Ian Dunlap (25:58)
We're not even gonna waste any time. We're gonna get right into it this Thursday. Make sure y' all are there. UIL University. We are back. We are back. We are back. We're going into our next summer session of options master classes. Look, we're giving a lot away this Thursday, the three new targets. But before we go there, we got to tell the people what we've been doing, what we've been cooking up. So y' all in for a treat. Let's get this thing started, man. Let's go. All right, so tonight, here's what we're going to do, right? We're going to go over what it means to stay low and keep firing. We always talk about everybody. Eylu, you'll know what the rules of engagement are when we doing options, we got to stay low, we got to keep firing. We're going to unpack that a little bit today. And then for the first time on market Mondays, they told me, troy, you need to talk your a little bit. So I said, okay, okay. All right, people, I don't like to do this, but tonight I will. I'm gonna show you some of the results because not only are the team inside of eyu, not only are they winning, but the people in market Monday should be able to win, too. So we're gonna give away some game tonight. We're gonna show you what we've been up to, how we've been cooking up, and how we've been staying low and firing with precision. All right? Then we're gonna give away a treat tonight. We're gonna give you the next target, what we're looking at. Eylu, please, Ernest, please don't kill me. Don't destroy me. I'm gonna just show them how we go into looking at positions that we like and how we shoot at those. Those targets with position. And then we're gonna give the game plan the most. The game plan to a T. We got to be strict with it, and we have to stick to our script. But before we go there, right, before we go there, let's talk about this, right? So when we say stay low, that means we're not going to be braggadocious. That means we're not going to be boisterous. We're going to be humble, and we're going to avoid emotional investing, right? We don't get caught up in hype cycles or headline news. We stay in learning mode and we protect your downside, right? Safety first. I know we talk about safety first first, but it's important, right? This is what it means to stay low. Just be humble, take your emotions out of it, put your seatbelt on and trust what you've done. And the key firing part is. Is important, right? That's when we consistently invest capital in smart. Keyword smart research opportunities. And y' all know one thing about me. I'm gonna dive deep into the research man, because that's where the money is made, right? If you understand the position and you understand how the market works and you understand the company you invest in, you, you are going to succeed more times than not, then we got to take action, right? The most important thing is the execution, but we take action based on fundamentals, and we're going to be precise about that, right? So we stay low. We Keep firing and we go hit our target. Now this is crazy ironic thing is the last time we were here on market Mondays, giving them the game inside of what happens in Eylu, it was last April. April, right. So April was a pivotal month because we had a nice pullback in the market. And sometimes when we get a pullback, we have to look at it and say, all right, let's go back to the basics, right? How did we get success in the first place? And so we did right to a T. We went back to the basics. I showed you how the table strategy. We're going to put ETFs and indexes as our legs and we're going to make sure that those legs are super strong. And we're going to do the same thing with our portfolio. Right. If we build a strong legs on the table, then we can put assets on top of that. And so our base was built here Last on in April 17, I believe by April 17. Cool. We built the base. Well, let's see what's happened to that base since. So we said we're going to use smh, right? And we showed you that we're looking for depreciating clause. And it just so happens April 7th we had a depreciating event. Obviously the President put his tariffs into effect and that caused the market to have a huge, huge pullback, especially the NASDAQ and more specifically the semiconductor sector. So SMH was a semiconductor etf. We saw a pullback. So that was the first sign that, all right, there's something here, right. That was going to be our first leg. And then we talked about the game plan. Right. We said we're going to look at depreciating assets. We'd like to see the ETF or index of stock. We like to see a pullback. And so we circled here at the high and we looked at how far it has depreciated. And so here was at 61. And then we saw it drop down to 37. Now this is the actual options call. So I'm going to go back to you real quick. So we watched it here. This is the actual price movement of estimation. So you can see it hit over 275. And around April, early April, it dropped to two under 200. So that's a good sign. Right. That means there was a dependent depreciation of 15 to 20. Perfect. Next thing is depreciation of 30 to 40% inside the actual option call. And if you look here, perfect. It hit our mark. We like that right there. It is showing you exactly where it hit. So it dropped about 40. Perfect. This is going to be my first leg. All right, so we showed you how we did it. We showed how we picked it with the expiration dates and we picked strike prices and we said, this is our call. Here it is, right here. Right. You didn't have to go anywhere. You didn't have to open a book, you didn't have to go on a website. You didn't have to go on social media. I told you, here's the call that we're