
Why Grubhub could be a part of a super app and advertisers think about heading back to 'X'
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Neal Freyman
Ryan Reynolds here for I guess my hundredth mint commercial. No, no, no, no, no, no, don't. No, no, no. I mean, honestly, when I started this, I thought I'd only have to do like four of these. I mean, it's unlimited to Premium Wireless for $15 a month.
Kyle Hagee
How are there still people paying two.
Neal Freyman
Or three times that much? I'm sorry, I shouldn't be victim blaming. Here, give it a try@mintmobile.com save whenever you're ready.
Kyle Hagee
$45 upfront payment equivalent to $15 per month. New customers on first three month plan only.
Neal Freyman
Taxes and fees.
Kyle Hagee
Extra speed slower above 40 gigabyte CD tails.
Neal Freyman
Good morning Brew Daily Show. I'm Neal Freyman.
Kyle Hagee
And I'm Kyle Hagee.
Neal Freyman
Today, the biggest restaurant company you've never heard of just bought grubhub is wonder the next Chipotle.
Kyle Hagee
And New Yorkers rejoice. Your days of paying broker fees are over. It's Thursday, November 14th. Let's ride.
Neal Freyman
We are lucky to be joined by the great Kyle Hagee.
Kyle Hagee
We're back.
Neal Freyman
Co host of Morning Brew's other podcast, per my last email. Yes, Kyle, we've got to talk about the trend that is sweeping the globe. Celebrity lookalike contests. So this started a few weeks ago when a Timothee Chalamet lookalike competition was held in New York City and went viral after the man himself showed up. Then these started popping up all over the place. A Paul Ms. Kyle lookalike competition in Dublin. Harry Styles in London. Dev Patel in San Francisco. This upcoming weekend will feature more, including a Jeremy Allen White lookalike competition in Chicago, of course. Kyle, help up explain what's going on here.
Kyle Hagee
Well, I think Timothy ruined it for everyone because he actually showed up. So now I think everyone's like, how do I get to know my favorite celebrity? Oh, just do a lookalike contest and hope they show up. So, Jeremy Allen White, you better get your butt to Chicago. Neil, I have a question for you.
Neal Freyman
Yeah.
Kyle Hagee
The best celebrity lookalike competition that you would win. Who is that for?
Neal Freyman
I don't think I look like any celebrity, but I've been told that I look like a little bit like Mike from Suits. That's the only thing that has ever been mentioned. I mean, you in the realm of celebrity look likes. I don't even know what this guy looks like. I'm sure he's extremely handsome.
Kyle Hagee
Oh, super handsome. You might actually be a celebrity now. Probably counts. We should do a Neil Freyman lookalike competition like Washington Square Park.
Neal Freyman
I would show up to that, but I would probably be the only person there.
Kyle Hagee
Now let's hear a word from our sponsor, Sage. Not the Herb, but a tool that saves finance professionals a lot of time and money. Neil, I've heard from Toby that you're quite the cook.
Neal Freyman
I've been known to break out the LA Crusade every now and then.
Kyle Hagee
Oh, fancy. But also a perfect example of how sage helps CFOs. Why do you use a La Crouse?
Neal Freyman
Reliable, well made, lets me throw a lot of stuff in it.
Kyle Hagee
Same reasons why CFOs love sage. You slice and dice your data as you see fit, then throw it all into one pot and get a delicious meal of actionable insights.
Neal Freyman
Let's take this metaphor one step further with the new AI and automation tools that Sage has added. You're slicing with cutting edge razor sharp knives as well. So fancy pot, but also fancy knives.
Kyle Hagee
I knew you were a phenomenal chef, Neil.
Neal Freyman
And Sage is a phenomenal platform. Head to sage.com morning brew that sage.com/morning.
Kyle Hagee
Brew for our first story, Wonder Group has agreed to acquire food delivery startup Grubhub for $650 million. While that sounds like a lot of money, it's a steep decline from Grubhub's $7.3 billion valuation in 2020. Now, it's called Wonder Group because you're probably wondering what it even is. Well, It's a quote new kind of food hall that operates 25 fast casual restaurants around New York City and New Jersey. This is the brainchild of entrepreneur Mark Laurie. Laurie previously sold Diapers.com yes, you heard that right. Diapers.com to Amazon for over $500 million and Jet.com to Walmart for over $1 billion. The deal marks another expansion of Laura's vision for Wonder Group, which he plans to have IPO ready by 2027 with a target valuation of $30 billion. And his quote was quote Bringing Wonder and GrubHub together is the next step in our vision to create the super app for mealtime. Re envisioning the future of food delivery. Neal before we get to Wonder, final thoughts on GrubHub. I feel like this is a fallen angel.
