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Jim Cramer (0:11)
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Jim Cramer (0:32)
My mission is simple, to make you money. I'm here to level the playing field for all investors. There's always a bull market somewhere and I promise to help you find it. Mad Money starts now. Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramerica. Let's go make friends. I'm just trying to make some money. My job is not just to entertain, but to educate, teach you about all the crazy stuff that happens here. So call me 1-873CBC. Tweet me at Jim Cramer. Have you noticed the extreme negativity seeping in already? Even when the stock market was up nicely this morning for the midday swoon, the close Dow finishing down for 2 points as we declining point to 2%. Nasdaq losing 0.16%. All I heard was that well we've been up big for two straight years and we're due for a pullback. Or these are perilous times like the 1930s, high tariffs, collapse trade coming the 10 year treasury heading to 5% because of inflation, ineffective Fed overextended stocks its last legs. Sure, sure, I get it. But being a bear is easy in this business. If stocks go up, no one will remember your negative prognostication. Right? If stocks go down, you'll be a seer. We will sing your praises, worship you. You'll become the big get paraded out every time the market goes down big because you have street cred and you see that bear go. I love that thing. Anyway, you know me. Sure the day was disappointing, kind of like last week. But I want to tack the other way. I want to tell you what could go right. Give you 10 things that might cut in favor of the bulls. All right, they're not rip snorers, no trampling the bears hair, just some things that, well, let's say they make me want to be a little more positive than the others. I need to tell you what can go right because nobody else is. You know what? I like being alone. Some of the best moments of my Vacation just ended. Were being alone. Just kidding about that. First, the brooming of Biden's antitrust regulators as the FTC and the just department that will be fabul fabulous for the market. The party FCC chief Lita Khan. She seemed to despise every deal and truly abhorred all big business. No matter how great it might have been for the economy or for you or for the average worker. She is in the end way over her head. Her swan song a case put that will raise the price of alcohol for everyone if she wins. Perfect. Nice common touch. A real asset to President Biden. With that out of the way, we'll see a huge number of deals that will help rationalize entire industries. Allow smaller companies banking, retail, retail materials, entertainment and by software pharma to compete against the big dogs. Fantastic for the stock market. Just fantastic. The end of Lina Khan's no nothing FTC is a welcome development. Another way you know that we've had a developing shortage of equities. We aren't getting any big IPOs, at least not yet. But if we do, I am confident that M and A will take enough stock out of the market that will still have a shrinking share count. Always remember the stock market is indeed a market and like any other market, when there's not enough supply, you get higher prices. Third, what happens if Trump's tariffs turn out to be negotiable? What if they're more steak knife and less meat acts? A smart non smooth hauling program won't be great for world trade. But then again, America elected a pro tariff president. If you own stocks, you want them higher, you have to hope for negotiable tariffs that could cause countries to lower prices to us or make multinational companies move their manufacturing base here to a friendly, more friendly country. Classic case, Constellation Brands. Okay, a stiletto tariff policy would not force Modelo or Corona to be made in Toledo, Ohio. Fourth, housing breaks price. We're already seeing what happens when there's overbuilding, as this case in Florida. Prices come down. When mortgage rates go up, what happens? Prices go down. Once prices come down, you know what? Buyers start staying away hoping for still lower prices. And it usually works, causing sellers to panic, furiously cutting prices themselves lest they'd be stuck and can't move. It's called the cycle. Although it hasn't been operating normally for the last few years, I think 2025 will be the year the cycle reasserts itself. And the Fed will win big on this one, picking to be able to cut rates slowly, but cut nonetheless. Which of course is what we need and that's why these homebuilding stocks keep coming down. It's way too early to bottom fish there. Fifth, we need to hope that Bobby Kennedy Jr. Decides to go after foods that are bad for you as opposed to vaccines that are good for you. The makers of the GOP Dash 1 Weight loss drugs better have some pretty good data on hypertension, cardiac indices, maybe dementia, even cancer if they're going to get Canada on the other side. Otherwise he will just say no to Mountjoy. No, I just want to call him that now because I think it's really funny. Yes to diet and exercise, that's what he wants. I think it'll turn out the pharma hit bottom ahead of the appointment taking effect. Moon Giorno sick. Oh come on. I vacation having a good time. Give me a break. 20 years of this. Let me have some fun. Six potential positive. We start seeing some real AI wins, not just small expense cuts because of it. Maybe we get some true data on how to stop cancer. We create new devices that beat hard to kill diseases. We learn to map the brain to solve neurological problems. We unlock health care as it's never been because well, we' have modeled every major attempt to fix the body and how every protein reacts to it. 7. AI gives us robots that are programmed so well that they can do the work of five people, which could be a monster wave of wage inflation from Trump's proposed deportations. Robots replace people in restaurants, retail, homebuilding, transportation. They'll be unloading the trucks, medicine, insurance, credit card call centers. Sounds harsh, but Trump won the election running on a hard deportation policy. Assuming he pushes that through, we either have massive wage inflation or widespread automation. I prefer the latter. 8. President elect Trump declares the federal interstate highway system a full self driving zone and he accepts data from Tesla that allows the company to jump way ahead of Waymo and become the national self driving car. Big win for Elon Musk. Nice. The federal government endorses Starlink is the official Internet system for the country and must combination satellite phone and Internet services cost $60 a month. Big win for Musk. This Starlink is amazing. You haven't tried it. It's very tough. Competitor 10th. We get used to stocks trading in the trillions. It's not an aberration anymore. Right now there are way too many people who think it's really outrageous for so many companies we value over $1 trillion. Meta Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, the usual suspects. These stocks could all have a big surge from here if we simply keep getting more money going into index funds. That's what really helps propel these, not just the businesses themselves. Even as the businesses are phenomenal and deserve the premium. There you have it, 10 potential pauses. Of course, I could have run a whole segment the way most people want to hear. Trump's tariffs will bring massive inflation, which of course the yield on the 10 year to go through 5 trillion worldwide depression like 1933. I could have suggested mass deportations will drive up wages to the point where the Fed will have to raise interest rates. I could have said the Mag 7 are out of control and will become a huge source of funds. Apres 7 with deluge. Oh, come on. Anyway, I know I could have said Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft will miss numbers, that enterprise software will crater from competition, that one of the auto companies go bankrupt. But maybe I could just tell you the Palantir gets cut in half and Bitcoin goes down to $50,000. But the problem is, well, here's the bottom line. I don't believe those negatives will happen. So if you excuse me, I don't want to offer Cassandra. I'll let everyone else do that job. They're much better at being pessimistic than I am. Let's go to James in my home state of New Jersey. James.
