← Market Mondays
Market Mondays
MM #302: Is The Market Crash Over… Or Just Getting Started? Here’s Exactly When To Buy (Iran War Impact)
01:54:24
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- [00:00]
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- [00:29]
Allie Jackson
your business if you're a podcast host, listen up. This one's for you. My name is Allie Jackson. I'm the host of Finding Mr. Height, a dating and relationship podcast that I've been doing for four years now, sharing my positive and practical approach to dating that's built on my own life experience. And I wanted to share another experience that I've had my secret behind monetizing my show. It's called Red Circle and I was just telling my colleague about how much I love their platform. With Red Circle, not only am I getting a seamless hosting experience, but I also love the support I receive in ad sales. I It's not just typical ad sales either. It's targeted opportunities based on my show and my life. And the platform is super simple. You just set your preferences and Red Circle matches you with sponsors that align with your show. You can vet every opportunity and their platform gives you great analytics. More recently too, my Red Circle team has brought me opportunities outside of my podcast on social media to really augment the podcast partnerships. Bring them full circle. I just can't recommend them enough. If you want to give it a try, go to redcircle.com to get your free trial. That's redcircle.com for a free trial.
- [01:29]
Rashad
For me, entrepreneurship has always been the way.
- [01:33]
Ian
Investing is important because it's the only way you are going to be rich and wealthy for your family. We can close the wealth gap by working together.
- [01:45]
Rashad
Market Monday is the biggest investment show ever.
- [01:47]
Ian
My life has literally changed since watching eyl. When you can make people money and you can add value, they're going to
- [01:54]
Troy
be forever indebted to you.
- [01:55]
Ian
I promise you this year I'm going to make y' all even more money.
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Troy
Disclaimer do your own research. Our content is intended to be used and must be used for informational purposes only. It's very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances. You should take independent financial advice from a professional in connection with or independently research and verify any information that you find on our show and wish to rely upon whether for the purpose of making an investment decision or otherwise. Let's build our knowledge, our community and our brokerage accounts. Love is love. Love is love.
- [02:36]
Rashad
Mike, I think you got to mute yourself, please.
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Troy
We back.
- [02:39]
Ian
We live.
- [02:40]
Troy
We live. This is live. What's going on?
- [02:43]
Ian
How y' all feeling?
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Troy
Happy Monday. It is a chilly Monday here in New York for sure. Been a crazy weekend, a crazy day here in New York. Crazy day throughout the the country. Airports, I mean, we'll get into all the craziness, but happy to be here, blessed to be here. Safe, sound, healthy. All the things, man. How you feeling, Ian?
- [03:07]
Ian
I'm great, man. Happy to be in New York. I'm here to guide y' all through this market manipulation that we're going through right now, allegedly. How you feeling, my lord?
- [03:20]
Rashad
Good. I'm good, man. You know, it's a lot, it's a lot going on right now in the, in the ecosystem we're gonna be talking about. The stock ran. So much stuff going on, man. TSA make sure you check in a blackout on Wednesday. That's definitely going to be a major topic. Project 2025,
- [03:42]
Troy
check. Checking off the boxes. You should have the checklist. Like just check them off. Yep, check. Yeah, let's put the checklist up.
- [03:53]
Rashad
Yeah, we're going to talk about bitcoin as well. So big week. Big week. Market Mondays, we live right now. Wednesday, we got blackout, nine o' clock Eastern standard time. Myself and Ian, no guests this week. We just going to cook up Thursday, earn your lease at 12 o'. Clock. We got a very important episode, man. So much controversy, so much misunderstanding, so much has been said. So when you think about, you know, when you think about Shea Moisture, one of the biggest exits ever for a black owned business in history. And then you think about Essence and the Essence Festival, which is actually the largest festival in America, and a variety of other different things. Oh, man. Not a lot of people might not know the person behind that, but CEO's name is Rich Lou Dennis. So we interview, yeah, we interview Rich Lou Dennis, the CEO of essence, the CEO of Essence Fest, founder of Shea Moisture, investor in Slutty Vegan and Dave, Big Dave Cheesesteak. He's probably invested in over 100 black businesses. Yeah, he got a lot to say. You know, there's been a lot of talk last year about Essence Fest, about Essence brand, about, you know, all the culture, all the things. So there's a lot to talk about, man. So we, we sat down with him and we had A very. It's one of these high level conversations. No, he's a very intelligent person. So, you know, he doesn't really answer questions in like regular format. It's like very, you know, thought out answers to every single question that we asked. So, you know, it's one of them ones. It's one of them ones. It's a high level. It's one of them high level conversations.
- [05:56]
Troy
It's been. So we, we, we met Rich probably like five years ago and we thought we were meeting him because he wanted to sit down and do an interview. And it was more of a tell me what the future is for the, for your brand. How can I help? How can I guide you guys? How can I be assistance? So for five years, he's kind of like, when we call on him, we ask him things, he gives us advice, he invites us out to the house, he talks to us more about how we can help build a brand. And the last text we got was last week. He like, fellas, I need, I need something. What's that? I need. I need to come sit down. Oh, easy, let's do it. And so we unpacked a lot of things. We had a great conversation prior to the interview, a great conversation during the interview. Like Shy said, it's one of these ones. Like he's going to paint the picture so clear so that you can see it because he's experienced in, in the space, man. He, he's been a CEO for a while. He's been doing. I mean, he's exited in the 90s. Think about that. It was like him, Bob Johnson. Bob. Bob Johnson and him. And after that it's been like kind of. Right. Getting that to that level of exit. So I'm glad that we got to, to have him on the platform finally. But that was like five years in the making, man. So it's definitely one of the ones.
- [07:07]
Rashad
Yeah, for sure. So we got some other announcements, but I'll make, I'll make it later on. I don't want to hold up the show, but I will say this. Shout out to EY University. They had the regional meetups last, last night and it was all over this weekend.
- [07:21]
Troy
This week.
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Rashad
This weekend. Yeah.
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Troy
Colorado, Ohio, Michigan, Jersey, Child to Dallas. Shout out to Dallas and shout out to the real estate group. Each region had a different topic, which I thought was super incredible, man. So shout out to the regional group and shout out to Lakitra and shout out to Shanti. They organized this. It was dope. I'm glad you said Colorado because I'm thinking we might have to have Westa. We might have to have. I know that's your old stomping grounds in.
- [07:48]
Ian
But in the Colorado group, they, they'll hit me up a lot like what you think it is. I'm like, okay, so they're, they're the most active and engaged with me. So yeah, we got to make a trip out there for sure.
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Troy
All right. All right, Magda, I hope you heard that.
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Ian
Put on the books.
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Rashad
Okay. Like I said, we got some other announcements we'll make later on. Ian, any, any announcements?
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Ian
Before we get to it, I have to ask what, what's one of the biggest takeaways that you can give for the episode with the icon you had this week? Because I don't think people understand the magnitude of how important he is to the black ecosystem as an investor and a builder. What's one takeaway that you, when you were done, you were like, this one is really going to be needed to be shared with the audience.
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Rashad
I think, you know, talking about selling black businesses, black businesses selling and the scrutiny that, that they're put under a lot of times when they do sell their company and why that's actually harmful in his opinion, and why that's a backwards way of thinking and why that's not progressive. So he kind of explained his philosophy on selling businesses and it's something that I think is different from a lot of what people on social media might, might think. So that was, that was a very interesting take. Cause, you know, he's one of these people that have done, done that of, of several different times and invested in companies that have sold several different times. So he has, he has first hand experience and firsthand knowledge. And you know, he's one of the richest people. He's one of the richest black people in America too. So he's definitely qualified to speak on it. So that was, that was an interesting topic.
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Troy
Yeah, I will say I'll keep it brief. Patience and grace for our entrepreneurs and our people in business is something that we got to understand is important. It's vital to the future existence of our businesses and our future entrepreneurs. Right. We have to have patience in the same way that we extend it to large corporations on a daily basis, monthly ba. A yearly basis. Right. We allow large corporations something that we use daily, you know, to make mistakes and come back from it and never feel away about using those corporations again. And we gotta get to a point where we're looking at ourselves, right? Loving ourselves so that we can give grace and extended to Our entrepreneurs and our businesses as well.
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Ian
Okay, I love it. Stock club call. The information is in. Telegram. After market Mondays I will have a video breakdown of everything that happened in the market today as well as four prices. So every Monday after the show there's four new stocks, 12 new prices in total. If I've made you money, please put yes in chat. Let's have an amazing show. There's a hell of a lot to talk about, so let's get right to it.
- [10:35]
Rashad
So let's get to the, the trading tip of the week. What is the trading tip of the week?
- [10:42]
Ian
If you don't take advantage of this volatility that President Trump has given you in four years, you are going to regret it. Second, trade the London. Put it in chat. Trade the London. So whether it's oil, gold, which we'll talk about later, the es, you're having a smoother move in the London session at 2am Central, 3 Eastern than you are the American Open. And we can talk about the manipulation pre market in a little bit. But for my traders who are able to catch that move, the bad part about the volatility currently in the market is your portfolio is going to get beat up short term for your long term account. If you're taking advantage of it though, in the London session, you should be having blockbuster performances in your account. Shout out to my friends who were hitting me this morning and last night some of you made anywhere from three grand to 60 grand in one or two trades. So my trading tip of the week is for the next year. Shout out to Nicole Bloomberg, Nicole and Red Panda. Shelly, I need you guys to trade to London to get more gains out of the market with less risk.
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Troy
I love it. I love it. I saw you put that clip up too, man. He was back in that bag. You know, can I, can I add a bonus?
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Rashad
Can you just explain to London because somebody said what is Ian talking about the lunch?
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Ian
Okay, that's a, that's a great question. Okay, so you have the American Open that happens at 9:30 Eastern, right? And you can trade the American close which happens at 2:30 Central. But at 2:00am Central the London markets are now open. So because there isn't as much manipulation, there aren't as many hedge fund or fund of funds trading it. You have less volatility in the market and as a result once you get a clear direction you can kind of see it. Like you guys ever trade the open and then it takes off to the upside and then it drops and you're like wait, I thought we were bullish and in five minutes we switched to being in the bear market. You don't get as much of that in the London or the Asian session. So if you're making less, I always say if you're making less than half a million in your trading, the London session, the 2am session should be your primary. For those of you who say I can't be up that late, some of y' all be outside and up late. Anyway, I see your Instagram liking the post and the stories. So take an hour to trade to London once or twice a week. And then second would be the American close and third, the American Open. There's a lot of volatility right now given how much nepotism is running the country and how he wants Baron to do well in his account. So I would say trade the London allegedly trade the London allegedly fake news trade to London first, then the American clothes and then the American Open.
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Troy
Yeah, that was, that was interesting this morning for sure. Oh, the time. Yeah, I'll, I'll, I'll leave it with my, with a trading tip. It'll just kind of be like a bonus one. And shout out to everybody that pulled up to the class on Thursday. It was kind of like my quote of the month. And it was, you know, those who can find clarity in times of uncertainty will have the greatest gains. And I feel like we're in that moment now, right, with so much noise, with so much going on, who is going to be able to focus and see where we're headed, block out this noise and invest? And we, you know, when we were having this conversation probably a year ago, right around tariffs and Liberation Day, it was like, well, almost around this time, literally almost two weeks to the time. What can we do? Where's the focus? Has the story changed? What is the narrative? Like, where are we headed? If you can figure out how to create clarity in all this chaos, that's, those are the people who are going to get ahead. And we've, we've seen that over the course of even just doing this show. Look, we stayed on course, we didn't budge. We blocked out the noise. We used to say, just block out the noise. But people like, how do I block out noise? Find clarity in all this and hopefully we're going to be able to unpack some of that for you here.