Neal Freyman
It is a little bit. I mean, this was a terrible acquisition by Just Eat takeaway. They paid $7.3 billion for Grubhub at the height of the COVID delivery boom. Now they sold it for 91% less than that valuation. They really just kind of bought it at the top. Just looking at the market share of delivery apps in The United states right now Grubhub has a market share of 8% compared to 67% with DoorDash. And Uber Eats now has a 23% market share. So Just Eat bought Grubhub to get into the US market, expand their European empire and they are the biggest food delivery service in Europe. It did not work out at well. People started going back to restaurants and the overall delivery market just hasn't grown as much as was expected. But now that we tied the bow on grubhub, let's talk about Wonder, which bought grubhub. What is your take on Wonder and what they're doing? I mean, it is a sensibly a startup that few people have heard of outside of maybe New York City of seeing these storefronts. But they have insane plans. I mean, $30 billion valuation is insane that if they do achieve that, that would be within 10 years. Chipotle had a $30 billion billion market cap. After 30 years in business, Shake Shack is worth $5.5 billion right now. This company in its last Wonder, in its last funding round was valued at $5 billion. So clearly investors are betting on Mark Lurie and you mentioned he had these incredible exits. $3.3 billion to Walmart by Jet.com so it's very interesting what he's doing here and playing around in the restaurant space.
Kyle Hagee
Yeah, I mean, I think this is definitely a bet on the entrepreneur as much as is the idea. And someone who's had this much success is Mark Laurie. It's. It's probably a good check to give him more money and see what he does with it. Wonder. I'm actually one of the few people who maybe have gone to a Wonder. It's pretty differentiated. So it's not like a courier network like Uber Eats or grubhub. It actually is this like casual dining experience where they cook most of their food off site and then they bring it on site to a wonder food hall. And it can be prepared with very little tooling in about three to five minutes. But it actually tastes like it's made fresh. That's their differentiated piece. And they're trying to allow you as a family to come in and order from like four or five different restaurants all in one spot.
Neal Freyman
Dozens of kind of restaurants.
Kyle Hagee
Yes. They have 35, I believe, of fast casual restaurants they operate. So it allows you to kind of pick and choose what you want instead of being reliant on one restaurant or one menu. I think it's a pretty interesting idea and it is different than what other players are doing in the space?
Neal Freyman
Yeah, one. One other differentiating factor is they've partnered with celebrity chefs, so they. They have menus inspired by Bobby Flay and Marcus Samuelson and Jose Andres and people like these. They've actually paid them to use their signature dishes to sell to people. And Mark Laurie wants to give customers a more elevated dining experience. But what he does, really, is the goal here is a super app for meal time, which I think super app is just a buzzy word. I don't know exactly what it means, but when. Now that he bought grubhub, he wants to go from recipe development through the food preparation, through, you know, grubhub's delivery drivers, through actually fulfillment to create this holistic experience for when you want food. They control everything. And he spent $60 million on IP alone to own particular brands that they're selling out of these spaces. So right now, they have a few dozen locations in and around the Northeast. But he said he wants to expand to 100 locations by 2026 and then eventually IPO at a $30 billion valuation in 2027. Another interesting part of this super app is meal kits. You might have not heard this name in a while. Blue Apron. Oh, yeah. But. But Wonder bought Blue Apron again for pennies on the dollar, just like they did Grubhub last year for $100 million. So now they do meal kits. They do these more elevated dining concepts with. With celebrity chefs. So it's an interesting proposition. It's hard to pin down what exactly Wonder does, but they've raised $1.7 billion. Investors clearly think that Mark Lowry is onto something again, and he's poured in.
Kyle Hagee
Hundreds of millions dollars of his own capital as well. He also had this quote where he said he's in fifth gear right now, and he hopes he doesn't have to go to sixth gear. But he will if he has to. This guy's guy's hardcore. This guy's pretty hardcore. So don't bet against Mark Laurie, okay?
