Transcript
Empower Representative (0:00)
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Homes.com Representative (0:31)
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Jim Cramer (1:22)
My mission is simple to make you money. I'm here to level the playing field for all investors. There's always a bull market somewhere and I promise to help you find it. Mad Money starts now. Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer America. Other people want to make friends. I'm just trying to save you some money. My job is not just to entertain, but to educate you. So call me at 1-800-7-for3 CNBC or tweet me Jim Cramer. It's time to praise the winners once you don't need to wait until April 2nd to find out whether their business will be slammed by tariffs when President Trump announces whose earnings will be cut and who stay the same in a host of industries because tariffs are like taxes and they can cut deep into profits. Say it all came together even as the averages got hit. Dow slipping 133 points as being losing 1.12%. But the NASDAQ tumbling 2.04%. Wall street basically decided to rally around the domestics, especially on service side, and really put the wood to Companies with big international businesses. You know what, it all makes sense because after the close, President Trump announced a 25% tariff on all cars made outside the US and that is a lot tougher than many thought we'd see. Although it's something that I suggested could happen this morning. All the better to own service company stocks of fair warning. I said that this could happen. Well, I couldn't find a soul. Believe, believe me. Yet now there will be huge tariffs on 7.38 billion cars coming here. And I think it's going to upset the world when? How about tonight? But that doesn't mean there can't be winners here. When the smoke clears, all you got to do is look at the S and P leaderboard, the stocks that shone brightly today at the top of the old Kramer favorite Cintas. It's the uniform rental play. It aged more than a million companies, mostly small, medium sized businesses with much more than their clothes used to be just uniforms. Now they got natural accessories, mats, mops, first aid equipment, all sorts of restroom supplies. Santos crushed the numbers today with much better than expected revenue growth. The highest gross margins the company's ever had. CEO Todd Schneider reached out to me to tell me, quote, there is some uncertainty in the marketplace which we are carefully monitoring, but our value proposition continues to resonate. End quote. See service business small cap not worried about tariffs. Now I was bummed to hear that they're no longer pursuing a merger with Universe. But the target didn't want to play ball. Too bad. Could have been an unassailable giant that we don't be talking about. But after looking at this quarter's book of business, I know that Cintos can live without them and is not impacted by tariffs and others paychecks which we have on tonight. Paychecks work with small and medium sized business. US US Businesses manage payrolls and they offer all sorts of services. Services being precisely the kind of thing that won't be hit by tariffs. Remember, you may think that's a low bar, but think again. So many of our major companies have expanded overseas that the sea of The S&P 500 is pretty much blanketed with mines. And we have very pure public service companies. There's also Dollar Tree. That's the all American dollar store that reported very good numbers today but mercifully dumped Family Dollar. Now that was an ailing business. It never should have been bought in the first place. More on that later. Now I know a very significant portion of dollar cheese merchandise comes from China. But on their conference call they said they'd be able to mitigate a lot of the costs. Now that is great news. No wonder the stock rally more than 3%. Finally, look at a little alpha called Millennial Health care. Again, I'm looking at the leaderboard, the domestic health insurer that works with state governments to give people health care while trying to keep costs down. These guys have no exposure to tariffs whatsoever. One reason why the stock could rallied more than 4% today. That's an ideal service business when you're talking about 25% tariffs on foreign cars. Now let's consider the other side of the trade. The biggest losers. All of which were somehow connected to the data center. Except moderna, which plunged 7% because of financial Times story. It says they might target RFK Jr be targeted by RFK Jr at health and Human Services. And it's certainly possible. Now, what happened in the service side here that was actually difficult was Surface Super Micro. They provide hardware, but they also provide services. They along with Arista Networks and Broadcom, they were all part of the data center story that people seem to have cooled on. And then what is really the one at the blast center right where you most felt it today? Nvidia. Hence this nearly 6% decline. We spent a lot of time in Nvidia last week. Right now people don't like the stock of Nvidia. Now, we can go