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Market Mondays
MM #291: 2026 Stock Picks, Venezuela Investment Plays, 3 Sectors to Focus On, Gold & Bitcoin Predictions
01:45:23
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- [00:01]
Rashad
If you're the purchasing manager at a.
- [00:03]
Ian Schwarzman
Manufacturing plant, you know having a trusted partner makes all the difference.
- [00:07]
Rashad
That's why, hands down, you count on.
- [00:09]
Ian Schwarzman
Grainger for auto reordering. With on time restocks, your team will have the cut resistant gloves they need at the start of their shift and you can end your day knowing they've.
- [00:19]
Rashad
Got safety well in hand.
- [00:21]
Ian Schwarzman
Call 1-800-GRAINGER, click grainger.com or just stop by Grainger for the ones who get it done.
- [00:30]
Ali Jackson
If you're a podcast host, listen up. This one's for you. My name is Ali Jackson. I'm the host of Finding Mr. Height, a dating and relationship podcast that I've been doing for four years now, sharing my positive and practical approach to dating that's built on my own life experience. And I wanted to share another experience that I've had my secret behind monetizing my show. It's called Red Circle and I was just telling my colleague about how much I love their platform. With Red Circle, not only am I getting a seamless hosting experience, but I also love the support I receive in ad sales. It's not just typical ad sales either. It's targeted opportunity based on my show and my life. And the platform is super simple. You just set your preferences and Red Circle matches you with sponsors that align with your show. You can vet every opportunity and their platform gives you great analytics. More recently too, my Red Circle team has brought me opportunities outside of my podcast on social media to really augment the podcast partnerships. Bring them full circle. I just can't recommend them enough. If you want to give it a try, go to redcircle.com to get your free trial. That's redcircle.com for a free trial.
- [01:29]
Troy
For me, entrepreneurship has always been the way.
- [01:33]
Ian Schwarzman
Investing is important because it's the only way you are going to be able to be rich and wealthy for your family. We can close the wealth gap by working together.
- [01:45]
Troy
Market Monday is the biggest investment show ever. My life has literally changed since watching eyl.
- [01:52]
Rashad
When you can make people money and you can add value, they're going to be forever indebted to you.
- [01:55]
Ian Schwarzman
I promise you this year I'm going to make y' all even more money.
- [02:02]
Rashad
Disclaimer do your own research. Our content is intended to be used and must be used for informational purposes only. It's very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances. You should take independent financial advice from a professional in connection with or independently research and verify any information that you find on our show and wish to rely upon whether for the purpose of making an investment decision or otherwise. Let's build our knowledge, our community and our brokerage accounts. Love is love. Hey, yo. Hey. Happy New Year.
- [02:38]
Ian Schwarzman
Happy New Year. I ain't gonna lie, last week felt weird. I know what to do in this time slot that was free, so I'm happy. Yeah, man, Happy New Year.
- [02:45]
Rashad
I did my own, my own show. I had my kids as my audience, man. I said, yo, we just gotta practice, you know, some, some things you stay in the routine, man. You're still reading, you're still getting all the research done.
- [02:55]
Ian Schwarzman
Market's still open.
- [02:57]
Rashad
Yeah, gotta do it, gotta do it. How you feeling?
- [03:01]
Ian Schwarzman
Amazing. How you feeling? Shoddy. How you feeling? You was down on Wall Street. I'll see.
- [03:11]
Rashad
Yo, we back, man. Happy to be back. It's off to a, to an amazing 2026. Prayers for everybody. Have a healthy 2026, a prosperous 2026, and a really, really roll bound brokerage account in 2026. Let's make sure we do all those things, y'.
- [03:31]
Ian Schwarzman
All.
- [03:31]
Rashad
We back. Oh, the, the new digs. Oh, don't worry about it. We'll talk about that later.
- [03:38]
Troy
Yeah, for sure. So, yeah, we got a lot, we got a lot to talk about. Welcome back to everybody. Happy New Year to everybody. Man, this is going to be a jam packed show as Troy alluded to. You know, we have some technical things that we've been working on. So yeah, you know, we want to give you guys a fresh look for 2026.
- [04:01]
Ian Schwarzman
Love it.
- [04:01]
Troy
So, yeah, we're going, we're going to get, we're going to get right into it too. We already said the disclaimer so we don't have to go through that. I will say this. Check your email if you took part of the Market Mondays Black Friday Mastermind. Deal. Check your emails. DC information has gone out and the Nvidia information has gone out also. So I want to make sure everybody take, take advantage of that. And then we got some other stuff, but we'll, we'll get to the show. We'll talk about it later on in the show. Ian, anything you like to say?
- [04:29]
Ian Schwarzman
Yes. Second round of Red Panda trading tournament started today. The whoever has the highest balance on Friday will be awarded the $50,000. Follow your plan. Do not deviate from your plan. Can't wait to announce the winner next week. Love y' all and have a good trading week.
- [04:49]
Rashad
Have a great trading week and have a great trading year. Yeah, man, let's do it. Let's get this thing going.
- [04:54]
Troy
Sports center. Vibes.
- [05:01]
Ian Schwarzman
That's a fact that Mike for putting it together though. Power team work though.
- [05:04]
Rashad
Mike. What up?
- [05:05]
Troy
Yeah, for sure. So let's, let's get into this. Let's start right away. Five daily habits to practice in 2026.
- [05:14]
Ian Schwarzman
Well, I mean you killed it with the top 10 list viral God. So you might as well kick it off and tell us the. The five habits we need for 26.
- [05:24]
Rashad
It's gonna be a. It's gonna be a jam packed. Let's do it.
- [05:26]
Troy
Oh man. Well, I think maybe we, we all can chime in but you know, as far as like, like you said, a lot of it was already on my, on my list previously. But def. Work out at least an hour a day. That's vitally important. You know, I'm a big fan of meditation. I think that in a world of social media and so much stuff going on that sometimes we kind of get lost in that as far as really taking time to do some inner reflection. So I've been doing that for years as far as, you know, morning. My morning ritual, if I'm not doing anything first thing in the morning is to just take a moment and just, you know, do the meditation. So I definitely think that, I think that, you know, you gotta be grateful. That's a major thing. So I'm a big proponent in prayer. I think that everybody should pray.
- [06:15]
Rashad
Hey, I had that. That's powerful.
- [06:17]
Ian Schwarzman
Great milestone.
- [06:18]
Rashad
Got that right there. Got that right in the nose. All right, let's do it.
- [06:22]
Troy
That's a major key.
- [06:23]
Rashad
Absolutely.
- [06:24]
Troy
I also think that you should take your nutrition very serious because that does play a major part and your ability to function at a very high level. So me personally, I've heard this before and it's something I've been practicing for a long time. No, only fruit before 12. I don't eat solid food. Same before 12 o'. Clock. I only eat fruit or juice. Like a, you know, like one of the juices from.
- [06:54]
Rashad
That's for 2026.
- [06:56]
Troy
I've been doing that for a while when I can for the most part. I've never been a big breakfast person. You know, I'm not really a breakfast.
- [07:03]
Rashad
Person like that because they're gonna see you eating that ackee and saltfish. They're gonna be like yoshi.
- [07:08]
Troy
Fruit, fruit only before 12. Try not to eat after 8 o'. Clock.
- [07:14]
Rashad
Good one.
- [07:15]
Troy
Try to drink a gallon of water a day. So taking nutrition very serious. Education, vitally important. Try to, you know, consume some informative content for at least an hour a day. Whether that's once again watching a documentary, reading a book, or listening to an audio book or listening to an educational podcast. YouTube, different things that nature market Mondays on your leisure. So much stuff that you can actually educate yourself on. So I think. I think that that's five.
- [07:43]
Rashad
That's five. I'm gonna try to do some of the ones you have repetitive. I have pray on my list as well. I think that's vitally important. That's how we start our day every day. I think reading is very important. It's something that I'm do. I do absolutely every day. There's not a day that I don't do that. And that probably comes right after I pray. Like, it's not TV first. It's like, what can I read first? And then I had three that I'm like, I had to reflect. And I think that's part of one of my five things is when having self reflection or having reflection in general, like, I do this with my wife almost every Sunday. We talk about what's happening for the week or, like, what's happening Monday. Like, tonight we'll talk about, yo, what you got on the agenda for tomorrow. How can we spend in time here, like having that reflection. I read this quote, that reflection turns experience into wisdom. Reflection experience into wisdom. And so that's something that I've been doing for the past two years is just having that reflection. Obviously, because we had a lot going on with the house and then with the kids and the move. It was like, let's take time. Let's figure out what we're doing here and how we can make sure that we stay in each other's hypes in a whole way. Right? Like, not just showing up, but actually being present and. And being very communitive with each other. So that was one. Treat your body like an infrastructure. So you talked about the workout thing. I've started in 2026, obviously doing the 40 minutes of exercise, but I've also done the sauna. Just if. If, you know, if you understand the health benefits of having a sauna and doing that on a daily basis and putting that into your routine, I mean, the. It's tremendous. I'm actually trying to get my parents to get in there. So I'm gonna try to get my dad in. In the sauna in in the next couple of weeks. It's gonna be his first time. So y' all pray for him. But that. That's something that I've started in 2026. And this is something I've always done, and I've never really shared it, but taking daily interactions with your assets. I know, Ian, we would, like, three years ago, we joked about this paperwork party, but, like, every day I check the money.
- [09:50]
Ian Schwarzman
You have to look over that money, man.
- [09:53]
Rashad
Every day I check, gotta check on it. Every account, personal account, and business credit.
- [09:58]
Ian Schwarzman
Every.
- [09:59]
Rashad
Every day. Just to make sure things are where.
- [10:02]
Ian Schwarzman
They'Re supposed to line. Because if not, the companies will take it from you or the lawyers or. You gotta watch over the trust.
- [10:08]
Rashad
Yeah, I'm watching over every single dollar that comes into the business. I'm watching from a personal side. It's. It's like just taking the inventory. And then I watch a brokerage account, too. Not because I'm trying to make trades, but I just want to say, all right, all right, we're good here. We're good here. How can we really reevaluate for the first quarter? Even, like One of my ETFs today, Soxl, I looked at my percentage. It had changed, and so I had to go research. Why did it change? Right. I knew I was up to nearly a thousand percent, and now I'm down, like, 20. So, like, just checking these things. Right? So, like, tomorrow I got to take inventory again. Like, taking inventory on your assets is important. Brokerage accounts, real estate. Having inventory daily on where your money's going, vitally important. Make sure you do it.
- [10:53]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah. For me, Rashad, you brought up meditation. That's one thing that I didn't do enough of last year. So meditation and prayer first, second, often we always say that we miss people, or if, Lord forbid, if someone passes, we feel like we miss moments, but we put the business before the personal. So for 26, I'm like, I'm starting off my day talking to those I love before I get to any business. First and foremost, because that's most important than being fully present. Third, write down three things that you're grateful for. Like you said, Rashad, given all the noise in social media, sometimes we can forget how blessed that we truly are. Like, I was talking to one of my friends over the holidays, and he was like, you guys don't realize, like, you changed the course of black history forever. And coming from where we come from, I don't think we was the most likely to have done that, but, like, what an amazing feat that has been to do together. So writing down those things that we're grateful for. And then my new thing is to learn and do one new thing a day. Like I was talking about this a lot over the holidays. We can get so inundated within our routine that we almost forget to have that creative spirit and continue to learn new things. So learning one new thing and doing one new thing a day is really vitally important to me. And you got to study some markets you don't know. So get on Cauchy, Study water markets, study air rights, study wheat, study all commodities. Because your edge is going to come from something that people don't see yet. Like in 2019, 2020, for a lot of people, it was tech or options or futures. I think now with this prediction markets and a couple of other commodities that are going to shoot up this year, people will make a killing. If you go study and look at some markets that people aren't paying attention to.
- [12:45]
Rashad
That's a fact. I wrote that down as one of my goals this year is I wanted to master technical analysis. Yeah, like, I'm good. I'm not great though. Like I. I want to be great at it. Like, I watch people, I'm like, they're great at that. Like, I know enough to, like, I use that. Use fundamentals. But I'm like, I wonder what mastery would look like in. In that field. That's good that you said that. Are there any boundaries that y' all put in for 26.
