Transcript
Fidelity Representative (0:00)
Fidelity Active ETFs have the flexibility to shift and transform as markets do the same. So instead of just riding an index, they can seek to outperform it by adapting to market conditions and pursuing new opportunities as they emerge. And while you get the potential outperformance of an actively managed fund, you can still buy and sell it on your terms. Just like any other etf, markets can change in real time. Make sure your ETF can too. Learn more@fidelity.com ActiveETFs before investing in any exchange traded fund, you should consider its investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus, an offering circular, or if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully. While active ETFs offer the potential to outperform an index, these products may more significantly trail an index as compared with passive ETFs. ETFs are subject to market fluctuation and the risks of their underlying investments. ETFs are subject to management fees and other expenses. Fidelity Brokerage Services, LLC member NYSE SIPC.
Homes.com Spokesperson (1:01)
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Jim Cramer (2:13)
Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer America. Other people make friends. I'm just trying to make you a little bit of money here. My job is not just to entertain, but to explain. So call me at 1-800-743- CNBC. Sweet me. Jim Cramer, the Consumer Calvary got here just in time to give us what looks to be the beginning of a Santa Claus rally. That's the only way to describe what worked today. Everything involving consumer spending couldn't come as a better time because tech's been faltering. We needed something big to replace it. Even as you couldn't tell from the averages delvacing 66 points. SB jumping point, 79%. But the tech lead, NASDAQ surging 1.38%. Let me set the scene. For most of the year we've had. Whoa, is the narrative consumer right? I mean, oh, consumer doing so poorly. Higher unemployment. True inflation kept the consumer on the sidelines. We kept thinking that they were just decelerating. Retail is pretty awful, except for Wal Mart, which powered through everything as CEO Doug McMillan moved to keep prices low. His own one man war against inflation, a war I think he may have won before he retired. We didn't see the weakness in the averages though, even though the consumer represents two thirds of the economy, because it was masked by the incredible run in technology led by Nvidia, but followed by Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla and most importantly, Alphabet. Behind the scenes lurked Open Air, the creative chat cbt, which along with Oracle, have been huge drivers of the burgeoning tech spend for most of 2025. Those are the stocks that drove the market higher. And that was the narrative we love. Lately, those skeptics have begun to challenge the notion of unlimited data spending, or Oracle raised a huge amount of money in the bond market, $18 billion. But there's now a belief in the market that Oracle may not somehow be money good for the financing of this massive data center build out, something it's doing largely on behalf of OpenAI. That's the private company. You can tell because people have been buying credit default swaps or Oracle's debt like crazy. Now, I do find that somewhat worrisome, I admit it. I am glad to hear tonight though, according to the Wall street journal, that OpenAI is trying to raise $100 billion. And at an $830 billion valuation, that's up from 7, 50 billion yesterday. Not bad, huh? If I can rate. If it can raise 100 billion at that valuation, well, then the company can keep building out data centers aggressively and stocks like Nvidia and Broadcom should be bought tomorrow. I for one, though, I'm delighted, delighted that the attention for the day was away from the datacenter valuations because the artificial intelligence trade has become very hard to fathom. And Wall street doesn't like hard to fathom valuations. So how do we start liking the rest of the market again? Was it just out of revulsion toward the trade? Somewhat. But it all starts with the consumer and what she has to pay. This morning we saw a decline in the rate of inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index, the core cpi, which excludes food and Energy prices fell to a four year low. Inflation had been eroding the consumer confidence and caused all sorts of consumer related stocks to just get hammered. These numbers today show that inflation may have peaked. Starting to come down in a very positive way. So many different costs are coming down. We can see that. We know gasoline's gone down sharply. Used car prices are down high single digits. All sorts of goods coming down to levels where they can move and while it's not in the cpi, home prices they are really coming down. We're going to more on that about from Talk about Lenore but suffice it to say that the average selling price of some houses now below where they were in 2019, I thought that would never occur again again. It's become a self fulfilling world. If the Fed cuts rates, the consumer should spend even more. Hence why so many consumer stocks have been roaring since last week's Fed meeting. Of course you got to ask yourself if the move is sustainable. I don't know tonight Nike looks terrible. That could be a lot of that is China. I think that the trend of lower prices though is just starting. Gasoline will struggle to rally given the glutton oil that gives excess cash to the consumer who can spend it as she sees fit. Retail, such a huge portion of its economy. It can mask the questionable kinds of transactions we've been seeing at the highest level of tech. Consider the retail winners. Say there's Darden. That's the owner of Olive garden evolving nearly 2%. Yes, the numbers from Olive Garden look great. Investor Club Holding Texas Roadhouse gained 1.6%. WILLIAMS Sonoma, we know how much we like those guys. Laura Albert that gained 2%. Target at.46 and Kohl's finished up 1%. Look, you got to start somewhere. Let's not forget there's a lot of consumer intact. Amazon for example is more than Amazon Web Services, even though Wall street only seems to talk about that. Remember they saw this e commerce website that you're on every minute and that's a huge giant tailwind in this backdrop. So does YouTube and Waymo owner Alphabet. Apple might be hurt by higher memory prices from Micron as we heard just last night. More on that later in the show. But a wealthier consumer may also buy more phones. Isn't it ironic that President Trump was railing last night about how Biden had left him with what was perhaps the worst inflation ever? When in reality looks like the inflation story is coming down pretty quickly. The commodities themselves almost all have come down except for cattle. If the President could Give the cattlemen checks. We could take beef from Brazil and bring that price down too. That's something that should be done. The Fed now seems justified in that last rate cut. The new Fed chief love declining prices to allow even more room for easing rates. It's going the President's way. He seems to be so busy trashing his predecessor he doesn't seem to realize when he's winning the war of inflation. Now this whole market spent several years trying to get away from just owning tech. In the last few months we've seen a tremendous broadening this rally. The financials have been incredible. Late Cities Crossing is up 60% for the year. Goldman Sachs is up 53%. JP Morgan is rolling 31%. The autos have been getting stronger and Stronger. Ford's a 35%. GM's gained 52%. Now it is retail turn. Just in time for Santa Claus. The bottom line. The CPI number was terrific this morning. Consumer spending looks to be alive and well and it's a huge win for the stock market. Best of all, it's a reminder that we can still rally big without tech, thank heavens. And when we get tech rallying and open air gets us money. So that story's out of the way, it's going to be all the sweeter. Let's go to Dustin in Oklahoma. Dustin, booyah.