Neal Freyman
It's been a wild post election week for Elon Musk's ex, and bad news for its business. Many users appear to be leaving the platform. But in better news, more advertisers might return. Let's start with the users, who appear to be leaving at rates not seen since Musk took over the company two years ago. On Wednesday, the day after the election, 115,000 US users deleted their X accounts, which was the single biggest day of web account exits since SimilarWeb began tracking the figure. Many of Them appear headed to Blue sky, the ex rival that began as a project by Twitter founder Jack Dorsey in 2019. Blue sky said it has scored 1.25 million new signups in the past week alone, bringing its total user base to above 15 million, which is still very small compared to other platforms. But even as users flee, marketers could be coming back, which would be a huge help to X's sagging finances. The Financial Times reported that some brands that had left X once Musk took over and stripped its content moderation policies are considering making a return. The move would be a strategic, politically motivated, one marketing consultant said. Musk owns the platform. He figures to be an influential figure in the next administration. So if you want to get in his good graces and the good graces of the president, it helps to be an advertiser. Kyle it's quite a contrast. Users going, advertisers maybe coming back.
Kyle Hagee
Yeah, not normally. What you see, normally those things go in the same direction. I mean, I think if I'm an advertiser, as you mentioned, Musk has the ear of this administration. It's probably not a bad bet to like, keep him happy, throw some money at X. Unfortunately, they're still going to have to deliver results for their advertisers.
Neal Freyman
Right.
Kyle Hagee
I don't think a lot of advertisers are going to get bullied to spend money on the platform. They might just not make a big deal of leaving the platform. On the Blue sky side, it's important to understand that, like, these numbers are quite small. I think threads has about 4 or.
Neal Freyman
5 x 275 million that's met as threads. That number may be inflated because everyone knows who scrolls Instagram. You might see Threads pop up every now and again while you're scrolling, and then as soon as you click on that, you become, in effect, a thread user. So it is 275 million compared to Blue Sky's 15 million.
Kyle Hagee
And what I think is we're seeing is like this more fragmented media where people are finding their niche and it might be a different platform like Blue sky or others, where they are surrounded by the type of people they want to interact with. And as opposed to this like, public town hall, X, everyone on it. I think media is getting more and more fragmented and more and more niche. So I don't think Blue sky will get to a large number of users, but the users it has might actually really enjoy the platform.
Neal Freyman
And let's talk about X's finances. I mentioned they were not in a great place, so it really needs advertisers coming to come back. According to Emarketer, the company is going to bring in $1.9 billion in advertising revenue this year, which is down from $2 billion last year. And in 2021, before the takeover, it was doing $4.5 billion in revenue, so a pretty dramatic decline. Meanwhile, X's valuation has plummeted from 44 billion, which which Musk paid, to below $10 billion. So it is a very important business imperative to get advertisers coming back to the platform. And it's a bet that paid off for Musk when he aligned with with President Elect Trump that it would be really good for a lot of his businesses, as we've talked about on the show. But we didn't talk about what it could mean for X, and it does seem like it might provide a tailwind for that business as well.
Kyle Hagee
Yeah, I think X is in a better spot than it was a year ago, almost undoubtedly. The one thing I will say is if you le for Blue sky, please don't make a post about it. I can't see this big announcement. I'm leaving X. I'm going to Blue Sky. Just go to Blue Sky. Better yet, delete X and just go see some actual blue Sky. Go outside, walk in a park. We don't need more social media. Let's move on to our next story. Brokers in New York are in shambles after the Fairness in Apartment Rental Expenses or Fare act recently passed in New York City with a vote of 42 to 8. The bill requires landlords who hire real estate agents to breaking news. Pay the agents fees themselves instead of passing them on to tenants. All this might not sound like a big deal. Fees can add up to about 15% of annual rent on top of a security deposit. That's according to research from Street Easy, which said that upfront costs on average are $12,951 in New York City, so it's prohibitive for some people to even pay that upfront costs. The powerful Real Estate Board of New York and the industry's main lobbying arm has argued that if landlords are forced to absorb this cost, that ultimately will increase rents and affect renters that way. I think the real winner of this is Chi Ahse, the New York City Council member who reintroduced this bill and has been sharing progress on social media. He called the broker fees quote a killer upfront cost that has hampered mobility for many renters, causing families seeking to grow to forego having kids and forcing children aging out of their parents Home to leave the city. Dude has been very electric on social media this past. It's a really big deal in New York City. And Neil, I think this means we can finally move in together. Pretty excited.
