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Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer Do My friends. Hey look, I'm just trying to make a little bit of money here. My job is entertainment. To put in context, call me 1-800-743-CBC. Tweet me at Jim Cramer the greatest story ever told. Lower inflation, high growth got thrown for a loop today and across the average Dow tumbling 785 points, SB plunging.5.6%. The Nasdaq declined point to 6. It's easy to see how this happened though. Earlier this week, Wall street figured the war with Iran wouldn't do too much economic damage. But today the price of West Texas crude shot up above $80, again reaching the low 80s. Now, it did settle back in the high 70s, but this kind of action has been starting to get it's just too hard for people and they're selling. Even though I'm telling you you should stay in. Making things worse, a key leadership group, the semiconductors, got kneecapped today. See, with the exception of China, our government mostly has a no borders policy for our best chips that can be sold anywhere. But today we heard rumors that the government wants to interject itself into the all the foreign semiconductor sales they want to gate us before Nvidia AMD sell any AI accelerators overseas, they got to get permission from the White House. Now I have no idea if this is true or not. We're we know the Biden administration restricted sales like this to the best semis to barely more than a dozen friendly nations. I always thought it was stupid and it sure seemed like the Trump administration agreed with that position. They wanted American chips to dominate, but if the government starts blocking these companies from selling their best chips overseas, I think they're Basically handing the whole market to China. That's why it's so out of character. The Trump White House typically doesn't like giving China leg up especially when it's something we're so good at like semiconductors. Well, I love it. If video could sell its chips everywhere. I understand that the case against lithium selling China. I get that. I don't agree but I get it. But blocking them for selling other countries, that'd be a travesty. This rumors why the market lost a key leadership midday Nobody wants to touch the semis if their total addressable market is about to get clubbed by the government. My hope is that this one spiked especially because Marvell Technology reported an amazing quarter this very night. It along with Broadcom, Nvidia and AMD would be ready to soar if the Trump administration says something like now we're not going to do that. We're not going to let our companies be held back and let the Chinese have to jump on us. Now the good news is that the price of oil can come down that the semiconductors maybe it gets spiked. Oh that would be so good. And maybe they don't go through with it. The bad news is there is a war on and it's not a stable setup for a rally as much as we'd like to think it is. I know there are no do overs in this business just narratives of what could have been. So let me tell you what could have happened if oil hadn't spiked, the ministry hadn't been new regulations or the semis the best performing stocks to tantalize. I'll tell you one thing, it would have been fabulous. This morning we had a monster reversal something that's plagued this market for a while the awkwardly named halo trade. Halo means heavy asset, low obsolescence companies in the managed search for something, anything that might be immune to AI money managers seized on industrial companies that face no competition. May I? If anything this technology only make them more efficient. So we gravitated to the Honeywell's the Nucor's RTX is any company help us build our data centers the halos companies that make tangible things for profit. It was working and it felt good. We had so many great industrials running. But today, perhaps because of the stellar earnings from Broadcom, a gigantic semiconductor company with a software division a stock that had been hammered until until today. Maybe it's because of the bounce that we saw on ServiceNow Workday, Adobe Salesforce and now Beaver Systems. It looks like the halo traders lost its halo. The five stocks I just mentioned are all enterprise software players. There's been a widespread belief that anything enterprise software can and will be hobbled by anthropic or OpenAI, the two horsemen of the software apocalypse. I think the rebound in this group is long overdue. Sure, it's absolutely possible that these software companies will lose some business to the reapers by coming into today. The enterprise software stocks have been trading like they were in danger of going out of business. That's absurd. These companies aren't run by a bunch of bozos. Their CEOs see what's happening. They're fiercely pivoting to combat any newfound competition. Code written by artificial intelligence. It might just be a temporary reprieve, but before the oil rally crushes, these stocks seem like they're headed for a major retracement. And that could help everything from private equity to anybody who actually believes that it's not going to destroy everything. In this scenario, you're supposed to sell the halo names, dump the tax, buy the recession proof health care stocks if things are. If oil keeps going up. But you know, the health care stocks were slaughtered too. So it's very difficult to see without oil going down how we can really make a big move. Look, I think the President's going to have to open the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to push down the price of gasoline, perhaps until the war is over. Those worried about inflation need to hope that the spike is temporary. And the new Fed chief needs to come to grips with the fact that some inflationary input simply can't be ignored. Most of all, we need clarity on what the President really wants, both the semiconductor exports and with the war in Iran. Until then, the bottom line is we have to face the fact that the market's in limbo. I hate limbo, but I accept that there are always a lot of limbo in 2026 so far. And we need to learn to live with it if we're ever going to get to the promised land of higher prices. And you've got to stay in if you're going to get there too. Let's go to John in New York. John.
