Transcript
Fidelity Representative (0:00)
Fidelity Active ETFs have the flexibility to shift and transform as markets do the same. So instead of just riding an index, they can seek to outperform it by adapting to market conditions and pursuing new opportunities as they emerge. And while you get the potential outperformance of an actively managed fund, you can still buy and sell it on your terms. Just like any other etf. Markets can change in real time. Make sure your ETF can too. Learn more@fidelity.com ActiveETFs before investing in any exchange traded fund, you should consider its investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus, an offering circular, or if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully. While active ETFs offer the potential to outperform an index, these products may more significantly trail an index as compared with passive ETFs. ETFs are subject to market fluctuation and the risks of their underlying investments. ETFs are subject to management fees and other expenses Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC Member NYSE SIPC.
Jim Cramer (1:01)
Introducing the new Dell AI PC Powered by the Intel Core Ultra processor, it helps you do your busy work for you so you can fast forward through editing images, designing presentations, generating code, debugging code, summarizing meeting notes, finding files, managing your schedule, responding to Jim's long emails, leaving all the time in the world for the things you actually want to do. No offense, Jim. Get a New Dell AI PC@dell.com AI PC how those ahead? Stay ahead.
Podcast Narrator/Disclaimer (1:28)
Sam.
Jim Cramer (1:54)
Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer arca. Other people made friends. I'm just trying to help you make a little bit money. My job is not just entertaining, but I'm trying to teach a little bit here. So call me at 1743 CNBC tweet me Jim Cramer. You know what's fueling this market? It's the skeptics. That's what I think. The professional money managers are concerned about how far the markets run and the consistent gains we're experiencing clearly today, where The Dow gained 239 points, S&P advanced.01%. Nasdaq dip point to 8%. But the amateurs, the home gamers drawn to individual stocks now keep powering this strong move higher. And as we get closer to the end of the year, the pros start to throw in the towel and do some buying just to prove to their shareholders that they didn't miss out on the market's biggest winners. Those investors want to make some money too. I think that's what's happening right now could be early, but it does feel like there is a lot of fear of missing out, doesn't it? Today nearly everything went higher, putting crypto gold, pretty much every asset class the professionals see as overvalued. It's very easy to denigrate this market if you're a pro. That's because the proceed bubbles everywhere. Data centers, uranium from nuclear reactors, the power of course the data centers and quantum computing which really burst higher today. Spectacular fashion. I mean those stocks have just gone ballistic. The professionals want to see this specular stuff cool down. Including the datacenter stocks. They want those lower too. They see these stocks as pathetically overvalued, but they can't force them to go lower and they're afraid to short them. Sick A Fed accompli I think we're benefiting from a window that happens about right about now in the calendar with no earnings of any consequence in sight and lots of momentum coming from individual investors again who drawn to the companies that help them trade. I mean just look at Robinhood Coinbase leading the charge. Now with that in mind, what's the game plan for next week? Well first the President's been real quiet about stocks lately since the deal with Pfizer that makes it look like the drug companies won't get hurt too badly by the President's plan to roll back drug prices. The gains in big Pharma have been outstanding and they continue today. I'd like to see a deal with at least one more drug company after this rally. So far we haven't gotten another one, but look for that to happen next week. I can answer in the presence there's nothing about business because that usually doesn't last for more than a couple of days. Monday Constellation Brands STZ reports the company has fallen out of grace along with the rest of the alcohol plays. CEO Bill Nul is acknowledging on the last earnings call that the company is being impacted by ice raids in popular shopping destinations. The decline in volumes has matched the decline in the stock Constellation has been trying to bounce of late. At 12 times earnings is the cheapest I've ever seen it but but the multiple contraction seems justified given the company's recent track record as well as the rise of GOP Dash 1, which reduced craving for everything, including alcohol. Tuesday we have our monthly meeting for the CMC Investing