Stocks Soar as Trump Pauses Tariffs | 4.10.25

Summary

Morning Wire Podcast Summary Episode: Stocks Soar as Trump Pauses Tariffs | 04.10.25
Release Date: April 10, 2025
Hosts: Georgia Howe and John Bickley
Presented by: The Daily Wire

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Introduction

In this episode of Morning Wire, hosts Georgia Howe and John Bickley delve into the significant economic developments following President Donald Trump's decision to pause tariffs. The discussion centers on the immediate surge in the stock market, the strategic implications for U.S.-China relations, and the broader economic agenda of the Trump administration aimed at benefiting Main Street Americans.

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Trump's Tariff Pause and Market Response

The episode opens with President Trump announcing a 90-day pause on tariffs for all trading partners except China, aiming to foster better trade relations and provide relief to global markets.

Notable Quote:

Donald Trump (00:03): "I did a 90 day pause for the people that didn't retaliate. At the end of a year or shorter, I think we're going to have something that nobody would have dreamt possible."

Georgia Howe highlights the immediate positive reaction from investors:

Notable Quote:

Cabot Phillips (01:50): "Within five minutes of his announcement, trillions of dollars in value had been added to the markets. By the time markets closed, the Dow was up more than 2,900 points, nearly 8%. The S&P skyrocketed nearly 10%, the largest one day gain since 2008. And the NASDAQ saw its biggest daily gain in nearly a quarter century, surging 12%."

The market's robust recovery underscores investor confidence in the administration's move to stabilize economic conditions.

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Impact on China and Trade Negotiations

Despite pausing tariffs for most countries, China remains excluded, leading to heightened tensions between the U.S. and China. The podcast explores the strategic maneuvers by both nations in this ongoing trade dispute.

Notable Quote:

Cabot Phillips (04:11): "China may be projecting strength, but they are desperate for relief."

President Trump's strategic increase in tariffs on China aims to pressure Beijing into favorable negotiations.

Notable Quote:

Donald Trump (04:27): "China wants to make a deal. They just don't know how quite to go about it. President Xi is a proud man. I know him very well. And they don't know quite how to go about it, but they'll figure it out."

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen emphasizes China's greater vulnerability:

Notable Quote:

Scott Bessen (03:50): "What China is doing will affect their economy much more than it will ours. This was his strategy all along, and that, you know, you might even say that he goaded China into a bad position. They, they responded. They have shown themselves to the world to be the bad actors."

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White House's Economic Agenda Beyond Tariffs

The Trump administration is not solely focused on tariffs but is advancing a comprehensive economic agenda aimed at revitalizing Main Street America. Key components include tax cuts, raising the debt ceiling, and funding deportation efforts.

Notable Quote:

Donald Trump (07:39): "It's so important that we pass the big beautiful bill. I really think it actually puts pressure on those few Republicans that just can't get there. You know what the alternative is? A Democrat bill. But just in case there are a couple of Republicans out there, you just gotta get there, close your eyes and get there. It's a phenomenal bill. Stop grandstanding. Just stop grandstanding."

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen outlines the focus on supporting smaller financial institutions and reducing bureaucratic hurdles:

Notable Quote:

Scott Bessen (08:30): "This administration aims to give all banks the chance to succeed, whether it's JP Morgan or your local mortgage and loan. It aims to get capital to Americans who need it by getting bureaucracy out of the way. It's Main Street's turn. It's Main Street's turn to hire workers. It's Main Street's turn to drive investment. And it's Main Street's turn to restore the American dream."

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Expert Analysis on China's Response

Supply chain expert Jim Nels provides an in-depth analysis of China's potential responses to the heightened tariffs, discussing the feasibility of China's retaliatory measures and the broader implications for global trade dynamics.

Notable Quote:

Jim Nels (10:06): "Did you hear on the ground there in terms of their response to this Trump tariff battle?"

Expert Insight: Jim Nels explains that China is facing economic strain with manufacturing sectors operating below capacity. Companies are exploring alternative sourcing strategies to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs.

Notable Quote:

Jim Nels (11:14): "What I really hope that we can see is everyone get rid of all the tariffs and all of the non tariff trade restrictions so that we can have what we all want, which is free and fair trade."

Nels further discusses the long-term strategic positioning of China, suggesting that while China may negotiate temporarily, the structural challenges within its economy make sustained compliance difficult.