- [14:41]
Ian
And the great part is, and it's unfair because it is market manipulation, but at least they're telling, like, he's waiting until almost the open to put out a statement about the market. So you know the ES is going to take off. The Dow is going to take off right now because of the Iran situation. Crude, natural gas and gold are going to be affected. Those are easy trades to follow. Twelve years ago you may have had to guess and dig deep to find out what the move was going to be. But it's right there in your face. And until this war is over, crude is going to be an instrument to be able to trade for a while.
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Troy
Yeah, I mean those of you who are watching the market, I know a lot of us, I'm, I'm guilty of it too. Around 7 o' clock PM Eastern Standard Time on Sundays. I'm looking to see where we had going into. Yeah, you watching it, right? And then you wake up at six o', clock, you're watching it. We would, I mean the dad was down 300 points. Yep, 707 when he put out that quote with, you know, CNBC. We watched the shoot up to 1300.
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Ian
The Dallas up 1300 point swing on the ES pre market, like for context, on a good day the es will move 80 points, 90 points and move 215 points before the market opened. Absolutely insane.
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Troy
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. That was after the 48 hour deadline. But I mean that's another, that might be for another time.
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Ian
And then Iran tells you what we were in no talks. And I thought he didn't know who the Iranian leader was to even talk to.
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Troy
Yeah, they cleaned the story up. Now it's the, the Pakistanian army chief is the one who's been the mediator. That's who they've been talking to.
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Ian
Got you.
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Troy
So. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Okay.
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Ian
Yep, gotcha.
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Troy
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
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Rashad
Stranger things have happened.
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Troy
Well yeah, sure.
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Rashad
Stranger things have happened. Okay, let's, let's talk about the, the investing fact of the week.
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Ian
That's a few. So number one, gold is officially into the bear market is down 22% from its all time high this month. I've been talking about the private credit market a lot. So Apollo has capped withdrawals from one of his primary private credit funds to retail investors. And lastly, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan are offering a hedge fund hedge fund clients a way to short that $1.8 trillion market. Three weeks ago I came on and told you guys that there was a bubble in private credit. If you wanted the cherry on top to know that it's here. When clients of a certain net worth are able to short it, they only are offering that to select clients with a net worth from 10 to 50 million. There is a reason why Apollo has frozen this like the worst kept secret on Wall street right now. But I don't think enough attention is being put on it. And then also this morning There was a 1.5, 1.5 billion dollar move on the S and P future and it was $192 million short.
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Troy
Oh, you want to go? Are you going there? Let's go there.
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Ian
Eastern Standard Time. Joe Kernan just getting his coffee in between the break. Like I've ne. Let's be honest. And, and all the time I've been trading futures at 2015, I've never seen such blatant market manipulation. Like I have people I was running into today asking me about the futures market who never traded the market before. They're like, isn't that the thing you were talking about? I'm like, we are in an era and the market has always been manipulated. Let's be clear the mark. I'll always say the market is rigged to stay up, but I've never seen a cohort or an administration be so blatant with the move and act like everything is absolutely fine. And even in the oil market, look how they're rigging that and saying we're in negotiation to keep it under a certain level so you don't get shellacked in the midterms. We're just in very interesting and trying times. For all my political experts and MAGA experts that have tuned into Market Mondays, keep up alive. But you have to call the state of State. This is blatant. If we did this, if we went on Investor and did Invest Fest live on a Monday and told everyone to get in, we would have some phone calls to answer the next day.
- [19:03]
Troy
I got to give you credit, I'm gonna give you credit here, my brother, because you sharp. I'll just go. Let me just tell you, you sharp. When I'm doing the research and I'm thinking like, oh, I'm thinking, I saw that. I don't know if anybody else saw that. But what you're saying is, is I'm like, that's spot on. There was a billion dollar trade, right? Somebody was shorting the market. Which tells me that institutions are not really. They can't figure out the signal of this volatility, right? They were going into Monday anticipating that the market was going to be negative because of this 48 hour deadline and the fact that they're pricing in that this war is going to last a lot longer than they thought it would. The initial thing was, hey, this might take four to six weeks we have now hit week four. They're saying that based on everything that they've seen, we're going to now short. So imagine when 707 comes and now here we are up 1300
- [19:58]
Ian
and there's a dividend.
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Troy
So when we talk administration and we talk institute institutional, it always felt like there was some alignment. This tells me that there's.
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Ian
It's completely divergent.
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Troy
Exactly. Yeah. Yeah.
- [20:13]
Ian
And another tip on quiet. We just had quiet witching on Friday, 60 to 80% of the time since 2016. On a Friday of quiet witching, the market normally ends negative because you can't roll over those contracts, contrary to popular belief. So there was a huge short started from the London session going into Friday. The market ended up down and then they, like you said, they acted as if it was going to be all of a fallout. And then they had a. Allegedly their cronies ride the market up to prop it back up to prevent the onslaught and on and the selling in the market as a result. Like, I've never seen these kind of moves. Like, once again, 80 to 90 points in a S and P future is absolutely amazing. 200 before the mark. It's the equivalent. Like If Luca had 50 when the game started. This normally doesn't happen like it normally takes. It would be the equivalent of him saying the war is over or we have a plan to get the GDP back to 100% opposed to 123. That will cause that kind of move. Not just him tweeting normally so, but for my traders, take advantage of this market while you have it, because when he's out of office, to be honest, these kind of swings will not be there.
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Rashad
Well, I think. Because I, I definitely want to. Yeah. Not talking too long, but yeah, I think that that's definitely important for people to really pay attention. And we're not going to have this level of volatility forever, so you might as well take advantage of it. It's. It's definitely market manipulation. Allegedly. Allegedly, maybe. But you know, every time that he makes, Every time that he makes an announcement, there's a huge trade that's placed a few minutes before. It happened with the tariffs, it happened with the war in Iran, like announcing that we're going to go in and it happened. It's happened a variety of different times. So it doesn't take a genius. It doesn't take a genius to figure it out that some people have access to information, Bitcoin as well, and they're making sure financial gains based off of information that the public is not privy to. But what can you do?
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Troy
Participate?
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Rashad
Yeah, you could participate for sure.
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Troy
Look, can I just give this one quick fact? This is a fact. This is a fact. And it might just be existent in 2026. Capex is now the curse word of the market. Oh for sure is the curse word of the market. And we'll unpack it when we talk about Micron Nvidia if open AI if you talk. Listen, I don't care what your earnings is. If Capex spend is in there at this point they're looking at you crazy for sure.
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Rashad
Yeah, well, moving along. Oh do remember so April 15th, Brooklyn, New York we are having an event for teachers, principals and superintendents. Okay. If you are, if you are a teacher at a school, school leader, if you are a principal, assistant principal or a super attendant, we will be talking about the curriculum and we will be talking about leadership skills. We will be talking about how educators deserve to be rich. How educators can actually, you know, near and dear to Troy's heart. He used to be a teacher. So it's pretty much a free event. It's $10 but the $10 is really just to hold people's place because it's a small, small venue and we're going to give that to a scholarship to a kid so you can go to earners learn.com to get your tickets and we will be interviewing New York City's own Angie Martinez. So yeah, that's incredible. Looking forward to that, looking forward to that. So yeah, go to earners learn.com shout out to all the teachers, educators. We do value your service. Thank you. Thank you for your service.
- [24:21]
Troy
I know they counting down right now to spring break. They not hearing you. They like spring break next week.
- [24:25]
Ian
All right. I look great on the walk in in Greenberg too. Sitting down with counselor normally are a little bit more spirited but great job.
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Rashad
Somebody said we're at Brooklyn Bank, Brooklyn, New York. How to take control of your 401k. I think that this is something that's interesting and something that I think a lot of people might, might benefit from thing we mentioned it before but haven't mentioned it in a while. So the 401k you know most people when we talk about. All right. In its simplest form, the easiest way to get rich from the stock market is to put large sums of money into the stock at a low point and ride it up. That's like the elementary because you can trade but everybody's not a trader. You can like that's the easiest way. Now the hard Part, the hard part about that is getting a substantial amount of money to put into the stock market. Right? That's why we do encourage dollar cost averaging. But where some people do, a lot of people actually do have some substantial sums is inside their 401k. Speaking of teachers, you know, I, I knew several different teachers when I was a financial advisor. By the time they got done teaching, they was millionaires. Just in their retirement plans. You know, they had the TSP, they had the 403B, they had the pension plan, they had, you know, they never made a million dollars a year while they were teaching, but they were able to have seven figures in a retirement account or high six figures or half a million dollars. Like that's something that a middle class person. That's not an unrealistic number. If you've been working for 20, 25 years, and at this point, we've all worked for 20 years. We've all worked for 25 years. For the most part, if you're in your 40s, you've worked for 20 years, damn it, you're on your 30th year almost. So a lot of times, a lot of times, you know, people don't fully understand the options that they have. So I'll just briefly explain this. Of course, when you leave a job, you can roll over your 401k into an IRA, right? And then that IRA, you can have a self directed IRA that allows you to invest in individual stocks or ETFs or index funds. But sometimes you can actually still do it while you're actually working at a job. This is something that very few people know of and it's called an in service withdrawal. So you could take an in service withdrawal if your job allows it. So I remember Pfizer, they used to, they used to allow up to 70% of the vested amount of money to be rolled over while a person was still working. So that's a lot of money. And nobody really knows that. Now every job does not allow that, but some jobs do. But you don't lose anything by asking. All you gotta do is just call HR or call the 401k provider. 1-800-Fidelity has like a lot of 401k accounts. And you could just say, hey, do I have a Provision in my 401k plan that allows an in service withdrawal for IRA rollover? That's important because if you just take an in service withdrawal and they just give you money and you just put in your bank account, it becomes taxable. But if you have an in Service withdrawal and you roll it over into an ira, now it's not taxable and now you can. So why am I saying that? I'm saying that as far as that might be potentially, if your situation is right, you know, talk to your advisor. But that might be a situation where you could put, you know, lump sums of money into a QQQ or into a Microsoft or into a Google, which you can't invest in Google in your 401k, you can't invest in Microsoft in your 401k, you can'T invest in Q. Q. Q. In your 401k. So that's an opportunity, if you have money inside of a 401k, to take lump sums of substantial money and to actually implement some of the strategies that we talk about on market Mondays every single week. If you don't have just $500,000 sitting
- [28:29]
Ian
in your bank account and on top of that, the difference in gains, shout out to my sister Jaleesa. She was in, she's in stock club, she did a call about the same thing. I won't tell your businesses, but there's significant growth in doing it that way. And a lot of people don't Even check their 401k and see what the returns are. So the strategy you just gave is absolutely amazing. And like you said every, you may not make a million dollars a year, but if you allocate the capital the right way, like you just illustrated, you can walk away with two and $3 million or $4 million, depending on how you allocate it and for how long you hold in the market for sure.