- [13:14]
Ian Schwarzman
To tons financial? No requests unless it's my mob dad. Xander. Sorry, sorry. No.
- [13:20]
Rashad
No phone calls before 9.
- [13:22]
Ian Schwarzman
Nope, sorry, sir, you got a boundary.
- [13:27]
Troy
No, no, no, no, really.
- [13:29]
Rashad
Listen, I know what time to call him. I know what time you're not gonna pick up.
- [13:33]
Ian Schwarzman
Oh, for sure. Meditating. Praying.
- [13:37]
Rashad
Oh, he's meditating. Man.
- [13:38]
Ian Schwarzman
Come on.
- [13:39]
Troy
We open up 24 hours. All right if we gonna get to it. Once again, new look of the show. You guys asked first for a ticker and then we gave the ticker and then Ian wanted the old school ESPN vibe. Yeah, great idea. So we added that shout out to Mike behind the scenes for putting that together. So bringing you the highest quality product possible headed into 2026. You gotta always revamp things and stay on top of the. The curve. Can't get left behind. So, you know, hope you guys appreciate the time and effort that was put in to revamping the aesthetic of the show and making it easier to follow too, because now you actually know the topics that are next. That's, you know, try to make it as easy as possible for you guys. Add time. We add timestamps. We added that last year. Now we got the. You know, you can, you can watch the, the side of the screen, see what's next. Don't miss anything. You know, hopefully. Hopefully you guys appreciate it. So we going before we get to this Venezuela thing, because there's a lot to talk about. It's a ton I do want to talk about. De Novo announced the weight loss pill. Essentially a game changer when you think of like Ozempic and these other weight loss treatments that have become extremely popular. The needle route. You know what Biggie say, some use pipes, others use injections, but now you can actually take a pill, one pill, and it's a game changer. So Novo is a stock that has been struggling for a long time, opposite of Eli Lilly. But, you know, this is something that's positive for them. Today their stock was up a little bit. Eli's stock was down a little bit. So what does this say about the whole weight loss industry and specifically Novo?
- [15:54]
Ian Schwarzman
It's a valiant effort, but when you text me this, I was like, it reminds me of the 90s when they thought that the European basketball player was gonna take over. They're in that phase of the stock market cycle. Like, they're not yet where an international drug company is going to have outweigh the value over ours yet. I think the valuation of Novo rose so quickly that there was almost no place for them to continue to grow. But to go to the downside. Like I said, great effort. But will they beat Lily? No. AstraZeneca, probably not. But I do commend the CEO and that committee for putting together a product that can increase their market share. But Lily is a 500 pound monster. Like, they are the greatest version of that. They're like Apple in the healthcare space, back when Apple was running efficiently and incredibly well. So that's a formidable opponent that you can't, you know, have that much headwind against. I do see a world where they may pop up to 77.26 this year, but as far as it a buy for me this year, no, I think Lily is head and shoulders. Way better. Great product, but not a great company to invest in.
- [17:17]
Rashad
I'm with you. I'm with you on this one. I think it's great news for the company and I think it is even better news for the GLP market right when we're talking about pill form. Because what the pill form now allows for is affordability to come into place. And so if you. One of the questions around Novo was the amount of money that it cost. If you didn't have insurance first, you couldn't get it. Didn't matter if you had insurance. And then insurance came into it and it was still pretty high. I think the pill brings it down to like 1:49amonth, if I'm not mistaken. Or between that and 299, which is drastically different from the $1,200 when we're talking about the injections for the month. So that helps. That helps the company. It helps the GLP market. We'll see what Lilly does with zepbound as a response. Novo was the first to get the FDA approval, but it's huge news. Right. You're talking about. The instant access they have is over 70,000 stores. So the CVS of the world now have access to that. That's a game changer. That's a game changer. Right. We talked about obesity in America. That hasn't changed. We've seen Ozempic work. I just seen Joe Button say that he's.
- [18:27]
Ian Schwarzman
But he on a zap.
- [18:28]
Rashad
He's on the zap now. Right. So I mean that everyday person is using it. And you know, I was listening to a podcast clip and it was talking about all the other benefits. Yes, there are some. Definitely some side effects, but there's some other health benefits that go along with it. So it's interesting. It's an interesting time for the GLP market. But I'm still on the. If they're going. This administration is talking about American companies. They're going to make sure American companies succeed. And we. We've seen that over the course of 25. I think that continues in 26. So great for the company. Even better for the GLP space. I'll be interested to see what Lily does with their pricing when they get approved by the FDA for Zeppelin.
- [19:08]
Ian Schwarzman
And sometimes you can put out the right product at the wrong time. If they had this first, we would have a completely different conversation. This is like when. When an artist is on the downside of their career and then they come out with a great single. It's like timing too little too late. If they have one first, the. The pill first. And. And a bigger lead like in terms of time horizon.
- [19:31]
Rashad
Yeah. So they're the first one to get approved by the FDA in America. There was. Everybody had to try.
- [19:37]
Ian Schwarzman
The league won't last long, I don't think.
- [19:38]
Rashad
Yeah, that's what I'm saying. It's just a matter.
- [19:40]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah.
- [19:40]
Rashad
It's just a matter of time before you know what it is. There's. There's no competitive advantage in that. Right. Other than who's leading your company. What are the company's fundamentals. Right. Because if they can do a glp, they'll do OG up. It becomes, all right, well, whose GLP is better? Then it becomes an affordability issue. And then again, I'm just following a path.
- [19:59]
Ian Schwarzman
Or if that a four year lockup window, that would be different.
- [20:02]
Rashad
But right, right.
- [20:03]
Ian Schwarzman
This administration and how he's moving, we'll talk about in a second. He's going to push a company forward. That, that's America.
- [20:13]
Rashad
Yeah, I'm with you.
- [20:15]
Troy
Hit the like button and share, ladies and gentlemen. Hit the like button and share. We about to get to it. Do remember blackout, 10 o' clock Eastern Standard Time, first show of the new year. This Wednesday, myself and Ian Blackout gonna go crazy. And then Thursday at 6 o', clock, earn your leisure. First episode of the year, we got Ian Schwarzman, Joe Button, business partner.
- [20:39]
Ian Schwarzman
Shout to my guy.
- [20:41]
Troy
He had a lot to talk about.
- [20:42]
Ian Schwarzman
I heard it was a good combo.
- [20:43]
Rashad
You do not want to miss that.
- [20:45]
Troy
He had a lot to talk about as far as the state of content, Netflix deal, the podcast industry, people not owning their rights.
- [20:53]
Rashad
Never allegedly.
- [20:54]
Troy
Never.
- [20:55]
Ian Schwarzman
There ain't no alleged. A lot of y' all didn't sign them shits. 82 cent.
- [21:00]
Troy
Yeah, we got here, we got in. Yeah, we got in another opinion. And like I said, if you don't know Ian, that's, that's Joe Button's business partner, man behind the machine when it comes to the Joe Button network. So, yeah, he has, he has some.
- [21:15]
Rashad
He has some things he wanted to say.
- [21:16]
Troy
Some interesting takes. Some interesting takes. Shout out to the Joe Button podcast. So let's get into, let's get into one of the hot topics and we will be giving away a thousand dollars to a few people at the end of the show to start your brokerage account. But let's get into one of the hot topics. Venezuela. Obviously everybody already knows what's going on with Venezuela at this point in time. Actually had a court hearing today for the ousted president and he pleaded not guilty in New York, in New York Southern districts Federal court. They got him in mcc, I believe Brooklyn. Is it Brooklyn or Manhattan?
- [21:54]
Rashad
They have him in Brooklyn. They put him in a helicopter, went to Manhattan for the court and then I think they brought him back to Brooklyn. He's being held in Brooklyn.
- [22:00]
Troy
Okay. Yeah, I thought it was mcc, Manhattan Correctional, but he, regardless of anything interesting times that we're in, to say the least, I did make a video about this. So if you're interested in the whole geopolitical thing, you can Check Instagram. But you know one of the major questions is how can. And I hate that this is actually even one of these things. But it's a, it's a real thing.
- [22:25]
Rashad
Yeah.
- [22:25]
Troy
People want to know how they can make money from the situation. It shouldn't be what it is. It is. And it's the world that we live in and it's the world that will always. It's the world that will always.
- [22:37]
Ian Schwarzman
Well yeah but if they had listened to. So we talked about this on market Mondays before this happened. You gave a whole breakdown of what could happen. Kudos to Bloomberg, Nicole and Shelley. We talked about in stock club probably two or three months ago. The obvious players here are write it down. Slumber Jack, Chevron and ExxonMobil. Great. That's that. The part that people should be asking is how long will this trade be revelant given the circumstances of what they're facing. Nobody will care about this oil trade in three months. It's a good move for today. It's the first official trading day of the year in terms of volume wise makes a great story because of what Trump is doing now we can get into the nefarious part of. Well let's do it now. If, if a country books have not been properly managed Troy, going back to that watch the paper every morning. Right. Wouldn't it behoove you to maybe ascertain some oil so that the petrodollar trade stays afloat while the dollar is being devalued and on top of that Potentially go snatch 600,000 bitcoins from a government and silver. Now we see why that silver trade panned out so well prior to the new year. Don't forget the gold trade in combination.
- [24:05]
Troy
And gold was up today and, and, and that's also another benefactor of the situation. So I definitely think that yeah, like you said that was one of the questions. How long is this going to last? Because I mean it does make up I think like less than 1% of of the world's oils. But a major part of that is because they haven't been able to refine their oils efficiently and their oil is a lot thicker than Saudi Arabia. So it takes more, it takes more efficiency to refine the oil. So a lot of that, a lot of the reason why they haven't and they have sanctions obviously as well. So you lift the sanctions, you get more refined oil and, and you can start to see some level of, of change. Now Saudi Arabia already said that they could potentially strike back on this situation if for sure if it goes against them. But it's interesting from a geopolitical standpoint because. Okay. Okay, before we get to that, so investments. Chevron.
- [25:02]
Rashad
Yeah.
- [25:03]
Troy
ExxonMobil, conical. The ETF XLE.
- [25:10]
Rashad
Yep, we were on that. ITA is another one.
- [25:13]
Troy
Halliburton, for sure.
- [25:15]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah. Tertiary. Yeah. And Slumbers. Yeah.
- [25:18]
Troy
Slumber. Baker Hughes.
- [25:22]
Rashad
Yeah. I, I think it was well documented. I think every.
- [25:25]
Troy
Phillips 66.
- [25:27]
Rashad
Yeah, it's. It's well documented.
- [25:29]
Troy
Right.
- [25:30]
Rashad
Like, I think, Ian, what you, you touched on is the, this, the real story. It's, it's the. You seize the oil. We're talking 3 billion barrels, right. You trade that for petroleum dollars, which is US Currency, and now you force the rest of the world to use that currency to get the oil.
- [25:50]
Ian Schwarzman
Right. And I'm not saying he was a great leader. Not to cut you off.
- [25:53]
Rashad
Yeah, we're not here to discuss that.
- [25:54]
Ian Schwarzman
But the parallels between the Hussein and Gaddafi issue here.
- [26:01]
Troy
But, but it's actually not the same, though, because if you look at it, like I said, from a geopolitical standpoint, the interesting thing about it, which is kind of a curveball to some people, is that, okay, classic regime change, you take the, you take the president, you, you know, you, you take the, the resources, you put a new regime in place. But they haven't, they haven't hinted that they wanted to do that because there isn't. There is an opposition that allegedly won the election. She's in exile right now. She actually won the Nobel Peace Prize and she gave her Nobel Peace Prize to Trump in an effort to favor him. But Trump says she, Trump says she's not qualified to run the country. She doesn't have the support that actually looks, looks like they're actually backing the vice president who was a longtime socialist. She was around. Hugo Chavez was around. So it doesn't really look like they're looking for a regime change in a typical way that it was in Iraq and it was in Afghanistan and it was in all these other countries that they're not. It doesn't seem like that's what they're looking for. It seems like they're looking for a new leader that they, that is easy to. Not a whole new regime that takes, that takes a lot of time. A new leader, already infrastructure in place, and they can just.
