Transcript
Bank of America (0:01)
As America's leading business lender, bank of America is on your corner and in your corner. With $215 billion in business loans and over 3,700 business specialists across the nation, we help businesses thrive so communities prosper. What would you like the power to do? Learn more@bankofamerica.com LOCALBUSINESS bank of America Official bank of FIFA Club World Cup 2025 Copyright 2025 bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.
Keith Landsford (0:31)
This episode is brought to you by Schwab Market Update, an original podcast from Charles Schwab. Join host Keith Landsford for this information packed daily market Preview delivered in 10 minutes or less, including projected stock updates, monetary policy decisions and key results and statistics that may impact your trading. Download the latest episode and subscribe@schwab.com MarketUpdatePodcast or find Schwab Update wherever you get your podcasts.
Jim Cramer (1:25)
Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Crame America. Other bill made friends. I'm just trying to make you a little money. My job is not just entertain, but to educate. Put everything in context. Call me 1-800-743- CNBC. Tweet me. ImKramer. Maybe no one wants tariffs on either side of the table except the President of the United States. You know, that's what went through my mind when a panel of federal judges pronounced most of this year's tariffs to be illegal and the S and P futures soared to the sky in the overnight markets, only to come back down hard when the White House indicated there will be tariffs by other means. Then this afternoon, the federal appeals court put a stay on the first ruling allowing tariffs to stay in place for now pending the outcome of appeal. And that is why we gave up those early gains, dow only advancing 117 points, S&P climbing point 4% and the Nasdaq rising 0.39%. But just to give you an example, the Nasdaq had fallen up almost 2% after the close when we learned that the first court had blocked the tariffs. Now it didn't even seem to matter to the President that the US Court of International Trade thought that he exceeded the checks and balances protected by the institution and the Constitution. He's going to have those tariffs by any means necessary. Now, it's possible that the tariffs could bring in hundreds of billions of dollars to the treasury on top of whatever savings we get from Doge, the one time residence of Elon Musk. But even if you doubled those already optimistic numbers, it wouldn't offset the $3 trillion hole that the President's big, beautiful budget bill could blow into the federal budget deficit. Honestly, though, what's far more important is the recognition that our economy's plummeted into negative territory. As we learned today, the GDP fell point two percent in the first quarter. I know some will argue the desire to beat the tariffs caused some of that weakness, but what caused. What then caused the weekly jobless claims to hit their highest level in three years? What caused pending sales of previously owned homes to fall the most since September of 2022? Well, mortgage rates are 7%. They're too high now. Interest rates fell today, which is what happens when the economy weakens. And that welcome decline generated more chatter about how the Fed will have to cut rates to make things better. Which I come back and ask, all right, how did it come to pass that the Fed has to make things better because the President made things worse? Now, see, that's not how things normally work around here. The White House doesn't typically start a fire, collect some tariff insurance money, and give the fire department. That's the Fed, something to do. Right now, the administration is to hope that our trading partners believe the Supreme Court will uphold the tariffs or that another lawsuit against the next iteration of tariffs will somehow fail. Because if the judiciary shoots down the tariffs, Trump has zero cards to negotiate new trade deals. Then again, if the Supremes do side against the White House, we don't need to worry about the retailers raising prices across the board to pass on the tariff pain. Which brings me back to the show's opening, when we saw this huge burst of futures buying and then a barrage of selling after the President made it clear that the ruling meant nothing to him. Well, it really got me thinking. It got me to think, who really wants these tariffs? Consider that we now have enough retail earnings under our belts to know that prices are definitely going higher for you. Businesses can't afford to eat the full cost of tariffs. It was chimerical. So they're passing it on to the consumer, to you, almost every one of them. The President wants the cost of our tariffs to be eaten by foreign manufacturers, but no American retailers. The kind of bargaining power, not even Walmart, which is unable to get big concessions from its Chinese suppliers. So as a consumer, you have to be rooting against tariffs because they translate directly into a higher cost of living for you. We know from the last election that people are very sensitive to inflation. If you didn't like it under Biden, I don't know, are you going to like it under Trump more? I mean, you Won't say, oh, but it's good for the country. Believe me, you won't. If you're at a company that imports lots of merchandise, you know you're going to make less money on this tariff regime, meaning your earnings will go down. And that's how you got what we saw with Best Buy and HP today. Shortfalls, disappointments. Maybe we shouldn't care, but we want competitive retailers and competitive PC makers. In order to be competitive, they have to make enough money to stay in the game. If you're a shareholder, you don't want the tariffs either. And that's why the futures initially surge when the panel judges rule the tariffs unconstitutional. When the tariffs are thwarted, people will swoop in to buy anything. If you're a manufacturer, you can't find enough skilled workers to justify putting more factories in America. We're a high wage country with low unemployment. Maybe if the revolution causes lots of white collar layoffs the next few years, we'd be in a different situation. Right now, the cost of manufacturing in this country is absurdly high. We don't have any room for more. Now, lots of companies believe that one of the primary goals of Trump's trade policy was to hobble our one time friend China. But all you have to do is ask Tim Cook about that as Apple gets punished for frantically trying to make its phones in India and many of the apparel companies moved to Vietnam, a gambit that worked out even worse as the tariff sword. It's kind of like an appointment in Samara where you try to cheat death by leaving town only to find that death was waiting for you in the new haunt suboptimal. The consumer, of course, bears the cost of that whole exercise. Now, I am not a fan of unfettered free trade. I know it has gutted many a town is still fighting for the lies. But I don't see these towns coming back anytime soon. The reshoring is selective and not geared to where those jobs used to be. We're the only country that plays by the rules on trade. That has not worked out for us. I don't like that. So I am what's called a fair trader. I want to see our government put its thumb on the scale to help American business disadvantage our trading partners. In theory, I'm usually pro Taft because they're necessary evil. But they are evil and I want them administered in a considered way, not in some sort of frantic shot clock way. Make them tough, even brutal to those who really harmed us, not so brutal to those who haven't. But that's not how the President's tariff program is being executed. The statements from our side are rushed. It's like the clock is ticking constantly wearing us down almost daily. We've become beasts of tariff burdens. I say that because if this had been executed in a considerable way, the the futures would never have rallied so huge overnight in response to when the tariffs were temporarily struck down. Is it too late to change course? My hope is that the tariffs can still be laid out in a way that creates jobs, raises some money for the treasury, gives companies enough heads up to mitigate the damage. Wasn't that the plan? Is there anyone, perhaps even including the President, who believes that's what we're currently doing right now? Here's the bottom line. Even if you believe in fair trade, not free trade, as I do you, you have to wonder how we're going to get any meaningful deals now that our trading partners know the courts might invalidate the whole tariff agenda. In that sense, but only in that sense, maybe the judiciary shooting down the tariffs is the easiest way out of this nightmare. Ron in Tennessee. Ron.