- [29:06]
Rashad
And the growth potential is the name of the game. Like I said, the key with that is that you have to once again check, check your, your 401k. But the name of the game is growth potential, right? So if you are in a regular standard target date fund, odds are that's not going to grow at the same rate as a growth stock or even a growth etf, right? So if you can leverage the money and exponentially grow over the course of time, even if it's a short period of time, even if it's 10 years. Right. 10 years is a big difference if you average 7% for 10 years versus if you average 15% for 10 years, if you're talking about a million dollars, that's real money, that's double, that's double a million dollars. If you average 7% a year, 7.2% a year, that's doubling your money for 10 years. If you have a million dollars right. In 10 years you would have $2 million. Now if you averaged double that, 15 or 1804, let's say 14.5, that's not an unrealistic number in the markets that we've had for the last 25 years. That 1 million grows to 3 million, that's an extra million dollars. Just. And that's not even being ultra aggressive. It's not like you put all your money in Bitcoin. Like, you know, that's being just a little bit, a little bit more aggressive. Made you a million dollars more in a long term holding, no trading, no you know, options, anything like that. Right. We're just talking about just simple buy a stock. And that's not even talking about actually buying at the right levels. That's just saying just deploy, just buying
- [30:54]
Ian
it out in general. Yeah.
- [30:56]
Rashad
So think about it, think about it. And like I said, you know, knowledge is power. You now you have the information so you can do your own research, you can go down a rabbit hole, you can call your 401k provider and, and if it, if it does apply to you, then it might, it might be something that you want to take advantage of.
- [31:10]
Troy
We, we actually had somebody do that. I'll leave his name anonymous. But yeah, it did exactly that a year ago to like to the day was watching our show, heard us talking about this, went and did it and you know, the company bought Nvidia. It was at Nvidia, it was at $96.
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Ian
Not a bad investment.
- [31:32]
Troy
Not a bad investment. Not a bad investment at all, man. So yeah, knowledge is key, man. What them keys open doors, hit the like button.
- [31:41]
Rashad
My bad. Ian, what are you about to say?
- [31:42]
Ian
No, no, go ahead.
- [31:44]
Rashad
I was going transitions. So you what, you want to close it?
- [31:48]
Ian
No, I just want to say for everyone who's working a job, if you don't get the raise that you want, I've always said one way that you can force or induce the raise is through the capital allocation of the 401k. I estimate that probably only 15% of people a year even look what's in their 401k. It's almost like dead money. You know that you have it, you would check it eventually, but especially now from 2020 to 2032, 2033, there's going to be immense opportunities. And like you said Rashad, like if you just make a couple of adjustments, you can go from one to two, one to three and a half, one to four. And that's without being incredibly aggressive and getting insane disc early. Like you called Or Nvidia or Tesla, like at a rock bottom price. So please take advantage of it. Even though you may not get the raise that you want, you may be able to get it on the back end if you invest in the right companies and hold 10 to 15 year period.
- [32:45]
Rashad
That's a fact. Hit the like button and share. So okay, let's get into it. Let's get into some real nitty gritty when it comes to, you know, some information. I want to talk about gold and oil, okay? Because this is something that is very, very relevant to the times that we're in right now. So first let's start with gold, right? Is this the time to buy gold? Because as you said, gold is in a bear market. We see it drop 20% since it's all time high, even though it went up pretty crazy. So it had to come down eventually. But you know, ideas that money might be flowing back into higher interest rate vehicles and gold might be a little less attractive. So is this the time to buy gold
- [33:42]
Ian
last year or towards the tail end of last year, everyone was gold crazy. And I don't understand because of this war why people may not love gold. And if we're talking about commodities, it's the commodity that probably outside of water matters the most. So I think with this drop, it does present a great time to be able to buy. Normally in stock club I give three prices. But for the audience tonight, I think I was supposed to give a price last week and I didn't. So let me make up for it this week for God. Write this down. The load to boat price is $331.61. I'll repeat it again. Load to boat is 331.61 and then a second entry is $391.36. So the swing trade price is 391.36. If gold is incredibly valuable, right. And if it had this tremendous tear, and you can also make the argument if inflation is going to continue to pace the way that it has, why would you get off the train now because of the war when gold would be more valuable as a result from a commodity perspective and it's been valuable for thousands of years. So I think this is a little bit of an overcorrection. Is there some money swinging into different asset classes? For sure. But I always say sector rotation is not for us, it's for hedge funds and fund of funds that are selling clients for that quarter or for that year. That's why you'll go like it's interesting they'll say they're putting money in that fund, but didn't tell the public that. You can short the private credit market, be careful of sector rotations, buy quality commodities and quality stocks that are going to be good for a long period of time. And gold is definitely one of them.
- [35:30]
Rashad
And I will say this too. There's nobody that's doing that as far as giving you actual prices that you can actually look at and see if it hits that price that you could potentially buy it. You know, that was just a preview of what they doing in Red Panda, but that was, you know, gold will go up over the course of the next 10, 20, 30 years that we know 100% based off of if, if 6,000 years of any historical data has anything to do with it. We know that gold goes up over the course of time. So once again, buying gold at the right price, holding it for long periods of time as a pathway to get
- [36:02]
Ian
rich, it's a fact.
- [36:04]
Troy
I, the question I would ask myself, has the, has the narrative changed? Is GLO gold a hedge against inflation?
- [36:11]
Ian
Right.
- [36:11]
Troy
Some of the, the fear last week when the Fed meeting happened with Powell was like, okay, we're not talking about potentially lowering rates. Maybe there's a story that interest rates get increased.
- [36:23]
Ian
Right.
- [36:24]
Troy
Like, and then that will set off inflation. So I mean, gold has always acted as that. I don't, I don't see the story changing, does it? Has it gone into a beer market? Yeah, but this is what we, we look for and this is when we're talking about, okay, here's a time where we can now invest.
- [36:37]
Rashad
This is the opportunity.
- [36:39]
Troy
Yeah.
- [36:39]
Rashad
And speaking of that, I want to know the oil. When you called oil, you said oil. If it goes to 93, that's when you're going to start to see some turbulence in the stock market. And then that's exactly what happened. Then it got up and passed 100, then it shot back down. Trump got worried, had to make up a lie that he spoke to the president of Iran about, you know, ending the war. So I want to do something I don't think we've done in a while, like how when you say these numbers load the boat price, this is the price I'm looking at, this is the number. Like, how are you, like, what are you looking at to actually come up with these thesis.
- [37:23]
Ian
Well, for one, I'm looking at the commodity or the stock since inception. So like, no different than if I'm, if I'm a scout on the team. And I know on average when Luca Gets to playing Vujicic, he goes off a little bit more. Because whatever rivalry they may have, there are certain stocks and commodities around certain times of the year that do better or do worse. Now in the case of the 9350 level it there, I haven't talked about it publicly before. I probably will at Invest Fest. There are certain prices that are economic levers for the world though. So even in the show Landman, it was great, it was a great illustration and great breakdown. But prices above 90 can lead to recession. So if you look at the chart, like if you go over a 10 year period, maybe we can pull up the chart. If you look over a 10 year period, there are certain levels that the market needs to stay away from. When I say the market is rigged to stay up, that's a combination of quantitative easing, institutional buying and then governmental buy in at the same time to keep prices lifted. Like even though bitcoin has been.
- [38:35]
Rashad
My bad.
- [38:36]
Ian
No, like notice even if bitcoin being a free fall, it hasn't hit that $30,000 level. Everyone on Twitter and threads keep talking about why institutional buying. There's some government buying involved in there as well and they know if it hits below a certain level it'll cause free, free panic. But let's look at the this chart from a 10 year perspective. So this is 10 years of data. That 93 level, if you look on a month by month basis out of 120 months, it's only touched 9,358 times. Put in chat, what percentage is that? So for me I have the bottom price at the very bottom marked off and then I have that key level. But if you look, we hit there in 2022 which we had a recession and they didn't want to announce it. But look, three candles over we came below. Then in 23 we touched it again and stayed below. This isn't pure technicals, but it's an economic lever that matters which can lead to recession. So for every stock, every commodity, there's a threshold. Like for the vix, even though we had all this tumult in the market, the VIX never got above 35. We got to 30.63 because if the Vix get to 45 or 42 is going to lead to all hell. And then the market is going, the pressure is going to be a lot heavier. So if you look at this last candle here for this year, yes, it spiked up. And Troy, you called that 114 area, 117 area we got there. Look how we've rescinded since then. And then this morning we, we came to an agreement, fake news with Iran to negotiate oil even though I don't know the Ayatollah to keep it under those levels. I'm like you. I thought the Ayatollah was dead and all the regime was dead. But you faced sure who was speaking to. I'm not sure who we were talking to. But behind the scenes economically, like even in California some places gas is $7. The Midwest is creeping to 460. You can't have oil above 90 and then go into a midterm election and then think that you're going to remain favorable when you ran on economics. The job of the President is to be the financial parent of the country. He hasn't been a great steward. So now you have to manipulate for the oil prices to even come back down so we don't have global collapse and a contraction that we're already facing anyway. But look at this chart here. You literally have to study since the very beginning of it and then see how often does it get to those levels once again, only 8 times out of 120 months has it went at or above 93 50. But look how that line across, look how it obeys it and acts as resistance. This isn't just a pure Fibonacci level. This is an economic lever that matters. This is why the ES won't go back to 3500 even though people are calling for that and all these doom and gloom scenarios. There are levers in place the same way in the stock market. We have a. They'll halt the market for 15 minutes once prices come down to a certain level. They will. They've been putting billions of dollars into the repo market to stop the mid sized banks from collapsing and they're doing it here with oil as well. So study every day. And I know some of you hate me screaming study three, four hours a day. Bro. Just make the sacrifice. Because if you're not playing this game, this knowledge is going to be used against you.
- [42:17]
Troy
Yeah man, I'm glad you got that 147 up there too. That, that's global.
- [42:21]
Ian
That's the all time level. That's the level that matters the most.
- [42:25]
Troy
Yeah, we can't see that.
- [42:27]
Rashad
Well, ladies and gentlemen, there you have it. I mean what, what more can we do? It's been real. We ain't gonna end the show yet. But we couldn't show theoretically. But, but no, but I wanted to, you know, highlight that because like I said Sometimes people just hear it so much and they're like, how is this happening? Is this, is he just guessing? Is he just throwing a dart at the the board and just seeing what number it hits? But no, it's actually, you know, years and years and years of research and it's, there's a thought process that goes into when he says this. So it's not just something that's just a crazy thought in his head and he just rambling freestyle. But with that said, like I said, where you buy stock is the most important aspect of investing. That's the most important. That's the easiest way I can really explain it. Buy low, sell high. It's a reason why, that's why that's preached over and over again. Buy low, sell high. Most people don't buy low because they
- [43:29]
Ian
don't know when to buy low.
- [43:31]
Rashad
So and that's the benefit of Red Panda, Red Panda Stock Club. It makes it simple. It actually gives you a list of stocks and a list of prices. And if this stock hits this price, you should probably think about buying. If this stock hits this price, you should definitely buy. This is, that's the no brainer load the boat price. If it. All you gotta do is just wait and see if it hits. I mean even if 50, if 30 don't hit 10 will. And it's all quality stocks too. So it's like how easy can you make it, man? And it's something that I think is actually brilliant. So and then you have Sniper, which actually is the setup to teach people how to trade futures, which is futures I believe is actually the most profitable form of actually trading.
- [44:24]
Ian
So with that being said right now in this era, not to cut you off a shot is even more important because if you don't know how to time what's going on in the market, you're going to be left behind the eight ball and there's thousands of percentage of profit over three or four years you're going to leave on the table for sure.