- [27:14]
Ian Schwarzman
That is in alignment with the vision of.
- [27:17]
Troy
Or, or, or, or will get in alignment with the vision of.
- [27:20]
Rashad
I think it's interesting too, that point, but I think the other part is that if you listen to the US Companies, the oil Companies, they're not saying like, hey, we're actually going to do this. Like, we don't want to go to Venezuela. It's not something that it's like, all right, we want to go spend billion dollars and build infrastructure. Yes, Chevron is there and I'm sure y', all, y' all probably cover that, but it, it doesn't look like, hey, oh, 3 million, 3 billion barrels of oil. Our country has seized it. Let's get in there, get infrastructure, let's refine it. It's, it's interesting. I don't, I don't trade oil. So like, for me to give investment advice on oil would be. It was just out of my lane. Right. It's not something I do, obviously. I think it was well documented from everybody today and all the companies that we named here make a lot of sense.
- [28:04]
Troy
But yeah, it, Well, I definitely think that there's interest from American companies. I mean, I think it just happened two days ago.
- [28:10]
Rashad
Right.
- [28:11]
Troy
And it's still a sensitive situation. So I don't think they could just raise their hand and say, look, I want to be the first one to just exploit your country and take all the oil now.
- [28:19]
Ian Schwarzman
Well, the one I was already exploiting got the call.
- [28:22]
Rashad
First one got exploited.
- [28:23]
Troy
Well, they never left.
- [28:24]
Rashad
They never left, but one got exiled and they owed. They won a Lawsuit, right. Like ConocoPhillips won a 10 billion dollar lawsuit that they haven't got a dollar from. Right. So part of it is like, yes, we're coming to seas, but yes, there's a debt that is still owed to American company from oil that was yours, which makes it even crazier.
- [28:43]
Troy
But yeah, I think anytime you have 3,100 billion barrels of oil, even if it's not the best refined, even if it's thick, I mean, it's opportunity for sure.
- [28:54]
Rashad
Definitely.
- [28:55]
Troy
And especially if the government is cooperating.
- [29:01]
Rashad
Is there.
- [29:02]
Troy
There's a thing called friendly extortion.
- [29:05]
Rashad
This is.
- [29:06]
Troy
Yeah, there's a thing called friendly extortion. So some, sometimes you get extorted from like a real aggressive standpoint, and then sometimes you get extorted from a friendly, Friendly extortion from both.
- [29:21]
Ian Schwarzman
Confessions of economic hit. Like we're seeing confessions of an Economic hitman play out like a video game. My second concern for any of you who ever play ball, your coaches ever give you like the game against a team that, you know, has no chance, this to me was a war game to set up the other takeover that he wants to for another country. I won't say it Here.
- [29:45]
Troy
Well, he said. He said Colombia. He said Colombia is on the clock.
- [29:48]
Rashad
Cuba's on the clock.
- [29:49]
Troy
Cuba's on the clock. He said Mexico.
- [29:51]
Rashad
He said Greenland. He said, we need it.
- [29:52]
Troy
Oh, Greenland. He's just gonna.
- [29:53]
Rashad
We need it.
- [29:54]
Troy
That's the annex. That's the annexation of. That's gonna happen with that.
- [29:56]
Rashad
He said, we need it. Yeah, we need it.
- [30:00]
Troy
New Age. New age imperialism.
- [30:02]
Rashad
Is it. So there. And there were a couple people and I saw a few posts and this is when I put the phone down this afternoon. You kind of alluded to it when you started. It was like that moral fabric. Right. Like knowing that, you know, oil probably or some of these companies would have a slight spike today. Do we invest in those companies?
- [30:22]
Ian Schwarzman
Is.
- [30:25]
Rashad
It's a fine line. Right. Like there's that part of, like that moral investing that people will stick to. Or some people just say, yo, there's an opportunity to make money. We got to make it.
- [30:34]
Troy
Well, also a thing with morals is that it's. Morals is a tricky thing.
- [30:41]
Rashad
No, go ahead.
- [30:42]
Troy
For the most part, because it's. It's not really black or white. A lot of times it's gray. So a lot of Venezuelans are happy that this happens. I've even heard Venezuelans say that I'd rather be an American colony than under.
- [30:57]
Ian Schwarzman
His rule and leadership.
- [30:58]
Troy
Yeah. So see that?
- [31:00]
Rashad
Yep.
- [31:01]
Troy
Hey, I mean, they're not crying about it, so.
- [31:05]
Ian Schwarzman
But he's had a good point too. What about, even though the people may have unrest, it doesn't mean that the regime change is absolutely right. Like, I agree Maduro could be nefarious at times, but I don't like the start of this cycle. This is year one. It feels like he's been in three years already. If he does this to Colombia, then it's the issue in Nigeria. They're setting a propaganda. And it's always the same. It's cartel, narco terrorism, or Christians being killed as a way to invade. And now in government, there's no checks and balances. And the ones who will check him are too afraid of that administration to even do anything. So it's a very scary thing to see be pulled off so quickly. And the other part is like, how did they get him so easily?
- [32:06]
Troy
Well, also, you know, I hate, I hate to be that guy. Not only did. Not only. How did they get him so easily, all of a sudden now we. We want the vice president to stay in office. She's cooperating. Look, if your best friend gets hit and you, and you, because you are fine. And dandy, if you become friends with the person that got your best friend hit, well, the best friend has to look at you.
- [32:32]
Rashad
Yeah, I thought. I thought she was going somewhere else. I thought she was gonna say the Nike tech.
- [32:37]
Troy
Well, the Nike tech. Was that even real? Because he had three different outfit changes. But from a. From a serious standpoint, like, what of. Of this. This is an interesting thing because I'm like, damn, this is like a. This is like an Alfred Hitchcock movie. Like, you take somebody in the middle of the night, you just. You just abducting presidents now.
- [32:57]
Rashad
And his wife.
- [32:58]
Troy
You just abducting presidents. And then within 48 hours, you already said that there's no opposition that's going to come into power. When they said the opposition wants 78 of the vote. And you say like, no, no, she doesn't have. She doesn't have the majority of the people. And then you automatically just start working with the same regime that you. You say you want a new regime, but you start working with the same regime that you say that you didn't want anymore.
- [33:22]
Ian Schwarzman
The new regime is a regime I can have interest in.
- [33:27]
Rashad
So here's the other part. When we were talking about when he was potentially going to become, I think maybe the day after we having conversation, then following market monies, we're saying, like, what. What companies should we be looking at? In terms. Again, I don't know if it's moral, but we were like, yo, defense, right? Like, if you're going to continue to go to country to country, invade great strikes. Bomb here, bomb there. And we were like, yo, hey, talented. Makes sense. Raytheon, which is rtx, Makes sense. Lockheed Martin, all these defense. Look at how those companies have performed, right? Look at how they perform since November 5th.
- [34:04]
Troy
Northman. Yep, it's Pal. Play one that Palantir play. All those drones.
- [34:13]
Ian Schwarzman
A lot of is their tech. I know Andre isn't publicly traded yet, but that Call of Duty helmet.
- [34:21]
Rashad
That's what I'm saying. Do you invest knowing that.
- [34:23]
Troy
Well, okay, do you invest in an iPhone knowing that there's kids in Congo that's losing their life? Cobalt for the convenience of a, of a FaceTime phone call? That's what I'm saying. Morals is a slippery slope when it comes to morals.
- [34:38]
Ian Schwarzman
But this has always been my point around those tech companies. It's hard to endorse them, knowing who they use it on, knowing that in a few years they're going to try and use it on us.
- [34:51]
Troy
100.
- [34:52]
Ian Schwarzman
Tough, bro.
- [34:52]
Troy
But you know, the iPhone's getting Used on us for sure.
- [34:56]
Ian Schwarzman
And the radiation love, that's a big scandal. You think the AirPods was a scandal? Wait till you find out the 20 year radiation levels and how much cancer it cause if you use it for 15 minutes a day.
- [35:06]
Troy
So from an investment standpoint, right. All right, let's talk about this because there's different, it's multi level faceted things that we talked about from we talked about like the oil company, Chevron, Exxon, Coco Kono, we talked about oil services and infrastructure, Halliburton, Baker Hughes, we talked about refineries, vlo, mpc. We talked about defense plays, Lockheed Martin, Palantir and then we talked about commodities and safe havens, gold, silver, oil, ETFs. So there's a few ways that most people short, short term, how does this directly affect as far as trade? Right. And then I guess that goes into how, how sustainable is the trade, how long. But it also goes to a longer trend of investing. So if this is, this is playing out in the world's stage of imperialism, hasn't changed, it's just, it's not done, it's just changed. And we see the drones, we see Palantir technology being used in real time. So okay, take the Venezuela thing, this is just. But this is going to happen again whether it's Colombia, whether it's Cuba. So from a long term standpoint the defense companies you would think okay this is something that you know, still long term oil, these are something, this is something that's still long term despite all the green technology and all of the you know, solar conversations like we're still.
- [36:34]
Ian Schwarzman
Oil companies own majority of that anywhere.
- [36:37]
Troy
So all so those sectors and gold as well, I mean Mike Novogratz, when we spoke to him before the election he said he thought he saw gold getting to 10,000 and that doesn't seem like a too far fetched these days. So as a trend because we want to talk about some other sectors but as a trend, right. From a gold standpoint, silver standpoint, from a defense standpoint, from an oil standpoint, oil refinery standpoint, taking this trade, this Venezuelan trade away, what's the long term like trends for all of these different things that are currently benefiting from this Venezuela invasion.
- [37:18]
Ian Schwarzman
I want to be very clear that the oil trade is a very short term, short sighted trade. I don't think in March no one would care about this trade and a long term trend of crude for those who trade the crude future is to the downside. Was that volatility Sunday night? Yes. Is it starting to pull back. Yes. I think the real move here is gold, bitcoin and Palantir. I think Palantir is positioned perfectly for the next two years from what I heard. I don't allegedly Andoril Tech was on boots on ground though. So when they're ipo so it'd be Palantir, Anderil, bitcoin and gold. The first thing when I saw the invasion we was in a group chat. I'm like it's interesting. The balance sheet of America is at a certain level you can balance some things out. But no one has been mentioning the reserves of crypto for the country at a time when there was so much unrest. They were one of the first countries that adopted this at mass scale. And he said he wanted bitcoin to be an American first thing. And then Call of Duty goes to war. I think Palantir, Bitcoin, I mean even in that like the memes was popping up. This was in the 2012 Call of Duty shout out to my gamers. There's always a foreshadowing. And it was in the show with, with Jack Ryan. Like they'll tell you like if you know how that sphere of the world works and what their allegiance to the truth is to for karmic retribution they gonna reveal their playbook in advance for sure. So bitcoin, gold, Palantir I think are the three long term focuses that come from these new age invasions.
- [39:04]
Rashad
Yeah, I think, I think it's the overwhelming theme is defense tech. Right. So if you put, yeah the Palantirs, you put Andorra rtx which is, which is Raytheon. I would even put Boeing in terms of aircraft. Right. Like all those defense tech companies. Long term, this is the new way to wage warfare.
- [39:25]
Ian Schwarzman
Right.
- [39:26]
Rashad
It's not boots on the ground, it's not soldiers in the field is how can we be as sophisticated. They, they even had one of those little insects that had cameras on them that can go through piping.
- [39:35]
Ian Schwarzman
The Dragonfly. Yep.
- [39:37]
Rashad
It's just the level of technology is just at an all time high and this is the way they're going to, to wager going forward. And so like if, if you're interested in getting into that space, if you don't even have to do it from a individual, like you said, there's some ETFs. ITA is one that I had looked at before. I just haven't pulled the trigger on it. I just something about it is tough. But yeah man, I think that's a long term trend because that's not going anywhere. We don't want to put our population, our citizens, at the front line at the way we used to. So how do we do it? We'll create machines that do it.
