Transcript
Jim Cramer (0:01)
As America's leading business lender, bank of America is on your corner and in your corner. With $215 billion in business loans and over 3,700 business specialists across the nation.
Voiceover/Announcer (0:13)
We help businesses thrive so communities prosper.
Jim Cramer (0:16)
What would you like the power to do? Learn more@bankofamerica.com LOCALBUSINESS bank of America Official bank of FIFA Club World Cup 2025 Copyright 2025 bank of America Corporation.
Voiceover/Announcer (0:28)
All rights reserved. Do Crohn's disease symptoms keep coming back? Tremphya Giselcomab may help. At 12 weeks, rapid symptom remission was achieved in most patients taking Tremphya and some experienced visible improvement of their intestinal lining. At 12 weeks and one year, individual results may vary. Tremphya is a prescription medicine used to treat adults with moderately to severely active Crohn's disease. Serious allergic reactions and increased risk of infections and liver problems may occ. Before treatment, your doctor should check you for infections and tb. Tell your doctor if you have an infection, flu like symptoms or if you need a vaccine. Explore what's possible and ask your doctor about Tremphya today. Call 1-800-526-7736 to learn more or visit tremphyaradio.
Jim Cramer (1:40)
Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer, people. My friends, I'm just trying to make you a little extra money. My job is not just entertain, but to educate and teach. So call me 1-800-743-CBC. Tweet me, Jim Cramer. All right. This market's struggling with something real basic. It's just not doing a good job of valuing stocks, which is exactly what a market's supposed to do. In fact, it's valuing them wrong so often that I think it creates a ton of confusion. That's a real shame because this action is people getting fed up with the stocks. Stock market again. You can feel it. I know. And just when we're seeing some very good gains from a host of sectors, people say bye bye. I can't take it. That's what I'm moping about. After a solid day with The Dow advanced 214 points, SB gain point 5, but the Nasdaq climbed point 81%. Once again, it was a solid reversal from early morning trading. This is the pattern. Let's start at the very beginning of a typical day in this market. I'm an early bird, addicted to watching the tape ever since I first laid eyes on it in 1981. It's a fascinating thing to track because the tape contains an unbelievable amount of information if you know how to interpret it. And I am a tape whisperer. The early morning action is best place to start when you're talking about what the market's failure to value stocks is all about. The early morning starts the way it almost always does. This happened today by 5am which is already an hour later that I've been looking at. Dorothy S.B. usually down about 0.25% and that's down between, I'd say.4 5.447 every day. I get that we've seen stocks disappoint an awful lot this year, but as I tweeted yesterday and today, I can't find the reason why I say the Nasdaq would be down 4.47 given that nothing happened since the close of the day before. Nothing. And look, I'm always as current as possible. Upgrades and downgrades to the night before. And again, nothing could justify stocks looking that ugly this morning or yesterday or, well, most of last week. So what is happening? Are the futures lying? No, they're just plain wrong. Let's ponder, let's, let's ponder the first mistake this market makes. We're regularly getting sellers right from before the get go because what are they doing? They're positioning themselves for President Trump's potentially angry and rash statements about trade, about China, about attacks on Apple, attacks on Wal Mart or maybe even Nvidia. They want to sell stocks short to profit off the President's next furious true social post because they know the market will take it negatively. Why? Because it's negative. The house of Pain when he said so much for being Mr. Nice Guy about his somewhat critical views of China, he made the short sellers some real good money very fast. When he attacked Tim Cook for moving out of China and then going into India. Or when he chided Walmart's Doug McMillan for having to raise prices even after Walmart cajoled Chinese suppliers for breaks that he was practically printing money for the pessimists. When some anonymous source in the White House said Nvidia couldn't sell the chips it wanted to Chinese customers, effectively blocking the company from a $50 billion market, the shorts cleaned up. Oh, for them, it must have been a thing of beauty. I get where the shorts are coming from, but their strategy doesn't work if the president keeps his mouth shut and doesn't go to the or whoever posts the stuff for him. They just don't get it up there. It's an outright failure when the day's tone is set by the considered, level headed, calm, coherent and thoughtful Secretary Bessen from Treasury. And I hope my saying that does not get him fired. But when Trump reminds us of how horrible all of our so called trading partners are yet what a bunch of fiends and fools when he puts out deadlines for the best and final offer. It's possible the Supreme Court may take the case and strike down the tariffs while shiver me timbers. That's why the overall market's often wrong and regularly changes direction. Today for sure was a peasant day, not a Trump day, and that's a recipe for a good session. Second, the market remains way too skeptical of the need for more AI infrastructure. Ever since we heard that the Chinese is something that was supposedly better than Nvidia, the industry has never regained its luster. The stocks of companies even remotely connected to the data center. Think Eaton or Cummins or Vertib if you want to. They've lagged terribly. Oh, and Nvidia for months it was a chronic underperformer. But hey, it turns out the bear case on I may have been dead wrong. For instance, have you seen the stock of Nvidia? It climbed from $86 and changed at its lows in April all the way to the mid-130s when it reported an incredible quarter with an amazing forecast, much better than expected. Stock then rallied to 143 after the quarter. But then it was thrown back when the White House refused to let Nvidia sell China even its lesser semiconductors. The stock gave back a big chunk of its post earnings gains and the shorts were. Well, they were in there. Congratulate themselves, pat themselves back. We realized the market got things wrong today though when we saw matters lining up. 20 years worth of nuclear power from Constellation Energy for AI. You know it's not 20 years worth of nuclear energy with