doing. Smh. Our expiration is January 15, 2027. Mind you, we're in 2025. So we got two years on this. When we talk about long term leaps, this is what we're talking about in the option space. We're giving ourselves two years for this option contract that hit that strike price of 195. But that was just one leg. Then we broke down how to get our next leg and we talked about the Consumer Discretionary XLY being the ETF that was holding that. And we struck at this one. So that was our second leg. We did this all live with y'. All. Then I said, look, man, this Netflix thing is really, really enticing. And I want an ETF that has Netflix. Netflix as a leader. Excuse me. And we found this one. We did a search on etfdb and we saw that FDN First Trust, Dow Jones Internet Index Fund was the leader in terms of allocation when it came to Netflix. So this contract was interesting because the expiration dates didn't go out to 2026 to 2027. So we said, all right, for the meantime, let's get a short term one for this etf because Netflix was in it. And at the time Netflix was trading around 850. And I guess you can kind of tell where we're going to go with this, right? We see what Netflix is doing today and so you can kind of tell what happened to fdm. But this was happening live. We actually did this. And so we said, that's three ETFs. There goes our legs. Then we had to find out Netflix. We kept talking about it and all the opportunities inside of it. We saw, like I said, another nice pullback. And so we use another one of our resources. We went to estimize, right? And we actually looked at how Netflix performed by quarter. And you can see here, circled is 1Q23, 1st quarter 24. Interesting. Oh my gosh. Excuse me. Interestingly enough, this week is marking the reporting of the second quarter. And so we can look at the ratio of how Netflix grows quarter to quarter. We can see there's going to be appreciation that has been or nearly has been appreciated in every quarter in the second half of this year. All right, so this was the last thing. So we said, all right, well, we're going to get a call on Netflix and shout out to everybody in Eylu. Shout out to my man Champ. Champ. What's going on, my boy? We put this in. In Eylu. We said, all right, well, we got four different contracts we're going to put out. We did xly, we did fdn, we did smh, and we did Netflix. Right? So we did four calls, put this live shout out to everybody. And this was again in April. Well, ladies and gentlemen, the results are in. The results are in. Shout out to everybody that was part of that class. Shout out to everybody that was watching Market Mondays that week. And obviously you should be watching every week, but here are the results, right? We did that in April and look how those calls have performed. We got fdn at over 200%, SMA's nearly getting up to 200, and Netflix is just on a rolling. We anticipate that to continue at 182. XLY has done pretty well. We're not going to sneeze at 78. But these are all positive gains, right? These are all positive gains based on information that was handed out. And we don't think that's going to slow down. Right. We believe in the semiconductor space. Obviously, Netflix has a some Runway to go. And FDN is obviously allocated a lot of its capital to Netflix. And so these are the benefits of that. So a lot of people will say, well, Troy, how much money did you make? I tell people all the time the money is important, but it's not the only thing, right? So the more important to me is that what's more important is that you have gains, right? So like, if somebody started with $10 and they had a percentage growth of 204, that's great, right? If somebody saw with a thousand dollars and that was your percentage growth, that's great. If that was $10,000, where you start is what matters, right? And so your percentage growth is what matters to me, not what how much money I made. I know people get psyched in that and you see that on the Internet and that's great for people that do that. Just not my method. I understand what comes with showing people cash. A lot of envy comes with that. A lot of you know, a lot of people will celebrate it, but it's not their success. And my thing is I want you to have success. And so posting percentages of what we did together is highly, highly suggested for anybody in Eylu. And that's what we do. That's how we stay low and keep firing. So some people are going to say, you know what, Troy, man, you. You had fortune on your side, right? April was a pullback and you took advantage of that. And you're right, I did. But that's not the only time we've done this before. We're not new to this. So let's talk about what we've been doing. All right? So, yeah, take a moment. Take a moment. Take a moment. Yeah, I still don't got it. I don't got it. Yo. I don't got it. I'm just a guy that is staying low and I'm firing. But here are some of the results. We're not gonna run from them. And a lot of these calls were put inside of Eylu. So if you're in the chat, if you're in the community, you're seeing these calls, and you've been with me on most of these calls. And so that Nvidia December 19, 2025 call that wasn't always 900, but we've been patient with it. We stayed low, we fired, we executed at a nice price. We're gonna do something interesting with that. I want y' all to circle that number because I'm going to show you something very interesting that we're going to do with that number. But, yeah, this one potentially is going to hit a thousand percent, which is always a milestone for me. I love when we can get to thousand percent gains because, you know, it's just something that's really cool. But this isn't just for me, right? These