- [40:12]
Troy
There you have it. All right, so yeah, that was the breakdown because I did see, you know, that's the thing, social media, Instagram, it doesn't really give you a lot of context a lot of times, because I saw one video that went viral and the headline was like, how to make money from the Venezuelan War. So I actually clicked on it because I just wanted to see what the insight was. But it was like a minute video and it was like, buy land in Venezuela now. And I'm like, the context of that is missing so much. Like, who's gonna go to a country on the verge of collapse and just find a random real estate agent and say, hey, I want to buy land in Venezuela. And like, you have no idea of how the real estate system works. Like I said, who even knows if that paper is going to be worth anything if they have a whole totally regime change. You've never even. You don't even speak Spanish. Nine times out of ten you go, and like I said, what, are you going to just go to Craigslist and find the local real estate agent in Caracas and buy land in Venezuela? And then people was commenting like, yo, that's such an amazing idea. I never thought of that. So I say that to say the show, like Market Mondays is important because it's so. There's so much you could just say anything on social media and it goes viral, which is short sound bites. But you need detailed education to really, you know, make some money out here.
- [41:38]
Rashad
Did they add that part?
- [41:41]
Ian Schwarzman
That's a holiday. How do you.
- [41:43]
Rashad
Right, like, how do you get there?
- [41:45]
Troy
Buy land in Venezuela next week.
- [41:48]
Ian Schwarzman
And in any crisis, the obvious trade is never the one that's in front of you.
- [41:53]
Rashad
They.
- [41:53]
Ian Schwarzman
They never give you the same crash over and over again. But when you look through history, the obvious crashes and crises that come from, they're not going to make it that obvious for you to be able to invest in it like that. So you have to look for the under paintings and those relationships prior to, especially with an administration who talks to a book like this.
- [42:15]
Troy
Yeah, hit the like button and share. Okay, so now one of the key partners for Venezuela was China and Russia. And now China said they're actually demanding the immediate return of the president. I don't think that's going to happen, but it's one. It, it raises the, the question of okay, if this is what you want to do and you just want to just abduct presidents and take over countries, well, we have a country that we have our eye on. And this is an interesting New Year's Day. This is before this happened, but on New Year's Day, President Xi Ji Ping of China made an address to the nation and said, In 2026, the unification of Taiwan and China will happen. I think that's the most aggressive that he's ever spoken about that. And like I said, now this is the games that's being played because that was a tremendous ally. They have, I think, $80 billion in loan. That's that they've given Venezuela. They've invested in infrastructure. They was getting oil. It's going to, it's going to disrupt, it's going to disrupt some things for China, this whole thing. So it's like, okay, Taiwan. And this is a country that we talked about a lot. Taiwan Semiconductor, one of the most important companies on the stock market. A company that has done very well. I know it's in a lot of people's portfolio.
- [43:29]
Rashad
You're welcome.
- [43:33]
Troy
Will this push China over the edge and take in Taiwan? And, and, and Taiwan Semiconductor, is the threat for TSM even higher now?
- [43:46]
Rashad
Is there a time frame on when you saying this year?
- [43:49]
Troy
Well, he said, he said this year.
- [43:52]
Rashad
Okay, okay, go ahead.
- [43:56]
Ian Schwarzman
No, no, troll, go ahead.
- [43:58]
Rashad
I was gonna say, my answer is no. I don't think they, they take it over this year. I feel like the country, the country, they're not going to take over Taiwan. And when you hear him speak, it almost seems like he's speaking inevitably, like at some point that is going to happen. I don't think it's now. I think in terms of war. Right. This would create war. You don't tell the enemy or the proposed land that you coming to take you over.
- [44:24]
Troy
Well, Trump did it with Venezuela.
- [44:26]
Rashad
Well, he's different. He gave him a warning dance and put him over the top. Yeah, he had, I think, the dancing.
- [44:32]
Ian Schwarzman
Well, they already have boost on the ground, but yeah, I think war, war.
- [44:36]
Rashad
Here is the last resort. And because of the importance of what Taiwan Semiconductor means to the world economy, including China's economy.
- [44:45]
Troy
Well, now we see what. You don't got to go to war, though. You could just do this, they, this Venezuela thing.
- [44:50]
Rashad
Well, no, well, for them, because just because of. You're talking about taking over the entire country. They went to go take the president. Right.
- [44:58]
Troy
Trump said, we're gonna run, we're gonna run the country.
- [45:01]
Rashad
That's What Trump said, what I'm saying for, for Taiwan is it's a little bit.
- [45:05]
Ian Schwarzman
Well, he's going to do that remote if he installs the person he wants there.
- [45:09]
Rashad
They don't necessarily want to. Obviously they want to take the land. But the most important asset is that company.
- [45:14]
Troy
But it's not just that though.
- [45:16]
Rashad
But it's the most important.
- [45:17]
Troy
But they want the whole. They've wanted the country, they wanted Taiwan before, a long time before tsm.
- [45:21]
Rashad
What number one, what's the most important asset.
- [45:23]
Troy
Asset right now? But I'm saying this Taiwan thing goes predates tsm.
- [45:27]
Rashad
I know that, but I'm saying the number one asset they have is tsm. Why is that so important? Because the future of the world's economy relies on semiconductors, relies on AI for sure. Is the race that they want to win. They feel like they have to win. That's the most important piece. When you're talking about 90 of the world's semiconductors being manufactured from a company, that's a piece that we have to have and it's right there for us to take. It won't be an easy invasion. In fact, I think was it two months ago Wall Street Journal put out how they could do it. I'm like, this is interesting. Why are we putting this out in November about how it could be done and how it wouldn't be an easy process. I don't think it happens number one again, strategically, to say it out loud and to try to go ahead and do it, I don't think that would be the way that historically how China has done things. Right. I think they look at the long term vision of where the country wants to be and they know where they need to be. Right. And so having TSM crumble would hurt not just our economy, it hurt theirs too. You, so you, you, you still need that, right? Even though there's been reports of Nvidia chips getting smuggled in and those were manufactured by tsm, you still need that company to function, to make sure that you don't fall as well. Right? Like that's like cutting off your nose, right?
- [46:38]
Troy
What if they, what if you use the word crumble with it? They don't. I don't think the plan is the crumble. The thing the plan is taking over.
- [46:44]
Rashad
But so inside of that, that company there's a kill switch, right. So you can't just come into that space and say like we're going to invade and we're going to take over this company and it's going to be Run. There's a kill switch.
- [46:54]
Troy
Unless you have people on the inside. And like America had in Venezuela, inside China got an. They got inside, man.
- [47:01]
Rashad
They've tried it. They've tried it a bunch of times and they're still trying it.
- [47:04]
Ian Schwarzman
And it's been thwarted. Yeah, yeah.
- [47:06]
Rashad
They tried it in the Netherlands with asml. They've tried it with Taiwan Semiconductor. They actually got. This is a guy they're trying to bring back from China. They're trying to say, like, yo, we need him extra drive back because he left Taiwan Semiconductor to try to give away the secrets of how they were manufacturing, how they were using the machines to manufacture. So they've tried it. They're still trying it. But that company is still so important. It's still so important. Like you can. Like I said, when you take apart a GPU or you break down one of these machines, it's not something that's like, hey, we can put this back together. There's certain details, the certain intricacies that only this company is going to be able to do. Right. And this is why the investment inside the United States was strategic.
- [47:43]
Ian Schwarzman
Right.
- [47:44]
Rashad
It wasn't just by accident that. Yeah. We want you to put fabs here. You know what? You did one here. Come now. We need three of them. They understood the geopolitical issues that were at hand. I don't. I don't think they invade this year. I think they look long term. At some point they will try to seize it. But by that time, I think the fabs will be throughout the world and the impact won't be as great.
- [48:04]
Troy
But they all. Everybody's from. Jensen's from Taiwan and his cousin who's the CEO of amd, she's from Taiwan.
- [48:13]
Rashad
They're American citizens.
- [48:17]
Ian Schwarzman
I'm gonna wrap up both points because here's what's really important.
- [48:19]
Rashad
Yeah.
- [48:20]
Ian Schwarzman
45 of US GDP last year came from 42 tech stocks in around. Centered around Nvidia open AI. But the key cornerstone point in that TSM is responsible for 20% of that. So China feels as if this is the point Rashad is making because that province was taken away from us. You took away our chance to be the number one global leader. Anyway. Is there a kill switch in there?
- [48:48]
Rashad
Yes.
- [48:49]
Ian Schwarzman
Are there some reports of some espionage going on in case? Highly likely. So it's a global war and a tech war. But you took our most precious gym of a country and the tech Americanized it. Because without the AI trade, we would have underperformed Europe. Not. No one's really talking about that like that's not fair.
- [49:15]
Rashad
That's not fair. Only because it wasn't tech. Right. It was manufacturing first. Right. Nobody manufactures.
- [49:20]
Troy
Right.
- [49:20]
Rashad
Like we grew up in that era when you got your sneakers like made in Taiwan.
- [49:23]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, right.
- [49:24]
Rashad
AI is a new, a newer thing because of. And that was an American mistake. Right. Like for sure. Right.
- [49:31]
Ian Schwarzman
Like intel dropped. Yeah, exactly.
- [49:34]
Rashad
Dropped the ball on their engineer who then went to Taiwan to create Taiwan Semiconductor now in the. From 88 on now. Like wait, yeah, they have a gem there now. It makes sense. Of course you would want that land back. Of course you were. And once you saw the technology that's there, of course. And you see where the future said of course you want it back. I just don't think they've taken it back.
- [49:54]
Ian Schwarzman
And I, I don't think he'll do it this year. But if something were to happen in.
- [49:58]
Rashad
27 for my, for my account sake.
- [50:02]
Ian Schwarzman
Oh baby. And if something happens in 27, he's not going to start the war. But if the war gets started, he gonna finish it.
- [50:12]
Rashad
We can't. No all Joseph. We can't have that happen. We just can't have that happen. No.
- [50:16]
Ian Schwarzman
Is there a kill switch? Yes. But is there some. We are seeing high level war games like the Venezuela thing. That's the entry. That's the kindergarten level of.
- [50:26]
Rashad
So here's the interesting part. U. S. They take the president of Venezuela, it doesn't automatically warrant a response from China, right? Yes. We want you to send them back. That was a illegal act of war. If they invade or try to invade Taiwan, that's going to invade us. To go immediate respons.
- [50:49]
Ian Schwarzman
Now it's fine. Sometimes you got to go throw the snowball in your, in the little cousin's face to get him. Yeah.
- [50:55]
Rashad
Come on.
- [50:55]
Ian Schwarzman
What you want to do?
- [50:56]
Rashad
Nah, that's going to be an immediate response. Now this is, that's war.
- [51:00]
Troy
Well, maybe not, maybe not immediate response because the New York Times, which is a pretty credible organization, they had a. They put out a whole thing of how America cannot beat China in a wall war. And they said the Pentagon went through 20 different war simulations and lost every time. So if you know you can't beat somebody, all it takes is somebody to actually call your bluff.
- [51:20]
Rashad
That's all fun and games, right? But the reality is this. You're talking about Nvidia, you're talking about Apple, you're talking about Microsoft, you're talking about Broadcom, you're talking about Meta, all your, your major companies. Catastrophe not going. You can't let it happen.
- [51:38]
Ian Schwarzman
You mean us being involved in a Taiwan.
- [51:41]
Rashad
If we don't get involved, that's what's at risk.
- [51:44]
Ian Schwarzman
Or what if they get us involved to expose the lack of book management and ponzi that's been going on in the country. There's a bunch of ways to. From those companies to, to not overall market.
- [51:57]
Rashad
Okay, okay, okay.
- [51:58]
Ian Schwarzman
Overall market, not those companies. Those are fine. Even a hyper concentration for sure.
- [52:04]
Rashad
You know what I'm saying? Can't risk it.
