Podcast
Macro Mondays
Hosted by Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold · EN
Each and every Sunday, former Global Chief Strategist of Nordea Bank, Andreas Steno, invites colleagues and friends of Steno Research to share their views on the world of macro and geopolitics with loads of actionable content.
We will maintain FULL independence without capital interests in having specific views and provide 100% transparency around how we trade and view the world
The podcast will be the most entertaining and yet serious podcast in the Macro Space and as you will notice our trade ideas will be “SOMETIMES MAYBE GOOD, SOMETIMES MAYBE SHIT” (Listen to understand the context)
Find out more about Steno Research with the 30% discount code “macro30” at www.stenoresearch.com/subscribe
66episodes
Episodes
Newest firstAll episodes
Is Iran War Deal Imminent? | Macro Mondays: May 25, 2025
3d ago00:29:21Summary readyReal Vision’s Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno Larsen break down the latest market reaction to reports of a possible Strait of Hormuz deal, what it could mean for oil and inflation, and why the next phase of the market may depend on whether Middle East tensions truly de-escalate. They also explore a surprising inflation driver in hardware and semiconductors, explain why consumer spending is holding up better than many expect, and share the sectors they’re watching next.🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Timestamps:00:00 - Monarch Sponsor 01:00 - Macro Mondays: Iran, Hormuz, and Global Markets01:31 - Strait of Hormuz Deal Rumors and Market Reaction02:50 - Europe’s Heat Wave and the Energy Debate04:21 - Trump, Iran, and the Weekend Negotiation Push06:01 - Can Trump Sell an Iran Deal to Republicans?07:12 - Abraham Accords, Iran, and Middle East Strategy07:59 - Oil Drops, Bond Yields Fall, and Markets Rally09:11 - Are Iranian Ships Actually Moving Through Hormuz?10:58 - Why Markets Care More About Hormuz Than Politics13:03 - Inflation Outlook: Energy vs Consumer Prices14:20 - Kevin Warsh, AI, and the Disinflation Argument17:45 - Which Sectors Benefit Most From Inflation?18:45 - Why AI Hardware Is Suddenly Inflationary21:08 - The AI Memory Boom and Rising Electronics Prices23:39 - Why Hardware Stocks Have Outperformed in 202624:02 - What Happens if Inflation Peaks in June?25:20 - Consumer Spending Is Holding Up Surprisingly Well27:01 - Amazon, Tesla, and Luxury Stocks as the Next Trade28:11 - PCE Inflation Data: What Markets Need This Week29:28 - Final Thoughts: Waiting on the Iran Deal🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryAre Markets Ignoring Inflation? | Macro Mondays: May 18, 2026
1w ago00:31:01Summary readyAndreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to break down the aftermath of the highly anticipated meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. They also dive into rising bond yields, whether markets should start worrying about rates again, and if the latest inflation reports signal something more persistent beneath the surface.🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Timestamps:00:00 - Monarch Sponsor 01:05 - Macro Mondays: Trump-Xi, Rates, Inflation, and Iran Hopeium02:40 - Andrew Tate’s 30-Year Bond Trade and Why Long Yields Matter06:03 - Why Rising Bond Yields May Not Mean What They Used To10:20 - Hot CPI, PPI, and Why the Fed Still May Not Hike14:40 - Iran Talks, Oil, and What Could Restart the Rally16:39 - Why China-US Cooperation Is Keeping the Oil Market Balanced19:22 - Will Trump Pivot Back to Rate Cuts After Iran?23:06 - Semiconductors: Is It Time to Take Profits?25:13 - Bernie Sanders, AI Data Centers, and the First Political Pushback29:28 - UK Bonds, Fiscal Worries, and Why Political Risk May Be Overstated🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryIt’s Beginning To Look A Lot Like COVID! | Macro Monday's May 11, 2026