a. With a debt with a plant that was about to close three years from now because you think that the data center is dead or dying a slow death. Next thing you know, Nvidia's right back to 141 where it went out today. What a relief. Of course, the whole time you could have gotten a clear read on the data center by looking at the action, the pin action, say in Core. This company builds data centers and then rents out its computer power to some real heavy hitters. Core. We've had the misfortune coming public a couple months after Deep Seat, the Chinese company created an AI model supposedly using far less Harbor. They had to cut the size of the deal and the IPO. They took it down to 1 to 40. It started really this thing price of 40. It would have, it wouldn't have come public at all if it weren't for video taking an anchor position to ensure the deal worked. Now video so huge that its 24 million share position core we've now $150 stock really doesn't mean any of them. But if you bought it right after the company came public, you've nearly quadrupled your money thanks in part to a data center licensing deal with Applied Digital that sent Corvette up 25% today. So what can I say, it looks like people are wrong again. Then there are the dollar stores. Talk about wrong. Now there's this soto voce belief on Wall street that consumers in this country actually still feel flush so they're staying away from the dollar stores when you go those places you go when you feel times are tight. This morning support from Dollar General put that thesis to bed. CEO Todd Vasos told us that about a recent survey that Comey did where their customers reported having quote less income than they did a year ago. And nearly 60% of our customers noted that they felt the need to sacrifice some necessities in the coming year. End quote, mind you. Necessities, not red Solo cups, not plastic ware. Okay? We're talking about skipping everyday basic needs. And it's not just lower income people who feel the pressure. Bezos said they're seeing plenty of middle income and even higher income customers coming into Dollar General. They went out of their way to say that they'll do their best to make price increases their last resort. But it sure sounds like they may have to raise prices. They sort a huge amount of stuff from China. I mean huge. So here's what I say about that one. Just don't tell the President. And that's how so many people got Dollar General rule allowing the stock to soar nearly 16% today after a great quarter. When you examine the market's mistakes, they share a common theme. The President's distorting pretty much everything, especially with his tariffs and his jingoistic approach to the rest of the world. And, and it's continually confounding traders and investors alike. People would just rather be short. They expect the market to come down every day. Plus I think that Trump has almost single handedly revived the short selling business. That's on sense that money can be made by betting. Get stocks again. I know for a fact that lots of hedge funds which gave up shorting after the time of Gamestop are now back with a vengeance they place big bets every day, betting that Trump will crush some company with a well timed true social post. The short sellers aren't in charge, but they have a lot of firepower and a lot of conviction. They take strong positions like those against Nvidia or Coralweave or Dollar General. And when the tape is ugly, they crush those stocks because they figure they can't lose as long as Trump's in the White House. But the bottom line, these short sellers, they've grown way too confident. And today we found out they can lose big because lots of businesses are doing great. It's just that Wall street only notices on days when the White House doesn't take up too much bandwidth. Oh, and thank you, Secretary Bessant, for your measured, cerebral approach. I actually find it a breath of constructive fresh air. And your demeanor is duly noted right here every day that you represent the White House. Bill. Oh, my old friend Bill in Massachusetts. Bill. Hi, Jim, how are you? I am doing well, Bill, what's shaking with you? Hey, listen, can I quote you from a morning meeting from last June of last year? Real quick? Why the hell not? Always be tough on your portfolio. Focus on the worst stocks. Never buy all at once, selling to strength. Don't fall in love with stocks. Give your stocks a hard time. Don't blow out of positions like stocks less as they go up. Study valuation, then get tough. Sell into parabolic moves and market rallies. Jim, man, that guy's got horses on. The morning meeting of June 18th of last year, well, that had what I call clarity. Clarity of thinking. That's how I learned. That's how I learned from you. It's amazing. It's amazing. Thank you, buddy. Thank you. Thank you, buddy. That makes me feel great. And you see what, what Bill's referencing is Jeff and I do a program from 1020 to 1030. And you know, other than my mother, no one watches it. And actually my mother passed away 45 years ago. She probably hasn't checked in and watched it either. But Bill watches it. We just found out about that. Bill's a watcher. Bill watches. So, Bill, how about a question? Yeah, Jim, I asked you a couple of months ago about GE Aerospace. GE Aerospace, Bill is about as good as it gets. That guy from June of last year, he knew. He knew that GE Aerospace was good. That guy so smart, I got to get him on the show. Anyway, Bill, thank you for saying those kind words. And I truly love GE Aerospace right here. No, do we really have to cut away? I had Stanford in California coming on. You know, Stanford's one of my pal buddy friends. All right. Anyway, you've heard it. I didn't mention the Wells Fargo lifted its asset gap. You know, hallelujah. That. But you heard it. The market just keeps getting it wrong. And that's because they keep hoping for a post. And when Secretary Besson out there with his very consistent non mercurial behavior, the stock market goes higher. What can I say? It's just a reminder of just how wrong people can be when they think it has to go down no matter what. Oh man. By tonight, the negativity surrounding Salesforce. Oh holy cow, is that palpable. But is it justified? I'm going to share where I come down. After the company's recent earnings report. Then, is the market getting along with its reaction to Dell's latest quarterly results? I'm going to dig in the numbers, tell you where I stand. And are the crude oil bulls in for a rude awakening given the commodities relationship with the dollar? I don't know. Why don't we go off the charts to find out? And I want you to stay with Kramer.