- [52:08]
Ian Schwarzman
But 10 stocks account for 35 of U. S market value and I'm a pro hyper concentration person. That's too much concentration. We've never, we haven't had a Santa Claus rally in, in three years. What death spells are for those who are watching. There is gross mismanagement and corruption like we've never seen.
- [52:31]
Rashad
That's interesting.
- [52:32]
Ian Schwarzman
For every hedge fund, pension fund fund of Fund PE, VC angel to put all of their chips into 10 when there's four or five thousand. And the thing that's not talked about is since the 80s we have probably two or three thousand companies that have been delisted and have never come back. So we have a contraction and now we have all this hype and concentration in. Why? Because there's gross mismanagement somewhere.
- [53:00]
Rashad
Do you, do you think the hyper concentration gets better in 26 or.
- [53:06]
Ian Schwarzman
I think it's going to increase.
- [53:07]
Rashad
It's going to get worse. It's going to get worse.
- [53:09]
Ian Schwarzman
Going to get worse. At some point I think we'll go from that max seven to maybe like a fab five. Like it is going to get truncated for sure max.
- [53:19]
Rashad
Well Broadcom's not in there and that should be. I mean that's a trillion dollar company. TSM's on his way to a trillion if it's not there already. So outside the seven you still got these trillion dollar companies. It was just absolute. Lily was there earlier last or late.
- [53:33]
Ian Schwarzman
We also have seen some American great like Nike is free. I know Tim cook bought the shares because he had directed but that Starbucks is falling apart fast. Casual is falling apart. Lululemon falling apart. Adobe ho just called a funeral home sales. It is some going on and no.
- [53:58]
Rashad
One wants to say we're gonna go there, we're gonna go there.
- [54:02]
Troy
Hit the like button and share. We about to get into the meat and potatoes we about to get into the meat and potatoes of this show. New look market Mondays feels good. Okay, let's talk about the top three sectors to focus on in 2026.
- [54:21]
Ian Schwarzman
Y' all want to Go first, I'll.
- [54:24]
Rashad
Go my top three sectors. I mean tech for sure. Obviously tech will always be in there. I, I think energy, I've been saying it for three months, four months now. Energy is the story. Without the energy, none of this works. GEV obviously is eating that. But if you look today, right, if you look at Caterpillar, we talked about it a few weeks ago on market Mondays, Caterpillar again, Wall Street Journal, New York Times, same report that we've already reported on. Having those turbines and having that availability to create your own energy is going to be hugely beneficial. We talked about nuclear being on the board. I actually read a whole report about Japan is now think about this. Japan is getting its nuclear reactors on board, right? They had shut them all down after World War II. They brought 10 back on right now and there's a potential to get a 45 more.
- [55:17]
Ian Schwarzman
Well, why?
- [55:18]
Rashad
Because nuclear energy is going to be a way to fuel this AI and data center revolution. So energy, ETFs and energy are going to be big. And I think financials will be my third. I think financials, when you talk about new Fed chair, when you're talking about deregulation, I think those type of scenarios in that environment. I know I talked about Robin Hood and I'll put Robin Hood inside there about JP Morgan, when you think about Citi, which we spoke about, even pnc, to a certain extent the climate is almost, I wouldn't say perfect, but it's really perfect. It's really nice, especially with deregulation, now that there was talk about rates being cut again three times this year. Those type of catalyst events all favor financial firms, the ones that I mentioned I like. So I would have tech, energy and finances.
- [56:17]
Ian Schwarzman
If you zoom in, you probably can't see it in that circle. Tech, healthcare and financial. So we're on the same page. Tech always leads the race. I think there's going to be a nice uptick in the healthcare space this year. But with deregulation and just the climate that we're in, and of course interest rates being dropped, Trump getting who he wants to be the Fed chair, that's going to be incredibly favorable. Now long term, will it have horrific effects on the dollar? For sure. But the next two or three years, I think financials would do great. I'm normally not a big financials, bank first kind of guy, with the exception of maybe Robin Hood because of the relationship and innovation there. But JP will do well. Robin Hood to do well. Cities trading that level, it's like 08 again. Damn near. In the financial space. So, yeah, tech, healthcare and financials.
- [57:10]
Troy
What about cyber security?
- [57:13]
Ian Schwarzman
I'll put a fourth.
- [57:15]
Rashad
Yeah, so like that. That would be falling to tech.
- [57:18]
Troy
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- [57:19]
Ian Schwarzman
So subsector.
- [57:20]
Rashad
Yeah, because I was gonna say semis, but I was like, somebody would have told me same.
- [57:24]
Ian Schwarzman
I was going to. Yeah, it's a sub sector of tech.
- [57:26]
Rashad
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Shout out to Justin. Real quick, shout out to Justin. In the chat, he put a bunch of JP, Goldman Sachs, MasterCard, Morgan Stanley. Yeah, he got a bunch of sofas in there. I know people keep asking about SO5 visa.
- [57:39]
Troy
Well, then what about commodities? We talked about gold. Doesn't show any signs of slowing down. Silver, oil, obviously, with this whole Venezuela thing. So gold did better than bitcoin last year.
- [57:54]
Ian Schwarzman
And you know what's scary? Gold, copper and silver up at the same time. That's really. Because that's like the bond market and stocks being up at the same time. Those are supposed to be offsetting each other and they're not.
- [58:07]
Rashad
Yeah, I saw some crazy statistic. It was like gold has outpaced Berkshire Hathaway since 1990, which is crazy. It was like, yo, you should just told him to invest in gold.
- [58:19]
Ian Schwarzman
Which is another sign of the corruption that has not been unveiled in the broader economy yet.
- [58:28]
Rashad
Yeah. And congratulations to Warren Buffett. I know he stepped down effective 31 December. So, yeah, job well done.
- [58:37]
Ian Schwarzman
Bless him, man. Icon.
- [58:39]
Rashad
Yeah, for sure.
- [58:40]
Ian Schwarzman
Greatest ever do it.
- [58:43]
Troy
So is gold. Are you still optimistic about gold?
- [58:46]
Ian Schwarzman
Absolutely. I think with this much unrest on the table geopolitically, in terms of what's going on, in terms of the entire larger business ecosystem, and there's not as much innovation, like people kept asking me over holidays, I'm sure to ask you as well, is the AI trade over? I'm like, no, it's the main focus for most American companies. But that concentration, the part that's frustrating is other companies that are not AI facing aren't innovating how they should for their sector. So it's a lot of risk on the table. And I think one way to offset them is pairing gold and bitcoin there together. So, no, I think gold will have another great year this year.
- [59:37]
Troy
All right. Okay, let's get to it. 2026 stock picks.
- [59:48]
Ian Schwarzman
You ready, T. Roy? Let's go.
- [59:50]
Rashad
Oh, man, here we go. Last year we had an incredible year. Shout out to everybody that. That wrote down the list. I'm give the list. I'm gonna go over a few just because I think having some Context and some details to it makes a lot more sense. So I'm gonna start with the ones that are obvious that are in the portfolio, that will remain in the portfolio. So tsm, we kind of highlighted that already. AMD is still in the portfolio. It will remain in the portfolio for 2026. Meta. And I'm gonna stop on Meta really quickly because I didn't highlight it in the last class and I wanted to save it for the top of 2026. Meta is a very interesting stock. We already know all the things in terms of social media and all of the assets that it has. We talked about the spending, the Capex spend, but I think the most important spend that they had and it kind of got overlooked was this $2 billion acquisition of Manus. And so if that happened over the time we were off, you probably overlooked it. Probably, like, oh, doesn't even make. What are they doing? I don't even know what that is. So why is that important? Well, Meta has spent a lot of money. Sure. Part of it, the problem and why we've seen the stock pull back is that the spend hasn't equated to actually making money.
- [61:11]
Ian Schwarzman
Right.
- [61:12]
Rashad
Like you have to yet. Yeah, keyword yet. The Manus acquisition changes all that.
- [61:19]
Ian Schwarzman
Right. That's like when Durant went to the warriors, bro.
- [61:21]
Rashad
So what is, what does Manus do? They actually create AI agents that do real time work like they do work now. Right. And so why is that important that? Because people were actually paying for those services. And so you purchase a company that has revenue now you bring that revenue into your company. Well, how much revenue were they doing? Well, Manus was the first and, well, not the first, the fastest. Fastest company in history to have a hundred million dollars of annual rate of return. 100 million fastest ever. They saw what they were doing. They said, look, we've spent a lot of money. We have some debt or a lot of debt that we're building. We need to get some revenue coming in. Let's figure out an AI company that is actually making money right now, man. This was that they acquired it. I think that was a huge deal. So Meta is definitely on the list. We got GeV. We highlighted that a few months ago. Lily, what you talked about, Ian Hood, we spoke about on the last episode, Visa. And then I go into my, my memory sector with Micron. And Micron is a company I've been talking about for probably, like, I know y' all are tired of it now. Three years. Three years. But you know, a lot of people like, well, Micron's run, is it over? I mean it went up 200% and my answer is no. And here's why. When we think about TSM and their manufacturing, right, they're doing that for Broadcom, they're doing that for Google, they're doing that for Meta. Obviously they're doing that for Nvidia and AMD, right? We're talking about GPUs and CPUs, but inside of that component needs to, it needs to have memory, right? All I don't care if Google says they're doing TPUs, you still need a memory component. Now I know Samsung will play a role in that. And we saw Samsung, their numbers went up today. SK Hynix, right? This is, this is the reason. If you look at the history of what these tech CEOs are doing, watch once a year they make a trip and they go to South Korea to sit down and figure out how they're going to get memory components. In fact, well, I'll save that for the next company. So that growth is still going to happen. In fact, they're projecting a top line growth of 93% for the fiscal year of 2026. So Micron remains on the list as well as Western Digital. And that kind of goes into my sandisk. So we got tsm, Nvidia, we'll go that amd, Meta, Micron, gev, Lily Hood, Visa, Western Digital, now Nvidia. If you watched, and I know Ian, you were watching it today, we saw Jensen sds. Physical AI is a real thing. Physical AI is a real thing. And he went over it and in detail. We can't run from that. Auto Thomas vehicles are real thing and they've been working on that and presentation wasn't impressive. I think equally as impressive, and this happened at that last week of December is their acquisition of Gronk. And we talked about this and people like what Grog, isn't that what, what Elon has? Well, same, yeah, different company. The company was valued at $6.9 billion. 6.9. They weren't even for sale. Right. Nvidia offered them and they actually took it. 20 billion. So almost three times what the company was actually value at. Why they were finding mastery in an area that Nvidia wasn't finding mastery and that is language processing units. LPUs. So add that to your PUs. Right? We talked about CPUs, GPUs, TPUs, XPUs, LPUs, language processing units. So those do. It's a different approach in the gpu, it's a different design. And it makes specific models. Right. So why say let's try to create when we have a cash load of money? Let's go acquire. So they acquired Gronk. I thought that was a very big acquisition. Nvidia is still going to be the lead in the GPU market. We know that. They talked about Reuben today.
- [65:16]
Ian Schwarzman
I mean, shipping out.
- [65:18]
Rashad
Oh my God. Gosh, yeah. Okay. But that isn't my number one company of the year. My number one company is going to be Google. It's going to be Google.
- [65:30]
Ian Schwarzman
We're on the same page.
- [65:32]
Rashad
I got. So the TPU performance we've seen with Gemini, I mean, Gemini has now rivaled, if not passed open AI for the time being in terms of GPTs. And it's being powered by those TPUs. So first thing, I think the SpaceX investment comes into play this year. The SpaceX investment is very important. In 2015, when people weren't looking, they were like, why are they investing in SpaceX, this company that is aerospace? Well, they had vision. Sundar has vision. And the vision is coming to life. Why? And we talked about this on class, right? When we think about the capex spend for AI, well, there's a couple places it goes. Number one, it goes to infrastructure. Okay, well if we can't build here, can we build outer space? Well, yeah, we can send satellites out there. Okay, well the next thing that compounds is energy. Well, it costs us energy here. Liquid cooling, nuclear power plants, all this infrastructure we got to put online. Well, if we are not in this atmosphere, where do we get our energy from? Yeah, the sun. Right. So you got infinite energy, you got infrastructure. The next thing is cooling. Right, like these chips don't work without liquid cooling. If you watch Jensen's presentation today, when he talked about that Ruben chip, he talked about the liquid cooling that was inside. Right. Because it's necessary. If it's not at that temperature, the chips will shut down, they won't work. But outer space, you're talking about a temperature that's stagnant. It stays remaining.