2w ago00:30:33Summary readyAndreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to break down why today’s macro environment is starting to resemble 2021, from renewed concerns around the Hanta virus to rising input costs and supply chain pressures. Additionally, they assess the highly anticipated meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, and monitor the latest developments in peace talks for both Iran and Ukraine.🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Timestamps:01:07 - Why 2026 Is Starting to Look Like 202103:17 - Hantavirus, Covid Flashbacks, and Why Markets Should Ignore It06:30 - Easy Dollar Liquidity, SLR Reform, and the Return of Risk Appetite11:27 - Tomorrow’s CPI Report and the Next Inflation Wave13:29 - Iran, Oil, and Why Hormuz Is Fading as a Market Driver15:03 - Trump-Xi Meeting: The Underreported Macro Event of the Week17:30 - Best Portfolio Hedges for US-China Decoupling22:21 - Iran, Ukraine, China: Could Easing Geopolitics Extend the Rally?25:12 - End Consumer Scarcity: The New AI and Semiconductor Trade🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryInflation Inbound? | Macro Mondays: May 4, 2026
3w ago00:28:39Summary readyAndreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to break down the latest shifts in global markets, starting with fresh developments in the Strait of Hormuz, then they turn to the inflation outlook, and they tackle the AI narrative, asking whether the surge in capex and demand from mega-cap tech signals a bubble, as markets continue to climb despite widespread skepticism.Timestamps:01:07 - Macro Mondays: Hormuz Moves, Inflation Risks, and the AI Bubble02:02 - Real Vision Portfolio Update and Why April Was Strong02:44 - Microsoft Earnings, OpenAI Backlog, and the AI CapEx Debate04:36 - Meta’s AI Spending Problem and Why the Backlog Isn’t There07:06 - What Could Actually Burst the AI Bubble?08:18 - Fed, ECB, and BOE Delay Hiking Talk as Hormuz Risk Builds09:24 - Why the Fed Won’t Cut Rates Yet Under Kevin Warsh10:19 - Project Freedom: The US Plan to Reopen the Strait of Hormuz11:13 - Trump’s Hormuz Announcement and Iran Missile Headlines13:08 - Can Trump’s Move Break the Strait of Hormuz Deadlock?14:20 - Why Iran Risks Looking Like the Aggressor if It Fires on Commercial Ships16:27 - Why the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Hits Emerging Markets Hardest19:17 - Why the West Can Still Pay Up for Oil and Food Supply20:39 - Energy Shock, Imported Inflation, and the Real Risk to Western Economies23:53 - Trump-Xi Summit Risks, Global Trade Chokepoints, & China Dependencies26:46 - Solar Panels, Rare Earths, and the New Supply Chain Power Game🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryThe Rally Nobody Believes In | Macro Mondays: April 27, 2026
Apr 2700:28:49Summary readyAndreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold break down the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz as a risk for global energy flows and supply chains continues to dominate headlines. They also zoom out to the global growth picture, exploring why sentiment remains bearish, yet equities continue to grind higher.🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Timestamps:00:00 - Welcome to Macro Mondays with Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosendvold01:06 - Real Vision Pro Portfolio Tracker03:55 - Laughs of the Week: X Doom Posts & AI Slop07:57 - Festus Montana: Data Center Backlash09:30 - Energy Trade: Nuclear, Fuel Cells & Bloom Energy11:17 - Macro Pivot: Iran Stalemate & Strategic Patience13:27 - Crude & Jet Fuel On-Water Storage Analysis15:51 - Negative Natural Gas Prices in Texas vs 2022 Crisis17:46 - Geopolitical Risk vs Market Impact Disconnect19:10 - Investor Sentiment Disconnect at All-Time Highs21:14 - Goldman Prime Book: Low Hedge Fund Leverage23:26 - Semiconductors Rally: South Korea Export Surge25:10 - Mag 7 Cloud CapEx & The Next Power Trade26:46 - EU & US Grid Operators Rationing New Plugins27:30 - Live Show Copenhagen & Wrap-Up🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryWar, Oil & Liquidity - What’s Driving Markets Now! | Macro Monday: April 20, 2026