Neal Freyman
I love that. Yeah, this dude is 26 years old. He's already making waves in the New York City Council. This was. You said brokers were in shambles, but they're still going to get paid. It just depends on by who. And right now in New York City is a very unique. We have a lot of listeners from outside of New York City and they're probably thinking right now, wait, the tenant has to pay the broker fee? That is not how we do it. New York City was certainly an outlier in this regard. It goes back decades to when brokers were the gatekeepers of the rental market. And now that has been disrupted by online. Online platforms like Street Easy, which was a big proponent of this bill. They threw a lot of their weight behind it. But, yeah, this, this was very much an anachronism of New York City. What they just passed brings it in line with more of the national standard, which is that the person, the landlord who hires the broker to show their apartment pays them and the tenant is relieved of some of these thousands of dollars of costs that were prohibited. You know, many people have to save a bunch of paychecks just for the upfront cost for the opportunity to live in the apartment, not let alone rent. That is among the highest in the world, with the median rent for an apartment in New York City is 30$500 a month. So this is a big win for renters and tenants who, who had pushed for this for a long time.
Kyle Hagee
And I think this is an example of technology almost becoming the new middleman and pushing out brokers who traditionally probably had a really important role of showing people around New York knowing the ins and outs. Street Easy now does that. And so I think people are relying more on technologies than actual brokers, and because of that, there's been less support for them. And now we'll see what happens with this lobbying pass. But I think it's going to be a bad day to be a broker.
Neal Freyman
I.
Kyle Hagee
Brokers are fine, but I think the landlords are now going to say, okay, I'm paying. So I need to make sure that the brokers are actually providing a lot of value. And right now, I don't think they are necessarily like, the incentives are misaligned because the broker doesn't need to do anything. The tenants are still going to pay. So I think brokers are going to have to probably provide a lot more value to landlords than they are currently.
Neal Freyman
And we should say that tenants and renters can hire their own broker and pay as well. It's just if you don't hire one, you don't need to pay under this new law.
Kyle Hagee
Yep. And up next, Toby's who's not here? Favorite Segment of the week Neil's Numbers.
Neal Freyman
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Kyle Hagee
I mean first four piece Christmas sock add to cart immediately. I think this is a really smart move by Amazon to get into a new kind of area or market that they haven't necessarily been competing in. You mentioned like shipping costs. Long deliveries like that isn't the Amazon way. But they're pivoting to compete with these new players. And I just think you don't bet against Amazon. They already have a large base they're going to be able to port users over to. So I think it's a really smart idea from them.
Neal Freyman
And one way they're trying to differentiate from T Mo and Shein is by hyping up the quality of their products. These other these China linked marketplaces have been accused of shady practices for sourcing materials to build these goods or ripping off, you know, third party sellers and Amazon. In their press release on a for for Amazon, hall sort of touted the fact that they screen the products that sellers offer in this particular marketplace so customers can be confident they're going to receive safe, authentic and and products that are compliant with applicable regulations. So that's how they're standing out from from the ultra discounters that exist. But clearly they're feeling the heat. They don't want to be disrupted and so this is their, this is their launch to stay ahead of the pack. For my second number, I need you to call your friend who you tease for being a terrible sports bettor. You owe them an apology. At least in this NFL season, amateur gamblers have been gaining the upper hand on sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel forcing these companies to pay out more to customers and lower their sales forecasts. As a result, get this. Last week, DraftKings slashed its 2024 revenue guidance by $250 million. And on Tuesday, FanDuel parent Flutter cut its annual US revenue forecast by $50 million. So what's going on? Isn't the number one rule of the casino the house always wins? Well, not always. This NFL season fan favorite picks like the Chiefs and the Lions have been winning a lot. And generally there have been fewer upsets, which would be better for the sportsbooks. For example, FanDuel's worst day of the NFL season was on the second Sunday of October when 11 of the 13 favorites beat their opponents. To sum it up, the DraftKings CEO said this was the most customer friendly stretch of NFL sports outcomes we have ever seen.
Kyle Hagee
I love they build these, these apps and these markets to like for the very intense gambler is going to like calculate all the odds and like over the long term the house will win. And then there's just like a 58 year old dude in Kansas City who's like, I just bet the Chiefs and then the Chiefs win and they're like DraftKings, like there goes our whole business plan. I think over the long run they're going to be fine. But it is funny that these like basic kind of amateur gamblers are taking the house for its money.