- [67:07]
Ian Schwarzman
It's cool.
- [67:08]
Rashad
So from that standpoint, now I look at the 2015 acquisition, I'm saying, oh my gosh, they're working with Tesla. There's something here, perfect timing. That's going to turn into a billion dollar investment. We already know when SpaceX has its IPO at some point this year, they'll add to the revenue for Google. And then the last piece is the Samsung part. So last year Samsung confirmed that they had Gemini and 40, no, 400 million devices. Right, 400 million Samsung devices had Gemini. They are projecting and have confirmed that that number is going to double in 2026. They're going to have Gemini in 800 million devices. Why is that important? Well, you got Apple already on your books, right? Because you've already done the deal with Siri. Anytime you do a search engine on Apple and they've renewed that, that's going to be Google. Now you got Samsung, which is the other competitor, 800 million devices that are going to be using your Gemini product. You add that into it, it's like, okay, I see what they've done here. Right. You add all those things up.
- [68:18]
Ian Schwarzman
I'm taking, they took away and they took away everything Apple should have done. Yeah, well, well played.
- [68:28]
Rashad
There you go, fellas. Ladies and gentlemen, those are the stocks. Those are my stocks of the year for 2026. Write them down, track them and we'll come back here in December. See what we did.
- [68:40]
Troy
And that was definitely something that we went over in EY University also last month. Not only did he give those stocks, but it was like a three hour breakdown. The whole investment club was on. They talked about crypto and a bunch of other stuff and really went into like the different option plays and what he was looking at as far as the target options, stuff like that. So like I said, the thing about EY University is just we don't have the capacity to do that in market Mondays. It's only an hour and a half or two hours and you, that class alone was three hours. But when the time comes, when you're interested, you should definitely take advantage of that. EL University because it's been cooking and Red Panda also. We'll talk about that later on. But yeah, yeah, I mean the results speak for itself and then I'm sure the mastermind be going over everything in D.C. as well. And speaking of Nvidia, we will be going to Nvidia the first ever do remember, the first ever. So you know there's two groups. Group A, group B, look out for the email. You'll be getting the information. Group A, you already got the information. You'll just get the last bit of information. But yeah man, we, we, we got a lot planned this year for sure.
- [69:46]
Ian Schwarzman
It's gonna be an amazing year.
- [69:48]
Rashad
Yeah, yeah, I'm. Can I add one more piece? I looked at my notes, I didn't say this part.
- [69:52]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, I'm gonna add one. Go ahead.
- [69:55]
Rashad
So there was an article that, that got sent to me and it was talking about Google the day after Nvidia acquired Grunk Google fired its executives after failing to secure AI memory chips amid shortage. Right. And so when I'm hearing now, I'm like, well, they're supposed to deliver 4 million TPUs. They only got a million because they didn't have what that key piece that I keep telling y' all about. Memory, memory, memory. Mary, that story's not over.
- [70:23]
Ian Schwarzman
And if you want to know my picks for 2026, go to and join Stock Club. I will give you all a couple tonight, but I'm not giving my top. I'll give you all a few though. Nvidia for sure. Visa, American Express, Moody's financial services company would do incredibly well. But if you want my full list of companies to invest in for 2026 as well as where to get in it, where to get in, where to get out, the swing, trade price, load the boat, quick entry, go to Ian invest.com. if I made you money, please put yes in chat. I love you. Ideally, stock club call this Sunday at 5pm Central.
- [71:00]
Rashad
Jason, I never say Amazon because everybody know I'm Amazon's in the post.
- [71:04]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, Amazon. And all of a sudden people made that their stock of the year. I'm like Mike on Amazon.
- [71:11]
Rashad
We got a tumultuous relationship, but they stay in the portfolio, man. Don't worry.
- [71:15]
Troy
Well, speaking of that, Ian, bitcoin, Where's bitcoin headed?
- [71:23]
Ian Schwarzman
I think bitcoin for a number of reasons will have a good year. I know last year was partially rocky, but think about this. If an investment can give you a potential upside of 80 to 100%. I think Bitcoin ended the year down at what, 13%. That's nothing like when a asset that gives you the highest return of all time is only down 13% for the year. And people were panicking like it was micro strategy. That's the difference case. I think you have to be incredibly optimistic about bitcoin for this year and next worst case scenario, I have bitcoin landing at 119, 111. But in best case scenario, I have bitcoin landing at 143,863. I think bitcoin will have a very strong year. I think there'll be a bunch of more politically or geopolitical reasons that will give you inclination to invest in bitcoin. And all the banks of hedge funds have told you they're playing over the next four or five years. So if you've gotten out of bitcoin, I think that's a mistake. But I think 143 is the best case. 119 is the worst case scenario. But either way, I think bitcoin will end up positive for the year. And also too, you need to go look at what the yearly open was for those assets. You need to see if they were trending down today or trending above the yearly open. Those that are trending underneath the yearly open, not the best sign. Bitcoin is above where it opened up at. So I think that's a great sign that they'll be a. Okay. And man, Google wiped Apple down with everything they should have done. Is it still in 2 Tech2 index? Yes. Still in stock club? Yes. But Tim Cook, sign your papers.
- [73:09]
Rashad
We sent them.
- [73:12]
Troy
Microsoft for 2026.
- [73:13]
Ian Schwarzman
Oh, gonna be, gonna be amazing. I think even though they're relatively flat and have been since maybe September. October, October. Microsoft is one of the best run companies. If anything, my conviction of Microsoft and how well they will do this year has gotten stronger because of the failure of Apple.
- [73:34]
Rashad
Damn, I meant to say Microsoft if I didn't. My bad.
- [73:37]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, I mean that should be a given.
- [73:39]
Rashad
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Microsoft, Google, tsm, they're so the Microsoft draw. And yeah, this kind of been flat but we call that consolidation and it's so contingent on the Open OpenAI story. And so because the OpenAI story still needs some clarity, there's still some hey, well how will this make sense for Microsoft? But I believe in OpenAI story. Do a lot of things have to go right? Yeah, but at when you're dealing with, with the level of technology that they have and they're going to continue to put out the, the powers that be, quote unquote. They, they will, they will aid in assist.
- [74:28]
Ian Schwarzman
Absolutely. And it depends on where Wall street prices them for the ipo. Yeah, it's going to have a tremendous impact. It's kind of Lauren from Zuckerberg. First look, parade around, you better go in there, shake your hands, kiss babies, put on that suit. You're going to kiss ass for five or six months to get the pricing that you want because you got a lot of competitors coming after you. Google being one of them.
- [74:52]
Rashad
Yeah.
- [74:52]
Ian Schwarzman
Yep. Yeah. And Elon, he made, kissed and made up with Trump and he's making his rounds on Wall street preparing for SpaceX. You don't want you have him as an enemy for life, but you don't want those bankers to be on his side and not yours before you ipo.
- [75:08]
Rashad
Yeah, they've definitely been run down and maybe you surpass.
- [75:11]
Ian Schwarzman
Yep.
- [75:13]
Troy
7, 700 people on the check in. Let's get this bad boy up to 8,000 people. We'll be doing a thousand dollar giveaway to open your brokerage account at the end of the show, man. New look. The new look market Mondays 7 these 7738 currently.
- [75:36]
Rashad
Yeah, shout out to. Yeah, the fall off they said I was waiting two weeks to say all that. You're right, I was for sure for real last week.
- [75:46]
Ian Schwarzman
I'm like what am I supposed to even be doing right now?
- [75:48]
Rashad
Yeah, they have an emergency class.
- [75:50]
Ian Schwarzman
For real.
- [75:53]
Troy
You remember blackout, blackout. 10 o' clock Eastern Standard Time on Wednesday. Eventful show for sure. Earn your leisure. Six o' clock we back with Ian Schwarzman, Joe Button's business partner. Thursday.
- [76:07]
Ian Schwarzman
Controversial but brilliant for sure.
- [76:10]
Rashad
That's a well, it's a well needed conversation.
- [76:13]
Troy
Charlemagne just got 200 million. So it's a lot going on in the podcast, a lot to talk about.
- [76:19]
Rashad
Is that right?
- [76:21]
Troy
Okay, overall predictions for 2026.
- [76:25]
Ian Schwarzman
I think the first half of the year will be absolutely amazing. I have dow ending up at 52,000-spy at 749. Couple of concerns though. Midterm Fallout 1. I'm worried about a mid year drop and how some of this geopolitical stuff will shake and rattle the market. I alluded to it earlier but I bring it up again now. Copper, gold and silver are all hidden highs and they're supposed to be offsetting each other, which means if people are risk on commodities and now risk on is coming back in tech and crypto, something's going to have to break. So you're going to have to follow the administration closely to see where those cracks could be. And I'll be looking at who falls out of favor with him and what industry they're in to see what will fall first. Lastly, I don't think that the AI trade is over, but we have to be very honest about some of these companies like Adobe, maybe Salesforce. There are some companies in the Russell 2000s and P 500 and Dow that are just getting flat out murdered and there isn't anything to come in to fix those companies. And I'm worried about if AI like software eats the world and but AI eats software, what happens to the bottom 40% of software companies that are no longer as useful or can't carry a premium and we don't have American excellence in terms of our executive leadership by Iger. It's time for you to turn in your succession plan too. Disney's been flat for three fucking years.
- [78:07]
Rashad
Everybody getting shots.
- [78:10]
Ian Schwarzman
I'm here to keep it real. They said they want the old energy back. I'm just being real. Tim Cook, it's time for you to step down. You go over to Nike, you already got your off board and playing Bob, it's time for you to turn over and let them be co CEO and let that be that. And then the geopolitical risk we talked about earlier with Taiwan. But I'm really worried about what Trump would do in Nigeria, Colombia and a couple other countries after this Venezuela plan worked out in his favor.
- [78:41]
Rashad
It's interesting I think, I think we'll be have another positive year. We always do this, the historic first five days of the trading year. So yeah, we've done two already and the theory is, and it's, I mean 85 of the time has been correct. Depending on how the first five days of the trading year go for the S P whether those first five days cumulative are positive. 85% of the time the year has gone positive. So we're off to two positive days. Let's see if we can get to, to three more and that would be great. It came to fruition last year as well. So we can add to that percentage. I just think, you know there were times when war would mean volatility in the market and over the past, I don't know, it's very weird the past two or three years, I wouldn't say war conflict. We've seen like maybe a slight pullback and then things are back to normal in the market which is interesting. I think there's going to be more conflict for sure and I'm interested to see how the market responds to that because like you said, people are going to say all right, well this is an opportunity to make money in some of these places. I think the AI story is definitely still prominent. I think it, it still leads. But I am that, that if we're going by that first five day year and we're going by that, that theory then we also have to look at the midterm election theory and if roles change in, in, in Congress, how that could potentially affect the market. It usually has. But I, I overall I think we have a positive year. I don't know if we'd, I want to say double digits. I, I want to say yeah, I.
- [80:23]
Ian Schwarzman
Think we end up 13.
- [80:24]
Rashad
Yeah, I think it's double digits. Yeah, I know NASDAQ did 20 again this year for the third year in a row. I don't know if we're there but definitely over somewhere over 10.
- [80:34]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, I think I think 13 is where we're coming at.
