Transcript
Empower Representative (0:00)
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Bank of America Representative (0:31)
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Jim Cramer (1:04)
My mission is simple. To make you money. I'm here to level the playing field for all investors. There's always a bull market somewhere and I promise to help you find it. Mad money starts now. Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Man Money. Welcome to Kramerica Boom and friends. I'm just trying to make a little money. My job is not just to entertain. It's put it all in perspective for you. So call me at 107 with BCBC. Tweet me, Jim Cramer. What a counter trend day. We get a day free of presidential post. Glory be and the market just rules now gaining 675 points. S&P climbing 2.13%. House of pleasure, Nasdaq pole voting 2.61%. So before we go to the game plan for next week, I want to remind you that at any moment the President can wreak havoc on anything. I have to say with a gratuitous post reminding people that there's more pain ahead. I've made it clear that I think many of the President's posts are gratuitous. The house of pain. We're all aware of his trade war.
Empower Representative (2:08)
The house of pain.
Jim Cramer (2:09)
We don't need to be told, here comes pain. House of pain. Right now people are scared. We saw a shocking decline in the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey this morning. People fear inflation, worry about Their savings, which happens to be in many cases the stock market. They don't know what tariffs mean and they haven't had them explained to them in any satisfactory way. So they figure the tariffs are yet another thing that raises prices in the supermarket. And that's probably true. I know the president and his crew have chosen not to focus on the stock market because they don't want to be have it be a referendum on themselves. I agree with that. But it won't be. It'll be the voice of the people and what they're worried about. Think of the market as a gauge of hope versus despair. The results lately demonstrate despair. Even if today we finally got a solid session, the cause and effect are so palpable that you don't need me to tell you how these gains came about to you. All right. We're going to have another referendum. The consumer. It's going to come as soon as Monday when we get February retail sales numbers. I think the consumers pulled back hard because the consumer fears their jobs. They want to know if they're next. It's unavoidable, the President's ability to create a climate of hope or a climate of fear. And lately Trump's gone all in on fear. It's a shame. And it'll be reflected in what I am sad to think will be some dismal retail sales numbers. On Tuesday. We're going all happiness. We're going to San Jose, CA to GTC, the all things generative AI conference run by in video long, my favorite company. The event known as the Woodstock of AI is a week long affair and we'll be there for the crucial events on Tuesday and Wednesday, including Jensen Wong's, what I think is going to be an amazing keynote address on Tuesday. Hey, speaking of someone who missed the original Woodstock, I'm not going to miss this Woodstock. And to me, this is Woodstock. Look at these companies. Look at how great these companies are. These are unabashedly positive companies that create, that create wealth, that put food on the table, that give people jobs. This is what I celebrate. Also on Tuesday we get February housing numbers. We need these to get stronger because we can't slip into recession. That'd be terrible. Any kind of slowdown is quickly reflected in housing, which then gets reflected in retail. It's a delicate chain that starts with housing, which is why I'll be watching these numbers like a hawk. Now let's talk about something disconcerting. Home prices are too high. We all know that lumber is a big part of the cost of A house and we get a huge percentage of our lumber, sadly okay, from Canada. Right now the President's furious with Canada, Pretty furious about all that 51st state rhetoric. What if Trump doubles down on tariffs and decides next week to slap a huge duty on Canadian lumber? Hey, 200%. It could be devastating for both of us. Canada, but certainly us. Now, I don't know if we'll go there, but it certainly makes sense that he would, given what he's been doing. Just the right time to teach us a lesson. Right? No cheap housing for you. Wednesday. Super important. That's when the Fed Open Market Committee meets and they break up and then we hear what Jay Powell has to say. The Fed chief the last two numbers of inflation are actually pretty good, the CPI and the ppi. So maybe we're okay. In general, though, there are whole categories where high prices are truly sticky. Categories like rent, some food, entertainment. The Fed might talk about a weakened consumer, but I don't think they'll do anything about it. They might give the President a chance to lash out and blame Jay Powell for not helping the economy. Powell's an obvious target and you better believe he'll be attacked by this administration. I hope this dedicated, wise public servant doesn't read postings on Truth social about himself. Mr. Powell, spare yourself the pain. I also be very mindful that there's still one more round of tariffs that I'm expecting maybe as soon as next week. That would be 25% tariffs on all imported autos, whether they be from Germany or Japan or South Korea. I don't know what the President's waiting for. Doesn't he believe that these countries pay a tiny amount, usually a tenth of the 25% that the President's put on Canada and Mexico? I'm sure President Trump doesn't like that and he'll probably post that he doesn't. Maybe as soon as next week. I fear the President will choose Wednesday to lower the boom, so be prepared. Sure, the market's oversold. It may stay oversold by Wednesday, so it could possibly handle any auto related tariff news. But you have to be ready for them. They are coming and they won't be here in any measured way. Now we've got some important corporate news Wednesday too. First, General Mills reports and I read a piece this morning that predicted that they'd missed the numbers. I know Mills is in the crosshairs of the Secretary of Health and Human services, Bobby Kennedy Jr. Because there's artificially colored cereals make you want to eat stuff that's too sugary. Plus it makes some fattening foods that won't do well when people are continuing to adopt the GOP1 weight loss drugs with a vengeance. I don't expect a good number here and nobody else does either. Thursday's abnormally huge in the morning. We have Darden, the parent of Olive Garden. The restaurant cohort is still all over the map. I see a lot to like about the ones that offer the customers a great value and that's why I'm betting we'll see good numbers from Darden after the close. The big guns come on out. First we get results from FedEx. The transports hit a new low yesterday and people are really fleeing this group. This may be our opportunity to buy a high quality transport at a big discount as FedEx continues to cut corporate costs. I like that. I want to start a position here as I think CEO Raj Subramanian is doing a remarkable job. Fantastic. Then we got Micron, this very valuable chip maker, one that's been very committed to the United States more than any other major semiconductor play, received a $6.16 billion grant from the Biden administration as part of the Chips and Science Act. Well, President Trump post that it's time for Micron to give the money back. It could definitely be a moment to rain on Micron's parade as I expect a decent quarter from these guys because the DRAM market's healthy and more important, their high bandwidth memory product line is integral through the data center and it's on fire. Should they be attacked for taking money that was offered to them, I think 99% of us would take it. Then there's Nike, which needs to officially say that it's back on track and ready to grow again. If management does that, $71 stock will see 80 very quickly. I regard Nike as a coiled spring. Minimal downside. Certainly worth doing one more housing kingpin, Lenore reports. And if I think it's what I think is going to happen, lumber will be on the table. It will be discussed very negatively. Stuart Miller, the executive chairman, will speak to the question of affordable housing. He's been important in trying to make that happen, as we saw earlier this week when CNBC focused on a Texas housing project that used 3D printing and concrete to build what looked like some fine homes. By Lenore. Finally on Friday, we hear from Carnival, the cruise line. Cruise lines are flagged outside of the US which has made them the target of the Commerce Department. I wonder if Commerce Secretary Howard London picks this day to lay into Carnival if not, I think that the group's been strong even as the stocks have been awful of late. We know the business isn't weak and therefore Carnival stock could be ready to roll as long as it's not attacked by the administration. But the bottom line, no matter what we hear from these companies next week, this market's hostage to the White House and the Federal Reserve. And the latter can post unfair fight. Let's go to Jake in New York, please. Jake.