calls have been put inside of the university, like I said. In fact, if you look on the left hand side, you can see September 3, 2024. Hey, earners, here's my Broadcom case. And so people who entered in, in 2024, in September, these are not just my gains. These are your gains as well. And so you can see a 400, 406 gain in our December 25th call. You can see a 307 gain in our January 26th call. And even that crowdstrike call, that crowd strike call was actually part of our July class in 2024. So we've been patient with these calls. We've put them out pretty far, and they still have room to grow, right? Like, we still have six months before we have to exercise that, that Broadcom call. We got almost 12 months before that crowd strike call is going to expire. Obviously, we've taken profit here. Anytime we get to 100, we'd like to get our initial money back. And so these are running, but we can keep going. We. We don't gotta stop. We don't. Yeah, we really don't gotta stop. We can keep doing this thing, right? So check us out here. We got Visa, we got Broadcom again, we got Nvidia. You should be noticing a pattern. But look, Visa, we've been talking about that since last June. In fact, that was in our June class. But look, we put it in October again. October 29, 2024. Look at what visa was at. We were up 3%. 3%. This isn't like we didn't know this was happening. This wasn't like, hey, we kept this a secret. We've been putting the calls up. People have been inside the community, they've been executing, and these are the results. And so we got another couple triple digits here. Now, the metal one you're looking at here is not a call because that is the shares. And so I have about 500 of shares of Meta inside this brokerage. And so those shares are up 147. Nothing to sneeze at. We're proud of that. We're gonna let that thing keep growing, but we can keep going. Let's do it. Let's keep going. We're not done yet. Yeah, we're gonna keep going because we've been talking about this for a while, right? Look at these calls. Now, we're not sneezing at 44 from Lily, right? We're not sneezing at Bishop. We've been in that call since January. Tsm, obviously. I know I talk about that all the time. It's one of my favorites. I'm putting it in my top five every year. We're not sneezing at that. CLS Celestica. Now, most people haven't heard about Celestica, but if you were in our mastermind, Shout out to my brother Ian Dunlap. Shout out to Shoddy. During our Mastermind, we did a. I did a whole hour and 45 minute presentation on the future of AI and energy and infrastructure. And CLS Alessica was one of those calls. Visa was part of that. And so that was in January. And those calls again, out to 26, still have time to grow. And we're doing pretty well. On them. And Microsoft, obviously, you know, anytime we can have a Microsoft call, we've been pretty, pretty fortunate to be witness to one of the greatest companies in the history of the world. Obviously, their partnership with OpenAI and everything they're doing in AI space, Microsoft isn't going anywhere. And so anytime we can get calls that make sense, we're going to do them. Shall we keep going? Because we could. All right, let's keep going. Let's keep going. All right. So again, we're sharing all the information. In fact, asml, if you looked on the last slide, was part of our, our, our calls. And ASML has a big week ahead. Like I said, they have their earnings report on Wednesday, so we'll see how that will go for them. But it's important to follow these companies because they play a major role in the, the AI economy. Obviously the role they play in the machinery that's going to produce the chips that TSM going to manufacture. Manufacturing is important because Nvidia does not make their chips they sent to TSM to manufacture. And so what Broadcoms is. So it's a complete, complete cycle that has to happen. And ASML plays a inaugural role in that. So we got to watch that. Now this call is down 6%. That's okay. That's okay. We're gonna be patient with that one. But if we don't see something after earnings here this week, we might have to make a decision on it because our time is running out. This is going to expire in September of 25, so we're going to be mindful of that. And then we got Micron. We've been talking about that for a while. We got a new AMD up call up there. Super Micro. Okay. You can circle it. Ernest. Don't be mad at me. I'm letting them see it. Y' all should circle it. We got a 50 call here for January of 27. Again, mind you, we're in 2025. So you're starting to see that pattern of how far we're going out with these leaps, how patient we've been with them. And then we have Uber. Uber is a new position. And so that we actually did last week, we had an entire case on why we thought Uber, and we spoke about it on market Mondays. But I want to pull back the layers on that so we can show you how we're coming to these conclusions and how much detail go into some of this decisions we're making. So that Uber call is out till 2027. That's nearly three years away. Right? That's only January of 2028 at 92. And I think Uber's already at 96. So we're going to give it some time. But why are we doing it? Well, why Uber? Well, there's a couple of reasons and this is how we break down from an analytical standpoint, right? There's technical analysis and then it's fundamental analysis. Right now we're going to go into the fundamentals because we want to see from a business standpoint point what separates them and what. Why are they a great opportunity. So this is the call again. We're going to keep reiterating it. You can write that down, you can circle it, you can go into your brokerage account tomorrow