- [44:40]
Rashad
That's a fact. And futures is oil is futures. The gold and silver and all of these things are futures for the diary. Cows. Cows. Cows. Definitely on a future training future is a smooth trade.
- [44:57]
Ian
South African ranch with frank Mexican peso, European dollar. Every asset on earth.
- [45:06]
Rashad
That's a fact. So you know, we do this once, we do this twice a year. We usually do this semiannually. So we doing it again. 30 slots. We open in 30 slots. Red Panda Stock Club combined with Sniper, which is the setup trading to teach you how to Actually trade futures on the trading side. So the trading side, long term stock side. 50% off for two year access to both. Two year access to sniper, two year access to Red Panda. 30 slots open, first come, first serve. The reason why there's 30 slots is because Sniper actually has a limited registration. Can't have. It's not, it's not designed to fit millions of people. So the Sniper is the reason why we actually did the limited run on it. So 30 slots, first come, first serve. Go to Ian invest.com 50% off for two year access to Red Panda and Sniper. And I think that it's actually a pretty timely, timely manner. When you talking about the Iran war, you're talking about the stock market was down 300%. 300 points and it was up a thousand points within a two hour swing. Man. These are the vitally important times. And once again if you would have brought any stock in April of last year, you made 70, 80, 100%. If you bought any stock a couple of months ago, you're down probably 20, 30.
- [46:38]
Ian
Unless you knew this onslaught. Shout out to the stock club. I was telling them in December this was coming. A lot of times knowing and being behind a crystal ball five to six months early helps you to rebalance and restructure your portfolio. To know where these things are going to happen, shout to all my microstrategy Michael Saylor, save your whatever that club called. I told you last November this onslaught was going to happen. Put it yes in chat if I did or if I did not. So knowing what's going to happen before the world leaders start to tell you is highly beneficial. You can make money on the downside trading is short and then you can buy back on a low to boat price and swing trade price and be a okay. Called the onslaught of Nike, the onslaught of Starbucks and also if we want to talk about it, that super micro
- [47:29]
Troy
collapse, we're getting there.
- [47:33]
Ian
We live in a Blacklist. Told you $400,000AMC went to 99 cent last Friday. Shout to the apes. I know y' all going.
- [47:49]
Rashad
Why is future. Why is future trading so. So profitable but not talked about enough? Like why does not a lot of people don't talk about futures trading.
- [48:01]
Ian
Why is that it's intentionally hidden because all the greatest assets that are traded on earth by the elite and those that are incredibly wealthy don't want them to be known. Just like for example Troy. I think we can agree since the big short, we haven't heard credit default swaps this much since 2008. Even in trading, like for those you don't know in the futures market. In other markets, if you have more capital, you can trade the rainfall in Topeka, Kansas on a Wednesday if you choose to. So like how Kashi has the betting market that's been existent in the futures market forever. And just in the same way we didn't know about private equity or we didn't know about angel investing or we didn't know about musical rights or you don't know about how you can buy the rights to a person's career for 25 years and give them the money up front and get all the money on the back end. Or you could do it for the family. There's a lot, a lot of trades that are talked about that people don't know about and futures just happens to be one of them but by design that they don't talk about. We know more about future Vandross than we do the futures market.
- [49:09]
Troy
Future vans, draws. I like that.
- [49:11]
Rashad
That's a fact. Not a lot of people know about futures trading at all. But yeah, you're talking about gold also that they talk about gold, silver, platinum. Silver, platinum, palladium, wheat, corn.
- [49:26]
Troy
Yeah, all of it, cattle.
- [49:28]
Rashad
All of that is traded, all of that is traded on, on the futures market. So if you want to learn how to trade futures and if you want to get prices on when to buy stocks so you can make a lot of money, go to ianinvest.com 30 slots for Stock Club and futures trading combined to your access.
- [49:50]
Ian
Okay, love you.
- [49:52]
Troy
You deserve it.
- [49:53]
Rashad
The 50% off. Play 50% off.
- [49:58]
Ian
All jokes aside though, for these next two years, study the futures market like your life depend upon it, depends on it because it actually may. All this talk of universal basic income, they're not going to give it because A they can't afford it but B they're going to say we gave you this market. And this is the crazy part, you have to know how to trade futures because I fear in six or seven years the, the real game is going to be to keep all the companies private so they can get 30 and 40%, 40 extra turns on the best companies in the world. I really think if the Sam Altman open AI thing does not go well, that's going to be their excuse to keep the best companies private. Claude just destroyed the Open Claw model and so did Nvidia. Now for all of you who bought the Mac Mini for the Open Claw claw just announced, hey, you can do all of that over here while you in Starbucks or McDonald's or at Planet Fitness, working out. Give us access to your computer and we'll do the task for you.
- [51:02]
Rashad
Yeah, and, and meta as well. And the future market at some point in time determines the stock market or a future. So like oil. The reason why Trump lied about having a phone call with the guy from Iran.
- [51:19]
Ian
Allegedly, Allegedly, allegedly.
- [51:21]
Rashad
Is that the price of oil was becoming unsustainable and it was having a trickle effect and it was, that's what was making the stock market crash.
- [51:32]
Troy
Yeah. And we said that and because as
- [51:34]
Rashad
soon as he said that, the price of oil shot back down and the stock market went up a thousand points.
- [51:39]
Troy
And that's what we watch. So when you're watching pre market, you're watching the futures. Right. Like if you look, look in that middle column, it says futures in the middle. And it's, it's, it's, it's important to understand it. Right. What you're talking about. And we said this last week, some things are just unsustainable.
- [51:55]
Ian
Right.
- [51:55]
Troy
So we're like, oh, how long can this last? Having oil at this price is unsustainable. Having it get to 115 is just unsustainable. Having at 130, you, you, he, you can't do it. Right. Because you're talking about a global collapse. And so watching that market every morning before the market opens, you got to watch what futures, because it gives us a barometer of where we're headed. That's why when the Iran war started on March 2, we were like, oh my gosh, where are we headed? Where are we head now we watch it four weeks later, oh my gosh, where are we headed? And then that quick something can turn right.
- [52:29]
Ian
And can I tell you a secret? I'm not supposed to say this publicly, but for my traders, I'm gonna say it. The greatest feeling in the world is knowing that a certain sector is collapsing and you're able to pull out 30 to 100 grand while it's collapsing and then be able to profit from it going back to the upside. Don't quote me and kill me for it. Because they're openly manipulating the market. Yeah. While your long term is bleeding most of the losses. If you TR even and for some will say, well, it costs a lot if you're trading on a, on a broker like Ninja Trader. And I have no financial affiliation with them, I just love them dearly. Kudos to you. See you guys soon. But one contract for crude is $1,000. So if you traded one contract of ES, which is 500, if you traded it correctly, you could have made 25 to 3 grand on one contract. If you did 10 grand, that's 30 grand. I'm not even saying if you trade 50 or 100 contracts and trade with more size, but it's a great feeling to know what the market is going to do, especially when you have less competition in that London session or that Asian session at 5pm and make all of your money that you need for the week or the month in one trade. And then that way you don't have to worry about the portfolio. And for my options traders, I said it at the mastermind. The great part about the futures market is that the contract sizes and allotments for how much they cost, they stay the same. The ES is 500 regardless of what volatility is doing. So if you can trade both, man, financial freedom is yours.
- [54:09]
Troy
But do what you want to do, Maybe you should.
- [54:12]
Rashad
And, and the price. If, even if your Stock goes down 20%, if you brought it right, if the stock goes down 20%, you brought it right, you're still up 20%. You're still up 20% too. That's the thing too. From a psychological standpoint, it's a lot easier, at least for me. I don't, I don't panic unless I see something in the red. Like that's when, that's when, that's, that's bad. But if I'm, If I'm up 20 and I was, and I, at one point I was up 50%, there's no need to panic because you holding it long term, you know, you purchased it at a good price, the stock is correcting, if anything, that might be an opportunity to buy some more dollar cost average into it. It's when it's psychologically when you put a hundred thousand dollars into something and then three months down the line it's at 60,000.
- [55:00]
Ian
Yeah.
- [55:01]
Rashad
And you have $40,000 loss and it's like, damn, I got to get out of that hole. Because the thing with math is that, so 100,000 to 50,000 is a 50% loss. Right. But 50,000 back to 100,000 is a hundred percent gain. Math is not in your favor. So you gotta, you gotta work twice as hard. That's why buying is so important, because you lose 50, you gotta get, now you have to get 100 to break back even.
- [55:33]
Troy
Break even.
- [55:34]
Ian
And psychologically you almost need 400 to still be confident in investing or trading.
- [55:42]
Troy
The emotional rollercoaster.
- [55:44]
Ian
Yep.
- [55:45]
Troy
Yeah.
- [55:47]
Rashad
Okay, let's talk about airline stocks. Airline stocks. We saw the Airline stock play. I think the last time we talked about airline stock was during COVID when nobody could fly. And then the airline stocks dropped drastically and then they, they rose drastically and then they dropped drastically again after that. But airline stocks are now back in the news.
- [56:12]
Troy
Yeah.
- [56:14]
Rashad
What's the outlook for airline stocks?
- [56:18]
Ian
I think.
- [56:19]
Troy
Okay, go, go.
- [56:20]
Rashad
And by the way, by the way, they say that you have to get to the airport three hours early because they have, you know, the dumbest thing. Just a quick political take. I don't understand why you would.
- [56:32]
Ian
They're not staying the lane, Rashad. We're not here for politics.
- [56:37]
Rashad
I don't know why you would send ICE agents to an airport. They didn't, they weren't qualified to do their job the first time. ICE agents are not trained. These are, these are, these are people that worked in prisons, people that was border patrol, bounty hunters. And within two weeks they became ICE agents. They wasn't trained for the job of ICE agents. How are you going to work in an airport? That's a pretty complicated job, you putting unqualified people in an airport as opposed to paying the qualified people that actually went through the training. Like make it make sense. Yes, but if you read Project 2025, it will make sense. But we'll talk about that on Wednesday. So let's talk about the airline stocks.
- [57:18]
Troy
Yeah, I mean, I'm not big on airline stocks that, Let me just start there. You know, I'll take your strategy. Like investing in things with engines. Not really my thing. But the reason why there's so much talk about it is because the potential pullback that has happened here. Right. Once we see oil go up, obviously we know they need fuel to function, these airplanes and airlines. People are saying that we'll have enough, we have enough, we have enough in reserves. But when you see volatility in oil, you're going to see prices for airline stocks drop. Every time the oil prices go down, you'll start to see them tick up. You saw that today when, when crew was trading at $99 pre market. By the time we got to the opening bell, we were down at 91. You saw some of those airline s shoot up. I'm not big on them. I, I haven't invested them. I, I would if I had to recommend one and I would probably go Delta. If you look at his 10 year performance, the advantages that it has, obviously being one the, the largest commuters, the amount of perks, the amount of luxury clients that they have, that works in his favor. I'm not big on them. This the reason why we're talking about it is because of the crude situation. Other than that, we probably wouldn't be.
- [58:29]
Ian
Yeah, it's only in fashion because of the crude trade. Like let's take Delta for example, because you brought that up. In 2020 it was at 22.36. It's currently at 60.