Neal Freyman
My final number is for anyone out there who thinks they would win the Amazing Race. Scandinavian Airlines or SAS is handing 1 million frequent flyer points to anyone who flies and at least 15 airlines in the SkyTeam alliance by the end of the year. The promotion is worth more than $10,000 and is SAS way of celebrating its entrance into the alliance, which includes carriers like Delta, Air France and klm. So here's what you'll need. Excellent itinerary planning skills, a boss who lets you work remotely, and a passion for lower back pain. One guy who took up the challenge told the Wall Street Journal he plans to spend about 90 hours on airplanes across 20 different flights in the next two weeks to complete the challenge. Kyle, 1 million points. $10,000. Do you think you could pull this off?
Kyle Hagee
I definitely could pull it off. I love this story. I feel like they should be like filming all of these people like in turning it into an actual Amazing Race segment. And good luck to everyone that's participating. This is an absolutely electric story.
Neal Freyman
Apparently employees at the airlines are placing bets on how many people will complete this, ranging from 5 to 500. I would say probably more people than not. Like if there was an over under if DraftKings gave me, the over under. I would probably take the over on this. I think people are very wily. They're very clever. Apparently travel forums are bursting with information about itineraries. They're lighting up with people trying to complete this. But it's, what is it? November 14. You have till December 31. So if you want to get, get a million frequent flyer points on Scandinavian Airlines, then, then you might as well start, start now.
Kyle Hagee
This is the same group that like hacks credit card points. And you never bet against those people?
Neal Freyman
No, I mean, you don't. And I love these people. I am one of them. Okay, let's sprint to the finish with some final headlines. Lots of drama at polymarket, the prediction betting platform that rose to prominence during the recent election. Yesterday, the FBI raided the Manhattan home of the founder and CEO of the site, 26 year old Shane Coplin, and seized his phone. We don't know yet what the agents were looking for or why they raided the home, but Polymarket was quick to call it politically motivated after its users accurately predicted the outcome of the election in favor of Donald Trump. A spokesman for the company said, quote, this is obvious political retribution by the outgoing administration against polymarket for providing a market that correctly called the 2024 presidential election.
Kyle Hagee
Yeah, and when he got his phone taken away, he got a new phone and immediately tweeted new phone, who dis On Twitter. Iconic tweet. Don't know if you put it on Blue Sky. We'll have to find out. Next story. Spirit Airlines, the airline you ride once and then never again had its stock price crater roughly 60% in afternoon trading on Wednesday. The reason? The airline said it won't announce quarterly financial results on time as it's likely heading towards bankruptcy. The low cost airline has struggled to recover post pandemic after a federal judge blocked an attempt to merger with JetBlue as well. Neal, Spirit Airlines cry because it's over or smile because it happened?
Neal Freyman
Well, Spirit, if you remember, was an incredible disruptor in this industry. It pioneered this ultra low cost model, kind of like story we're just talking about with Tamun Sheen, forcing the other carriers to offer very cheap seats and then charge you for literally anything else you want on the flight. Spirit was a big player enforcing the big Four, Delta, American, all of those to offer more discounted seats and charge more for bags, which I guess is not a great thing for customers. But it does appear headed for bankruptcy. And critics of the Biden administration's antitrust initiative, that crackdown have been pointing out that, you know, they blocked a merger between Spirit and JetBlue to compete with the big four airlines, and in doing so, they basically condemned Spirit to bankruptcy. So we'll be looking in the next few weeks. Wall Street Journal reported that Spirit does appear to be filing for bankruptcy in the next few weeks, and its stock price just fell 60% yesterday. Spotify is going all in on video podcasts to dethrone YouTube. Yesterday, the company announced that it will start paying creators who hit certain engagement levels on their videos and will remove automated ad breaks in videos for premium subscribers. It's a bet that more podcasters who film themselves podcasting like we do will put more content on the platform if they had a financial incentive to do so. Right now, Spotify offers no payout to creators, while YouTube pays most creators a 55% share of the revenue of the ads it sells against the video. Kyle, video podcasts are growing faster than audio podcasts. Can Spotify compete with YouTube in this format?