over all of these and I can tell you that many people believe the data center story is done after rumored canceling of some data center builds by Microsoft. But given how intertwined Microsoft is with an Alpha called Open Air that we talked to last week, that's the alpha behind Chachi Beatty. I think it's possible Microsoft's cancellation may simply mean that they're making Open Air pay for its own computing power. I bet the data center buildout continues apace, but very few people believe right now. View, we're in a curious moment here where any reassurances that the industrial revolution of AI is still on just won't cut it. Every single stock in the sector is being mauled by the bears and video is being torn to pieces. So let's go to the epicenter of the zone, because that's what I like to do. I want you to put your containment suit on first. Make sure you have a Geiger counter with you. Because in videos being subject to nothing less than a nuclear bear attack and the radiation burns are scaring shareholders as they question what the heck they're in this one for. Let's start with the White House There have been a feeling among executives that the strictures put on by President Biden against Nvidia when he did it right on the way out, once it limited the countries that Nvidia could sell its best chips to, they might be lifted by President Trump. Now all day I'm hearing that that's wrong, that Trump actually may even go harder against Nvidia, and that alone could be reason to sell the stock. But there's more. This morning the Financial Times penned a story saying that a video chip somehow ran afoul of Chinese pollution controls. Given that China puts up two coal plants a week, I was astonish. You hear that they could care about the pollution at all from Nvidia. It sounded like the typical journalist hit job against the video that keeps popping up. Nevertheless, along with the rumor White House shut slap down, well, you can expect the stock to get hit. I know some of you don't care about the technicals, but you know what? There are enough people who do that. I'm going to bring it up in videos. Death cross formation happened about a week ago. That's where the 50 day moving average plunges below the 200 day moving average. And it's widely seen as a terrifying development. Sell, sell, sell. Why does this matter? Because this stock is the subject of a tremendous amount of technical pressure. There are multiple inverse Nvidia ETFs. That's bets against the stock. There are also used bets being placed all day against Nvidia in what's known as the zero day options market. That's where traders can make a one day bet against Nvidia. And boy are they ever doing that. How does it work? You buy a put option on the stock. The customer on the other side isn't interested in making that same making a long bet, which is what they have to do. So what do they do? They have to go in and short the stock to the people who do these trades aren't all that savvy about Nvidia, but they're savvy about the death cross, which makes it a bit of a self fulfilling fair raid. Sell, sell, sell. The house of pain. So what do you do if you own Nvidia? Well look, if I were back in my old hedge fund, I'd ask myself why the heck did I buy this in the first place? The answer is that I believe in the new AI powered industrial revolution where everything tech has to be remade with Nvidia's GPUs allowing autonomous vehicles and robots eventually rule the world. I haven't changed My stance, however, I don't believe in self flagellation. I see the stock coming down from here. I've been saying that it's become a whipping boy. I've been saying that it will only get worse with tonight's tariffs. Believe me, it's okay to believe in the stock, but understand that right now it's not right down here. Less than 25 times this year's earnings estimates though. I think in video is cheap. But I don't think it's done going down because the bears can plan stories about it. And as long as it goes down after the Bears plan stories, that means the stock is in the wrong hands. So how do I describe it? I think this stock trades like a wavy inflatable tube man, also known as an air dancer. Not exactly a Statue of Liberty. My advice, if you think of videos cheap and you and the data center, the chief home of various ships is bent, well, then what? You know, there's nothing wrong with owning a tube man, except when you see a move south like this, you have to give it some room. You have to let it come down. Okay, you know those two men, you know that it's like, you know, used car. That's what Nvidia feels like right now. All right, now, one day we'll get certainly we're going to get some certainty on Nvidia. And if we can get that certainty, we also know what's happening with a whole host of other stocks. They'll all stop going down on Marvel Tack, a Broadcom, ge, Bruno Vista. But the bottom line, Nvidia is the linchpin of this group and the pin is failing. I don't know whether the stock plunges from here, but if you like it enough to keep owning it, I say prepare for the tube man. Turbulence Jeff in South Carolina.