and say, all right, I'm going to put this on my watch list. Well, here's why I liked it. And I think a lot of people in Eyl, you liked it as well. All right, so Uber is finally profitable. We talked about this as a ride sharing company when it initially IPO in 21, but it's turned into something so much more. And when it started it wasn't profitable, people, but it recently has been. Right. So they've increased demand for ride sharing and delivery services. Obviously Uber Eats is a huge, huge revenue generator for them and they've done cost cutting measures potentially, and they've shifted their growth at all costs to a sustainable profitability model. Right. They want to make sure that they're making money all the time. They debt was something that they were accumulating over the first three years of business. Obviously that didn't work for them. They had to make some adjustments and they have. They've done a nice job. Huge congrats to Dar and the entire team at Uber for making those adjustments. All right, so Uber's revenue has consistently grown, but the company also implemented cost saving strategies, including job cuts and expanding advertising on its platform. So they've done a nice job on that, which wasn't always the case inside of the Uber's apps. But you've also seen them starting to advertise a little bit more on linear television and also on streaming services as well. So they're getting this thing right. They've adjusted and the adjustment is paid off. Why else do we like Uber? Oh, two words, autonomous vehicles. Yes, that is right. Autonomous driving will be a game changer. Like it or not, this is going to fundamentally transform the transportation economy. Right. This is going to disrupt everything. Now when we talk about Uber, we always think about who makes money in business. And if you know, business, you know, it's the middleman, right? And so we always use Amazon as the example. Amazon doesn't make a product, but what they do is make sure that products can make it to you, right? So you have the person that creates the product, you have the person that needs the product, and you have the middle person that delivers, picks, ups and ships to you, right? So that middleman is Amazon. In this case, Uber is just that, right? Uber doesn't own a car, right? Uber doesn't need the ride, right? They're not the person and they're not the vehicle. They're not a automobile company. They are a service that provides ride sharing and services to people to get to and from places. And so when you think about that, they don't have to make a vehicle, right? Which is high cost and the margins. And we can tell from some of the automotive industry companies that we know, right, they're not making as much as a profit as they like. In fact, some of them are. They're going to be in for a rude awakening here in the future when autonomous comes to scale. But they have a role in this ecosystem where they are not just doing ride sharing, they're actually creating a technological platform that more people are going to be able to use. All right, so here is the competitive moat. Why do we like Uber so much? Well, a couple of things. Uber has already has a massive global network of riders and infrastructure. They built that out. So if you think of the number two in the space is probably Lyft, which is cool, but Lyft and Uber are completely different in terms of business structure. In fact, Uber is almost becoming synonymous with ride sharing services, right? It's almost like when we think of adhesive bandages, we think band aid. When we think of ride sharing, we think of Uber. They already have, right present day, over 200 million monthly active users. That's a lot. That's a lot. And that's only going to grow when you talk about international opportunity, when you're talking about business opportunity, and now when you talk about, about potential autonomous driving, right? Uber also has a vast amount of real traffic routes, logistical algorithms, driver rider matching and payment systems, a demand data and customer support. So they have all the infrastructure ready for this monumental shift that could potentially be happening in the automotive space now. Why does that make sense? Well, partnerships are important, right? If they don't make vehicles, they need to align themselves with companies that do. And there is a company that does have autonomous vehicles and the name is Waymo. That's right. We talked about this a few weeks ago, Uber has already partnered with Waymo. In fact, if you're in Austin, Texas, if you're in Atlanta, Georgia, and we actually saw this on the road in Atlanta, I think shot. He posted it in one of his stories. There was autonomous vehicle that was driving. But why does that make sense for Uber? Well, like I said, if you look at their revenue model and their expense sheet, right. The majority of their expenses goes out to one key category in their business model and that is the driver. Well, if I remove the driver from the balance sheet temporarily, right. If I remove it, hypothetically, my revenue is going to go up because I no longer have to pay for the driver. I no longer have to pay for his insurance. Right. And so now you start seeing ways of increasing revenue by switching from a service that you had to a service that is going to potentially disrupt the way of the future for your space. And so Waymo is a key partnership. Like I said, Atlanta has already implemented it. Texas, Austin, Texas has it. New York is applying for application to see how Waymo moves in its jurisdiction. And, and Philadelphia is next up. And so when we take all these things into account, you can see why two to three years out, I'm looking at Uber