Notable Quote:

Jim Nels (13:39): "They are probably having a lot of internal discussions about how they can adapt to the tariffs or come to some sort of a deal... But I think a lot of companies are taking a slow, let's figure this out approach. And then what is the right long term solution?"

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Conclusion

Morning Wire effectively captures the pivotal moment in U.S. trade policy as the Trump administration leverages tariff pauses and increases to shape global economic relations. The immediate market response is overwhelmingly positive, reflecting investor optimism. However, the exclusion of China from tariff relief underscores ongoing geopolitical tensions. The episode also sheds light on the administration's broader economic strategies aimed at empowering Main Street America. As the situation evolves, expert insights suggest that while short-term measures may yield immediate benefits, long-term outcomes will depend on strategic negotiations and the adaptability of international trade partners.

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This summary provides an overview of the key discussions and insights shared in the episode "Stocks Soar as Trump Pauses Tariffs | 4.10.25" of the Morning Wire podcast by The Daily Wire.

Transcript

[Donald Trump]

I did a 90 day pause for the people that didn't retaliate. At the end of a year or shorter, I think we're going to have something that nobody would have dreamt possible.

[Georgia Howe]

Trump pauses tariffs and sends the market soaring I'm Georgia Howe with Daily Wire Editor in Chief John Bickley. It's Thursday, April 10th, and this is Morning Wire. While the market recovers, the Trump administration says it's time to focus on everyday Americans.

[Scott Bessen]

For the last four decades, Wall street has grown wealthier than ever before. But for the next four years, the Trump agenda is focused on Main street.

[Jim Nels]

And will China hold out in the tariff war with Trump? We talked to a supply chain expert about what Beijing will do next.

[Georgia Howe]

Thanks for waking up with Morning Wire. Stay tuned. We have the news you need to know.

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[Jim Nels]

In a stunning development Wednesday, President Trump paused tariffs on all trading partners with the exception of China.

[Georgia Howe]

Daily Wire Senior editor Cabot Phillips is here to break down what led to the decision and how markets responded. So Cabot, a really remarkable 24 hours. Where do things stand now?

[Cabot Phillips]

Yeah. One week ago, President Trump enacted the largest tariffs in a century. And then yesterday, with a single social media post, he put nearly all of them on pause. Trump announced in a truth social post that effective immediately there would be a 90 day pause on nearly all tariffs. In the meantime, a flat 10% rate will go into effect. If you walked outside yesterday afternoon and felt a strong breeze, that was actually the collective sigh of relief from world leaders making its way across the globe.

[Georgia Howe]

Well, and investors were also joining in that relief. Tell us about the market response.

[Cabot Phillips]

Well, the president said Wednesday morning that it was a, quote, great time to buy. And he was not kidding. Within five minutes of his announcement, trillions of dollars in value had been added to the markets. By the time markets closed, the Dow was up more than 2,900 points, nearly 8%. The S&P skyrocketed nearly 10%, the largest one day gain since 2008. And the NASDAQ saw its biggest daily gain in nearly a quarter century, surging 12%. All told, the Broad Market Index on Wall street saw its third largest gain since World War II. Hopefully some of our listeners bought the dip because the market appears to be roaring back.

[Georgia Howe]

Right, so let's get to China. That's the one country where Trump offered no relief.

[Cabot Phillips]

Yeah, quite the opposite. Remember, while the vast majority of our trading partners held off on retaliatory tariffs and sought a deal, Beijing raised their rates to 34% and then 84%. That clearly outraged the President, who said, quote, based on the lack of respect that China has shown to the world's markets, I'm hereby raising the tariff charged to China by the United States of America to 125%, effective immediately. The Chinese imported about $440 billion worth of goods last year. So we're talking hundreds of billions of dollars worth of tariffs now on the table. The White House says the Chinese have shown the world their hand and proven once and for all that they cannot be trusted to operate fairly. As Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen put it, Beijing fell into President Trump's trap.

[Scott Bessen]

What China is doing will affect their economy much more than it will ours. This was his strategy all along, and that, you know, you might even say that he goaded China into a bad position. They, they responded. They have shown themselves to the world to be the bad actors.

[Cabot Phillips]

And according to the White House, China will be forced to blink first and make a favorable deal with the U.S. that's because they say their economy is so reliant on shipping cheap goods to other countries, mainly America. In Trump's words, China may be projecting strength, but they are desperate for relief.