- [80:37]
Troy
Yeah. Very rare for the stock market to go up four years in a row double digits, but anything is possible. But also the political risk I think is a lot of domestic. A lot of domestic political risk that can impact the market. I think if the Democrats really do have a blue wave, then that's going to be in the short term negative for the stock market. Now they're already making attempts to undermine. To undermine Democratic wave. And you saw that happen in Minnesota with the Somali daycare situation. This, this thing was pushed on Twitter by Elon Musk. When you control the algorithm, you can do whatever you want. And there's no coincidence that the governor stepped down today. It was, it was. It's a political wolf. Yeah. Stepped. Well he's not gonna. He stepped down as far as. He's not gonna run for real. This is a political pitch up. Executed very well. So they're not going down without a fight. As far as Republicans are not gonna go down without a fight. They control pretty much every industry right now and they're very well resourced. So MAGA 2.0, you may, you may, you may not see the blue wave that you think you will see. I think if the Republicans keep the House in the Senate, that's gonna be good for the stock market in the short term. I think if the Democrats take. Take the House and Senate, that's going to have a negative impact on it on the stock market for the short term.
- [82:12]
Ian Schwarzman
I agree. Yeah. That 13 probably dropped a 9 if that changes. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- [82:22]
Rashad
Let's. Let's see.
- [82:23]
Troy
I don't know who knows Somali daycare. Who would have thought the Somali. A Somali daycare would be the number one story in the world.
- [82:31]
Ian Schwarzman
It's crazy. They bring up that fraud but not all the other fraud that's being committed that benefit them. Allegedly.
- [82:37]
Rashad
All alleged. Right. It's ridiculous. It's ridiculous.
- [82:42]
Troy
There's a few other daycares for.
- [82:45]
Ian Schwarzman
For sure.
- [82:46]
Troy
It's a few other that need to.
- [82:48]
Ian Schwarzman
Be talked about if y' all want.
- [82:49]
Rashad
To go to the pizza route.
- [82:53]
Troy
If. If you really.
- [82:56]
Ian Schwarzman
If.
- [82:57]
Rashad
Let's listen.
- [82:59]
Ian Schwarzman
Couple hotel chains allegedly. That are not publicly traded ever.
- [83:07]
Troy
So government subsidies.
- [83:10]
Rashad
What do we know?
- [83:11]
Ian Schwarzman
Corporate bailouts. I feel like Bernie Sanders. Like what. Not saying it is right. But boy the packages y' all get on the back. What Okay. Y' all stop the non farm payroll.
- [83:26]
Rashad
Yo.
- [83:26]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah. Biden changed the definition of recession.
- [83:31]
Rashad
Like what do we.
- [83:32]
Ian Schwarzman
What. Okay. Okay.
- [83:35]
Troy
But Democrats. Yeah, I gotta, I gotta do something because.
- [83:40]
Ian Schwarzman
And Plaza ain't the answer this time either. Not to cut you off. Ain't the answer. Y' all need to go get some other p. Shout to Meg and Clay. Meg, not the answer. Y' all gonna have to bring some real solutions this time. We're not gonna.
- [83:54]
Troy
And, and the reason why I think the Democrat, if they do win, it's gonna have at least a short term effect on the market is because I feel like the Democrats only hope is to turn extremely to the left. This is why Mondani is the mayor of New York City. You got it. And that's going to cause shockwaves in the market if you have a wave of socialism that takes over. But that would actually be intelligent because they're playing it too safe right now. They playing it too much in the middle. One foot in, one foot out. Mandani, he broke every. Every rule possible. He broke every rule possible. Said if Netanyahu comes to New York City, he's getting arrested on site. And he got more Jewish votes than any other mayor. And they got Eric Adams talking about he moved. I think he moved to Israel, if I'm not mistaken. He should. But I'm just saying, like, you playing it safe and you still losing, so you cannot play it safe in 2026. You got to go.
- [84:54]
Ian Schwarzman
Good brand lesson.
- [84:55]
Troy
All or nothing.
- [84:57]
Ian Schwarzman
Yep. There's no in between.
- [85:00]
Rashad
A lot of slugs tonight, man. A lot of slugs.
- [85:03]
Ian Schwarzman
Gotta just tell the truth. And for those who don't like it.
- [85:07]
Troy
That'S what I'm saying. He got more Jewish support because he's telling the truth.
- [85:12]
Rashad
Telling the truth.
- [85:13]
Troy
He's telling the truth, right? Like, it's just like people are sick of politicians that will say anything to get elected. You know, you don't mean it. You just, you just pandering. You saying anything. You, you, you going in any direction. The thing I respect about Mondani is whether you like his policies or not, at least he's, you know, where he stands.
- [85:31]
Ian Schwarzman
Authentic. Yep, I like him.
- [85:34]
Rashad
I like him. And he quoted, Chris, shout out to kiss. We outside.
- [85:38]
Ian Schwarzman
He should have quoted we're gonna make it, but it was a good one.
- [85:41]
Rashad
He said, we outside.
- [85:42]
Troy
We outside.
- [85:43]
Ian Schwarzman
Gotta be authentic. And it's a great brand lesson too. You can't be vanilla. You have to be at extremes. Like, even at the time. Let's take Vlad. The prediction market was almost down upon. Yeah, 10 of 10 of the. The prediction market was looked down upon, but look how popular it's gotten where other banks had a chance to be involved in it and they turned it down. You can't play it safe anymore. And also, too, for the politicians, especially the Democrats. No one believes any of that shit you're saying. Don't believe it. Don't believe it. It's another one on the West Coast. Don't believe. You need more people. It's been a year.
- [86:23]
Troy
If the one on the west coast doesn't work, then they're really screwed. Shellac, He's a savior.
- [86:30]
Ian Schwarzman
If that's a savior, Wrap it up. Wrap it up. What? You ruin the economy single hand. What is over with so. But what do I know? What do I.
- [86:44]
Troy
Be interesting. Be interesting.
- [86:47]
Ian Schwarzman
People underperformed Europe by 23%. We need more American exceptionalism at every level. Local, statewide, regional, executive leadership. We're just. If they. He's the savior. He ain't Barack, you ain't Auntie Shell. Keep it real.
- [87:06]
Troy
Gavin Newsom.
- [87:08]
Ian Schwarzman
No. No chance. I don't need no favors. I'm good. No, that's the Democratic hope. Wrap it up. And a lot of y' all playing both sides anyway, trying to. Because y' all really Maga and blue anyway. Some of y'.
- [87:22]
Rashad
All Blue Maga.
- [87:23]
Troy
The Blue Blue Maga.
- [87:24]
Rashad
The Blue Maga, too.
- [87:25]
Troy
The Blue Maga. It's crazy.
- [87:27]
Ian Schwarzman
Okay. But politics, not my lane. Love y'. All.
- [87:37]
Troy
All right. Okay. So end of year market outlook. You kind of said it before, but.
- [87:42]
Rashad
Can we throw a wild card in.
- [87:43]
Troy
Here in the end of end of year market outlook, I think we end.
- [87:49]
Ian Schwarzman
Up 13% D, probably. I hope that hits 42,000. Definitely would be a green year. It would be one of the most interesting years because I think we'll see that overweight and hyper concentration increase. But I think everyone's front running the gains for what is to come in 2027. That's why you see ByteDance, data, brick, stripe. Everybody's rushing to IPO. You notice nobody's saying that they want to IP on 27. There's a reason why.
- [88:21]
Rashad
Yeah, Open AI is trying to get it. Get it done. I think this is. This is a big year again. The AI story will definitely be prominent. But in a sense, though, it's time to show, improve where we're going to get this money from. So we're going to watch Oracle trade sideways until we can prove that we're going to make some money. People are asking about Tesla in the chat. I'm thinking it's an important year for Tesla. We already know that the EV race is not the race that they're trying to win.
- [88:50]
Ian Schwarzman
Right.
- [88:51]
Rashad
Like they're trying to win the autonomous driver.
- [88:53]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, yeah, let's be clear. Not an automotive company anymore.
- [88:59]
Rashad
It's not about them selling cars. They've declined in sales again last quarter or they projected the declining sales. They're trying to get to the autonomous driving vehicles. They're trying to get to robotics as fast as possible. This is we, we tease it in 24. It's supposed to come on. We saw, saw it now. It's like how do we implement this? Or how do we partner with somebody to implement this to actually make this have revenue on the bottom line? I think that happens for Tesla, Uber, same thing. Salesforce you mentioned. This is software. How do you now incorporate AI with your software to make this something that makes sense for people to actually purchase? I think it's a big year in that show improve state. And the companies that are acquiring, they know it, Meta knows it, which is why they acquired revenue. Right? Google knows it, Nvidia knows it. Microsoft, they all know it. So it's going to be a show improved year. And I think we start to see. All right, here's why this makes sense. Here's how the revenue is going to come back because nobody has said that they're slowing down the spending. In fact, they actually are going to increase spending in 26. So that tells me that full steam ahead, they've got a roadmap and they're looking at the long term vision of it. I think we're gonna have another good year.
- [90:14]
Ian Schwarzman
Two things to look for that spending and that investment into tech. Another one is to look over the last seven years of hiring. I know there's a hiring freeze. Some of these companies are acquiring though, and some are still hiring. If they are that in tech, that's a very good sign that they plan to dominate. Like when I look at Apple's growth chart in terms of employees over the last five years, there's a trend in a correlation with the stock market that you can see clear as day. Nvidia, you can see the inverse. Google, you can see the inverse. So look at the level of acquisition and the level of employment being added to those prospective rosters to have an.
- [90:56]
Troy
Impact on stock for the people that you know will say, okay, well if it's a good year, when should I, when should I put money into the market?
- [91:08]
Ian Schwarzman
At every price point I tell you to. I can get one tonight if y' all want, but every month, every month, all okay, put this in chat. I will automate my investment. In the age of AI, why are you manually looking to Invest.
- [91:22]
Troy
So dollar cost averaging.
- [91:24]
Ian Schwarzman
Absolutely.
- [91:24]
Troy
But we do what we do. But we do. But we do always preach dollar cost averaging. But we also do preach to where to buy, not a specific price. Buying at premium prices is not recommended, right?
- [91:41]
Ian Schwarzman
No. But for those of you who don't listen the first time, and some of you may be new, so I'm going to be gracious, automate the investing. But if you are seasoned and you want to get more return out of the market, you should, you have to wait for a specific price. But more importantly, is the consistency of you putting the money into the market. Because I know people who are like, well, I'm still waiting for AMD to drop to a certain level. The level that I call last year got there. Whether you took advantage of it or not, it's up to you. But some people will sit on a sideline and then you end up blowing the money in Miami. It's like, well, I get a lot of questions about how can I invest more. I'm like, well, if you stop going out as much and put that money into the companies that run the world, you have money to go out all the time. But what normally happens is if you don't deploy the capital into an asset, an emergency is going to come up. It never fails. Or somebody has an emergency for you. So when in doubt, just automate the investing to make it easier for you.
- [92:37]
Troy
Or Trump might start a crisis.
- [92:39]
Rashad
Yeah, we never know. Next week could be tomorrow, who knows? I think for somebody who's a beginner, I think you create your plan of what the depreciation is.
- [92:51]
Troy
Right.
- [92:51]
Rashad
So like we don't want to invest in an all time high, but where do you want to invest? Is it, is it 20 down from its high? Is it 30 down from his eye? So even like when we talked about AMD. Yeah. It's sitting right here at 221, but it was at 258. So are we 30 down? No, not yet. What's your threshold of where you want to enter the position? I think that's important. A lot of times they're like, well, Troy, you keep talking about Micron, but every time I look it's up $5, it's up $10. Well, you've got to figure out what the, what the entry point is. Right. It's going to have a pullback. We know that.
- [93:23]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah.
- [93:24]
Rashad
All right. But that pullback, that higher, that's going to be a higher low. Right. So when it pulls back to, I don't know, let's say 285. Yes.
- [93:33]
Ian Schwarzman
Can I get prices?
- [93:34]
Rashad
It's to it. You want your prices?
- [93:36]
Troy
Well that's, yeah, let's, let's, let's do that next. Are you ready to do that now?
- [93:39]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, let's do it now. Micron three prices.