- [58:41]
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- [59:10]
Troy
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Ian
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Ian
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- [59:58]
Ian
It's not a great use of capital and that same time period you could have bought Nvidia, Lily, AMD, Microsoft Micron, SanDisk, Stryker. There are other sectors that are better and I'm not just blindly picking on a sector. Like if you look historically they have underperformed and let's be honest, the traveling experience has not gotten better the last 20 years. Like if we're gonna be honest, traveling was more fun when we were kids. You can have a conversation post 911 that changed the structure of a lot of how travel was done. Of course, the experience, the cost cutting. So the sector as a whole, there's very few sectors that I just hate in total. But airlines was a dumb investment in 2020. If you were into them, 2026 dumber and 2030 would be the dumbest. So no, absolutely not.
- [60:57]
Troy
If you had to Delta. Is there another one
- [61:03]
Ian
them all to United because I fly with y'. All. And the friendly sky. Yes, I know. Status plus at United. Love you dearly. But for the stock itself. No, no.
- [61:30]
Troy
Okay, okay.
- [61:31]
Ian
No.
- [61:32]
Troy
Shout out to United in Delta.
- [61:34]
Ian
I love you guys so much. I mean, thank you. Every time I see you in Bush
- [61:39]
Troy
if it feels, it feels harsh. But if you just do yourself a favor, go look at the 10 year performance of the top five or 10 airlines. American United States. Go, Go look how they performed. And you can come with, with your own judgment.
- [61:55]
Ian
Southwest in 2010 was at 7 bucks. It's now at 40. It's a decent return if you haven't been listening to the show. But there's a lot of healthcare companies, tech companies. If you look at waste management or Republic Services, stronger return. Costco, stronger return. Home Depot, like I can McDonald's. There's. There's a two or three hundred other companies we can invest in. Gold is a better investment. So. But kudos to Delta and United Airlines.
- [62:26]
Troy
Thank you. And yeah, you're not knocking any company that's showing growth over a 10 year span, but maybe that's something that you put in your long term portfolio. What we're kind of talking about is like the growth potential that you might miss by not investing in a company because you did that right. There's so many growth stories that we've seen over the past five years. Definitely since COVID But even in the past two to three years that probably be a better allocation for your capital.
- [62:50]
Rashad
Yes.
- [62:50]
Ian
And this is just my thoughts. Not throwing Rashad. This is red panda. I'm gonna say this respectfully, not to you. Now stop complaining about my take on, on your company and fix the company.
- [63:00]
Troy
They're gonna tell us there's no seats in the lounge now, man.
- [63:04]
Ian
Oh, Ian's a rebel. I give you full permission. Shoddy. Go off. You know I can control him. I gave you four. Go ahead.
- [63:13]
Rashad
We headed to the second hour of black market Monday. I was about to say blackout. Sheesh.
- [63:18]
Ian
Hey, this almost like a blackout segment. Chinese espionage.
- [63:27]
Troy
This is a topic. This is a topic. This is one of them.
- [63:30]
Rashad
Okay, Hit the like button and share. Super micron.
- [63:37]
Troy
No, no, no, no, no. Don't do that. That's crazy.
- [63:48]
Rashad
All right.
- [63:49]
Troy
Super micro. Yeah, this is a collapse. So here's the easy answer. Here's the easy answer. You know what, Ian?
- [63:55]
Rashad
We.
- [63:55]
Troy
We. I'm not sure if we did the death cross on it. You might have. And I was like, let's not just do it. Just Yet I was like, look, the, the main reason was Nvidia is still a partner. And as long as that's still a partner, there's still a sign. And then we saw what happened last week with the CEO. Well, he was a indicted, arrested for smuggling GPUs into China. Nvidia GPUs. And immediately I said, I'm done. I'm done. Supermicro is not a chip designer. They are a server. And they act as that for companies like Nvidia, which is a huge client. If you're in the GPU business and anything that housed that rack, if that's your client, you're thinking, great. Why you would do this? I don't know.
- [64:52]
Ian
Well, I do know why.
- [64:54]
Troy
Yeah, we do. I'm sorry, I do know. But what does it do for the company to stop? We already fought compliance. We already report. We're fighting bad reporting on revenue. Those two things alone were like, all right, trust is an issue. When you start to create distrust with a large client, your biggest client, yeah, I'm done. I can't be involved with supermarket, huge mistake on their behalf. The stock has been punished for it. Once you lose trust from your investors, you can't get that back. Especially at this space when there's so many people waiting to line up as your competition to step in. We saw Supermicro get cracked and dell shot up 7%.
- [65:42]
Ian
Why?
- [65:42]
Troy
They were a partner competing in the same space. Nvidia already has them signed up. We talked about Michael Dell and how that's not going to be the. That old computer company that you thought they're moving into the AI infrastructure place. Here you have it. So bad move, terrible move. We were wondering how the chips were getting into China. Well, we got our answer this week.
- [66:04]
Ian
And the truth is, blackout segment, they're not the only one. Zoom in on me. If you think in this era of global competition for chips, that that CEO is the only person allegedly who is smuggling our chips and data into China, you're. You're sadly mistaken. Here's how you know this is a big deal. When the market cracked over Deep Seek last year, they knew then he was funneling that shit over there. Secondly, the profit margin of Super Micro is 3%. So if Nvidia is up 1000%, how was Super Micro the next one with a profit margin of 3%? They were a middleman. They make no chips, no hardware, no software. They're a middleman. So if I buy Jordans from Nike and I re rock them and spray paint them and sell them on my site. How can the valuation of my company as a middleman be higher than a fucking manufacturer? But people were chasing games so no one cared.
- [67:15]
Troy
Yeah, it was a great story.
- [67:18]
Ian
It was a great piece of bullshit story. And when they told you they were lying and cooking the books, then that should have been. And all this corruption, they got caught cooking the books. You mean to tell me you buy Nvidia GPUs and you have them in a warehouse in California and you can't use the GPUs to rig a financial statement out of your fucking mind to invest in this company. But this is what you get for like okay, don't use GPT $1000 to the first person, be honest. Who is the CEO of Super Micro. They might know that alone should tell you is it a good company or not? Terrible post indictment. Most people still don't know. So if you don't know what edge they have and even a partner thing, let's be very honest, Nvidia's partnering or has an agreement with everybody in tech. We have to stop using that so loosely. But their success is dependent upon someone else's chips and genius. That's never the best business model to be a part of. Part of there's. And the, the part that really breaks my heart. There's some amazing people at that company, some amazing people at that company who are now being punished because of the transgressions of this person. But if you think you're the only one, not one, hey, listen, if you're a NYCHA and one road show up, oh, it's some everywhere. There's not. It's never just one. He's going to be the fall guy for this. There are others that have allegedly been playing both sides of this geopolitical war. It's your job to find out who the others are.
- [69:02]
Troy
The interesting part, and maybe it has happened, I haven't seen it yet, is that I haven't heard an official statement from Nvidia leadership in terms of if the partnership continues, where do they go from here? Obviously there are infrastructure play. So if you look at the infrastructure, you look at how data centers are, are being constructed, if you understand how the racks are being constructed, you understand that Super Micro was in that role. But they can be replaced and I would assume, I would imagine that they will be replaced easily be replaced. Which again, Super Micro, where are they founded? Dell, where is it founded?
- [69:41]
Ian
Okay, the model has not changed.
- [69:45]
Troy
The model hasn't changed. They're going to make sure that American companies will Be at the forefront.
- [69:51]
Ian
Yep. They're gonna do like I did. Like, you ever been dating somebody and they get locked up and you just don't say nothing? Just move on about your business. Just me. Okay. So they gonna do like I did locked up in Miami. Can you bail me out? No. What I'm building, that's gonna be bad for my brand and reputation. Get your tickets to Invest Fest.
- [70:11]
Rashad
Oh, you know about that, huh? You know about that?
- [70:15]
Ian
I didn't have, you know, I mean, I didn't gotta go. Can you bail me out? No, I'm talking about my personal experience.
- [70:23]
Rashad
Yeah, it was a situation.
- [70:26]
Ian
Yeah.
- [70:28]
Troy
I don't know nothing about it. Not.
- [70:31]
Ian
Nope, nope. Well, fake news. Allegedly. Don't text me. No, Nothing of value.
- [70:42]
Rashad
Okay.
- [70:43]
Ian
Yeah.
- [70:44]
Troy
Free to God. Free to Guys.
- [70:47]
Rashad
Let's talk about. Let's talk about mu.
- [70:53]
Troy
Yeah.
- [70:54]
Ian
Okay.
- [70:55]
Rashad
Mu. What happened with mu? You know, MU reported last week and man, blockbuster earnings. Very, very, very impressive. But it went down. It went down, I think three consecutive days in a row.
- [71:11]
Ian
Wow.
- [71:13]
Rashad
Yeah. So the MU and what they say, they said. Wait, you hear that? You hear that?
- [71:24]
Ian
No, what's that?
- [71:25]
Rashad
I thought it broke. Says. Huh?
- [71:27]
Ian
Oh, shot.
- [71:30]
Rashad
You know, I keep my eyes on the losers to make sure they're still losing. Oh, that's important.
- [71:37]
Troy
So let me tell you what happened. Let me tell you what happened. All right. So yes. I mean, y' all been here with us. Yeah. Y' all know the story of Micron. $86. It shot up 342 over the past two years. Got up to 471 up until earnings. And yeah, it did put. It did pull back. But what happened? It beat EPS, it beat revenue. It did 23 billion in the quarter. It's never done 20 billion in a year.
- [72:07]
Ian
I remember when it was 3 billion in a year.
- [72:09]
Troy
What they've done, right. So they've never done 20 billion year over year to date. They did 33 billion. That's a 200% increase. The cloud business was up 160%. Data sales, data center sales were up 181%. Non data center sales were up 211%. They had massive guidance. They 81% gross margins going forward. So the issue is not what they're doing, how they're doing it. They obviously are operating at a highly efficient level. That gross margin is actually higher than Nvidia's. And so that's where the kind of
- [72:45]
Ian
way higher than Super Micros.
- [72:47]
Troy
Super Micro. Them too. So did they have an astronomical earnings report? Absolutely. But they did pull back Some of it is profit taking. Yes. When a company runs up 342%, you should take some shares, right? You should say, hey, we've made some money here. Institutional investors for sure are going to be saying hey, we're going to take some profit, as they should. It also allows for better entry prices. And so we've watched it pull back. It got to 422 today. It's sitting above 400 two weeks ago when we said was $400 stock. It has proven to be that. I wouldn't be surprised. Like I said, if it gets to 500 by the end of the year, it still probably is on pace of that. So why would it go down? Right. We talked about profit sharing. The other thing is, is this as as good, as good as it gets? So that's the question. Now gross margins of 81%, how long
- [73:38]
Ian
is that sustainable for a multi billion dollar company? Like okay, this is equivalent for a court for a third of the season. Steph hitting 81% from three. Like we have to be realistic of how wide these profit margins are. And this is not being done in history before. Like you can't take this for granted.
- [74:03]
Troy
We and we are. And that's, that's, that's the key point, right? So they're not saying future guidance is out of whack. They're saying, look, we're sold out for the rest of 2026. There's three more quarters that they were going to pour. The guidance is going to continue to grow each quarter of this year, each quarter of next year. The issue that people are looking at right now is how do they look in 2029. The stock is taking a hit now because we're looking at how are they going to look in 2029. Can they keep the revenue at that level? Can they keep gross margins at that level now?
- [74:39]
Ian
Let's say they can't. They still should grow a 40 year over year. This stock was at 7.$8 in April.