[Donald Trump]

China wants to make a deal. They just don't know how quite to go about it. President Xi is a proud man. I know him very well. And they don't know quite how to go about it, but they'll figure it out.

[Georgia Howe]

So what comes next?

[Cabot Phillips]

Well, the White House made clear they're going to take the next 90 days to hammer out as many trade deals as possible. And they've made clear what they're looking for. Lower tariffs, lower value added taxes, and the removal of import bans on certain American products. If those demands are not met, the tariffs will be back on three months from now.

[Scott Bessen]

We've had more than 75 countries contact us, and I imagine after today There will be more. So it is just a processing problem. Each one of these solutions is going to be bespoke. It is going to take some time. And President Trump wants to be personally involved. So that's why we're getting the 90 day.

[Cabot Phillips]

And the secretary went on to specifically note that Vietnam, India, South Korea and Japan were all at the front of the line for negotiations. Now, that's important because those are all of China's biggest competitors in Asia. The White House clearly sending a message to Beijing, make a deal now where the US and the rest of the world will send their business elsewhere. Here's White House Press Secretary Caroline Levitt.

[Caroline Levitt]

Many of you in the media clearly missed the art of the deal. You clearly failed to see what President Trump is doing here. You tried to say that the rest of the world would be moved closer to China, when in fact, we've seen the opposite effect. The entire world is calling the United States of America, not China, because they need our markets, they need our consumers, and they need this president in the Oval Office to talk to them.

[Cabot Phillips]

And for his part, Secretary Bessant went on to offer a warning to countries considering cozying up to China. Quote, you'll be cutting your own throat. So the Trump administration using these tariffs not just to negotiate trade deals, but also as an attempt to push the world away from China.

[Georgia Howe]

Well, in our next segment, we're going to hear from a supply side expert on what China might do next. Cabot, thanks for reporting.

[Cabot Phillips]

Absolutely.

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[Jim Nels]

Amid the terror fallout, the White House is working to make their economic case to Main Street Americans.

[Georgia Howe]

Here with a look at what Trump and his team are saying is Daily Wire deputy Managing editor Tim Rice. So, Tim, the White House is clearly trying to make sure the conversation doesn't get stuck on tariffs. What other plans are they highlighting?

[Tim Rice]

Well, Georgia, that all comes down to another of Trump's favorite phrases, tax cuts. The president talked about them at the National Republican Congressional Committee dinner on Monday. He spoke about his plan to extend his 2017 tax cuts and urged Republicans to vote for a budget bill that he's calling the big Beautiful Bill.

[Donald Trump]

It's so important that we pass the big beautiful bill. I really think it actually puts pressure on those few Republicans that just can't get there. You know what the alternative is? A Democrat bill. But just in case there are a couple of Republicans out there, you just gotta get there, close your eyes and get there. It's a phenomenal bill. Stop grandstanding. Just stop grandstanding.

[Tim Rice]

In addition to tax cuts, the bill would raise the debt ceiling and allocate more money for the Trump administration's deportation efforts. Republicans are reportedly hoping to pass the bill by Memorial Day. The White House is clearly trying to shift the focus away from tariffs and to that bill, along with the rest of the administration's economic agenda. In a speech to the American Bankers association yesterday, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant gave a summary of what that agenda entails.

[Scott Bessen]

For too long, financial policy has served large financial institutions at the expense of smaller ones. No more. This administration aims to give all banks the chance to succeed, whether it's JP Morgan or your local mortgage and loan. It aims to get capital to Americans who need it by getting bureaucracy out of the way. It's Main Street's turn. It's Main Street's turn to hire workers. It's Main Street's turn to drive investment. And it's Main Street's turn to restore the American dream.

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Right.

[Georgia Howe]

Well, this is what Trump ran on. Did Besant address concerns about a potential recession?

[Tim Rice]

He did, though he made sure to tie everything back to the broader economic agenda.

[Scott Bessen]

Our fiscal situation is a 350 pound, two pack a day smoker on the ICU table and he or she is not going to get off that table and run the ironman. We can't do it all at once or that will cause a recession. What will keep us from having a recession is making sure that the tax bill doesn't expire, adding back 100% depreciation, and then adding some of President Trump's agenda. No tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, no tax on overtime.

[Georgia Howe]

We'll continue to track the progress of this bill. Tim, thanks for reporting.

[Jim Nels]

You bet.