Club with a very special guest. More about that on Monday. Then we get results from the always reliable McCormick problems though reliability has been enough to move the needle for this stock. The spice maker still has a premium multiple and at a time when the packaged food group has fallen totally out of favor in this market. Let's put it this way, if any food company can do well in a slowdown, it's McCormick because spices are excellent trade down material. The Stock's down nearly 10% for the year and well off its high. So it has a fair chance to bounce. But I just don't trust the whole group. Earlier this week Con AG reported it bounced a tad on in line number so there's some hope. But food's now a tough business. It's too hard for me now Dell this one isn't hard. They hold an analyst meeting on Tuesday and I think it's going to be true. This company has been the leader in working with Nvidia to integrate artificial intelligence. When I sit down with Michael Dell earlier this year, I was blown away by how much business he's doing in the space. Michael and his family office bought a huge amount of stock when Dell got clobbered earlier this year. It was a brilliant move. I think his analyst meeting will be the highlight of the week when it comes to things that can move stocks. Runner up though will be what looks like a sleeper right now Solstice. The Solstice analyst meeting Solstice is Honeywell's advanced material spin off which is now getting zero credit. Not the breakup that Honeywell is having will end up giving you a pure play aerospace company which this market craves as well as a building automation company that is some of the best technology and yet it's unheralded and you'll get the solstice is happening earlier. Now I don't want to get ahead of myself as the materials company might be an undiscovered gem, but Honeywell is making a pretty bold move here. So it's breaking up what former CEO Dave Cody put together when he was running the company. Now I praise Dave in my new book how to Make Money Any Market for his acumen at turning divisions around and constantly shuffling the portfolio to upgrade performance. I believe he'd be very happy though with this breakup by Vimal Kapoor, the current CEO. Although right now it's in limbo because the big breakup between automation, aerospace is very far away and no one wants to take a leap of faith that they won't get in now for what's going to happen more than a year from now. Now we've got a couple of important earnings reports on Thursday including PepsiCo and Delta in the morning. Now recently Elliott Management, a hard charging and Thoughtful activist fund took a big stake in PepsiCo. They want changes. Will management go with Elliott or is it going to fight Elliott? We'll probably find out when Pep reports. It's been a very tough time for shareholders of PepsiCo. But the stock now does yield 4% and it has a very solid stock franchise and Frito Layer. My concern as usual, is with a younger generation that cares more about their health than their parents and with the gop. Dash one weight loss drugs that cut back craving, including cravings for Frito. Lay's big business, which is potato chips. I think CEO Raymond LaGuardia hasn't been able to deliver of late. With the stock down almost 7% for the year while Coca Cola is up 7%. Comparisons are odious unless they're in the stock business. Delta is a tough stock tone. It's been among the best performers in the group, yet it's still down 5% for the year. I know that consumer is supposed to be weaker, but there's still an appetite for travel. I think it might work as a trade. But like I say in my book, these are the toughest stocks to own. So many things can go wrong after the close. Levi Strauss reports and this company's become very reliable despite tariffs. It had a 52 week high today. That last quarter was extraordinary. I think another good one could be coming. Finally on Friday, Austan Goolsbee talks. Now, why does this matter? It matters because he's a voting member of the Federal Market Committee. He spoke this morning on CM Central, our network, about an economy that might be too strong to cut rates. This rally has been built on the idea that more rate cuts are coming. Goolsbee's comments restrained the market in the morning. So look out. Because of the federal furloughs, we didn't get a labor report today. So everyone, including Goolsbee, flying blind. Here's the bottom line. We have a lot of anecdotal evidence of weakness, but not anything hardcore. But we need to watch this as we're about to head into earnings season and the bulls could run into serious trouble if the Fed doesn't take action. For my money, the economy away from the data center build out is getting weaker. This is no time for indecision. The Fed needs to cut because too much of the economy away from this multitrillion dollar buildout just isn't going anywhere. Sam in Massachusetts. Sam.