as something that has potential growth. On the upside, a lot of positives. Now we can talk about Tesla. Yeah, Tesla makes a vehicle, so that's going to be a cost expense in Tesla. Let's go back to that last slide. Tesla doesn't have this last key piece down here, right. They don't have the logistical algorithms, they don't have driver ready matching. Now, there is a button inside of the new Tesla models that can shift that. But what Uber does have is trust. Right. I used to talk about to my peers and I'm saying, hey, can you imagine the time when you were younger where you would get in the car with a stranger and you would tell them to take you somewhere and that would be okay. Your parents would trust that. And Uber has just gradually done that for us. Right. We're liable to put our young teens and sometimes our young school age children in Ubers to get to and from places. So they've built up a trust. Tesla is going to have to, it's going to take time for them to do that. The fastest way for them to do that is potentially partner with a company like Uber, such as what Waymo has done. And that could be a game changer as well. So Uber is something that we like and again, we are in this 2027 call and that's already passed the strike price. Right. So Uber is sitting at about 96. We've already passed strike price. So that means technically we are in the money. All right, so what's the game plan? How are we coming up with these things? Well, here's your game plan. Stick to the script. Take a picture of this. Write this down. Put this on your whiteboard. Put this on your chalkboard. Put this in your car. Put this on post it notes somewhere. Right? These are the things you ask yourself before before you enter options position. Right. Number one, has stock price fallen? Please always look at that because that means that there's room for growth to the upside. So it has a stock price falling. Have the call and option price fallen. That's important too, right. When we're looking at the charts and Thursday we're going to go over that in detail so you can see what that looks like. We're always looking for depreciating assets, right? The bid and the ass are important and we want to make sure that they are depreciating because we can catch it at a time. That's great for us because the positive upside for sure companies are highly likely now. Are we going to use time as a strategy? A hundred percent. If you looked at most of those calls, they're out to 26. So they're out to 27. In fact, by the end of this year, majority of the calls in the portfolio will be into 27. Right. That's how we're going to reset this thing. The 2025 calls that y' all saw earlier, those were purchased probably in 2023 or if not late 2022. And that's how we're doing. We're rinse and repeating. All right, so what are the calculations? Want to make sure that the stock depreciation threshold is 20 to 30%. That's just for the stop. We want to make sure that option depreciation threshold threshold is 30 to 40%. So again, depreciating assets from strong companies, catalyst events can start that we like when those things happen. And then this is important. Make sure you keep reserves because there's going to be opportunities that are going to present themselves throughout the year and definitely throughout the summer. Right. The NASDAQ hit an all time high today. It will pull back. The S P hit its all time. It will pull back. These indexes will pull back. We got to make sure that we have reserves in order to maximize on those opportunities. All right, so what are we looking for? This is interesting, right? Because I didn't even this is actually from my April class. The same thing has happened in this week. Right. We're looking for Catalyst Events. So what's the Catalyst event? Our earnings report. We know TSM is going to report on Thursday. ASML is going to report on Wednesday. Netflix is going to report tomorrow. Those are Catalyst events. We're going to see movement either to the positive side or negative side. Really? Do we see stocks stay still? Right, because they're going to talk about future guidance. We're going to allude to some of the things that Netflix is looking at. Are they facing this quarter? We talked about live events being part of their strategy. We talked about how they're going to be moving into the sports field. I know they got the big fight in September. So you're starting to see Netflix move into a way where it's becoming clear that they are the dominant streaming service in the sector and that that's going to continue. All right, so the next thing is product announcements and we're going to be on the lookout for those things. Let us show you changes, tariffs, that's still affecting us. And we'll, we'll see what happens on August, August 1st. And then laws and mergers, lawsuits, mergers and acquisitions. And obviously we talked about intel and all their troubles. We'll see. Last time we were speaking, it was tsm. It could be amd. But these are things that can move sector. These are things that can move in equity. And so this Thursday, here's what we're going to do. This Thursday, pull up on us, seven o'. Clock. Not only are we going to go into details, when I'm giving away our next three calls, our next three positions are going to be revealed this Thursday. I'm excited about it. We've already seen what growth looks like in this space. The only thing that's missing is y'. All. So make sure y' all pull up this Thursday at 7pm we're going to make some money. We're going to change our lives. We're going to change our community. We're going to change our portfolios. Stay low, keep firing. Let's get back to our regularly scheduled program, Love is Love, y'. All.
