John Hope Bryant (20:54)
The 20,000 plus cryptocurrencies currencies launched in the last decade, fewer than 10% are still active. Hello. So if you had, you know, in your neighborhood, 90% of the businesses failed in five or eight or 10 years, would you say that's a stable investing environment or would you say that's it feels like the wild wild west, something's going on. That's what I'm telling you here. That 90% of these things have just, poof, gone. And somebody made some money and left. And I call that a Ponzi scheme. Somebody made, pumped, dumped and left and then left somebody else holding the bag. But this episode is not about fear. It's about financial facts and future proofing your mindset. If you there are people who've done very well crypto and they're folks who've lost their shirt. I don't want you losing your rent money. If you want to quote something, quote that right. So that we're real clear on, on what I'm saying. I just, I'm just trying to give you financial literacy so you make the best decision for yourself. According to Pew Research, 25% of black adults, 23% of Hispanic adults, and 17% of white adults said they had invested in, invested in, traded or used crypto. Okay, so the vast majority of this market, like half of it, are people who are locked out, who feel locked out of the traditional financial system. And we're looking for some other way to get paid, get rich, get over, whatever. And I believe somebody have been playing on their, what emotions and lack of financial literacy. Black Americans adopted crypto faster than any other group, in my opinion, driven by mistrust in traditional banks, barriers to stock market entry, and a hunger for financial independence. Which is, by the way, an admirable thing. I love those as motivations. I just don't like what the answer is. So crypto promised lower fees, no middlemen, global payments with no discrimination. Fast profits in an instant world. I hate that last one. Fast profits in an instant world. But access without understanding is not empowerment, it's exposure. Hello, can I get an amen? Access without understanding is not empowerment. It's just exposure. So let's get into this next piece. You can't win the game if the rules keep changing. Okay, this is data from the Federal Reserve and CNBC. Nearly 70 to 75% of crypto investors lost money after market crashes. You listening to me? 70 to 75%. So 70 is the smallest number of crypto investors lost money after market crashes. Black investors were more likely to invest late and be hit harder. Hello? Because we will. We're writing the speculation, we're looking at the headlines we're hearing and stuff. And somebody knows that we're emotional and we're going to come in and provide an exit for the folks who are trying to get out and go to what? Fiat currency, Cash out with cash. So here's a Wild west warning. Over 20,000 cryptocurrencies launched since 2013. Fewer than 1500 to 2000 of these currencies have meaningful value or any activity at all today. Some estimates show that between 90 and 95% of all coins fail or become inactive. Failed or become inactive or became inactive. Sorry. Let me give you some examples. The Luna Terra collapse wiped out $60 billion in value. That's real money for consumers and investors. The FTX Crowd affected over 1 million customers, including friends of mine who were involved with this. Many small investors, including working class and minority investors. In fact, my friend Anthony Scaramucci apologized for this particular thing. He thought he was very sophisticated and got took by a professional scamster. Who looked innocent as snow is snow white and ended up being the thief in the thief in the darkness. So again, if a neighbor had 20,000 businesses open and 90% failed, you wouldn't call that an economic empowerment story. You call that a trap? Right. So understanding. Let's understand the technology that and what's real and what's not and how crypto actually works. So blockchain is a public decentralized ledger, Right? Like a transparent notebook in the cloud. Right. I like blockchain. Be very clear. Okay. Most proper cryptocurrency use blockchain technology. I think blockchain is going to become very valuable. Bitcoin is considered by many, many to be digital gold. It has limited supply and is decentralized. And there's a maximum number of blockchain you can mine. So I like that. Ethereum is programmable blockchain for apps and contracts. Altcoins, thousands of tokens. All right. With often no utility or business model stable coins. Listen now this is an attempt to peg value to United States dollar. This is an attempt, stable coins are an attempt to peg the value of cryptocurrency to the, to, to United States currency or another currency. Again, fiat currency. An exit through US or other viable cash mechanisms. Again with the purpose of dating app to meet a woman or guy in person. What's the purpose of cryptocurrency? Oftentimes is to get cash on the back end. So let's not playing a game, let's just be honest with what we're doing. There's no FDIC insurance, no call centers, no undo button. You, you, you hit the wrong button, you lose your password, whatever. It's not a good day. Crypto is not evil. Okay? But a hammer can build a house or can bust you over the head. It's all about how you use it. Right? A knife can butter bread or cut your throat. Right? Or cut your wrist. It just depends on how it's used. Right. So opportunity still exists, but only for the prepared. Right. So long term innovations require long term thinking. I don't like this whole, you know, in it to win it, you know, make money fast. If something looks too good to be true, it normally is. The underlying technology, blockchain, smart contracts, tokenization, they're real and revolutionary in many ways. Right. And by the way, I'm explaining between digital currency and cryptocurrency, so hold on for that. Legitimate long term players. I think Bitcoin is a legitimate long term player. The Ethereum ecosystem is considered, I think, a legitimate long term Player blockchain, infrastructure companies, legitimate long term players, but the boot. But the rules of investing still apply. Dollar cost averaging, portfolio diversification. Only invest what you're willing to lose, I. E. Don't lose your rent money, right? Don't bet your rent money. Most black investors going into crypto, 2022, 2020, 2020 and 2021 at peak high prices. That means most bought high, hello, and so low. Here's some street rules for crypto and here's a key concept. The underserved communities that I come from and that you understand so well can't afford to gamble