- [74:45]
Troy
That's where I'm going. So even if they don't, right, they. If you look at the trajectory of, of where they're saying the guys go, they're still. It becomes a scenario where is good great enough or is great good enough at this point? Right. When we look at what Super Micro. See, you got me calling Super Micron. But we looked at what Micron is doing. The story hasn't changed. Memory is still going to be the story. Up until 2030. They talked about building it in Taiwan with their new factory. They're Already on about to be online in Idaho and Syracuse as well. The story has not changed. The problem again, this is the third issue is that they've made 33 billion in a year. They are now saying because our demand is so high and we're trying to expand to meet that demand, we have to now increase our capex. We heard that word all year.
- [75:39]
Ian
That's like saying
- [75:43]
Troy
how are we going to pay for this? The difference is with these companies, and we got to realize this, is that companies like Nvidia, companies like Meta, Microsoft, they're not looking for loans to pay off this capex, they're generating revenue.
- [76:00]
Ian
Revenue that is paying the capex.
- [76:01]
Troy
That's completely different than other companies are doing. Right. Micron is not saying we're going to get a loan. Right. We're using credit. No, they're saying the revenue that we're bringing in, we're going to actually disperse that to expand on our company's vision. Building more fabs. Right. Expanding on meeting our demand. It's going to cost us. So they said on the, the, the earnings report call that yes, 25 billion is going to be the capex. People are saying, wait, you've never even made 25 billion. This is the first time you've done it. How are you going to be spending that? Well, if you look at where the rest of the year is headed, they're going to do a hundred billion this year.
- [76:43]
Ian
Yeah.
- [76:44]
Troy
This is a company that only made 3 billion in a year prior to this year. So it's, they're in new territory. So there is some of a. Not for that, but over the next three. If you could look at the future guidance, it's already baked in this. They're showing you the revenue is growing. This is a company two years ago that wasn't even a hundred billion, it's now a half a trillion. So yes, profit taking is happening. Yes, it is going to have some pullbacks. Are we moving? I'm not, I'm not. I'm there. I'm there all the way.
- [77:13]
Ian
You shouldn't let a two week drop take you out of a generational position. I said this on the show four years ago. A lot of people say they want generational wealth but they won't hold a stock for a generation. The stock was at 78 bucks in April, is currently at 404. We have to appreciate the greatness of some of these companies and not only at a time when American innovation was dying. And they're not selling chips to China by the way, which is A great thing. When we needed another leader in terms of market percentage gain to step up, they were able to do it by focusing on a business and being extremely focused. Now some of you have the the privilege of going with, going to Nvidia with us and seeing how that ecosystem is operated. I haven't been to Micron, but from what I've heard they kind of operate the same way. Everyone's locked in from executive leadership down to entry level role. So don't let a two week drop in the market, throw you out of a position to be okay in a generation, but do what you want to do.
- [78:19]
Troy
Somebody just in the chat said that memory is a boom or bust sector. Well, that's if you go off the past history of it. Well, they're basing it off what happened in the dot com era and how it performed since then. But you're talking about CPUs and the story now is not CPUs. The story is now AI infrastructure. And if you look at the demand, if you look at the clients, if you look at the customer base, like I said, the non data center, this is outside of data center. The non data center revenue is up 211%. The data center alone is up to 81%. This is not that you want SOL.
- [78:57]
Rashad
Right?
- [78:58]
Troy
Look, if it was, if it was cyclical in that nature, then we wouldn't see western digital perform like it's performed. We wouldn't see Seagate perform like we. I mean Sanders doing their memory. Look at, look at how those are performing over the past year. They've already. Sk. Hynix has already told you that this is not going away till 2030. We, we can't even fulfill the supply until 2030.
- [79:20]
Ian
The memory. What do you think of the AI? If anything, you can argue that the Ponzi scheme that's going on in the circular investment of AI is the boom cycle. But if we're going to be absolutely fair, From August of 1999 through probably 2013, most of tech is what you were describing. It really wasn't until Obama hit the lever back to economic levers for quantitative easing did a lot of tech stocks go afloat. Microsoft was flat for 12 and a half years under Balmer's regime. So this isn't the boom and bust cycle. The boom and bust cycle is the, the debt to GDP ratio and how much money we've been printing as a result. And if it wasn't for quantitative easing they wouldn't have been dug out of the grave like the zombies in the Thriller video.
- [80:10]
Rashad
For sure. So yeah, Micron, I got three. I actually have three options on Micron. One I'm. I was up a thousand percent. It definitely pulled back. I'm up 850%.
- [80:19]
Troy
Oh my. Wow.
- [80:25]
Ian
The business, Rashad.
- [80:27]
Troy
Another one I'm up now.
- [80:29]
Rashad
The other one I'm up 250. And the one I brought last week, I did buy one last week. I'm currently down 9%. I don't buy short term options. I don't do zero day options. So I'm not worried about short term volatility. But to you losers out there, just know you can pray and pray on my downfall, but you'll always be a loser. And you're still losing 6,600 people on the check in. Hit the like button and share.
- [81:02]
Ian
We have to be kinder in 26. My brother, God bestowed upon us these gifts that we must cherish and bless forever. Right. I meditated today so normally I would be on the with you but I feel you.
- [81:14]
Troy
So you got his green jacket, man. He not worried about y'.
- [81:16]
Ian
All. He came in money green, that's all.
- [81:18]
Troy
Yeah, green jacket, man. A thousand percent equal green jacket. You made it. You can't give it back. Once you get it, you can't give it back. You've earned it.
- [81:28]
Ian
Peace and blessings, my brother.
- [81:30]
Troy
Earn your thousand percent.
- [81:32]
Rashad
That's a fact. Sure earn your way out the basement of mommy's house.
- [81:38]
Troy
Still living in the basement of your mother house.
- [81:40]
Rashad
Don't make me go there.
- [81:41]
Troy
I try to have a little pige bus running out. Mommy probably need blood.
- [81:46]
Ian
I can bring.
- [81:47]
Troy
Let doc remind you what I talk about.
- [81:50]
Rashad
Mama, mama love.
- [81:55]
Ian
Oh mama love.
- [81:59]
Rashad
Okay.
- [82:00]
Troy
Don't forget the light over the stove.
- [82:02]
Rashad
Micro.
- [82:02]
Ian
Somebody asked in the comments how long are you in that car? Rashad, let's give back to the people and enrich those even if they don't watch us.
- [82:09]
Troy
The 800.
- [82:10]
Ian
Yeah, yeah.
- [82:12]
Troy
Yo, the 800 call is crazy. The 800 call is crazy. Well, tell them to answer that.
- [82:18]
Rashad
That's, that's. What is that? January 27th.
- [82:21]
Ian
Did you.
- [82:22]
Troy
I think you did 28.
- [82:23]
Rashad
I think it was 27.
- [82:25]
Troy
Here's why that's crazy because when I was telling Nicole I had that call and I went out to 20, 26 of December, he went out even a little further and I was like, I thought, I'm like, oh, okay my brother, you just went. You went rogue on me. Okay, I got you. But yo man, green jacket it is. I love it.
- [82:43]
Ian
Sure. Stack them wins up.
- [82:46]
Troy
Stack that cheese.
- [82:48]
Rashad
Still the biggest
- [82:52]
Ian
Damn.
- [82:53]
Rashad
Damn.
- [82:53]
Ian
God. God is the biggest.
- [82:55]
Troy
Rashad, that's Geo.
- [82:58]
Rashad
God's the biggest. God is the greatest. God is the greatest. But in this realm,
- [83:11]
Troy
I do it. All the steps are for God.
- [83:13]
Rashad
We run. We have been running the marathon.
- [83:17]
Troy
Just, just. I'm just walking in the footsteps, bro. I promise.
- [83:21]
Ian
I put the post on Instagram the other day. It's key lesson. Clear the toxic people out of your life or harness their energy for your own benefit.
- [83:32]
Rashad
You got to get your tickets to Invest Fest. No weapon formed against me shall prosper. Eyo undish, shakeable, undestructible, survived everything. 25,000 people at invest fest. New York Times bestseller, three shows in the top 100. Now it's time for me to talk my shit. Let me talk my shit. It's been a while. It's been a while. You remember. Do remember.
- [84:02]
Troy
All right, let me audience.
- [84:03]
Ian
I'm trying to get them. I'm trying. Okay.
- [84:05]
Troy
Also, it's my passion token.
- [84:08]
Ian
Could be the, the weapon that destroys you. So we gotta. We're on a good cop, bad cop shit this year. I got you. I feel you a thousand percent.
- [84:23]
Rashad
Let's talk about Microsoft. Microsoft, what's going on? Microsoft. When is he going to pull out of his slumber?
- [84:34]
Ian
Troy, go first, please.
- [84:36]
Troy
Yeah, you know what? I broke this down in a class two months ago about Microsoft and the pullback and how it's been just sitting at this 400 day EMA and I like it at that level. It has met some support there. But if you study it and you realize where the initial pullback was, again, that capex was an issue. They saw a decline in Azure, which kind of set people off. Right. If the cloud business is not growing, and that's one of your main forms of business, what does that say for it? And then you pull back the layers a little further and you understand why it wasn't. Obviously the GPU is needed to help the cloud business. They decided to deploy in other areas of business that they control. And why is that important? Because if they control it, then they receive all of the revenue from those businesses. And so what they've kind of done is said, let's sacrifice a little bit on cloud. Let's put some GPUs to other forms, co pilot, GitHub, all the other avenues that we 100% control. Let's try to improve those businesses in this time and let's watch those grow. Why, yes, we can make money in the. But if we control everything over here with the deployment of our GPUs then there's going to be higher revenue margins and to me it's brilliant. So the idea of short term, I
- [86:05]
Ian
wouldn't even call it pain.
- [86:07]
Troy
Short term pullback, sacrifice, long term success. It's a sacrifice and I think it's going to be a great sacrifice. I think it's going to pay off for them tremendously because of where they're positioned in the AI infrastructure story. So is Microsoft still a strong company? Absolutely. Is it one of the top five companies? Absolutely. Am I investing in it? Absolutely. Do I think they will rebound this year? 100 I think so.
- [86:31]
Ian
Rashad, you got some more issue want to get off your chest because it
- [86:33]
Rashad
looked like I just reading the comments saying like yo, let him go. It's been a while. It has been a while.
- [86:41]
Ian
Real quick and then we're gonna go over. He's only 15. I'm in that mode. Got you really quick on Microsoft. A lot of people have been asking me this. I do see a world where Microsoft can get to353.83 that's a.
- [86:56]
Rashad
What's the price?
- [86:57]
Ian
353.83 Right. To Troy, your point I agree is short term pain for long term gain? There's another component and yes I still love Microsoft. I think they're a better run organization to Apple across the board. I think SATI is a better CEO. The part that is not being talked about is a contagion of open AI.
- [87:20]
Troy
You know what that was?
- [87:21]
Ian
That piece?
- [87:22]
Troy
Yes.
- [87:23]
Ian
That piece of the partner that you choose to marry. Because marriage goes not only for the romantic but in the business side as well. The people you choose to couple your empire with will either make or break you. Now the inside ball a little bit. They found other partners to fulfill that relationship upon exit whether they just outright sell the shares or to go public. Either way they'll be fine. But a lot of this drop is also tied to the circular investment Ponzi scheme bullshit of AI. Once again I keep saying for most companies Microsoft isn't one of them. But for most companies in AI they don't have a thesis for how to get a return on capital. And people are not in love with Sam Altman. So as a result they're being punished long term. Will they be fine? Are they still in 2 tech 2 index? Yes. I probably won't exit my position at Microsoft probably for another 15 years. So I think they'll be fine there.
