Transcript
A (0:05)
Oh, no. Vanguard's predicting the market's going to collapse. What shall we do?
B (0:11)
Brian, I am so excited about this because it seems like inevitably this happens. We've been here before. There are some market predictors out there suggesting, man, okay, we've had a decent run up. It must mean that now is the time to start worrying.
A (0:27)
No, it's, it's much more than that. Bo, you're so polite. Is that I actually think that if I was in another life, I want to be the Vanguard economic predictor, the market predictor. Because it's going to be, it's going to be just very much like the Maytag repairman that's in the commercials. Is because you just go, hey, it's time for you to come out and tell everybody your economic prediction. And he goes, it's scary out there. There's. There's bad.
B (0:55)
Below average returns coming your way.
A (0:56)
Below average returns. Set it. And then we, we'll do this for the next 10 years. And guess what? Nobody ever gets ticked off at this guy or gal because always end up. Because when things are better, everybody's like, oh, it's okay. Things turned out better than he anticipated or she anticipated that. That doesn't mean that we should give them awards or, or give them the. What the market pays attention to this report every year. You can set a clock to it. We'll be covering this probably next year at the same time, same bat place. And, and it, and it will be just as negative as it is currently.
B (1:29)
Yeah. So they released this report. It's called the Economic and Market Outlook. And this year, this is what it said. It says AI exuberance, economic upside, stock market downside. It doesn't sound very good. It sounds like, man, we've been through this thing. And they even have some data in there that taken out of context might be alarming. They said that we could even potentially right now be at a wealth tipping point that's worth recognizing. And this is how they quantified that.
A (1:58)
They said, wait a minute, wait a minute. Because this is no different than when I watch football or sports. There'll be some. They even put graphs around it on whatever networks got the super bowl. And they'll say every year that Patrick Mahomes eats Taco Bell before he plays football, they typically win the Super Bowl. There'll be some crazy data mine stat that they will pull up on screen and even, you know, gloss it up. I feel like what we're about to see now is Vanguard once again will go cherry pick some data on why you should be petrified.