Kyle Hagee
I mean, I think Spotify's idea to pay video podcasters is absolutely brilliant. I highly encourage them to follow through with that. I think Spotify is a great platform. They obviously have a ton of users. I really like this pivot. And there'll be more competition in the video podcast space, which is a really fun space. Now let's move to Red lobster. Out the 1999 endless shrimp deal that helped maybe push the company into bankruptcy earlier in 2024. And in the famous hush puppies that were taken off the menu a few years ago. That's right, hush puppies are back, but also nine new items, a new tartar sauce, and even better lighting in the restaurants. This is all part of the plan of Damolo Adamalukun, the 35 year old CEO. He's an electric guy. No comment from Beyonce if she's still taking her man to Red Lobster, but I hope so. Neal, is it time to wrap up the show and go get some hush puppies? Are you excited about this?
Neal Freyman
I am a little excited about this. The CEO went on a Today show on Monday and hyped up this new menu and he said there was a riot in the streets when they removed hush puppies. And so now he expects. He said this cheekily, but he expects a flood of customers to come back because of hush puppies. Are you. You're like a northern Midwest guy. Like hush puppies could not be farther in terms of regional cuisine of what you are accustomed to. Yes, they're Southern.
Kyle Hagee
I think we got to go get some hush puppies and do some investigative journalism on this because I don't know what they are.
Neal Freyman
It's like a deep fried cornball.
Kyle Hagee
Okay, well, sign me up. That sounds amazing.
Neal Freyman
Yeah, it does. So. All right, let's go get some hush puppies. That is all the time we have. Thanks for starting your day with us and have a wonderful Thursday. I'm going to be out tomorrow as well as Toby, so you will be in the incredibly good hands of Kyle and Ann, our newest guest host. Kyle, if you guys throw a party, I just ask. Make sure to clean up and leave some beers in the fridge.
Kyle Hagee
We're not giving the show back. I'm sorry, Neal.
Neal Freyman
All right. For any questions, comments, or feedback, send an email to Morning Brew daily at Morning Broadcom. Let's roll the credits. Emily Milian is our executive producer. Raymond Lu is our producer. Olivia Graham is our associate producer.
Kyle Hagee
You.
Neal Freyman
Chenoa Ogu is our technical director. Billy Menino is on audio hair and makeup is accepting the Scandinavian Air Challenge at. Devin Emery is our chief content officer. And our show a production of Morning Brew.
Kyle Hagee
Thanks for listening and I wish you all well.
Morning Brew Daily – Episode Summary
Title: Grubhub Acquired to be a Part of New Super App & Advertisers Back in on 'X'
Release Date: November 14, 2024
Hosts: Neal Freyman and Kyle Hagee
Description: Morning Brew Daily covers the latest news on business, the economy, and more with wit and insight to kickstart your day.
Key Points:
Acquisition Details: Wonder Group, a relatively unknown entity outside New York City, has acquired Grubhub for $650 million—a significant drop from Grubhub's $7.3 billion valuation in 2020.
Wonder Group's Vision: Led by entrepreneur Mark Laurie, Wonder Group operates 25 fast-casual restaurants across New York City and New Jersey. Laurie, known for his successful exits with Diapers.com and Jet.com, aims to expand Wonder Group with an IPO target of $30 billion by 2027.
Strategic Moves: The acquisition integrates Grubhub into Wonder's ecosystem, aiming to create a "super app for mealtime" that encompasses recipe development, food preparation, delivery, and fulfillment. Additionally, Wonder has acquired Blue Apron, re-entering the meal kit market.
Notable Quotes:
Discussion Highlights:
Market Dynamics: Grubhub's market share has dwindled to 8% in the U.S., overshadowed by DoorDash (67%) and Uber Eats (23%). The initial acquisition by Just Eat Takeaway was deemed ill-timed, capturing Grubhub at its peak.
Wonder Group's Differentiation: Unlike traditional delivery services, Wonder offers a unique dining experience with fast preparation and the inclusion of celebrity chef-inspired menus. This approach aims to provide customers with variety and quality, setting Wonder apart in a saturated market.
Key Points:
User Decline: Following Elon Musk's takeover, X has witnessed a significant exodus of users. On the day after the election, 115,000 U.S. users deleted their accounts—the largest single-day exit since tracking began.
Competition and Fragmentation: Users migrating to platforms like Blue Sky, Jack Dorsey's project, which has gained 1.25 million new signups recently, bringing its total to over 15 million. In comparison, Threads by Instagram boasts 275 million users.
Advertiser Dynamics: Despite the user decline, some advertisers are contemplating a return to X. The Financial Times reported that brands looking to maintain favorable relations with Musk, potentially benefiting from political influence, are considering re-engaging with the platform.