- [88:25]
Rashad
Are they being still bullish on Microsoft
- [88:29]
Ian
as long as Tati is there?
- [88:31]
Troy
For sure.
- [88:31]
Ian
And I can argue if I'm doing the lineup of Microsoft, Google versus Apple. Tim Cook is third in that race, Satya second for sure.
- [88:44]
Troy
Satya Sundar and then Tim Cook. The open AI part is the reason why I think them deploying technology into the things that they 100% control makes more sense. Right? It's a hedge in that sense. Right. So yes, the partnership that they announced four years ago, three years ago now with OpenAI on the surface was, oh my gosh, this is amazing, man. This is a hell of a way to spend capital and the future looks super bright and then you start to see cracks in the relationship to the point where they had to restructure how the relationship looked. OpenAI has now decided that, hey, you know Microsoft, it was great, you got us here, but we're going to venture off and work with other partners.
- [89:27]
Ian
Amazon and everyone copied that model.
- [89:31]
Troy
But in the same light, Microsoft said, okay, go ahead, work with other partners. We'll take the capital, right, that we're going to make from eventually you going public and we're going to deploy that back into our higher margins. Higher margins, higher revenue, man, we got
- [89:52]
Ian
what we needed for make to make co pilot better at Excel. Thank you so much. Your service and your arrogance while you're allegedly having people murdered in your company. Allegedly. I'm here for it today. I told you I'm back. Leather jacket vibes. Allegedly.
- [90:14]
Troy
I'm not, I'm not laughing at that.
- [90:19]
Ian
I'm going to be honest. One of the biggest scandals is not going to be Microsoft and it's not going to be anthropic and probably not OpenAI. But the amount of capital that was wasted, everyone chasing the OpenAI Microsoft partnership once again right now in Claude, which is slept on the whole open claw model they took and so did Nvidia. Nvidia made a safer, more secure version. And this is why putting out your IP and getting hot really fast can be an issue if you don't have the right partners in place. Looking back, hindsight being 20 20, write this down. The character of the founder or CEO matters more than anything because his habits will bleed into the the culture of the company. If you know anything that's been written about Sam Altman, like Jason Calacanis and others have come out openly say I wouldn't trust any data with GPT given how Sam operates and Sam and Jason Calacanis are friends, that's an indictment on things that are going on there. So Microsoft will be fine long term, but the biggest scandal of this decade is definitely going to be the erasure of capital and how much capital was wasted in his ars. And no, Apple is not a genius for deploying, not deploying as much capital here because they could have bought open AI for $3 billion or $7 billion back in the day and didn't do it. So what do I know?
- [91:49]
Troy
Yeah, yeah, there's a, there's a lot you said there for sure.
- [91:57]
Ian
And these are just my thoughts and the thoughts of Red Panda, Ian Dunlap and the massive investor, not Troy, Rashad or Mike. Back to you guys.
- [92:06]
Rashad
Well, let's talk about, let's talk about the, the war because that's obviously had a major impact on the stock market. It's been very, very volatile since the start of the war. So originally Trump said six weeks regime change. Then it looked like he was potentially going to be prepared to have ground troops coming. And today he said that after very progressive conversations. It looks like we can be winding this thing down like now.
- [92:41]
Troy
Yeah, both sides want to deal.
- [92:43]
Rashad
He said that joint control over the straight of Ramos with him and the Ayatollah 5050 joint venture. Is the war. Do you think the war is coming to an end and should. What should investors be prepared for or will it drag out for a long period of time?
- [93:09]
Ian
My fear is that this Iranian war for sure can't end, but I don't think it will anytime soon. Just like how you have sector rotation, we will have a rotation of wars. He is a little bit more war heavy and I'm really big on. When a person constantly criticizes a person for doing something, it's because they want to do it. So all the tweets are popping back up about his criticisms of Biden and Obama and how much, how many bombs they deployed and how many countries they invaded. And here we are doing the same thing. And also too, we have to ask the question, allegedly, is he the decision maker in these wars we're getting into?
- [93:54]
Rashad
No, definitely.
- [93:55]
Ian
I think the Venezuela idea may have been his. I don't think the El Mincho capture was his idea. And I definitely don't think this Iranian regime attack was his idea by any stretch of the imagination at all. So whoever is running that program, back to your point, will decide how long those wars will last for the investors. Prepare for volatility. Your 401ks will be affected, your portfolios will be affected. But I'm here to guide you and get you gains in the market, regardless of who's in office and what war we're in. And there will be immense opportunity to do incredibly well in some sectors that are not being talked about enough. One, I really, like I talked about it earlier, waste management and republic services. Regardless of what happens in Iran or Cuba or Argentina or later, those companies will be fine. But, and we can be very fair. This is for those of you, if it just gets clipped up, this isn't a political take, it's just a political truth. We have more wars under a Republican regime and have higher probability of being recession under Republican leadership.
- [95:09]
Rashad
So in the stock market, and the stock market does worse under Republican leadership than it does on Democratic leadership for sure. That's, that's just this, that's just the historical fact.
- [95:19]
Ian
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- [95:21]
Troy
I don't know. I don't know it, I mean it's completely uncertain. I don't, I don't know how you, you, you, you bomb and kill, you know, an entire regime and their family members and they elect a new ruler and you say you're not good with that. I don't know how you decide when it's over or. I, I just don't understand. I, I think from a market standpoint, you would anticipate it being over in the near future because again, if it's not, if the straight isn't open, if we can't, if there's a global crisis for oil, then we're talking about ramifications that we won't be able to come under from. And that's what's at stake. And I think they're very aware of it. Which is why you put out the headline today that both sides want to do a deal. And they're saying we've never spoken to anybody because you know what's at stake. Again, his narcissism, his ego is going to, he's going to figure out a way how to get out of this. I don't think it'll be a clean way to get out of it. I don't think it would be because we're saying that, hey, both sides have decided that we, if this is going, we're going to come to a deal. It'll be some way to finagle, but it's going to be nasty.
- [96:39]
Ian
It's not going to be good. And a lot of this, whoever sits on that board of the new war order is in more control than he is. These are my thoughts, my thoughts only. This is not reflective of Troy shot.
- [96:51]
Troy
Invest my soul and my body.
- [96:55]
Ian
Right. And for those who say we're not in a war, yes, we are. If you don't think that Brics is and the Funny part is just how interesting how quiet China has been and also how leadership across the world is being quiet when their voices could be incredibly influential in these situations.
- [97:16]
Rashad
The thing about it is that violence is never good for business. Whether you're talking about just on a regular street corner level or at the highest level possible, which we're talking about right now. It's like, it's no, there's no benefit in it other than people that benefit from it. But for the most part, it's always, it's bad for business. So I don't think Trump wants to have a prolonged war on his resume. I think that he had a tremendous ego from what he did in Venezuela. And I can just come in, kill, kill the leader, take over the country within three weeks, get it done, and, and have a regime change and just do what I want. And he realizes that this is a lot more complicated than he thought. This is not Venezuela. And now he's, he's trying to, like, find a way out of it. But the straight is more than just oil, natural gas, shipping, all types of shipping comes through the street. It, it, it's really, it's really cause disruption in the, in the global economic chain, the distribution chain, the supply chain has been disrupted. Not just that you spend it. Once again, you're spending a billion dollars a year on a country a day. You spend a billion dollars a day on a country that posed no threat. Iran had no nuclear weapon and was not close to even having a nuclear weapon. This is from people in his government that have said this. This is just like the George Bush weapons of mass destruction thing. And the same people that told George Bush Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction are the same people that told Trump.
- [98:55]
Ian
Allegedly.
- [98:57]
Rashad
Allegedly. You can go down that rabbit hole if you're interested, but there was no, this was, this was. There's no point in, there's, there's no benefit in America being involved in the Iran war. There's no benefit at all. So he has to, he has to backtrack. But he's also a pathological liar. And the, the dangerous thing about being a pathological liar is that you believe your lies. So, like, when he said, he spoke to a former president and they said, like, I wish I would have done. And they. Like who? Well, every single living president said that you didn't speak to him, or when he said that Iran bombed the school, when the New York Times put the, the clear evidence that America bombed the school, or it's a variety of different things that he's lied about, But I think he believes his lies because he's a convincing liar. If you ever been in a relationship with a convincing liar, it's really. It's kind of. It's kind of. It's a mind fuck because you start to believe the person. You always believe the person. Even if you know that they lie the next time, they're such a convincing liar that you. You believe them. Every single lie that they tell because they're convincing. That's dangerous. So it's like the market manipulation. He's saying he spoke to the head of Iran. Iran said that he's lying. Who knows at this point? It's like Spider man meme. Everybody's just pointing at each other. So for the market, I think it's really dangerous because he has a lot of power. Like within one true social post, he could either crash the market or he could send the market skyrocketing.
- [100:29]
Ian
And short term, though, 60%, 80% exposure, long term. And I know a lot of you have taken these prices and turned it into intraday or swing trading. All the advice I'm giving you is for long term. If you get burned not doing what you're supposed to do and not holding for a long period of time, that's absolutely on you. But yes, he can definitely affect the market short term. But I remember when he, the first time he got elected, I called my dad, I was like, hey, what do you think? He was like, regardless of who is in office, you got to put up wins on the board for your family. Go get buckets. And to all of you tonight, regardless of what he tweets or what he feels or who his relationships are aligned with or who may even be in control of some of his decision making. Pick four stocks that you're going to hold onto for the next 10 years. Pick. Pick four assets you can trade and make money with when get wins on on demand, and you will be fine. The rest is conjecture. It does not matter. Because in five years and say, well, man, I'm not where I'm supposed to be. Because Trump up the market with true social. That's your fault, my guy. I'm sorry. No one cares.
- [101:39]
Troy
The uncertainty is. Is challenging because, I mean, again, we woke up 1300 points up. By the time we closed, it was at 600 points. What's really changed? Right? Like, what's really changed? He made that announcement, said that we're closer to a deal. Both countries want to. I talked to these people. Nothing's really changed. In fact, they said that, you know, there might Be a deadline like a five day window to get a deal done. So what happens Friday if the deal isn't done?
- [102:07]
Rashad
The same thing that happened today. He said today with a 48 hour deadline that miraculously came in.
- [102:12]
Troy
Did you ever believe that it was going to happen?
- [102:14]
Rashad
No, of course not, right?
- [102:15]
Ian
No, no. But you have to show strength. Like you ever notice the people who showed the most physical strength are the ones who have no real power. That's what makes me think the information that he's being given, he's being led down a certain path for someone else's outcome. Even a tweet, I think that's in retaliation to somebody who gave him bad intel. I really do.
- [102:36]
Troy
Got me the, the bombing in Qatar like at their natural gas. That's a real, that's a real thing. You start attacking. I think that was a moment of pause. Like hold on. Like this is something that's different, right? That that can cause again we're not just talking oil. Like I did a breakdown on how helium is transported through the straight of hormones and what that does to the semiconductor space. This so it's such an important passageway. But like when you're starting to target areas and you're having success with not the same amount of capital put into the, to the weaponry that you're using and you're having success, that's sustainable, right? You're not trying to win, you're just trying to be as disruptive as possible for as long as possible. And they can do that.