- [93:43]
Troy
Micron because yeah, that is something that for anybody that's new right to watch. Like I feel like 10, 20, 30, 40. If something is down 10, that's something that's good. You, you know, you've been having your eye on it. You might want to start easing into that position. If it's down 20%, then that's technically like bear territory. So you might want to say, okay, I'm really, you know, going to put, you know, some money into this 30% and, and it's a good company because a company can go down 90%. So if it's a good company and you really believe it and it's like, you know, Nvidia, something like that and it's like, okay, now I'm going to really right. If it's down 40%, then it's like no brainer tariff. That's like, you know, just it's, it's going out of business sale. Like you got to take advantage of that. It's a, it's a no brainer. But only with good companies because you could see something to go down 40%. Crypto is you buy these meme coins and then it's by the dip and then 40% turns to 80% drop. So.
- [94:36]
Ian Schwarzman
Or 55% like micro strategy last year.
- [94:39]
Troy
Yeah, for sure.
- [94:40]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah.
- [94:40]
Troy
But let's talk about, okay, what's a good buy point for, for Micron?
- [94:48]
Ian Schwarzman
Troy's been talking about this company forever. So I got to give my guy credit. But I want to give you a preview of what I do in stock club. So I'm not only going to give you one price, I'm going to give you three. So the first price is a quick entry price. That is $273.79. So this is not the place where you want to load the boat or put the majority of your money. But this is a the first price drawdown that I think will have 273.79. Second price is 249.75. So if I'm looking to put maybe 5% in the first price, the second price maybe I get to 10 to 15%. That is 249.75. This is my loath to boat price for Micron. If it gets to 210 50, I will be Elated, I would be more than happy to throw 30, 40% of my capital. This must be a five year hold for all prices. But load the boat is 210.50. Swing trade price is 249.75. Quick entry price is 273.79. If I made you money, please put yes in chat. I love you all so much.
- [95:52]
Rashad
I love you all. If you made money with Micron, put some fires in the chat. What the percentages you made because that, that has been absolutely been going nuts. We've been talking about it since it was at 83. It's funny because you name those prices. And we were in the 110 call, we were in the 130 call. Shout out to everybody eylu Then we were in the 230 call and then shout out to Matt. Shout out to my guy Matt. I've been talking to Matt about his investment journey, man. And we went to the 250 call and then I remember calling him like yo, this, this, this story is not done yet. And so to watch what it's doing now is incredible. I know a lot of people have made some money with it so, so let's just keep this thing going hold.
- [96:29]
Ian Schwarzman
For the long term.
- [96:30]
Troy
We're gonna give away a thousand dollars to a few people. But before that we need 8, 000 on the check in. It's 7 900. So we need, we just need, we just need 80 more people.
- [96:42]
Rashad
You want to do a bonus one?
- [96:43]
Troy
I got, I got some thousand on the check.
- [96:45]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, let's do a bonus one.
- [96:46]
Rashad
Let's do this. There's. All right, so you had this. Which two IPOs would you buy this year if you could own nothing else for the next seven years?
- [96:57]
Ian Schwarzman
I think the answer is pretty clear. There's one entrepreneur that you can't bet against despite his political leanings. And there's one piece of technology that has changed the world forever that you can't bet against. So one is a bet on the entrepreneur. The other one is a bet on the tech. If I had to start over and wipe my portfolio clean and only invest in 2, 2 IPOs, it would be SpaceX and OpenAI. There's no question. And I've been big on OpenAI since 21. Early 22 has does Sam has some issues he needs to work through that I've highlighted for sure. But has the tech revolutionized and changed American commerce and international commerce forever? Absolutely. Even though he stole it from Eli. And the other one is a bet on Elon I told you guys a few years ago, at some point he's gonna stop being CEO of Tesla and he's gonna move on to brighter endeavors. This is one of them. The crazy part is this ain't even the best company to portfolio, but SpaceX will do incredibly well. What, what about you? What two would you pick?
- [98:15]
Rashad
You. You had my tool. This is, I think this is the year that he becomes a trillionaire.
- [98:19]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah.
- [98:20]
Rashad
Scary enough you think about, you know, the evaluation of the company, where it's at now. If that goes public. He will, he'll be there. I think the OpenAI story is interesting too, because that is a microcosm of the AI story. But again, when it does ipo, think about this and why we said Microsoft and you're looking at it now, it's sitting between that 15 to 20 down range right now. When opening IPOs, they have 29. So if that valuation is 1 billion, you do them.
- [98:56]
Ian Schwarzman
You know when you said make another hole, that's like. If you found other holes, only half of it.
- [99:02]
Rashad
That's like revenue. That's just, you know, so do the math on that. But I put, I just put a couple others. I put anthropic, I think, you know, they're interesting in terms of the GPT space and agentic AI. I think anthropic is important. And then stripe, I think stripe too. I think those are, those are four solid. Obviously those two, the first two prominent. Those would be the ones. But I think those two are interesting as well.
- [99:27]
Troy
Yeah, definitely. 8,000 people on the check in, great way to start the year, man. 8,000 people on a check in, great way to start the year. And, you know, it's one of these things and in a time where there's a lot of people selling out, it's always, it's always good to have a sellout event, sellout show, sell out book, sell out merch. There's a difference.
- [100:00]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah. And it's always great to give back.
- [100:02]
Troy
Selling out and selling out. And with that being said, there's no show quite like Market Mondays. It stood the test of time. It's educated people, it's entertained people. We've had billionaire guests, we've done live shows, we did a world tour. And it's all rooted in education. And we are doing something. Since it's the start of the year, a lot of people's resolution is to begin their investment journey. Some people have never invested before. So we're going to ask from the honest honor system, this is for people that have never Invested. If you have never invested and this is your first time ever investing this year and you're interested in opening a brokerage account, we are going to send you a thousand dollars to your cash app for the purposes of opening a brokerage account. That's it. We're gonna hope that you do the right thing with the money and we're gonna hope that you actually are honest and. And one of the people that actually need the money. So with that being said, put your cash apps the comments section. Put it in the comments.
- [101:18]
Ian Schwarzman
Everyone crazy.
- [101:20]
Troy
Put it in the comment section and we gonna send. Let's do this right now actually.
- [101:26]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah.
- [101:28]
Troy
Cattrall Sims, you have been chosen. This is going to be random. This is random. By the way.
- [101:36]
Ian Schwarzman
Wesley K World, check your cash up.
- [101:38]
Troy
I'm about to blame going crazy.
- [101:47]
Rashad
I can't. It's just. It's moving so fast. Let's see what this is. They're gonna put the cash up.
- [101:53]
Troy
It's going crazy.
- [101:58]
Rashad
We had a. A young man and a young lady.
- [102:01]
Troy
I mean it's hard to really tell who's who.
- [102:03]
Rashad
Yeah, I'm looking at the pictures on the side.
- [102:06]
Ian Schwarzman
Wesley Kirkland, I bless you. I'm still in the holiday spirit. I'll send you a thousand. Love you dealing. Go invest it. And to my Christians, don't take that trade that they've been talking about. You get 5% on. Don't do it. Don't do it. I get you 20 easily. You know what I mean?
- [102:22]
Troy
Don't do it.
- [102:23]
Rashad
Don't you do it. Yeah, man. Before. Before anything, I can't even go any further. I want to wish my son Christian a happy birthday. His birthday?
- [102:35]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, man.
- [102:35]
Rashad
The boy turning 12 years old, man, that's crazy. Happy birthday, my boy. Daddy loves you. And looking forward, we gonna have a. We have a night out. So happy birthday to him.
- [102:44]
Ian Schwarzman
His birthday. Thursday, right?
- [102:46]
Rashad
Thursday. Yeah. Yeah.
- [102:48]
Troy
Happy birthday. Happy birthday, Christian. Sh, sh, sh. Br. George. Annie, you have been gifted a thousand dollars. Do the right thing.
- [103:06]
Rashad
How many is that where we at? What's the count? That's two.
- [103:11]
Troy
So you good? And let's get the control. The control. I didn't actually see the spelling of that but I was going. It started moving so fast.
- [103:28]
Ian Schwarzman
Confirming chat that you got your cash app, please. So I don't think you know.
- [103:32]
Troy
I got it. Ken got him. Kentrell Simmons, control Sims.
- [103:36]
Rashad
You got it?
- [103:38]
Troy
I got him.
- [103:38]
Rashad
But the cash app though, I got it. They said that's three.
- [103:45]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, that's three right there. Somebody said get a stock club entry Well, I gave you the prices for micron. Tune in next week. I'm. I'll give you another triple entry.
- [103:57]
Troy
Ken, you've been sent a thousand. We just did two.
- [104:02]
Rashad
Let's do one more.
- [104:03]
Troy
Ian, you want to do one more?
- [104:05]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, I'll do one more. Mariah Life college students.
- [104:10]
Rashad
Oh, there you. There you go. In the chat.
- [104:12]
Troy
Who?
- [104:13]
Rashad
Ken?
- [104:13]
Troy
Ken.
- [104:14]
Rashad
Ken Sims? Oh, no, that's somebody else. Ken Sims. Ken Sims on the super chat, Ken.
- [104:21]
Ian Schwarzman
I appreciate the super chat. What's your cash app? Cash.
- [104:31]
Rashad
Yo, Chris. Text me. Thank you, dad. He up watching.
- [104:35]
Ian Schwarzman
Hey, my boy. Thursday, I got you. Can I get Red Panda and Eyl for one year, bro? Green5141. Can we do that? Can that be the third one?
- [104:47]
Troy
Oh, yeah, let's do it.
- [104:49]
Rashad
Yeah.
- [104:51]
Troy
What's his. Tell him to. To DM me his email.
- [104:55]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, send me an email and I got you. They saying damn. No, no ladies can get a cash app 20, 26 next week. We'll do ladies. We'll do ladies. Yeah.
- [105:08]
Rashad
Women investors.
- [105:10]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah. Oh, I got an idea for y' all this year, but we gonna remember the the verses. Yep. Red Panda trading tournament. Have your P L ready. Friday tournament is top 25. If you were top 25 in round one trade all week, whoever has the highest balance will be awarded 50,000. And I would definitely give you a shout out on market Mondays. And depending on your performance, maybe you'll be a guest on here. But next week, ladies, tune in. I will give y' all some cash apps. I got you.
- [105:49]
Rashad
Appreciate you. Love is love. Mike. We appreciate. Shout out to Mike one more time.
- [105:53]
Ian Schwarzman
Shout out to Mike McDonald for working on this. My brother for a few.
- [105:58]
Rashad
It came out great.
- [105:59]
Troy
I appreciate y new look Market Mondays for sure. Check out blackout on Wednesday at 10 o'. Clock.
- [106:05]
Rashad
Yeah.
- [106:06]
Troy
Check out earn your leisure 6 o' clock on Thursday. And yeah, we got a lot. We got a lot coming up on, you know, stay tuned to everything that's been going on, but this was a good way to start the year. Hopefully everybody you know was able to have some level of benefit from watching it. Re. Watch it, you know, share with a friend, family member. And we just getting started.
- [106:30]
Ian Schwarzman
We're gonna do the rise from the ashes next week.
- [106:33]
Rashad
Yeah, yeah, let's do that. Let's do that. Let's do that. Yeah, we'll put that in the notes.
- [106:37]
Ian Schwarzman
Yeah, yeah, for sure.
- [106:38]
Rashad
It's gonna be a good one. All right, y'.
- [106:40]
Ian Schwarzman
All.
- [106:40]
Rashad
Love is love.
- [106:41]
Ian Schwarzman
Love y' all dearly. I don't want to go because I miss y' all so much. But we gotta go. Love y'. All.
- [106:44]
Troy
Peace.
- [106:51]
Rashad
Why Choose a Sleep Number Smart Bed.
- [106:53]
Ian Schwarzman
Can I make my sight softer? Can I make my sight firmer? Can we sleep cooler?
- [106:58]
Rashad
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- [107:26]
Ian Schwarzman
Credits when I travel. I can also earn resi credits so you know I'm hitting the restaurants everyone's talking about. Plus, with the digital entertainment credit, I'm even more excited to catch my favorite shows. All in all, I can access over $3,500 in annual value with benefits and eligible purchases across travel, entertainment, and more. Learn more@americanexpress.com Explore Platinum Enrollment Requirements monthly and other limits in terms Apprentice.