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Is Tech In an AI Bubble? & Why English Teachers are the Best Investing Mentors

Morning Brew Daily

Published: Mon Sep 01 2025

Summary

Morning Brew Daily - Episode Summary

Episode: Is Tech In an AI Bubble? & Why English Teachers are the Best Investing Mentors
Date: September 1, 2025
Hosts: Neal Freyman & Toby Howell
Special Guest: Ann Berry


Overview

This special Labor Day episode features Ann Berry, host of Brew Markets, investor, and veteran board member. The trio dives into Berry’s unique path from English literature to the boardroom, dissects the current state of the AI trade and potential market bubble, ruminates on the power and pitfalls of government intervention in business, and shares insights on private equity, SPACs, and the democratization of investing. In the spirit of holiday fun, the episode closes with a rapid-fire round of “Overvalued or Undervalued.”


Key Discussion Points & Insights


Ann Berry’s Career Path & Brew Markets Ethos

  • Unconventional Journey
    • Ann describes her career as anything but linear, beginning with aspirations of being a writer—skills she says made her a superior investor.
    • "The best training I ever had for being an investor was English literature." (05:13, Ann Berry)
  • Brew Markets Format
    • Brew Markets airs daily after the market close, aiming to break down the day's events with rigor and unique insight, drawing on hosts’ real industry experience.
    • Fact-checking, primary research, and board-level perspective differentiate the show.

On Investing: The English Teacher Analogy

  • Critical Thinking Parallels
    • Ann credits her English literature background for teaching her analytical patience—seeing parallels between unpicking poems and “cold start” investing in companies. (05:13-06:00)
  • Socioeconomic Backdrop
    • Ann was the first in her family to go to college and chose banking for financial security as the family’s eldest child.

Leadership, Crisis, and Turning Points

  • Inflection Point as CEO
    • Took charge of a 6,000-employee company just before the COVID-19 shutdown, which tested her limits and leadership resilience.
    • “Being a CEO is an incredibly lonely job. And being a CEO through a crisis... That was an extraordinary inflection point.” (07:05-08:35, Ann Berry)

The AI Bubble & Tech’s Fragile Foundations

  • Personal Portfolio Anxiety
    • Ann expresses candid uncertainty about the current AI boom, even contemplating selling her Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet stocks.
    • “There have been more days than not where I’ve woken up going, I think I should just sell everything... I am nervous that we are in, not just an AI bubble, but an AI-driven bubble for the entire market.” (09:39-11:20, Ann Berry)
  • Risk Premiums Shrinking
    • The reward (risk premium) for holding stocks over U.S. treasuries is near zero, which Ann calls “bubblicious territory.” (10:55-11:25)

Notable Quote

  • “It just cannot be in my mind that owning a share of Palantir... is the same level of risk as a United States government bond. That does not make sense.” (11:20, Ann Berry)

State of the Consumer & Market Winners/Losers

  • Unexpected Consumer Strength
    • U.S. consumer spending and credit health have held up better than expected—even amid higher rates and inflation.
    • Retail chains that adapted quickly to changing costs and tariffs performed best.
  • Bowl Slop Woes
    • Fast casual salad/bowl chains (Chipotle, Kava, Sweetgreen) struggled, with Ann predicting further difficulty due to waning “bang for buck” and lackluster menu excitement.
    • “A lot of it tastes the same... It just doesn't excite me the way it used to. It's tough. They've got to do something new.” (14:02-15:00, Ann Berry)
  • Potbelly Praised
    • Noted for responding better to consumer demand—highlighted by same-store sales growth and tailored products.

Corporate America: Marketing Fails, Meme Stocks, and CEO Pressure

  • Mistakes & Accountability
    • Ann says marketing mistakes should be acknowledged and swiftly corrected, citing Cracker Barrel’s logo walk-back.
    • “It is very hard for people to say, I got it wrong... When I think they do it, it’s a sign of strength.” (15:52-16:30, Ann Berry)
  • Meme Stocks as a Headache
    • She warns that emotionally charged shareholder bases (meme stocks) make a CEO’s job “miserable.”
    • On CEO stock obsession: “If anyone says, I don’t pay attention [to the stock price]... I’m calling BS.” (17:39-18:45, Ann Berry)

Government Intervention & Industrial Policy

  • Investor Caution
    • Ann wrestles with the U.S. government’s recent moves to take equity stakes in firms like Intel and MP Materials for national security.
    • Intellectually wary: “This kind of interventionism is not something that you think of when you think about the US economic model at all.” (19:03-19:40, Ann Berry)
    • Yet, she admits the policy side of her understands it for supply chain security.
  • Short-term Pops vs. Long-term Risks
    • She warns that these interventions could yield short-lived stock gains but increase long-term risks for true investors due to political uncertainty.