- [103:23]
Rashad
Trump is being used as a pawn. Destabilize the region, allegedly. Okay, let's talk about bitcoin. Let's talk about bitcoin. Let's talk about bitcoin. Bitcoin. Interesting. Since 2011, Bitcoin has never been down negative more than 5 months in a row on a year to date basis. While March 2026 has been slightly positive. Could this positive pattern hold through the war?
- [104:01]
Ian
Through the war? More than likely not given with the price of where it is now. Now if it was at a lower price you would see an uptick. It's currently at 70,000 4:30. It won't make all time new high by end of quarter because of the war. But everyone is risk off because here's the truth. If you don't have the skill set to be able to make money when there's catastrophe in the market as you should, you're going to go risk off. So at the current time I don't think we're going to see like even Michael Saylor's level. His average buy in is 76, 681, I believe. So war is putting pressure on the asset because people are afraid. And also when you have a leader that has no rhyme or reason to their decision making, you don't want to face all that volatility in your portfolio, especially if you have 2 to 12 million dollars deployed in the market. Like there's no reason to take the risk. Also too, I found it interesting that Peter Till, Alex Karp and a bunch of the elite this year took money off the table the same way when Chamath Bezos and Elon took money off the table in 2022.
- [105:16]
Troy
So 20. Yeah, that fourth quarter of 21.
- [105:20]
Ian
Yeah. Oh, 21. Excuse me. Yep. So it's, it's a similar situation. That's why I say this year reminds me a lot of 2022. And until that instability goes away, people don't feel comfortable putting their risk back on the table.
- [105:35]
Troy
Yeah, this is like one of those moments where having a cash balance or having some reserves is important for a couple of reasons. Obviously you know you want to take risks off the table, but also there's going to be a time where you start to see trends where we're headed back to the positive territory. I think we'll get there. I think all the major indexes are now they've turned negative for the year. The NASDAQ, the S& P Dow, they're all negative for the year. I don't think we end there, which is why I have in cash on reserves again. If you can find clarity during times of uncertainty, that is how you're going to gain wealth. So that's what all these signs are point to.
- [106:12]
Ian
To me, if you've been prepared though, you, you would have, especially in stock club. I'm not saying that for like selfish reasons, but you would have known four or five months ago. I've even said on the show where collapses are going to happen. The thing is like you have to buy the best assets on earth at the best price on earth. So the positive note is because there isn't a lot of rhyme or reason to it. He doesn't have the chutzpah to stay in these fights or forever wars long enough to negatively affect the market because he doesn't want to go out losing again and be destroyed in the midterm elections because the economy is bad on his watch and have MAGA turn on him more than it already has. So there'll be some corrective measures put in place. You're just gonna have to sit this one through and I know that some, you know, the talk about the clip last week is going viral but 27 is still going to be the year of the crash. It's not going to be 2026. I, I really think the indexes by end of year will be up probably October, November where we should be if not at all time. Highs very close to them.
- [107:21]
Troy
Yeah. Shout out to Jason McCoy in the chat. He said the energy sector is the only green one for the year. If you. Obviously we talked about GEV on, on the show a bunch of times.
- [107:30]
Ian
Yeah.
- [107:30]
Troy
Had a great day today. I know you got some gev. Yeah. Performing well. Energy again. The. The narrative hasn't changed. Story hasn't changed. They actually just talked about announcing that they're going to increase the prices for their turbines. So yeah, man, I'm glad that people are paying attention and watching that there are parts of the market are still performing. Yeah.
- [107:51]
Ian
GV at the right place. You should still be up.
- [107:55]
Troy
Yeah.
- [107:57]
Rashad
Facts. All right. And do remember Ian did say a couple of years ago the price to buy Bitcoin was 20,000 at that time. So that was a historic call. So with that being said, access to Red Panda Stock Club and Sniper. 50% off sale, 30 slots only to your access to Red Panda where they actually give you the prices to buy the stocks. And access to Sniper which gives you the trading setup to trade futures. 2 year access. 50% off, 30 slots only go to IanInvest.com before we leave, the last thing on the checklist, let's talk about AMC Hit all time low
- [108:46]
Troy
ceiling Solo.
- [108:47]
Rashad
Is it over?
- [108:50]
Ian
I told you this is. I told you 2nd 20. Shout out to those you made money on the upside. Kudos to the executive leadership. Yada yada. Now that we got out the way, stop being hyped by stocks that have no value. I'm gonna. And. And this. So this is 2020, 2022 version. We're going to see this again in two years where some of these companies that y' all love so much, one of them like Super Micro is going to go belly up and they're ripe with corruption. So is it over? Could they rebrand? Could they get a new executive leader? Maybe. But this has been dead for me a long time. I would advise you not to touch it. If you go into an AMC and I routinely go every quarter just to make sure I'm not missing nothing. It's never a capacity. So in order for AMC for Shout out to the Apes, you're telling me that the Dominance and the physical space is going to surpass the dominance that Netflix has. Y' all never had an AMC and ass night, but a lot of y' all had a Netflix and chill night. Stop hyping. Because somebody on Twitter who came from a hedge fund who's telling you what to buy on Reddit is manipulating you where to go. But they're not telling you about private credit and they definitely are not telling you about venture capital.
- [110:14]
Troy
So this one's a. Yeah, I don't, I don't. Yeah, I'm, I'm with you. I think it's a. What's the business model when you look at how media, specifically the media, the space that they're in has transformed over the past two years with almost every large streaming servicing company taking a film studio. Right. Amazon with mgm. Paramount is now, you know, convert in Warner Brothers. Apple has its own. I just don't. Where do you do. They tried to have competitor YouTube, Netflix, you know, are they can kind of control like hey, we're only going to keep this in the theater for 20 days and then we're putting it on our streaming service. So that leaves your, your core audience of people who are going to see movies. Yo, you about to go see it in that first week. But what happens after that, you really can't control that. IMAX has, has done pretty decently, but they've been steady. It, it, it's. I don't figure. I can't see the pathway forward with a different business model for them to increase revenue.
- [111:18]
Rashad
Right.
- [111:19]
Troy
They tried the subscription service thing where, you know, you, you had a pass to go to the movie. People just don't go at the same rate anymore. People love the, the convenience and comfort of being in their homes and waiting for it to come on on a streaming platform.
- [111:31]
Ian
Yep. GameStop next.
- [111:35]
Troy
Yeah, that's a funny story. The Gamestop story. Remember that was going to be like the bitcoin story. They were, they were buying bitcoin. All right. Nah, forget it. All right.
- [111:46]
Ian
But y' all fall for it. It's all right. Rashad Ramadan over. You want to go crazy?
- [111:52]
Rashad
No, I did, I did, I did, I did. You know, I, I, you know, audience.
- [111:57]
Ian
I tried, I tried.
- [112:00]
Rashad
It's been a while, but I appreciate, I appreciate the haters, man. It's good, it's good for entertainment purposes. Get you ticket to invest love. There's no such thing as haters. Your biggest marketing strategy, they promote you. As long as somebody's talking about you, there's always an opportunity.
- [112:22]
Ian
And if you learn how to harness it, you can transform it into opportunities, because then the allies will come in and support you for sure. Like, all jokes aside, shout out to Francois. That was one of her biggest pushes to get me on Gmail. Seeing some of that same talk. That's the angle you're gonna take. Let me put them on a platform that's so big that noise won't even matter. Kudos to everyone at gma. All my GMA family, love you dearly, from the bottom of my heart. Appreciate you so much, Francois. Thank you. Turn it. You know, But.
- [112:57]
Rashad
But on a serious throne, a learning experience, because I remember I had a coach one time, he would always, like, get on my nerves. He would always, like, yell and scream. And he said something that was pretty interesting. He was like, look, you should worry if I wasn't speaking at you, speaking to you, because that means I don't care about you. So, you know, hate is just a form of confused admiration, because if somebody doesn't speak about you, they don't even care about you. If they speak about you negatively, especially if they don't know you, you never met the person before, whatever. That's because they really, deep down, they want to have a relationship with you. They miss the good times. They. They. They want to. To be your mentee, perhaps.
- [113:42]
Ian
Yeah. A friend, confidant.
- [113:45]
Rashad
Yeah. But they. But they. It's just like, so the next best thing to get your attention. Think about the kids and, like, little. Little boys, right? In, like, elementary school, they. They tease the girl. They hit the girl that they like.
- [113:58]
Ian
Some grown men do it. They'll talk bad about somebody, like, you want her.
- [114:04]
Rashad
That's a fact.
- [114:05]
Troy
You really want to.
- [114:06]
Rashad
It's. It's a form of confused admiration. They don't. They don't know how to fully express themselves. But that's why therapy is important, too, because you gotta. You gotta clean. You gotta clean your. You gotta clean your system as far as, like, your mental clarity to get the hate out your heart. Because hate is a disease of the heart, and it stops you from being great. Because anybody that's hating, they've never really done nothing. They haven't done anything. What have they done? They've done nothing.
- [114:38]
Ian
Everyone's done something before, Rashad.
- [114:43]
Troy
Yo, man, I live a clean life. Y' all keep doing what y' all gotta do. I told you before, it's an honor and a privilege, man. So somebody to wake up and think about you. So let's just keep giving more things to think about. Let's keep doing what we do. Make history.
- [115:02]
Ian
Grow.
- [115:02]
Troy
Grow the platform, grow the community. Go to portfolios, you know, and let the proof speak for it, man. That's all.
- [115:12]
Rashad
God bless America.
- [115:16]
Troy
Afro man, salute.
- [115:19]
Rashad
Salute you.
- [115:20]
Troy
Put me on to that.
- [115:25]
Rashad
Afro man. He's my favorite person on the Internet right now.
- [115:28]
Troy
Afroman's ill, dude.
- [115:29]
Rashad
Legend.
- [115:30]
Troy
I ain't. I had no idea.
- [115:31]
Rashad
Legend.
- [115:32]
Troy
I really had no idea.
- [115:33]
Rashad
It's actually a legend. Took it to court and beat it. Took it to court and beat it.
- [115:42]
Troy
He ran a hell of a campaign.
- [115:44]
Ian
Afro man crazy.
- [115:46]
Troy
Dear America.
- [115:50]
Ian
All right, all right, real quick. What's one tip for entrepreneurs or investors tonight they can leave with that will empower their lives, their business, their portfolios, and then we can wrap up. Start.
- [116:06]
Troy
Start.
- [116:08]
Rashad
Keep an eye on the losers. No, seriously, you gotta know what people are doing wrong so you can know. You gotta watch.
- [116:18]
Troy
They even get to get a hater yet.
- [116:20]
Rashad
I watch the losers. I watch the losers.
- [116:22]
Troy
Yo, man,
- [116:26]
Rashad
you losers out there. I watch your content because I gotta know what you're doing wrong so I can do the exact opposite. I watch your content.
- [116:35]
Troy
The leverage play.
- [116:36]
Rashad
I just don't like it. I don't like it. But I'm a. I'm a ghost follower. I keep my eye on. You gotta. I keep my eye on the losers to make sure they're still losing.
- [116:47]
Troy
Start where you are.
- [116:49]
Rashad
God bless. Good night. Get home safe, ladies and gentlemen.
- [116:53]
Ian
Yeah.
- [116:53]
Troy
Use what you have. Do what you can. Be blessed, y'.
- [116:56]
Ian
All. Love, love, love.
- [117:09]
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