with what little we've got to play with in the first place. We must invest with wisdom, not emotions. Here's some street rules. If you don't understand it, don't invest in it. If everybody, if everyone's getting rich quick, someone's about to go broke slow. If everybody's getting rich quick, somebody's about to go broke slow, I don't want it to be you. Use crypto to learn how to understand this new innovation, this system, but don't lean on it to try to think you're creating a new system. I had said that very slowly because I don't want anybody thinking again that I'm downing crypto. I'm saying it's the wild, wild west. Like you can't lean on something that might fall over. And if 90% of anything that's tried fails, well, there's a 9% chance that you're going to lean on it. It's going to fall over. It may be okay, right? You go to Las Vegas, you might hit it big. Just remember that Las Vegas, the buildings keep getting larger with every plane that goes in and out of Las Vegas. You know, yeah, people hitting big, but somebody's losing their shirt. You got to ask yourself, is this wealth building or wishful thinking? Never put more money into crypto than you put on a roulette table. Hello. Crypto is a tool, not a ticket. Right? People need to come to Operation Hope and get your financial literacy education on before you start doing some crypto investing anyway, in my opinion. So you can go in armed and prepared. I mean, as a simple rule, you shouldn't have more than, in my opinion, 10% of your portfolio investing portfolio set aside for, for speculation. And this is speculation. And so if, if you can afford to use, lose 5 or 10% of your portfolio or win big, lose big, win big, then, then fine, knock yourself out, go do it. But if you, you absolutely need this for your retirement as Example, right. Then, then, no, you should not be thinking that this is some get rich quick scheme or some sure bet, right? Nothing's a sure bet. Everything has risk. Investing in real estate has this. Investing in the stock market has risks. Right? There, there are stock market companies, There are, There are companies on the stock market who've gone bust that were frauds like Enron. My mother lost money. My mother, Winnie Smith, who was a proper investor, God rest her soul, lost money on Enron. There are many companies that just fool people, right? But those companies at least have assets underneath them that you can sell the assets, they have cash flows. Unless it's a complete fraud. They have cash flows, they've got profit margin, they have customers. And if the thing goes bankrupt, if the thing goes bust, at least a trustee can come in and try to figure out what's the fog and the fake from the real and then give investors back part of their money. If crypto goes bust, nine times out of nine. Right? Okay, I would be generous. Nine times out of ten, the money's just gone. Right? So let me now explain to you why this is not a true currency. Okay, Start, start with what is not. And then I've sor. I've said a little bit about what it is. Let me tell you what is not. Cryptocurrencies are not true currencies in the traditional economic sense. Here's why. Here's what makes up a true currency. One, it's a medium of exchange. So it's used to buy and sell goods and services. Okay, stop. So just understand it's a universal medium of exchange. Number two is there's units of account. Prices are measured through this unit of account and the prices are uniform. Number three, it stores value. There's a store of value and it retains value over time. Really important point. Okay, okay, so let's think about how, how cryptos measure up in this example. So is it a medium of value? Well, partially is accepted by some merchants, but it has limited adoption. So for anybody thinking I'm jamming up crypto, just hear me now. I did say it's accepted by some merchants. Right. But it has limited adoption. I don't go in stores every day and see that they say we accept crypto. I see it every now and then, but I just gave you a compliment, crypto promoters, that it is exchanged in some places a unit of account. No, prices are still in dollars, in euros, in the yuan, you know, in pesos. Right. The unit of account are prices in, primarily in dollars. Is it a store of value? Well, it's extremely volatile. Some argue Bitcoin is digital gold. But prices still swing widely on even the most premium of these currencies, which are, which is, which is Bitcoin. And that undermines, that's. Those price swings undermine what I call here stability. So most experts would say that this is not a currency yet. Actually, I think it's an asset, not a currency. But here's why. Volatility. Prices can rise or fall 20 to 50% in days. Unacceptable for daily transactions. It's unacceptable. The price swings 20 to 50%. One day you go to buy a car and it's, you know, $10, $10,000. Next time you go to buy the car, it's $15,000. I mean, who can, who can, who can absorb that? You go to buy some bread, one day it's two bucks, and next day you go buy a loaf of bread or whatever, probably two bucks, but let's say it's five bucks and you go to the next day, you know, the next day you go to buy it, it's seven bucks and 50 cents. You know, that's just not acceptable. Adoption while growing crypto is not widely accepted like dollars or euros. Regulatory uncertainty. Governments don't treat it like legal tender. Right. The U.S. government is talking about this right now, by the way. I think it's a great idea for it to be regulated. Most things that get regulated actually end up doing well. The stock market was unregulated. It was a wild, wild west. It got regulated, and that's where the wealth really came from. The securities and Exchange Commission banking industry was unregulated. It was a wild, wild west. And of course, you had this huge boom and bust in the 1930s. Banks are regulated now and they're very, very profitable. You want to do well, buy some stable bank stocks and hold it over time. Banking business is a very stable business. I can name other sectors, but basically anything that gets regulated because now you have the rules of the game and you can feel comfortable getting into it and you have a place to call somebody to complain to. You can, you know, report folks. And then you tend to have more credible people that involve themselves in a regulated environment also. And you tend to have a deep capital stack in a regulated environment. Capital stack, meaning people have, have enough money so the thing that they're promoting doesn't go poof like most of the cryptocurrencies have in the first, in the first run up here.