Private Equity, SPACs, and Democratization of Investment

  • Private Equity’s Merits
    • Ann asserts private equity (PE) has historically outperformed due to “leaning in,” enforcing management change, and accountability.
    • “As a change agent, private equity is there. When it’s done well... it can drive outsized returns.” (24:20, Ann Berry)
  • Risks of “Democratizing” Risk
    • She supports giving retail investors access to strong PE but strongly cautions against using retirement funds as “lottery tickets” for risky venture capital bets.
  • SPACs
    • The return of SPACs (special purpose acquisition companies) is not necessarily bad, but the onus is on choosing managers with a proven track record.
    • “Anytime you’ve got someone who’s self-anointing titles [like ‘King of SPACs’], you’re in a tough spot... You’ve got to do your homework.” (27:15-29:47, Ann Berry)
  • Trust in Management
    • When asked if she’d invest in a ‘Neal and Toby SPAC’: “I don’t think so.” (29:51, Ann Berry, joking)

Influences, Leadership, and Favorites

  • Admiration for Elon Musk
    • Ann cites Musk’s relentless execution and use of cross-company “SWAT teams” as truly unique, while clarifying she does not endorse his public antics.
    • “For anyone who’s been inside a fast-growing company... I was fascinated by the fact that Elon Musk has been able to... go make happen...so many different successful businesses at the same time.” (30:04-31:30, Ann Berry)

Overvalued / Undervalued Lightning Round

| Topic/Company | Ann Berry's Verdict & Comments | Timestamp | |----------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------| | Palantir | Overvalued. “Board a lottery ticket just in case FOMO kicks in.” | 32:11 | | Jim Cramer | Fairly valued. “Just for sheer longevity, fair value.” | 32:19 | | Cracker Barrel logo | Undervalued. “The market has just spoken.” | 33:08 | | Dubai Chocolate | Undervalued. “More ice cream opportunities to come.” | 33:18 | | Labubu figures | Fairly valued. “I don't personally understand it, but lots of people love them.” | 33:55 | | Stainless steel cookware | Undervalued. “But can I say, copper is even less appreciated!” | 34:49 | | Thomas Tuchel (soccer) | Pass. (Embarrassed not to know) | 35:29 | | London’s West End | Undervalued. “A treasure... costs a fraction of Broadway shows here.” | 36:06 |

Other highlights:

  • Banter about the struggles of cooking with stainless steel and the air fryer as a modern kitchen staple. (35:02-35:15)

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

  • On the AI Bubble:
    “We are in bubblicious territory.” (11:25, Ann Berry)
  • On CEO Accountability:
    “Public company CEOs are explicitly compensated using stocks, shares, options...their net worth is on the line. So you bet [they care about the share price].” (17:39-18:45)
  • On Private Equity:
    “Private equity is there. The patience for [change] doesn’t tend to exist [in public companies]...democratization is fantastic, but please do not use retirement funds as lottery tickets.” (24:09-25:00)
  • On Marketing Mistakes:
    “I think you own that as quickly as humanly possible... It’s a sign of strength.” (15:52-16:30)
  • On Influential Leaders:
    “Go find great talent, great problem solvers, and have some confidence they’ll figure it out—even in a different environment.” (31:38, on Elon Musk)

Timestamps for Important Segments

  • 03:07 – Ann Berry’s non-linear career and the Brew Markets ethos
  • 05:01 – Why English teachers make the best investment mentors
  • 07:05 – Pandemic as a career inflection point
  • 09:39 – Are we in an AI bubble? (Nvidia, Tech stocks)
  • 12:04 – State of the US consumer, market takeaways from earnings season
  • 14:02 – Bowl slop’s struggles: Chipotle, Kava, Sweetgreen
  • 15:52 – Marketing fails and meme stock CEO pain
  • 17:39 – CEOs and their (real) obsession with stock prices
  • 19:03 – Government intervention: Intel, MP Materials
  • 23:54 – Democratization of private equity, the pitfalls of venture capital access
  • 27:04 – SPACs, skepticism, and manager selection
  • 30:04 – Most admired business leaders (Elon Musk discussion)
  • 32:11 onwards – “Overvalued/Undervalued” lightning round

Tone & Style

Conversational, candid, and witty—true to Morning Brew’s brand. Ann Berry is honest and sometimes vulnerable about her anxieties and decision-making as an investor. Neal and Toby provide timely zingers, relatable self-deprecation, and stoke lively, thoughtful dialogue.


For Further Listening

  • Tune in to Ann Berry’s Brew Markets podcast, which airs daily after the US market closes, for a more granular, boardroom-level take on the day’s business stories.

No transcript available.