally important in all contexts. Secondly, there might be different constraints on how natural selection works in different organisms. Again, some organisms evolve desires, some drugs that's perfectly fine on my account. I'm not making this conclusion of me to assume this. All I'm just saying is this evidential claim and lastly I think the picture is more complicated anyway in that it's quite likely and I'm here this is something that also stood only at maids and there's lots but possibly people I think just say this kind of stuff and it is plausible certainly that if you're moving from a drive based cognitive architecture to a desired based code it seems that there's a period in between where you actually so drive based. Here's one more thing. Drive based organisms are at a local maximum. They're doing quite well. And if you have to move away from this, you're going to make bad decisions for a while, worse decisions than if you were to rely on drives purely. So you go through this period where you suppose of not as good as you were before, but not, you know, you're not yet in the desire based trajectory either. So you're sort of. Actually there's a period when natural selection actually selects against moving from drives to desire. So here's this graph. So if you're somewhere here, then moving away from drives a little bit forces you back to drives. Only if you get a sufficiently large jump over here are you pushed into the direction of desire. So this is also important because for the same organism not all of its decisions need to be desire or drive based. And one reason is just that for some decisions sort of moving, sort of, if you say you're Zorunya, you only face a fight and flight response in some context there's only two different actions you've got to do. Then sort of relying on a rule might not give you that many efficiency savings might not be that good for you so that the selection pressure is quite weak. But you already have yourself organized quite well. So any small change away from this in your cognitive architecture is going to be detrimental to you. Only if you sort of end up in some context where these sort of basins are quite small will you actually move over to desires. Or if you get a sufficiently large ship, if a lot of stuff happens, a lot of changes happen to your cognitive architecture. You might then end up saying well now a better adopt the side or something like this. It is also here interesting to note that looking back at Cerroni in the previous point I think, I'm sorry this is so far below but here's an interesting difference I think between my account and Cerroni's account because my account says desires are basically universally adapted. Taking all of these complications into account. Zralni's account doesn't say this. Zoralny says in some contexts having desires adaptive. He's sort of more cagey about it. So I think on the face of it I would expect that on my account we should expect more organisms to have desires rather than strands. Just as a first sort of thought about this and that's kind of nice. It's a way to actually distinguish these two accounts. For what it's worth, we're almost there. So good news, here's an implication. So if you buy this, all of this, you might say this all very interesting. Why should I care and you might care because you think it's inherently interesting, because you're a nice person. All of that also care because there's been a debate in cognitive science and philosophy about this whole business about why we're relying on representations in the first place. Right? Representation, you represent the world to you. But why would you do that? The world is sitting there. You can just, you know, as they say, the world is its own best market. Just use the world that's sitting right there. You don't have to rebuild a picture of the world in your mind. You can just use the world as it is in front of you. And isn't that going to be sufficient on this picture of this whole business about representation that's been popular for a while. It's an avoidable luxury that we should get rid of. And what I want to suggest is this is interesting because on my picture, in some ways my picture supports this sort of recent anti representational business. And in some ways it disconfirms it. Here's how I think it supports it. So how it disconfirms it on my account, what makes representations interesting is that they make it easier for organizations to make decisions. They streamline decision making. The difference between representation and non representational organisms isn't that the representation representation organism has to rebuild the model of the world, go through extra stuff, but it's rather that it has an easier time making decisions. It's quicker, it streamlines its decision making compared to driving. So that's exactly. It's almost the reverse of what you get in a lot of this stuff on embodied cognition. But on the other hand, I also think that a, because it's true that there might be this cost between transition period between drives and designs, and also because it's true that I think you can do pretty much the same stuff you can do with drives that you can do with designs. It is also true that you shouldn't jump to the conclusion that we should see everything, designs everywhere and every decision needs to be based on representations. You can get around the world quite well using drives. And there's often good reason to think that organisms cap this drive based model because it does quite well for them. Might be ultimately, if you could get to desires, you could do probably equally well, maybe slightly better with desires, but where you are is perfectly good. And in that sense I think the anti representationists are certainly onto something. And that's absolutely right. There's this idea that we shouldn't over emphasize this representationist business. Yay. Conclusion. What I've tried To give you is a prima facie reason for why something like desire based organisms have a wolf and have something to do with the, the efficiency in the organism's cognitive decision making mechanism. Particularly. I think desires are better because they sort of. You replace a lot of storage with a bit of computation. The computation doesn't need to be particularly tricky, it can often be quite simple. But this sort of replacing of computation with storage can be energy saving. This is interesting because it stands in contrast to Cerlani's account, which is maybe kind of like this, maybe he tries to gesture this. Maybe it's completely different, not entirely obvious, but it isn't quite Sterlly's account. And I think it adds something at least to Sternly's account. So what I'm trying to say is I hope to sort of add something to the debate about the evolution of our evolutionary understanding of ourselves, other organisms, our mind, particularly of designers, but also added something to the belief design novel itself in terms of the value of representation, the value of designers itself. And here's one of these things where I want to say, look, here's an interesting issue and you know, is this philosophy, is this biology, is it cognitive science, is it psychology? To some extent, who cares, right? Let's throw everything we got at this problem. Let's try to figure out how we can solve it. Let's do the best we can in solving this problem. That's what we're here for. Sort of how we label it at the end of the day. Is this still Carl philosophy? Is this sufficiently philosophical to be worth the name? Or is this just really bad data lacking psychology or something? You know, if that's what it is, then make it better. Then let's not worry about whether it has to remain philosophical at the end of the day. So that's my conclusion. Thanks very much.