[Georgia Howe]

President Trump's suspension of his sweeping tariffs yesterday excluded one key country, China, which now faces some daunting economic decisions.

[Jim Nels]

Joining us now is Jim Nels, an expert supply chain consultant. Jim, thanks so much for joining us. So China retaliated against the US and now Trump is turning up the pressure on them by raising tariffs even further. You've just returned from China. What did you hear on the ground there in terms of their response to this Trump tariff battle?

[Identity Guard Advertisement]

What people are saying off the record is that they're extremely concerned with a tariff war with the United States. Their economy is hurting a bit. Their manufacturing sector is not where it has been in the past. Some of the factories are running at between 40 and 60% capacity utilization, which is not good. That's also why a lot of my clients, before Trump announced all the reciprocal tariffs, their Chinese suppliers were saying, hey, we'll send you components to other places in Asia and you can assemble the components there to avoid the Chinese tariff. They're doing everything they can to try to figure out how to get around these, these tariffs that are in place.

[Jim Nels]

Got it. So when the Trump administration says they believe this is a good moment to apply a lot of pressure to China, do you agree? Do you think that they are correct in their assessment of China and its vulnerabilities at this time?

[Identity Guard Advertisement]

Yes, I think it's a good time to do it. What I really hope that we can see is everyone get rid of all the tariffs and all of the non tariff trade restrictions so that we can have what we all want, which is free and fair trade, where the countries that are good at manufacturing some things manufacture those and the countries that are good at manufacturing other things manufacture those. And I think Jamie Dimon said it very well this morning in an interview where he said we really need to focus on the right industries in the United States. Right. Where your tennis shoes come from is probably not as important as where your pharmaceuticals come from. And so, you know, I think we're going to see that type of a shift, but it's going to take a little bit of time.

[Jim Nels]

Now, what we saw from Trump initially was this blanket application of reciprocal tariffs. But you're saying that you're seeing this going in a more strategic, narrowed manner in the days to come. Is that what you expect?

[Identity Guard Advertisement]

Well, that's what I hope. And I think a lot of it comes down to what President Trump is actually trying to achieve because he's sending mixed messages right now. One hand, he's saying that he wants manufacturing to return to the United States, but that's not going to happen. And even if it did, I'm not sure how much of an impact that has. So, for example, US manufacturing peaked in 1979 where 20 million workers were employed in manufacturing. That was about 22% of the non farm workforce. Today, it's about 13 million people who are employed in manufacturing, which is about 10% of the non farm workforce. So even if it doubled back to where it used to be, you're only looking at another 13 million jobs. America was never a nation that manufacturing represented 80% of the economy or anything like that. So to think that we're going to make everything in the United States is simply wrong. We are starting to see, though, people really thinking hard about repatriating some things into the United States. I have clients that are looking longer term here because one thing to remember with these tariffs, if you look back to the first set of Trump tariffs in 2018, President Biden did not reverse those. He left those in place. So even when President Trump leaves office in 2028, the tariffs may not go away. So I think a lot of companies are taking a slow, let's figure this out approach. And then what is the right long term solution?

[Jim Nels]

With your familiarity with the Chinese regime and the industry there, how entrenched do you think they'll become? Are they in the end pragmatist when it comes to this kind of thing, or do they care more about the sort of symbolic wins in terms of fighting back against Trump?

[Identity Guard Advertisement]

Well, it's interesting. There are two theories on this right now. One is that and it's not just China's any Asian culture, right. Saving face is very, very important. So they are probably having a lot of internal discussions about how they can adapt to the tariffs or come to some sort of a deal. While saving face though, another theory that's been floating around is that China may actually aggressively come back and reduce all their tariffs and try to negotiate a deal with Trump looking like they typically do to the long term and saying we'll go through three and a half years of pain with no tariffs. We'll placate the United States, we'll placate President Trump, and then when there's a new president will slowly put these restrictions back in place and they won't do anything. That actually seems like a very likely scenario given how not just the Chinese, but again, Asians tend to look long term, not on a quarter by quarter basis, which we do typically here in the United States.

[Jim Nels]

Well, as we said, the situation is rapidly developing, so we'll see how this all settles out. Jim, thanks so much for joining us.

[Identity Guard Advertisement]

Thank you. Take care.

[Georgia Howe]

Thanks for waking up with us. We'll be back later this afternoon with more news. You need to know.