Apr 2000:28:08Summary readyAs the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran falters, bringing oil flows back under pressure, Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold break down the geopolitical fallout, from jet fuel shortages to shifting supply dynamics.🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Timestamps:00:00 - Welcome to Macro Mondays with Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosendvold01:06 - Is the War Back On? Jet Fuel Shortages and What’s Holding Markets Up01:55 - Psychedelics Stocks Surge After Trump Executive Order03:05 - This Week on Real Vision: Geopolitics AMA, Charting Macro, and Jim Bianco04:24 - Iran Reverses Course and Closes the Strait of Hormuz Again05:33 - Ship Attacks, Tanker Seizures, and Why the Weekend Escalation Matters06:06 - Trump, Iran Talks, and the Latest Strait of Hormuz Flow Data07:14 - Why the US and Western Economies Need Less Oil Than Before09:20 - Jet Fuel Shortages in Europe: How Serious Is the Risk?11:24 - Europe’s Flight Crunch and Why Airfares Are Exploding13:19 - Southern Europe’s Tourism Hit and the Macro Impact of Fewer Flights14:49 - What Europe’s 2022 Energy Shock Tells Us About Today’s Crisis16:33 - Why This Energy Disruption Still Looks Manageable17:36 - Can the Stock Market Rally Continue From Here?18:04 - Why This Is Still a Hated Rally With Investors Underweight Risk19:50 - Dollar Liquidity, Fed Reserve Management, and What’s Fueling Markets22:19 - SLR Reform, Bank Leverage, and the Quiet Driver of the Rally24:28 - ISM, Regional Fed Surveys, and Why US Growth Still Looks Strong25:06 - Fed, ECB, and BOE: Are Rate Hikes Now Off the Table?27:23 - Final Outlook: Talks on Wednesday and a Still-Bullish Macro View🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryIran Talks Collapse: A New Surge in Inflation? | Macro Mondays: April 13, 2026
Apr 1300:30:36Summary readyGeopolitics is still in focus after failed talks between the U.S. and Iran in Pakistan over the weekend and President Donald Trump's threat of a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz from today. Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold break down the implications of another oil spike, whether it could bring an inflation shock, and what it could mean for risk assets.🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryWhy Markets Are Resilient? | Macro Mondays: April 6, 2026
Apr 600:30:38Summary readyAs tensions between the U.S. and Iran drive volatility in oil markets and raise fresh inflation concerns, Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold break down the implications for global growth, central bank policy, and risk assets.** We apologize for the less-than-optimal audio, Andreas was traveling and will be back in his normal setup next week **🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryRisk Isn’t Gone | Macro Mondays: March 30, 2026
Mar 3000:30:09Summary readySteno Research founder and CEO, Andreas Steno, is back with co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, to dive into the latest headlines in macro. As the Iran war enters its fifth week, Andreas and Mikkel analyze a growing disconnect between market pricing and underlying macro risks, identifying key signals that investors may be overlooking.#macro #iran #trump #dollar #trumppolicies #macromondays #usd #dxy #nasdaq #dow #china #macrotrends #ratecuts #inflation #trumptariffs #trump #crypto #fed #powell #rates #economy #markets🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
SummaryThe Real Risk Goes Beyond War | Macro Mondays: March 23, 2026
Mar 2300:30:46Summary readySteno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno is back with his co-host, Steno Research’s head of geopolitics, Mikkel Rosenvold, to break down the latest global drivers in macro. In this episode, with bond yields already rising and central banks under pressure, Andreas and Mikkel assess whether global markets are underpricing the inflation and energy shocks caused by the closure of the Straight of Hormuz.🔥 And don't forget to check out The Arena, our new trade idea league. Get in on the action, and you could be eligible for prizes totaling $25,000. To learn more and join, visit realvision.com/arena.Connect with Real Vision™ Online:Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf#macro #iran #trump #dollar #trumppolicies #macromondays #usd #dxy #nasdaq #dow #china #macrotrends #ratecuts #inflation #trumptariffs #trump #crypto #fed #powell #rates #economy #markets🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe Connect with Real Vision™ Online:YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinanceTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramWebsite: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5PwDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf
Summary