Notable Quotes:
Discussion Highlights:
Financial Implications: X's advertising revenue has plummeted from $4.5 billion in 2021 to an expected $1.9 billion in the current year. The platform's valuation has also dropped from $44 billion to below $10 billion.
Strategic Positioning: Aligning with political figures, particularly President-elect Trump, could serve as a strategic move for Musk to enhance X's standing and attract advertisers seeking political favor.
Key Points:
Legislation Overview: The Fare Act, passed with a 42-8 vote, mandates that landlords pay broker fees instead of tenants, eliminating up to 15% of annual rent and approximately $12,951 in upfront costs for renters.
Impact on the Market: This legislation aims to alleviate the financial burden on renters, fostering greater mobility and affordability in New York City's competitive housing market.
Industry Response: The Real Estate Board of New York argues that landlords absorbing broker fees may lead to increased rents. However, proponents like Council Member Chi Ahse highlight the significant benefits for tenants.
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Evolution of Brokerage: The rise of online platforms like Street Easy has diminished the traditional role of brokers, contributing to decreased support and value perception. Brokers may need to enhance their services to justify their fees to landlords.
Regional Differences: Outside of New York City, broker fees are uncommon, and this legislation brings NYC closer to national norms, potentially transforming its rental landscape.
Segment Overview: Neal Freyman presents three standout statistics from the week's news, each accompanied by insightful commentary and audience engagement.
a. Amazon Haul Launch
Statistic: Amazon introduced "Amazon Haul," a storefront offering items at a maximum of $20 each, competing with platforms like Shein and TikTok Shop.
Details: Products range from $1 eyelash curlers to $7 Christmas socks, with delivery times of 1-2 weeks and shipping fees for orders under $25.
Discussion: Kail Hagee praises Amazon's strategic entry into the low-cost market, leveraging its vast user base to compete effectively, despite deviations from its typical rapid delivery model.
b. Amateur Gamblers vs. Sportsbooks
Statistic: Amateur gamblers have been outperforming sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel this NFL season.
Impact: DraftKings reduced its 2024 revenue guidance by $250 million, and FanDuel's parent company, Flutter, cut its forecast by $50 million.
Discussion: The hosts humorously discuss how simple betting strategies, such as consistently backing favorites like the Chiefs, can disrupt the traditional sportsbook model.
c. SAS's Frequent Flyer Challenge
Statistic: Scandinavian Airlines (SAS) is offering 1 million frequent flyer points (over $10,000) to anyone who completes at least 15 flights within the SkyTeam alliance by year-end.
Discussion: Neal and Kyle find the challenge both ambitious and entertaining, highlighting the intense dedication of frequent flyers and the strategic incentives airlines use to boost engagement.
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a. Polymarket CEO Raided by FBI
Details: Shane Coplin, founder and CEO of the prediction betting platform Polymarket, had his Manhattan home raided by the FBI. The company claimed it was political retribution following accurate predictions favoring Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
Notable Quote: “This is obvious political retribution by the outgoing administration against polymarket for providing a market that correctly called the 2024 presidential election.” - Polymarket spokesman
b. Spirit Airlines Faces Potential Bankruptcy
Details: Spirit Airlines' stock plummeted by 60% after announcing delayed financial results, signaling potential bankruptcy. The airline struggled post-pandemic, and a blocked merger with JetBlue has exacerbated its woes.
Discussion: The hosts reflect on Spirit's role as an industry disruptor and the implications of regulatory actions on its viability.
c. Spotify’s Push into Video Podcasts
Details: Spotify is enhancing its video podcast offerings by paying creators based on engagement levels and removing automated ad breaks for premium subscribers. This move aims to rival YouTube by incentivizing video podcast content creation.
Discussion: Kyle Hagee supports Spotify's strategy, recognizing the platform's potential to compete effectively in the video podcast space.
d. Red Lobster's Menu Revamp
Details: Red Lobster is reintroducing hush puppies and adding nine new menu items, alongside new tartar sauce and improved restaurant lighting, under CEO Damolo Adamalukun.
Discussion: Neal and Kyle express enthusiasm for the menu changes, envisioning a resurgence of customer interest driven by nostalgic favorites like hush puppies.
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In this episode, Neal Freyman and Kyle Hagee delve into significant developments in the food delivery and tech industries, regulatory changes in New York City's housing market, and intriguing statistics shaping consumer behavior. Their engaging dialogue provides listeners with comprehensive insights into current business trends, market dynamics, and the evolving landscape of digital platforms.
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